The problem is when those signals are getting built up in live market , extremely difficult to be firm on any decision.Once built up as shown in presentation it appears that so easy to predict 😀
Adam, it is going down from 23 Jan till early March before the big bull rally starts. Markets need to capitulate to 3200-3300 bottom before heading to 4300. You are about 6-7 weeks early. Do not buy US stocks at the current 4000 level, people. Gotta wait until end Feb or early Mar.
Hello Adam thank you so much for sharing this great market video! It was informative, well-produced, and enjoyable to watch. I appreciate the effort you put into creating it. Keep up the great work! and may the market be with you !!!
Very informative video. Everyone is talking about the pullback on corporate earnings but no one is talking about how the market can bottom up to a year before it. Great work.
Slope would go down if future price actions reverse direction. Moving average is a lagging indicator. Just 5/5 chance based on the current crossover situation.
Has NOT crossed the trendline.. barely crossed the 200 MA. Another early call that will end up being wrong like the last time he said he was 90% sure that was the bottom
Adam, I have a research assignment for you. Find out how many times the stock market went up with declining earnings and inverted yield curves, etc. Without a fed pivot. I agree we are going to see a new bull market in March, but I think we need to wait for some actual catalyst, like the fed becoming dovish and just saying they will hold rates where they are.
I agree with this. What we are seeing is a declining dollar and that capital is moving into btc and equities. It's is short lived. Remember, money on that scale moves fast.
He addressed this already in the video at the 16 minute mark. Kinda rich to be assigning research tasks when you can't even watch a 20 minute video to the end.
I don’t think we are even close to a bull market. If you compare the BEI and CPI, it seems that the CPI numbers might not come down that easily. The federal reserve will have to keep the interest rate at a decent amount throughout the year for inflation to come down. Until then, we will never have a bull market.
Jim Cramer said now it's the best opportunity to run away from Chinese stocks. I truly believe his prediction, and I just hold my Chinese stocks. Thanks to Adam's advices and Cramer's indicator
I had to come back to this video because I remember all the negative comments about going into a bull run….We’ll, looks like YOU were RIGHT!!! We are probably going into this run until earnings/when the Fed speaks on Feb 1st. Great call!! Your report is right. Let’s see what happens in Q2, thanks for the insight!
always the best from Adam.Answers any questions before we can ask!! Been following for 7 years or so.Helped me on the upside and NOT to loose too much on the downside.
He is down 30% and can't wait to get his 30% back. Adam high interest rates will last long time. Fed is afraid that the inflation will come back again like the years of 70 I think bull market will start next year
I don’t know if he is wrong. But I have many watch list. And Thursday I took a month long volume charts. Out of 30 different stocks. They ate up for the last month. Up 11%. My portfolio is up 14% just this last week. And I have a very broad portfolio. Now it’s been hammered the whole year. It’s been a crazy year. Which created a lot of downside moves. Had a few reverse splits in micro cap. And they took a dump. I really don’t think we will get back up 30% to 50% upside soon. These rate hikes chased a lot of money out of the market. Bitcoin sucks for the year. And now GOLD MAKING NEW HIGHS. Now it may hit 2000 as they though in 2016. It back to $1,900.
I'm not sure this is for everyone but right now, diversification is the secret to optimal performance. This is why I have my interests set on market sectors based on performance and projected growth, such as the EV sector, renewable energy, Tech, and Health.
Thanks Adam!! Good point about the 50 and 150 simple moving average lines. In the past, because of you, I have made lots of money! Nobody is perfect and no one can be one hundred percent accurate all the time, but with you, you are right more often then CNBC or anyone else on RUclips.
The 150 is starting to become flat, but we need to see it move up and along with the 50. A little premature at the moment, but an early positive sign something could start here.
Thanks Adam. This perhaps is the reason of the recent crypto bullrun. If this continues I will just buy the index. Amen. Actually the consolidation that began on 20 December 2022 hints that a support had seemingly stablished at 3780.
Moving Averages are lagging indicators. 10y 3month yield curve is in deep inversion. This is market makers creating bullish sentiment just to crash later. Rally has legs on SPY to get to 435 & qqq to 305 at the most. When markets see unemployment rising & PMI crashing month over month, that's when we may see a violent sell off.
Adam, your data/analytics and its analysis are both amazing. Thank you! May I please ask you to share the source of all your graphs in future videos so that we can also learn to do our own analysis in future ?
Your Bull looks under nourished... Ribs are showing... 😁😉 For you and your subscribers I hope you're right... I have my doubts that this is going to be long lasting... Cheers
What about the PE? Currently S&P500 forward PE is actually still amongst the highest in history, so doesn’t this imply that stocks are still expensive?
Hi Adam, I am using the 200, 150 and 50 Exponential Moving Averages on my charts and I am NOT seeing what you are seeing. Are you using different moving averages?
Hi Adam. Thanks for the great video. Do these 3 Signals also apply for a single stock? This could be relevant because of bullish stocks in a bear market (e.g. energy stocks in 2022).
The situation in 2000-2002 was crazy.. biggest tech bubble burst when internet was still shit followed by 911 and war on terror, including several other terrorist attacks. Crazy times which isn't matched at all by the current situation. IMO those times were more severe than high inflation (which started to come down within months) and Ukraine war. Of course things can get worse as we cannot predict the future in the geopolitical space.
Hi Adam thanks for the video ! Good point on the bottom of the market and the bottom of earnings but on the 2008 example there was a stock market Minor low, then earnings started to drop and the Hole market tanked strongly before going up again.... So ok for the past but i trust more recent history since the world, economy and trading has changed a lot. So if taking the 2008 example it shows when earnings will tanks, market I'll come down with it, before rallying later ;) right ?
I have and always will be an Adam Khoo supporter, but guessing a market bottom just based on moving averages is not efficient. This video will not age well. EDIT: In my opinion, from purely the price action, we haven't even had a capitulation yet.
Adam as you pointed out that corporate earnings will decline in 2023 but it doesn't not mean S&P 500 index will go down as you showed from previous data. With this info, then one Should only invest in S&P 500 index (e.g. SPY) and only in those companies whose earnings will not decline in 2023, Do you agree? Which companies in S & P 500 can say with more than 90 % probability that their earnings will not decline in 2023
Adam but many time when the 50 cross the 150 and sloping and flat there was a big collapse before the market went up. Oh hindside is easy but realtime is a different story when u are holding long and the market start to collapse
Good day to you Adam. I noticed when comparing the corporate earnings bottom to the S&P 500 bottom, 7 out of 8 slides there was a increase in the GDP very near to and right after the S&P bottom. do you think That GDP should be looked at in these charts as a potential indicator as well? Thank you for great video!
Hello Adam, great video, very informative, high level. I was wondering where can I find the graphs of the sp500 bottoming before the earnings low? Thank you
With all due respect, Adam has changed bias back and forth in last few months so many times. Long term - I agree things will be up but your narrative has been switching gears back and forth this cycle quite often, it’s hard to gauge which side you are fielding. I am listening to opinions but it’s understandable no one has a crystal ball to predict, sometimes the charts can be questionable too if macro factors are worse. Anyhow, Just DCA into companies that has good moat and sell options against it - Rinse and repeat.
Hi Adam, no matter what any naysayer has to say, imho you are still the best ! becoz you always qualify your opinions, and to me, that's justified enough, n so please keep up the great work ! You the man 👍🏻🙏🏻
this time the fed is qt a lot more than ever seen before,,, and hiking rates,,, and stocks is not valued to a recession,,,, i think a bull run will come but not yet….
Thanks, Adam. Very informative. I noticed that you used 50 & 150 SMA in order to arrive at the bullish market direction. However, at this time it seems that the 150 SMA is continuing to slope down. Also, I do not even see the cross happening if I choose to use EMA instead of SMA. We may arrive at a confirmation-biased conclusion easily based on the previous trends which may be a risk since we don't have a magic crystal ball :).
Thanks for sharing. But first account you were showing 1M not YTD performance, ya? And just out of curiosity, not sure if i was seeing it right, what was the reason for -ve cash balance in your first account?
Stocks are falling and bond yields are rising, but markets still don't seem convinced the Federal Reserve will pursue plans to keep increasing interest rates until inflation is under control. I'm still at a crossroads deciding if to liquidate my $138k stock portfolio, what's the best way to take advantage of this bear market?
Thank you so much for sharing your insights with us. Is there somewhere I can source the images with the charts comparing the corporate earnings in comparison to the market 🙌🙏18:49
![[LIVE] Pre-Market Prep - TSLA Gap Up & NVDA Gap Down - Market Stuck Inbetween!!](/img/1.gif)
Adam you were right. Full stop. And at the same time you explain everything with no BS
This video will either be the one that everyone praises or the one that everyone laughes at in a years time
Adam, you really made things so simple and easy to understand.
Thanks Adam for the heads up. Many still think there would be a crash before it can start rallying
i am one of those need another leg down
The problem is when those signals are getting built up in live market , extremely difficult to be firm on any decision.Once built up as shown in presentation it appears that so easy to predict 😀
At some point you gotta trust your signals though otherwise you're stuck on the sidelines for ever.
Adam, it is going down from 23 Jan till early March before the big bull rally starts. Markets need to capitulate to 3200-3300 bottom before heading to 4300. You are about 6-7 weeks early. Do not buy US stocks at the current 4000 level, people. Gotta wait until end Feb or early Mar.
Right or Wrong, I enjoy his POSITIVE, WINNER, attitude.
Unlike the Multitude of CRASH PREDICTORS....
Yes! S&P back up over 4000!!!
Hello Adam thank you so much for sharing this great market video! It was informative, well-produced, and enjoyable to watch. I appreciate the effort you put into creating it. Keep up the great work! and may the market be with you !!!
Glad you enjoyed it!
Very informative video. Everyone is talking about the pullback on corporate earnings but no one is talking about how the market can bottom up to a year before it. Great work.
Well said!
Slope would go down if future price actions reverse direction. Moving average is a lagging indicator. Just 5/5 chance based on the current crossover situation.
This is the only youtube channel I watch from start to finish.
Has NOT crossed the trendline.. barely crossed the 200 MA. Another early call that will end up being wrong like the last time he said he was 90% sure that was the bottom
So on this day Mr Khoo has declared the end of the bust and the start of a boom
Adam, I have a research assignment for you. Find out how many times the stock market went up with declining earnings and inverted yield curves, etc. Without a fed pivot. I agree we are going to see a new bull market in March, but I think we need to wait for some actual catalyst, like the fed becoming dovish and just saying they will hold rates where they are.
Why don't you do the work and let us know what you find out if you already know the answer?
I agree with this. What we are seeing is a declining dollar and that capital is moving into btc and equities. It's is short lived. Remember, money on that scale moves fast.
He addressed this already in the video at the 16 minute mark. Kinda rich to be assigning research tasks when you can't even watch a 20 minute video to the end.
I don’t think we are even close to a bull market. If you compare the BEI and CPI, it seems that the CPI numbers might not come down that easily. The federal reserve will have to keep the interest rate at a decent amount throughout the year for inflation to come down. Until then, we will never have a bull market.
Jim Cramer said now it's the best opportunity to run away from Chinese stocks. I truly believe his prediction, and I just hold my Chinese stocks. Thanks to Adam's advices and Cramer's indicator
You are right When creamers said stay away from Chinese stocks i loaded xpeng, Nio & AliBaba
Adam, I was able to buy really cheap in October 2021, which is believed to be the bottom, because of one of your videos. Thank you so much!!! 🙏🏽🙏🏽🙏🏽
21?
I had to come back to this video because I remember all the negative comments about going into a bull run….We’ll, looks like YOU were RIGHT!!! We are probably going into this run until earnings/when the Fed speaks on Feb 1st.
Great call!! Your report is right. Let’s see what happens in Q2, thanks for the insight!
always the best from Adam.Answers any questions before we can ask!! Been following for 7 years or so.Helped me on the upside and NOT to loose too much on the downside.
He is down 30% and can't wait to get his 30% back.
Adam high interest rates will last long time. Fed is afraid that the inflation will come back again like the years of 70
I think bull market will start next year
Thanks Adam., i watch all your videos religiously
Weekly chat tells a different story. 100D above 50D with downslope
ADAM PLEASE TELL US what Stocks you have in your portfolio because alot of us more than 30% down.Please help
I don’t know if he is wrong. But I have many watch list. And Thursday I took a month long volume charts. Out of 30 different stocks. They ate up for the last month. Up 11%. My portfolio is up 14% just this last week. And I have a very broad portfolio. Now it’s been hammered the whole year. It’s been a crazy year. Which created a lot of downside moves. Had a few reverse splits in micro cap. And they took a dump. I really don’t think we will get back up 30% to 50% upside soon. These rate hikes chased a lot of money out of the market. Bitcoin sucks for the year. And now GOLD MAKING NEW HIGHS. Now it may hit 2000 as they though in 2016. It back to $1,900.
50/150. Cross , both going up. I like it. 90%. and 200 slope up 98%.. of course, times are getting very strange. Good video.
I'm paying off my margin. Got sooooo close to being margin called
By the way, what’s the indicator for bear market?
average bear market low P/E was 12.6, currently P/E is 17. but the market rises after Fed pivot before low of earnings
We need low interest rates and cheap oil for the next bull. Not yet imo.
He proved with history indicators, now going well time will tell, but people should wait for all three bull indicators
Yes the Bull case very convincing.
I'm not sure this is for everyone but right now, diversification is the secret to optimal performance. This is why I have my interests set on market sectors based on performance and projected growth, such as the EV sector, renewable energy, Tech, and Health.
Since following Adam, I’ve never been more confident and disciplined on my investments and trades. Thank you for always imparting your knowledge.
Well the breakout has just failed.
Great job!
Thanks Adam!! Good point about the 50 and 150 simple moving average lines. In the past, because of you, I have made lots of money! Nobody is perfect and no one can be one hundred percent accurate all the time, but with you, you are right more often then CNBC or anyone else on RUclips.
Nice work!
This ties in with Mike Norman's MMT analysis, looks good for 2023 until the debt ceiling rears its ugly head again
Adam the legend! ❤
The 150 is starting to become flat, but we need to see it move up and along with the 50. A little premature at the moment, but an early positive sign something could start here.
Thanks Adam. This perhaps is the reason of the recent crypto bullrun. If this continues I will just buy the index. Amen.
Actually the consolidation that began on 20 December 2022 hints that a support had seemingly stablished at 3780.
Thanks Adam! You are the king :)
This contradicts J Bravo's video about the S&P, so who will be right this time?
You forget the most important signal is J Powell and the FED.
Yes it was rocky but it’s in up trend now
Moving Averages are lagging indicators. 10y 3month yield curve is in deep inversion. This is market makers creating bullish sentiment just to crash later. Rally has legs on SPY to get to 435 & qqq to 305 at the most. When markets see unemployment rising & PMI crashing month over month, that's when we may see a violent sell off.
Can we apply this indicators in currency pairs outside stock?
Adam, your data/analytics and its analysis are both amazing. Thank you!
May I please ask you to share the source of all your graphs in future videos so that we can also learn to do our own analysis in future ?
I woke up today expecting this exact title and here we go. booom
As a long term investor, absolutely not.
As much as I'd like my portfolio to shoot up this year, it's not happening yet
Your Bull looks under nourished... Ribs are showing... 😁😉 For you and your subscribers I hope you're right... I have my doubts that this is going to be long lasting... Cheers
What about the PE? Currently S&P500 forward PE is actually still amongst the highest in history, so doesn’t this imply that stocks are still expensive?
Hi Adam,
I am using the 200, 150 and 50 Exponential Moving Averages on my charts and I am NOT seeing what you are seeing.
Are you using different moving averages?
Hi Adam. Thanks for the great video. Do these 3 Signals also apply for a single stock? This could be relevant because of bullish stocks in a bear market (e.g. energy stocks in 2022).
If it is similar to 2008, yes, stock has bottomed. If it is similar to 2000, it will bottom in 2024 and there will be huge drawdown for Adam.
The situation in 2000-2002 was crazy.. biggest tech bubble burst when internet was still shit followed by 911 and war on terror, including several other terrorist attacks. Crazy times which isn't matched at all by the current situation. IMO those times were more severe than high inflation (which started to come down within months) and Ukraine war. Of course things can get worse as we cannot predict the future in the geopolitical space.
Small buys are good right now.....as always....consistent investing over time! #RESPECT
Hi Adam thanks for the video !
Good point on the bottom of the market and the bottom of earnings but on the 2008 example there was a stock market Minor low, then earnings started to drop and the Hole market tanked strongly before going up again.... So ok for the past but i trust more recent history since the world, economy and trading has changed a lot. So if taking the 2008 example it shows when earnings will tanks, market I'll come down with it, before rallying later ;) right ?
Beautiful explanation sir ❤
I have and always will be an Adam Khoo supporter, but guessing a market bottom just based on moving averages is not efficient. This video will not age well.
EDIT: In my opinion, from purely the price action, we haven't even had a capitulation yet.
your comment didn't age well
I could every week or even month state that bull market is back and one day I will be right! 100% accurate prediction which will come true!
Adam as you pointed out that corporate earnings will decline in 2023 but it doesn't not mean S&P 500 index will go down as you showed from previous data.
With this info, then one Should only invest in S&P 500 index (e.g. SPY) and only in those companies whose earnings will not decline in 2023, Do you agree?
Which companies in S & P 500 can say with more than 90 % probability that their earnings will not decline in 2023
Lol u can tell bull run confirmed with just moving average cross over? Common Adam, I expect more from you.😅
5:50 Isn't it the 50 MA crossing the 200 MA to signal a switch from bearish to bullish rather than the 150?!
thanks for the optimism. market has been down badly already.
Adam but many time when the 50 cross the 150 and sloping and flat there was a big collapse before the market went up. Oh hindside is easy but realtime is a different story when u are holding long and the market start to collapse
Yeah, not sure about that, but brave of you for declaring it. Time will tell. I think we will make new lows
A Bold Statement indeed: sincerely hope & wish you to be Right.
Stocks market always ahead of the data, great video. Thx
Good day to you Adam. I noticed when comparing the corporate earnings bottom to the S&P 500 bottom, 7 out of 8 slides there was a increase in the GDP very near to and right after the S&P bottom. do you think That GDP should be looked at in these charts as a potential indicator as well? Thank you for great video!
Great lesson sir❤
Hello Adam, great video, very informative, high level. I was wondering where can I find the graphs of the sp500 bottoming before the earnings low? Thank you
So far so good master.
Can the moving average be use on any timeframe
With all due respect, Adam has changed bias back and forth in last few months so many times. Long term - I agree things will be up but your narrative has been switching gears back and forth this cycle quite often, it’s hard to gauge which side you are fielding.
I am listening to opinions but it’s understandable no one has a crystal ball to predict, sometimes the charts can be questionable too if macro factors are worse.
Anyhow, Just DCA into companies that has good moat and sell options against it - Rinse and repeat.
Thank you for sharing that MA indicator strategy.🙏
Thank you so much for the information here. Looking forward to your next youtube video.
Hi Adam, no matter what any naysayer has to say, imho you are still the best ! becoz you always qualify your opinions, and to me, that's justified enough, n so please keep up the great work ! You the man 👍🏻🙏🏻
I appreciate that!
Adam bull market prediction always right,just like ur Covid bull return prediction,thanks
always great content. Thank you for taking the time to go through the historical data. Very much appreciated.
Glad you enjoyed it
Can you give us your portfolio list
Great work, Adam...always happy to see your videos. They are really amazing made with the details for some important aspects.
Much appreciated!
Ho, where did you find the historical charts of recession, earnings, etc? Thanks
Thx for the update 🙏
always great info. thanks for sharing.
Agree long term and good stocks. Technical studies helps too.
I wish you a happy new year, Adam. Following you for a few years now, I have learned a lot from you. My portfolio in 2023 has also started well.
this time the fed is qt a lot more than ever seen before,,, and hiking rates,,, and stocks is not valued to a recession,,,, i think a bull run will come but not yet….
gonna save this video because last year you said you expected about 8% return.
Excellent analysis and walk through of some of the key trend analysis that most people can’t comprehend! Thank you and keep up the great work!
Much appreciated!
Gong Xi Fa Cai, Adam Khoo❤
Thanks, Adam. Very informative. I noticed that you used 50 & 150 SMA in order to arrive at the bullish market direction. However, at this time it seems that the 150 SMA is continuing to slope down. Also, I do not even see the cross happening if I choose to use EMA instead of SMA. We may arrive at a confirmation-biased conclusion easily based on the previous trends which may be a risk since we don't have a magic crystal ball :).
150ma is going up
No reason why a Bull market should Start. Sp500 will test 3300 first
Wtf bro... the 150 is sloping down! U guys blind?
I know right? IN WHAT WORLD IS THAT SIDEWAYS?
Its up now :)
These 2 jokers hahaha its already going up
This didn’t age well
It's pretty convincing I have to to say.
Thanks for sharing. But first account you were showing 1M not YTD performance, ya? And just out of curiosity, not sure if i was seeing it right, what was the reason for -ve cash balance in your first account?
Stocks are falling and bond yields are
rising, but markets still don't seem
convinced the Federal Reserve will pursue
plans to keep increasing interest rates until
inflation is under control. I'm still at a
crossroads deciding if to liquidate my
$138k stock portfolio, what's the best way
to take advantage of this bear market?
I hope so, but we always had these dead cat bounce
Thank you Adam you are brilliant
Thank you so much for sharing your insights with us. Is there somewhere I can source the images with the charts comparing the corporate earnings in comparison to the market 🙌🙏18:49
You are the best. Thanks a lot
The more the price tests a major support or resistance level the weaker it becomes.
Look forward to his videos … always has a positive attitude 😊👍