Monday Night Football: Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints Free Picks | NFL Week 16 Predictions

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  • Опубликовано: 9 янв 2025

Комментарии • 176

  • @alphatip.s
    @alphatip.s 18 дней назад +38

    Youre the man steve. Paving the way for us young handicappers. Your expertise and non emotional pure logic analysis is a privilege to watch.

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад +6

      Thank you, appreciate you watching and commenting!

  • @lakerreign
    @lakerreign 18 дней назад +14

    Thank you Steve. Tailed you on ND -7 PSU -8.5 OSU -7 Ravens -6.5 Rams -3 Pats +14 Seahawks +3.5 Cowboys +4. Appreciate the vids

  • @Jose-n3r5v
    @Jose-n3r5v 17 дней назад

    Thank you Steve...always good analysis...weather gonna be cold

  • @patricewilliams2898
    @patricewilliams2898 17 дней назад

    Good call Steve. I just cashed two bets on this game. GB first half -10 and GB full game -14.😁

  • @julianalvarez1629
    @julianalvarez1629 17 дней назад +1

    Boom 💥 once again Steve cashes us out merry Christmas 🎄 as greenbay scores 34!!!

  • @chansam1355
    @chansam1355 17 дней назад +1

    Steve, Good Pick on Northern Illinois.

  • @bluediamond500k
    @bluediamond500k 18 дней назад +10

    Steve is on a heater. No joke he is HIM! If Packers receive first total is Over if they defer or get the ball to start second half its under. I think Packers win coin toss and receive. I'm taking the over. Saints need to score TDs to be competitive. I'm taking the points +14 and Over SGP.

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад +2

      Good luck tonight!

    • @BKK871
      @BKK871 18 дней назад +1

      You think saints are going to cover that? 😂 Hope you didn't bet too much

    • @i2Shea
      @i2Shea 16 дней назад

      Over didn't cover btw. Some heater...

  • @Yolotrumpbucks
    @Yolotrumpbucks 18 дней назад +8

    I just want to say I think you do the most logical real breakdowns. And you not putting up graphics has grown on me because it makes you actually sit down and listen and pay attention to the why a certain pick is the play and not just what is Steve’s play today. It makes you be like oh this is why the pick is what it is and helps you learn to construct your own process for finding your own plays. For tomorrow it’s go pack go

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      Thank you for watching, I try to make the videos as informative if possible, and also fun at the same time.

    • @abemunchkin1271
      @abemunchkin1271 18 дней назад +1

      Great comment

  • @BD_1437
    @BD_1437 17 дней назад +1

    I am on the saints -8.5 first half, over 22.5 first half for total, like Josh Jacob's over 19.5 rushing attempts. In the bad cold weather Jacob's rushing attempts begin to increase and his ball security is top notch so like this prop. Envison early scoring in this game for total to go over first half. Good luck B Daddy

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 17 дней назад

      Good luck tonight Big Daddy, always great to hear from you!

  • @jamesw7616
    @jamesw7616 18 дней назад +2

    You are my favorite handicapper with your no nonsense analysis. Proves you don't need gimmicks to be the best. Appreciate all you do Steve

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 17 дней назад

      Thank you for watching, always appreciate it!

  • @randomshortz17
    @randomshortz17 17 дней назад +1

    It’s so hard to pick a yards prop on these GB wrs because they’re so deep, but I’m taking Watson for his yards tonight (46.5) going to pair it with your GB points but going to lower it to 23.5

  • @stevemerril1485
    @stevemerril1485 19 дней назад +7

    Thanks for watching, best of luck on Monday night everyone! 💲👍🏈

  • @michaelp1201
    @michaelp1201 17 дней назад

    you’re awesome ty steve

  • @Cheeks13
    @Cheeks13 17 дней назад +1

    Disclaimer, this is a .25 unit bet for those that want to gamble on a Monday night game. Kendre Miller over 20 receiving yards +120 to +140. New Orleans offense, other than O line is decimated. Looking for alot of short screens to Miller. Alot of value with just 20 yards. If this was Kamara it probably would be 60 yards. Miller I'm sure won't see as much work, but 20 yards could be one good play

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 17 дней назад

      Good luck tonight, thanks for including some props!

  • @JonjulioNFT
    @JonjulioNFT 17 дней назад

    YOURE THE MAN STEVE

  • @baovuu2011
    @baovuu2011 17 дней назад

    Do you cover baseball also?

  • @johnfalexander
    @johnfalexander 17 дней назад +2

    Bought your Jan/free Dec package and it already paid for itself on first college pick for today!!! Thank you and great work!

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 17 дней назад +1

      Great to have you on board John! 👍

  • @r2xgaming773
    @r2xgaming773 18 дней назад +3

    Steve your NFL picks are amazing!!! I not only hit on Rams, Philly/Wash over, and Patriots, I also parlayed them because of how you kicked ass last week. And the cherry on top, I took your free play, Washington +4 and your premium “over” and parlayed them!!! Wish I would’ve taken Washington money line! LOL

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      Another great Sunday, glad you were on board! 💲💲💲

  • @aznnp77
    @aznnp77 17 дней назад

    I think just the under is the best play personally. I don't see the Saints scoring a ton of points. Don't see Green Bay needing to score a ton of points to win. Don't see a lot of motivation for green bay here. In strong position for wild card. Up 2 games on most with 3 to go. Next week's game doesnt mean much. Even if they win, they'd be down 2 games with 2 to go. The division is out of reach. Detroit is taking it. Minnesota ready if they falter.

  • @RB-mw9qm
    @RB-mw9qm 17 дней назад

    So far so good, just need saints to punt first drive and we golden.

  • @brunorinonaccarato9791
    @brunorinonaccarato9791 18 дней назад +4

    I like your approach on this game.

  • @raneshabrown4110
    @raneshabrown4110 17 дней назад

    You are on fire

  • @icmrightnow
    @icmrightnow 17 дней назад +1

    I must apologize Steve, your picks have been rocking lately. I needed to be more patient.

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 17 дней назад +1

      It's a marathon, not a sprint. Up +157 units this year, but doesn't mean we're going to win every day or every week.

  • @Hoax14
    @Hoax14 18 дней назад +4

    Howzit Steve! Would you still take packers team total @ 27.5 -135?

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад +1

      Yes as long as it stays below the key number 28

  • @NickGechell
    @NickGechell 17 дней назад

    Hey Steve any thoughts on the south Florida vs San Jose state game ? Thanks again for all you do man god bless

  • @Bigxboss07
    @Bigxboss07 17 дней назад

    My boy Steve going 3/3 this Sunday funday 🎉 ✅✅✅💰

  • @Cheeks13
    @Cheeks13 18 дней назад +3

    I wished i listened to u this week. Lost a unit on tampa, 2 units on every other game. If it wasnt for soccer my bankroll would be hurting bad

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 17 дней назад

      Just keep grinding and building that bankroll 💲

  • @phenom9133
    @phenom9133 17 дней назад

    Thanks for the videos Steve
    I like the ugly Christmas sweater

  • @johnfalexander
    @johnfalexander 17 дней назад

    Are you human??? Yet, ANOTHER ONE!!! Great work, sir!!!

  • @rasDanye-hareru
    @rasDanye-hareru 18 дней назад +2

    Where do I buy your picks

  • @able7777able
    @able7777able 18 дней назад +1

    Great over points. 27.50 and 2 touch Downs Love🎉 Great advice 😊

  • @carlosanguiano7598
    @carlosanguiano7598 18 дней назад +2

    I think live betting Packers team total would be the move here. As a Packers fan, I can see a slow start and at halftime coming out gun blazing to finish strong. Just a gut feeling

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад +1

      Good luck tonight Carlos

    • @tobyflederstech5305
      @tobyflederstech5305 18 дней назад

      You’ll probably get better odds taking an alt spread on the 2nd half than live betting after a slow start

  • @OCKillz614
    @OCKillz614 18 дней назад +1

    Does this game matter for GB post season wise?

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад +1

      Somewhat, next couple weeks probably more important.

  • @r2xgaming773
    @r2xgaming773 18 дней назад +1

    How do I sign up for another 10 days??

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      Contact customer support if you want to customized package, otherwise you can use some of the specials on my page at WT

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      wt.buzz/sm

    • @Wagertalk
      @Wagertalk  18 дней назад +1

      Email: support@wagertalk.com

  • @sergmysta
    @sergmysta 18 дней назад +1

    I don’t get paid until the 27th this Friday could I buy the year special then? Pleaseee

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      Contact customer support at WT, and they can probably work something out for you.

    • @Wagertalk
      @Wagertalk  18 дней назад

      Email: support@wagertalk.com

  • @tonyho332
    @tonyho332 18 дней назад +3

    Thank you for free pick

  • @r2xgaming773
    @r2xgaming773 18 дней назад +3

    It’s Monday and I didn’t want to miss out on your special rest of December all of January so I grabbed it. You show your legitimacy by letting your results to your talking. Most of these predictors require a recurring payment subscription, because they know they’re riding on the Titanic!!!

  • @bikmadhok963
    @bikmadhok963 18 дней назад +2

    Packers -.05 1st quarter -156
    Heavy juice but best way to play this Steve!

  • @johni314
    @johni314 19 дней назад +2

    Really tough to see GB, even at an 80% LOE, not getting at least 24… one turnover or fluke by NO gets 28. Looks like a safe probability, thanks S

  • @charliegarcia7548
    @charliegarcia7548 18 дней назад +1

    You are the best 👍

  • @seminole2001
    @seminole2001 19 дней назад +1

    ‪My year sub isn’t up until March. If I renew today on the special deal I get a year added to the back end of my package, right?‬

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      Yes, just contact customer support to make sure, but it should work that way.

  • @tonyho332
    @tonyho332 18 дней назад +2

    I want one year's 😂

  • @adamritter1396
    @adamritter1396 18 дней назад +1

    Thank you as always Steve! How about josh Jacobs longest rush over 15.5 yards... He has hit this in 6 of the last 8. I figure we will see a hefty dose of Jacobs being they likely lead the whole game and his over under yardage is 90.5.

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      If Packers are winning they should run the ball more, good luck tonight!

  • @ealxele
    @ealxele 18 дней назад +2

    Would you take TT O28.5?

    • @stevemerril3086
      @stevemerril3086 18 дней назад +3

      No, because 28 is a very key number.

    • @ealxele
      @ealxele 18 дней назад +1

      @@stevemerril3086 Thank you Steve!

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 17 дней назад

      ​@@ealxele👍

  • @kyledietzman3365
    @kyledietzman3365 18 дней назад +1

    I agree that if green bay gets up 14 or 17 pts they’ll probably run more toward the end saving players from injury especially with the Vikings on deck. Probably won’t go all out but just hard enough to win decent.

  • @George-pw7md
    @George-pw7md 17 дней назад

    Team total moved up to 29.5 so I'm staying away

  • @michaelporopat6446
    @michaelporopat6446 18 дней назад +2

    Jacob 2+ td's + 80 yards rush + 30 recieving sgp

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      Good luck tonight Michael, thank you for including some player props!

  • @davidevolpicelli5653
    @davidevolpicelli5653 18 дней назад +1

    STEVE a loving the content man I can’t say it enough . I watch all your videos . I have the game UNDER 42 , Jacobs 90+ and jacobs 1st half TD . Was gonna lean GB -10 but not sure . What do you think of this sgp ?

    • @MrKingNica
      @MrKingNica 18 дней назад +1

      😂😂😂

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      Thanks for watching David, and appreciate you including the props, best of luck tonight on Monday! 👍💲

  • @brians6534
    @brians6534 18 дней назад +1

    Thanks Steve your the man just won with cowboys +4.5 but didn’t even need it , thanks for your expertise. 🎉❤❤❤

  • @maphoon
    @maphoon 17 дней назад +1

    Go team total
    Good idea Steve
    Thanks as always 😊

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 17 дней назад

      Good luck tonight, thanks for watching and commenting as always!

  • @biggpappy1
    @biggpappy1 18 дней назад +2

    Over passing yards on love. And Jacobs to score anytime td

  • @x4v13rdaartist
    @x4v13rdaartist 18 дней назад +1

    I agree on GB team total over due to the fact that they cashed their team total over a shit ton last year even first half team total over!! Thank You!

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 17 дней назад

      Good luck tonight, thanks for watching and commenting!

  • @RB-mw9qm
    @RB-mw9qm 17 дней назад

    Jacobs over on rushing yards

    • @whitepilled6577
      @whitepilled6577 17 дней назад

      careful with that, packers are deep at rb and can rest jacobs if they need

    • @RB-mw9qm
      @RB-mw9qm 17 дней назад +1

      @ ya I thought about that and decided to switch it .
      Took jacobs any time TD and love under 28.5 pass attempts +188
      Also took a first drive parlay
      Saints punt/ packers score TD first drive outcomes +275

    • @RB-mw9qm
      @RB-mw9qm 17 дней назад

      @ hoping to be free rolling up $175 after the first two drives

  • @justinlee6616
    @justinlee6616 18 дней назад +1

    On fire see how ur n Illinois pick goes

  • @jordaniheke2946
    @jordaniheke2946 18 дней назад +4

    Took this same approach with the Bills today 8-0 30+ games 6-0 at home scoring 30+
    They end up scoring 24
    I think because it’s not a “big” game they might just play it easy and get the win, save their team from injuries with long passes and stuff. Get up 10 points and just run down the clock type of mentality

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      Good point, could be similar to the Buffalo game.

    • @tobyflederstech5305
      @tobyflederstech5305 18 дней назад

      That was divisional. Same reason I faded someone on here’s Cinci TT o30

  • @rsllevine367
    @rsllevine367 18 дней назад +2

    Tks

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      Thank you for watching, Merry Christmas! 🎄🎁

  • @tobyflederstech5305
    @tobyflederstech5305 18 дней назад +2

    I think Jayden Reed breaks a big play or 2

  • @kobedog41
    @kobedog41 18 дней назад +1

    Hey Steve! GB can put up 30+pts. If the Saints can donate 13pts+... this game should go OVER Total

  • @jessecrayford1770
    @jessecrayford1770 17 дней назад

    Too many guys licking your bag!

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 17 дней назад

      Client Best Bets are up +157 units this year, so a lot of people are happy and have made a lot of money.

  • @Dirtydollars020
    @Dirtydollars020 18 дней назад +1

    You know how many ppl teased saints … packers might win 21+.. packers have to make a statement and can’t show struggle amongst the nfc north especially Monday night football… when Jordan love get hot he’s a threat … I lean packers.. but definitely believe the team total is a safe way of playing it

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 17 дней назад

      I don't think this game is very good for teasers, doesn't cover enough key numbers either way.

    • @Dirtydollars020
      @Dirtydollars020 17 дней назад

      @ idk you never really agree to what I say .. I’m usually on the right end of the stick every time I post but I did agree what you said . Good luck .. it’s all about helping each other .. I like Green Bay -14 .. loved them up to 21+ for plus money and liked your over team total on a safe way .. good luck to us

  • @johnnyboy9922
    @johnnyboy9922 18 дней назад +3

    I need Josh Jacobs to give me 20 fantasy points in order to move up to the championship game in my fantasy 😭 Is Jacobs getting those 20 chat???

    • @dreasy88
      @dreasy88 18 дней назад +1

      I need him to get me 24 to advance in DK Bestball finals. Good luck to us bro

    • @johnnyboy9922
      @johnnyboy9922 18 дней назад +1

      @ Best of luck Easy!!

  • @dtail4u
    @dtail4u 19 дней назад

    Hi Steve, I like the Jets vs rams because of the weather
    La it's been close to 70 degrees
    Ny weather today 15 degrees with a bit of wind.
    Do frigid temperature matter
    Tkz!

    • @Wagertalk
      @Wagertalk  19 дней назад +1

      Good luck with your action!

  • @RealStrategyGaming
    @RealStrategyGaming 18 дней назад +1

    The patriots lost by 3 to bills. and were +14. Why would saints lose by 14? Same thing! Saints +14! Both games in similar cold where your hands can freeze on the QB's. I think Saints keep up and barely lose in the end. +14 wins

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      Does appear to be a similar possible letdown situation for the big favorite

    • @devinmorrison2993
      @devinmorrison2993 18 дней назад

      Thats what they want you to think. The Pats Bills was a divisional game which are typically closer in general.

  • @AlexxTehGreat
    @AlexxTehGreat 18 дней назад +1

    Packers TT jumped to 28.5 and now could be a good spot to go under 28.5 . New Orleans is bad by season metrics however they've been doing well over the second half of the season. Past 5 weeks they haven't allowed opposing teams to go over 21 points, keeping games with WAS and LAR to one possession. Past 3 games Saints have allowed only 4.8 opp yards per play which is tied for 4th best in the league. They are also 2nd best in opp. points per play allowed, past 3 games.
    Packers want to get to next weeks game/playoffs healthy as possible so I GB just chewing clock. It's a perfect time to sell high on GB with the flat spot here, plus primetime game NFL will try to make it close for ad revenue, and public on the over and GB.

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      Would only play the team total Over at 28 or less, very key number

  • @dayday-pj5rn
    @dayday-pj5rn 18 дней назад +3

    I'm going under

  • @D.I.G.I.T.A.L.
    @D.I.G.I.T.A.L. 19 дней назад +1

    We appreciate the info dude. Thank you
    So would greenbays def be rewarding to start in fantasy in this game ?
    Playoff picks make a man go insane 😂😂😂

  • @c64konami96
    @c64konami96 18 дней назад +1

    Jacob’s 3 touchdowns Saints +17.5

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      Enjoy the game tonight

    • @BKK871
      @BKK871 18 дней назад

      If Jacobs scores three touchdowns by himself the saints are covering that 17 points. Love will be scoring too and that's going to put them in the 30s. Saints will be lucky to even get double digits in this game

  • @jepoy9956
    @jepoy9956 17 дней назад

    This guy is on a losing streak on free play. Keep picking his pick 🤣

  • @dalemcalexander3749
    @dalemcalexander3749 18 дней назад +2

    Pac -14 EASY 💵

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      Good luck tonight Dale

    • @Wagertalk
      @Wagertalk  18 дней назад +1

      @dalemcalexander3749, good luck with your bet!

  • @justinlee6616
    @justinlee6616 17 дней назад

    2-3 now premier plays let’s go Steve!

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 17 дней назад

      Best Bets were 8-1 this past weekend, so not sure what you're talking about?

  • @jimmylegs06
    @jimmylegs06 19 дней назад +3

    25 and snow Monday night n Green Bay
    Lotta Josh Jacob’s

  • @MasterShake1G
    @MasterShake1G 18 дней назад +2

    Saints have no Carr, no Kamara, no Olave and no desire to play in a meaningless game where the wind chills will be in the 20’s. Packers will so do just enough to get in and get out, but that will be enough to cover.
    Packers 27
    Saints 10

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад

      Good luck tonight, thank you for watching and commenting!

    • @Live_SINCE_85
      @Live_SINCE_85 18 дней назад +1

      they almost beat commanders and commanders just beat eagles

    • @MasterShake1G
      @MasterShake1G 17 дней назад

      @@Live_SINCE_85keep making your bets on that thinking

  • @AngelaRobertson-w3c
    @AngelaRobertson-w3c 18 дней назад +2

    I am thinking about buying your yearly package. I want to see how you did in 2024. I want to see your wins and losses for the entire year. I am confident you have it so once i see it in ALL sports ill make my decision. Thanks.

    • @stevemerril1485
      @stevemerril1485 18 дней назад +1

      All-Sports Best Bets 350-279 this year +157.16 units.

    • @sergmysta
      @sergmysta 18 дней назад +2

      No one’s going to SHOW you every bet slip Karen that’s not how this works. That’s why it’s called a bet. Not guaranteed

    • @AngelaRobertson-w3c
      @AngelaRobertson-w3c 18 дней назад

      @sergmysta Did I ask you?? Until I ask you, shut your mouth. Understand!

    • @AngelaRobertson-w3c
      @AngelaRobertson-w3c 18 дней назад

      @stevemerril1485 Thanks Steve

    • @AngelaRobertson-w3c
      @AngelaRobertson-w3c 18 дней назад

      @@sergmysta He showed me because he's a good guy . Mind your business. I didn't ask you a question. You nosey little punk!

  • @BobBelter-f4t
    @BobBelter-f4t 19 дней назад

    Depends on how Sunday goes. Otherwise no interest in this game.

  • @abemunchkin1271
    @abemunchkin1271 19 дней назад +1

    Prime time

  • @autodidactic-i2i
    @autodidactic-i2i 18 дней назад

    His fraud free tips will likely make casinos/nfl profits

    • @stevemerril3086
      @stevemerril3086 18 дней назад

      Explain how that works? 4-1 FREE NFL plays this weekend, and 12-0 NFL Best Bets last 3 weekends.

    • @autodidactic-i2i
      @autodidactic-i2i 18 дней назад

      Don't need to explain. You kept giving your viewers losing picks lol

    • @stevemerril3086
      @stevemerril3086 18 дней назад

      @@autodidactic-i2i Thanks for trolling

  • @veezo2323
    @veezo2323 17 дней назад +2

    GREEN BAY+OVER!!

  • @ScottJMahoney-qv8co
    @ScottJMahoney-qv8co 18 дней назад +5

    Another 3-0 Sunday for the clients.👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻 Everyone should get on your yearly package and get on the pass to serious profitability. It’s an investment for the future and let Steve’s 3 decades of experience lead you to the gold mine.

  • @johnbenjamin7785
    @johnbenjamin7785 18 дней назад +3

    I like 1st half packers. I think they will play loose the last 10 minutes and let the saints score

  • @r2xgaming773
    @r2xgaming773 18 дней назад +1

    Steve your NFL picks are amazing!!! I not only hit on Rams, Philly/Wash over, and Patriots, I also parlayed them because of how you kicked ass last week. And the cherry on top, I took your free play, Washington +4 and your premium “over” and parlayed them!!! Wish I would’ve taken Washington money line! LOL