4 egos at once is a miracle but i imagine some would get all in 10- 50 pulls and still have a bank for walpurgis and future other collabs in limbillion years
So, it's not the same thing, but something like that happened to a person in Arknights. They saved for over a year and a half for a character, Kal'stit, and got her on the first free single pull on her release banner.
I don't have any of the season 1 to season 4 EGOs but I still got Outis' Charge EGO during her extraction banner. So it doesn't really matter if you get a lot of EGOs if you could just pull on the banner since the percentage is boosted.
I'm not saying it doesn't change, but the change is so small that it's not significant. I've seen a streamer get duplicate Jack and Pierre announcer packs from a Walpurgis Night extraction banner.
And the fact that we don't get duplicate EGOs is nice, so for new players, they don't need to force themselves to shard EGOs that they won't probably use much.
@@cye2310 you're using your personal experience and extrapolating it too far. Yeah, a single ego won't change too much. But shard half of the possible ego, and your chances of getting a specific ego you want just doubled.
Ngl I see greg getting the free ego, Faust Kal, Ishmael Abyssal Hunter and Hong Lu Sui Sibling are the most powerful EGOs that can be given to those characters. His ceiling is Rosmontis maybe? (As they're both lab patients with younger siblings), but he's more likely to get a Mlynar or Hellagur EGO who scale way lower than even Kal...
Literally no clue what the landscape of the game’s meta will be a year later, but I’ve myself fine with missing out on some of the EGOs. The most important part of a team is usually the IDs, while egos are additions to make the team slightly better. Which is why I kinda don’t put much importance on EGOs, and I feel like even a year later it’ll be the same case still.
Come man, you and I both know that you don't need anything to complete content. If you played for a year, it's a png collector fest now. And these pngs are... Limited... Exclusive, dare I say.
It's only worth talking about because its an actual limited thing. I think everyone is aware that the game is piss easy and after the first bump you shard whatever the fuck for funsies
Chat GPT is most definitely wrong. The thing your friend said is partially true (although the numbers are a bit different). There is no way to guarantee something (since even 99.9% isn't a guarantee and you can't get 100% in probabilities, besides including all cases, but that would include cases in which we aren't getting 4 as well. It's impossible if you try to go for a certain scenario that excludes some cases). Let's assume our guarantee rate in this case is 80% (If we do X pulls, we get the 4 egos in 80% of cases. Or if 5 people pull X times, 4 of them will get the 4 egos, while 1 won't get all 4 egos). If we have a chance of 1.3% for 4 egos (we dispensed all the others), we'd need around 430 pulls to get the 4 egos with a certainty of 80%. I used binominal probability for this case, since it's fitting. Now we look at the GPT case of a pool of 23 egos and 330 pulls. Puling 330 times and trying to get 10 or more pull is less than 2 percent, so it's reasonable to stop here. Using Binominal probability, the chance of pulling 4 to 10 egos on 330 tries is 62%. Now, using hypergeometric probability with the total amount of 23, with the pull amount of 10, intended amount of hits 4, we'd have a probability of less than 3%. The ones with a pull amount of 4 to 10, would even if very highly said, cumulatively be about 7%. So even if you pulled 10 egos, you'd still have less than a 7% chance for those 4 egos to be the anni egos. Edit: Hortonman42 reminded me that rate up is 50% instead of default and also calculated the rest, so it takes about 850 pulls to get all 4 egos with a 80% certainty, at which point you'd have hard pitied anyways. 450 seems like a reasonable amount of pulls here since they'd guarantee you 2 egos with 80% certainty, while you'd be able to exchange the 2 missing ones. ------ For people that have more than 23 remaining egos: So in conclusion 450 is reasonable if there's no free ego, with that you have an 80% certainty of pulling 2 egos while sharding the other 2. 600 allows you to only need to pull for 1 while exchanging the other 3. This would give you a 98% certainty of getting all 4 egos. If we get a free ego, then with 400 pulls you could shard 2 while having a 92% certainty of pulling the missing ego. People that have all egos: With 400 pulls you have a 96% certainty to pull 2 egos, while being able to shard the other two. 330 pulls for 3 egos are around 80% certainty, can shard the remaining one. If we get a free ego then with 230 pulls you have a 80% certainty of getting 2 egos, while also being able to exchange for the missing one. People that have less than 23 egos but not all: Don't want to calc up the individual cases, but just think that you're getting closer to the "I have all egos" estimate.
Its funny, I was lowballing even more considering I was only accounting for MD lunacy, but even with my lowballing its enough to guarantee a pity pull and almost halfway buildup for a second pity. That is also assuming your luck is dogwater and you don't get anything with all that pulling. The important thing being having all available EGOs prior to the collab to maximize your chances (excluding Walpipi and 'previous' season [for now]).
I never pull for walpurgis, I just wait and chard the next time, this will prob be one of my only times pulling outside when I started, also dont forget the guarentee 000 outside of season ticket.
If you don't pull for walp, on what do you even spend it? Are you sitting on your pile of it like some fucked up dragon? Give me your lunacy. GIVE IT RIGHT NOW.
@@BoxCoxno. My daily 2 limbillion mirror dungeon runs calls for my lunacy. Any more than 2 refreshe is waste. Any less is waste. Must grind bp. Until season end.
So what you are saying is that I am banned from the casino for the next year? Kim Jong Un sent my soul straight into a fomo purgatory, where it Will be salivating on walp IDs for eternity. Great.
Still a year away, it could always just turn out that "oh guys what the fuck you guys doing??? we didnt even say yet that for this collab we gonna lower the ideality needed" kind of stuff and we gonna be saving excessively for nothing lol
@@BoxCox ideality is the spark, you would literally have all the chance at lower pull requirements Normally games like Arknights lower the needed pulls to spark when its a crossover, specially when the chances of coming back are little to none
For me, I fear when both the collab and walpusgis will start cuz if the collab starts before walpusgis night, good but if not/after, this will hurt soooo much
I just see no reason why it would not be able to be sharded. The ego being true limited is due to the collab product being bounded to contract, but I'm pretty sure there is nothing on the sharding parts.
Seems to be the case, people have been saying that it’s unlikely to have any repeats because that can be seen as leaching off arknights hype, this may be the first true limited I suppose
@@makovader2124Absolutely. Server I'm in was coping and tweaking hard for some reason it being limited, saying Kim was being greedy and betraying the trust of players. Like bruh, I absolutely know he would want it to not be limited if he could but that's how licencing works
so I'm bet that we going to skip on full stop in Walpurgisnacht, reason is they can't refill they're ammo ,if pm prove us wrong that they can then yeah we pulling it, or perhaps we waited till the thumbs 👍 ids to come out that gave'd us some passive, a supportive passive that can refill the full stop ids plus other ids that need a normal ammo, then we pull em too, we due already have r crop heath if matching up with a sniper heath still unknown who's better, high burst damaged vs high singles fires damaged, bout leader hong lu his support will be a supporting pierce damge just a temporally guess, yes i know that heathcliff have fell bullet that refill his ammo but only if it's crit kill the enemies then he can get 1 ammo (3 times per encounters).
wait we're the one getting the collab? i thought it was on arknights side while we get lunacy as compensation or something. i really misunderstood the whole thing😅
The main source is Mirror Dungeons (750 lunacy weekly from first 3 normal MDs or first 1 hard MD) and compensations from weekly maintenance (300 lunacy, sometimes more if devs find any serious bugs to fix) In summary, 1050 lunacy every week basically. In this regard, there is not much difference whether you are a new player or an old one. Plus limited-time events dedicated to new Intervallos and Walpurgis Nights, but more often there are just tickets for extraction (They're all the same as lunacy, but only for extractions) Plus there is additional rewards and compensations, that comes after developer streams and major updates, as well as some significant dates (New Year, all sorts of anniversaries) And there are also Lines, but I'm mentioning them last, 'cause every one of them is just one-time very hard challenge, with significant, but also one-time, rewards.
Someone also suggested sharding as many ego as possible that you can get from gacha so when you pull one it is guaranteed to be a new one since you can’t roll multiple of the same ego
With some luck (a lot of luck), people will reallize how bad of a precedent this is and they will give a lot of backlash for it instead of letting the hype get over them, if they indeed end up being limited and not shardable.
Totally agree. Not to mention the fact that this game has zero soft pity system, so it's either you get them off pure luck or you get 1 at 200 pulls :/
@@sneaky1497 they arent for obvious reasons, but if both parties wanted, they could make a contract allowing the already produced content to not be limited.
@@MasterP86 That wouldn't make sense though, you are basically giving your product to another company that they can make money from, it's a loss on their part. PM is also too small of a company to sustain a collab unit, as well at it being inefficient. Big corporations outside of games in general only collab on occassion, so this is just the nature of business.
imagine saving for a year only to land a statistically anomalous 10pull that gets you all 4 egos at once
4 egos at once is a miracle but i imagine some would get all in 10- 50 pulls and still have a bank for walpurgis and future other collabs in limbillion years
wont this fuck with lunacy economy
REAL
So, it's not the same thing, but something like that happened to a person in Arknights. They saved for over a year and a half for a character, Kal'stit, and got her on the first free single pull on her release banner.
Dante jackpot moment
The scary evil lunacy stealing walpurgisnacht in question;
In 1-2 months too 😭
Due to arknights collab i will be ignoring the ego this time
I will not ignore Walp for I must keep my 100% collection true
nah im skip it, if they prove us wrong that full stop can refill they're ammo, then we pull em, if not
The next walp and the one after is just CBT at this point.
Note: Shard as many E.G.O as possible before the collab
I don't have any of the season 1 to season 4 EGOs but I still got Outis' Charge EGO during her extraction banner. So it doesn't really matter if you get a lot of EGOs if you could just pull on the banner since the percentage is boosted.
I'm not saying it doesn't change, but the change is so small that it's not significant. I've seen a streamer get duplicate Jack and Pierre announcer packs from a Walpurgis Night extraction banner.
And the fact that we don't get duplicate EGOs is nice, so for new players, they don't need to force themselves to shard EGOs that they won't probably use much.
@@cye2310 you're using your personal experience and extrapolating it too far. Yeah, a single ego won't change too much. But shard half of the possible ego, and your chances of getting a specific ego you want just doubled.
@@cye2310 my man doesnt know about polls and probabilities
"How Much Lunacy Do You Need"
real answer here: NEVER enough
106k is the right answer, anything past that is walpurgis funds
Ngl I see greg getting the free ego, Faust Kal, Ishmael Abyssal Hunter and Hong Lu Sui Sibling are the most powerful EGOs that can be given to those characters. His ceiling is Rosmontis maybe? (As they're both lab patients with younger siblings), but he's more likely to get a Mlynar or Hellagur EGO who scale way lower than even Kal...
Gregor "W" fr
Originium Slug Gregor. I want it.
Here's hoping we can shard them when they come out, once we wait the 1 week wait window that is
It was listed to be limited, that means that it will ether never come back or would be able to be sharded after a year or during another collab.
@@timazhusipov1321 well, one can cope
Even if it wasn’t completely limited, it would still apply like walpurgis where you’d have to wait until the next to shard the previous
@@timazhusipov1321 I think being limited and being unable to be sharded is something different. Yet we'll see.
Nope, if you want them, hereby you are banned from making even a single pull.
Literally no clue what the landscape of the game’s meta will be a year later, but I’ve myself fine with missing out on some of the EGOs. The most important part of a team is usually the IDs, while egos are additions to make the team slightly better. Which is why I kinda don’t put much importance on EGOs, and I feel like even a year later it’ll be the same case still.
Come man, you and I both know that you don't need anything to complete content. If you played for a year, it's a png collector fest now. And these pngs are... Limited... Exclusive, dare I say.
It's only worth talking about because its an actual limited thing. I think everyone is aware that the game is piss easy and after the first bump you shard whatever the fuck for funsies
Chat GPT is most definitely wrong. The thing your friend said is partially true (although the numbers are a bit different).
There is no way to guarantee something (since even 99.9% isn't a guarantee and you can't get 100% in probabilities, besides including all cases, but that would include cases in which we aren't getting 4 as well. It's impossible if you try to go for a certain scenario that excludes some cases).
Let's assume our guarantee rate in this case is 80% (If we do X pulls, we get the 4 egos in 80% of cases. Or if 5 people pull X times, 4 of them will get the 4 egos, while 1 won't get all 4 egos).
If we have a chance of 1.3% for 4 egos (we dispensed all the others), we'd need around 430 pulls to get the 4 egos with a certainty of 80%.
I used binominal probability for this case, since it's fitting.
Now we look at the GPT case of a pool of 23 egos and 330 pulls.
Puling 330 times and trying to get 10 or more pull is less than 2 percent, so it's reasonable to stop here.
Using Binominal probability, the chance of pulling 4 to 10 egos on 330 tries is 62%.
Now, using hypergeometric probability with the total amount of 23, with the pull amount of 10, intended amount of hits 4, we'd have a probability of less than 3%.
The ones with a pull amount of 4 to 10, would even if very highly said, cumulatively be about 7%.
So even if you pulled 10 egos, you'd still have less than a 7% chance for those 4 egos to be the anni egos.
Edit:
Hortonman42 reminded me that rate up is 50% instead of default and also calculated the rest, so it takes about 850 pulls to get all 4 egos with a 80% certainty, at which point you'd have hard pitied anyways. 450 seems like a reasonable amount of pulls here since they'd guarantee you 2 egos with 80% certainty, while you'd be able to exchange the 2 missing ones.
------
For people that have more than 23 remaining egos:
So in conclusion 450 is reasonable if there's no free ego, with that you have an 80% certainty of pulling 2 egos while sharding the other 2.
600 allows you to only need to pull for 1 while exchanging the other 3. This would give you a 98% certainty of getting all 4 egos.
If we get a free ego, then with 400 pulls you could shard 2 while having a 92% certainty of pulling the missing ego.
People that have all egos:
With 400 pulls you have a 96% certainty to pull 2 egos, while being able to shard the other two.
330 pulls for 3 egos are around 80% certainty, can shard the remaining one.
If we get a free ego then with 230 pulls you have a 80% certainty of getting 2 egos, while also being able to exchange for the missing one.
People that have less than 23 egos but not all:
Don't want to calc up the individual cases, but just think that you're getting closer to the "I have all egos" estimate.
Everything else is shardable. Walpurgis included. I will not spend one single lick of lunacy or free 10 pulls in this meantime.
More than ONE LIMBILLION Lunacy
If it's anything like arknights' collab banners, then the spark pull number aka yi sang ideality might be lowered too(i hope).
With christmas, new year and February 22 being the anniversary of limbus i think we are gonna get around 20+ free pulls! nice.
Its funny, I was lowballing even more considering I was only accounting for MD lunacy, but even with my lowballing its enough to guarantee a pity pull and almost halfway buildup for a second pity. That is also assuming your luck is dogwater and you don't get anything with all that pulling. The important thing being having all available EGOs prior to the collab to maximize your chances (excluding Walpipi and 'previous' season [for now]).
I never pull for walpurgis, I just wait and chard the next time, this will prob be one of my only times pulling outside when I started, also dont forget the guarentee 000 outside of season ticket.
If you don't pull for walp, on what do you even spend it? Are you sitting on your pile of it like some fucked up dragon? Give me your lunacy. GIVE IT RIGHT NOW.
@@BoxCoxno. My daily 2 limbillion mirror dungeon runs calls for my lunacy. Any more than 2 refreshe is waste. Any less is waste. Must grind bp. Until season end.
@@BoxCox fr
@@A.Singularity so you do sit on it like a fucking dragon. Gambling addicts, we've got a hoarder here, strip this man of his belongings.
@@BoxCox I am a mirror dungeon unjoyer
This video singlehandedly stopped me from dooming about this collab.
Bro this happening in like 9 months 😭
This is for faust EGO this is for Faust EGO this is for Faust EGO this is for Faust EGO.
i think they will use a special ticket limited for the limited banner only especially since they said that they want money in the stream
i alreadyy have 79000 lunacy if the 3 ego-welfare stat is true plus 60 tickets which means id be good for it unless something unexpected happens
you can shard 1 id/ego of choice in the banner with 200 pulls, so the lunacy will be even less than that with or without freebie
i already have 50k+ and i think going to skip this walpurgisnahct
same, I'm just going to shard yi sang, ryoshu and probably faust
@@Naim-Lestsame, most likely just sharding regret or red shoes
@@Naim-Lest we can wait another 3-4 month for walpurgisnahct
saving took so long and will vanish in a single walpurgris night 😂😂
@@Naim-Lest or a rodya banner that i didnt even get the id from istg im never pulling again kim ji hoon 😭
So what you are saying is that I am banned from the casino for the next year? Kim Jong Un sent my soul straight into a fomo purgatory, where it Will be salivating on walp IDs for eternity. Great.
Still a year away, it could always just turn out that "oh guys what the fuck you guys doing??? we didnt even say yet that for this collab we gonna lower the ideality needed" kind of stuff and we gonna be saving excessively for nothing lol
@monikaisdonewiththeinterne2039 you still have to save for a better chance though
@@BoxCox ideality is the spark, you would literally have all the chance at lower pull requirements
Normally games like Arknights lower the needed pulls to spark when its a crossover, specially when the chances of coming back are little to none
@@monikaisdonewiththeinterne2039 yeah but your comment implied they won't lower the ideality.
@@BoxCox no? Oh i forgot a yet, mb
For me, I fear when both the collab and walpusgis will start cuz if the collab starts before walpusgis night, good but if not/after, this will hurt soooo much
I just see no reason why it would not be able to be sharded. The ego being true limited is due to the collab product being bounded to contract, but I'm pretty sure there is nothing on the sharding parts.
I thought you were jokijg about putting me in there 😭
no gambling… for a year…
I only have 3k and I know my ass is not gonna be resisting spending on the don quixote ID 😭😭
To the mines we go
There's also anniversary
How much do u get for anni? I’m new
We got 1300 and a 10 pull ticket this year.
Not a chance in hell I'll have 50k lunacy with walpurgis existing
I got 10000 in the bank for this very question xD.
We need Amiya Gregor. It would be perfect to get a donkey(or a rabbit for some) ego after seeing horse gregor 😂
I think hong lu is getting the amiya
All I need is a single ten pull
what does "limited" even mean? will we only get one chanse to get them before they just become completly unavailable?
Seems to be the case, people have been saying that it’s unlikely to have any repeats because that can be seen as leaching off arknights hype, this may be the first true limited I suppose
Sounds like it.
Yeah its because of the nature of collab and licensing laws
@@makovader2124Absolutely. Server I'm in was coping and tweaking hard for some reason it being limited, saying Kim was being greedy and betraying the trust of players.
Like bruh, I absolutely know he would want it to not be limited if he could but that's how licencing works
@ limbus players have been spoiled too much
Coping for atleast one of them to be free or u can buy them from event shop.
Limbus is the only gacha i ever played but recently i was bored so i tried another one and it is so garbage dude.
PM really is spoiling us
so I'm bet that we going to skip on full stop in Walpurgisnacht, reason is they can't refill they're ammo ,if pm prove us wrong that they can then yeah we pulling it, or perhaps we waited till the thumbs 👍 ids to come out that gave'd us some passive, a supportive passive that can refill the full stop ids plus other ids that need a normal ammo, then we pull em too, we due already have r crop heath if matching up with a sniper heath still unknown who's better, high burst damaged vs high singles fires damaged, bout leader hong lu his support will be a supporting pierce damge just a temporally guess, yes i know that heathcliff have fell bullet that refill his ammo but only if it's crit kill the enemies then he can get 1 ammo (3 times per encounters).
thing now is we waited for Walpurgisnacht trailer to come out plus paper stats for the full stop ids, then we judge if is good or skip.
you need 69420 lunacy
the the gambler within is flourishing after hearing the limited timed event ego
Gonna buy every EGO from now.
Mentioning hsr, you really sound like EODGamer but with a different mic
Honest advice, just play it safe. Walpurgis is 100% shardable.
wait we're the one getting the collab? i thought it was on arknights side while we get lunacy as compensation or something. i really misunderstood the whole thing😅
Can I ask
As a new player what is your main source of lunacy after completing the current story?
The main source is Mirror Dungeons (750 lunacy weekly from first 3 normal MDs or first 1 hard MD) and compensations from weekly maintenance (300 lunacy, sometimes more if devs find any serious bugs to fix)
In summary, 1050 lunacy every week basically. In this regard, there is not much difference whether you are a new player or an old one.
Plus limited-time events dedicated to new Intervallos and Walpurgis Nights, but more often there are just tickets for extraction (They're all the same as lunacy, but only for extractions)
Plus there is additional rewards and compensations, that comes after developer streams and major updates, as well as some significant dates (New Year, all sorts of anniversaries)
And there are also Lines, but I'm mentioning them last, 'cause every one of them is just one-time very hard challenge, with significant, but also one-time, rewards.
@AypuoH 1050 lunacy per week
Accounting for 29 lunacy everyday for resets
U get about 847 lunacy per week
Thanks 😊
390 lunacy
Is there a discord for LC that’s still available
So I just need to save lunacy and so long as I don't spend 40k on walpurgis I am okay? Did I understand that correctly?
Someone also suggested sharding as many ego as possible that you can get from gacha so when you pull one it is guaranteed to be a new one since you can’t roll multiple of the same ego
None, I play Limbus company because I'm a PM fan, not a gacha player.🗿
ok
As someone who knows absolutely nothing about Arknights, I’m just gonna save my Lunacy for Don’s Canto ID.
200 limbillion dollars
With some luck (a lot of luck), people will reallize how bad of a precedent this is and they will give a lot of backlash for it instead of letting the hype get over them, if they indeed end up being limited and not shardable.
Totally agree. Not to mention the fact that this game has zero soft pity system, so it's either you get them off pure luck or you get 1 at 200 pulls :/
unfortunately nature of collab, licensing laws
due to how collabs works from a legal standpoint they literally can't let you pull or shard them outside the event
@@sneaky1497 they arent for obvious reasons, but if both parties wanted, they could make a contract allowing the already produced content to not be limited.
@@MasterP86 That wouldn't make sense though, you are basically giving your product to another company that they can make money from, it's a loss on their part. PM is also too small of a company to sustain a collab unit, as well at it being inefficient.
Big corporations outside of games in general only collab on occassion, so this is just the nature of business.
>3 seasons
Jajajajjajajjaajajajajjajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajajaja
at most 2 tbh
@@makovader2124 1 and a half
Luck Issue