HISTORY IS REPEATING 2007 CRASH!! (STOCK MARKET ANALYSIS)
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- Опубликовано: 11 сен 2024
- HISTORY IS REPEATING 2007 CRASH!! (STOCK MARKET ANALYSIS)
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THIS SHOWS A CRASH IS COMING!! (STOCK MARKET ANALYSIS)
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Shoutout to Gabe
@@anderson6379 we have an awesome community here👏💪
Market Makers youtube channel pointed it out
Wonderful content! I keep thinking it’s around the corner, but your playbook for it to hit 2025 sounds spot on. I’m preparing by moving some funds into bonds and holding cash. I will not miss this buying opportunity this time around. Thanks for sharing your thoughts!
@@ryanscharetg3776 really appreciate that👍 we are definitely in a bull market so never want to bet against that. I just try to look at all perspectives.
He has been hoarding cash for half a decade, I guess he will be right eventually.
@@paulsondj very true but he is rarely a net seller of stocks
He bought Ulta! Why don't you follow the truth ?
Thanks for covering. Shoutout to the Thanos of Treasuries. The OGs' OG ..... Papa Buffet
Market Makers you tube channel pointed this out. Spot on technical analysis.
Thanks for sharing!
I am locking up 20 year bond rates 4.5%-5%. You can get coupon for 20 years locked in but if we have a recession and everyone buys bonds they have a price connected to them as well so you can end up selling the bonds for a capital gain much like a stock. This is what I am looking for more than the coupon interest per every 6 month. Possible to sell a 20 year bond bought today for a 30% capital gain this time next year, which is way more than the coupon plus your principal is safe incase it doesn't and you are collecting 4.5-5% coupon incase the price doesn't go up but you will never lose principal only threat is inflation which is why you just keep buying more because if inflation go up so will coupon which you then dollar cost average those rising coupons to keep up with the rate of inflation.
I agree! Great way to lock up yield and still have the upside
If you do the same thing for NASDAQ futures and plot Fib retracements for both the 2007 high lows during the same time July-September 2007 and do it for the current high low for July-Sept 2024 price action lines up perfectly with the 50 day MA and the 61.8% fib for both years. The NASDAQ futures are even scarier to look at for 2007 and 2024 leading up into the Sept. fed cut.
It's fkn scary.
@@rnegoro1 Might not play out exactly as 2007, but it's something we can follow for now and will know what to do once we see it. In 2007 once we broke back above the 50 day MA after the July 2007 pullback we pullback to the 50 and held it. As you can see 2007 took more time to get back above the 50 day MA so it's a little behind compared to today's. chart.
Looking for a pullback, up and then hit resistance in early sept, down to bottom before election (LL?!?)😊 and run until feb 6,2025, then correction for 2 years.
Thoughts on gold & silver trust funds and bitcoin????
loved the miners but they been running
I calculate 42% downside, not saying your 25% to 35% is wrong. Just sharing my estimate.
I see a similar timeline, late 2024, early 2025.
@@TexasGolfer the amount of liquidity has been the hardest thing to really understand. I could definitely see 40% downside risk just trying to use typical pullbacks to measure risk
@@compounding-capital - 100% agree, hard to get a handle on it.
You are wrong most of the time..
@@STOCKmarket-fo1fh Thanks for the kind words👍
@@compounding-capital not kind, not unkind..... just factual.
@@metroplex3k I guess what I can do is go through all my videos and see. If I am not accurate I will delete my channel. I definitely created this channel to help people figure out intrinsic value and have a process. I know both me and my wife are beating the market.
Just off the top of my head I’ve been right about
Sofi
NIO
OPEN
TTCF
FTNT
GOOG
AtNT
INTC
RTX
BROS
AMD
BMY
CSCO
PFE
CPB
SJM
UPS
But have been wrong a lot as well👍
Just to name a few but hey why don’t we make a wager??
@@compounding-capital What is your wager
The moving average shown in the 2024 chart is much steeper in comparison to 2007. Perhaps the decline will be much sharper. 📉
@@Liam_Mac2 measurements from moving averages would be interesting to monitor actually 👍 good call