There was actually a plan for the Soviet Union to sort of stay around called the "Union of Sovereign States", where most of the post-soviet states (All except the baltics, Georgia, and Armenia) would be semi-independent nations led by a council in Moscow with a unified foreign policy. It was supported by the majority of the population in all the remaining soviet states, but the attempted coup in 1991 killed the idea.
Damn, did you type this from beyond the grave? What's the afterlife like? Did you go to heaven or hell? Did you get reincarnated? Did you get sent to a parallel world? How did you come back?
While I do think this is an accurate analysis of what Russia is going through, let's not forget that not only Russia is close to a demographic crisis but the whole Europe is. There isn't a single European country that has an above replacement level birth rate, some balkan and baltic nations are suffering from dramatic depopulation crisis and western europe is increasingly having to rely on non-european immigrants to keep their population afloat and it's still not enough while also creating the same problems Russia has with too many ethnic minorities.
Well, a LOT of migrants are coming here to Europe, how many people migrate to Russia? By the way... "too many ethnic minorities"? are you talking about... like... THE ENTIRE HISTORY OF EUROPE????
@@duhmzdaih Out-numbering of the native population by non-native immigration is arguably worse than a haemorrhaging population, look at western China and the Native Americans being wiped out as examples of that.
@@Fr_87 worse? haha, worse for WHOM??? what you say stinks of xenophobia. "native population"?? hahaha, unless you live in Africa, you are the descendent of migrants, period, at a certain generation, your ancestors WERE NOT in your "native" country. There are people in America, Asia, Europe and Oceania because people migrated there. Humans are migrants by definition, and "native" is a made-up concept that makes sense only from a tribalistic perspective. How do you define that a population is "native" in a certain place? a couple of centuries living there? a thousand years? it's always arbitrary, you can't define it in an objective way. Western China and Native Americans being wiped out? LOL "native" populations do the same to each other, look at the aztecs or the ancient greeks. Little boy, tribalism isn't limited to race or flags, there's tribalism in a family fighting another family, there's tribalism in gangs killing other gangs. Your examples are bad.
Although "The death of Russia" feels a bit dramatic, it is obvious that we are leading to that or something similar so there is very little to criticize. Nice job again with your research
Just plagiarized Peter Zeihan's points that he's repeated in his last 3 books. Probably lifted this from recent interviews as Z then brings up the spectre of Russian nuclear first use in lieu of conventional military success.
13:40 in fact Putin himself has admitted this failure. He says that the most tragic thing that has happened in Russia's entire history was the Collapse of the Soviet Union, and he said that he's unsure if they'll ever manage to remedy this. Edit: for everyone asking, here's the link ruclips.net/video/nTvswwU5Eco/видео.html
and with saying that he made sure that all the ex- svoiet countries hate him forever:) and there is no possibility for us EVER being friends....good job Putin! Almost eeverybody inmy country except for some brainwashed russians think that Soviet collapse was the best thing ever happened in here , nobody wants it back
@@HK-gm8pe I'm certain that life in the Soviet Union was bad, horrible in fact. But from a strategic standpoint, it was bad for Russia. The Soviet Union, at least in Putin's mind, did not need to be communistic in ideology. It just had to remain a united entity, a Eurasian Union of sorts.
After a while, the author turned out to be right. Life without RUclips ads has become unbearable. I hope these grave consequences will serve as a lesson for the whole world.
I know right, man living in the Russian thriving economy is such a hassle, i have to get up everyday and live in one of the most developed and powerful country in the world 😅 this youtuber is a joke!!
Man I apreciate you educating us young people in an engaging way. A lot of people that try to "teach" us modern-day politics take advantage of us newbs and our naivety by swaying us to one side of thinking or another through exaggeration, fabrication, or straight up propaganda. You coulda easily said Putin bad, or Nato bad, and most of us woulda belived you. But for at least the most part you keep it real man.
It's funny u say that bc they still do that. The only difference in this case is that they're using well researched data, geography and history, and taking them to present overly exaggerated opinions that should not be taken as factually accurate! The research is good but the conclusions are seriously flawed (such as they're main point that Russia will see a significant decline or vanish in 20 or so years). Not to mention they literally called Putin "evil" in the video.
@@2912sweetiepie you wish lol. The simplification of complex historical matters in his videos is honestly pretty concerning. Dumbing down history to simple factors of cause and effect (like industrialisation means birthrate collapse) leads you down a path of blindness towards contingencies. And history is full of contingencies. Though I must agree that the animals are cute :3
@David Montgomery i mean there are thinkers, who had a deterministic world view, but still thought the only way to deal with inevitable decline is to fight against it (best example is Oswald Spengler). Obviously one has to ask why a situation, where a Putin can act like this, happens in the first place. But we ask this to prevent something similar to happen again and that is only possible if we accept contingencies as part of history.
Russia will decline and not be a “superpower” anymore but it will surely still exist as a nation. To destroy a nation it takes a lot of effort, look at south sudan that took 25 years and 2-3 million (SS population was never above 8 million before indipendence) deaths to become indipendent.
Sure, but the USSR also collapsed fairly quickly and effortlessly compared to some other countries. It wouldn't be hard to imagine Russia going out the same way.
@@binbows2258 Russia is more mono ethnic than USSR was. Russians were only 50% of USSR's population, but now they are at 80% in modern Russia. So it's not really the case of nation collapsing, but of government change
"tiny Ukraine" = biggest country in Europe, with support from NATO members and some others countries. Military support that forced them to empty their own warehouses. Well... It is very strange that the conflict has dragged on so long, yeah?
And it wouldn’t be the first time in 200 years that Russia did actually collapse, the communist revolution over the tzar and the Soviet collapse in the 90’s. Definitely has collapsed more times than say America.
as a Russian, I’ll say that all those problems that were on the video have always been in the history of Russia, and this did not lead to the complete disappearance of the state (plus, the fact that there are a huge number of revenge-seekers in Russian society) and experts who remained from the time of the Soviet Union who can describe in more detail about Russian society and why Russia will NOT fall apart or disappear (compared to overseas experts who actually do not understand anything about Russia)
Russia's arguably been in decline as a great power since the Russo-Japanese War (and had maybe even sowed the seeds of its destruction even further back with the Crimean War).
It's a huge misconception that Russia had no industry by World War I. Russia was industrializing rapidly just prior to the war. The big problem Russia faced was that it couldn't easily retool that industry to support a war effort. So a factory that made tools couldn't easily be converted into making guns. Most of this industry was wiped out during the Russian Civil War and then the Soviets understanding the need for a strong industry rapidly, but more importantly forced industrialization. Which along with the prior wars collapsed Russia's birthrate and killed millions.
also they mobilized in record times wich surprised the germans forcing them to withdraw A LOT of their forces from the western front but it also was made extremely hap haphardeos wich made the army qutte inefficient
The link of a collapsing birthrate to industrialization is kinda shaky in this context as the obvious answer as to why people stopped having kids around the late 80s is the ridiculous poverty caused by the botched market transition
@@bagrat6085 yes in the 2010s or 2000s people were living more or less well before the moth decided to annex some stuff and oh wonder the birthrate was above the deathrate
I mean people generally have that perception because they assume there has to be some reason why Russia's massive numerical advantage didnt count for more in WW1 but the reality of that is just that their military doctrine was incredibly horrifyingly terrible in the context of industrialized total war.
I find it super cool that you use animals to show countries, like how Russia is a bear, America is a buffalo (or bison, I can't tell the difference), Greece is a dolphin, Turkiye is a cat, Spain is a bull, Germany is a eagle, Norway and Sweden are both moose, etc, etc.
What im ultimately the most scared of is Russia getting backed into a corner and "forced" to bring in the nukes. I'm from Finland but I'm just worried for other countries, including Russia, as i am for my own. I don't want any innocent people from either side to die
I am from Russia and the fact that my country will collapse is worse than a nuclear war, because the history of my country is so great that I cannot believe that it will end like this. I hope that after the Ukrainian war my people will not be split and we will finally bring ourselves freedom, prosperity and unity. #NoPutin #FreeNavalny #FreeTheRussia
Well worry not as Russia won’t ever instigate a nuclear war. Russia’s main priority right now is to stay afloat and starting a nuclear war against the world would be counterintuitive and is the last thing they would want.
The "soviet car" in the video was actually an east german manufactured Trabant, which while not pretty fast and luxourious, is absurdly reliable and robust
My French teacher’s first car was a soviet model. It was always broken due to its age but repairs were easy and cheap so it was very useful for him when he was younger.
Trabant is not a car, it's a lifestyle😎😎 ...of eternal suffering and torture by the own government who ought to keep you happy and alive, who knows everything about you, sometimes more than you do. But Trabante are cool
Honestly, I feel like Russia won't die or collapse; Russia as a nation has gone through much worse in its history and still prevailed, so I think Russia totally collapsing is sort of un-likely.
At 13:06, he kinda made a argument for it. The one huge factor to why the Russian Empire/USSR were able to go through such terrible events is due to their population. Now if you said USSR or Russian Empire, then you are correct, they would somehow survive through what modern 2022 Russia is experiencing. But Russia is not USSR or Russian Empire. They lost all their buffer states, their population, and everything else h0ser explain in the video.
While I do respect your opinion and analysis, let’s not forget how Poland was wiped out of existence for more than a century and still existed. Countries are not broken so easily, it’s the people and its heritage that make it live forever.
Well yes, but are Russians really unified the same way that Poles were? The Chechen wars kinda say otherwise. Note that the video doesn't exactly say that Russia will cease to exist altogether, rather that Russia in its current state will die, with various regions with different cultures and peoples breaking away.
@@alinalexandru2466 yea I'm not European I know the USSR and Germany both occupied Poland during ww2 Then the USSR had alot of influence on them afterwards
RUclips recommended this to me so I'm just going to say I disagree. This comment probably won't be visible but I will still write it. People who think Russia will collapse are willfully ignorant that Iran also exists and has been under economic sanctions for much longer than Russia and has been much more isolated than Russia and had much less industry than Russia. Iran still stands and Iran won't collapse anytime soon. The same can be said for Russia.
Not to mention European countries still make backdoor deals with Russia despite the sanctions. It's all circus and lip service. This is one of thosewishful thinking videos that will age like milk.
The Russia won't collapse but USA will (due to its large portions of evil Americans in comparison to Good Americans based on how many Twitter dorks are) due to their disrespect to other nation's culture, 2 side of the same coin (both woke and anti-woke), dystopian collapse of AAA industry (both gaming and entertainment), and the capitalism that motivated greediness that cause poverty (so greedy people are the main cause of the creation of all the crimes existed)
I remember, when I was young Russian graduate I could not afford to purchase my own apparent, to get married, and have kids. You need money to do all these investments in the country-s future. All the jobs available are bad low paying jobs. And I understood that I was not stupid, I was not lazy. I have no future, the whole country has no future, because all married couples I know have one kid for M + W.
Значит, видимо некоторый тебе подобный пипл у нас живёт в параллельной реальности. Вполне нормальные были приведены в видео аргументы, но принять их некоторым горе-патриотам сложно.
@@kerikplay1692ну бля хуй знает, ежедневно выкатывают подобные видосы и ничего не происходит. Аргументы из видео применимы к любому моменту истории России. Жизнь не стала хуже, самое странное что случилось так это пожар на складе доставки откуда пожарным удалось спасти здоровый дилдо.
The author really touches on very important problems of today's Russia - a failed social and economic policy. (Not to mention domestic politics). Russia cannot get out of the demographic pit and does not want to get off the raw material economy. However, is this a guarantee of the future collapse of Russia? I doubt. Over the next 20-30 years, the situation inside Russia itself may change repeatedly, and the option of overcoming all of the above problems cannot be ruled out. In general, a good video, but too many loud and exaggerated statements.
I think when he says, "death of russia" he means that at the very least we will see a change in the regime, he say it like that in fact, i agree he overexagerate in words, but at the end might not be that inaccurate, there is a multiethnical fabric inside of russia, and idk if for example the tatars, yakuts i'd say chechens but kadirov (i think its called its dictator) its full on the idea to go and fight however idk if the people of chechenya itself would sign up for that. Russia is losing influence in its own backyard which was the central asian steppe towards its own "ally" china, and china will have more and more influence over russia due to its isolation becoming a one sided relationship, more like the relation between the us and mexico (im not saying it will become exactly that, but it will go one side, to the chinas side) The russia we know today may cease to exist due to this very war
Almost everything wrong in the video 0:25 so apperantly trying to breach another countrys security isnt an attack on a sovereign state hmmm ok good logic 0:41 invaded crimea ? thats like saying castel invaded catalonia. Slavs were on the peninsula even before the tatars which were btw in small numbers and did not claim nor inhabit all of the peninsula. You can go and fact check this in the wiki with the earliest records of the population. 0:58 bismarck would laugh at you. A nation that has a history going back more than 1000 year with such a spirit and willingness to sacrifice will not dissapear. We have seen the russians pull trough simular events. 1:11 yes, yes it is big mighty and scary. 1:32 ohh god another ,,military expert" 1:34 ,,steamrolling" 🤦♀️🤦♀️🤦♀️ The lack of research shows. Bruh ukraine had the second biggest military in europe aside from russia. 200.000 regualr personal, 115.000 paramilitary forces thousands of tanks,ifv, artialry, enourmass suppoet from wesrern nations. Should i continues ? I mean yeah russsia could have steamrolled over the nation if they brough more than 600.000 troops, used their strategic and tactical bombers and had raised everrything to the ground leaving mass civilian casualties they could have wraped this in a month or so something like what the americans did in iraq. However i dout any of us want so much casualties. 1:37 sending mem in the grinder for a lost cause isnt putting up a good fight its just grinding yourself to nothingness. 1:42 we are still waiting. First they said it was only about a month untill the sanctions start to work, then they said it was a few months now theya re saying years after that it will be decades. There are many opinions on this somw say the russian economy wont even get a scratch some say they will be severly dmaaged. One thing is certain europenas are not happy with how much they have to sacrifice for a natio that they dont even care for. Sancrions also have an effect on the nation that inplements them as well further making our economic crisis worse. 1:50 nope 1:53 how can you be so bold ? Well there is the young and stupid factor, arogance and overconfidence in ones abilities and so on, we have to take into account current events and the predictions that we make fron those events, which can be and they are wring dew to the fac taht every single day somwthing happens and something changes which completely alter the future and makes pur predictions worthless. 2:11 yes and no there is nore than just the snow in siberia and with the way things are going wirh climate change tht picture might change, notice i said might. 2:16 wow guys where there are recources there is civilization, who would think of it. I can literlay use the same argument you just made for wyoming, montana, idaho,etc. 2:20 doeamt mean there arent any recources and as isad with the way climate chenge is going things might change. I see people applying the thing i say to greenland and everything you siad can as well be applied to greenland but it somehow matter only for russia ? 2:40 its as if the russian are tired of this and want to prevent it hmm maybe maybe understanding that and trying to be considarate would mean a whole lot to the russians. 2:51 uhhh not realy they do the scorched earth tactic becauase all armies no matter how many supplies they have always run out of them and need more so they always go for the napoleonic approach of feeding of the land. Unless russia is hit quickly they will pull you in a slow drawn out battle where they will grind you to death. 3:32 that js whay they are doing what they are doing. 3:38 yeah what if ? The russians habe already said it they will not fear to use any and all weapon of mass destruction in heir aresenl if such an attack occured 3:42 ok cool but what next ? They take moscow blow up the Kremlin or st.Basil and then what ? Where do we go from here ? Remeber one frenchman did that, the poles did it and what did russia surrender ? No they kept fighing and fighing. Many people see moscow as the endgame but this iant france or germany, no this nation is whole different animal. Mustache man was criticised by many for not listening to his generals but infact in most of rhe tiems he was right when he was proposing to take key cities with industeies or oil field they wanted to have trip to moscow. Then that turned into a trip to berlin. 4:06 precisely why they have been inveating in alternatice routs like the arctic or the one from india through iran to russia. 4:16 giess the black sea is useless is this why it was a major point of inteest for nato which they lost when the russians retook crimea oofff that sweet sevastopol port would have been so nice if it was in the hands of nato but its not. I dont think i need to mention turkey we already know the relation it has with russia. 7:22 hmm lets fact check this shall we using 2002-2010 data In the nenets autonomous okrug ethnic russians are thr ones who ahve grown in number. In the kalmyk repubic russian have gone down slightly but so as orher ethnic groups the main ome the kalmyks are keeping their population up bu the increase is slow In the republic of degestan its the same as in kalmyk although here is the problen such a diverse republic of 13 ethnic groups will not be able to stay alive for long not to mention its largely tribal so even if they wanted to and they dont want to no resistance can be offered to russia authorities. In the altai region this time with data from 2014 russians are still the majority and have decreased with less than a 2000 for 12 years while the ethnic population has increased with the same amount for the same time. In chukotka the number of people is low very low the natives chukchians make up only 26.7% of the population and with a growth of 100 people per 10 yeara they arent replacingbthe ethnic slavic (russian ukrainian population) which is more than half of the population there. In buryatia ths slavic population is still the majority with the main ethnic group the buryats growing with 14.000 for about 8 years. In the zabalkayski krai the slavic population is almost a million while the ethnic tatars and buryats dont number combined even a 100 thousand. 8:07 one thing that is a stereotype by our time. Russsia has taken extensive measures to adress this problem and has been droping in alcohol abuse and consumption a lot in the recent years. Btw the highest alcohols consumption rates are held by other europeans nations like hungary, latvia, slovakia,etc. 8:41 i dont know where your statisitcs come from but they are wrong data from johns hopkin university shows that only 377k have died in russia. How much od them were old and how many ethnic russians ? Considering that the majority of people who die from covid are the old ones. 8:45 no official death tol has been released but even the worst case scenario its going to be nothing like the cope from the brittish and the pentagon who have lied to us before time and time 9:05 no they were not they were an empire that was going to be a masive unbeatable giant until the dumb bolsheviks appeared also alcohol was not a comodity in imperial russia. 9:46 to say all rulers treared russians badly is to say that the frech monarchy was alwsys so generous to its people 10:02 wow you mean that improvrished farming wasnt the status quo in the 16th, 17th and 18th centuary in other natiins considering the industrial revoluti started in 1760 before which even the richest european peasants werent exactlymiles ahed of their russian coubterparts or yards or inches even. 10:09 how was the japanses force infieior ? They had almost the exact number of men as the russians and have been industrializing and getting recources from korea, the number of deaths is alsp simular on both sides. This is written as a big loss foe the russians but in reality everybody just downplays how much of power japan was and its done on purpose to sh*t on the russians just like now with ukraine which btw had one of the largest armies in europe. 10:15 the russian started to have problems with suply late in the war 10:16 is this why their producrion doubled and were begining to industrialize ? Yes they disnt had the industrial capacity of western nations but the major problem was revolution 10:25 what was the strategy for the others then ? No seriosly what was their genious western doctrines ? What was the price for a mile of land on the western front ? 10:42 none of those descriptions mattered as communism was forced and there was support for the tsar or for anything that wasnt communist 10:50 i am from an eastern block nation and i know how these apartments look they arent small at all.
People have been pointing out these problems for literally centuries. Germany in both world wars thought they could “kick down the door and bring down the whole rotten structure”. These problems severely harm any efforts to become a modern industrialized economy and Russian society and governance is totally corrupt but by no means is it in danger of not existing. The secessionist threat is also not really that big. Yes “only” 75% of Russia is Russian but there is no ethnic group near big enough to actually plausibly ever succeed in full secession. Look at what happened to Grozny. Russia would rather and absolutely will simply level a city before letting it leave their grasp. If anything, all this corruption and isolation only strengths Russian cohesion. When all of the west is against Russia, it makes it very easy to unify Russians under the banner of “us vs them”.
Did you even pay attention to the video? Things have completely changed and Russia no longer has the population edge nor the impetus to retain its once imperial power. Seeing how inept the russian army is, how ethnic russians are quickly aging and dying out sand how quickly the West will jump in to weaken the Kremlin, secession as a possibility can only increase. These young Chechens who were kids during the war are now becoming fathers. The turkic folks may eventually decide to team with China. Things have changed completely.
Absolutely. Russia DOES have many problems, which is why it is so underpopulated, poor and backward. But that doesn't mean it will cease to exist and more than other countries with problems. Personally I don't want to live in a country run by kleptocrats, with a male life expectancy of 58, endemic unemployment, a per capita GDP like Chile and Equatorial Guinea - where even that money is all siphoned off by the Oligarchs for their super yachts.... But no doubt Russia will continue indefinitely as a backward country with a rose-tinted view of its past and undeserved optimism about its future.
@@pratyushdam1 russia and north korea both use these tactics but the reason why north korea is irrelevant is cause it’s tiny as hell russia is just that big
I guess to an extent the problem here is that Russian leadership wants to continue Russia along at some what of a same stature level as before, while of course also becoming rich off of it. Excessive pride and greed are common themes before major disasters. Of course this also indicates a way Russia could get out of it, 'if' it were capable of such a reform. Which is to limit its ambitions and greed, to invest more in the country while for instance aligning with other entities and accept it isn't able to do everything on its own any more. In such a case a realistic policy could be made and the country could survive and the people could even become substantially more wealthy. It's the kind of adjustment the various European nations to their West made, at times with great difficulty, but when done successfully gave them a new window to a future. Still, that's a pretty big 'if', is Russia at the moment capable of reinventing itself?
even economic or politics cant fix a people who lost in ugly citys, nihilism, abuse, alcoholism, mass abortion of children (population decline)...but the west is maby less then 100 years from same issues.
I have advice toRussia....maybe they should try to get along with its neigbours? And not threaten us with war all the time would be nice aswell....we have tried to getalong with Russia but Putin simply makes it impossible, also Russia held soo many countries captive for sooo long...its no miracle that everyone inhere hates Russia
Russia is a land of Hail Marys. They always seem to defy the odds, defy every expectation of dying. Peter the Great RAPIDLY advanced Russia within a generation, Stalin made it from a civil war ridden country to the second superpower, either Russia dies or they somehow against all odds throw a successful Hail Mary pass. I’ll eat my underwear if they actually manage to reform somehow
Man this is all good and logical but it shows that you've never been to Russia and you probably don't really understand how it works. By Russia I don't mean Moscow and Saint P, I mean the rest of it. This country will Never Die. And I don't mean it in any heroic/patriotic/propaganda-oriented way, there is no emotion in it. Throughout history Russia got beaten, partially conquered, decimated, mutilated, thrown into the moral nothingness of capytalistic world after the fall of USSR, and is still here. It's just a fact. Hard to argue with. Now Russia is going through yet another dark phase of its existence. That's also a fact. And imo it's not even the darkest part of this phase at the moment. But will it die as a country? I don't think so. It will drastically change though, that's for sure.
Каждый раз Россия перерождается, но остаётся Россией и даёт врагам пиздюлей. Every time Russia is reborn, but it remains Russia and gives the enemies a pussy.
Many mistakes as in claiming Russia's population was always small. In 1913 it was 12% of the world. If there was no revolution, no civil wars and famines, today Russia would have 400-600 million people also depends on ww2. The 31 years from 1914 to 1945 were hellish in Russia demographic wise. WW1, Revolution, Civil War, Famines due to destroyed infrastructure, forced industrialization just to prepare for an eventual war that everyone was preparing for. Even Stalin said in the 30s that the USSR must do 50 years of industrialization in 10 if it wants to survive the onslaught that was being prepared (Nazi Germany). Unfortunately too many lives were lost because some European country thinks it's too strong and that invading Russia would be a great idea. The Germans have been the worst in this. Especially Nazis that killed tens of millions of civilians apart from military targets. Those 28 million lost from 1941 to 1945 were the actual death blow to Russia. If those 28 million mostly young people that died and were killed had children then the USSR would have not collapsed. 1960s Soviet Union would be more ethnically Slavic and many areas were they were a small minority would be surely populated. The biggest problem with Ukraine is that it was always treated as core Russian land. An extreme ammount of investment went there. Plane factories, ship factories, all kinds of industry was built there. Ukraine since 1654 was part of Russia and no one thought that a drunkard friend of Bill Clinton would basically f*ck up the country in 1991 and would unconstitutionally split it. Also the August coup against Gorbachev by hardline communists killed the desire for a reformed USSR that was voted in favor by more than 75% of the population of 9 republics. At that point only Moldova, Georgia, Armenia and the Baltic countries wanted out. The other 9 (Belarus, Ukraine, Russia, Azerbaiyan and all 5 central asian republics wanted to keep the Soviet Union but only with reforms. After the coup against Gorbachev that didn't target Yeltsin for some reason Yeltsin got out and after getting some support expelled the putchists. At the same time he totally banned the Communist party and all of its activities. He was rushing to complete the mission given to him by his Western backers and after banning the CP he just gathered with the presidents of Ukraine and Belarus and dissolved the country and after that Gorbachev instead of putting a fight or doing anything just admitted defeat and resigned. To me it seems like Western money just found the people who had no issue in destroying their country. After that the West instead of integrating Russia into the Western world did everything to cripple all of the Eastern Bloc with their "Shock Therapy" economic doctrine which left most exsocialist countries poor, deindustrialized and with no future. If before Bulgarian wine was sold through the whole socialist bloc of 450 million people, now no one needed it. If before cars built in socialist countries were used and traded in the bloc, western car makers totally wiped the market. And that happened with everything. That's why no exsocialist country has really recovered, all their young go to the capitalist core and eastern europe is dying off faster than any other part of the world
Против России практически все. Очевидно что в Россию будут штурмовать, душить санкциями и делать всë, чтобы отнять наши земли, ценные припасы и ядерное/атомное оружие. Одна жадность заставила пол грëбаногых стран МИРА объединиться чтобы попытаться забрать часть России. (Готов поспорить что если Россия падëт, США или какая-нибудь страна вроде неë или Китая заберëт всë оставшееся и потом все ополчатся на ту страну, которая заберëт территорию. Это работает как проклятие, для владельца
@@7h3_man да этот курс рубля сам ЦБ постоянно шатает, т.к. энергоносители за валюту продают, а бюджет в рублях расписан. Соц.выплаты и з/п, например, тоже в рублях выплачивают. Искусственно завышают, гады))
If Russia didn't fractured in the 90s, where people were literally dying to famine and criminal gangs roaming the streets with AKs, what would make it fracture _now?_ Most of the regions have more to lose by becoming independant than to gain.
Russian People are disappearing. How does Russia survive the Russian People? Are Russians going to come back from abroad? Are other people going to migrate to Russia and become Russified? That's what people mean. As long as there are Russians, Russia will survive. But the Russians are disappearing.
Psychology, the ghosts of the past were still too strong in 90's. But now it is 30 years and you have 1-1.5 generations that does not remember USSR and KGB. That can be something that will make it disintegrate.
It did fracture. USSR (basically Russia in other name) lost its the most predominantly non-Russian frontiers and had experienced severe bout of separatism in Caucasus region. Not to mention it had to federalise to check separatism of the region (ever wondered why regions like Tatarstan, Baskiria or Yakutia are being called Republics with their own Presidents and constitutions instead of Coverners like in every other oblasts?).
The Caucasus definately. Putin had to use a lot of force just to hold on to that area. I think it would be the first ethnic minority region to be lost if things got bad in Russia. I don't know about all these other ethnic minority regions though. I haven't heard of major insurgencies or independents movements in Siberia or close to, say, Kazachstan. They seem more friendly and accepting of their Russian identity, and perhaps these regions are just too sparsely populated to be viable countries in their own right.
There is nothing funnier than hearing a youtuber trying to put all anti-Russian cliches in a single 20-minute RUclips video 9:07 - 12:42 is just crazy, I don't even know how you can seriously critisize that
Some points to consider: 1) The perestroika tried (in a clumsy way) to fix the incredibly inefficient and centralized decaying economy and system of the communist regime, the Soviet Union was already crumbling, perestroika or not. 2) Ukraine has found huge deposits of oil and gas that can easily replace those of Russia: that, paired with its turn towards the West, made the invasion more than likely. Ukraine population is also quite aged with its younger people working abroad, is wasn't that much of a population gain (though obviously it would have helped). 3) Nuclear weapons are very costly to upkeep and maintain: their mythical huge numbers are to be taken seriously but with a grain of salt, it's not like they can be dismissed but you have to wonder how many of those thousands of nukes are operative, what is a state secret and could be quite low. 4) The population collapse is a shared problems with all developed nations, no one is safe. But Russia again, it privates Russia of its traditional strength of solving problems (send big numbers to die) and without it, it won't be able to maintain such bloated borders. Ukraine may be its last "just send thousands to die" strategy, yet they are not taking the big cities' youth for fear of a political revolt.
Another thing to consider is that among the developed nations facing a demographic crisis, it is said only the United States has the most good-ish demographics that can produce a good enough population of young people thanks in part to how the US population is more religiously conservative(the Mormons are literally carrying the US fertility rates)
Also nukes have a half-life of 20 years. They need to be updated and replaced regularly or they turn into duds. At least half of the nuclear bombs in the Russian arsenal are already duds by conservative estimates, some say 3/4.
The US has a huge influx of immigration. People are still buying the American dreams, despite its flaws. The USA still has one of the best if not the best universities out there plus they're a highly innovative country although it's healthcare system is simply trash
I like how you people see a video explaining why Russia is a sad shithole and why it will not last. And then promptly forget that the Soviet Union died in very similar circumstances and it took a decade.
@@techtical7079Forgot to mention that I would be able to finally leave my 5 room apartment to live in a cardboard house bought on a mortgage for 200 thousand dollars that will fall apart if I breath to hard, I wish I could taste the Starbucks soy milk grand latte for 40 bucks and if I stabbed my toe and went to the doctor having to pay amount equal to buying a car would be awesome. So sad that my authoritarian regime won't let me see what life in a first world country is like😢
Funny how your notorious sanctions didnt change my life a bit. The only thing that i noticed in every day life is the absence of coca-cola and no ads on youtube
10:30 , I know this might sound like a good point, but It was actually shocking to conventional Marxist theorists that Russia had a social revolution. It was supposed to happen in the most industrially developed societies: Germany and Britain. What I think people underestimated was: 1.) how rotten the door was to kick through (in regards to the czarist regime) 2.) how few choke points their were in the country to take command and control. The state hadn’t built up the same methods of industrial control in the same way Germany and Britain had. Essentially, capitalism was underdeveloped enough in Russia that it didn’t have the antibodies to prevent a popular socialist uprising
Good point Marx envisioned Socialism and then eventually communism rising out of prosperous capitalist nations not going from quasi-Feudalism to state socialism. Socialism was not really intended to solve the production problem imo but the distribustion and exchange problem.
these really arent the terms putin thinks in his popularity was plumeting so he needed something to boost that. he cant cheat the system again last time he tried the backlash and it would be even bigger this time. was massive he also cant retire because his system is build on him being the presidet and being essentially an autocrat there is a high probability he will be prosecuted within a year of his retirement so he needs extra rights in persecuting his political opponents and keeping people down and scared also he needs a popularity boost and the easiest way to get one is a small sucsessfull war he thinks of ukraine as a failed state that will approach him with no hesitation because this is what he was fed byhis inner circle for years now
@nicholasdarrylh.9062 The opposite is true. When you have term limits the politician only cares what happens during their term. And the referendum Russia held was to impose term limits, not remove them. Before Putin and Medevev alternated each term. The change of the constitution removed that loophole.
The video already starts with a lie. Ukraine is not some "tiny little" country resisting a huge aggressor. It already had the biggest military in Europe before the war. And of course it got endless financing of the entire NATO once the war started. Without such external global support, Ukraine would have indeed already collapsed seven times over.
@@turtleneck369 mobilization in russia lasted for 48 days in the fall 2022. Ukraine’s mobilization has been lasting for 2 years already and getting harder and harder.
This video is a great example that people who lives outside Russia shoudnt speculate in that bold way about it... Even experts who understand much more and have an access to some more advanced info are not that sure (if it is not for propaganda of course) about this kinda process. I dont really need much to say about because after some time we will see how it goes.
Its crazy how he said that this the "last nail in the coffin" for russia as a country, while it gave more opportunities for development and boosted the production inside the country, gave second life to the technologies which were abandoned after ussr collapse, globally it shaked the dollar world trade dominance and made BRICS new rising powerful alliance
There are sober people outside of Russia. But Russians have to cope with vodka. Russians are the greatest - but only as drunkards. Russian famous soul and culture is only vodka. What will you see what you can`t see now? There is no hope for you. Drink your vodka.
Well, you aren't the first guy in history to make this assumption. The idea of "the death of Russia" is like "the conquest of Afghanistan" or "the Prohibition (in the US)".
If anything the last year has told us that the military power of Russia is about comparable to Ukraine supplied with whatever the weapons were not good enough for the US army
@@debater452dosnt seem is going to in that direction tho, they are recovering in terms of economy and aparently they will also win the war after the failling ukranian counter offensige
I absolutely love to return to such videos after a year and wonder why Russia is still alive and kicking, and why its GDP has only grown since the 2022
All countries grow massively in GDP during war years, but it's a "false" growth. Yes on paper more is being produced when counted. But what's being produced isnt things that the economy needs. Tanks and weapons may inflate the total worth of everything the economy produces but a country does so by producing far less of what the economy actually needs and digging into its cash reserves or borrowing huge amounts. And there is a limit to how long an economy can keep this up.
@@thomasg6916the key thing to note though is that Russia has mobilized their civilian industries into the war effort meaning that it is undeniable that their arms industry has surged during this conflict
I think that one of the reasons for the invasion was the fear that Europe may have started opening up gas and oil fields in Ukraine thus not being reliant on Russian energy for the next 20 years or so whilst the transition to green energy including nuclear and I believe Ukraine has plenty of Uranium as well. It may well be not about what they gain so much as what they may lose, Putin has a history of getting rid of competitors in politics and might be using the same strategy in economics.
Russia wanted to get warm ports like Mariupol and Crimea who were originally part of Russia so that Russia isn't land locked. Most industries require importing things to work (chips, factory parts, etc...) and if Russia had a warm port in Crimea & Mariupol they could develop these industries instead of being dependent on exporting natural resources.
@@aoeu256 Or they could just keep the peace with other countries and ship using rail cars from those ports, like everyone else who relies on globalization and trade for their economy. Other countries also need peace to maintain an economy.
It's definitely priority #1 for Russia to remain the dominant exporter of oil to Europe. Without oil money the government will collapse because they don't really export anything else except smart Russians avoiding conscription
Russia was the 6th most industrialized country in the world by 1914, the Soviets didnt kick started Russia's industrialization as it is often assumed, but they sped it up.
to be completely fair, "5th most industrialised" is by sheer number of factories or something, probably not by something per X ppl. Still mean to exclude that russian empire in the last 15 ish years of it's existance did, altho slowly, develop some industries
@@TheChewman2001-Нет. Просто Российская Империя фактически была колонией Германии. Русские была "рабами" и слугами в этой "империи". В 1917-м году население России скинуло европейское рабство и попало в "красное рабство", во главе в евреями, которые устроили русским геноцид. В 1993 году после развала СССР, на бывшей территории "России" наступило "Американское/Западное рабство", продолжающееся до сих пор...Неужели вы до сих пор этого не поняли? Это так трудно узнать?
Man, this is 2024 West have become tired of the war, Ukraine is on the verge of the coup (zelensky vs zaluzhny), Russia had a remarkable economic growth previous year and all this with practically no effort from ordinary citizen. The problem is, that foreigners have a very limited perception of what Russia really is. It’s economy is more self-oriented than they think, the inner demand is a key driver of the economy as well as the ease, at which the country is capable of changing its supply chain (like oil exports to India and china, for example) There are many problems (for example problems of huge capital withdrawals by immigrants from former soviet republics that no one mentioned), but these problems are not what may lead to a collapse of the country. Moreover, everyone here remembers scary stories of the collapse of the Union and 90’s, as well as dreadful examples of failed states like Ukraine, Armenia, Tadzhikistan and Moldavia, that nobody wants to repeat it. Even in places like Yakutia (Tyva republic) or Komi republic people of local ethnicity are pro-state and highly unlikely would vote for branching from Russian Federation. That’s because Russian is not something like “German” or “Chinese” or “Latin”: not ethnically-based, but a nation-based
At first I was kinda sceptical about this video because of the tytle. But after I watched it I can't do anything but agree with it only giving little corrections. It's very hard nowadays finding a video about Russia on English RUclips that's not just saying "the Russians are badies cuz Putin😡😡🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬" and actually talks about our real problems and reasons behind our aggression. It's sad to realise how dark our possible future. And no one will help us. Even more, after the last events all the strongest governments will probably do everything for our collapse
It's very funny to look at old videos of bloggers about "how Russia will lose", "Sanctions will destroy them", etc. as soon as the Blogger says that Putin "just like that" invaded, it is already clear that he is not the best historian
@@glugtrop2010more than a half of that million+ are already returned, and these "hundreds of thousands dead" exist only in Hohol copium fairytales, buddy
Exactly. That's why they need to retake those regions, establish pipelines and sell them to the UE and use that money to rebuild their entire nation. So many people died because of this... In 2011 independent surveys found there to be _three times_ more oil and gas reserves in Ukraine than in Norway (a country which became VERY rich in the last few decades by exporting those resources to other countries). Putler's eyes lit up. That's why Crimea was illegally annexed soon after (in 2014). It holds the most resources of oil along the Black Sea. This war is about money.
@@phillipholland6795 No. Crimea was invaded by the Russian Empire in 1783. The Crimean Tatars who lived there were brutally massacred and deported in order to fill the place with Russian settlers.
@@Portlygolf don't need 20 years to see the obvious, i mean, listen to official financial report from russian finance ministry, they use many 'soft' terms and use quite an amount of doublespeak, but the picture they paint, brother, it's ain't pretty, not as gruesome as people expect it to be, but not pretty, not pretty at all
@@ghosts14_2 no, but that isn't going to happen. Funny to think how Americans who don't live in Russia make some takes on a fucking Russia collapse. live in fucking country to make decisions about it. And as a Russian myself, i can tell you that there's no signs of total collapse of Russia rn. And no, i am not a politics guy.
This guy studied Russian history in a McDonalds parking lot, using memes as the primary source and filling up the gaps with whatever he could pull from his ass.
Y’all know Zeihan also sources generally known information right? 😅 this isn’t even targeted towards you. I’ve just seen a lot of these kind of comments on many geography/sociology related videos.
The whole "OMG Russia can't conquer Ukraine" at17:40 is literally copied from Zeihan's recent lectures. He (Zeihan) says it all the time to emphasize how nukes might be a possibility.
I, as a young Russian, laugh a little, because there are really a lot of people who believe in these naive fantasies. For more than 1000 years, ill-wishers have been hoping that we will perish, but we always cope, this is a pattern.
@@philippinekatipunanflag4372 they were recognized by the German Empire, Austria-Hungaria, Ottomans and all of their allies in WW1. More so, they were even recognized by the soviets, after Germans helped drawing them out of Ukraine but after WW1 ended russians just went back to their imperialist policy.
@@mmaksymko I might be wrong but it wasn't really an invasion, Russia was just helping the Bolshevik party in Ukraine that made a civil war causing the collapse of the Ukraine people's Republic and creating the socialist Ukraine Republic which then joined the USSR.
@@haven_lady675 you're looking for oligarchs in a wrong place - Russian ones have their balls grabbed by the enforcers for a long time. Ukranian, however...
I don't think Russia will literallt collapse, but their "superpower" game is definitely over. America is so ahead it would take at least some 50 years for Russia to finally catch up)
It was Nazi genocide in Soviet Union that took 20 000 000 lives of citizens, not "throwing people at germans". The way you say it makes me deeply insulted, because my grandfather fought and died in that war. Did the Soviet government throw people at germans at Leningrad too? When the city was cut and starved down? Million people were starved to death by nazi. And you just say "throwing people at germans".
Not at all, I'd say only 20%. The only thing that applies to canada is the temperature and the fact that they are a northern country. and Canada is not attempting to invade any country.
@@zarkos2373 there's no country next to Canada that Russia coup'd in 2014 to put pro Russian forces in , and there's also no ethnic Canadians in that country that have been massacred for almost a decade , Russia also hasn't been training that country to use it as canon fodder against Canada.
This isn't even close to the worse crisis Russia has experienced....Russia has experienced the mongols, Napoleon, Sweden, The ottomans, Napoleon, devastating ww1 and an even more devastating civil war ,followed by a terrible ww2 ....and it still stood so...
Настолько плохо, что даже хорошо. Удачи всем дождаться, когда Россия наконец развалится. Здоровья, главное - оно понадобится, а то ждать придется долго.
And what has cheange russia maybe win the war pat that will not solve they proplem and they are still a Economy pupet of China and still one the way of collapsing. What i won tho say is that winning a war not magicly solve all your proplem
Я думаю что если дерево долго гниет, оно рухнет рано или поздно. Со страной то же самое. Но это не страшно, люди не исчезнут, и на этом месте будут другие страны. Белгородская Народная Республика, Московское царство, ТЫВА, Татарстан, Якутия, Сахалин, Республика Ичкерия ...
![Felix "Unfair" | [Stray Kids : SKZ-PLAYER]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/Oswujxm2Ag0/mqdefault.jpg)
Imagine being russian, having just listened to a man explain how your country will probably colapse and then trying to sell you skilshare
That is hilarious.
Ah America
Low Key telling Russians they have a skill issue
@@ejtattersall156 That's depressing
Literally me rn
I am Russian and I realized that the country was dying when I saw that I could not buy games on steam
There was actually a plan for the Soviet Union to sort of stay around called the "Union of Sovereign States", where most of the post-soviet states (All except the baltics, Georgia, and Armenia) would be semi-independent nations led by a council in Moscow with a unified foreign policy. It was supported by the majority of the population in all the remaining soviet states, but the attempted coup in 1991 killed the idea.
Source?
"Semi-independent countries led by a council in Moscow."
Thats not fucking Independence you fool
@@OkachaWasTaken search up August coup attempt
@@jacobjohnson4785 What does algeria have to do with the soviet union?
@@OkachaWasTaken maybe they misspelled armenia?
Author is definetely right. I suffer without tiktok and youtube ads.
🤣🤣
I like how Russians are saying this as if it's not a clear indicator that the big dogs don't wanna do business with you anymore
@@Ramonatho lmao. Big dogs are still here, they just have different names.
@@Ramonatho "big dogs dont wanna do business with you" dude never was in Russia
The image of Hank while talking about Russia's mineral exports literally killed me.
Damn, did you type this from beyond the grave? What's the afterlife like? Did you go to heaven or hell? Did you get reincarnated? Did you get sent to a parallel world? How did you come back?
Pro pane
@@Halcon_Sierreno 🤓🤓
@@Halcon_Sierreno What the hell are you talking about lol
@@Halcon_Sierreno Are you having a schizophrenic episode?
"And they all suck! No offense"
I like how Hoser sounds like a teenager who had a few beers and begins explaining shlt
but he's right
@Harry Groundwater and the shit hes explaining is the truth
"like a teenager"... Why "like" ?
Evidently you have never used russian and west combat systems
@@acoustic5738 you dont have to , we clearly see how effective they are in ukraine
As a Russian i can approve that i'm already dead
😁
Dead Inside?
@@cirno_the_mediocrity and outside as well zxc777
Дякую🎉
реально, тоже самое
пипец
Ah 😅
This aged well didn't it
While I do think this is an accurate analysis of what Russia is going through, let's not forget that not only Russia is close to a demographic crisis but the whole Europe is.
There isn't a single European country that has an above replacement level birth rate, some balkan and baltic nations are suffering from dramatic depopulation crisis and western europe is increasingly having to rely on non-european immigrants to keep their population afloat and it's still not enough while also creating the same problems Russia has with too many ethnic minorities.
Sounds like more of a problem of sending too many Russians to a pointless war to die zzzzzz
I think no country will ever go to that point of total collapse. There will be man or woman step up to kick asre and solve
Except North Korea.
Well, a LOT of migrants are coming here to Europe, how many people migrate to Russia? By the way... "too many ethnic minorities"? are you talking about... like... THE ENTIRE HISTORY OF EUROPE????
@@duhmzdaih Out-numbering of the native population by non-native immigration is arguably worse than a haemorrhaging population, look at western China and the Native Americans being wiped out as examples of that.
@@Fr_87 worse? haha, worse for WHOM??? what you say stinks of xenophobia. "native population"?? hahaha, unless you live in Africa, you are the descendent of migrants, period, at a certain generation, your ancestors WERE NOT in your "native" country. There are people in America, Asia, Europe and Oceania because people migrated there. Humans are migrants by definition, and "native" is a made-up concept that makes sense only from a tribalistic perspective. How do you define that a population is "native" in a certain place? a couple of centuries living there? a thousand years? it's always arbitrary, you can't define it in an objective way. Western China and Native Americans being wiped out? LOL "native" populations do the same to each other, look at the aztecs or the ancient greeks. Little boy, tribalism isn't limited to race or flags, there's tribalism in a family fighting another family, there's tribalism in gangs killing other gangs. Your examples are bad.
Although "The death of Russia" feels a bit dramatic, it is obvious that we are leading to that or something similar so there is very little to criticize. Nice job again with your research
your russian ?
Try Koreans. Birth rate of 0.7 pretty much tells they want to die.
@@igorkraljevski9191 north macedonians are literally bulgarians, what are you talking about...
Hope the US will fall too
Just plagiarized Peter Zeihan's points that he's repeated in his last 3 books. Probably lifted this from recent interviews as Z then brings up the spectre of Russian nuclear first use in lieu of conventional military success.
13:40 in fact Putin himself has admitted this failure. He says that the most tragic thing that has happened in Russia's entire history was the Collapse of the Soviet Union, and he said that he's unsure if they'll ever manage to remedy this.
Edit: for everyone asking, here's the link ruclips.net/video/nTvswwU5Eco/видео.html
source?
@@randomstuffprod. I'm sure looking it up yourself would be faster than waiting for a reply
and with saying that he made sure that all the ex- svoiet countries hate him forever:) and there is no possibility for us EVER being friends....good job Putin! Almost eeverybody inmy country except for some brainwashed russians think that Soviet collapse was the best thing ever happened in here , nobody wants it back
@@HK-gm8pe I'm certain that life in the Soviet Union was bad, horrible in fact. But from a strategic standpoint, it was bad for Russia. The Soviet Union, at least in Putin's mind, did not need to be communistic in ideology. It just had to remain a united entity, a Eurasian Union of sorts.
@@misomoistt4848 I just always ask for sources. I think it's good to be sure the person is not just making it all up.
After a while, the author turned out to be right. Life without RUclips ads has become unbearable. I hope these grave consequences will serve as a lesson for the whole world.
lol , you crazy
I know right, man living in the Russian thriving economy is such a hassle, i have to get up everyday and live in one of the most developed and powerful country in the world 😅 this youtuber is a joke!!
@@Gynophobe1 Can't tell if you're being sarcastic or not.
@@dan-bz7dz Obviously not, Russia is an amazing country and even during the war everything is fine. Don't believe me? come see for yourself.
@@Gynophobe1so great you have lost 40% of the occupied territories so far
Man I apreciate you educating us young people in an engaging way. A lot of people that try to "teach" us modern-day politics take advantage of us newbs and our naivety by swaying us to one side of thinking or another through exaggeration, fabrication, or straight up propaganda. You coulda easily said Putin bad, or Nato bad, and most of us woulda belived you. But for at least the most part you keep it real man.
It's funny u say that bc they still do that. The only difference in this case is that they're using well researched data, geography and history, and taking them to present overly exaggerated opinions that should not be taken as factually accurate! The research is good but the conclusions are seriously flawed (such as they're main point that Russia will see a significant decline or vanish in 20 or so years). Not to mention they literally called Putin "evil" in the video.
@@2912sweetiepie Fair enough clear bias does show through in areas. But it could be a lot worse.
@@2912sweetiepie you wish lol. The simplification of complex historical matters in his videos is honestly pretty concerning. Dumbing down history to simple factors of cause and effect (like industrialisation means birthrate collapse) leads you down a path of blindness towards contingencies. And history is full of contingencies.
Though I must agree that the animals are cute :3
@David Montgomery i mean there are thinkers, who had a deterministic world view, but still thought the only way to deal with inevitable decline is to fight against it (best example is Oswald Spengler).
Obviously one has to ask why a situation, where a Putin can act like this, happens in the first place. But we ask this to prevent something similar to happen again and that is only possible if we accept contingencies as part of history.
He just goes into depth. Do that with anything and eventually you will arrive at the truth. His style/delivery tho is all time great narrative.
Russia will decline and not be a “superpower” anymore but it will surely still exist as a nation.
To destroy a nation it takes a lot of effort, look at south sudan that took 25 years and 2-3 million (SS population was never above 8 million before indipendence) deaths to become indipendent.
Russia is already not a superpower.
Interesting video! Can you give me your comment about my channel? Thank everyone
Sure, but the USSR also collapsed fairly quickly and effortlessly compared to some other countries. It wouldn't be hard to imagine Russia going out the same way.
@@binbows2258 Russia is more mono ethnic than USSR was. Russians were only 50% of USSR's population, but now they are at 80% in modern Russia. So it's not really the case of nation collapsing, but of government change
That war traumatized the South Sudan nation we fought hard for independence 🇸🇸
"tiny Ukraine" = biggest country in Europe, with support from NATO members and some others countries. Military support that forced them to empty their own warehouses. Well... It is very strange that the conflict has dragged on so long, yeah?
Its not the first time in the last 200 years haters are saying that Russia is done
And it wouldn’t be the first time in 200 years that Russia did actually collapse, the communist revolution over the tzar and the Soviet collapse in the 90’s. Definitely has collapsed more times than say America.
@@dabubba4603and Russia is still standing
@@amkmapping-hu9ud how does this refute the fact that Russia is still standing?
@@mariatheoak its standing with a new government system.
@@amkmapping-hu9ud and?
as a Russian, I’ll say that all those problems that were on the video have always been in the history of Russia, and this did not lead to the complete disappearance of the state (plus, the fact that there are a huge number of revenge-seekers in Russian society) and experts who remained from the time of the Soviet Union who can describe in more detail about Russian society and why Russia will NOT fall apart or disappear (compared to overseas experts who actually do not understand anything about Russia)
But now their economy, military, and population arguably cannot absorb Russia's next collapse like in '17 and '91.
Russia's arguably been in decline as a great power since the Russo-Japanese War (and had maybe even sowed the seeds of its destruction even further back with the Crimean War).
I hope your country becomes great again. It truly is tragic how much suffering the Russian people have gone through during the past century.
@@dallas9397 Russia is special most nations have cycles of prosperity and misery but Russia is a continual spiral of just misery
The correct word for the "revenge seekers" is revanchists
It's a huge misconception that Russia had no industry by World War I. Russia was industrializing rapidly just prior to the war. The big problem Russia faced was that it couldn't easily retool that industry to support a war effort. So a factory that made tools couldn't easily be converted into making guns. Most of this industry was wiped out during the Russian Civil War and then the Soviets understanding the need for a strong industry rapidly, but more importantly forced industrialization. Which along with the prior wars collapsed Russia's birthrate and killed millions.
also they mobilized in record times wich surprised the germans forcing them to withdraw A LOT of their forces from the western front but it also was made extremely hap haphardeos wich made the army qutte inefficient
The link of a collapsing birthrate to industrialization is kinda shaky in this context as the obvious answer as to why people stopped having kids around the late 80s is the ridiculous poverty caused by the botched market transition
@@bagrat6085 yes
in the 2010s or 2000s people were living more or less well before the moth decided to annex some stuff
and oh wonder the birthrate was above the deathrate
The soviet union was led by hebrews. We goyim are just cattle to them
I mean people generally have that perception because they assume there has to be some reason why Russia's massive numerical advantage didnt count for more in WW1 but the reality of that is just that their military doctrine was incredibly horrifyingly terrible in the context of industrialized total war.
I find it super cool that you use animals to show countries, like how Russia is a bear, America is a buffalo (or bison, I can't tell the difference), Greece is a dolphin, Turkiye is a cat, Spain is a bull, Germany is a eagle, Norway and Sweden are both moose, etc, etc.
Buffalo is the same as bison
And Romania as a bat! 😂
Is Ukraine honey-badger? )))
USA should have been a Bald Eagle
@@Sam_Sam2 Bison. American Buffalo aren’t real buffalo, they’re bison
Clearly not propaganda
Bias maybe but propaganda isn’t the case also most things that was talked about are true about Russia
when you go so far in strategizing for a country that you go into considering a post-apocalyptic scenario
Fallout IRL baby!!!
"my life is like a video game" moment
@Text Reader then I hope that its Metro Exodus then
@Text Reader ironically Metro 2033 was made by ukrainian developers
@@Mark-tb2oz they planned it didn’t they XD
What im ultimately the most scared of is Russia getting backed into a corner and "forced" to bring in the nukes. I'm from Finland but I'm just worried for other countries, including Russia, as i am for my own. I don't want any innocent people from either side to die
it will be bad for everyone.there is no bad nation, there are bad people. And wishing someone dead is very low thing.
I am from Russia and the fact that my country will collapse is worse than a nuclear war, because the history of my country is so great that I cannot believe that it will end like this. I hope that after the Ukrainian war my people will not be split and we will finally bring ourselves freedom, prosperity and unity. #NoPutin #FreeNavalny #FreeTheRussia
@@FourtoslavGenrikhovich Если Россия и развалиться, то полностью она не исчезнет. Максимум, исчезнет федерация.
@@schwinkle716 по мнению Ходорковского, будет необходимо переучреждение государства
Well worry not as Russia won’t ever instigate a nuclear war. Russia’s main priority right now is to stay afloat and starting a nuclear war against the world would be counterintuitive and is the last thing they would want.
The "soviet car" in the video was actually an east german manufactured Trabant, which while not pretty fast and luxourious, is absurdly reliable and robust
My French teacher’s first car was a soviet model. It was always broken due to its age but repairs were easy and cheap so it was very useful for him when he was younger.
Not with it´s two stroke and plastic body. Even though I like Trabant myself, it was a nightmare of a car even when it comes to it´s reliability
Trabant is not a car, it's a lifestyle😎😎
...of eternal suffering and torture by the own government who ought to keep you happy and alive, who knows everything about you, sometimes more than you do.
But Trabante are cool
I've been listening to this for 15 years now, but the traffic jams are getting bigger and bigger
“How many dictators does it take to turn an empire into a Union of ruinous states? It’s a disgrace what you did to your own people.” Rasputin
Anyone who ever sold you pierogi? Shot! - Joseph Stalin
@@elkeking3940 “we have only to kick the door and the whole rotten structure will come crashing down”
-hitler on the ussr
@@helast3916 How did hitler manage to get on the USSR? And who will get him down??
Interesting video! Can you give me your comment about my channel? Thank everyone
“One time in freezing cold, my comrades and I try heroin; no effect.” -Joseph Stalin
Honestly, I feel like Russia won't die or collapse; Russia as a nation has gone through much worse in its history and still prevailed, so I think Russia totally collapsing is sort of un-likely.
I would not say they have prevailed in any regard. They have limped along.
hope the prevailed you mean here isn't related to being victorious, as @Log said, they have barely been keeping up.
At 13:06, he kinda made a argument for it. The one huge factor to why the Russian Empire/USSR were able to go through such terrible events is due to their population.
Now if you said USSR or Russian Empire, then you are correct, they would somehow survive through what modern 2022 Russia is experiencing.
But Russia is not USSR or Russian Empire. They lost all their buffer states, their population, and everything else h0ser explain in the video.
You're right- it'll explode. There'll be an ethnic Russian core west of the Urals, though, indefinitely.
@@pablodelsegundo9502 Both east and west of the Ural, both sides are mainly made up of ethnic russians.
While I do respect your opinion and analysis, let’s not forget how Poland was wiped out of existence for more than a century and still existed. Countries are not broken so easily, it’s the people and its heritage that make it live forever.
Well yes, but are Russians really unified the same way that Poles were? The Chechen wars kinda say otherwise. Note that the video doesn't exactly say that Russia will cease to exist altogether, rather that Russia in its current state will die, with various regions with different cultures and peoples breaking away.
Got to have babies so there IS a next generation to come back
When was Poland wiped out of existence for more than a century?
Who occupied them?
@@sadeksama5057 really dude?
@@alinalexandru2466 yea I'm not European
I know the USSR and Germany both occupied Poland during ww2
Then the USSR had alot of influence on them afterwards
RUclips recommended this to me so I'm just going to say I disagree. This comment probably won't be visible but I will still write it. People who think Russia will collapse are willfully ignorant that Iran also exists and has been under economic sanctions for much longer than Russia and has been much more isolated than Russia and had much less industry than Russia. Iran still stands and Iran won't collapse anytime soon. The same can be said for Russia.
Writing a reply simply to show that this comment isn't invisible
So true
I partialy agree because iran doesn't have Russia's demografic problems
Not to mention European countries still make backdoor deals with Russia despite the sanctions. It's all circus and lip service. This is one of thosewishful thinking videos that will age like milk.
The Russia won't collapse but USA will (due to its large portions of evil Americans in comparison to Good Americans based on how many Twitter dorks are) due to their disrespect to other nation's culture, 2 side of the same coin (both woke and anti-woke), dystopian collapse of AAA industry (both gaming and entertainment), and the capitalism that motivated greediness that cause poverty (so greedy people are the main cause of the creation of all the crimes existed)
„Collapse“
I didn’t see any collapse when I went there. Sure it looks depressing, but which post Soviet country has no depressing places?
Russia can't even keep it's own citizens warm.
I remember, when I was young Russian graduate I could not afford to purchase my own apparent, to get married, and have kids. You need money to do all these investments in the country-s future. All the jobs available are bad low paying jobs. And I understood that I was not stupid, I was not lazy. I have no future, the whole country has no future, because all married couples I know have one kid for M + W.
It was like in America the woman were so easy it's like they don't have any men there.
Funny how it's America collapsing an Russia is now destroying nato@@engineerenginering8633
@@engineerenginering8633 source is american TV?
Watching this from Russia. Having a great laugh. Nice fanfiction, bro.
Cope
@@mikekekimdon’t tell Russian what to do, Yankee 😉
@@mikekekimIf Ukraine losses the war against Russia, it’s simply because the west allowed Russia to win.
-soyboys at infographics show
Значит, видимо некоторый тебе подобный пипл у нас живёт в параллельной реальности. Вполне нормальные были приведены в видео аргументы, но принять их некоторым горе-патриотам сложно.
@@kerikplay1692ну бля хуй знает, ежедневно выкатывают подобные видосы и ничего не происходит. Аргументы из видео применимы к любому моменту истории России. Жизнь не стала хуже, самое странное что случилось так это пожар на складе доставки откуда пожарным удалось спасти здоровый дилдо.
The author really touches on very important problems of today's Russia - a failed social and economic policy. (Not to mention domestic politics). Russia cannot get out of the demographic pit and does not want to get off the raw material economy.
However, is this a guarantee of the future collapse of Russia? I doubt. Over the next 20-30 years, the situation inside Russia itself may change repeatedly, and the option of overcoming all of the above problems cannot be ruled out.
In general, a good video, but too many loud and exaggerated statements.
Yeah I know this video makes such major political inaccuracy with trying to avoid the blame of the invasion from Putin
I think when he says, "death of russia" he means that at the very least we will see a change in the regime, he say it like that in fact, i agree he overexagerate in words, but at the end might not be that inaccurate, there is a multiethnical fabric inside of russia, and idk if for example the tatars, yakuts i'd say chechens but kadirov (i think its called its dictator) its full on the idea to go and fight however idk if the people of chechenya itself would sign up for that.
Russia is losing influence in its own backyard which was the central asian steppe towards its own "ally" china, and china will have more and more influence over russia due to its isolation becoming a one sided relationship, more like the relation between the us and mexico (im not saying it will become exactly that, but it will go one side, to the chinas side)
The russia we know today may cease to exist due to this very war
Almost everything wrong in the video
0:25 so apperantly trying to breach another countrys security isnt an attack on a sovereign state hmmm ok good logic
0:41 invaded crimea ? thats like saying castel invaded catalonia. Slavs were on the peninsula even before the tatars which were btw in small numbers and did not claim nor inhabit all of the peninsula. You can go and fact check this in the wiki with the earliest records of the population.
0:58 bismarck would laugh at you. A nation that has a history going back more than 1000 year with such a spirit and willingness to sacrifice will not dissapear. We have seen the russians pull trough simular events.
1:11 yes, yes it is big mighty and scary.
1:32 ohh god another ,,military expert"
1:34 ,,steamrolling" 🤦♀️🤦♀️🤦♀️
The lack of research shows. Bruh ukraine had the second biggest military in europe aside from russia. 200.000 regualr personal, 115.000 paramilitary forces thousands of tanks,ifv, artialry, enourmass suppoet from wesrern nations. Should i continues ? I mean yeah russsia could have steamrolled over the nation if they brough more than 600.000 troops, used their strategic and tactical bombers and had raised everrything to the ground leaving mass civilian casualties they could have wraped this in a month or so something like what the americans did in iraq. However i dout any of us want so much casualties.
1:37 sending mem in the grinder for a lost cause isnt putting up a good fight its just grinding yourself to nothingness.
1:42 we are still waiting. First they said it was only about a month untill the sanctions start to work, then they said it was a few months now theya re saying years after that it will be decades. There are many opinions on this somw say the russian economy wont even get a scratch some say they will be severly dmaaged. One thing is certain europenas are not happy with how much they have to sacrifice for a natio that they dont even care for. Sancrions also have an effect on the nation that inplements them as well further making our economic crisis worse.
1:50 nope
1:53 how can you be so bold ? Well there is the young and stupid factor, arogance and overconfidence in ones abilities and so on, we have to take into account current events and the predictions that we make fron those events, which can be and they are wring dew to the fac taht every single day somwthing happens and something changes which completely alter the future and makes pur predictions worthless.
2:11 yes and no there is nore than just the snow in siberia and with the way things are going wirh climate change tht picture might change, notice i said might.
2:16 wow guys where there are recources there is civilization, who would think of it. I can literlay use the same argument you just made for wyoming, montana, idaho,etc.
2:20 doeamt mean there arent any recources and as isad with the way climate chenge is going things might change. I see people applying the thing i say to greenland and everything you siad can as well be applied to greenland but it somehow matter only for russia ?
2:40 its as if the russian are tired of this and want to prevent it hmm maybe maybe understanding that and trying to be considarate would mean a whole lot to the russians.
2:51 uhhh not realy they do the scorched earth tactic becauase all armies no matter how many supplies they have always run out of them and need more so they always go for the napoleonic approach of feeding of the land. Unless russia is hit quickly they will pull you in a slow drawn out battle where they will grind you to death.
3:32 that js whay they are doing what they are doing.
3:38 yeah what if ? The russians habe already said it they will not fear to use any and all weapon of mass destruction in heir aresenl if such an attack occured
3:42 ok cool but what next ? They take moscow blow up the Kremlin or st.Basil and then what ? Where do we go from here ? Remeber one frenchman did that, the poles did it and what did russia surrender ? No they kept fighing and fighing. Many people see moscow as the endgame but this iant france or germany, no this nation is whole different animal. Mustache man was criticised by many for not listening to his generals but infact in most of rhe tiems he was right when he was proposing to take key cities with industeies or oil field they wanted to have trip to moscow. Then that turned into a trip to berlin.
4:06 precisely why they have been inveating in alternatice routs like the arctic or the one from india through iran to russia.
4:16 giess the black sea is useless is this why it was a major point of inteest for nato which they lost when the russians retook crimea oofff that sweet sevastopol port would have been so nice if it was in the hands of nato but its not. I dont think i need to mention turkey we already know the relation it has with russia.
7:22 hmm lets fact check this shall we using 2002-2010 data
In the nenets autonomous okrug
ethnic russians are thr ones who ahve grown in number.
In the kalmyk repubic russian have gone down slightly but so as orher ethnic groups the main ome the kalmyks are keeping their population up bu the increase is slow
In the republic of degestan its the same as in kalmyk although here is the problen such a diverse republic of 13 ethnic groups will not be able to stay alive for long not to mention its largely tribal so even if they wanted to and they dont want to no resistance can be offered to russia authorities.
In the altai region this time with data from 2014 russians are still the majority and have decreased with less than a 2000 for 12 years while the ethnic population has increased with the same amount for the same time.
In chukotka the number of people is low very low the natives chukchians make up only 26.7% of the population and with a growth of 100 people per 10 yeara they arent replacingbthe ethnic slavic (russian ukrainian population) which is more than half of the population there.
In buryatia ths slavic population is still the majority with the main ethnic group the buryats growing with 14.000 for about 8 years.
In the zabalkayski krai the slavic population is almost a million while the ethnic tatars and buryats dont number combined even a 100 thousand.
8:07 one thing that is a stereotype by our time. Russsia has taken extensive measures to adress this problem and has been droping in alcohol abuse and consumption a lot in the recent years. Btw the highest alcohols consumption rates are held by other europeans nations like hungary, latvia, slovakia,etc.
8:41 i dont know where your statisitcs come from but they are wrong data from johns hopkin university shows that only 377k have died in russia. How much od them were old and how many ethnic russians ? Considering that the majority of people who die from covid are the old ones.
8:45 no official death tol has been released but even the worst case scenario its going to be nothing like the cope from the brittish and the pentagon who have lied to us before time and time
9:05 no they were not they were an empire that was going to be a masive unbeatable giant until the dumb bolsheviks appeared also alcohol was not a comodity in imperial russia.
9:46 to say all rulers treared russians badly is to say that the frech monarchy was alwsys so generous to its people
10:02 wow you mean that improvrished farming wasnt the status quo in the 16th, 17th and 18th centuary in other natiins considering the industrial revoluti started in 1760 before which even the richest european peasants werent exactlymiles ahed of their russian coubterparts or yards or inches even.
10:09 how was the japanses force infieior ? They had almost the exact number of men as the russians and have been industrializing and getting recources from korea, the number of deaths is alsp simular on both sides. This is written as a big loss foe the russians but in reality everybody just downplays how much of power japan was and its done on purpose to sh*t on the russians just like now with ukraine which btw had one of the largest armies in europe.
10:15 the russian started to have problems with suply late in the war
10:16 is this why their producrion doubled and were begining to industrialize ? Yes they disnt had the industrial capacity of western nations but the major problem was revolution
10:25 what was the strategy for the others then ? No seriosly what was their genious western doctrines ?
What was the price for a mile of land on the western front ?
10:42 none of those descriptions mattered as communism was forced and there was support for the tsar or for anything that wasnt communist
10:50 i am from an eastern block nation and i know how these apartments look they arent small at all.
@@Silver_Prussian Tankie + Bad Grammar + Cope + Deflecting + Bad analysis + You're losing the war + Draft dodging.
@@Silver_Prussian Good analysis, you have to be very dumb to think otherwise
Ну че, мы уже померли?
Yeah kinda
no@@macaroni9496
щеневмерли ещё братан
@@architech007 бля ждём получается
Еще не вмерли
People have been pointing out these problems for literally centuries. Germany in both world wars thought they could “kick down the door and bring down the whole rotten structure”. These problems severely harm any efforts to become a modern industrialized economy and Russian society and governance is totally corrupt but by no means is it in danger of not existing.
The secessionist threat is also not really that big. Yes “only” 75% of Russia is Russian but there is no ethnic group near big enough to actually plausibly ever succeed in full secession. Look at what happened to Grozny. Russia would rather and absolutely will simply level a city before letting it leave their grasp.
If anything, all this corruption and isolation only strengths Russian cohesion. When all of the west is against Russia, it makes it very easy to unify Russians under the banner of “us vs them”.
Did you even pay attention to the video? Things have completely changed and Russia no longer has the population edge nor the impetus to retain its once imperial power.
Seeing how inept the russian army is, how ethnic russians are quickly aging and dying out sand how quickly the West will jump in to weaken the Kremlin, secession as a possibility can only increase. These young Chechens who were kids during the war are now becoming fathers. The turkic folks may eventually decide to team with China. Things have changed completely.
Absolutely. Russia DOES have many problems, which is why it is so underpopulated, poor and backward. But that doesn't mean it will cease to exist and more than other countries with problems. Personally I don't want to live in a country run by kleptocrats, with a male life expectancy of 58, endemic unemployment, a per capita GDP like Chile and Equatorial Guinea - where even that money is all siphoned off by the Oligarchs for their super yachts.... But no doubt Russia will continue indefinitely as a backward country with a rose-tinted view of its past and undeserved optimism about its future.
Leave it to a Kremlin bot to say corruption is their strength.
N Korea also functions this way. That does not mean it is a relevant international player.
@@pratyushdam1 russia and north korea both use these tactics but the reason why north korea is irrelevant is cause it’s tiny as hell russia is just that big
I guess to an extent the problem here is that Russian leadership wants to continue Russia along at some what of a same stature level as before, while of course also becoming rich off of it. Excessive pride and greed are common themes before major disasters.
Of course this also indicates a way Russia could get out of it, 'if' it were capable of such a reform. Which is to limit its ambitions and greed, to invest more in the country while for instance aligning with other entities and accept it isn't able to do everything on its own any more. In such a case a realistic policy could be made and the country could survive and the people could even become substantially more wealthy. It's the kind of adjustment the various European nations to their West made, at times with great difficulty, but when done successfully gave them a new window to a future.
Still, that's a pretty big 'if', is Russia at the moment capable of reinventing itself?
even economic or politics cant fix a people who lost in ugly citys, nihilism, abuse, alcoholism, mass abortion of children (population decline)...but the west is maby less then 100 years from same issues.
I have advice toRussia....maybe they should try to get along with its neigbours? And not threaten us with war all the time would be nice aswell....we have tried to getalong with Russia but Putin simply makes it impossible, also Russia held soo many countries captive for sooo long...its no miracle that everyone inhere hates Russia
Russia is a land of Hail Marys. They always seem to defy the odds, defy every expectation of dying. Peter the Great RAPIDLY advanced Russia within a generation, Stalin made it from a civil war ridden country to the second superpower, either Russia dies or they somehow against all odds throw a successful Hail Mary pass. I’ll eat my underwear if they actually manage to reform somehow
The key word(s) here is "reinvent itself"
Well, they could gain some help from China, but that can only help so much as their core political and social problems still persist.
Man this is all good and logical but it shows that you've never been to Russia and you probably don't really understand how it works. By Russia I don't mean Moscow and Saint P, I mean the rest of it. This country will Never Die. And I don't mean it in any heroic/patriotic/propaganda-oriented way, there is no emotion in it. Throughout history Russia got beaten, partially conquered, decimated, mutilated, thrown into the moral nothingness of capytalistic world after the fall of USSR, and is still here. It's just a fact. Hard to argue with. Now Russia is going through yet another dark phase of its existence. That's also a fact. And imo it's not even the darkest part of this phase at the moment. But will it die as a country? I don't think so. It will drastically change though, that's for sure.
Каждый раз Россия перерождается, но остаётся Россией и даёт врагам пиздюлей. Every time Russia is reborn, but it remains Russia and gives the enemies a pussy.
Many mistakes as in claiming Russia's population was always small. In 1913 it was 12% of the world. If there was no revolution, no civil wars and famines, today Russia would have 400-600 million people also depends on ww2. The 31 years from 1914 to 1945 were hellish in Russia demographic wise. WW1, Revolution, Civil War, Famines due to destroyed infrastructure, forced industrialization just to prepare for an eventual war that everyone was preparing for. Even Stalin said in the 30s that the USSR must do 50 years of industrialization in 10 if it wants to survive the onslaught that was being prepared (Nazi Germany). Unfortunately too many lives were lost because some European country thinks it's too strong and that invading Russia would be a great idea. The Germans have been the worst in this. Especially Nazis that killed tens of millions of civilians apart from military targets. Those 28 million lost from 1941 to 1945 were the actual death blow to Russia. If those 28 million mostly young people that died and were killed had children then the USSR would have not collapsed. 1960s Soviet Union would be more ethnically Slavic and many areas were they were a small minority would be surely populated. The biggest problem with Ukraine is that it was always treated as core Russian land. An extreme ammount of investment went there. Plane factories, ship factories, all kinds of industry was built there. Ukraine since 1654 was part of Russia and no one thought that a drunkard friend of Bill Clinton would basically f*ck up the country in 1991 and would unconstitutionally split it. Also the August coup against Gorbachev by hardline communists killed the desire for a reformed USSR that was voted in favor by more than 75% of the population of 9 republics. At that point only Moldova, Georgia, Armenia and the Baltic countries wanted out. The other 9 (Belarus, Ukraine, Russia, Azerbaiyan and all 5 central asian republics wanted to keep the Soviet Union but only with reforms. After the coup against Gorbachev that didn't target Yeltsin for some reason Yeltsin got out and after getting some support expelled the putchists. At the same time he totally banned the Communist party and all of its activities. He was rushing to complete the mission given to him by his Western backers and after banning the CP he just gathered with the presidents of Ukraine and Belarus and dissolved the country and after that Gorbachev instead of putting a fight or doing anything just admitted defeat and resigned. To me it seems like Western money just found the people who had no issue in destroying their country. After that the West instead of integrating Russia into the Western world did everything to cripple all of the Eastern Bloc with their "Shock Therapy" economic doctrine which left most exsocialist countries poor, deindustrialized and with no future. If before Bulgarian wine was sold through the whole socialist bloc of 450 million people, now no one needed it. If before cars built in socialist countries were used and traded in the bloc, western car makers totally wiped the market. And that happened with everything. That's why no exsocialist country has really recovered, all their young go to the capitalist core and eastern europe is dying off faster than any other part of the world
That's just absolutely how it is. Thanks for spreading the truth
Bro wrote an entire essay💀
bro trying to cope
that is the most russian take
"not its not me its LITERALLY everybody else"
cope harder lmao the soviet union was doomed to fail from the start
Чё, опять? Каждые две недели умираем. Задолбали уже.
Да уж, только об этом и мечтают.
Против России практически все. Очевидно что в Россию будут штурмовать, душить санкциями и делать всë, чтобы отнять наши земли, ценные припасы и ядерное/атомное оружие. Одна жадность заставила пол грëбаногых стран МИРА объединиться чтобы попытаться забрать часть России. (Готов поспорить что если Россия падëт, США или какая-нибудь страна вроде неë или Китая заберëт всë оставшееся и потом все ополчатся на ту страну, которая заберëт территорию. Это работает как проклятие, для владельца
курс рубля не согласен
@@7h3_man да этот курс рубля сам ЦБ постоянно шатает, т.к. энергоносители за валюту продают, а бюджет в рублях расписан. Соц.выплаты и з/п, например, тоже в рублях выплачивают. Искусственно завышают, гады))
@@7h3_man пятачок спрячь, мыкола.
If Russia didn't fractured in the 90s, where people were literally dying to famine and criminal gangs roaming the streets with AKs, what would make it fracture _now?_ Most of the regions have more to lose by becoming independant than to gain.
Russian People are disappearing. How does Russia survive the Russian People? Are Russians going to come back from abroad? Are other people going to migrate to Russia and become Russified? That's what people mean. As long as there are Russians, Russia will survive. But the Russians are disappearing.
@@shorewall To dissappear in just a couple decades they'll need nothing short of a retaliatory genocide.
Psychology, the ghosts of the past were still too strong in 90's. But now it is 30 years and you have 1-1.5 generations that does not remember USSR and KGB. That can be something that will make it disintegrate.
It did fracture. USSR (basically Russia in other name) lost its the most predominantly non-Russian frontiers and had experienced severe bout of separatism in Caucasus region. Not to mention it had to federalise to check separatism of the region (ever wondered why regions like Tatarstan, Baskiria or Yakutia are being called Republics with their own Presidents and constitutions instead of Coverners like in every other oblasts?).
The Caucasus definately. Putin had to use a lot of force just to hold on to that area. I think it would be the first ethnic minority region to be lost if things got bad in Russia.
I don't know about all these other ethnic minority regions though. I haven't heard of major insurgencies or independents movements in Siberia or close to, say, Kazachstan. They seem more friendly and accepting of their Russian identity, and perhaps these regions are just too sparsely populated to be viable countries in their own right.
There is nothing funnier than hearing a youtuber trying to put all anti-Russian cliches in a single 20-minute RUclips video
9:07 - 12:42 is just crazy, I don't even know how you can seriously critisize that
Славянский зажим яйцами
Yes
Славяне-это потомки сарматов, тюрок и монголов. Они не европейцы.
fr
Some points to consider: 1) The perestroika tried (in a clumsy way) to fix the incredibly inefficient and centralized decaying economy and system of the communist regime, the Soviet Union was already crumbling, perestroika or not. 2) Ukraine has found huge deposits of oil and gas that can easily replace those of Russia: that, paired with its turn towards the West, made the invasion more than likely. Ukraine population is also quite aged with its younger people working abroad, is wasn't that much of a population gain (though obviously it would have helped). 3) Nuclear weapons are very costly to upkeep and maintain: their mythical huge numbers are to be taken seriously but with a grain of salt, it's not like they can be dismissed but you have to wonder how many of those thousands of nukes are operative, what is a state secret and could be quite low. 4) The population collapse is a shared problems with all developed nations, no one is safe. But Russia again, it privates Russia of its traditional strength of solving problems (send big numbers to die) and without it, it won't be able to maintain such bloated borders. Ukraine may be its last "just send thousands to die" strategy, yet they are not taking the big cities' youth for fear of a political revolt.
Another thing to consider is that among the developed nations facing a demographic crisis, it is said only the United States has the most good-ish demographics that can produce a good enough population of young people thanks in part to how the US population is more religiously conservative(the Mormons are literally carrying the US fertility rates)
@@AureliusLaurentius1099 not really the Mexicans carry the fertility rate if not even higher than average lol
@@luissimental6302 It's not a developed nation. It's developing, with rising demographics.
Also nukes have a half-life of 20 years. They need to be updated and replaced regularly or they turn into duds. At least half of the nuclear bombs in the Russian arsenal are already duds by conservative estimates, some say 3/4.
The US has a huge influx of immigration. People are still buying the American dreams, despite its flaws. The USA still has one of the best if not the best universities out there plus they're a highly innovative country although it's healthcare system is simply trash
Watch, they collapse any second now... Aaaany second now....
I like how you people see a video explaining why Russia is a sad shithole and why it will not last. And then promptly forget that the Soviet Union died in very similar circumstances and it took a decade.
@@techtical7079 Aaaaааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааny second now....
@@gzegoshbreshtashikevichIt's only been a year
@@techtical7079Forgot to mention that I would be able to finally leave my 5 room apartment to live in a cardboard house bought on a mortgage for 200 thousand dollars that will fall apart if I breath to hard, I wish I could taste the Starbucks soy milk grand latte for 40 bucks and if I stabbed my toe and went to the doctor having to pay amount equal to buying a car would be awesome. So sad that my authoritarian regime won't let me see what life in a first world country is like😢
@@debater452 aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaany second now......
2022 Russia will fault
2023 Russia will win
Technically every geopolitical youtuber
So a year later, how's your prediction going?
I suggest you to make a video "The death of Canada".
That's going to be interesting, isn't it?
Canada now as a critical lack of immigrants.
Sure, and make sure to use an AI software to change his voice for Trudeau's very own, for increased accuracy.
@Blackout_CDXXYa know if all of you keep leaving no wonder the country is failing.
Looking at this more than a year after this was released
This aged about as well as milk
Why
Aye, Russia will be fine.
Funny how your notorious sanctions didnt change my life a bit. The only thing that i noticed in every day life is the absence of coca-cola and no ads on youtube
"Sure"
@@debater452 come and see for yourself
But Cola from Chernogolovka factory is even better then original one!
@@LapkaKutiapka не, но вот байкал и квас по прежнему есть
оригинальная всё равно лучше была
@@Ion43 Ну не знаю. Я подсел на Черноголовку и больше не хочу возвращаться к оригинальной. Но у всех разные предпочтения.
10:30 , I know this might sound like a good point, but It was actually shocking to conventional Marxist theorists that Russia had a social revolution. It was supposed to happen in the most industrially developed societies: Germany and Britain. What I think people underestimated was: 1.) how rotten the door was to kick through (in regards to the czarist regime) 2.) how few choke points their were in the country to take command and control. The state hadn’t built up the same methods of industrial control in the same way Germany and Britain had. Essentially, capitalism was underdeveloped enough in Russia that it didn’t have the antibodies to prevent a popular socialist uprising
Good point Marx envisioned Socialism and then eventually communism rising out of prosperous capitalist nations not going from quasi-Feudalism to state socialism. Socialism was not really intended to solve the production problem imo but the distribustion and exchange problem.
щасщасщас уже умрём пацаны, зуб даю, hoser врать не будет
Твёрдо и чётко
I find it hard to believe any politican can plan this far ahead. Or even care.
Congratulations, you win this comment section.
Politicians can't avoid geopolitical realities.
these really arent the terms putin thinks in
his popularity was plumeting so he needed something to boost that. he cant cheat the system again last time he tried the backlash and it would be even bigger this time. was massive he also cant retire because his system is build on him being the presidet and being essentially an autocrat there is a high probability he will be prosecuted within a year of his retirement
so he needs extra rights in persecuting his political opponents and keeping people down and scared also he needs a popularity boost and the easiest way to get one is a small sucsessfull war he thinks of ukraine as a failed state that will approach him with no hesitation because this is what he was fed byhis inner circle for years now
@nicholasdarrylh.9062 The opposite is true. When you have term limits the politician only cares what happens during their term. And the referendum Russia held was to impose term limits, not remove them. Before Putin and Medevev alternated each term. The change of the constitution removed that loophole.
The video already starts with a lie. Ukraine is not some "tiny little" country resisting a huge aggressor. It already had the biggest military in Europe before the war. And of course it got endless financing of the entire NATO once the war started. Without such external global support, Ukraine would have indeed already collapsed seven times over.
sadly 😢 i think it might even so numbers Russia has too many numbers
@@turtleneck369 ахахаххахах а чё в украинке то мобилизация круглосуточная а у нас нет?
i just said Russian have more people to mobilize and send to war than Ukraine it has multiple times higher population @@tipisaro1889
@@tipisaro1889Потому что Россия своих людей на убой не бросает как это делает украина с её контрнаступом
@@turtleneck369 mobilization in russia lasted for 48 days in the fall 2022. Ukraine’s mobilization has been lasting for 2 years already and getting harder and harder.
This video is a great example that people who lives outside Russia shoudnt speculate in that bold way about it... Even experts who understand much more and have an access to some more advanced info are not that sure (if it is not for propaganda of course) about this kinda process. I dont really need much to say about because after some time we will see how it goes.
Honestly, life there didn't even change much.
Its crazy how he said that this the "last nail in the coffin" for russia as a country, while it gave more opportunities for development and boosted the production inside the country, gave second life to the technologies which were abandoned after ussr collapse, globally it shaked the dollar world trade dominance and made BRICS new rising powerful alliance
There are sober people outside of Russia. But Russians have to cope with vodka. Russians are the greatest - but only as drunkards. Russian famous soul and culture is only vodka. What will you see what you can`t see now? There is no hope for you. Drink your vodka.
@@-kenjo-421 yeah, and the most hilarious line is "russia's economic in free fall since 1991" lmao
@@-kenjo-421BRICS ain’t shit 💀
Well, you aren't the first guy in history to make this assumption. The idea of "the death of Russia" is like "the conquest of Afghanistan" or "the Prohibition (in the US)".
Even after a year... I still can't live without coca-cola and yt ads
Two years later and this turned out to be a giant load of horseshit lmao
I mean have you seen the rubble?
have you seen japanese yenas? @@Zuiker1
He never said that Russia would collapse in two years
If anything the last year has told us that the military power of Russia is about comparable to Ukraine supplied with whatever the weapons were not good enough for the US army
@@debater452dosnt seem is going to in that direction tho, they are recovering in terms of economy and aparently they will also win the war after the failling ukranian counter offensige
I absolutely love to return to such videos after a year and wonder why Russia is still alive and kicking, and why its GDP has only grown since the 2022
You're a genius man.Truth
All countries grow massively in GDP during war years, but it's a "false" growth. Yes on paper more is being produced when counted. But what's being produced isnt things that the economy needs. Tanks and weapons may inflate the total worth of everything the economy produces but a country does so by producing far less of what the economy actually needs and digging into its cash reserves or borrowing huge amounts. And there is a limit to how long an economy can keep this up.
@@thomasg6916the key thing to note though is that Russia has mobilized their civilian industries into the war effort meaning that it is undeniable that their arms industry has surged during this conflict
Average ruskie fanboy
@@Masterchief_Tito I m not a fanboy , I m a patriot
So, any update? Is Russia dead already?
I think that one of the reasons for the invasion was the fear that Europe may have started opening up gas and oil fields in Ukraine thus not being reliant on Russian energy for the next 20 years or so whilst the transition to green energy including nuclear and I believe Ukraine has plenty of Uranium as well. It may well be not about what they gain so much as what they may lose, Putin has a history of getting rid of competitors in politics and might be using the same strategy in economics.
Russia wanted to get warm ports like Mariupol and Crimea who were originally part of Russia so that Russia isn't land locked. Most industries require importing things to work (chips, factory parts, etc...) and if Russia had a warm port in Crimea & Mariupol they could develop these industries instead of being dependent on exporting natural resources.
@@aoeu256 Or they could just keep the peace with other countries and ship using rail cars from those ports, like everyone else who relies on globalization and trade for their economy. Other countries also need peace to maintain an economy.
@@hufficag precisely but this is Putin we're talking about.... he wanted to reabsorb it via intimidation
It's definitely priority #1 for Russia to remain the dominant exporter of oil to Europe. Without oil money the government will collapse because they don't really export anything else except smart Russians avoiding conscription
@@aoeu256 ah yes port in crimea will spawn a chip factory. okey buddy 🤣🤣🤣
Watch as 20 years later Russia is still around
Watch 300 years later Dollar is still around 🤣
Hey everyone! I'm Russian Ivan from the Siberian wilderness, I ride a bear to school and drink vodka every day. Ask your questions
I really wish I wasn't living through major historical events right now.
Russia was the 6th most industrialized country in the world by 1914, the Soviets didnt kick started Russia's industrialization as it is often assumed, but they sped it up.
the ussr and the russian empire really were night and day in terms of industrialization. russian was semi-feudal in 1914.
to be completely fair, "5th most industrialised" is by sheer number of factories or something, probably not by something per X ppl. Still mean to exclude that russian empire in the last 15 ish years of it's existance did, altho slowly, develop some industries
@@TheChewman2001-Нет. Просто Российская Империя фактически была колонией Германии. Русские была "рабами" и слугами в этой "империи". В 1917-м году население России скинуло европейское рабство и попало в "красное рабство", во главе в евреями, которые устроили русским геноцид. В 1993 году после развала СССР, на бывшей территории "России" наступило "Американское/Западное рабство", продолжающееся до сих пор...Неужели вы до сих пор этого не поняли? Это так трудно узнать?
@@TheChewman2001- Русские-это феодальный "рабский" народ.
Wrong. Just wrong
RUclipsr: OK. Russia has no ports!
Russia: using North Passage.
RUclipsr:
This did not age well
How
@@debater452 he's on the copium, won't read the writing on the wall for the long term
Man, this is 2024
West have become tired of the war, Ukraine is on the verge of the coup (zelensky vs zaluzhny), Russia had a remarkable economic growth previous year and all this with practically no effort from ordinary citizen.
The problem is, that foreigners have a very limited perception of what Russia really is. It’s economy is more self-oriented than they think, the inner demand is a key driver of the economy as well as the ease, at which the country is capable of changing its supply chain (like oil exports to India and china, for example)
There are many problems (for example problems of huge capital withdrawals by immigrants from former soviet republics that no one mentioned), but these problems are not what may lead to a collapse of the country. Moreover, everyone here remembers scary stories of the collapse of the Union and 90’s, as well as dreadful examples of failed states like Ukraine, Armenia, Tadzhikistan and Moldavia, that nobody wants to repeat it. Even in places like Yakutia (Tyva republic) or Komi republic people of local ethnicity are pro-state and highly unlikely would vote for branching from Russian Federation.
That’s because Russian is not something like “German” or “Chinese” or “Latin”: not ethnically-based, but a nation-based
@@eucaliptusxcopium?
At first I was kinda sceptical about this video because of the tytle. But after I watched it I can't do anything but agree with it only giving little corrections. It's very hard nowadays finding a video about Russia on English RUclips that's not just saying "the Russians are badies cuz Putin😡😡🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬" and actually talks about our real problems and reasons behind our aggression.
It's sad to realise how dark our possible future. And no one will help us. Even more, after the last events all the strongest governments will probably do everything for our collapse
Maybe Estonia and Finalnd should invade and take St. Petersburg to improve their borders too.
@@BlueHawkPictures17 russia still has nukes and using them against a army invading your territory is valid …
Maybe you will also pay Ukraine some reparations before going down, and don’t forget that Ichkeria is an independent state
@@Eletruun You really think the commenter above is partial to being vaporized for his country's goverment and their choices?
@@Eletruun There is no invalid use of nukes, especially against Estonian and Finnish regimes.
It's very funny to look at old videos of bloggers about "how Russia will lose", "Sanctions will destroy them", etc. as soon as the Blogger says that Putin "just like that" invaded, it is already clear that he is not the best historian
war is still a stalemate, million + young educated russians fled, hundreds of thousands of dead russians. and you think thats a good result?
@@glugtrop2010more than a half of that million+ are already returned, and these "hundreds of thousands dead" exist only in Hohol copium fairytales, buddy
@@dimbasz ah yes state media said so it is true!!
@@glugtrop2010 *billions
copium @@TheBobVova
Блин, так тажко, оказывается мы умираем. Стране ещё 40 лет нет, а уже умерли. Мечтайте
One other thing to note: Ukraine also has a ton of natural gas reserves which if fully exploited can undermine Russia's energy monopoly in the EU.
Exactly. That's why they need to retake those regions, establish pipelines and sell them to the UE and use that money to rebuild their entire nation. So many people died because of this... In 2011 independent surveys found there to be _three times_ more oil and gas reserves in Ukraine than in Norway (a country which became VERY rich in the last few decades by exporting those resources to other countries). Putler's eyes lit up. That's why Crimea was illegally annexed soon after (in 2014). It holds the most resources of oil along the Black Sea. This war is about money.
@@zdspider6778 And Crimea always was a part of Russia, and was handed over to Ukraine as a technicality during Soviet days.
@@phillipholland6795 yeah ukraine is just supposedly used as a fake country by the Soviets to get votes in UN look.how it backfired
@@phillipholland6795 yes, but it was still anexed illegaly
@@phillipholland6795 No. Crimea was invaded by the Russian Empire in 1783. The Crimean Tatars who lived there were brutally massacred and deported in order to fill the place with Russian settlers.
One question...
What is RIGHT about this video?
How's that prediction going for ya mate?
We don’t know, it’s not been 20 years yet
Even more young russians have died or fled the country. What was supposed to change?
@@Portlygolf don't need 20 years to see the obvious, i mean, listen to official financial report from russian finance ministry, they use many 'soft' terms and use quite an amount of doublespeak, but the picture they paint, brother, it's ain't pretty, not as gruesome as people expect it to be, but not pretty, not pretty at all
After almost 2 years, very funny to watch this video...
How because it's pretty accurate
@@debater452 how is it accurate may i ask? Do you see Russia collapsing soon?
@@Hramzhuk Did even watch the Video he Take about russia collaps in 20 years
@@ghosts14_2 no, but that isn't going to happen. Funny to think how Americans who don't live in Russia make some takes on a fucking Russia collapse. live in fucking country to make decisions about it. And as a Russian myself, i can tell you that there's no signs of total collapse of Russia rn. And no, i am not a politics guy.
Im sure he's going to delete this video when the war is over. lmfao
Americans trying to teach geopolitics is like a Filipino trying to demonstrate proper skiing methods
How
Nothing better than a clueless American nerd explaining Russian politics and geopolitics
@@konakona420 ok lucky starboy
He's Canadian
@@justinh.7846 Is Canada not in America, or did I miss a lesson?
@@civotamuaz5781Canada is in North America
@@MikeHawk-s2g Now say that for this Justinh fella to hear
As a russian, absolutely not.
This guy studied Russian history in a McDonalds parking lot, using memes as the primary source and filling up the gaps with whatever he could pull from his ass.
This aged like fine milk
I don't want to defend the author but he said it would take 2 decades before Russian collapses, not 1.5 years.
@@JustAsPlanned1This is the same claim that Russia is collapsing since 2000 and for the last 10 years Putin is dieng...
@eternalsleeping That's a typical NAFO bot response. Sure, you could think that NATO is winning, but be prepared to face the harsh reality.
@eternalsleeping you can stop commenting for clout now
бля я умер
"To get to the Black Sea Russia needs to pass the Crimea"
Novorossyisk: sure...
Then why did they annex Crimea?
@@haven_lady675 for the port in Sevastopol for our Black Sea Navy + returning our historical area + defending the russians + resources of the Crimea
Russia: I’m gonna say the N-word
NATO: you can’t say that it’s 2022!
Russia: Nukes
I think Trumo said "putin used the n word" when he meant "nuclear word" lol
Good video. This was almost exactly like the Russia chapter from Zeihan’s book Disunited Nations
Interesting video! Can you give me your comment about my channel? Thank everyone
it literally is lmao
Y’all know Zeihan also sources generally known information right? 😅 this isn’t even targeted towards you. I’ve just seen a lot of these kind of comments on many geography/sociology related videos.
The whole "OMG Russia can't conquer Ukraine" at17:40 is literally copied from Zeihan's recent lectures. He (Zeihan) says it all the time to emphasize how nukes might be a possibility.
Я вернусь к этому видео через 20 лет и тогда узнаю, кто ты на самом деле
Скорее всего подобное послание станет явью в других странах😄
I would like to see video about problems in Ukraine from you
"Russia has no water based trade routes" holy mother of ignorance
did you even finish watching the video
@@he_acdvv Yes I laughed at every second of comedy in this video.
@@soltpeppah5815 True. This video was pure comedy.
imagine to listen coping young man youtuber who made videos about countryballs and mr beast and now he is getting into geopolitics.
this guys channel has always been about politics, plus I think your the one coping
@@Occycat You don't think.
I want to look at your face when Russia will actually collapse. I bet you will be unironically surprised
@@grievetanPutin was listeting to this shit for more than 8 years now and he still doesn't give a fuck. Do you *really* think it will ever happen?
I, as a young Russian, laugh a little, because there are really a lot of people who believe in these naive fantasies. For more than 1000 years, ill-wishers have been hoping that we will perish, but we always cope, this is a pattern.
🤓
@@TheRealestRobert🤓
@@HeadsetHatGuy Henry stickmin pfp
Opinion ignored
@@TheRealestRobert 🤓💻💬"🤓"
@@yaya_is_real I dont use reddit
Pure american education moment
Why
The world thinks this 😂
Good analysis, but I wouldn't underestimate Russia, historically they've always had issues like this when invading Ukraine
Any Russian against Ukraine conflict you can mention? Oh what it was always the same country
@@Wladeksk8 1917-1921 war, for example. the ussr invaded Ukraine People's Republic
@@philippinekatipunanflag4372 they were recognized by the German Empire, Austria-Hungaria, Ottomans and all of their allies in WW1. More so, they were even recognized by the soviets, after Germans helped drawing them out of Ukraine but after WW1 ended russians just went back to their imperialist policy.
@@Wladeksk8 u sound like a Russian bot lol
@@mmaksymko I might be wrong but it wasn't really an invasion, Russia was just helping the Bolshevik party in Ukraine that made a civil war causing the collapse of the Ukraine people's Republic and creating the socialist Ukraine Republic which then joined the USSR.
It's cool to see recycled news from 100 years ago drift into modern format like an old newspaper recycled by the breeze.
You'd think they learn from past mistakes but no. The oligarchs today are no different from the past elites.
@@haven_lady675 That, or "Russia's gonna collapse, for real this time." A historian could take their pick and not be wrong.
@@haven_lady675 you're looking for oligarchs in a wrong place - Russian ones have their balls grabbed by the enforcers for a long time. Ukranian, however...
I don't think Russia will literallt collapse, but their "superpower" game is definitely over. America is so ahead it would take at least some 50 years for Russia to finally catch up)
@@Testimony_Of_JTF you never know what can happen in 50 years
It was Nazi genocide in Soviet Union that took 20 000 000 lives of citizens, not "throwing people at germans". The way you say it makes me deeply insulted, because my grandfather fought and died in that war. Did the Soviet government throw people at germans at Leningrad too? When the city was cut and starved down? Million people were starved to death by nazi. And you just say "throwing people at germans".
This video aged like a cup of milk in the Sahara desert
How exactly
50 percent of this video applies to Canada
Not at all, I'd say only 20%. The only thing that applies to canada is the temperature and the fact that they are a northern country. and Canada is not attempting to invade any country.
@@zarkos2373 there's no country next to Canada that Russia coup'd in 2014 to put pro Russian forces in , and there's also no ethnic Canadians in that country that have been massacred for almost a decade , Russia also hasn't been training that country to use it as canon fodder against Canada.
“I ain’t Russian.” Niko Bellic
Boy did this age like fine unpasteurized milk in summer left out in the sun.
Why?
@@PortlygolfBecause the OC can't count to 20 😅
As russian - WE can say: "Nuh uh"
This isn't even close to the worse crisis Russia has experienced....Russia has experienced the mongols, Napoleon, Sweden, The ottomans, Napoleon, devastating ww1 and an even more devastating civil war ,followed by a terrible ww2 ....and it still stood so...
They experienced Napoleon twice?
Times have changed
A country collapsing dosent mean its gonna dissapear.
Russia had their fair share of famines and crisis.
Настолько плохо, что даже хорошо.
Удачи всем дождаться, когда Россия наконец развалится. Здоровья, главное - оно понадобится, а то ждать придется долго.
Ахах, знаете почему японцы так долго живут? Чтобы увидеть развал России и вернуть Сахалин с Курилами
xddd
@@naregames7279настолько долго что аж в убыток себе
People in 2022: death of Russia!
A year later: ....
And what has cheange russia maybe win the war pat that will not solve they proplem and they are still a Economy pupet of China and still one the way of collapsing. What i won tho say is that winning a war not magicly solve all your proplem
How many russians have already fled the draft?
@@ghosts14_2 russia ain't winning shit, telling this as a russian
мы это с 14 года слушаем,но это как всегда оказывается очередной фантазией
Кто тебя сюда пустил? Владимир Владимирович запретил ютуб
@@jkulb452так это и есть сам вв 😂
@@jkulb452 похрюкай
@@jkulb452 а тебе зеля разрешает еще не на фронте быть? скоро заберут пушечным мясом
Я думаю что если дерево долго гниет, оно рухнет рано или поздно. Со страной то же самое. Но это не страшно, люди не исчезнут, и на этом месте будут другие страны. Белгородская Народная Республика, Московское царство, ТЫВА, Татарстан, Якутия, Сахалин, Республика Ичкерия ...
This aged well