Why did the Bayesian superyacht sink?
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- Опубликовано: 11 сен 2024
- The Bayesian, which capsized in the early hours of Monday, was an award-winning yacht owned by a company controlled by the wife of tech tycoon Mike Lynch.
Sky's Laura Bundock assesses why it could have sank.
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As ex mega yacht crew I don’t understand why there was anyone still in their cabins! In extreme weather we old timers made everyone sleep in the salon so there was no way anyone could be trapped below in cabins.. yacht safety 101..
That happened at 4-5 hrs in the morning.
negligence sucks hard ...
@@-Mitra-Does the time matter? The captain is responsible for maintaining the safety of those aboard, regardless of the time.
So true, while on a sea exercise as a sea cadet we were ordered on decked as a storm broke and lashed down by rope on the hardtop of the galley, directly in front of bridge so captain could have eyes on and count every 15 minutes to ensure non of us 15 cadets had washed overboard. 9 hours in a Beaufort 11 perfect storm on a training tug boat . We survived😮
They can write a mystery movie script. Days before the sinking the billionaire owner’s partner dies in a car accident after winning the lawsuit against their company. The modern superyacht with its owner celebrating the lawsuit win sinks at anchor next to an old wooden yacht that survived the storm and rescued the survivors of superyacht.
Karma🤷🏻♀️
Crew was too comfortable that nothing could happen to them due to the size.
I am glad I am not the only one to think this is more than coincidental.
no such thing as coincidence when $$ is involved. karma can't be that talented
Maybe wait for the MAIB report? No one knows a thing. Conspiratorial thinking is a coping mechanism for uncertainty. There’s nothing wrong with uncertainty in the absence of facts. Be calm.
Like the Titanic, it was said unsinkable, this yacht, ditto. No man will ever be more clever, more wise than nature.
Just to point out, neither the White Star Line or the ship builders yard ever said the Titanic was unsinkable. That quote came fron a newspaper who knew nothing about the ship.
😂 I just typed same same 😂
Oh yes they did keth
@@milicadjukich4416 Dont think so. ertainly the designer Mr Andrews never did.
@@keithwhite1478 The ship's builders, the White Star Line, and some of the promotional materials did describe the Titanic as having advanced safety features that made it "practically unsinkable." However, they never explicitly claimed that the ship was completely unsinkable.
The phrase "unsinkable" was popularized by the press, particularly after the ship's sinking, to highlight the tragic irony... Because of the ironic claims made by the White Star Line in their promotional materials.
The yacht had a 246' tall mast and a retractable keel. What could go wrong?
Also, if the water was 50m deep, why did the captain pull up the keel (if he did)?
Neither of those issues constitute a safety risk...
I've heard that the keel was in uplifted position, while at anchor. This has seriously reduced the stability (GZ length)
Nothing in the previous 16 years since it was built.
@@timschmitt7550 It makes the boat susceptible to all sorts of motion due to the extra surface. It isn't needed at anchor, usually, but this situation and result was different.
Two people who embarrassed a behemoth of a company by destroying its lawsuit, suddenly lose their lives in separate "accidents".
boomerang effect. cant escape justice
@@MrMcnamex Justice?
What is this story?
@@cjewe1z The billionaire victim on this boat was earlier sued by HP, along with his former partner. The later died first in a cycle accident and now the latter is allegedly dead. Not sure if his body has been recovered yet. HP lost the multi-billion pound case.
@@nizvizI don’t think they rang God and organized the hit via sea twister!
"Bayesian" symbolizes uncertainty. What a good name for a Yacht.
Submarine now
What is the probability that a yacht named Bayesian will suddenly sink? I guess there wasn't time to calculate that.
It's actually named after Bayesian Inference, an analysis method used by his company, Autonomy
Symbolizes uncertainty no longer. I wonder how Gates feels about it since the guy in England symbolized Bill Gates. Too bad.
@@BillDyszeldepends on your priors and likelihood
This has the hallmark of human error, not having the retractable keel deployed.
In a normal state, this would be a sound practice as she could easily rotate on it’s anchored position into the wind.
If this storm hit as quickly as it did, I’d predict the keel deployment was over looked with everything else happening. Once she started heeling over it was probably too late to do anything.
Just my old Kiwi opinion, 70 and been playing around with boats my whole life.
RIP to all the souls lost.
🇳🇿🇨🇦
I've read she was anchored fore & aft and couldn't swing into the wind. Crazy decision
Sounds even more dangerous.
Yep, guests don’t want to feel the yacht swinging at anchor.
A bad seamanship decision, if she anchored fore and aft.
Very sad.😢
Also to note that the accident happened in the early morning time - about 4-5AM when most of passengers were sleep deep.
USA -CIA and Businessmen in the US are a cooperation like any maffia organisation in the world... The Englishman had just won a juridical case about 8 billion dollars... The same day this boat sunk, his financial adviser was found dead by a car ''incident''... We are not fools.
I don't know what a retractable keel is.
The yacht was not designed to withstand stupidity
It was a boat. Any boat can sink. Period.
Italian navy is the best in rhe world
This wouldn't have happened if they'd gone on a caravan trip to Burnham-on-Sea.
Not so sure - would have probably come home with some fatal infectious disease.
This wouldn't have happened if they'd gone camping in North Wales. What's wrong with a traditional British holiday in the rain?
Butlins turns out safest once again for worried billionairez after lawsuit
@@tiancai7177
Drone Attacks.
what? Inbetween all the commoners?
Easy. Keel UP, Yacht on side ,doors open windows open fills with water, 550tonnes down WE GO....
She went down in under 2 mins, open windows won't suffice to let in water that quickly. I think it capsized and did a full roll, during which the mast hit the seabed and thus exerted force on hull and decks, tearing open the upper deck, which caused the ship to fill up immediately.
@@luciustarquiniuspriscus1408 I asked the same thing elsewhere, no need in 50m of water.
When money can't buy important things like life, a lesson for many!
Weather weapons can sink anything. Call me a conspiracy theorist.
Weather weapons?
2 days before this his former CFO and co-defendant in the HP case was killed by a car while he was walking/jogging ....and the mrs of Lynch had just some light glass cuts on her foot...
@@atedejong5620 Source?
Conspiracy theorist 😊
@@briansaben5697 none of this is news anymore
co defendant in a fraud case died in car crash saturday-seems like possible revenge attacks
Correct too much coincidence ' dont mess with us these are the consequenses '
The co-accused was hit by car when he, on foot, tried to cross a busy road at a blind corner. Some would say it was suicidal.
Hewlett Packard found a weather API with a backdoor write interface.
He didn't die in a car crash on Saturday, this is a complete lie. He walked in the road on a blind corner several days before, he just passed away on Saturday.
There is diving apparatus able to support sustained deep dives. They do not appear to be in a hurry.
A diver would tap the hull and listen for a response. One of the first things would be listening equipment. No definite report of what has been done and results.
I'll say no more.
Funny how he and his business partner who deal in software for intelligence agencies die on the SAME WEEKEND!
Nothing to see here 🤔
@@nw7654nope, nothing more to see 🙈
And his lawyer was on the boat
The CIA have a portable tornado machine...
well when your time is up nothing can bend the law
The crew mostly got out the guests mostly drowned, something wrong here ! It was a mistake to retract the keel because this raises the centre of gravity so once the yacht heels away from vertical the leverage of the mast increases exponentially with each degree of list and there is no chance of recovery once water starts entering the yacht from open doors. When the mast hits water it hits with a tremendous crash and then the lights go out, the floor becomes the wall and sheer panic overwhelms the poor sods trapped below decks. It is common to retract swinging keels on yachts because the swinging action on bearings can cause a deep rumble that reverberates throughout the yacht which hampers sleep for guests, the crew soon get used to this rumble but when bad weather is due, the keel must be fully lowered no matter what guests say.
I think that huge mast could be a major factor in that sinking... but then, I wasn't there.
No matter what anyone says. Blame always comes back to the captain
My opinion is the mast height was a stupid design idea. A retractable keel? Guaranteed the keel should have been DOWN! Over confidence in a boat design as “unsinkable”. So was the Titanic!
Exactly it makes an isosceles triangle, without the keel the center of gravity it’s above water level. It looks very unstable. I am not a boat builder but I know the center of gravity has to be lower.
It’s not a super yacht!
18 million 😂
Normally most (at least fiberglass vessels) are built with floatation, which allows them to remain at the surface, even if capsized, and filled with water (not afloat, but submerged upto the deck). This is why one of the cardinal rules of safety at sea is "remain with the vessel", as the vessel is still at the surface. Why she sank and did not remain at the suface is a real mystery.
I see videos of coast guard and people overboard and waiting rescue sitting on the hull of the boat . That thing didn’t float a bit
The full thing including the hull was made of aluminum
@@mariapilarme Yeah, it seems flotation normally applies to smaller boats (daysailers?). I found out that larger yachts don't normally have floatation.
Why are the Italian coastguard divers using single 15 litre tanks not twins and stages?
The reporter said it takes 1 min to ascend from 6 atmospheres (50m) 😂 wtf
Lung over expansion injury and dcs for sure.
Shouldn't be using air tanks at all, get military divers in using rebreathers, 50m is a breeze for those guys.
@@paulwood5803 Still have a decompression obligation to deal with. My guess is they're keeping the dives short to minimise this and not be faced with divers in the water doing deco stops if the weather turns foul again.
Could just use a diving bell but would be expensive
@@lewiseds More usual for saturation divers doing prolonged work. They need scuba to navigate through the vessel.
I’m pretty sure that the Italian coastguard divers know what they’re doing, without having to ask for help from internet ‘experts’.
People believe the ‘official’ story?
Captain will be held liable if keel was not fully down and locked. If keel was raised in open deep water whilst at anchor, then that's gross negligence and manslaughter charges. Likely the rest of his life behind bars
With all that data mining you'd think they would have seen it coming.
Or at least calculate the probability using Bayesian theory
It is possible that one of the furling headsails was left loosely furled and not secured properly and when the squall hit, partially unwound itself. This could have easily put the yacht on its beam ends. This would not sink the yacht by itself but it is more than likely that the lower cockpit doors were left wide open for the party, allowing the sea to flood the lower decks.
The centreboard keel would almost certainly have been left raised as this is only lowered for sailing.
I have seen this happen to several boats parked in marinas in my years of sailing around the Marlborough Sounds of New Zealand where strong winds are quite common.
It *was* anchored.
@@petersmith6508 sails dosent mean a thing just keel and anchor. And ruder.
What was such a yacht doing in such a storm? Weren’t any weather warning from the coastguard ? If we were talking about a freak wave that appeared out of nowhere then yes this is a black swan event that can happen out of nowhere. But a storm of such proportions should have given some sort of warning to the meteo centres. In any case it’s an unbelievable tragedy. So many people lost their lives. Terrible 😢
Sounds like captains error may also be part of it. He wasn’t keeping close enough eye on the weather and the boat wasn’t prepared.
Another boat right nearby survived by getting the motor going and creating stability via movement into the storm.
Being stuck at anchor wouldn’t have good in this situation
Yes the captain said that he was surprised this weather so the engine maybe doesn't work and was lack of face wind position of the boat and of course maybe windows were opened
Another boat was the wooden one and didn't have such an enormous useless mast, and her captain turned on the engine when the storm began.
All crew, apparently including captain survived. A century ago, a captain who lost his ship and passengers would commit suicide. Apparently they had open hatches during the storm.
The local rescue drivers are only using compressed air limiting the bottom time. They need to use mixed diving gases and get a decompressing chamber for a longer bottom time to avoid the bends.
Indeed the tech has been available since the 70s I think
the insanely tall mast is what attracted the water spout.
When your arrogance and wealthy brings your own demise 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
Having seen the force of these twisters in our area, I’m not surprised.
Our area is not known for twisters but we got one through here that touched down and cut a path through bush land. 100’s of mature eucalyptus trees were laid flat like match sticks many snapped off at ground level. So I’m not surprised the mast snapped off.
If the boat was in the middle of one of these at the height of its power it would just pick the boat up and turn it upside down.
Absolutely baffling and very humbling knowing a Water spout sunk this ship
Tornados habitually destroy houses, vehicles etc!, sometimes whole suburbs. It’s not that surprising a waterspout can do the same to a yacht…
It wasn’t a waterspout that sank yacht, it was something that is known as a downburst where strong gusts of wind that blows out of a thunderstorm along with very heavy rain.
Both Mike Lynch who died in this tragedy and his Business partner who died a few weeks ago after being run over by a car were very unfortunate and appear to have been in the wrong place at the wrong time ...
Foul play for sure , will be hard proving it as the sea doesn’t talk
have to wonder if the Keel was down to keep her from rolling over , ALL boats need a black box
If the keel was up it is a locked position and will still be when they recover the boat
Oh please, with everything that's going on in the world
Why ? Because everything that floats can sink , no matter how expensive it is and how rich the passengers are 🎉
A bit of hubris to have such a tall mast (look ,mine's bigger) echoes of Titanic (hubris in claiming unsinkable) or the Oceangate (hubris in making from carbon fibre)
Ironically if the mast was carbonfibre it would weigh a lot less and cause less stability issues
That tall tower-like mast is responsible. They should have lowered it before the tornado struck
Also moved to deeper water and lowered the 32ft deep keel
Two RUclips experts above
Yes, they should have pressed the button that lowers the mast
@@3beltwesty The vessel sank in over 160ft of water, so there should've been no need to move it to somewhere deeper. In any case, there obviously wasn't time...
The ship was anchored /sank in 50 meters of water .There was thus no need to retract the keel .Clearly there was no counterbalance to this massive mast and the investigation will almost certainly show the heavy keel was retracted.
Anchor watch is much more than watching the anchor.
‘Why did the superyacht sink?’
It wouldn’t be because of the massive freak storm would it?
reason is water
This is the new Titan sub 🍿
if the mast snapped it would of made it more stable absolutely ridiculous there's dark forces at hand here same as R maxwell and his boat incident Maybe mr Lynch needed silencing?....
The 75m mast is the culprit. It is serious design flaw that sank the yacht.
It was attacked and intentionally sunk. Revenge for a lost Court case.
*did anyone else just watch the office couple in the background act like they was in a tv drama*👁️💅🏻
Fascinating vessel. Mast taller than the apartment building that I can barely afford to pay my rent in.
This is only news because those people are rich.
Then go and live in an apartment building that better suits your income!
Someone left the hatches open and then the water flooded in once the storm hit?
It's that simply , ship should have been secured , staff caught off guard. Regardless of knockdown.
Funny how the brits still use the Nelson Column as a measure scale 😆😆😆
The sails would be down in a storm.
Therefore a storm would not affect the mast with no sail on it as very little force on it compared to it sailing with the sail up.
I've heard that the keel was in uplifted position, while at anchor. This has seriously reduced the stability (GZ length)
Why haven't the divers reported on the condition of the mast and the position of the keel. Two critical components to why this vessel...keeled over! and...Yes, an experienced crew member on duty at the time, observing the dramatic change in the weather, just might have had the training to lower the keel which in hindsight just might have given the vessel a fighting chance.
They said this about the Titanic.
Superyachts these days surpass 110 meters and over 100 meters mast. She could also be an insurmountable insurance or ‘accident’ if all doors and windows left opened?
german news Welt is picturing the captain as saviour
shouldn't a captain be aware of potential bad weather?
How many other ships were caught in storm at this spot?
The one who rescued everyone
i know how yachts work. the force required to heel that boat beyond 90 degrees was not present.
They had the weighted lift Keel raised up to go into shallower water. So radically easier to flip over in a tornado or giant gust. So drew it only 13 ft instead of 32 ft.. With a raised keel the stability is way less. ie there is way less torque to roll it over. My Dad was a Naval Architect and graduated from the University of Michigan.
@@3beltwestyit's in 50 m
I've heard that the keel was in uplifted position, while at anchor. This has seriously reduced the stability (GZ length)
@@user-cm2yc3gu9i God-Zilla length?!
The dangerous winds would not have been caused by the water spout but more likely by the thunder cell down draughts creating and intense squall.
Who was on it and who wanted them dead?
The guy on it just got out of a ten year court case, took 7 billion, apparently intimated people into silence and said himself people were after him hence why he was on a boat.
But it could be that everyone in the case got caught in a terrible accident on the same day in different locations.
It reminds me of the mummy. Once they went into the pyramid they all got taken out even the cat.
Either there was a curse or the business guy was right and someone involved in the 7 billion wasn't very happy
@@Golfphantom Idiot, it just isn't possible to conjour up a storm/tornado/waterspout to affect just one extremely well built yacht. Please go back to wearing your tinfoil balaclava.
I don’t think even the best assassin can create a waterspout (water tornado)
and who had the power to speak to God and order an exceptional event like this on top of the yacht?!
@@TheDeepExplorer1how came the old wooden boat next to it survived and even rescued some people of the yacht..?
That yacht looks so flimsy. Cant imagine that mast holding up in a Storm
Divers say hull and mast fully intact, lying on it's side. Video from shore shows it going over to 45⁰ before rain blocks the view, gone in about two minutes. Looking very much like keel up, blown over, lots of openings.
100% commercial hit
Microburst plus open hatches and windows.
Knockdown -> mast pinned down --> slow recovery, long enough for too much water to fill the boat.
Mast and hull are intact on the bottom.
Doesn’t have to be waterspout related.
Tornadic winds should have damaged the rig.
Straight prolonged downward wind pressure is the only explanation. Witness (35 year sea captain) witness the yacht knocks flat (90 degrees) over, then “gone” .
The whole boat shouts only one word: Hybris!!
i learnt a thing from this : never ever step on the toe of Hewlett Packard
If a sailing yacht sinks when anchored without sails, it is simply constructed incorrectly.
I've heard that the keel was in uplifted position, while at anchor. This has seriously reduced the stability (GZ length)
Engineering and design! It's a death trap
Perhaps lightning struck the yacht, causing the mast to collapse, which then destroyed the keel or mast step. This structural failure compromised the vessel's integrity, allowing seawater to flood in at an alarming rate, leading to a rapid sinking?
Yachts this size are built to weather Atlantic storms
@@visionist7agreed, It's all just very strange
I wish SKY NEWS had the comment sections available for all its other videos. We all know that their narrative wouldn't be popular though.
BlackRock or Vanguard?
Or KARMA?
Ashkenazi 🇮🇱🇮🇱🇮🇱
@@Heisenberg2K Morgan Stanley
Where is the Captain????? presumably got to leave the shiip LAST RIGHT??????
The "Bayesian" has sunk... how improbable.
😂 good one !!
While on a sea exercise as a sea cadet we were ordered on deck as a storm broke and lashed down by rope on the hardtop of the galley, directly in front of bridge so captain could have eyes on and count every 15 minutes to ensure non of us 15 cadets had washed overboard. 9 hours in a Beaufort 11 perfect storm on a training tug boat . We survived😮
it sank because it was full of water
Open and shut case Johnson!
Very fishy what happened here !
Like 3 buildings falling in one day in a free fall like collapse
No fishier than the loss of the Gaul...
i dno why but even basic stories like this. i strugggle to trust a word sky news says
"Why did the Bayesian superyacht sink?"
It was not displacing enough water?
what about his former CFO (and co-defendant in the HP case) that was killed by a car (well the driver) when he was walking/jogging..........2 days before this. tuuduuduuu tuuduuduu..
I think it was a planned attack - its unbelievable that such a well designed yacht is going under just standing anchored in still acceptable storm conditions…Looking forward to deep investigation
Iceberg?
Yeah, they've becoming a serious problem in the Mediterranean. They just sneak in past Gibraltar when nobody's looking...
Was a Californian great white shark family
I’ve heard it said the iceberg that sunk the Titanic had migrated to the Mediterranean region.
@@tedthesailor172🤦♂️
@@stoneymcneal2458 That's true. It hid behind Tunisia and disguised itself by melting...
I've seen yachts at anchor in a storm where the headsail unfurls some,,and the flogging pulls down the rigging,,
His money killed him .
Basically your not wrong, or if he spent a bit more he could have had a bigger boat and would be alive.
@@andrewashmore8000how come the 56 meters long yacht with one of the tallest masts in the world is considered small? Its height is that of a London double-decker.
Obviuosly the other party claimed it was theirs
It's a tragedy but it's a comfort to know that all who perished were having a wonderful time until the weather turned deadly.
😂😂😂
Comfort?????!
@@sarabeth8050 it wasn't the weather that caused this.....wake up .....deliberate m ur d 1 er
Two Business partners that were in court , 3 months back or so , both die in the space of a day. Looks like a wack job to me. I don't trust manufactured news channels one bit about the storm , far too convenient. Someone important got very pi55ed off.
Better question is..... why did the yacht sink AND his co defendant get fatally hit by a car in the same 48 hours. I dont believe in coincidences of this sort.
A STAGGERING boat of titanic proportions that can accommodate...checks the paper.... 22 people...including a full crew.
It's good to see that English / Australian news anchors do not have to emaciate themselves to be competitive and get a job. Seems like a great lady here.
it was sunk,look at the video off his last minutes,no waves,no storm,no capsizing,the toplight did not move,it was murder
one more thing ...
The ole chap saying, "be able of handling it" reminds me of the Titanic.
In such cases, in order to counteract the strong effect of the wind and not drift, the engines are started and the bow is turned against the wind. They endured a storm/small tornado for exactly 16 minutes. Most likely, the ship (boats longer than 24 meters are called ships) turned around itself approximately 180° and the ship's propeller got tangled in the anchor chain. Therefore, structural damage occurred in the aft area where the garage and engine room are located, causing a large leak, the ship started taking in water at this point. Perhaps the bulb keel also broke and a 56-meter ship sank in 60 seconds. Nothing happened to the Dutch flagged ship that was about 200 meters next to it. Strong ships of this type can only be sunk by submarine torpedoes.
Because it filled with water
Not that super after sinking
Usually its a result of more water "inside" the boat....😫
snapping the mast increases the stability
Well done for not being mind controlled by the appointed "expert". 😄
snapped mast wouldnt be cut off clean, it would still be attached to the hull with the rigging and cabling. it would act as a storm anchor. The vessel would be blown sideways, the mast dragging trough the water would tilt the vessel, making it capsize...low atmospheric pressure in the spout (650mb?) could easily dislodge and suck out panoramic windows of the yacht too.
New way of getting rid off people
Never buy a ship made in Italy.Thats Spagetti quality😂
At anchor with the sails down…. No, wind would not do that even with the keel up. It makes me wonder if they edited that video. Nobody that knows anything about sailing would believe that.
Early reports suggested a waterspout hit it. Warm evening, hatches and lights open, boat gets knocked down suddenly and water pours in.
@@mirandahotspring4019
30 degree water surface temperature, at night. Personally, I would have closed the hatches and turned on the air-conditioning.
A boat that big doesn't just sink in seconds while at anchor.
@@tomgjgj This one did, there's even a video of it taken from a restaurant onshore.
A waterspout slapped it down and it never came up again.
@@mirandahotspring4019That fast though? That's a major engineering failure at a minimum.
To see an amazingly similar incident Google the wreck of the sailing ship andelana in Tacoma Washington in 1899. I know what people will think here but the Andelana was a almost knew state of the art vessel that was amazingly like this yacht. The circumstances of the sinking are eerily the same.
1899??
@@exeuropean just Google the wreck of the sailing ship Andelana in Tacoma Washington in 1899. I have since found out that it happened on January 9 1899. Very interesting story.
The yacht was anchored and the retractable keel was raised and it appeared that the crew didn’t notice the approaching storm on their radar or no one was standing watch, causing the ship to be pushed by the storm while dragging its anchor until the bow went under water then quickly listing to its side and sinking. The the 67 year old schooner that was used to pull the survivors from the water was Captained by a sailor with decades of experience, who took the proper precautions when the storm was was picked up by his radar. The Bayesian was tracked by its gps system and it shows the path it was pushed until it sank in about 30 meters of water.
No guard
No meteo watch
No radio watch
No sos
All drunk sleeping
At anchor with keel up in 50 meters water!
Who gave license to such skipper?
The Vips sleeping in aircon w generator on
Why nobody had engine on in a storm?
Chronicle of announced disaster