UFC Fight Night Covington vs Buckley Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Tampa)

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  • Опубликовано: 28 дек 2024

Комментарии • 177

  • @demy3667
    @demy3667 17 дней назад +4

    Thanks for all the analysis you do give us. More wins for us next year. Happy New Year

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  16 дней назад +1

      Happy new year Demy! I appreciate you tuning in each week. 👊
      2025 will be even better.

  • @gratefuldude4624
    @gratefuldude4624 17 дней назад +8

    Great show. My New Year's resolution is to not chase as many dogs for the value and to pass more often.

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  17 дней назад +1

      Very smart resolution!! There is no shame in passing. There will be more opportunities on the next card. Don’t feel like you need to force it.

    • @JD-bx7ob
      @JD-bx7ob 16 дней назад +1

      @@gratefuldude4624 passing often is definitely smart! Gotta pick your spots!

  • @rajiadisu
    @rajiadisu 17 дней назад +4

    Best UFC page on RUclips tho, you deserve a plaque 🤌🏾

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  17 дней назад +1

      🙏 one day! I think it’s 100k subscribers? Something like that.

  • @Kiwi-zq8fh
    @Kiwi-zq8fh 16 дней назад +2

    Good luck this weekend. Thanks for the entertaining and informative content throughout the year!

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  16 дней назад

      🙏 you’re the best, Kiwi!

  • @jwb2020jwb
    @jwb2020jwb 16 дней назад +1

    Ive only been on this site for about 3 months but Thanks for all the breakdowns. Merry Christmas my friend

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  15 дней назад +1

      Merry Christmas, brother!
      Thank you for continuing to tune in each week. 👊

  • @hectorgutierrez4838
    @hectorgutierrez4838 14 дней назад

    almost at 5k keep going! big fan man

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  14 дней назад

      700 and some change more to go! I appreciate your support. 👊

  • @scottlawson7177
    @scottlawson7177 15 дней назад +1

    Good stuff man

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  15 дней назад

      You da man, Scott!

  • @genegene7539
    @genegene7539 14 дней назад

    By far the best mma breakdown channel for these cards

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  14 дней назад

      🫡 I appreciate your support, Gene.

  • @randyrandy465
    @randyrandy465 18 дней назад +2

    Thanks buddy 4 the year ❤

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  18 дней назад +1

      Thank you Randy! I appreciate you being part of the community. Here’s to another great year! 🍻

  • @TairaSZN
    @TairaSZN 18 дней назад +2

    Hyped too watch!

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  18 дней назад

      🔥🔥🔥

  • @phillipbetzner4561
    @phillipbetzner4561 16 дней назад

    I watch every show!! Youre a really cool guy and a hard worker! Appreciate your picks and analysis 👍

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  15 дней назад

      🙏 I really appreciate that, Phillip. Your continued support means the world!

  • @ChronicCombatConversations
    @ChronicCombatConversations 18 дней назад +2

    Keep up the amazing work Tyler!

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  18 дней назад +1

      🫡 you keep tuning in, I’ll keep cranking out the work.

  • @justeangat4062
    @justeangat4062 14 дней назад +1

    You are the best pick

  • @DEAD_Sinner
    @DEAD_Sinner 15 дней назад +2

    As for Kape, I don't even know if it's worth betting on this fight.

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  15 дней назад

      What makes you say that?

    • @WorthItMMA
      @WorthItMMA 14 дней назад

      Agree, calculated firm pressure is the new meta in ufc. Bruno silva has that

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  14 дней назад

      @WorthItMMA 💯 that’s one of the things I like most about him.

  • @TairaSZN
    @TairaSZN 16 дней назад +3

    I know it might not be your kind of content but during the weeks with no UFC card's maybe you could make videos talking about fights you want to see in 2025 or who you think will be champions at the end of the year?

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  16 дней назад +2

      We are going to do the champions video! It will be a live stream first week of January. Did one last year as well and we are going over our results Wednesday of next week. 👊

  • @McPooperton
    @McPooperton 18 дней назад +14

    138 on his way to 5k

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  18 дней назад +3

      One step at a time!! Maybe one day I’ll even get one of those neato RUclips plaques 👍

    • @McPooperton
      @McPooperton 18 дней назад +3

      @@138MMA root beer tier list reveal at 138k subs

    • @pinkfreud13
      @pinkfreud13 18 дней назад +2

      I hadn't even noticed how much he's grown! Who says nice guys finish last?

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  18 дней назад

      @McPooperton easy!! I’m all for it

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  18 дней назад +1

      @pinkfreud13 Green Day. On the album Nimrod. 💿

  • @ChalkyBets
    @ChalkyBets 16 дней назад +2

    I'm thinking about putting a car on Covington +13.5 points at -135. Colby isn't chinny and is more likely to win rounds 4 and 5. Covington didn't give Masvidal the chance to strike early and I doubt he'll stand much with Buckley.

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  16 дней назад

      I don’t mind that play at all!! He even took the 5th from Edwards so yeah love that play.

  • @adamtormey9472
    @adamtormey9472 16 дней назад

    Thanks for the breakdowns. I'm a fan of rootbeer too. Specifically rootbeer floats. You should try "Point" rootbeer from Wisconsin. Tasty!

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  16 дней назад

      Next time I take a trip through Wisconsin I’m on the look out for point root beer. 💯
      I appreciate the recommendation!

  • @jonwhite1187
    @jonwhite1187 17 дней назад +1

    15:34 I actually lol’d 😂

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  17 дней назад

      🤣 well I’m glad you found that entertaining!

  • @Shafticus
    @Shafticus 14 дней назад

    Solid marker technique

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  14 дней назад +1

      I appreciate that, brother. 👊

  • @albertopippins
    @albertopippins 17 дней назад

    All favorites picks 👀. 4 fights , coin flip & good underdogs Yanez, Padilla, Miles, Grant. $$

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  16 дней назад

      I picked a +300 underdog…. And Grant is now the favorite.
      All of those you listed are live though. Then again, could end up being another 2024 value loser bet. Aljo and Volkov were those for me last week.

  • @rajiadisu
    @rajiadisu 17 дней назад +1

    My New Year’s resolution is to stop betting on fighters who are on their way out

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  17 дней назад +1

      Great resolution! 💯
      I think that’s something we can all do better about.

  • @pinkfreud13
    @pinkfreud13 18 дней назад +1

    I’ve had the same NYR for the passed 20 years, only did it once for 4 months in 2020: Quit smoking 😞 So maybe I’ll go with something more achievable: not need 138 to remind me twice before I hit the like button 👍

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  18 дней назад +1

      Both of those are excellent choices!!
      Honestly with creators I generally enjoy, I just like the video as soon as I pull it up 😂
      I can always unlike if they make me, but I haven’t had that problem yet.
      As for quitting smoking…. You really should follow through with it this time!
      You can even start by saying “Okay I can at least make it until 138’s next video…” then after the video you can make the new goal of making it to the next one!

    • @pinkfreud13
      @pinkfreud13 17 дней назад

      I usually hit the like as soon as it loads, but I guess I forget sometimes so the reminders are good!
      I really gotta figure the smoking out... been a rough couple years with an unsuccessful surgery that left me so inactive, I just kept smoking more 😥

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  17 дней назад +1

      @pinkfreud13 can’t imagine smoking helps that recovery. Have you tried flavored toothpicks? Sounds weird but they give you that mouth stimulation and are cheaper than cigs.

    • @JD-bx7ob
      @JD-bx7ob 16 дней назад +1

      @@pinkfreud13 good luck man! My parents and most of my grand parents (and me actually, but very briefly), all smoked and its fucking HARD to quit, but they all did, and I got faith in you to make it happen too!! If you need some community and accountability to keep you on track I'm definitely willing to keep checking in with you throughout the year, and Im sure 138 is too! Just lmk! Hope you have a great year!

    • @pinkfreud13
      @pinkfreud13 16 дней назад

      @@138MMA I've found the only thing that works is mental fortitude, can't trick yourself into not wanting it. I know smokers that have quit for 20 years and still get cravings... the way they look at you when you're smoking is not encouraging 😢

  • @jwb2020jwb
    @jwb2020jwb 18 дней назад +3

    Colby by decision my friend

    • @chrissamson462
      @chrissamson462 18 дней назад +2

      Colby is gonna take Buckley down and finish him. Colby finishes Buckley in round 3. Buckley has been fighting bums. Colby has fought top 10 in the last 7 years!

    • @jwb2020jwb
      @jwb2020jwb 18 дней назад +1

      @ I hope you’re right

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  18 дней назад +2

      If we get a version of Colby that attacks the wrestling and uses that classic Covington pressure, then yes, he will absolutely win. If he is the version we saw in his last fight… won’t be a good out.

    • @jwb2020jwb
      @jwb2020jwb 18 дней назад +2

      @ I’m banking that his last performance was because of a broken foot If I have miscalculated then he will be in big trouble

    • @labete1991
      @labete1991 18 дней назад +1

      @@chrissamson462in your dreams Buckley by rd 3 ko

  • @JD-bx7ob
    @JD-bx7ob 15 дней назад

    Ay 138, you got any more livestreams this week? I got a question, but I think youtube is gonna delete my comment as soon as I post it lbs

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  15 дней назад

      No more lives this week. Not until Wednesday of next week. Can always message me on twitter.

    • @JD-bx7ob
      @JD-bx7ob 15 дней назад

      @138MMA Wednesdays cool, remind me if I forget! Don't have a twitter, believe it or not, although I should probably make one for the production business tbh

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  15 дней назад +1

      Word. I’ll try to remind you. 🤝

  • @aa5k
    @aa5k 14 дней назад

    Good picks as always! I disagree on that Covington pick tho. I think he might pull it off here but who knows lol.

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  14 дней назад

      If he’s got more left in the tank than he showed last time out he absolutely can!

    • @aa5k
      @aa5k 13 дней назад

      @ welp lol that was something, I shoulda went with your pick

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  13 дней назад +1

      To be fair I think I only went 8-5 on picks. Hit 6 out of 7 bets though and that’s what matters.

    • @aa5k
      @aa5k 13 дней назад

      @@138MMA congrats on those hits!

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  13 дней назад

      @aa5k thanks brother! 👊

  • @JacobDeWaters
    @JacobDeWaters 17 дней назад

    How do you think the neck surgery will affect Grant in the fight? Do you think he’ll come out timid/grapple a little more out of fear of getting hit & reaggravating an injury?

    • @JacobDeWaters
      @JacobDeWaters 17 дней назад

      Also what are your thoughts on Hooper’s arm bar, I never really see people trap the arm like Hooper did, they usually just bridge the hips & hold the body down with the legs, but Hooper appeared to have almost like a body lock on Guida’s arm

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  16 дней назад +1

      I think the neck surgery will make him less likely to grapple. Way more neck injuries from grappling for sure. I think he goes out there looking to strike.
      As for Chase, that was top tier! Trapping the arm like that prevented clay from rolling out. Eliminates things like the hitchhiker escape.

  • @MvttHill
    @MvttHill 17 дней назад +2

    I hope to drink more root beer next year

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  17 дней назад +1

      Hell yeah brother! 🍻

    • @JD-bx7ob
      @JD-bx7ob 16 дней назад

      @@MvttHill ayyyyy

  • @NealRigga007
    @NealRigga007 18 дней назад

    What did you think of Shavkhat's performance? Most people seem disappointed because it was competitive.

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  18 дней назад

      It’s a knee jerk response from people and I understand why, but I disagree with the masses. He performed about as well as I imagined outside of the RNC close call. Garry is a tough out for anyone and he did what he needed to do. Nobody else has ever beaten Garry.

  • @monikaalirahmitch
    @monikaalirahmitch 17 дней назад

    Appreacte u bro all the way from australia. Lego buckk i bet on colby last fight and im not doing that again

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  16 дней назад

      I appreciate you tuning in! One of my favorite things about this RUclips experience has been connecting with people from all over the world.
      As for Colby… yeah I was there with ya 😅 live and learn I suppose.

  • @MvttHill
    @MvttHill 14 дней назад

    Great call on not betting Petrino 😭😭😭 my poor wallet

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  14 дней назад +1

      Yeah man, can’t back that dude. He won most of the fight, then just done. He’s got a lot of physical attributes but not a lot of skills.

    • @MvttHill
      @MvttHill 14 дней назад

      @ Damn shame, absolutely zero fight IQ

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  14 дней назад +1

      @MvttHill can’t win em all, my friend.

    • @MvttHill
      @MvttHill 14 дней назад

      @ Down go the root beers 🍻😔

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  13 дней назад +1

      @MvttHill 🍻

  • @JB-JB-1992
    @JB-JB-1992 14 дней назад

    I don't understand why people are so dismissive about breaking a foot. Ofc you won't be peak fighting with one.
    Also, thank you for the breakdowns of the breakdowns. 😊

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  14 дней назад

      Sure you won’t be at your peak but if you’re not going to try to win, throw in the towel. He didn’t try to win until the 5th. It’s also not a good sign considering how he performed with a broken jaw against Usman. I’d argue a broken jaw is far more detrimental in an mma fight. That said… maybe it was just the foot and Colby puts on a clinic.

    • @JB-JB-1992
      @JB-JB-1992 14 дней назад

      @@138MMA Yeah, I was thinking this afterwards that was the only negative, that he didn't try to go for broke. Pain is made differently and also motor functioning could easily play a part in a foot break.

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  14 дней назад

      It didn’t appear to be broken to a point he couldn’t use it considering he stood there on it for the rest of the fight. Makes sense to me to take the opponent down and not have to be on the foot anymore 🤷‍♂️
      Would have to drive off the other foot but not that crazy to think. Idk I feel like the foot was just a small part of that performance.

  • @UFCpicksnbalances
    @UFCpicksnbalances 18 дней назад

    I quit my job on Dec 6th. My New Years resolution is to find a job by Feb 10th

    • @sweetpeagrayble5858
      @sweetpeagrayble5858 18 дней назад

      Pro gambler?

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  18 дней назад

      Oh you got this one!! Don’t know what your skillset is but I know from a career change this year of my own that opportunity is out there and you can absolutely snatch it up if you’ve got your mind in the right place.

  • @Nonaddictive
    @Nonaddictive 18 дней назад

    great

  • @HighMarkWater
    @HighMarkWater 18 дней назад

    Just here to make sure there is no Effie slander….

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  18 дней назад

      😂 as long as he doesn’t skip 3/4ths of a card again I will refrain from any Effie slander.
      It really hurts me to do it too… He’s genuinely one of my favorites on RUclips

  • @ruthlesssodapop
    @ruthlesssodapop 17 дней назад

    colby can only work his takedowns against the cage and bucks wrestling defense against the cage is insanely good. very underrated, this is the worst matchup possible for colby. buckley is the best fighter in the world imo

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  17 дней назад

      😂 Buckley a friend of yours?

  • @ThereWillBeBlood524
    @ThereWillBeBlood524 18 дней назад +1

    Last card of the year 😢

    • @JD-bx7ob
      @JD-bx7ob 18 дней назад

      Fr! Cant believe it

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  18 дней назад

      Been a good year in terms of the channel. Both sad to see it end and excited for next year. 🥳

  • @kendra_kat
    @kendra_kat 16 дней назад

    Cheering for my girl Miranda

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  16 дней назад

      🔥🔥🔥🔥 she’s getting another win and hyping up her pickles 🥒

  • @sir__Leo
    @sir__Leo 14 дней назад

    Eh, what was this fight from Tavares, what was his game plan since he showed no rush, no combos and mostly single strikes ... it was obvious after R1 that Grant spam much more kicks and will win. If Tavares team made analysis before fight, they should know that British is a good cardio fighter and may fight +/- like this all three rounds ... Such a disappointment.

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  14 дней назад +1

      Seems to me like he went in there thinking he could land that counter left cross he hit in the 2nd but was banking on that being all he needed. Clearly it wasn’t.

  • @daniellebrooks7510
    @daniellebrooks7510 17 дней назад

    Tavares due to age? Smith, osp, meerchart, tate, hermanson, Araujo, barcelos, aldo, Charles johnson, green, pantoja all won against much younger opponents and I bet them all I love old dogs

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  17 дней назад

      That’s great, congrats.
      This is a very competitive matchup from what I can tell. In a fight that close, I’ll take the younger guy not coming off a neck surgery.

    • @daniellebrooks7510
      @daniellebrooks7510 17 дней назад

      @138MMA funny enough that's why I stayed away from betting yan his last fight he has a torn acl but look how that turned out and aspinal first fight after his acl surgery

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  16 дней назад

      @daniellebrooks7510 ACL and neck are very different. Learned my lesson after picking Albazi and he came out looking WAY worse than before. Not physically, but in the fight he did. Albazi isn’t nearing 40 either.

    • @daniellebrooks7510
      @daniellebrooks7510 16 дней назад

      @@138MMA albazi was never beating moreno neck surgery or not and people are so fixated on age it's about skill I hit 93 underdogs this year and the majority I'd say we're the older fighter in the matchup I love getting fighters ppl say are old washed then watch them win luque last week just an example

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  16 дней назад

      @daniellebrooks7510 Luque still isn’t the same. Next step up and he’s going to be in trouble again.

  • @JD-bx7ob
    @JD-bx7ob 18 дней назад

    I REALLY like Miles Johns here. His fights are always closer than they should be, and I do think Lima is good, but I just think Johns is the better fighter tbh, especially in the striking. Lima was competitive, but he lost the first two rds of the Naimov fight pretty soundly imo, and easily couldve been on his way to losing the third as well until he got that choke. I think Johns has better striking, conparable, if not better, wrestling and more high level experience than Naimov🤷‍♂️💯

    • @sweetpeagrayble5858
      @sweetpeagrayble5858 18 дней назад

      There is a big problem with this specific match up, if it goes the distance they'll prefer Lima getting the nod.

    • @JD-bx7ob
      @JD-bx7ob 18 дней назад

      @sweetpeagrayble5858 why do you say that?

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  18 дней назад

      Comparing Lima’s debut is a bit tricky because he was fighting at FW against a FW. He’s a BW. He took the fight on 5 days notice and still got the finish over a bigger guy. John’s is more skilled than Naimov for sure, but Lima will look better in this fight than his last.

    • @JD-bx7ob
      @JD-bx7ob 18 дней назад

      @138MMA thats actually another reason I am concerned about Lima. I know Johns is historically a bantamweight, but he is the bigger fighter, and this fight is at fw again, is it not? It was stressed A LOT during his debut that Lima was NOT a fw and would not be staying at that weight class, so why is he not moving down for his second fight? Just seems like a bit of a red flag to me, and it also seems like this is a great intro fight at fw for Johns, if hes looking to move up permanently

    • @sweetpeagrayble5858
      @sweetpeagrayble5858 17 дней назад

      @@JD-bx7ob Lima is a more exciting and marketable fighter

  • @godtierscouting8549
    @godtierscouting8549 15 дней назад

    sign up for muay thai

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  15 дней назад

      I’ve done plenty of Muay Thai over the years. I enjoy it but prefer MMA as I like the mixing of styles. You a Muay Thai guy?

  • @justinarndt3372
    @justinarndt3372 14 дней назад

    Maybe just drink a root beer every fight and don’t bet on anything 😂

    • @138MMA
      @138MMA  14 дней назад

      I hit 6 out of 7 bets. Not my problem you can’t differentiate between a pick and a bet.