[Limbus Company X Arknights] How Much Lunacy Do You Need?

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  • Опубликовано: 24 ноя 2024

Комментарии • 150

  • @gunspy
    @gunspy День назад +232

    imagine saving for a year only to land a statistically anomalous 10pull that gets you all 4 egos at once

    • @makovader2124
      @makovader2124 День назад +31

      4 egos at once is a miracle but i imagine some would get all in 10- 50 pulls and still have a bank for walpurgis and future other collabs in limbillion years

    • @makovader2124
      @makovader2124 День назад

      wont this fuck with lunacy economy

    • @GenTrollHD
      @GenTrollHD День назад +2

      REAL

    • @Shirker12
      @Shirker12 День назад +15

      So, it's not the same thing, but something like that happened to a person in Arknights. They saved for over a year and a half for a character, Kal'stit, and got her on the first free single pull on her release banner.

    • @lechuga000-e5k
      @lechuga000-e5k День назад +6

      Dante jackpot moment

  • @ouradose
    @ouradose День назад +257

    The scary evil lunacy stealing walpurgisnacht in question;

    • @arknarch3298
      @arknarch3298 День назад +30

      In 1-2 months too 😭

    • @Cucorin
      @Cucorin День назад +15

      Due to arknights collab i will be ignoring the ego this time

    • @Plaugus_Screenz
      @Plaugus_Screenz День назад +24

      I will not ignore Walp for I must keep my 100% collection true

    • @bonmark1236
      @bonmark1236 День назад +4

      nah im skip it, if they prove us wrong that full stop can refill they're ammo, then we pull em, if not

    • @BoxCox
      @BoxCox День назад

      The next walp and the one after is just CBT at this point.

  • @thanhnguyenuc5536
    @thanhnguyenuc5536 День назад +94

    Note: Shard as many E.G.O as possible before the collab

    • @cye2310
      @cye2310 День назад +8

      I don't have any of the season 1 to season 4 EGOs but I still got Outis' Charge EGO during her extraction banner. So it doesn't really matter if you get a lot of EGOs if you could just pull on the banner since the percentage is boosted.

    • @cye2310
      @cye2310 День назад +7

      I'm not saying it doesn't change, but the change is so small that it's not significant. I've seen a streamer get duplicate Jack and Pierre announcer packs from a Walpurgis Night extraction banner.

    • @cye2310
      @cye2310 День назад +1

      And the fact that we don't get duplicate EGOs is nice, so for new players, they don't need to force themselves to shard EGOs that they won't probably use much.

    • @warmwater9509
      @warmwater9509 21 час назад +3

      @@cye2310 you're using your personal experience and extrapolating it too far. Yeah, a single ego won't change too much. But shard half of the possible ego, and your chances of getting a specific ego you want just doubled.

    • @alexanderartaza2173
      @alexanderartaza2173 14 часов назад +1

      @@cye2310 my man doesnt know about polls and probabilities

  • @wami5727
    @wami5727 День назад +64

    "How Much Lunacy Do You Need"
    real answer here: NEVER enough

  • @cl0k3
    @cl0k3 День назад +40

    Ngl I see greg getting the free ego, Faust Kal, Ishmael Abyssal Hunter and Hong Lu Sui Sibling are the most powerful EGOs that can be given to those characters. His ceiling is Rosmontis maybe? (As they're both lab patients with younger siblings), but he's more likely to get a Mlynar or Hellagur EGO who scale way lower than even Kal...

  • @mauzilus
    @mauzilus День назад +24

    Originium Slug Gregor. I want it.

  • @demonthegamer3624
    @demonthegamer3624 День назад +37

    Here's hoping we can shard them when they come out, once we wait the 1 week wait window that is

    • @timazhusipov1321
      @timazhusipov1321 День назад +43

      It was listed to be limited, that means that it will ether never come back or would be able to be sharded after a year or during another collab.

    • @demonthegamer3624
      @demonthegamer3624 День назад +26

      @@timazhusipov1321 well, one can cope

    • @vicrusty9534
      @vicrusty9534 День назад +1

      Even if it wasn’t completely limited, it would still apply like walpurgis where you’d have to wait until the next to shard the previous

    • @sinz8130
      @sinz8130 День назад +12

      @@timazhusipov1321 I think being limited and being unable to be sharded is something different. Yet we'll see.

    • @BoxCox
      @BoxCox День назад +1

      Nope, if you want them, hereby you are banned from making even a single pull.

  • @xdjojacs3677
    @xdjojacs3677 День назад +7

    Literally no clue what the landscape of the game’s meta will be a year later, but I’ve myself fine with missing out on some of the EGOs. The most important part of a team is usually the IDs, while egos are additions to make the team slightly better. Which is why I kinda don’t put much importance on EGOs, and I feel like even a year later it’ll be the same case still.

    • @BoxCox
      @BoxCox День назад +2

      Come man, you and I both know that you don't need anything to complete content. If you played for a year, it's a png collector fest now. And these pngs are... Limited... Exclusive, dare I say.

    • @10mei72
      @10mei72 День назад +4

      It's only worth talking about because its an actual limited thing. I think everyone is aware that the game is piss easy and after the first bump you shard whatever the fuck for funsies

  • @KriegerMeinNachname
    @KriegerMeinNachname День назад +13

    Chat GPT is most definitely wrong. The thing your friend said is partially true (although the numbers are a bit different).
    There is no way to guarantee something (since even 99.9% isn't a guarantee and you can't get 100% in probabilities, besides including all cases, but that would include cases in which we aren't getting 4 as well. It's impossible if you try to go for a certain scenario that excludes some cases).
    Let's assume our guarantee rate in this case is 80% (If we do X pulls, we get the 4 egos in 80% of cases. Or if 5 people pull X times, 4 of them will get the 4 egos, while 1 won't get all 4 egos).
    If we have a chance of 1.3% for 4 egos (we dispensed all the others), we'd need around 430 pulls to get the 4 egos with a certainty of 80%.
    I used binominal probability for this case, since it's fitting.
    Now we look at the GPT case of a pool of 23 egos and 330 pulls.
    Puling 330 times and trying to get 10 or more pull is less than 2 percent, so it's reasonable to stop here.
    Using Binominal probability, the chance of pulling 4 to 10 egos on 330 tries is 62%.
    Now, using hypergeometric probability with the total amount of 23, with the pull amount of 10, intended amount of hits 4, we'd have a probability of less than 3%.
    The ones with a pull amount of 4 to 10, would even if very highly said, cumulatively be about 7%.
    So even if you pulled 10 egos, you'd still have less than a 7% chance for those 4 egos to be the anni egos.
    Edit:
    Hortonman42 reminded me that rate up is 50% instead of default and also calculated the rest, so it takes about 850 pulls to get all 4 egos with a 80% certainty, at which point you'd have hard pitied anyways. 450 seems like a reasonable amount of pulls here since they'd guarantee you 2 egos with 80% certainty, while you'd be able to exchange the 2 missing ones.
    ------
    For people that have more than 23 remaining egos:
    So in conclusion 450 is reasonable if there's no free ego, with that you have an 80% certainty of pulling 2 egos while sharding the other 2.
    600 allows you to only need to pull for 1 while exchanging the other 3. This would give you a 98% certainty of getting all 4 egos.
    If we get a free ego, then with 400 pulls you could shard 2 while having a 92% certainty of pulling the missing ego.
    People that have all egos:
    With 400 pulls you have a 96% certainty to pull 2 egos, while being able to shard the other two.
    330 pulls for 3 egos are around 80% certainty, can shard the remaining one.
    If we get a free ego then with 230 pulls you have a 80% certainty of getting 2 egos, while also being able to exchange for the missing one.
    People that have less than 23 egos but not all:
    Don't want to calc up the individual cases, but just think that you're getting closer to the "I have all egos" estimate.

  • @TheXBladeist
    @TheXBladeist День назад +5

    Everything else is shardable. Walpurgis included. I will not spend one single lick of lunacy or free 10 pulls in this meantime.

  • @HappyLovesNymph
    @HappyLovesNymph День назад +10

    More than ONE LIMBILLION Lunacy

  • @Gspoink
    @Gspoink День назад +4

    If it's anything like arknights' collab banners, then the spark pull number aka yi sang ideality might be lowered too(i hope).

  • @gepMr
    @gepMr День назад +3

    With christmas, new year and February 22 being the anniversary of limbus i think we are gonna get around 20+ free pulls! nice.

  • @Aeosin
    @Aeosin День назад +3

    Its funny, I was lowballing even more considering I was only accounting for MD lunacy, but even with my lowballing its enough to guarantee a pity pull and almost halfway buildup for a second pity. That is also assuming your luck is dogwater and you don't get anything with all that pulling. The important thing being having all available EGOs prior to the collab to maximize your chances (excluding Walpipi and 'previous' season [for now]).

  • @stitchperlo9639
    @stitchperlo9639 День назад +8

    I never pull for walpurgis, I just wait and chard the next time, this will prob be one of my only times pulling outside when I started, also dont forget the guarentee 000 outside of season ticket.

    • @BoxCox
      @BoxCox День назад +5

      If you don't pull for walp, on what do you even spend it? Are you sitting on your pile of it like some fucked up dragon? Give me your lunacy. GIVE IT RIGHT NOW.

    • @A.Singularity
      @A.Singularity День назад +2

      ​@@BoxCoxno. My daily 2 limbillion mirror dungeon runs calls for my lunacy. Any more than 2 refreshe is waste. Any less is waste. Must grind bp. Until season end.

    • @astirut2981
      @astirut2981 День назад +1

      @@BoxCox fr

    • @BoxCox
      @BoxCox День назад

      @@A.Singularity so you do sit on it like a fucking dragon. Gambling addicts, we've got a hoarder here, strip this man of his belongings.

    • @stitchperlo9639
      @stitchperlo9639 21 час назад +1

      @@BoxCox I am a mirror dungeon unjoyer

  • @gordonslamsay8074
    @gordonslamsay8074 22 часа назад +2

    This video singlehandedly stopped me from dooming about this collab.

  • @The_Castol
    @The_Castol 14 часов назад +1

    Bro this happening in like 9 months 😭

  • @ryuzxa
    @ryuzxa 11 часов назад

    This is for faust EGO this is for Faust EGO this is for Faust EGO this is for Faust EGO.

  • @koyabutotheraccount4612
    @koyabutotheraccount4612 8 часов назад

    i think they will use a special ticket limited for the limited banner only especially since they said that they want money in the stream

  • @gigablast4129
    @gigablast4129 День назад +1

    i alreadyy have 79000 lunacy if the 3 ego-welfare stat is true plus 60 tickets which means id be good for it unless something unexpected happens

  • @ucnguyen6375
    @ucnguyen6375 День назад

    you can shard 1 id/ego of choice in the banner with 200 pulls, so the lunacy will be even less than that with or without freebie

  • @ramadanikurniawan8541
    @ramadanikurniawan8541 День назад +10

    i already have 50k+ and i think going to skip this walpurgisnahct

    • @Naim-Lest
      @Naim-Lest День назад +4

      same, I'm just going to shard yi sang, ryoshu and probably faust

    • @x3dwany371
      @x3dwany371 День назад +7

      @@Naim-Lestsame, most likely just sharding regret or red shoes

    • @ramadanikurniawan8541
      @ramadanikurniawan8541 День назад +6

      @@Naim-Lest we can wait another 3-4 month for walpurgisnahct

    • @Naim-Lest
      @Naim-Lest День назад +6

      saving took so long and will vanish in a single walpurgris night 😂😂

    • @x3dwany371
      @x3dwany371 День назад +2

      @@Naim-Lest or a rodya banner that i didnt even get the id from istg im never pulling again kim ji hoon 😭

  • @BoxCox
    @BoxCox День назад +4

    So what you are saying is that I am banned from the casino for the next year? Kim Jong Un sent my soul straight into a fomo purgatory, where it Will be salivating on walp IDs for eternity. Great.

    • @monikaisdonewiththeinterne2039
      @monikaisdonewiththeinterne2039 7 часов назад

      Still a year away, it could always just turn out that "oh guys what the fuck you guys doing??? we didnt even say yet that for this collab we gonna lower the ideality needed" kind of stuff and we gonna be saving excessively for nothing lol

    • @BoxCox
      @BoxCox 7 часов назад

      @monikaisdonewiththeinterne2039 you still have to save for a better chance though

    • @monikaisdonewiththeinterne2039
      @monikaisdonewiththeinterne2039 7 часов назад

      @@BoxCox ideality is the spark, you would literally have all the chance at lower pull requirements
      Normally games like Arknights lower the needed pulls to spark when its a crossover, specially when the chances of coming back are little to none

    • @BoxCox
      @BoxCox 6 часов назад

      @@monikaisdonewiththeinterne2039 yeah but your comment implied they won't lower the ideality.

    • @monikaisdonewiththeinterne2039
      @monikaisdonewiththeinterne2039 6 часов назад

      @@BoxCox no? Oh i forgot a yet, mb

  • @maxwellboop
    @maxwellboop 21 час назад

    For me, I fear when both the collab and walpusgis will start cuz if the collab starts before walpusgis night, good but if not/after, this will hurt soooo much

  • @sinz8130
    @sinz8130 День назад +2

    I just see no reason why it would not be able to be sharded. The ego being true limited is due to the collab product being bounded to contract, but I'm pretty sure there is nothing on the sharding parts.

  • @White_las
    @White_las День назад +2

    I thought you were jokijg about putting me in there 😭

  • @Lizard_3
    @Lizard_3 18 часов назад +1

    no gambling… for a year…

  • @Reynnan123
    @Reynnan123 17 часов назад +1

    I only have 3k and I know my ass is not gonna be resisting spending on the don quixote ID 😭😭

    • @yisus9874
      @yisus9874 17 часов назад +2

      To the mines we go

  • @stuckerfan2563
    @stuckerfan2563 День назад +3

    There's also anniversary

    • @Backupacc49
      @Backupacc49 День назад

      How much do u get for anni? I’m new

    • @aidaplop
      @aidaplop 12 часов назад +1

      We got 1300 and a 10 pull ticket this year.

  • @swkuhn10
    @swkuhn10 22 часа назад

    Not a chance in hell I'll have 50k lunacy with walpurgis existing

  • @TokenOfChoice
    @TokenOfChoice 15 часов назад

    I got 10000 in the bank for this very question xD.

  • @olafkopciara9720
    @olafkopciara9720 15 часов назад

    We need Amiya Gregor. It would be perfect to get a donkey(or a rabbit for some) ego after seeing horse gregor 😂

  • @zapp5er284
    @zapp5er284 День назад +1

    All I need is a single ten pull

  • @Tompa2000
    @Tompa2000 День назад +5

    what does "limited" even mean? will we only get one chanse to get them before they just become completly unavailable?

    • @pressstart8424
      @pressstart8424 День назад +7

      Seems to be the case, people have been saying that it’s unlikely to have any repeats because that can be seen as leaching off arknights hype, this may be the first true limited I suppose

    • @aidanplop644
      @aidanplop644 День назад

      Sounds like it.

    • @makovader2124
      @makovader2124 День назад +2

      Yeah its because of the nature of collab and licensing laws

    • @elotesmanjuan2403
      @elotesmanjuan2403 День назад +6

      ​@@makovader2124Absolutely. Server I'm in was coping and tweaking hard for some reason it being limited, saying Kim was being greedy and betraying the trust of players.
      Like bruh, I absolutely know he would want it to not be limited if he could but that's how licencing works

    • @makovader2124
      @makovader2124 День назад +1

      @ limbus players have been spoiled too much

  • @Freaky_KJH
    @Freaky_KJH День назад +3

    Coping for atleast one of them to be free or u can buy them from event shop.

  • @ChinaResidence
    @ChinaResidence 9 часов назад +1

    Limbus is the only gacha i ever played but recently i was bored so i tried another one and it is so garbage dude.
    PM really is spoiling us

  • @bonmark1236
    @bonmark1236 День назад

    so I'm bet that we going to skip on full stop in Walpurgisnacht, reason is they can't refill they're ammo ,if pm prove us wrong that they can then yeah we pulling it, or perhaps we waited till the thumbs 👍 ids to come out that gave'd us some passive, a supportive passive that can refill the full stop ids plus other ids that need a normal ammo, then we pull em too, we due already have r crop heath if matching up with a sniper heath still unknown who's better, high burst damaged vs high singles fires damaged, bout leader hong lu his support will be a supporting pierce damge just a temporally guess, yes i know that heathcliff have fell bullet that refill his ammo but only if it's crit kill the enemies then he can get 1 ammo (3 times per encounters).

    • @bonmark1236
      @bonmark1236 День назад

      thing now is we waited for Walpurgisnacht trailer to come out plus paper stats for the full stop ids, then we judge if is good or skip.

  • @randomguy0071
    @randomguy0071 День назад +1

    you need 69420 lunacy

  • @requiem3454
    @requiem3454 День назад +2

    the the gambler within is flourishing after hearing the limited timed event ego

  • @RandomGuy-bu5pn
    @RandomGuy-bu5pn День назад +1

    Gonna buy every EGO from now.

  • @captain.obvious.hd6
    @captain.obvious.hd6 День назад

    Mentioning hsr, you really sound like EODGamer but with a different mic

  • @mclorde.
    @mclorde. День назад

    Honest advice, just play it safe. Walpurgis is 100% shardable.

  • @azizmain914
    @azizmain914 День назад +1

    wait we're the one getting the collab? i thought it was on arknights side while we get lunacy as compensation or something. i really misunderstood the whole thing😅

  • @DrawBrinepool_Witch_pls
    @DrawBrinepool_Witch_pls 22 часа назад +1

    Can I ask
    As a new player what is your main source of lunacy after completing the current story?

    • @AypuoH
      @AypuoH 21 час назад +2

      The main source is Mirror Dungeons (750 lunacy weekly from first 3 normal MDs or first 1 hard MD) and compensations from weekly maintenance (300 lunacy, sometimes more if devs find any serious bugs to fix)
      In summary, 1050 lunacy every week basically. In this regard, there is not much difference whether you are a new player or an old one.
      Plus limited-time events dedicated to new Intervallos and Walpurgis Nights, but more often there are just tickets for extraction (They're all the same as lunacy, but only for extractions)
      Plus there is additional rewards and compensations, that comes after developer streams and major updates, as well as some significant dates (New Year, all sorts of anniversaries)
      And there are also Lines, but I'm mentioning them last, 'cause every one of them is just one-time very hard challenge, with significant, but also one-time, rewards.

    • @DrawBrinepool_Witch_pls
      @DrawBrinepool_Witch_pls 20 часов назад

      @AypuoH 1050 lunacy per week
      Accounting for 29 lunacy everyday for resets
      U get about 847 lunacy per week
      Thanks 😊

  • @quansz
    @quansz День назад +2

    390 lunacy

  • @Backupacc49
    @Backupacc49 День назад

    Is there a discord for LC that’s still available

  • @Vakama96
    @Vakama96 День назад

    So I just need to save lunacy and so long as I don't spend 40k on walpurgis I am okay? Did I understand that correctly?

    • @azeria1
      @azeria1 День назад

      Someone also suggested sharding as many ego as possible that you can get from gacha so when you pull one it is guaranteed to be a new one since you can’t roll multiple of the same ego

  • @trollerox7276
    @trollerox7276 День назад +6

    None, I play Limbus company because I'm a PM fan, not a gacha player.🗿

  • @JC_Stone
    @JC_Stone 16 часов назад

    As someone who knows absolutely nothing about Arknights, I’m just gonna save my Lunacy for Don’s Canto ID.

  • @nobLTheProphet
    @nobLTheProphet День назад

    200 limbillion dollars

  • @MasterP86
    @MasterP86 День назад +4

    With some luck (a lot of luck), people will reallize how bad of a precedent this is and they will give a lot of backlash for it instead of letting the hype get over them, if they indeed end up being limited and not shardable.

    • @madlKmT
      @madlKmT День назад +2

      Totally agree. Not to mention the fact that this game has zero soft pity system, so it's either you get them off pure luck or you get 1 at 200 pulls :/

    • @makovader2124
      @makovader2124 День назад +2

      unfortunately nature of collab, licensing laws

    • @sneaky1497
      @sneaky1497 День назад +1

      due to how collabs works from a legal standpoint they literally can't let you pull or shard them outside the event

    • @MasterP86
      @MasterP86 День назад

      @@sneaky1497 they arent for obvious reasons, but if both parties wanted, they could make a contract allowing the already produced content to not be limited.

    • @Mr.ShyGuy-st3ge
      @Mr.ShyGuy-st3ge 21 час назад

      ​@@MasterP86 That wouldn't make sense though, you are basically giving your product to another company that they can make money from, it's a loss on their part. PM is also too small of a company to sustain a collab unit, as well at it being inefficient.
      Big corporations outside of games in general only collab on occassion, so this is just the nature of business.

  • @alex123527
    @alex123527 День назад +1

    >3 seasons
    Jajajajjajajjaajajajajjajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajaja

  • @kingragnarok7302
    @kingragnarok7302 День назад

    Luck Issue