Achieve Consistent Profits: Harness the Power of the 10/20 EMA Crossover - Eliminate Drawdown!

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  • Опубликовано: 18 ноя 2024

Комментарии • 520

  • @FinancialWisdom
    @FinancialWisdom  7 месяцев назад +2

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  • @kortyEdna825
    @kortyEdna825 Год назад +186

    Becoming a good trader takes time and patience. When i first got into trading i was liquidated twice, and lost my entire mortgage deposit. I could have given up, but decided to learn how to trade and put it into practice. 4 years later and i am glad i made that decision.

    • @carssimplified2195
      @carssimplified2195 Год назад +2

      The 1% Millionaires stay rich by staying off high interest debts and investing passively. Personally i made my first million from having investments that spreads across stocks, etfs, coins and bonds. What i can say to early investors is diversification and solid management..at this point I'm actually grateful for my advisor ‘’JULIE ANNE HOOVER.. it's been great.

    • @Justinmeyer1000
      @Justinmeyer1000 Год назад +1

      i'm happy there are lots of people doing so well...Love this channel for the transparency

    • @carssimplified2195
      @carssimplified2195 Год назад +2

      @tudorrwilson Can't divulge much “JULIE ANNE HOOVER” is the advisor that oversees my portfolio. She's an extremely intelligent person, very thoughtful, cautious, and has an outstanding credentials, it's easy to find her on the web.

    • @yna51
      @yna51 Год назад

      Can I ask you if you tell us your favorite indicators?

  • @Adukwulukman859
    @Adukwulukman859 Год назад +302

    I’m glad I pulled through, despite the crises. I am retiring next yr at 55 with 3 houses paid off worth 4.5 million . One is my place of residence the other 2 properties will give me $80,000per/yr rent . I will have an income stream of $20,000 per yr through my super which gives me total $100,000 a yr to live comfortably . I have no debts ... Stay Motivated!!

    • @LucyHyde-zx8gq
      @LucyHyde-zx8gq Год назад

      You have done great for yourself. I understand the fact that tomorrow isn't promised to anyone, but investing today is a hard thing to do for me now because I have no idea of how and where to invest in. I would be happy if you could advise me based on how you went about yours, as I am ready to go the passive income path...

    • @Adukwulukman859
      @Adukwulukman859 Год назад +1

      @@LucyHyde-zx8gq Find stocks with market-beating yields and shares that at least keep pace with the market for a long term. For a successful long-term strategy I recommend you seek the guidance a broker or financial advisor.

    • @MarkSlavin1
      @MarkSlavin1 Год назад

      Very true , I diversified my $400K portfolio across multiple market with the aid of an investment advisor, I have been able to generate over $900k in net profit across high dividend yield stocks, ETF and bonds in few months.

    • @DarleneMurphy774
      @DarleneMurphy774 Год назад

      @@MarkSlavin1 Please can you leave the info of your investment advisor here? I’m in dire need for one.

    • @MarkSlavin1
      @MarkSlavin1 Год назад

      @@DarleneMurphy774 My advisor is ‘’Laura Marie Ray’’ she’s highly qualified and experienced in the financial market. She has extensive knowledge of portfolio diversity and is considered an expert in the field. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market

  • @exchef7555
    @exchef7555 3 месяца назад +4

    as a trader i can confirm this simple strategy works in every single time frame...lower time frames demand a small stop loss, higher time frames larger stop loss. I have developed my own strategy based on market analysis but the EMA crossover is in my arsenal from the start of my journey.

  • @benroland3652
    @benroland3652 Год назад +275

    Great video. I watch several youtube videos on how to trade in the market but haven’t made any headstart because they are either talking some gibberish or sharing their story
    of how they made it and I do not want to make mistakes by taking risks in my own handswil

    • @tishadin752
      @tishadin752 Год назад

      The best strategy to use in trading is to trade with a personal trader that understands the market very well, that way maximum profit is guaranteed, I'll highly recommend Katrina susan, she is my current account manager with Rocketta and the bot strategies are working

    • @JamesRandle5
      @JamesRandle5 Год назад

      I'm amazed you mentioned Katrina susan, she is the best and the bot strategies works like magic. I've been making over 100% of my investment monthly since I started using Rocketta, the trading is quiet marvellous

    • @martinthomas9371
      @martinthomas9371 Год назад

      This is not the first time i am hearing of katrina susan and Rocketta exploits, how she handles trading and generates good profits, Rocketta has really made a good name for itself, but i have no idea how to reach her to assist me

    • @tishadin752
      @tishadin752 Год назад

      You can reach her through TELEGRAM

    • @tishadin752
      @tishadin752 Год назад

      Katrinasusan is the name to look for

  • @Austin1Reed
    @Austin1Reed 3 месяца назад +32

    I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my whole life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small investment, thank you Catherine Gauthier.

    • @GaliaBenartzi-e5w
      @GaliaBenartzi-e5w 3 месяца назад

      Wow. I'm a bit perplexed seeing her been mentioned here also Didn't know she has been good to so many people too this is wonderful, I'm in my fifth trade with her and it has been super.

    • @KathyAshworth45
      @KathyAshworth45 3 месяца назад

      She is my family's personal Broker and also a personal Broker to many families in the United states, she is a licensed broker and a FINRA AGENT in the United States.

    • @JhonatanSilvaDosSantos1040
      @JhonatanSilvaDosSantos1040 3 месяца назад

      You trade with Catherine Gauthier too? Wow that woman has been a blessing to me and my family.

    • @HaleDerek2417
      @HaleDerek2417 3 месяца назад

      I'm new at this, please how can I reach her?

    • @seanwise1023
      @seanwise1023 3 месяца назад

      I was skeptical at first till I decided to try. Its huge returns is awesome. I can't say much

  • @Nernst96
    @Nernst96 Год назад +196

    With the ongoing effects of high inflation, lower forecasted stock market returns, and stagnant wages, achieving a secure early retirement could be more challenging than ever before.

    • @trane85
      @trane85 Год назад +1

      An obvious way to invest for a recession is to buy shares in businesses that are likely to experience steady demand even in a downturn. Typically, those are consumer staples, utilities, and heathcare companies, but off course such decisions cannot be made by an average Joe, a financial advisor is important in making this decisions

  • @Aarish_125
    @Aarish_125 Год назад +8

    This channel is gold hidden in youtube algorithm.

  • @queenidowu13
    @queenidowu13 11 месяцев назад +130

    I'm 54 and my wife and I are VERY worried about our future, gas and food prices rising daily. We have had our savings dwindle with the cost of living into the stratosphere, and we are finding it impossible to replace them. We can get by, but can't seem to get ahead. My condolences to anyone retiring in this crisis, 30 years nonstop just for a crooked system to take all you worked for...

    • @Kaiden-Bentley
      @Kaiden-Bentley 11 месяцев назад

      I feel your pain mate, as a fellow retiree, I’d suggest you look into passive index fund investing and learn some more. For me, I had my share of ups and downs when I first started looking for a consistent passive income so I hired an expert advisor for aid, and following her advice, I poured $30k in value stocks and digital assets, Up to 200k so far and pretty sure I'm ready for whatever comes.

    • @queenidowu13
      @queenidowu13 11 месяцев назад

      @@Kaiden-Bentley That's actually quite impressive, I could use some Info on your FA, I am looking to make a change on my finances this year as well

    • @Kaiden-Bentley
      @Kaiden-Bentley 11 месяцев назад

      @@queenidowu13 My advisor is Alice Marie Coraggio

    • @Kaiden-Bentley
      @Kaiden-Bentley 11 месяцев назад

      You can look her up online

    • @Kaiden-Bentley
      @Kaiden-Bentley 11 месяцев назад

      @WilliamEthan00 Nah I Can't say I can relate, Alice Marie Coraggio charge is one-off and pretty reasonable when compared to what I benefit in returns.

  • @bobwarshaw8439
    @bobwarshaw8439 Год назад +88

    The Market has been pretty bad until today it decided to surge. Everybody was Practically Crying then. It kept dipping. That's what you get when you feel you can navigate the process on your own. Big thanks to Katherine Flores I'm not bothered with how bad the Market is because my assests are insured due to her advice and I still receive my profits

    • @michaelconnor359
      @michaelconnor359 Год назад

      wow.. amazing to see others who trade with Mrs Katherine Flores, i'm currently on my 5th trade with her and my portfolio has grown tremendously.

    • @pharrellosullivan8688
      @pharrellosullivan8688 Год назад

      I invest with Mrs Katherine Flores too, she charges a 20%commission on profit made after every trading session which is fair compare to the effort she put in to make huge profits.

    • @travisabm
      @travisabm Год назад

      As a first time investor I started trading with her, with just a thousand bucks. my portfolio is worth much more that now within just weeks of trading with her.

    • @marthajames987
      @marthajames987 Год назад

      With the consistent weekly profits I'm getting investing with Mrs Flores, there's no doubt she is the most reliable in the market. such a genius

    • @bobwarshaw8439
      @bobwarshaw8439 Год назад

      she often interacts on Telegrams, using the user below.

  • @Americanpatriot723
    @Americanpatriot723 Год назад +218

    I think that although this was well put, it is not for me. Considering a short-term-minded, middle-income young person with a constant need for cash, are they still recommended? I am new to all this and have incurred so many losses that I am beginning to think that I am not doing what is good for me but what is good for others.

    • @CynthiaByrd648
      @CynthiaByrd648 Год назад +3

      I'm sorry for you. New guys need to realize the risks that come with all of this. You could lose it all and you could win it all. It goes both ways. Second, what works for A may not necessarily work for B and you should not be a bandwagon investor.

    • @MIchaelGuzman737
      @MIchaelGuzman737 Год назад +2

      Always find out more in depth before putting your money somewhere or, even better, hire the services of an expert (so you give little margin for error and get investments to suit you). I made my first million earlier this year this way after much trial and error. Good luck!

    • @greekbarrios
      @greekbarrios Год назад

      @@MIchaelGuzman737 Please who is the expert that assist you with your investment and if you don't mind, how do I get in touch with them?

    • @MIchaelGuzman737
      @MIchaelGuzman737 Год назад +6

      Funny enough, I can honestly relate. It's not as easy as it may sound and requires some sacrifices but it is definitely rewarding. I don't know if I am permitted to go into details here, but her name is "JILL MARIE CARROLL". Was in the news a lot in 2018. You may look her up for more.

    • @greekbarrios
      @greekbarrios Год назад +1

      @@MIchaelGuzman737 Thank you for this tip, JILL appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her online page, I thoroughly went through her resume and I must say, it was quite impressive. I reached out to her, and I have booked a session with her.

  • @MK-oj8ol
    @MK-oj8ol Год назад +10

    As always, another solid video with sound advice. I have actually performed this exact back test previously and found it to perform reasonably. Like all timing models, it suffers during periods of consolidation. A similar approach that involves the MACD indicator applied to the SPY using the weekly chart and settings of 12/25/9 will out perform the 10/20 EMA as described in this video. I encourage you to back test both options and choose the approach that works for you.

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад

      Thanks. Yes I use it for trading windows as opposed to a stand alone approach.

    • @jasonstazm
      @jasonstazm Год назад +1

      Hey. What do you mean by trading windows exactly?

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад +1

      @@jasonstazm When the S&P 500 index has its 10 Ema Above the 20 EMA, you can then apply you long trading strategy

    • @jasonstazm
      @jasonstazm Год назад

      Ok thanks. Still in the US championship?

  • @sryavuz
    @sryavuz Год назад +7

    I was in a search for entering and exiting conditions for QQQ.
    I can not swing trade (due to high commissions of being a foreign investor). I look for positional trading strategies that would make me take action 2-5 times a year mostly.
    That's spot on content that I was searching for.
    I'll be subscribing to your paid content when I find free time to check out what is offered. Your approach fits to what I look for perfectly.

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад

      Great to hear 👍

    • @sryavuz
      @sryavuz Год назад

      @@FinancialWisdom Will you have any black friday deals? 😅
      Btw, these type of MA crossover strategies are great on big trends as you shown.
      However, in my backtests, it slowly eats the capital during the sideways markets since it enters high and exits low in a short period of time (buying local tops, selling local downs). Do you have a strategy to avoid that?

  • @QuinnTrimmer-g4f
    @QuinnTrimmer-g4f 2 месяца назад

    Never before have I been so baffled! I know you get this a lot, but I cannot thank you enough for your work. This strategy can also be used to consistently profit during bull and bear markets. We can enter a long position when the 10 EMA crosses above the 20 EMA and a short position when the opposite happens. This way, we can profit in any market.

  • @shaunsam4962
    @shaunsam4962 3 месяца назад

    I truly love your channel. People may not take it seriously as it is shown in animation but your channel is the best one I know for anyone who wants to be a long term successful trader. I dont believe any of us realise the amount of time you put in to gather such information

  • @TheMountainBeyondTheWoods
    @TheMountainBeyondTheWoods Год назад +12

    This is one of those videos you want to save and re-watch occasionally. This plus the 10 month moving average are so simple and yet so effective.

    • @akashbhayani2092
      @akashbhayani2092 Год назад +1

      Ya, that's wht i am using now.

    • @debanjanbaidya9383
      @debanjanbaidya9383 Год назад

      which video has the 10 month moving average can u provide me the link pls .... thank u!

    • @TheMountainBeyondTheWoods
      @TheMountainBeyondTheWoods Год назад

      @@debanjanbaidya9383 It's called "Best Trading Indicator To Build A Strategy Upon (100 Year Back Test!)", from 3 months ago.

    • @ravichandar5426
      @ravichandar5426 Год назад

      @@TheMountainBeyondTheWoods i saw the video you mentioned, so you check short term moves with a 10/20 EMA crossover on weekly timeframe, and also check on monthly time frame with a 10 moving average, is that right?

  • @evanli44
    @evanli44 Год назад +12

    I just did a back test on tradewell app. This works only on certain time frames. If you back test all the way to the early 90s, buy and hold worked better. Also the COVID crash basically negates this strategy's benefits over buy and hold if you are doing this on the weekly level as it would have you selling at near the low and buying back when the market bounce back was nearly complete. You also did not explain the trading windows very well. This works OK as a sell signal but it has too much lag for timing the bottom. If the markets are going sideways, as it appears to be doing now, it probably will underperform either buy and hold or simply staying in case.

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад +1

      Its all about the trading windows. Also dont forget if you are looking from a standalone approach on the index you need to factor in drawdown too

    • @James-100
      @James-100 6 месяцев назад

      Hey, what happened to your beloved weekly MACD trading signal that you used to use with the 10/20 EMA trading window? Looks like you edited out any mention of the MACD. Even so, thanks for the video.

    • @exchef7555
      @exchef7555 3 месяца назад

      we do not trade ranging markets. if you wanna make money trade ONLY trending markets.

  • @AlessandroBottoni
    @AlessandroBottoni 8 месяцев назад +1

    Excellent video, kudos! Sitting passively in a deep, protracted drawdown is painful for most investors and unacceptable for many. Any way to avoid it should be thoroughly investigated and evaluated.

  • @devereauxjnr
    @devereauxjnr Год назад +93

    Like Warren Buffet said, dividends are only good if the business you’re investing into can’t make good use of that capital. So if you’re trying to invest into businesses with actual growth, looking at dividends is a waste of time. Why are you investing into a company if they’re returning capital to you because they think you can make better use if it than they can. It’s not much different from bond investing. The way I see it if you have a $1 million at some point, that’d be enough to create a portfolio that would pay you between 50k-70k in dividend income...

    • @DreamweaverShade-h9p
      @DreamweaverShade-h9p Год назад +2

      It's not difficult, but you have to learn and handle. Another thing is that if you can't manage your home, maybe you shouldn't invest on your own. If so, you should hire a CFP to help you diversify your assets to include ETFs/index funds/mutual funds and stocks of companies with consistent cash flows, rather than betting on penny stocks.

    • @Tsunaniis-j5l
      @Tsunaniis-j5l Год назад +1

      @@DreamweaverShade-h9p A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for license advisors and came across someone of due diligence, helped a lot to grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to approx. $850k so far.

    • @MakeamericaGreatagain-h7j
      @MakeamericaGreatagain-h7j Год назад +1

      @@Tsunaniis-j5l Over the following 3 months, I want to increase my reserve from $280,000 to at least $550,000. I would be grateful for any advice you can give on how to accurately predict the market and how to diversify and balance my portfolio in order to accomplish my goal.

    • @Tsunaniis-j5l
      @Tsunaniis-j5l Год назад +4

      @@MakeamericaGreatagain-h7j I really don't like making such recommendations, because everybody's situation is unique. But there are many freelance wealth managers you could check out. I have been working with "NICOLE DESIREE SIMON" for about four years now, and she's really, really good. If she meets your discretion, then you could go ahead with her. I endorse her.

    • @MakeamericaGreatagain-h7j
      @MakeamericaGreatagain-h7j Год назад

      @@Tsunaniis-j5l Thanks a lot for this. I really needed the recommendation, and I would love to move my funds from an existing mutual fund. I'll check her out.

  • @sp-ye7ht
    @sp-ye7ht Год назад +1

    Your trading mindset and approach to the trading game & the thinking process is just awesome..keep going miles ahead..👍

  • @mike330i
    @mike330i Год назад +16

    EMA crossovers are great when the markets are trending up or down but when the markets are choppy (moving sideways), it will generate a lot of false signals.

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад +16

      That is why I use them for trading windows and not trading signals, big difference. But yes you are correct👍

    • @prabu5053
      @prabu5053 Год назад +1

      ​@@FinancialWisdom Hai what does it mean trading windows and trading signals dear

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад +9

      @@prabu5053 A trading window is a period of time in which you can apply your strategy, this could be for 6 months for example. The signals are the buys and sells within the trading window from your strategy

  • @captaincrypto779
    @captaincrypto779 Год назад +13

    Finally my favorite RUclips channel has posted a new video 🎉

  • @FemaleTraderRamya
    @FemaleTraderRamya Год назад +3

    I started trading with this crossover. It works great on trending stocks.. Best for swing trading. And MA crosses shows us the risk reward ratio as well. 👍

    • @timgoes
      @timgoes Год назад

      Do you swing trade with weekly bars?

    • @FemaleTraderRamya
      @FemaleTraderRamya Год назад +1

      ​@@timgoes Daily bars. It works on all higher time frames. The hardest part is sticking to the same strategy with discipline, and money management..

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад +1

      Good stuff

  • @paulohenriquececcato1465
    @paulohenriquececcato1465 13 дней назад +2

    Tks from Brazil.

  • @MPlain
    @MPlain Год назад +10

    Depends on your style really.
    Generally if EMA 9 crosses SMA 20. This is trending pretty good.
    an ideal entry at this point is when price retraces to the SMA
    trade on trend to last high or low and it will probably go further.
    The win rate on this is completely nuts. Not a slam dunk. but really high.

    • @gordonetgate
      @gordonetgate 7 месяцев назад

      which timeframe? weekly?

    • @MPlain
      @MPlain 7 месяцев назад

      @@gordonetgateany really. just keep in mind that the time frame you are on dictates time in trade, tolerance for drawdown, and pips to gain potential.
      I generally like to use H1, M15, and if i want to make a fast pizza M5. I like to be in and out of trades quicker and pick up more of the bounciness of the bigger moves.
      The principles are the same no matter what the time frame.
      You want to see the trend... not consolidation. a nice lightning bolt not a sin wave.

  • @perpetualprosperity2963
    @perpetualprosperity2963 Год назад +3

    Only newbies will take this as true advice. Life is not that simple nor is Trading or Investing

  • @GuillaumeRosselet
    @GuillaumeRosselet Месяц назад +1

    Excellent work!

  • @Swing_Trader_Bro
    @Swing_Trader_Bro 9 месяцев назад +1

    Best Video Yet!

  • @MARKCRASTO
    @MARKCRASTO 6 месяцев назад +3

    I love the egg on Cathies face. She's a charlaten.

  • @JC-ym1it
    @JC-ym1it Год назад +2

    Another seemingly simple yet practical strategy.....thank you sir

  • @jesusventura2509
    @jesusventura2509 9 месяцев назад +2

    Excellent thanks

  • @hagif.4590
    @hagif.4590 4 месяца назад

    Thank you for sharing this great strategy. I want to add my 2 cents if I may. I use the EMA 10/20 crossover with Luxalgo Nadaraya-Watson indicator (mult set to 2.5) on a weekly chart of the SPY. This also let you buy/sell between the ema crossover periods once the bar breaks out of the Luxalgo indicator band zone on both ways.

  • @rune54321
    @rune54321 Год назад +10

    This is my strategy i use on stocks. 10/20 ema weekly crossover. Super simple and works amazing on momentum stocks.

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад

      Good stuff!

    • @timgoes
      @timgoes Год назад

      How much are you out performing the 10/20 indexes method by?

    • @jf41992
      @jf41992 Месяц назад

      brother in which stocks do you use the strategy?

  • @noelmaskii25
    @noelmaskii25 Год назад +2

    Superb explanation thank you!!

  • @nova396
    @nova396 9 месяцев назад +3

    So where do you get those programs at to run those charts??

  • @James-100
    @James-100 Год назад +7

    First, let me say that I greatly appreciate your extremely informative and straightforward videos. I love how you highlight the various strategies including the 10/20 EMA Crossover with detail and precision. While I won't split hairs as others have done as to whether back tests truly show outperformance of the 10/20 EMA vs Buy and Hold, I DO think clarification is needed about the "trading window" vs "trading signal" box you let yourself get put in by some of the commenters.
    The video clearly implies that the strategy can be used solely for trading signals or in combination with other strategies such as a 12% trailing stop. Sure, the video also mentions using the 10/20 EMA to identify Trading Windows. But your replies to various comments say that you ONLY use the 10/20 EMA Crossover to show trading windows and NOT for trading signals. Exactly why is that? Are you therefore saying that traders who want to keep it simple can't or shouldn't use just the 10/20 EMA for trading signals? If so, why mention it in the context of entries and exits in the first place?
    All that said, I love the simplicity of the strategy, whether for trading windows or trading signals. The importance of avoiding portfolio crushing drawdowns cannot be emphasized enough. Especially for those who may not have the time or desire to wait years for breakeven. The last thing such investors or traders want is to be Trapped Buyers.
    Finally, how does you MACD strategy fit into all this? Much interested in your reply to these fair and reasonable questions. Thanks.

    • @duncansosso8010
      @duncansosso8010 Год назад +4

      Change those parameters to 50/200 and apply the trading rule to a diversified portfolio of markets across asset classes, and maybe then the rule can show some profits.
      However, if you want to go broke fast, apply the 10/20 cross to a single market… don’t believe me? Backtest it. Sure, it may show that it worked on apple, for example, but how would you know to trade apple in the first place (survivorship bias)? Instead of the 1000 other tech companies that went to zero. Think about it.
      Applying these trend trading rules to a single market or even a handful of stocks is analogous to gambling. How do professional trend followers and CTAs trade? Hint: diversification across asset classes is KEY. The rules themselves, that is, the specifics (crossover or price breakout etc.) are largely irrelevant, all these rules accomplish the same thing - they jump on trends and ride them.
      I highly recommend a book called “stocks on the move” by Andreas Clenow. He explains this concept with hard evidence/backtests so much better than I can here.
      Keep the discussion going, this is good.

  • @karolbarwikowski7403
    @karolbarwikowski7403 Год назад +2

    fantastic knowlange, thank you!

  • @oluwadamilarebakare3699
    @oluwadamilarebakare3699 Год назад +1

    Thank you for the video. I use ema crossover in crypto. The 10 and 20 ema can give choppy signals sometimes when the market is moving sideways. You can change it to 13 and 48.5 you'll get later and fewer signals and it eliminates more choppiness

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад +1

      Sure, every asset behaves differently - A diversified fund of 500 stocks like the S&P would be less choppy by nature, but remember this is for trading windows not necessarily a catalyst for buy and exit signals itself

    • @billcochrane9774
      @billcochrane9774 Год назад +2

      Sounds like some one else picked up on the ETF optimization back test

  • @EVEILetELAN
    @EVEILetELAN 10 месяцев назад

    Great insights..any time frame ??? Suited for scalping??

  • @USMColdies
    @USMColdies Год назад

    I am a subscriber and a fan of this channel so this is not a criticism but an observation. There is an incremental rebalancing nuance that most miss with getting in and out the markets as suggested. For eg, in a best case US market scenario, say one has stayed long enough in a position to qualify for long term capital gains tax rate, then for a hypothetical $100k investment, one will automatically incur a 15% drawdown from capital gains interest. On a worse case scenario where the position is held for less than a year, upon sale that same investment is penalized 24%. For any investment amount, for any period, selling a position will automatically incur anywhere between 10-37% drawdown. What people miss is that if one loses x% in a trade, it takes x+y% just to get back even, not x%. For eg, a 50% drawdown requires a 100% profit just to get back to even. My point is, if exiting a position with a guaranteed 10-37% drawdown, one must have a plan to make back (10+x - 37+y )% just to get back to even, as opposed to the buy and hold where one just waits for price to rebound...

  • @gangaram0719
    @gangaram0719 4 месяца назад +1

    Really nice method to lock profits in bear market starting phase ♥♥♥
    Sir, is it helpful if I use EMA (10-30) band instead of 10-20 EMA ??

  • @DixonDXi
    @DixonDXi Год назад +4

    Hi Gareth do you mind to share the exact parameters used for the backtest as of 6:23 on the video? I can't emulate such a high growth... my simple backtest only returns 282%. Any other rule apart from the 10/20 EMA and the 12% trailing stop?

  • @drkrueger
    @drkrueger 7 месяцев назад

    I love these videos! This one especially. Excellent! I've not seen any recent videos. Are you still producing?
    What are your thoughts regarding EMA vs Hull MA? Would the HMA be as or more effective using the methods you describe here?
    How well do you think this can be applied to individual securities?
    Many thanks!

  • @darioteodori4811
    @darioteodori4811 Год назад +1

    This is great man. Indeed january provided great breakouts that worked at least for a short period of time.
    I have been using ibd market direction to press or release the gas but i have no way of backtesting it since its also discretional.

  • @wilmerpena6293
    @wilmerpena6293 Год назад +2

    I like this one and the other one on the 200 ma as well.simple and yet a lot of people,don’t do it. I started with the better ETF as well

  • @jasonhenderson6846
    @jasonhenderson6846 Год назад +4

    I use the 10/20 Ema crossover on the 15 min chart for entries once price gets to a key level to go long or short. Try it and thank me later

  • @sysadtube2786
    @sysadtube2786 Год назад +2

    Since you added EMAX-over to your strategy, do you think it's worth combining MACD and EMAX-over as indicators and entry/exit points for BTC trades?

  • @alemao8584
    @alemao8584 Год назад +1

    Great video, is there a similar strategy for trading crypto? Or the best strategy is the video with daily and weekly MACD?

  • @sandeeparora123
    @sandeeparora123 Год назад

    Hi, First of all thanks for making these videos. Super awesome videos and they just cut the noise. I am a full time trader and your channel helped me become better in my portfolio management. I purchased your strategy ebook prior to the updation (like few weeks before, if not days). Do I need to buy the strategy pdf again?

  • @joesmith8462
    @joesmith8462 Год назад

    Where are you able to backtest EMA strategies exactly? Many thanks for your excellent videos, found you after discovering risk on risk off from MA.

  • @tondenotter8109
    @tondenotter8109 Год назад +3

    Interesting video! what about the 200 day SMA strategy which works well too?, as you stated in your other video. Which strategy works best?

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад +3

      This suits my personal strategy better in regard to 'trading windows'

  • @sijacquz
    @sijacquz 8 месяцев назад

    Upon a negative 20 EMA crossover, what is superior?
    1) Placing a stop at the low of the candle of the open position of the actual week of the X-down or
    2) Using the weekly MACD stop loss method to continue holding these positions even though the broader market is negative?

  • @harjbahra7119
    @harjbahra7119 Год назад

    Your videos are a goldmine

  • @martinal54321
    @martinal54321 Год назад

    Great video, thanks as always.

  • @neerajchaudhary1821
    @neerajchaudhary1821 Год назад

    Your videos are incredible. Thank you.

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад +1

      You're very welcome!

    • @neerajchaudhary1821
      @neerajchaudhary1821 10 месяцев назад

      Hi @@FinancialWisdom, in the two months since I left my original comment, I watched virtually every one of your 90+ videos.
      I was a financial advisor and nursed clients through 2008. At the time, I focused on fundamental analysis (I even came up with something similar to the Piotroski on my own), and encouraged clients to hold for the long-term.
      Sadly, many of them simply could not take the pain, and against my advice, they would sell. Demoralized at not being able to protect clients from their own (understandable) emotions, I left the industry several years ago.
      You have now opened my eyes! I will be joining your community (and purchasing your PDF). If I decide to re-enter the investment business, I will contact you for some 1-1 consulting (assuming you are amenable).
      All the best, hope your 2024 is starting off right!

  • @BlackSabbath1989
    @BlackSabbath1989 8 месяцев назад +1

    looking at the graph at 4:57 currently
    between 2003 and 2008 there were about 5 crossings to exit and re enter.
    not just the one before the crash, seems that you have to thinkabout it more carefully then just check for crossings.

  • @raveneye77
    @raveneye77 8 месяцев назад +1

    I calculated this method on an S&P 500 ETF for September 2020 until March 2024. EMA 10/20 only achieved 90% of the final amount of a buy and hold strategy. Better was a WMA 3/6 strategy with 96% (lot more sell and buy actions), but yet underperformed to the buy and hold strategy. And this is without any costs for buying and selling.
    I don‘t know. Maybe this strategy only works when you are really hitting those bear markets like 2008/09 for months or even years. But applying this strategy in a bull market doesn’t seem to work. You sell when small corrections happen at a low price and buy at a higher price back for no gains. But since this stratgey is ought to protect you from getting hit by a bear market, you would need to apply it constantly. But then you lose out performance. It is always simple to retroactively look at a chart and say that you would have avoided months of decline. But when you don’t know that such huge setbacks will happen, this strategy costs you money in uptrending or sideway markets obviously.

  • @Steph_D_1st
    @Steph_D_1st Год назад +1

    Very simple!!! Thanks a lot!

  • @martincooper5036
    @martincooper5036 11 месяцев назад

    Hello, great video. You mentioned to use it on the S&P 500, can the same principle be used in conjugation with other counties financial markets? Example FTSE100 or CAC in France?

  • @StephenB2005
    @StephenB2005 Год назад

    How was leverage obtained? How do you define the Trading Window edges? What are the entry exit rules in the trading window? How were they determined?

  • @billcochrane9774
    @billcochrane9774 Год назад +1

    FWIW an ETF focused site (now defunct) did an optimization back test on SPY and calculated that the optimal MAs are (were) 13 and 48.5 daily.

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад

      Thanks Bill. I use the weekly charts far less choppy.

  • @globalautobahn1132
    @globalautobahn1132 6 месяцев назад

    I do feel that this method is going to produce somewhat similar results of the Dow theory video because you’re using a weekly chart so by the time the weekly chart is showing higher highs or lower lows essentially a market change of direction. I think you would also see the same on the daily chart.

  • @amonrah1788
    @amonrah1788 Год назад +1

    Amazing video!!!

  • @Omar-nd6lh
    @Omar-nd6lh Год назад +2

    Looks like a simple variation of the Oliver Kell trading strategy video you made a year ago

  • @reheyesd8666
    @reheyesd8666 Год назад +9

    My biggest gripe with value investing was the huge drawdowns, maybe this can be implemented to help reduce the losses.

  • @jonathanlee5185
    @jonathanlee5185 Год назад +2

    👍Agreed about lost opportunity-cost. Not only financial, but also from holding back on new investments -- owing to the psychological loss of risk tolerance on the already-open losing trade.👍

  • @stephenalderman2124
    @stephenalderman2124 Год назад +1

    Thanks for this !

  • @alexmah8927
    @alexmah8927 17 дней назад

    Thank you.

  • @knayak6062
    @knayak6062 4 месяца назад +1

    You have also made videos on MACD. In your research, which strategy performed better over the years?

  • @radleyyawitch5458
    @radleyyawitch5458 Год назад +1

    Tx for a very informative video. Is there any reason why you don't short indexes or shares?

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад

      I prefer to stay with the longer term market bias, I try to keep everything stacked in my favour

    • @radleyyawitch5458
      @radleyyawitch5458 Год назад

      Thanks for the reply

    • @radleyyawitch5458
      @radleyyawitch5458 Год назад

      Do you trade commodities with this method as well?

  • @EE-ko7gl
    @EE-ko7gl Год назад +1

    Great work... cheers

  • @davidk8457
    @davidk8457 Год назад +1

    John Murphy's 13/34 ema on weekly chart is the go to ...

  • @williamsjones2375
    @williamsjones2375 Год назад +107

    Just because a stock/crypto is going up doesn’t mean it’s a good investment. just because a stock is going down doesn’t mean it’s a bad investment. theres more to a stock than just its stock price. An entire company more. focus on the company, not just the stock price or the bitcoin price, I trade and hold profits keep up the great work! and also Nate FLINT has been doing a great job reviewing all chart, trade and techniques on BTC which has enhance the growth of my portfolio to 17 BTC lately.

    • @stanley4318
      @stanley4318 Год назад

      He is also my personal trader, crypto analyst and account manager. With an initial invested capital of 3 BTC, it generated a return of over 8 BTC within 3 weeks of trading. I was really impressed with the profit made.

    • @Luciusyosef
      @Luciusyosef Год назад

      Simple step-by-step process, excellent communication and response times. The service was extremely streamlined and friendly throughout. Would recommend them to anyone give him a reply

    • @beckhamforbes3066
      @beckhamforbes3066 Год назад

      Much inspired by this , can you share helpful info on your advisor? I am looking to make a change on my finances as well.

    • @williamsjones2375
      @williamsjones2375 Год назад

      HE IS ON TELEGRAM.S...

    • @williamsjones2375
      @williamsjones2375 Год назад

      Nateflint

  • @many9326
    @many9326 Год назад +2

    once again great content, good to find some quality technical channels that don't lean towards making millions in a week but also don't go the opposite way saying it's impossible to beat the market. If I may make a video suggestion, you talk a lot about opportunity cost, I would like to know your opinion as to where one could put the money while the broad market is in the red.

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад +2

      Thanks Many - I can really give a definitive answer, there are so many variables. The reason for the change in the market direction at the time. In 2022 for example it might have been wise to move to the energy sector. For me however regardless of the alternatives at the time, cash can be a solid position. Using that preserved cash to re-enter the market at lower levels is on its own a wise move...

  • @P01291
    @P01291 6 месяцев назад +1

    Do you wait for the weekly candle to close when the crossover occurs Gareth? Thanks

  • @michaelak1416
    @michaelak1416 Год назад +1

    what platform are you using for your graphs?

  • @OL-MA376
    @OL-MA376 Год назад +4

    Great stuff again! Appreciate your work very much. Thank you!
    Just a question: If we look at the chart shown at around 4:53m there are a lot of more crosses (e.g. up in spring 2002, down in autumn 2004). How do you deal with them and why are they not recognized in your trading windows?

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад +2

      Hi Michael - The back testing results do include all the crosses, however for simplicity on the chart I wanted to show the bulk of the trends. In real life, for my strategy, if there were perhaps 2/3 weeks where the 10 crossed below the 20 i would simply not make any new trades. The main benefit comes from the prolonged drawdowns. Hope that helps

  • @Lucas-vj8rr
    @Lucas-vj8rr Год назад

    i trade 30 yrs now 10-20 crossover on hourly is best ever

  • @stephenbush7200
    @stephenbush7200 Год назад +1

    Thank you

  • @psb962
    @psb962 Год назад +3

    It's easy to see the crossovers if you use a charting program and select the MACD indicator with parameters (10,20,0). The result will show you a histogram of when and how far the 10 EMA is above the 20 EMA. But be aware, using this to make money isn't as easy as it seems.

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад

      Thanks Peter - You are right, as a standalone approach its not wise.

  • @sryavuz
    @sryavuz Год назад +1

    Btw, time opprtunity is a great deal.
    You may buy UUP during red zones instead of just holding cash.
    That would make your investment go higher even on downfalls.

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад

      Not sure I understand....

    • @tempestcapital3006
      @tempestcapital3006 Год назад +1

      @@FinancialWisdom Perhaps he’s referring to the ETF

    • @sryavuz
      @sryavuz Год назад

      @@FinancialWisdom I saw this comment just now :( UUP is an ETF which rises with DXY (dollar index).
      When markets are trending down, dollar is mostly rising. Therefore it makes a good hedge/antagonist against market movements.

  • @marinrodriguez7729
    @marinrodriguez7729 9 месяцев назад +1

    How does the 10/20 cross over approach compare to the simpler 200 ma approach and the 10 month MA approach?

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  8 месяцев назад +1

      I use the 10/20 for market breadth and the 20 week MA for singular stocks, in combination with MACD and price action

  • @marci1964
    @marci1964 Год назад +1

    Another superb video. Thank you!

  • @smeshnoymatvey2054
    @smeshnoymatvey2054 Год назад +2

    Any update on how your Bitcoin strategy is doing?

  • @marinrodriguez7729
    @marinrodriguez7729 9 месяцев назад

    I like the ideas and would like to out many of them into practice. However i am handcuffed by the fact that a lot of my assets are tied up in retirement accounts thru my employer and i have a lot less flexibility to move funds around to cash and such. Thoughts on a workaround?

  • @thelearner4677
    @thelearner4677 Год назад +1

    Loved your video just one question... Which software do you use to backtest...

  • @74967412369
    @74967412369 Год назад +1

    Very good video!

  • @stevedorsey5832
    @stevedorsey5832 Год назад +1

    So, if adding a 12% stop, when do you reenter? Next crossover buy signal?

  • @pablokloker143
    @pablokloker143 Год назад

    One perhaps silly question, do you think this strategy could be used for day trading?

  • @whitenoisejack
    @whitenoisejack Год назад

    Gareth, do you think that you prefer this strategy over the 10 Month line on a monthly chart? I know you did a video about that strategy before. Which one rules?

  • @westnash
    @westnash Год назад +2

    Thanks and I get the 10 and 20 EMA weekly's. What timeframe do you use in your charts though as it makes a big difference? 3mo, 6mo, YTD, 1yr timeframe?

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад +1

      I use weekly charts

    • @westnash
      @westnash Год назад

      @@FinancialWisdom Right I understand that but what is the period of the chart you look at 3 mo 60 mo 1 yr 5yr? Looked like on the video it was well more than a year and this makes a huge difference in the chart.

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад +1

      @@westnash It does not matter, If you use a weekly chart and the 10/20 ema crossover, the crossover points remain constant regardless of time frame looked at.

    • @westnash
      @westnash Год назад

      @@FinancialWisdom take another loo at that and tell me what you use for a timeframe

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад +1

      @@westnash I'm not sure what you mean James. I always look at the weekly chart, i can scroll between a years data or 20 years data, the crossovers will not change eitherway

  • @troym1023
    @troym1023 8 месяцев назад

    what is the best time frame to use the 10/20 ema crossover technique

  • @m1dkn1ght
    @m1dkn1ght Год назад +1

    So which is better? Price and 10-month SMA crossover? Or 10-week EMA and 20-week EMA crossover? And I assume both of those two options are better than using a Price and 200 DMA crossover, right?

  • @cagrikanik2403
    @cagrikanik2403 Год назад +1

    Very good filter FW!

  • @riccardoronco627
    @riccardoronco627 Месяц назад

    The final part re applying the 10/20 ema to FAANG is a bit overfitting however there is merit IMHO so in a backtest going back to 2000 apply the 10/20 only to the top 10 market cap stocks with a check every week or month about which stock would be a valid candidate. This is the most objective way to get FAANGs at any point in time. Trend following only applied to the top market cap equities.

  • @shalinshah3780
    @shalinshah3780 Год назад +2

    What is the best way to optimize this? Sometimes the lines just "kiss" and then don't cross over. Which charting software are people using to track these?

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад +1

      Most charting packages have it I use IG Index. Best used for trading windows as opposed to a stand alone approach IMO

    • @josuemaldonado59
      @josuemaldonado59 Год назад

      ​@@FinancialWisdom sorry, whats the difference trading window vs enter/exit the position??

  • @merv893
    @merv893 2 месяца назад

    Does some of this apply to cryto

  • @NMranchhand
    @NMranchhand Год назад +1

    Well done.

  • @tsjoshi
    @tsjoshi Год назад

    Great strategy !! Did you try adding a filter of all time high with this EMA filter?

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад

      Hi Tejas - No but it is part of our stock scoring system

  • @markbaier4421
    @markbaier4421 Год назад +1

    Does this method do better than the 10 Month Moving Average?

    • @FinancialWisdom
      @FinancialWisdom  Год назад

      I prefer this method in order to time my trading decisions