If you followed Gundlach long enough you could notice that he almost exclusively interviews with Scott, who lets him speak almost uninterrupted. And it seems like they have a mutual respect for each other.
Rahul Chahal WH is essentially helpless to stop it at this point. We’re already well committed to this trajectory. A Warren presidency would only accelerate the inevitable, Trump re-election would forestall it. Just my humble opinion of course
Jack McAndrews Politicians do what’s best for them not the country. Trump will most likely get re-elected. Let’s see what he does in his 8 years. So far tax cut for big corporations & $1 Trillion debt each year he has been in office. Not sure I’ll give him 8 years. And other politicians are likely worse
19:35 Play defense relative to interest rate risk (higher longer term) We’ve seen the low in the 10 yr for the year Credit risk: right now is very dangerous. The time to exit the corporate bond market is presently
Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up.....
The Market has been pretty bad until today it decided to surge. Everybody was Practically Crying then. It kept dipping. That's what you get when you feel you can navigate the process on your own. Big thank to Mrs Clara Greens. I'm not bothered with how bad the Market is because my assests are insured due to her advice on the market and am earning even with the market going down..
You're right! I have lost a lot trading all by myself without a guide. It's been an uneasy ride for me. Who is your mentor please. I actually don't mind paying.
I have bought gold and gold stocks since 2002 and missed this entire stock runup, and have no regrets because the gold stocks have been fine. Pure Gold Mining, Leagold, Americas Gold and Silver, Equinox.
Obviously this guy is rich and probably knows what he is doing. My question is why is he giving US free info? I have seen him more in the last month then the last decade. I never see Bill Belicheck giving up his game plan.
Chuck Farley I certainly don’t disagree, but which government? Since when does the US government care about its citizens ( those outside the 1%) . Or are they just letting us know we will be bailing out the rich.....again.
This man just this year started talking about the next recession because of debt (he is the debt king and he is on point, Jeffrey Gundlach). Ray dalio is the second billionaire who is on point with the cycle, and Warren Buffet also (but the first 2 are economists and last big billionaire is a business, financial analytics guy and less on the economics.) Great to see everyone agreeing with what will happen, now the masses must start to believe so it actually happens.
Gundlach is brilliant but remember he made a huge mistake one year ago. At that time he said we were in a “bear market” and time has proven that we were not.
@Chuck Farley Even if they did a 180 is short term. Are you saying because they went from raising rates to lowering them there is nothing to worry about?
@Chuck Farley You think Trump and Mnuchin would let a recession happen as the elections are coming up? Come on. Atleast in 2008 Bush was leaving office and a new president was coming in. The powers that be will not allow a recession in 2020. Maybe after or towards Trump's 2nd term. More tax cuts coming up and Fed pumping. Just watch
Fed is aiming to monetize debt in a desperate attempt to handle the massive debt bubble they created. This end game will fail and will lead to a significant realignment of asset valuations.
How refreshing to hear some reality based "truth telling"! Thank you, Mr. Gundlach.... And, I surely do hope you are right about seeing some modest rate hikes. Not everyone wants to rely solely on "the markets" for their financial stability.
1- The establishment will inflate the economy as they did in the 1970s but this time it is global inflation with nowhere to escape. Unlike what happened in the 70s when the U.S. corporations outsourced jobs and production to China and other parts of the world, this time there is nothing to outsource because of automation. And therefore there will be no escape from inflation and possibly hyperinflation. 2- The stock market will initially rise as response to the Fed's easing policy but it will decline when inflation starts to pickup and eat into earnings. 3- The debt will rise exponentially over time and the dollar will be wiped out over the next 30 years. 4- The U.S. will enter a period of economic stagnation for the next 30 years and it will get worse before it gets better. 5- The Fed will buy enough corporate debt to get by.
2. At what point does inflation eat into earnings you think? 4%? I think no matter what inflation does equities and multiples will expand. Another question is why do you think the Fed won't be able to keep inflation in check. The rest of your points are too bearish and far-fetched. The Fed will bail us out, even though it won't be pretty. As soon at people see equities fall people will scramble for a patch before anything crazy happens, we are to paranoid after 08.
@@BillGates_Alex Inflation has been eating into earnings since the 1970s, thanks to productivity, demand due to rising world population, globalization, and consumer and national debts, inflation was not felt. Moving forward, all these variables are trending downwards so inflation will catch up. In the 70s, 40% of U.S. population was in the low income bracket but now 60% falls under this category. In the 60s, average house price was equal to one year of average income. In 2019, average house price is 4.5 years of average income. Earnings growth would have been negative year over year since 2007, had not been for the buybacks by most of the S&P 500.
@@pcpolice2314 From where will the people replaced by automation get their purchasing power? Imagine 10 million truck and taxi drivers will be replaced by self-driving cars and trucks by 2030, how will they get any purchasing power? Inflation = decline in purchasing power (either decline of the value money or the inability of getting money)
@@kolabola7200 Have enjoyed reading your posts. As for your response to PCPolice (lol), I'm sure you realize that your response doesn't apply to everyone. Most people will end up with reduced/zero spending power, but others will have LOTS of it. What happens as a result will be what was always wanted and intended, and has actually been openly talked about by some pretty notable people (if the average person bothered to pay attention).
Very helpful to get the things together in the current market environment, especially the part when he explains why the USD is still so strong despite an easing FED policy (e.g. negative bond yields in Europe that makes tutes over there fleeing into US bond market )
I'm wondering if leverage ratios are less relevant because rates are historically low. Can hold more debt if the cost is lower. Shouldn't it be interest expense coverage ratios?
For the love of God I hope people take heed to what he is saying. He is taking a more measured approach than Peter Schiff but basically this is gonna be horrific and people are going to get slaughtered in this next recession that will become a depression.
Honestly, I'm feeling a bit uncomfortable with a lot of current events; mortgage derivatives, unprecedented student loan debt, credit card debt, auto loan debt, federal deficit and QE4. Our dollar is practically worthless. Bank bail-ins scare the living daylights out of me. Gold and silver are good safety nets but a resurgence of the Gold Reserve Act of 1934 rules would render even the most financially prepared individuals helpless.
Probably because he's getting a position the charts look promising for the first and second quarter of next year he has been very optimistic on gold in the past
those are being rated AAA just like MBSs were back in '08 when they should really NOT be rated, not even as junk in some cases. gonna blow up one day, just like Deutche bank's derivatives positions
Im going to take it one step further and say the whole thing is going to meltdown. There wont be a new policy. Everyone will be left to themselves. And new ecoonomies, financial systems and nations will form good or bad.
Unemployment claims are low because of the sharing/gig economy. People would rather drive for Uber and/or Lyft 40+ hours a week in this illusion that they are doing well. That is preventing people from claiming unemployment
Labor market is good? 44% of Americans earn less than $18,000. Sounds really good for employers, until consumption drops into the basement. Good luck with that.
Wow having Gundlach acknowledge basic income as a way to stimulate inflation shows he gets it.. Fed is way too tight and has to expand its bal sheet to fuel growth.. Bailing out banksters does not help the consumer. Exponential growth in tech is pouring gas on deflation. A basic income in an amount that helps the 99% but still encourages gainful activity is the way to go.
El Ac idk, im just curious is all, that’s why I ask the question because Jeff says if we go somewhere above or around 250k jobless claims we could use that as a possible indicator
@@joeyde1981 Fair enough. I also misread your post. You asked about "jobless claims." But the response to your question and to its opposite jobs report, is to "ask about/look at the quality of the jobs produced and lost." Always helpful to look at what the reports are actually measuring and how. Can't remember exactly, but at least one report is a statistical survey. So the #s reported are basically guesses, not actual tallies of every person meeting the criteria. The other things to know are what it means to "be employed," and at what point someone is no longer counted (for any reason) among the "unemployed." As for the "low" unemployment rate vs. "low" inflation, again, go look at the mix and quality of jobs that has been produced over the last decade. People working few hours and/or making low wages (relative to the cost of living)... This is why you have the "low" inflation that people keep talking about (even though inflation isn't actually low). Hypothetical: 250k people working one hour for $5/hr isn't a sign of a great economy, nor likely to produce a huge bump in economy activity. Hence, the "low unemployment rate, low inflation" (false) narrative.
El Ac I think inflation is coming to the consumer. I’m seeing it at the grocery store 20-30% markups on items. Also the sneaky ones are the utilities. Many people don’t think about or question inflation appearing there but it does and it will and that’s where it’s felt.
@@joeyde1981 Oh, inflation is definitely here. You are absolutely correct, and it's present if one looks at other metrics as well. But the narrative is that there isn't any. And I'm saying that a large part of why the people spouting that tripe can do it is because the quality of jobs being produced is so poor that many people who are working don't actually have any real money to spend. Truthfully, I believe that the true focus of such "inflation" talk is wages, and there, even with the little raises people are supposedly getting, there isn't any inflation (because the wages have been depressed for decades, and because so many people are failing to do math and negotiate accordingly).
I was planning on creating a U.S. Dollar Safe Haven however I have been told that it won't be wise to hold U.S. Dollars during the upcoming Recession. Jeffrey Gundlach just confirmed it, that the U.S. Dollars will be dumped. So my question is, is there an alternative to the U.S. Dollar? The Swiss Franc and the Japanese Yen have also been good safe havens, however, I'm worried about the high government debt in Japan 🇯🇵. Will the high government debt weaken the properties of the Yen being a safe haven? I'm comfortable with the Swiss Franc being a Safe Haven, I will add gold and bitcoin to my portfolio (Swiss Franc, Gold and Bitcoin). I need clarity on the Japanese Yen so that I may make a decision whether to add the Yen to my portfolio.
Gundlach makes a great point about how regional leadership changes over time. Here's a simple method to adapt. Use some major benchmark ETFs like SPY, EFA, EEM. Once a year, test the trailing 2 year return, and switch to whichever is strongest. Try a back-test if you don't believe me. This would have kept you in SPY from late 90s but switched to EEM in 2003. Stayed in EEM until 2012 when it switches to SPY, and stays in SPY for entire bull market. Doesn't get better than this... extremely simple technical method with low turnover.
great of CNBC to host Jeffrey Gundlach, ie someone who tells the truth. But their lower captions deliberately misquote him. One quotes him saying "the phase 1 trade deal came out of the blue" ( which seems positive) whereas the real context is, it is a false, nothing deal that came ( was invented) out of the blue to appease expectation ( ie in the pretense ) of a real proper deal, and it is basically worthless, ie a con.
So putting together what Zoltan Pozsar has been saying about dollar liquidity and Gundlacks assessment on dollar correlation with offshore purchases of unhedged US corporate bonds... Can the potential domino effects be ... dollar liquidity issues causes a spike in US treasury yields, forcing the Fed to engage in full blown QE at the long end, causes dollar to drop like a rock, which in turn causes a selling of in corporate bonds.... and stock market slide thru it all?
Comparing the job growth of the LAST 3 years of Obama to that of the FIRST 3 years of Trump is totally nonsensical. It's like comparison of oranges and apples! What happened to the first 5 years of Obama? Jeffrey Gundlach is a buffoon talking crazy.
Anyone still thinking of voting Labour ask yourself one question. In the 40 years Corbyn has been an MP why has no Labour Leader offered him a position on cabinet or shadow cabinet😲
So disappointed in Gundlach. Guy has no idea what's going on. Cuts recession forecast to 35%. Remember people he has philosophy background, now he's just going with middle ground neutral argument. May be he's lying to the media, may be to his investors, may be to himself. Resultant is same. He's in uncharted waters. To some degree we all are. This market may never ever crash. In fiat systems, central banks can purchase unlimited assets as need be. Learn MMT. That's our future.
![Jeffrey Gundlach talks stocks, economy, Fed policy, recession, millennials, & more [FULL INTERVIEW]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/szjJn7iQA_c/mqdefault.jpg)
![Jeffrey Gundlach talks stocks, economy, Fed policy, recession, millennials, & more [FULL INTERVIEW]](/img/tr.png)
![I.N "HALLUCINATION" | [Stray Kids : SKZ-PLAYER]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/n5B5q1Hwt_U/mqdefault.jpg)
I can listen to Gundlach for hours and hours and hours.
Last time he say 30y-yields break and suddenly totally collapse.. So listen but becarefull.. Perhaps take the other side
@@deathlarsen7502 that's how much I love finance
When this guy gets warmed up, he's one of the best
👍👍
Instablaster
American hero. Thanks for taking the torch. Volcker would be proud.
This is the type of guy who starts talking and even the most egotistical loudmouth realizes they need to just shut up and benefit from his knowledge
have you met my wife?
@@trollol_ You poor married guys
Shhhhh.... I'm listening
@@trollol_ the way to shut up your wife is to point out he's a billionaire
@@owenbenjaminshapiro6285 , or stick something in her filthy mouth
Gundlach is unbelievable knowledgeable!! I could listen to him speak all day long
I'm surprised that CNBC had him on they are normally cheerleaders for a bull market.
If you followed Gundlach long enough you could notice that he almost exclusively interviews with Scott, who lets him speak almost uninterrupted.
And it seems like they have a mutual respect for each other.
ENORMOUS respect to Mr Gundlach for hours knowledge and honesty
longest ive ever heard a guest talk without being interrupted
For a 45 min video on RUclips it’s one of the longest I’ve ever stayed tuned to.
Absolutely fantastic. Speaks the truth, hopefully someone at the Fed & White House are listening
Rahul Chahal WH is essentially helpless to stop it at this point. We’re already well committed to this trajectory. A Warren presidency would only accelerate the inevitable, Trump re-election would forestall it. Just my humble opinion of course
Jack McAndrews Politicians do what’s best for them not the country. Trump will most likely get re-elected. Let’s see what he does in his 8 years. So far tax cut for big corporations & $1 Trillion debt each year he has been in office. Not sure I’ll give him 8 years. And other politicians are likely worse
ferzy09 Sanders will need to have both Senate & House support him else he gets nothing done
This man speaks the truth. Interviewer sounds like a corporate puppet.
“Phase 0.1 trade deal...” Truth be told! 🤣
What a joke, right?
I love, love Gundlach. I could listen to him five days a week.
The guys in the back is just buying and selling AGG
LMAO! Two buttons on the keyboard...buy and sell.
He's doing no work. He's management material!
Haha 😆
This guy's not only a genius, but the sexiest guy in finance. He and Eric Schatzker make a great pair!
19:35 Play defense relative to interest rate risk (higher longer term)
We’ve seen the low in the 10 yr for the year
Credit risk: right now is very dangerous. The time to exit the corporate bond market is presently
Great guy. Great mind.
One of the very best Jeff Gundlach. Thank you for educating us with every interview, and for keeping it real.
Gundlach is a great professional explainer. I heard every word, kept my attention, and understood everything.
Good interview and time to learn from Gundlach
What a genius! Every smart man.
Awesome Analysis fm Jeffrey.
Appreciate his honesty. It seems a certain financial doom awaits humanity.
not really . money has to go somewhere, most likely to us China, as our market would bounce back quickly, you will see
Please bring this guest back!
Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up. Lock her up.....
16:06 that "mega recession" is commensurate to the size of the "everything bubble" we're in.
Good interviewer. Thanks
Gundlach is the best.
The Market has been pretty bad until today it decided to surge. Everybody was Practically Crying then. It kept dipping. That's what you get when you feel you can navigate the process on your own. Big thank to Mrs Clara Greens. I'm not bothered with how bad the Market is because my assests are insured due to her advice on the market and am earning even with the market going down..
An opportunity for newbies to capitalize on, It's quite a shame people can't see this, trading is everything right now.
You're right! I have lost a lot trading all by myself without a guide. It's been an uneasy ride for me. Who is your mentor please. I actually don't mind paying.
Pls, how do I Get Mrs Clara?
.....
that's her hAndLe. get more info from her… .☝☝☝..
My dawg Gundlach laying down the truth
Thanks Jeffery G
I have bought gold and gold stocks since 2002 and missed this entire stock runup, and have no regrets because the gold stocks have been fine. Pure Gold Mining, Leagold, Americas Gold and Silver, Equinox.
Good strategy
If people were thinking long term (not just in their financial lives) like Gundlach they would be a lot better off.
"Fed funds rate doesn't allow for the market to clear", meaning, the collateral on the repo market doesn't really sell below 10%.
Obviously this guy is rich and probably knows what he is doing. My question is why is he giving US free info? I have seen him more in the last month then the last decade. I never see Bill Belicheck giving up his game plan.
Chuck Farley I certainly don’t disagree, but which government? Since when does the US government care about its citizens ( those outside the 1%) . Or are they just letting us know we will be bailing out the rich.....again.
This man just this year started talking about the next recession because of debt (he is the debt king and he is on point, Jeffrey Gundlach). Ray dalio is the second billionaire who is on point with the cycle, and Warren Buffet also (but the first 2 are economists and last big billionaire is a business, financial analytics guy and less on the economics.) Great to see everyone agreeing with what will happen, now the masses must start to believe so it actually happens.
You can add Marks to the list
@@ryanmorikawa9898 is he a billionaire, any cool videos about him?
Bummer Gamer Look up “Howard Marks”. Lots of videos on him.
Gundlach is brilliant but remember he made a huge mistake one year ago. At that time he said we were in a “bear market” and time has proven that we were not.
He also said the 30-year would be above 4% by the end of 2020 we'll see how that goes
@@stopasking9745 Jeff?
@@stopasking9745 it is hard to predict these things
@Chuck Farley Even if they did a 180 is short term. Are you saying because they went from raising rates to lowering them there is nothing to worry about?
@Chuck Farley You think Trump and Mnuchin would let a recession happen as the elections are coming up? Come on. Atleast in 2008 Bush was leaving office and a new president was coming in. The powers that be will not allow a recession in 2020. Maybe after or towards Trump's 2nd term. More tax cuts coming up and Fed pumping. Just watch
Imagine that. He's yang gang.
Fed is aiming to monetize debt in a desperate attempt to handle the massive debt bubble they created. This end game will fail and will lead to a significant realignment of asset valuations.
where are yo placing your chips ?
How refreshing to hear some reality based "truth telling"! Thank you, Mr. Gundlach.... And, I surely do hope you are right about seeing some modest rate hikes. Not everyone wants to rely solely on "the markets" for their financial stability.
Amazing interview!!
Terrific conversation!
Outstanding interview of Jeffery Gundlach by Scott Wapner. Two professionals at their best. Great stuff
1- The establishment will inflate the economy as they did in the 1970s but this time it is global inflation with nowhere to escape. Unlike what happened in the 70s when the U.S. corporations outsourced jobs and production to China and other parts of the world, this time there is nothing to outsource because of automation. And therefore there will be no escape from inflation and possibly hyperinflation.
2- The stock market will initially rise as response to the Fed's easing policy but it will decline when inflation starts to pickup and eat into earnings.
3- The debt will rise exponentially over time and the dollar will be wiped out over the next 30 years.
4- The U.S. will enter a period of economic stagnation for the next 30 years and it will get worse before it gets better.
5- The Fed will buy enough corporate debt to get by.
2. At what point does inflation eat into earnings you think? 4%? I think no matter what inflation does equities and multiples will expand. Another question is why do you think the Fed won't be able to keep inflation in check. The rest of your points are too bearish and far-fetched. The Fed will bail us out, even though it won't be pretty. As soon at people see equities fall people will scramble for a patch before anything crazy happens, we are to paranoid after 08.
automation will reduce prices, why will it raise inflation?
@@BillGates_Alex Inflation has been eating into earnings since the 1970s, thanks to productivity, demand due to rising world population, globalization, and consumer and national debts, inflation was not felt. Moving forward, all these variables are trending downwards so inflation will catch up. In the 70s, 40% of U.S. population was in the low income bracket but now 60% falls under this category. In the 60s, average house price was equal to one year of average income. In 2019, average house price is 4.5 years of average income.
Earnings growth would have been negative year over year since 2007, had not been for the buybacks by most of the S&P 500.
@@pcpolice2314 From where will the people replaced by automation get their purchasing power? Imagine 10 million truck and taxi drivers will be replaced by self-driving cars and trucks by 2030, how will they get any purchasing power?
Inflation = decline in purchasing power (either decline of the value money or the inability of getting money)
@@kolabola7200 Have enjoyed reading your posts. As for your response to PCPolice (lol), I'm sure you realize that your response doesn't apply to everyone. Most people will end up with reduced/zero spending power, but others will have LOTS of it. What happens as a result will be what was always wanted and intended, and has actually been openly talked about by some pretty notable people (if the average person bothered to pay attention).
Good interview - insightful whilst pulling no punches.
This is explains why Germany is allowing banks to buy bitcoin
The book - The Fourth Turning (by Neil Howe)
Jeff is a boss... he knows his game. Same view as Peter Shiff... this bubble will end nasty
Yes
Mark Hendriks they both copy Martin Armstrong
what do you think of peter shiff ? now
Peter Schiff says essentially the same thing in a different way. Recession is inevitable after such a long bull run.
Classic... One of my favorite guys to follow 👏👏👏
Very helpful to get the things together in the current market environment, especially the part when he explains why the USD is still so strong despite an easing FED policy (e.g. negative bond yields in Europe that makes tutes over there fleeing into US bond market )
40:55 i see you!
Truth! In a world of lies...
This man is like a computer. He is a wealth of financial knowledge.
Print two TRILLION dollars out of THIN air to bail out the banks>>>but screw the guy on the street !!!
Pocohontas ? She died along time ago and I graduate from Jr. high. YOU ?
I'm wondering if leverage ratios are less relevant because rates are historically low. Can hold more debt if the cost is lower. Shouldn't it be interest expense coverage ratios?
Call it MMT its crazy
Call it a credit bubble, QE, permanent Repo, then it's Ok?
It's the Magical Money Tree!
When jeff Gundlach speaks people listen
It's good to see that many are on board rearding the decision on rates by the Fed with backing from other board members.
Amazing level of intelligence, depth and experience. Wow...
Watching this after double-points post is incredible
Listening to Gundlach always shows you the clear difference between smart money and dumb money
We really need to rein in government spending. 1% cut across the board would do wonders.
Bernie is going to win, and crush Trump
?....
Fantastic interview, lot’s of his points are strikingly similar to Luke Gorman’s
And Ray Dalio !!
wow, I cant believe this is on CNBC
For the love of God I hope people take heed to what he is saying. He is taking a more measured approach than Peter Schiff but basically this is gonna be horrific and people are going to get slaughtered in this next recession that will become a depression.
Honestly, I'm feeling a bit uncomfortable with a lot of current events; mortgage derivatives, unprecedented student loan debt, credit card debt, auto loan debt, federal deficit and QE4. Our dollar is practically worthless. Bank bail-ins scare the living daylights out of me. Gold and silver are good safety nets but a resurgence of the Gold Reserve Act of 1934 rules would render even the most financially prepared individuals helpless.
Chris Salley Japanification coming to a town near you.
Smart dude, but no mention of sound money GOLD?
Probably because he's getting a position the charts look promising for the first and second quarter of next year he has been very optimistic on gold in the past
The prophet speaks!!
wait wait wait... around 41:45 he said they have CLOs..!? and that they ARENT risky? oh man.
those are being rated AAA just like MBSs were back in '08 when they should really NOT be rated, not even as junk in some cases. gonna blow up one day, just like Deutche bank's derivatives positions
Im going to take it one step further and say the whole thing is going to meltdown. There wont be a new policy. Everyone will be left to themselves. And new ecoonomies, financial systems and nations will form good or bad.
wow,,,really smart guy,,,,,,,,,,,
Keep in mind the 30 year treasury was 14 % in 1980. The bond market can get it wrong in a big way too.
Inflation is higher than 2%
great analyse HERE ! cnbc in information mode ?
Fed should have listened to the interview Gundlach did back in February '19
Stop cutting out the GOOD STUFF. @13:08 28:36
Unemployment claims are low because of the sharing/gig economy. People would rather drive for Uber and/or Lyft 40+ hours a week in this illusion that they are doing well. That is preventing people from claiming unemployment
Labor market is good? 44% of Americans earn less than $18,000. Sounds really good for employers, until consumption drops into the basement. Good luck with that.
Watching this after Covid crysis playout. Genious person and he knows whats coming and he looks ready
Does this guy have an opinion on Bitcoin ?
11:28 Phase 0.1 Trade Deal LOL
I thought it was interesting he said THAT was Trumps presidential low point. There are a few to choose from.
@@Calm_Energy Gundlach is mocking what is typical Trumpian behavioral pattern to over-inflate everything.
Wow having Gundlach acknowledge basic income as a way to stimulate inflation shows he gets it.. Fed is way too tight and has to expand its bal sheet to fuel growth.. Bailing out banksters does not help the consumer. Exponential growth in tech is pouring gas on deflation. A basic income in an amount that helps the 99% but still encourages gainful activity is the way to go.
What do you say about the 252k jobless print from today??
Tell me about the job QUALITY.
El Ac idk, im just curious is all, that’s why I ask the question because Jeff says if we go somewhere above or around
250k jobless claims we could use that as a possible indicator
@@joeyde1981 Fair enough. I also misread your post. You asked about "jobless claims." But the response to your question and to its opposite jobs report, is to "ask about/look at the quality of the jobs produced and lost."
Always helpful to look at what the reports are actually measuring and how. Can't remember exactly, but at least one report is a statistical survey. So the #s reported are basically guesses, not actual tallies of every person meeting the criteria. The other things to know are what it means to "be employed," and at what point someone is no longer counted (for any reason) among the "unemployed."
As for the "low" unemployment rate vs. "low" inflation, again, go look at the mix and quality of jobs that has been produced over the last decade. People working few hours and/or making low wages (relative to the cost of living)... This is why you have the "low" inflation that people keep talking about (even though inflation isn't actually low). Hypothetical: 250k people working one hour for $5/hr isn't a sign of a great economy, nor likely to produce a huge bump in economy activity. Hence, the "low unemployment rate, low inflation" (false) narrative.
El Ac I think inflation is coming to the consumer. I’m seeing it at the grocery store 20-30% markups on items. Also the sneaky ones are the utilities. Many people don’t think about or question inflation appearing there but it does and it will and that’s where it’s felt.
@@joeyde1981 Oh, inflation is definitely here. You are absolutely correct, and it's present if one looks at other metrics as well. But the narrative is that there isn't any. And I'm saying that a large part of why the people spouting that tripe can do it is because the quality of jobs being produced is so poor that many people who are working don't actually have any real money to spend. Truthfully, I believe that the true focus of such "inflation" talk is wages, and there, even with the little raises people are supposedly getting, there isn't any inflation (because the wages have been depressed for decades, and because so many people are failing to do math and negotiate accordingly).
Smart and handsome!
I was planning on creating a U.S. Dollar Safe Haven however I have been told that it won't be wise to hold U.S. Dollars during the upcoming Recession. Jeffrey Gundlach just confirmed it, that the U.S. Dollars will be dumped. So my question is, is there an alternative to the U.S. Dollar? The Swiss Franc and the Japanese Yen have also been good safe havens, however, I'm worried about the high government debt in Japan 🇯🇵. Will the high government debt weaken the properties of the Yen being a safe haven? I'm comfortable with the Swiss Franc being a Safe Haven, I will add gold and bitcoin to my portfolio (Swiss Franc, Gold and Bitcoin). I need clarity on the Japanese Yen so that I may make a decision whether to add the Yen to my portfolio.
Gundlach at his best... I just think "what's his name" questions were somewhat weak
Gundlach makes a great point about how regional leadership changes over time. Here's a simple method to adapt. Use some major benchmark ETFs like SPY, EFA, EEM. Once a year, test the trailing 2 year return, and switch to whichever is strongest. Try a back-test if you don't believe me. This would have kept you in SPY from late 90s but switched to EEM in 2003. Stayed in EEM until 2012 when it switches to SPY, and stays in SPY for entire bull market. Doesn't get better than this... extremely simple technical method with low turnover.
Anti Corporate Policies >>> you mean policies that benefit the COMMON MAN !!
He does'nt understand Repo. Armstrong states its nothing to do with QE to stimulate the economy, but
to stop the rise of interest rates.
great of CNBC to host Jeffrey Gundlach, ie someone who tells the truth. But their lower captions deliberately misquote him.
One quotes him saying "the phase 1 trade deal came out of the blue" ( which seems positive) whereas the real context is, it is a false, nothing deal that came ( was invented) out of the blue to appease expectation ( ie in the pretense ) of a real proper deal, and it is basically worthless, ie a con.
33:00 I'm out 🤨
Gundlach is right there will be no trade deal soon.
Where can I watch his webcast they were talking about?
Check Doubleline webcasts and podcasts section.
So putting together what Zoltan Pozsar has been saying about dollar liquidity and Gundlacks assessment on dollar correlation with offshore purchases of unhedged US corporate bonds... Can the potential domino effects be ... dollar liquidity issues causes a spike in US treasury yields, forcing the Fed to engage in full blown QE at the long end, causes dollar to drop like a rock, which in turn causes a selling of in corporate bonds.... and stock market slide thru it all?
Comparing the job growth of the LAST 3 years of Obama to that of the FIRST 3 years of Trump is totally nonsensical. It's like comparison of oranges and apples! What happened to the first 5 years of Obama? Jeffrey Gundlach is a buffoon talking crazy.
Anyone still thinking of voting Labour ask yourself one question. In the 40 years Corbyn has been an MP why has no Labour Leader offered him a position on cabinet or shadow cabinet😲
So disappointed in Gundlach. Guy has no idea what's going on. Cuts recession forecast to 35%. Remember people he has philosophy background, now he's just going with middle ground neutral argument. May be he's lying to the media, may be to his investors, may be to himself. Resultant is same. He's in uncharted waters. To some degree we all are.
This market may never ever crash. In fiat systems, central banks can purchase unlimited assets as need be. Learn MMT. That's our future.
Probably should just remain the silent boob!
Gundlach should have been a poet
banana and ductape for $130,000 lol.
benz806 the psychosis of empire in decline... meanwhile a half million people are living on the streets.
CNBC very hostile compared to prior Gundlach interviews but he handles it very well