Markets Weekly July 6, 2024

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  • Опубликовано: 3 авг 2024
  • #federalreserve #marketsanalysis
    Very Cautious on the Market
    Establishment Falling Worldwide
    Housing Market Slowing
    00:00 - Intro
    0:56 - Very Cautious on the Market
    4:05 - Establishment Falling Worldwide
    11:51 - Housing Market Slowing
    For my latest thoughts:
    www.fedguy.com
    For macro courses:
    www.centralbanking101.com
    My best seller on monetary policy:
    www.amazon.com/Central-Bankin...
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Комментарии • 73

  • @sebastiaanthijn7982
    @sebastiaanthijn7982 26 дней назад +48

    Investing in this economy is a hell at times for the average person that wants full control of their finances. Even investing in ETF stocks can be risky

    • @christopherherbert2407
      @christopherherbert2407 26 дней назад

      I gotta admit. I took a hit in the profit department with my stock moves. But every red chart has a chance of turning green

    • @cherylhills3227
      @cherylhills3227 26 дней назад

      Don’t blame the economy. The question to be asked at times is not if the government or the economy is responsible for the sudden dramatic shifts in the economy but if we are taking the necessary measures to avoid making losses no matter the situation even if the payroll is not in your favor

    • @rodgertim2881
      @rodgertim2881 26 дней назад

      What measure would you consider then to better stock investments? What you should be thinking about is where you’re gonna put the money you have in your bank

    • @georgeearling905
      @georgeearling905 26 дней назад

      At times not just creating smart investments but buying assets can improve your profit margins in the long run

    • @AliciaCrone
      @AliciaCrone 26 дней назад

      The massive government stimulus packages implemented to combat the pandemic's economic impact could have long-term consequences, like inflation

  • @Excellionw
    @Excellionw 26 дней назад +37

    Well explain thank you for bringing up this video Financial education is indeed required for more than 80% of the society in the country as very few are literate on the subject. The value of the US dollar is declining due to inflation, but it is increasing in comparison to other currencies and commodities such as gold and real estate....This all spells a reset which none of us know..... I have bought Bitcoin as a store of value while also actively trading.....managed to grow a nest egg of around 200k to a decent 732k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Francine Duguay, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.

    • @Excellionw
      @Excellionw 26 дней назад

      Francine Duguay program is widely available online.

    • @supersayen12
      @supersayen12 26 дней назад

      I appreciate the professionalism and dedication of the team behind Francine’s trade signal service.

    • @JasonLowe-xq8lx
      @JasonLowe-xq8lx 26 дней назад

      Trading with an expert is the best strategy for beginners and busy investor s who have little or no time to monitor their trades.

    • @DustinTingley1
      @DustinTingley1 26 дней назад

      The key to financial stability is having the right investment suggestions for a diverse portfolio. Many investment failures and losses happen when you invest without proper guidance.

    • @HdsujBdhhdsjjns
      @HdsujBdhhdsjjns 26 дней назад

      It was quite challenging to understand the different trends on my own until i found out about Duguay. Trading made easy.

  • @manus100
    @manus100 27 дней назад +4

    Your weekly briefing is a much anticipated event in my weekly diet of market news. I'm not a big investor or anything, just an ordinary person trying to understand this important part of our lives. So thank you for doing this.

  • @andrewtay2001
    @andrewtay2001 28 дней назад

    Thank you Joseph

  • @idipagency624
    @idipagency624 26 дней назад

    Thanks

  • @The_Laid_Off_Life
    @The_Laid_Off_Life 28 дней назад

    Consolidation and then onward and upward......
    I agree and the catalyst will be just after the 1st rate reduction just before the election :-)

  • @adamdavies1126
    @adamdavies1126 26 дней назад

    Great content Joseph!

  • @kwantheman2643
    @kwantheman2643 28 дней назад

    Hope you have a good rest on the 4th weekend. Thanks for the post, Joseph.

  • @DoctorHemi
    @DoctorHemi 28 дней назад

    Great content as always, Joseph. I'm with you on the caution. After I shifted my portfolio to mostly stocks late last year, it's been a really nice ride up this high, but I'm really tempted to shift back out now.

    • @yzhere3745
      @yzhere3745 27 дней назад +1

      I am in the same boat as you but I have been hearing of 'we are close for a correction' for quite some time now. I get it but looking at the big picture, inflation is coming down, unemployment is coming up, there is an anticipation for a rate cut and a lot of liquidity still at the sideline which will flow in as they figure rates are about to come down... I am not saying he is wrong , just very hard to tell. Also we are at the cusp of earning season and I think it has the potential to do another leg up... who knows...

    • @DoctorHemi
      @DoctorHemi 27 дней назад +1

      @@yzhere3745, I totally agree. That's why it's so hard to actually pull the trigger. Shifting out of stocks could result in missing out on some more big gains (for all the reasons you mention.)

  • @MrUseur
    @MrUseur 28 дней назад +2

    First. 😊 Happy weekend, folks.

  • @Anon-nd1ek
    @Anon-nd1ek 28 дней назад

    Happy long weekend, thank you Joseph!

  • @user-on3tf7rr7z
    @user-on3tf7rr7z 28 дней назад +2

    Thank you Joseph! Happy July 4th weekend!

  • @rowenahenderson7375
    @rowenahenderson7375 28 дней назад

    Thanks as always Joseph

  • @Jeff__M
    @Jeff__M 28 дней назад +1

    Happy 4th Joseph! Thanks for these videos! 🇺🇸 👏

  • @Lights_Darks
    @Lights_Darks 28 дней назад

    Thanks, Joseph. Good to note about the market being extended and fragile. Btw, the lens you’re using is better. It’s not distorted.

    • @Fedguy12
      @Fedguy12  28 дней назад +2

      Thanks. I am using my fancy camera this time.

  • @automateeverything2341
    @automateeverything2341 28 дней назад

    Ill take the other side of that bet, I don't think Joe will step down (even though he should). Appreciate the video Joseph, thanks.

  • @AusValue
    @AusValue 28 дней назад +1

    even if the market goes up some more, who really cares. In the grand scheme of things avoiding buying during hyper valuations works out well

  • @raymond_sycamore
    @raymond_sycamore 28 дней назад +1

    My market has completely frozen. I listed two weeks ago for about $50k under market comps at $200k and have had one showing and no other interest.

  • @bombers7878
    @bombers7878 28 дней назад

    Great analysis, as always. Time to cycle out of tech into crypto me thinks.
    Thanks from Australia Joseph!

  • @TM-fr7gh
    @TM-fr7gh 27 дней назад

    I love the intro
    'hello my frieeeends'

  • @michaelcoggan1271
    @michaelcoggan1271 27 дней назад +1

    Thank you again. As you say crypto is canary in the coalmine and the UK labour party in my opinion will hold back most of the UK stock market. Happy 4th July

  • @chrisp9466
    @chrisp9466 28 дней назад +4

    First class commentary as per usual. The establishment is indeed collapsing...and imo that is likely a good thing. Appreciate your comments on equity market cautiousness despite being on #teamcrashup! Thank you for this, Joseph.

  • @klaxonko4343
    @klaxonko4343 28 дней назад

    Where can you track aggregate call option volume for the s&p?

  • @decentlayer6599
    @decentlayer6599 28 дней назад

    Thx Joseph Greetings from Basel Switzerland

  • @brandonklosterman2978
    @brandonklosterman2978 28 дней назад +1

    I don't think risk is that high. The Russel is lagging big time.

    • @AusValue
      @AusValue 28 дней назад

      alot of the russell stocks have also had plummeting earnings though, so its not like they are undervalued. Just less overvalued than big caps

    • @brandonklosterman2978
      @brandonklosterman2978 28 дней назад

      @@AusValue that's not saying much. 40% of the stocks in the index don't have any earnings lol. The point is peak risk on = peak speculation. We aren't even close

    • @AusValue
      @AusValue 28 дней назад

      @@brandonklosterman2978 youre exactly proving my point. The fact people dont care about earnings is the exact definition of a bubble.

  • @kx5517
    @kx5517 27 дней назад

    Always appreciate the content, Joseph. Keep killing it

  • @jamesgeorge8915
    @jamesgeorge8915 27 дней назад

    Good knowledge joseph of UK problems, for an American

  • @CKL800
    @CKL800 27 дней назад

    Thanks Joseph👍🏻

  • @user-lz4kx9lv9d
    @user-lz4kx9lv9d 27 дней назад

    Joseph there is a greater than 50% possibility of the Fed lowering rates this month. The softening in the housing market as well as earnings, increases in unemployment, two quarters in a row of less then 2% growth core inflation declining to 3.4% and Biden needing all the help he can get creates a strong possibility greater than 50% possibility the Fed lowers interest rates at this months FOMC meeting.

    • @Fedguy12
      @Fedguy12  27 дней назад +1

      Market pricing a 75% chance of a first cut in September.

  • @weizhou5793
    @weizhou5793 27 дней назад

    i'm a bit surprised that you didn't talk about the nfp report

  • @gmil2573
    @gmil2573 27 дней назад

    Sovereign bonds are crashing up. Housing may or my not collapse, but it is overbought and over leveraged. Equities too. Recession is already here.

  • @deamonkind
    @deamonkind 27 дней назад +1

    Labour aren't left wing, they are centrist

    • @aeh3486
      @aeh3486 27 дней назад +1

      Disagree, the conservative government was centrist. The current labour are well left of centre the extent of which we'll find out in the coming months

    • @tastypymp1287
      @tastypymp1287 27 дней назад +1

      Labour are supposed to be centre left.
      The problem is the centre point has drifted left for sometime.
      So in reality they're unlikely centre left as we know it and further left than we'd like.

  • @petergozinya6122
    @petergozinya6122 27 дней назад

    Thank you Joseph