The Next Major War: Can the US and its allies win against China, by Ross Babbage - Book Launch Event
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- Опубликовано: 9 фев 2025
- The Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) invites you to attend the launch of Ross Babbage’s new book The Next Major War: Can the US and Its Allies Win against China?
Bec Shrimpton, Director of Defence, Strategy and National Security at ASPI, will lead a discussion with the Honourable Kim Beazley AC, Senior Fellow at ASPI, Senator James Paterson, Liberal Senator for Victoria and Ross Babbage on the book’s topic, followed by drinks and canapes.
In recent years, the risk of major war between China, the United States and its allies has significantly escalated with a clash over the future of Taiwan being the likely turning point.
While most scholarship has centered on the increasing risks of war and the way such conflict might begin, there is little discussion on the potential for allied deterrence and collective defense strategy.
In his new book, Ross Babbage explores the enduring and long-ranging impact of such a war on the US alliance.
Against the backdrop of two types of war, one of the military type and the other of the economic, societal and political, Babbage assesses the strengths and weaknesses of each side, identifies the phases that would likely characterise this war and examines the factors that might determine its duration and outcome.
Understanding what form of conflict such a war might take, the way in which it could progress and how it might be won is crucial for the US and allied defence and national security communities.
China doesn't see Australia as any threat on any level..... Come on.
Unfortunately Australia is threatening China instead, with it's nuclear submarine and US bases. The US bases will likely be used to launch attacks in China and potentially host nuclear weapons. So Australia will be a target when it launches attacks on Chinese assets.
They are getting nuclear submarines. That means they can blockade china.
A number of them seem to feel unwanted and left out when China does not focus directly at them. Hence, they will cling to the tailcoat of their Big Brother to get some recognition which they wanted; otherwise they feel unwanted. The show has just begun: Samsung, ASML, and a number of Japanese companies have started to feel it after China starts to produce her own chips; let's see the fallout!
@@PahatRoutaust turned itself into a ninny country at d request of master Sam.
Uncle Sam uses others to advance its own agenda and then discard them. A weakened EU is in America's interest so it encouraged the U.K. to exit the EU with the promise of a quick free trade agreement --- the U.K. did just that and then NOTHING. Similarly, the Ukraine war benefits America in the sale of weapons and high priced American oil and gas to the EU suffering from high inflation and lower economic output. Consequently, the U.S. will prolong the Ukraine War for as long as possible, paying only lip service to the sufferings of the Ukrainian people.
The US record on winning wars is frankly terrible, Australia needs to be very cautious following the US into any conflict. We have no strategic interests in a war with China and certainly none in a conflict with Russia. Talk like this is extremely ill advised
😅😆 aint that the truth
Ill advise is wat aspi dishes out.
Australia need to be mindful of becoming the next Ukraine. The U.S. stands ready to fight China to the last Australian and the last Australian city standing. The "Great China Threat" is a fake American narrative to rally White Countries support for a unilateral and unipolar world led by the U.S. and its vassal States.
IMO, the best path for AUS to follow is to declare it would be neutral in any conflict with China.
yes, would also involve russia, n. korea and iran. nasty
Very naive. For example let's say Australia declares neutral position, then iron shipments and gas shipments go to Pakistan +India and ultimately China. The USA would need to embargo or attack that supply chain.
You would have the exposure without explicit protection from China
It is a matter of surviving. America needs to dial back its militaristic posture. Let Taiwan and the CCP resolve issues amongst themselves. A multipolar world is coming. The US is fighting to maintain hegemony for which AUS will become the loser if or when this all spins out of control.
Long live AUS.
Diplomacy is critical. How about something such as “ONE CHINA, two systems”?
ASPI-ever the war-monger. Ever the servant of your US MIC masters!
He says in the first few minutes that everything must be done to avoid a war.
Out of touch! An out date colonial days solution to a problem of the new world.
Choose peace China.
Talking about it as if it’s inevitable. Dangerous thinking.
What else would China be thinking building up the best army in the world?
@@Sam-kz1scChina is having same interest as America. What's your problem with that? China can't be a military superpower like America?
@@titaniumskunkogkush4365 dream on
@@Sam-kz1scChina is a mature country and Xi Jin Ping shows his patience and restraint while the US continues to move it's military arsenal game and forces in prep for the US and allies continuous wars, targeting China after its loss in the Ukraine proxy war. The use of defending democracy for Taiwan's 18% of the Taiwanese mixedJapanese Minority da
@@yananneteoh9818 "Xi Jin Ping shows his patience and restraint." Yeah....right. Let's look at the CCP claim over the SC Sea. If I was to fly from Kuala Lumpur, travel due east to Malaysia's other states in Sabah and Sarawak, the CCP reserves the right to request that I seek permission to make that trip - because I will be flying over "sacred Chinese territory" - I mean come on. You don't see the UK demanding a right to veto transit between Rome and Sardinia, yet those are distances involved. Malaysia would like to exploit oil and gas fields well within its EEZ to the north west of Sabah and are prevented by Chinese navy. This is not an isolated example. I would have some respect for the CCP position if it were NOT a signatory to the UNCLOS convention. But the CCP is a signatory. It is yet another example of the CCP signing international agreements to gain tactical advantage in the short run only to later disregard them when it suits.
They've run out of shells for Ukraine; surrendered to the Taliban: in a corner in Syria: kicked out by Iraq; despised by Libya; destroyed in Somalia; now shunned and second-guessed by "friends" in Arabia, the Gulf, and India. All this should have been avoided after having been humiliated by Vietnam!
Are these speakers insane?
If they hv a deathwish, let them…
The old guy on the right, yes he’s insane.
Most likely they are secret lobbyists for the Military Industrial Complex.
What are the threats of China on Australia? Australia actually benefits from China's developments for last 40 years.
Long overdue, but we need coordinated action now, not just words. Watching vital manufacturing going offshore was like watching a train wreck in slow motion. We might not be the cheapest, but, there are more important considerations. Don’t underestimate the general public.
It's too late to stop China.
Too late. The West has wasted too much time and money fighting wars on terror, communists, Muslims and made up enemies. Meanwhile, China has built up the world's largest 5G network, the world's newest and most efficient infrastructure, applied AI and the internet of things to advance manufacturing, logistics. medicine and finance.
One example of how far China is ahead is the the Port of Tianjin. Built in just 19 months in 2020 to 2021, it is a fully automated port. Using artificial intelligence and 5G, it can empty a large container ship in just 45 minutes. At the biggest U.S. port at Long Beach, California, unloading the same ship takes between 24 and 48 hours. No hype, no bs, just facts. In the West, politicians are polarized and focused on the next election cycle on who to lead the country to advance the interests of "The Donor Class and Big Business." It is truly a shame.
I couldn't agree more, our home-made submarines are way more appropriate for our coastal defence than dodgy US nuclear subs.
What if China uses nuclear weapons - any country want to risk going nuclear?
Hot war is the final chapter to a prior Cold War. Cold War was fought between handlers of each president of nations involved. The handlers define the war history before the first bullet was fired. When the war progress deviates, a shadow adjuster will add or subtract ballast on the beam balance making the scale tips to the side previously written to ensure the outcome matched the prehistory.
So don’t waste your time or monkey on channels or book on war outlook. Do use your wisdom and thinking on how our shadow ruler wanted in future geopolitics.
Resolving Taiwan issue always has two ways, war or peace. The west are helping Taiwan to maintain peace by building up war capabilities, and to raise the cost of reunifications for China. The west in the last sixty years didn’t do much to promote peace in Taiwan Straight. A war in Taiwan straight will benefit the west. A peaceful unification will benefit China. So the race to destruction is going on. It looks like the D day is in 2027.
believe me, there will never be a war between US and China over Taiwan.
Do no believe for a micr second that Americans love Taiwanese CHINESE so much to get their entire navy sunk far away from US.
The entire tensions and provocations are all to sell weapons nothing more like in Ukraine and Alfganistan. Once no more money , they leave and you can see this is happening in Ukraine right now.
US is no match for China in SCS and Taiwan straits and US are not made of fools to fight over Taiwan.
Flimsy excuse to support a sepetatist political group who planted hatred against other, then provide military support to agitate for a war to grab asset, as in Ukraine. The world need a new and better organisation to tone down these war mongering trends.
Let’s divide then conquer…🎉
Xi for life🇨🇳❤️
Yes, we know dictators in totalitarian regimes only leave office when they die. Stalin, Hitler, Mao...
Why don't you guys build a diplomatic relationship with Taiwan?
Why do you have a one-China policy?
Always make things into a mess, then sell weapons showing your goodness,righ?
I agree completely
Natural tendency? 55:37 maybe we do as well as necessity.
Important for theIndian Armed Forces and Govt
Why is everything about war with western countries? Can you really see no other possible endgame? What kind of weak mentality is this?
The west has gone loopy
Big up China, it's time for you to teach these imperialist who's the boss.
China u have been waiting for this so long and you'll winn against those thugs.
English much?😂
@@shanebluett5560 except English what can else can u speak ??
Hell yes. Their army doesn’t practice with live ammunition. BB guns and rubber bayonets.
This speaker is also encouraging war
Main reason you wrote this book was much free time and too many hollywood ww2 movies .
China a still has a lot to learn from the US.
On a per capita basis China's arm forces are tiny. Our population is 4.5 times that of China and yet our military spending is more the the next 10 countries put together. Alsi our media is way more effective than China and because we subjugated the world for centuries most of the 3rd world speaks English or some European language. So our narratives are way way more effective and loud than the Chinese so much so we even dominate in Japan, Korea, Asean, Indian sub continent, Africa, and everywhere else.
That is about the most naïve narrative I find so far in the Internet.
A full load of nonsense.
Look at China vs US , it is the US has a great deal to learn from China how to run a real super power country not one that claimed to be but actually not.
China never claimed but by all measures from economics, population , discipline, infrastructures, military production capacities all the way to weaponry are all far ahead of US.
Maybe you can tell me which part is US is ahead of China... I am scratching my head. I can find none.
so , dont live in your grandfather's time. Live today and go to China , you see the future . Go the US you will see a 3rd world country and a past.
Fact is US is not a match for China in about every sector.
There're mixed opinions about China's military build up. Many ex US militia have said China has formidable hypersonic defences, quantum computers, drones 6g, AI and a massive e army... but China's not looking to dominate the or create wars...
Get the facts right.
China's not a threat.
Your media? Your narratives? Who are you kidding? That's so sad...
where was Peter Cosgrove .. i would have thought he would have had many relevant points of view ..
30:45
Why You Love Hassan , And Hate Farmaajo? May Uou Tell Ne That . Let Me Tell You Farmaajo Loves His Country And Peaple As General, . Every One Who Loves His Country You See Your Enemy, Country Interest And Your Interest Are Two Opsite Interests That Is What You Hate Farmaajo. It It So ?
TIK TOK TOO WRAIT!
He's just a warmonger
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