Smart Money vs. Dumb Money in Election 2024 ft. Cem Karsan

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  • Опубликовано: 27 дек 2024

Комментарии •

  • @RealVisionFinance
    @RealVisionFinance  2 месяца назад +3

    🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw
    00:10 - Introduction and Market Overview with Cem Karsan
    00:43 - Positioning and Seasonality Impact on Markets
    01:19 - The Role of Flows and Positive Market Forces
    02:23 - High Skew in the S&P and its Impact on Market Positioning
    03:55 - The Delta and Premium Impact on Buybacks
    04:49 - Simplifying Options Market Concepts for New Investors
    06:14 - The Need for Downside Risk Hedging
    07:49 - Dealer Positioning and Yield Extraction
    08:50 - Understanding Delta and Gamma Impact on Markets
    09:50 - Impact of the November Election on Markets
    11:45 - Coin Toss Nature of the Presidential Election
    12:51 - Higher Probability of Trump Sweeping vs. Kamala’s Limited Mandate
    13:54 - Implications of Trump Victory on Labor Inflation and Tariffs
    15:55 - Structural Effects and Reflexivity in the Market
    17:23 - The Potential for Random Factors Affecting the Election
    18:20 - Delta and Volatility Support in the Short Term
    19:14 - Historical Election Data and Annualized Returns
    20:21 - Positive Flows and Reinvestment Effects
    21:44 - The Collateral Effect on Markets and Leverage
    23:15 - Impact of Structured Product Positioning on Markets
    24:37 - The Cascade Effect of Positive Flows and Reinvestment
    25:37 - Understanding Skew and its Market Implications
    27:16 - The Impact of High Skew on Market Movements
    28:42 - Positive Flows and Rebalancing Effects
    29:48 - How to Position with Options for Low-Risk Upside Bets
    31:59 - Risks in Beta and Stock Market Positioning
    33:00 - Managing Risk with Options in a High-Inflation Environment
    34:40 - The Reflexive Nature of Stock Market Valuations
    36:03 - Understanding the Altitude Metaphor for Market Valuations
    38:01 - The February and March Opex and the COVID Crash
    39:29 - Lessons from the Tech Bubble and the Importance of Timing
    41:53 - Blowoff Tops and Market Dynamics
    43:47 - Understanding Volatility Compression and its Impact on Market Moves
    45:23 - Using Cheap Calls to Bet on Potential Market Upside
    46:54 - Key Takeaways from the Risk Management Conference
    48:29 - Growth of Structured Products and ETF Issuances
    50:02 - Zero DTE Trading and its Impact on Market Volatility
    52:28 - Cem Karsan’s Key Takeaways and Asymmetric Trades

  • @RaoulPalTJM
    @RaoulPalTJM 2 месяца назад +7

    Thanks for joining us, Cem. Very valuable insights, as usual.

  • @Tquilaboy
    @Tquilaboy Месяц назад +2

    Excellent discussion!

  • @CrispinBac0n
    @CrispinBac0n Месяц назад

    Looking forward to this already👌

  • @hkim.
    @hkim. Месяц назад

    Cem the greatest

  • @fonzymoz
    @fonzymoz Месяц назад +6

    First ad poorly placed

  • @holson2112
    @holson2112 Месяц назад

    Real vision meets wapo

  • @phaetson
    @phaetson Месяц назад +3

    this ad is so cringe

    • @KP-mq7go
      @KP-mq7go Месяц назад

      yes way too many