Why Lemonade Failed To Disrupt Insurance

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  • Опубликовано: 8 июн 2024
  • Founded in 2015 Lemonade set out to disrupt the insurance industry with its advanced AI algorithms and unique business model. But 9 years later the company is still losing money. In this video we'll take a deep dive into Lemonade and why disrupting the insurance industry has proved so difficult.
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    #Wallstreetmillennial #ai #artificialintelligence #insurance
    0:00 - 1:23 Intro
    1:24 - 4:19 Insurance Industry
    4:20 - 14:02 Lemonade
    14:03 Financial Performance
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Комментарии • 571

  • @thorin01
    @thorin01 Месяц назад +323

    I laughed my head off at the claim of having a “data advantage” over insurance companies. Insurance companies live and die on the strength of their data analysis and they have spent over century building those tools. You take a population of 10,000 people and an insurance company can tell you with a ridiculous degree of accuracy how many will die each year and the causes. The odds are Lemonade’s ‘AIs’ were trained using data and models made publicly available by the insurance companies.

    • @wonderfulworldofmarkets9033
      @wonderfulworldofmarkets9033 Месяц назад +30

      Perfect example of a "smart" sounding dumb thing to say. If you worked at any major insurance company you would realize how backward the tech culture is there. There is absolutely nothing "smart" about insurance. Companies like AIG still have 90% of their customer files as PHYSICAL DOCUMENTS that have never been scanned. It's absolutely unfathomable how incompontent these companies are and how much money they make.

    • @neodym5809
      @neodym5809 Месяц назад

      @@wonderfulworldofmarkets9033 If you make a lot of money without needing to go further into your client`s paperwork, you are working smart.

    • @lightfeather9953
      @lightfeather9953 Месяц назад

      ​@@wonderfulworldofmarkets9033exactly. I'm familiar with the industry too and yeah there are insurance startups that have a significant tech advantage over the old insurance companies.

    • @jonahfalcon1970
      @jonahfalcon1970 Месяц назад

      Just watch the film "About Schmidt".

    • @ishanharshvardhan6687
      @ishanharshvardhan6687 Месяц назад

      @@wonderfulworldofmarkets9033 Dosent matter ; the fact that they have that data and insance cashflow means that they can always deploy it ; its like saying that JP Morgan Chase is not a good bank for startups but SVP is ; well we all know how that one went ; these legacy enterprise dont change cause they dont need to ; cause the industry they work in has too many variables for any tech company to come in and use one cute looking AI and change the landscape forever ; these industries take decades for any change to get absorbed ; enough time for legacy brand to simply come in and do a buyout

  • @kevinbarry71
    @kevinbarry71 Месяц назад +650

    Dunning Krueger effect; and you know it's a stupid idea when Softbank throws money at it

    • @jermunitz3020
      @jermunitz3020 Месяц назад +54

      SoftBank, Cathie Woods, Jim Cramer

    • @grahamjones5400
      @grahamjones5400 Месяц назад +43

      "OHHH! 😮 It's new and shiny?? I'll invest $2 Billion! NOW!!"
      Softbank strategy

    • @mauiwowie444
      @mauiwowie444 Месяц назад +30

      I'm not gonna say their marketing wasn't tacky or disingenuous, but do you really want to see the same 3-4 corporations for the rest of your life?
      If you wanted to see insurance get better, you'd want 1,000 new insurance startups to pop up and to see at least 20 of them get big. People seem to hate big corporations getting away with murder, then equally hate when outsiders try to disrupt their monopoly/duopoly/oligopoly. Please pick a side instead of just hating everything. it's not productive.

    • @kevinbarry71
      @kevinbarry71 Месяц назад +28

      @@mauiwowie444 the problem is, they didn't know what they were doing. So they really didn't have any chance of disrupting anything

    • @mauiwowie444
      @mauiwowie444 Месяц назад

      @@kevinbarry71 Unpopular opinion: It's good when things fail.
      You want hundreds of insurance startups failing in unique ways, learning from each other. Then winners emerge with the strongest strategies, and you end up with a more diverse marketplace.

  • @MusicBeSweetYo
    @MusicBeSweetYo Месяц назад +239

    As a reinsurance underwriter who has underwritten lemonade, and several other insurtechs as we call them, this summary is mostly correct. Great job

    • @samsonsoturian6013
      @samsonsoturian6013 Месяц назад +10

      How many of these idiot startups are there?

    • @DeliciousDogMeat
      @DeliciousDogMeat Месяц назад +3

      daddy…

    • @KH-gp5uf
      @KH-gp5uf Месяц назад +1

      What do you think about insure tech?

    • @MusicBeSweetYo
      @MusicBeSweetYo Месяц назад

      @@KH-gp5uf we like their platforms and automated underwriting of what are pretty simple policies. You just need insurance people involved too... You're not going to be able to charge much less or have less stringent underwriting guidelines and still make money. But what you can do well is have a tech enabled insurance company - one which is easy to buy from (and easy to submit claims to) while maintaining strong insurance fundamentals. There are currently a few out there trying to take this approach which I think may be successful.

    • @nizammiah6511
      @nizammiah6511 Месяц назад

      ​@@samsonsoturian6013 A LOT.

  • @andrejmichal4676
    @andrejmichal4676 Месяц назад +90

    As someone working in the reinsurance industry, I must say you did a great job in explaining how some of the reinsurance products work, with enough detail and not too much complexity. I can also confirm that reinsurers are one of the most technologically focused companies.

  • @NorthStarBlue1
    @NorthStarBlue1 Месяц назад +61

    Whenever a company claims their business model is "disruptive", what they really mean is it's unsustainable but they're hoping they can pull in money quickly enough that no one will notice.

    • @downrightmike
      @downrightmike Месяц назад

      Just like a PSAC, there's no value to be had, unless there's inertia. And then you still have to be quick.

    • @AudiTTQuattro2003
      @AudiTTQuattro2003 Месяц назад

      ...or is semi legal. Just break some rules everyone else is obeying, and hope you get big enough fast enough to buy off politicians.

    • @jadengrant
      @jadengrant Месяц назад +1

      Innovative, sustainable, disruptive are all words to describe a money burning pit.

  • @Helladamnleet
    @Helladamnleet Месяц назад +241

    Yeah, who would have guessed insurance companies with their over 100 years of experience would know how insurance works.

    • @PraveenKumar-bo7fw
      @PraveenKumar-bo7fw Месяц назад +33

      Insurance Companies are great at statistics. AI is essentially statistics with a coat of marketting BS. There was nothing these tech bros knew that the insurance sector didnt.

    • @bilalbaig8586
      @bilalbaig8586 Месяц назад +4

      As a general statement, past performance is not an indicator of future returns. It is true in this case but it was not true in many other industries.

    • @tomlxyz
      @tomlxyz Месяц назад

      @@bilalbaig8586 the key here is that their experience is still valid today. It's not just being around for 100 years. While risk management gets more advanced over the time the basic principles stay the same

    • @TheRubsi
      @TheRubsi Месяц назад +2

      the funniest thing is that the math it is all based on is pretty simple. the insurance companies have "perfect" data on their customers and have hundreds if not thousands of high class mathematicians, real world experience, a network of auditors, etc..
      There is not really a lot to even improve upon.

    • @mariogilbert4260
      @mariogilbert4260 Месяц назад +1

      As the old tried and true saying goes....
      "IF IT AIN'T BROKE, DON'T FIX IT"
      Worked for 100+ years
      Will work for another 100+ years

  • @jacrispymcrib9992
    @jacrispymcrib9992 Месяц назад +107

    Interviewed at Lemonade out of college. Their hiring process iirc consisted of 5 or 6 interviews and multiple take-home assignments. I found a different job after interview #2

    • @GrimboBagworth
      @GrimboBagworth Месяц назад +17

      How is this related to anything lmao that’s a normal hiring process in 2024

    • @grahamjones5400
      @grahamjones5400 Месяц назад +10

      Many companies don't want to hire regular employees, they just software and executives 😅 and hope some how everything will fix itself.

    • @fartherdude5062
      @fartherdude5062 Месяц назад +27

      New companies looking for investment often act as if their job openings are worth their weight in gold. They try to uphold an image to attract investors I always said more than 3 interviews and I’m out.

    • @YeahYeahBeebisI
      @YeahYeahBeebisI Месяц назад +17

      That's the way these silicon valley fluff companies go.
      All PR, no product. They get big loans and default on them.

    • @Sick_Pencil
      @Sick_Pencil Месяц назад

      @@fartherdude5062 Not Lemonade but some startup in Indonesia with 10 employees. I was desperate back then. They sent me 5 problems to code within 90 minutes. The easiest was converting binary tree to its mirror tree. "They want to hire the best"

  • @asdfsadf67
    @asdfsadf67 Месяц назад +57

    another instance of tech bros trying to rediscover the wheel

    • @worldstar907
      @worldstar907 Месяц назад +1

      its literally forbidden to collect unnecessary information, like you can't even charge a higher premium if your genders insured risk is higher. so I don't see how this industry can be disrupted. think of all the regulations too, respectable enough that they even got a licence.

    • @vanessapigwin
      @vanessapigwin Месяц назад +1

      I have a friend who is an actuary. One day I asked him why not just make an ML model that makes sure they don't lose too much based on parameters they get from the customer.
      He said that is not possible because there is a potential for a blackbox AI or ML model to introduce biases without the actuaries knowing. In the event someone feels they are denied insurance because of discrimination, the insurance company should be able to justify, according to insurance standards, that their pricing is correct.
      That's why "traditional" insurance companies don't buy the AI hype. If they do have it, it's all marketing for the investors while they do it the old way under the hood

  • @tomlxyz
    @tomlxyz Месяц назад +108

    The point with charity is bullocks. Even if they can't take additional money as profit they have an incentive to keep the money pool big so they don't run out of money on future claims. The times you pay without getting anything back are used to fund other's insurance claims. That's just how insurance works

    • @jonathanj8303
      @jonathanj8303 Месяц назад +10

      Was looking for this comment - As soon as I heard it, I thought "that makes no sense".
      Yet another mold-breaking business that plans to add extra overheads while charging less. Oh, and "lack of experience is an advantage". If you want to speed run bankruptcy maybe.

    • @mingchi1855
      @mingchi1855 Месяц назад +8

      They think selfish abusers cared about charity. That‘s the best joke I've seen this week.

    • @lonyo5377
      @lonyo5377 Месяц назад +4

      Nah, per the video they are basically just an insurance agent/broker. They give a few quid to charity and act as a glorified AI powered broker that charges you extra to pay to charity

    • @kelli_1652
      @kelli_1652 Месяц назад +9

      I think it is insanity that people don't understand what insurance is.. it is a shared pool of money that you contribute to that relies on most contributors not requiring a payout on a regular basis meant to cover catastrophic/unexpected events. It started as naval merchants creating a pool of money to cover if a ship disappears. Basically everyone paid into it hoping their ship didn't go missing, but if it did, they'd have a way not to completely go under. Everyone who keeps saying they should get what money they paid into it back doesn't understand the basic premise.

    • @tomlxyz
      @tomlxyz Месяц назад

      @@lonyo5377 that just pushes the same problem to another party and then back to them with higher fees, once again an incentive to keep as much money in the whole system

  • @pranksterboss139
    @pranksterboss139 Месяц назад +143

    Does softbank invest in any idea that isn't crap?

    • @ShidaiTaino
      @ShidaiTaino Месяц назад +5

      Yes but rarely but that tracks for most businesses and investments

    • @jpanda79
      @jpanda79 Месяц назад +8

      Softbank just lucked out on a couple

    • @samsonsoturian6013
      @samsonsoturian6013 Месяц назад +10

      T-mobile, nvidia, arm, uber (good investments but not at the price purchased at)

    • @GnoixGenp
      @GnoixGenp Месяц назад +14

      When you have as much money as they do, you literally just need 1 winner and it's worth all the losers

    • @sentfromheaven00
      @sentfromheaven00 Месяц назад +13

      Alibaba

  • @pfeilspitze
    @pfeilspitze Месяц назад +141

    3:22 Actually, tornados have less of an effect than you might expect. They're the perfect case for insurance: they do a ton of damage, but to a small fraction of a region, and thus risk-pooling the region is incredibly effective and useful. It's a great example of where even for people for whom self-insuring damage to their car isn't worth it, for example, it's still worth getting tornado insurance.
    Now, houses in the regular path of hurricanes, on the other hand, insurance is silly. Because everyone gets hit by the hurricane at the same time, and averaging things out over just a few years between hurricane hits isn't nearly enough. Premiums for hurricane coverage thus have to be incredibly high.

    • @samsonsoturian6013
      @samsonsoturian6013 Месяц назад +6

      For that same reason, Warren Buffet reinsurance business offers insurance plans to insurance companies based on hurricane landfall

    • @noleftturnunstoned
      @noleftturnunstoned Месяц назад +1

      neat

    • @pfeilspitze
      @pfeilspitze Месяц назад +4

      @@samsonsoturian6013 yeah, to make money on hurricane insurance you need really long timelines and gigantic pockets, but that's what Berkshire can do.

    • @phil1517
      @phil1517 Месяц назад

      Hurricane insurance is actually paid by taxpayers (FEMA) who don't live in hurricane alley.

    • @honor9lite1337
      @honor9lite1337 Месяц назад

      ​@@pfeilspitzeare you talking about Geico? 😮

  • @grahamjones5400
    @grahamjones5400 Месяц назад +36

    Many people dont care who the insurer is as long as they can afford the bare minimum coverage as required by landlords for tenants or state governments for car drivers.

    • @samsonsoturian6013
      @samsonsoturian6013 Месяц назад +3

      But that's why it's big business. They remove risks that people can't afford or are not allowed to take.

    • @grahamjones5400
      @grahamjones5400 Месяц назад

      ​@@samsonsoturian6013
      Oh okay

    • @jjpaq
      @jjpaq Месяц назад +1

      Sometimes I'm jealous of low American auto insurance premiums, but then I remember the coverage is correspondingly miniscule.
      Here in Canada I pay about $240/mo USD equivalent, for two cars and a motorcycle, but that's up to $2 million CAD in liability coverage-none of this $20-50k limit nonsense that the States gets up to.

  • @RAS_Squints
    @RAS_Squints Месяц назад +243

    Almost can say Lemonade turned out to be a lemon

    • @caracallaavg
      @caracallaavg Месяц назад +3

      A lemon party, even

    • @duran9664
      @duran9664 Месяц назад

      You still can make a great lemonade from a lemon 😒

    • @althunder4269
      @althunder4269 Месяц назад +3

      They took a lemon and made lemonade.... oh, wait.

    • @joesshows6793
      @joesshows6793 Месяц назад

      Hey o!

    • @joesshows6793
      @joesshows6793 Месяц назад

      @@caracallaavgoh dear 😳🤢

  • @jeremylawrenceamadehilledw6515
    @jeremylawrenceamadehilledw6515 Месяц назад +29

    For what it is worth, I work in insurance defense for a Tier 1 carrier in CA and we also handle cases for Lemonade. Lemonade's insureds in CA get Tier 1 litigation counsel. If you can get Tier 1 litigation counsel for less than if you bought a Tier 1 policy, that is a good reason to insure with Lemonade, regardless of the company's profitability.

    • @nuradiva_ir
      @nuradiva_ir Месяц назад +1

      Well, comparably lower insurance premium and higher payout ratio means customers are getting the best deal. Shareholders on the other hand.....

  • @jazzarito
    @jazzarito Месяц назад +46

    I'm on my 2nd lemonade renters policy now and the company is great. They are an easy company to deal with. From the customer side, the experience is great. $5 a month for a policy that will cover up to $10k in losses at a whim is an easy buy for me.

    • @TheVirtualObserver
      @TheVirtualObserver Месяц назад +5

      Can concur! I'm with Metromile and it's been pretty good so far. 🙂

    • @Steelriter
      @Steelriter Месяц назад +2

      Agree

    • @bobbym6130
      @bobbym6130 Месяц назад +1

      A $5 policy isn't really significant enough to draw any conclusions. Their prices for homeowners insurance were awful compared to what a traditional insurance agent was able to find on the market.

    • @jazzarito
      @jazzarito Месяц назад

      @@bobbym6130 well their prices for renters insurance are great and that’s all I’ve commented about.

    • @swaggervitamins
      @swaggervitamins Месяц назад

      @@bobbym6130i had homeowner’s insurance in Wisconsin and had never seen anything as cheap. Was even concerned it was a scam

  • @Carteruss
    @Carteruss Месяц назад +111

    Attempted to cancel my renter’s insurance, lemonade proceeded to cancel all of my policies (personal items, auto, etc).
    A human would’ve been greatly appreciated

    • @Samuel-er5bf
      @Samuel-er5bf Месяц назад

      you can ask for an agent and they’ll get you one. i don’t remember if it was on the chat or follow up email

    • @Carteruss
      @Carteruss Месяц назад +2

      @@Samuel-er5bf I was able to get in touch with an agent, however they were in a completely different office, location, and department from the policy controllers. Best they could do was shoot them an email and wait. They recognized themselves the inefficiency of that system, but were powerless to help.

  • @duancoviero9759
    @duancoviero9759 Месяц назад +34

    the players in the insurance game are completely entrenched in the game, very difficult to disrupt anything in that industry.

    • @BigRedNutcase911
      @BigRedNutcase911 Месяц назад +4

      You can say that about the huge companies in any industry. Disruption can only happen when someone truly discovers something the entrenched companies overlooked. It has to fundamentally shift how business is done in the industry. Lemonade tried to beat the insurance companies at the same game thinking they could do the math better. Surprise, the companies who've refined their models over a hundred years know the math better.

  • @ssz974
    @ssz974 Месяц назад +9

    Insurance is not an easy-to-disrupt industry. Lemonade’s efforts are commendable. However, what such organizations get wrong is that they try to oversimplify a complex topic and don’t give enough time to observe the risk patterns and then struggle with the pricing issues eventually. There is a delicate balance between pricing and customer value that is achieved over time. A typical insurer takes more than 7 years to breakeven so one needs to have a long term strategy. Technology can solve many things but not everything.

  • @spezial-m9146
    @spezial-m9146 Месяц назад +71

    Why Lemonade Failed To Disrupt Insurance? Because it's a beverage. Next question, please.

  • @LamLawIndy
    @LamLawIndy Месяц назад +17

    I do think that the insurance industry may be ripe for disruption in some respects, but relying on policyholders to refrain from "embellishing" claims b/c of the "charity donation" isn't a good strategy.

    • @frevazz3364
      @frevazz3364 9 дней назад

      It’s mostly a marketing tactic

  • @spoddie
    @spoddie Месяц назад +22

    I'm in IT. I went for an interview with one of the biggest insurance companies and I was very impressed with their data science.

  • @gbfraser921
    @gbfraser921 Месяц назад +5

    What a fabulous introduction to Lemonade and the possible over-selling of AI capabilities by techies trying to get higher valuation for not so special companies! Great job! I would love to see a similar deep-dive on some of the leading SAAS companies.

  • @scottmolnar4132
    @scottmolnar4132 Месяц назад +6

    I had a tenant who used Lemonade for their rental insurance policy. Once they made the claim, Lemonade said no and they now owe my traditional insurance company a payment plan for the next 15 years. The adjuster just said, “that is what you get for going with a company called lemonade.”

    • @predaalex3210
      @predaalex3210 Месяц назад +4

      What did he do to get a 15 payment plan ? Burn down the house ?

    • @frevazz3364
      @frevazz3364 9 дней назад

      @@predaalex3210 good question

  • @Jeez001
    @Jeez001 Месяц назад +45

    Let’s not forget they bought Metromile which was SPAC snake oil chamath pumped.

    • @TheVirtualObserver
      @TheVirtualObserver Месяц назад +1

      Just gonna say Metromile's been pretty good as an end-user. Although its premiums have risen recently. Still, I've done comparisons and I'm paying less than if I switched to a different brand, at least for now.

  • @benoitkinziki3916
    @benoitkinziki3916 Месяц назад +17

    Quota-share reinsurance does not work the way you described it. (You basically described excess of loss reinsurance twice but with different levels of retention)
    The way quota-share works is you cede x% of your premiums and losses (so if you have a 1$ loss you cede x$ and if you have a 1,000,000$ loss you cede x * 1,000,000$) and then reinsurance company will send you back a portion of your ceded premium as commission for underwriting the policies.
    It's basically insuring a risk with a partner.

  • @iterativegrowth
    @iterativegrowth Месяц назад +7

    man, I had such high hopes for Lemonade, but they’ve failed to expand to even cover most of the US :/

  • @CemEke_CIO
    @CemEke_CIO Месяц назад +7

    wow thank you for the amazing research. it must take a long time to understand these operational details for many different companies.
    my takeaway is: lemonade has been killing their own profit margins for no reason.

  • @thisisnightshop2037
    @thisisnightshop2037 Месяц назад +40

    The only disruption lemonade created was an ad disruption on RUclips

    • @DJDeezNutz
      @DJDeezNutz Месяц назад

      I got their ad right after the video lol

  • @lilliandun4490
    @lilliandun4490 Месяц назад +5

    Got an ad for lemonade during this

  • @PaperBagInvest
    @PaperBagInvest Месяц назад +5

    Videos like this make me more bullish on LMND. Good overview, but it’s analysis that’s wide and about 2” deep. I continue to add to my position and see them scaling to profitability in 2026, as they have guided for.

    • @ahmedhasan7351
      @ahmedhasan7351 14 дней назад

      I was going to mention you, then I found your comment

  • @OriginalContent89
    @OriginalContent89 Месяц назад +3

    I've only ever had to put in claims for my dog's medical bills but I've never had an issue getting my claims approved. I also like the fact that I've never had to talk to an actual human for anything

    • @amywilkins
      @amywilkins Месяц назад

      I think it would be great for small claims like this but maybe not a car or house

  • @uselessDM
    @uselessDM Месяц назад +4

    Having AI determine whether a claim is fraudulent sounds like a sure fire way to get sued into oblivion. Especially since it's not even really possible to begin with.

    • @frevazz3364
      @frevazz3364 9 дней назад

      They don’t really have AI, it’s just marketing gimmick to get investor money and customers.

  • @damascusraven
    @damascusraven Месяц назад +2

    Can confirm. I worked for a company that partnered with Lemonade for a short time, then almost immediately cut that partnership due to how bad they are. It was also almost impossible to reach someone there, even as a partner company.

  • @EmperorShang
    @EmperorShang Месяц назад +13

    I remember when they first hit the scene. They had a golden opportunity and squandered it. Big insurance is still bloated AF

    • @samsonsoturian6013
      @samsonsoturian6013 Месяц назад +1

      Bloated? How?

    • @lv7603
      @lv7603 Месяц назад +1

      It’s a brutal business nobody sane takes on that.

    • @KH-gp5uf
      @KH-gp5uf Месяц назад

      Curious as to why Amazon and Google dropped out of disrupting the industry?
      Insurance is hard, the fine line between gambling and predicting the future, with progress and deterioration rapidly increasing volatility… but hey techies think they know everything.

  • @timmychau
    @timmychau Месяц назад +5

    If Lemonade is in phase 3 segmentation, couldn’t that be a potential reason for their loss ratio being higher? Ie their algorithms more accurately price premiums to reflect payouts and instead of charging higher (closer to average market rates) and pocketing the rest, giving the surplus back to customers in the form of lower premiums?

  • @Nohandleentered
    @Nohandleentered Месяц назад +20

    Maybe the legacy insurance companies knew what they were doing 🤷🏼‍♀️. You can’t make a more efficient paperclip.

    • @Saliferous
      @Saliferous Месяц назад +5

      Some of these things DON"T NEED DISRUPTION.
      I LIKE having humans review important records. I can argue with a human. I can't argue with an ai.
      Not like, they're even cheaper. They're often MORE EXPENSIVE than the old school ones.

  • @gabrielmartinez461
    @gabrielmartinez461 Месяц назад +2

    Lemonade worked for me:they quickly paid out my claim when my clothes were stolen from the apartment washer. I liked it, too bad they are gone.

  • @maxa5987
    @maxa5987 Месяц назад +3

    In my mind their high net loss ratio is due to their low premiums, not due to a fault in underwriting causing higher claims. They are the newcomer, they need to attract customers with lower prices.

  • @Mathguy363
    @Mathguy363 Месяц назад +7

    FYI the reason why older homes, or home with older roofs/heaters/ect… isn’t maintenance, which is never covered, it’s because it’s more likely to be damaged (ex: strong winds rip the shingles out and damages something)

    • @bokesnmokes
      @bokesnmokes Месяц назад +1

      No, an older home is more solidly built and more likely to survive storms, and has already survived many. The reason they’re more expensive to insure is that they are built with very high quality materials and with labor intensive construction techniques. I had a house that was built in 1915 and all the floors were oak, and all the walls were plaster. That made it ungodly expensive to insure.

  • @onlythebest3311
    @onlythebest3311 Месяц назад +1

    I was a lemonade customer on a condo insurance to satisfy the HOA, picked lemonade due to their easy policy signup via the app. The problem is year over year when they renew my policy they increased my policy cost by $100 (30% !) each year with some bs add on coverage I don’t need without even getting my permission on auto renew, I had filed no claims at all also in those years, finally got so fed up with this shady practice I cancelled with them. If they just remained honest like the ads said and kept my policy price the same with minor increases I would stayed with them forever, their loss not mine.

  • @jaydubya9265
    @jaydubya9265 Месяц назад +11

    I made a good profit on Lemonade. Glad I got out when I did.

  • @99HockeyDad99
    @99HockeyDad99 Месяц назад

    These videos are really well done !

  • @jpanda79
    @jpanda79 Месяц назад +4

    State farm being one of the largest insurers and being one of the pioneers of auto insurance rating vs flat rates i would almost garuntee has more customer data than lemonade

  • @SnowmanTF2
    @SnowmanTF2 Месяц назад +15

    Feels like a classic with Softbank involved, too band Credit Suisse did not, as the window for their shenanigans to have added to a companies backstory story is closing.

    • @tomlxyz
      @tomlxyz Месяц назад +2

      Credit Suisse seemed more about getting involved in frauds that still don't make money in the end

    • @victoryuan2319
      @victoryuan2319 Месяц назад

      ​@@tomlxyz Unfortunately, Credit Suisse doesn't exist anymore

  • @crimiss1
    @crimiss1 Месяц назад +3

    At 10:38 you said that the reinsurance company pays 100% of the corresponding claims. This is not the case as that is not how quota share reinsurance works. The snippet you are reading from provided by lemonade appears to be intentionally ambiguous.
    Just thought I’d clarify that the same proportion that is ceded is the proportion in which the claim is paid.

  • @justyouraveragelurker
    @justyouraveragelurker Месяц назад +3

    At this point people should just assume that if softbank is investing on a startup it will most likely fail.

  • @AverageAngel
    @AverageAngel Месяц назад +6

    looks like Berkshire is right, insurance is complicated

  • @carossetti
    @carossetti Месяц назад +2

    Great insights. I sat out on this one.

  • @williamcallahan600
    @williamcallahan600 Месяц назад

    Really great video with a strong understanding of the insurance industry.

  • @JusdoinstuF
    @JusdoinstuF Месяц назад

    well made video, i enjoy your analysis, how do you do them?

  • @Skaahn
    @Skaahn Месяц назад +14

    I think this can also be said about Uber (Taxis are still running) and Airbnb (hotels still in business)

    • @joeschmoe6908
      @joeschmoe6908 Месяц назад +9

      Taxis have taken a huge hit since the introduction of Uber. I'm an Uber driver myself and have spoken to multiple taxi drivers about it. Outside of large cities taxis are basically dead.

    • @Arigator2
      @Arigator2 Месяц назад

      Uber only got market share because they were burning money. Their business model makes no sense.

    • @RBzee112
      @RBzee112 Месяц назад +3

      Taxi drivers used to make enough to put their kids through college before Uber. Not anymore.

    • @samsonsoturian6013
      @samsonsoturian6013 Месяц назад

      Correction: Most older taxi services are now on Uber, squeezing out the amatuers. AirBNB likewise absorbed most timeshare companies

  • @michaelramon2411
    @michaelramon2411 24 дня назад

    I got a Lemonade ad on this video.
    Gotta love that targeted advertising.

  • @jermunitz3020
    @jermunitz3020 Месяц назад +4

    I see a WSM video I click instantly. Thanks for not advertising a gambling platform this time.

  • @chiefdan07
    @chiefdan07 Месяц назад +1

    Charity is just a term companies use as Tax Write-offs

  • @billdavenport8228
    @billdavenport8228 Месяц назад +1

    The only way to disrupt a thoroughly regulated industry like insurance is with an army of lawyers and state politicians to change laws. Even the insurance brokers are regulated at every part if the sales process

  • @doomtomb3
    @doomtomb3 Месяц назад +1

    As a 5-year customer and investor, I think they do a fine job on ease of signing up and their claims process worked as expected. I had two claims, one of which was covered and the other was not covered in my policy. Don't have anything bad to say about them, but I realize the disruption advantage to the industry may not be as significant as once thought.

  • @StampitisDP
    @StampitisDP Месяц назад +1

    Great video as usual 👍

  • @couponuser
    @couponuser Месяц назад +1

    Lemonade has reason to be concerned. At least six Florida insurance companies have shut down, all operating similarly: acting as middlemen, they purchased re-insurance to handle claims. However, they struggled to secure affordable re-insurance to cover claims adequately. The issues mentioned by the owner in the interview, such as stolen cell phones and identity theft, are typically considered "upsell" items. These are offered at low rates by insurance companies because they anticipate minimal usage. Yet, if claims for such items persist, insurance companies stand to lose money. This explains why insurance companies often drop customers who file such claims. Insurance policies are primarily intended to cover catastrophic losses.

  • @Bewilderebeest
    @Bewilderebeest Месяц назад +3

    It seems like these outsider “disrupters” only see opportunity because they don’t know enough about the industry. And if SoftBank likes the cut of your jib … that doesn’t bode well.

  • @tarekyared4404
    @tarekyared4404 Месяц назад +15

    Going from essentially an insurance broker pretending to be an insurance company to a traditional insurance company. "Disrupter." 🙄

  • @mariogilbert4260
    @mariogilbert4260 Месяц назад +1

    Basically the way you describe the relationship between an insurer and reinsurer is pretty much the same concept as in the music industry
    Artist signs with a small label,
    Has a distributor deal with bigger record company...
    Artist gets the short end of the stick

  • @skillswiper
    @skillswiper Месяц назад

    I do have one question:
    Are their rates substantially lower than competitors? And if so, you would expect to see a high loss ratio as they opt to take a lower margin at scale?

  • @BillyLapTop
    @BillyLapTop Месяц назад +1

    Would be interested in how State regulators viewed Lemonade.

  • @MasterYoshidino
    @MasterYoshidino Месяц назад +2

    I like lemonade. Decent tasting drink.

  • @bobbym6130
    @bobbym6130 Месяц назад +2

    The charity thing is absurd, like FTX and the altruism BS. They could just refund the money to the customer if it was legit

  • @grantguy8933
    @grantguy8933 Месяц назад +1

    Get a quote from and compare the service and cost.

  • @lucysmith4242
    @lucysmith4242 Месяц назад +24

    What about ice cream?

  • @will2003michael2003
    @will2003michael2003 Месяц назад

    These guys seem great, the problem is they’re not available in my state. Bummer.

  • @dismurrart6648
    @dismurrart6648 Месяц назад +1

    I will say, when my house burned down, they made the insurance claim very easy, best $200 i ever spent.

  • @bunberrier
    @bunberrier Месяц назад +1

    When I heard App, AI, and charity I already knew enough. Pretentious manbuns who think they know better, then Larp at it until the money given them runs out

  • @Samuel-er5bf
    @Samuel-er5bf Месяц назад

    Their renters insurance is great. First apartment was monthly low payments, second apartment was a full year balance up front which was still affordable. Ai helped a lot and when it couldn’t a human answered all my questions.

  • @Josev-TV
    @Josev-TV Месяц назад +1

    It almost sounds like reinsurance is the problem. The front face insurance can never disrupt if it’s backed by a reinsurance company.

  • @jacobsayre5723
    @jacobsayre5723 Месяц назад

    As an insurance professional… interesting video. Lemonade would have had a better shot at being a direct to consumer independent broker/agent with their AI.
    I work in a larger payout field so to see profit margins on a minuscule $5k claim made me chuckle. Numbers are slightly skewed as well as there’s no reference on deductibles with respect to the claim. Besides renter’s policies the minimum claim amount is drastically going up as parts and labor has only gone up.

  • @Xorgye
    @Xorgye Месяц назад

    I have worked on the internal algorithms of financial product offerings. AI is a buzzword: there have always been complex models that are depended on a large amount of variables. There is just no 'leap' innovation that AI provides here.
    What you can innovate with is on the maintenance of those complex systems. And they do this already, a lot of brands share the same software technologies but tuned a bit different to their own likings to save money. Maybe AI can help in keeping these complex systems in check and keeping them maintainable and cheap(er).

  • @jboomhauer
    @jboomhauer Месяц назад +3

    Damn, I actually want them to succeed now.

  • @jaywu2856
    @jaywu2856 Месяц назад +2

    High Risk customers pay too little and low risk customers pay too much??? The whole idea of "Insurance" versus "gambling" is not to assign EXACT probablities to each individual customer (Gambling), but to have a large enough insured group of people so that you can reliably predict how many claims at what cost and base your average rates to those people in that same group. Essentially, insurance is spreading the risk evenly to everyone in that group b/c probability is not predictable in small sample sizes and you don't know who will get sick/accident and who won't. The insurance company gets the premiums ahead of time and supposedly makes money by investing the unused premiums until they need to be paid out. Don't believe me? Go ask Warren Buffet who owns GEICO and you state insurance commissioner.

  • @edbardoe2195
    @edbardoe2195 Месяц назад +1

    Insurance usually doesn’t cover maintenance, that a home warranty.

  • @czarcoma
    @czarcoma Месяц назад +1

    Is softbank even a thing anymore?

  • @bobwatson1895
    @bobwatson1895 27 дней назад

    I was going to sign up for Lemonade, but they asked to ship me a device to plug into my car that constantly monitors my mileage. A complete turn off to me

  • @MatthewMS.
    @MatthewMS. 18 дней назад

    I remember that IPO!

  • @jeff-hh9mc
    @jeff-hh9mc Месяц назад

    Something that I didn’t hear covered was / is how a lot of insurance companies will operate at a loss in order to get your money in order to invest it with the goal of increasing in value MORE than they have to pay out in claims.

  • @BigGuy10Points
    @BigGuy10Points Месяц назад +1

    If you buy a house with a mortgage regardless of the product your required to keep an active policy

  • @FullLengthInterstates
    @FullLengthInterstates Месяц назад +2

    lemonade is the cheapest way to convince the mortgage company that you have home insurance. will be funny when the company runs out of zombie money and policy holders are forced to buy sustainable insurance.

  • @American-Nobody
    @American-Nobody 18 дней назад

    "Lemonade 🎶 that cool refreshing drink." 😉

  • @amflyer484
    @amflyer484 Месяц назад +1

    You left out one of the very important aspects of the insurance business, underwriting investment profits. You take the premium dollars and invest them, if you do well in the market, this mitigates losses on th underwriting side. So essentially insurance profit and losses are premiums - claims plus investment offset by reinsurance premiums and payouts. Often the premium investment profits can make the difference between a profitable line and a loss.

  • @AnberThe
    @AnberThe Месяц назад +1

    well, it's at most it's really changing somethings, at the least tho, it's a regular insurance company. SO it is incrementally better in the way it processes claims. So it's worth allocating a small amount as I have.

  • @mathewleuret7881
    @mathewleuret7881 Месяц назад +2

    Im not joking this RUclips channel is top 5. Your videos are amazing bro

  • @blooming_saffron
    @blooming_saffron Месяц назад

    As an investor myself, I actually don’t mind if they become more like a “traditional” insurance company. I think the customer friendly way of getting an insurance is great. Currently, I feel like getting insurance is a hastle, if I check on the internet, I actually don’t really know what I can get insurance for exactly. If I want something, I have to talk to an agent. Having this on an app with a chatbot helping you out sounds like a great idea to me. Maybe I’m wrong, but why not give it a shot.

  • @CosmosNut
    @CosmosNut Месяц назад

    How apt a Lemonade commercial before I get to watch !

  • @bobbym6130
    @bobbym6130 Месяц назад +1

    I tried it after buying my home. The prices they offered were awful, much much higher than going through an old school insurance agent recommended by phone by an old school real estate agent.

    • @raymondcaylor6292
      @raymondcaylor6292 20 дней назад

      Agreed. Shopped Homeowners last October. Almost exactly double of my Allstate renewal amount. Double.

  • @EcomCarl
    @EcomCarl Месяц назад

    It's commendable how Lemonade aimed to revolutionize the insurance industry with AI and a digital-first approach, highlighting the need for innovation in an age-old sector. However, their struggle to turn a profit underscores the complexities of disrupting such a vast and entrenched market. 💡

  • @catmelvin997
    @catmelvin997 Месяц назад

    when will Softbank have an E in the PE again? any thoughts

  • @indianavice7075
    @indianavice7075 Месяц назад

    Some businesses just work. Insurance works the way it is. I will say as an agent that it needs some upgrading but over all there is a reason that insurance is profitable, and why the same companies have been around for a long time.

  • @danielcrotty8697
    @danielcrotty8697 Месяц назад

    I’ve been using Lemonade for renters insurance and it’s been great. They had a good price and the best coverage, on top of the best user experience. I got a quote for their car insurance and the price was ok. But I just decided to stay with Progressive.

    • @phil1517
      @phil1517 Месяц назад +1

      And how exactly do you know they're "great" unless you made a big claim and they paid it?

  • @Tommy-rf9sw
    @Tommy-rf9sw Месяц назад

    Never heard of Lemonade til now.

  • @petergerdes1094
    @petergerdes1094 26 дней назад +1

    Right but there is potentially some money to be made by cutting out the insurance agents. Fuck, I use lemonade simply because I'd happily pay a premium not to deal with an insurance agent.
    Whether or not Lemonade is a good play there is 100% a valuable market that removes the local agents.

  • @arnautarnautsen2564
    @arnautarnautsen2564 Месяц назад +1

    It's 2024: "powered by AI" means "at best hyped up, at worst a complete scam"

  • @AgentNolies
    @AgentNolies Месяц назад +3

    I use them for my homeowners insurance

  • @tupactargaryen
    @tupactargaryen Месяц назад +1

    I’m not understanding their business model. If they’re “donating” the left over money from claims and they don’t invest the float( which is very lucrative, ask Warren Buffett) how the hell do they make money? And how is that sustainable?

    • @keiserious
      @keiserious Месяц назад

      Doesn’t the “donation” exempt them from taxes?

  • @wokethelast8498
    @wokethelast8498 Месяц назад

    Wow we really went through an era where tech went into industry’s failed to revolutionize anything(Uber,door dash, insurance) and back to square one except everything was much cheaper when the tech bros didn’t charge insane fees in that specific industry.