An Introduction to Conditional Probability

Поделиться
HTML-код
  • Опубликовано: 22 янв 2018
  • An introduction to conditional probability, pitched at a level appropriate for a typical introductory statistics course. I work through some simple examples in this introductory video, and a I briefly touch on the concept of independence in an example at the end of the video. I work through more examples (some a little harder) in my conditional probability example problems video: • Conditional Probabilit... .

Комментарии • 201

  • @rafaelant
    @rafaelant 6 лет назад +142

    Believe me, gentleman, you are really good at this!

  • @barrowmeoct04
    @barrowmeoct04 4 года назад +30

    I failed probability last year and retaking it this year. Your explanation of Pr (A|B) using the Venn diagram is so absurdly logical I am floored. It's 100 times easier to see than trying to use numbers and algebra. I've yet to learn how to understand concepts in this 'different' way.

  • @hemm2333
    @hemm2333 Год назад +3

    Best explanation ever had. I love when he says, please do me a small favour and don't memorise the formula. That's how every teacher should be ❤

  • @battlecrusecruse9155
    @battlecrusecruse9155 3 года назад +8

    someone give this guy a medal. he is clearing my basics, from the past 3-4 years just confused with this topic and has avoided it .have no words for your efforts really thanks a lot for such awesome video

  • @maestro_100
    @maestro_100 Год назад +6

    Informal definition + Formal definition + Intuitive explanation of the definition + examples + further insight on future topics=Amazing Video! ...Thanks so much!

    • @jbstatistics
      @jbstatistics  Год назад

      You're very welcome! It's one of my faves.

  • @Daniel-to5jd
    @Daniel-to5jd 4 года назад +23

    the best explanation I've found about this topic so far, thank you man

  • @Andynath100
    @Andynath100 4 года назад +4

    Your explanation of conditional probability using the Venn Diagram just blew my mind. So much easier to grasp the topic when you get an intuitive explanation of the topic.

  • @Francois6048
    @Francois6048 4 года назад +1

    people like you who put effort in helping others understand things are just great human beings. thanks

  • @bryonthestingily
    @bryonthestingily 5 лет назад +84

    Such high quality content. You have a gift for deepening other human's understanding of this stuff :)

    • @jbstatistics
      @jbstatistics  5 лет назад +23

      Well, I can't ask for a nicer compliment than that! Thanks so much for the very kind words!

    • @tonynikolaos3527
      @tonynikolaos3527 Год назад +2

      @@jbstatistics Indeed, i went through a lot of materiaql on YT- and find your elaborations the most natural, relaxed, intuitive and clear. Kudos! ... and BIG Thanks!

  • @BatterflyHigh
    @BatterflyHigh 5 лет назад +1

    This is the first time this has ever made sense to me!! Thank you so much!!!!!

  • @cheezey3295
    @cheezey3295 11 месяцев назад +1

    Failed my probability test. This is one of the best explanations I've seen on this topic.

  • @roy601912008
    @roy601912008 5 лет назад +1

    Thank you so much for making this video! I just started learning statistic on Coursera, but the teacher there makes it complicated and way too difficult to understand. And then I found your video! You are a life saver. Keep up the good job!

  • @kousalyadevi5209
    @kousalyadevi5209 Год назад +2

    Thank you for taking the effort to explain the statistical concepts intuitively!

  • @angela2366
    @angela2366 4 года назад +1

    I have struggled and struggled with this and came across your video....wow....I FINALLY have it! Thank you so much!

  • @qulummmdov6572
    @qulummmdov6572 5 лет назад +40

    High Quality content, well explained. You sir have my appreciation!

  • @Luke-nh5tu
    @Luke-nh5tu 4 года назад +2

    This is by far the best explanation I have seen, the visualisation of the notation applied on diagram is really helpful because it tells you the whole story. Thank you (one more subscriber)

  • @sonwabilecira37
    @sonwabilecira37 4 года назад

    Hallelujah!
    Thank you. The first video to actually make me understand instead of assuming that the logic of conditional probability is inherent

  • @foodtips8515
    @foodtips8515 Год назад +1

    Your explanations are very good. Real life saver

  • @veronikav8436
    @veronikav8436 6 лет назад +2

    I watched lots of video on youtube but no one explains as clear then you, now i got conditional probability:) THANKS men

  • @Joe-km7xi
    @Joe-km7xi 3 года назад +1

    This is an amazing video, my professor rushed through this in like 2 minutes. Thank you!

  • @alvaromiro2931
    @alvaromiro2931 6 лет назад +7

    Cristal clear. I love concepts stepping on top of formulae!!!

  • @predatox1779
    @predatox1779 4 года назад +1

    I have a prob and stats quiz tomorrow and this helped me immensely! Thank you very much!

  • @monczokapplehelp
    @monczokapplehelp 6 лет назад +3

    Your are the best statistics channel out there, thank you!
    Could you please do a video about equivalence testing? In a world of data sites getting bigger and bigger good old hypothesis tests are not enough anymore

  • @sakshichawla8236
    @sakshichawla8236 4 года назад +1

    This video helped me understand the answer to the question I was looking in all the videos .... thank you

  • @emporia100
    @emporia100 3 года назад

    The best video for introductory conditional probability!

  • @spicyornot1787
    @spicyornot1787 4 года назад

    Made perfect sense. Watched several ones before.. but none made it this clear.

  • @marcoventura9451
    @marcoventura9451 4 года назад

    Good content, good explanation. The calmness of te logic before the formulas.

  • @siddhantbajpai5889
    @siddhantbajpai5889 3 года назад

    The best video on Bayes theorem!
    Kudos to you brother!

  • @hareemabdulrauf1746
    @hareemabdulrauf1746 3 года назад +1

    this is the best lecture i have ever attended

    • @jbstatistics
      @jbstatistics  3 года назад

      Thanks so much for the kind words!

  • @exia124578
    @exia124578 6 лет назад +6

    I'm having to retake Probability and Statistics this semester after dropping it last and seeing you upload has given me new hope for this semester. Thanks for the great videos man!

    • @jbstatistics
      @jbstatistics  6 лет назад +2

      You are very welcome! I'm not sure how many I'll be able to produce and upload this semester, but I'll see what I can do!

  • @jorgegonzalez-ec5fl
    @jorgegonzalez-ec5fl Год назад +1

    Amazing explanation!!! I like that you explain the formula and don’t just tell us to memorize it

  • @123XTSK
    @123XTSK 4 года назад

    A High level clarity has been provided....with intuitive values.

  • @alexmorton5556
    @alexmorton5556 2 года назад +1

    Thank you so much! I finally understand the conditional probability formula.

  • @leili1910
    @leili1910 3 года назад

    it is the best one i have even see explaining the content thank u !

  • @presmompatigilbert5515
    @presmompatigilbert5515 4 года назад +1

    I am enjoying this more than I do with my lecture, thank you Sir

  • @Kisembobusiness
    @Kisembobusiness 3 года назад +1

    this is the best explanation of conditional probability ever. I love how the explanation creates a foundation for what independent events are. thank you sir

    • @jbstatistics
      @jbstatistics  3 года назад +1

      Thank you so much for the very kind words!

  • @onurcam34
    @onurcam34 6 лет назад +3

    Thanks a lot for these great videos. I'm learning a lot more than I did in college lectures.

  • @rishabhsharma329
    @rishabhsharma329 2 года назад

    Whatta legend. Helping my masters sail through !

  • @lynnseto6004
    @lynnseto6004 3 года назад +1

    Thank you so much for making this video. It is so helpful!!

  • @zineddine
    @zineddine 4 года назад +6

    Fantastic! Especially when you said: do me a favour, don’t try to memorize the formula

  • @cococnk388
    @cococnk388 2 года назад +1

    This is what i had at first:
    S= (0,1,10,100)
    A=S1(10,100)
    B=S2(10)
    P(B/A) = P(A n B)/ P(A) = (1/4)/ (2/4)=1/2 =0.5
    What I did above works if an only if they (payouts) do have the same probabilities.... but the probabilities differ according to the payout.
    Thanks alot sir

  • @Ujamama
    @Ujamama 2 года назад +3

    Thank you so much for this video! It was really clear and well-explained.

  • @Rsingh1
    @Rsingh1 6 лет назад +2

    Out of other videos this is superbest and at the top level because of sooo clear explaination i have imediately subscribed it..... Fabulous... Instead of focusing only on solving Qs through formulae .. Explaination of those is also provided.

    • @jbstatistics
      @jbstatistics  6 лет назад +1

      I'm glad you've found this video helpful!

  • @Lil-lc2di
    @Lil-lc2di 3 года назад +3

    Thank you this video really helped! I've already watched several videos on the topic but they just confused me more :'). Really appreciated the diagram around 4:30 personally.

  • @marcosandoval7260
    @marcosandoval7260 5 лет назад

    Great Job!. The best statistics channel on RUclips!.

  • @Cleisthenes2
    @Cleisthenes2 Год назад +1

    I feel like the probability of me understanding statistics has increased given that I have now watched this video.

  • @niconetz2008
    @niconetz2008 3 года назад

    I'm 20 years old, i've studied this topic like 4 times and i thought that i had understood it. Now I really understand it

  • @machinelearning2578
    @machinelearning2578 2 года назад

    Most brilliant and super explanation of conditional probability.

  • @mxkep
    @mxkep 6 лет назад

    Great videos. I wish I found your page earlier in the semester.

  • @kennenwong7942
    @kennenwong7942 Год назад

    This is amazing. Thanks for sharing.

  • @ghadiermatariek8955
    @ghadiermatariek8955 4 года назад

    Awesome really, the best tutorial about the topic

  • @ShadrackKimutai
    @ShadrackKimutai 3 года назад

    Everything Just Clicked... You are amazing

  • @spectator5144
    @spectator5144 2 года назад

    your videos are really good. great job!

  • @vd0321
    @vd0321 4 года назад

    Awesome explanation... Thank you

  • @ashishprasadverma9428
    @ashishprasadverma9428 2 года назад

    thankyou soo much , before this i was never able to understand conditional probab

  • @nethrabhupathi5691
    @nethrabhupathi5691 5 лет назад

    nice, very precise n clear. helpful video

  • @fannyfan663
    @fannyfan663 3 года назад

    So hight quality cours. Thanks alot!

  • @rowenang6761
    @rowenang6761 4 года назад

    thank you so much!!! this is super helpful!!

  • @SaadShah1133
    @SaadShah1133 Год назад +1

    Great video, i hope this helps me in the quiz today

  • @loganbhamidipaty7279
    @loganbhamidipaty7279 3 года назад

    This video is amazing!

  • @akanksha7474
    @akanksha7474 3 года назад

    Awesome video! Thanks

  • @shis10
    @shis10 4 года назад

    Excellent. Very helpful video

  • @aditishikha8149
    @aditishikha8149 3 года назад

    Great work sir. Keep going👍

  • @consolejehong1258
    @consolejehong1258 5 лет назад

    ty!! i understand where the formula comes from now!

  • @florentinosanchez3969
    @florentinosanchez3969 3 месяца назад

    REALLY NICE VIDEO. THANK YOU SO MUCH!!!!

  • @bluetunacult7674
    @bluetunacult7674 5 лет назад

    Great Video, thanks.

  • @Shumayal
    @Shumayal 6 лет назад +1

    That special notice at @4:57 is amazing. Here in the Indian education system unfortunately everything is rote based learning :(

  • @samsungandandroidguy9796
    @samsungandandroidguy9796 Год назад

    Thank God for your channel !

  • @sruti918
    @sruti918 4 года назад

    Well Explained! Thanks

  • @L2.Lagrange
    @L2.Lagrange Год назад

    Very helpful statistics videos

  • @nkasecarter6295
    @nkasecarter6295 4 года назад

    Thanks for your video, this is awesome

  • @giovannicarmona1050
    @giovannicarmona1050 5 лет назад +1

    I Love You

  • @Rsingh1
    @Rsingh1 6 лет назад +1

    Absolutely clear explanation

    • @jbstatistics
      @jbstatistics  6 лет назад +1

      Thanks!

    • @Rsingh1
      @Rsingh1 6 лет назад

      jbstatistics is there any video on multiplication theorem of probability

  • @kengsamnang7225
    @kengsamnang7225 Год назад

    Thank you for share the videos ..!!

  • @ameerhbaig
    @ameerhbaig 3 года назад

    Thanks a lot for this video.

  • @LK-wv3xv
    @LK-wv3xv 4 года назад +1

    this is really probably redundant from other videos but you explained what my math teacher tried to do in two weeks

  • @ayanlodh6485
    @ayanlodh6485 5 лет назад +1

    It's a really helpful thank you very much for this video 👍👌

  • @levonkhojoyan6402
    @levonkhojoyan6402 5 лет назад +1

    thank you so much,,your videos are very helpful
    ,,,,it would be nice if you create a playlist Probability theory for Machine Learning

  • @jo-ekaimadrona6738
    @jo-ekaimadrona6738 3 года назад

    thank you for this video!

  • @cleanestboi5854
    @cleanestboi5854 5 лет назад

    i like that you promote logic and intuitive understanding, its the best way to be prepared if you have a deep understanding

    • @jbstatistics
      @jbstatistics  5 лет назад

      Thanks for the kind words. This is definitely not a "how to" channel -- I try very hard to help students develop a deep understanding of the concepts.

  • @AriaHarmony
    @AriaHarmony 6 лет назад

    Thank you very much!!

  • @benjaminhowe8825
    @benjaminhowe8825 6 лет назад +3

    Hey I’ve watched a few of your playlists and am just writing this to ask you a general question. What’s the best way to learn statistics stuff in r? I’m an actuarial student I’ve done statistics but I’m just unsure what the best way to learn r. Any advice would be most appreciated

  • @akhil1067
    @akhil1067 Год назад

    Well said!

  • @kanacaredes
    @kanacaredes 3 года назад

    Great video

  • @mridu5685
    @mridu5685 2 года назад

    THANK YOU SO MUCH!

  • @rohansodha9555
    @rohansodha9555 2 года назад

    Excellent!

    • @jbstatistics
      @jbstatistics  2 года назад +1

      Thanks! This is one of my faves.

  • @miguelfonseca1104
    @miguelfonseca1104 4 года назад

    you did well, the division part of the conditional probability really threw me off, but the way you explain just made me realize in non-conditional probability, the probability in a sense has a denominator of 1 which signifies "from the whole sample space", when you add given, you must divide to specify its a part of which (partial whole). Thank you. Other videos dont make that clear.

  • @deepakdeepu5711
    @deepakdeepu5711 6 лет назад +1

    Understandable

  • @nafizkarim5191
    @nafizkarim5191 3 года назад

    wow best explanation

  • @shirshak6738
    @shirshak6738 5 лет назад

    i never swear but u are fucking awesome. I never understood this formula. I watched like 1000 video from making tree to everything. Now i can say i understand this formula. Thanks a lot. If i havent watched this video i wonder how many year i would have struggled

  • @petraakbari846
    @petraakbari846 Год назад

    Thank you soooo much!!

  • @ramniwasswami5554
    @ramniwasswami5554 4 года назад

    Very nice vdeos in probability

  • @Thobanatif
    @Thobanatif 3 года назад +1

    If i was able, I would definitely give this person a, "NOBEL PRIZE" 🏆🏆🏆

  • @lovebaking2503
    @lovebaking2503 5 лет назад

    enjoy this video and with a total understanding!

  • @ASHOKKUMAR-jm6yn
    @ASHOKKUMAR-jm6yn 5 лет назад

    It was really nice

  • @sudarshangawande5557
    @sudarshangawande5557 4 года назад

    Best videos!!!!!

  • @babarbaloch4814
    @babarbaloch4814 3 года назад

    Excellent

  • @caesaaar
    @caesaaar 2 дня назад

    What an absolute God

  • @keepfightingalways5967
    @keepfightingalways5967 5 лет назад +1

    Thank you!

  • @fuadsamadov5916
    @fuadsamadov5916 2 года назад

    very clear