SMCI Up [+500%] in One Year. Why?
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- Опубликовано: 23 янв 2024
- Some investors are touting SMCI stock as the next NVIDIA, while others are classifying it in the same category as AI chip stocks. That's entirely wrong. Super Micro Computer or SMCI is a hardware retailer with a shady past that most investors probably don't know about. We cracked open the SMCI 10-K to learn more about this company that's seen some rather stellar revenues growth on the back of demand for NVIDIA GPUs. Unfortunately, that demand may dissipate once the supply problem is rectified and this 30-year old company will go back to doing what they've always been doing - but hopefully none of those widespread irregular accounting practices the SEC fined them for. That's a showstopper for us, not that we would have invested in $SMCI stock anyway. If you want a pick-and-shovel play on AI and the growth of big data, there are much more appealing AI stocks out there to choose from.
RESEARCH PIECES USED IN THIS VIDEO:
1. NVIDIA’s Growth is Stalling: Why We’re Not Worried
www.nanalyze.com/2023/03/nvid...
2. Were We Wrong About AMD? [Full Analysis]
• Were We Wrong About AM...
3. The Artificial Intelligence Stock That Rocked Wall Street
www.nanalyze.com/2016/11/arti...
CHAPTERS:
00:39 Be wary of AI stock hype
01:59 Super Micro Computer revenues soar
04:03 Is SMCI stock even an AI stock?
06:09 What does SMCI even do?
07:01 Super Micro Computer and NVIDIA
07:55 WTF is this SMCI?
08:58 SMCI and trouble with the SEC
11:39 Summarizing SMCI stock
13:05 This didn't age well
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$SMCI
$NVDA
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Thank you for putting this out there. I have a small position in SMCI that has increased quite a bit. I’ve been on the fence about trimming and /or selling out. Information like this is very helpful. Even before this video, I had a bad gut feeling for some reason. Keep up the great work!
You're most welcome. We're always glad to hear when our content helps inform investors.
Seen this stock all over Twitter - thank you for addressing it lol
That's why we covered it. Very popular on social media which drives lots of new investors to it. No problem!
Whhhooo yes!! Love the analysis and deep dive. Thanks for exploring this stock.
Any chance you've done a video on the picks & shovels of Semi conductors & that arena ?? Thanks in advance
Thanks for the feedback and kind words! We were surprised to find some 'dirt' on this one. We did a piece that touched on this a little bit (link: www.nanalyze.com/2023/05/investing-ai-semiconductor-stocks/). And we're diving a bit more into semiconductors with an upcoming piece on EV chips. Stay tuned!
This was hardly a scratch of the surface, but the report is something worth considering.
@@Stefanpu13 There's a lot to cover indeed!
I have purchased two of your reports and am trying to sign up for your annual subscription. The signup page is not allowing me pay with a credit card. Would you please help me address this?
We sent you an email right now. 3...2...1... Check your inbox.
I wonder how many retail investors are buying this thinking they are investing in China's SMIC.
Great question. Ticker confusion is a regular occurrence for retail investors which just goes to show how important it is to know what exactly we're investing in when we plug in a ticker.
What about buying in and setting a stop? And if you get stopped out just buy back in again and set another stop?
And if it keeps going just keep on trying to make a gain on it
We would never consider this. We invest, we don't gamble. If we're going to invest in a company, we're going to invest with conviction. We never use stop losses. As far as SMCI goes, we're avoiding it.
@@Nanalyze yes, conviction is important. But for someone who already owns shares, and changed their mind, a stop loss may be useful. SMCI stock went up a lot. Since it is hyped it could go up more significantly or tank. I would not put a stop loss for a company stock I believe there is upside long term. Your replies could be more articulate and helpful in general. It would engage your audience and give you more subscribers. I understand you talk about the company, but in the end most who buy shares want to have a profit down the road.
@@stefpix If we buy a stock we do so with a horizon of a decade or more. We don't go jumping in and out of the market. We use dollar cost averaging to buy shares, and the reverse of that to exit a position when we decide to do so. We also have rules about trimming overweights. You said, "I would not put a stop loss for a company stock I believe there is upside long term." Exactly. We only hold companies we believe have long term upside. We don't jump in and out of the market trying to make a quick buck.
Regarding your comment about "being more articulate and helpful," you must be new here. ;) Give a read through the comments and you'll see just how many people find our content helpful. We achieved our massive stack of great testimonials and reputation because we're engaging with readers and - especially - our thousands of paying subscribers. No worries there, but thank you for the advice. Your point on using stop losses in appropriate situations is noted, it's just not for us.
@@Nanalyze Yes, I am new there. But I went through the top comments, and some of your replies about the stock price were "watch the video". I understand that you do a lot of research and process a lot of information, but some are looking for a simpler advice.
I just watched a video from a year ago about top semi companies, and it was mentioned about trimming NVDA and considering Synopsis SNPS. Those are interesting points. But trimming NVDA a year ago for SNPS would mean as of Friday Feb 9 2024 to have missed a 224% gain of NVDA stock vs 59% of SNPS, which is significant. My takeaway is that I will do a stop loss for the few SMCI shares I bought some days ago for about $505 and now are at $747. I appreciate you shedding light on the company. Some insider bought shares recently, but there were earlier sells. Probably it is safer for me to stick to a few companies and buy some leveraged ETFs, like SOXL, FNGU and BULZ, which are doing well for me.
I am curious if you have ever made a video or mentioned in any video NVEC.
Anyway I appreciate videos that offer such insight and perspectives. No one has a working crystal ball to predict everything in the future, anyway. But learning helps taking a good direction.
Nice video
Thank you!
I remembered this stock when it was 10$ back in 21
We invest in companies, not stocks.
Insider selling the last 3 monts: 72,025. Shares bought 0. What do you think about Celsius? The next Monster or just hype? Tasted it?
Here's our piece on insider selling (ruclips.net/video/xbpJVa-VMIo/видео.html) and Celsius (ruclips.net/video/BRW51NgA6CQ/видео.html). :)
Subbed
Thank you for the support!
Unless there is a company can match SMCI super cooling rack. They have no competition in the Gen AI space. Jensen Huang already said we are not replacing out suppliers because it’s working for NVDIA.
Doesn't address any of the concerns raised in the video.
From the 10-K. "We compete primarily with large vendors of x86-based general purpose servers and components." Principal competitors include "global technology vendors, such as Cisco, Dell, Hewlett-Packard Enterprise, and Lenovo, ODMs, such as Foxconn, Quanta Computer, and Wiwynn Corporation, and OEMs, such as Inspur." Sounds like the company thinks they have some competition.
And this from the horse's mouth: "Barriers to entry in our market are relatively low and we expect increased challenges from existing as well as new competitors. Some of our principal competitors offer server solutions at a lower price, which has resulted in pricing pressures on sales of our server solutions." Those pricing pressures are why you see gross margins slide.
I really like ADM, but I unloaded it before this because it doesnt outperform SCHD.
Probably a bit apples to oranges to be honest. We find it's probably best to choose from a) a diversified portfolio of dividend growth stocks or b) a dividend growth ETF. We still have one more SCHD-related video coming out which will compare it to another dividend growth ETF contender. Stay tuned!
Its late to buy?)
The presentation was about the company, not the stock. Give it a watch!
I saw the CEO on cnbc recently - that was enough..no position
Interesting. We haven't heard him talk but our findings showed someone questionable.
thank you for the words of sanity in these BS: everything AI everything 5x ing in a year
You're welcome. We've been following this space for a while and have seen it all.
Why are you calling it a reseller? It is my understanding they manufacture these products.
The "key components" comment in the video addresses your question.
Lmaoo everyone wants to know at all time highs testger than doing their research before hand
You'll need to explain the joke with the rest of the class.
thanks again. i won't be buying this stock for sure.
You're very welcome. We sure wouldn't either.
I was aware of their problems with U. S. regulatory agencies. And big money investors are aware of it also as it is all public information. I'm sure you got your info from the Internet. If big money doesn't see a problem I don't think there currently is one. You act like you know more than everyone else. You don't except maybe some of the viewers commenting here.
What facts presented in the video do you disagree with exactly?
@@Nanalyze most people think like this, share price go up, the company must be good. No need to analyize the company, i am sure Warren Buffret is investing like this.
@@fribonla8757 You are exactly right. Critical thinking is overrated. What most people don't know is that Buffett logs into his Robinhood account every morning and FOMOs into whatever happens to be trending. He then looks to armchair amateur hour YT pundits for advice as to whether he should double down or sell it all. There's no in between. Hero or zero. He also leverages the heck out of his bankroll using options. Surefire winning strategy.
Delusional sheep
Let's check this new Nanalyze episode out people..
We'll send your commission check in the mail ;)
Lol