👉 Get Steve Merril's Picks: wt.buzz/sm 🏈 More Free College Football Picks: www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/college-football 🏈 Live College Football Odds: wt.buzz/live-cfb 📺 Want MORE College Football Week 8 betting analysis? 👉 wt.buzz/2024cfbwk8 🤷♂ What is your BEST BET for College Football this week? Let us know in the comments below 👇
You are the only sports capper I listen to when I’m working on my bets man. You actually know your stuff. Keep up the good work, and thank you for all the info!
@@stevemerril1485 no problem, Steve. If you don’t mind answering, I’d really like to know how you manage to balance out family time and betting. I’m sure it’s gotten much easier for you over time, considering you’ve done this for almost four decades. Any feedback is much appreciated!
I gotta say I’m buying into PHI -3, that secondary has been a killer for them but still are loaded with talent. I think PHI catches their stride at some point. A bit of a falling knife situation as they haven’t looked great even in their wins. Rarely am I on the public side but this is one where I’m leaning that direction. Paired the jets up in a few teasers last weekend with a few teams this week (DET +8 / WAS -2) which I feel great about. Decent amount of volume this week for me. HOU +3, WAS TT O 29.5, T. Hill O 55.5 REC, D. Samuel O 4.5 REC and SF ML. Had Maryland +7 over USC earlier and Oregon state +7 tonight v.s UNLV in CFB. As you like to say, let’s learn, earn and win together. Thanks as always for the video Mr. Merril!
Hey Steve, been following you since the nba playoffs. I’ve made a lot of money with your help. I’m signing up for the package and looking forward to continued success
I bought a point early in the week on 2 games for a 2tm parlay and got Washington -6.5 and lions +3.5. I try to buy a point to get me around those key numbers.
Great stuff as always Steve. I like Tenn, may take them especially if I can get 10. I like the move to Rudolph, not because he's a good NFL QB, but his floor is probably higher than Levis. I've been getting a bit more into player props. There's some I like in the London game. Kirk over 41.5/42.5 rec yards, Maye over 200.5 pass yards, Maye 2+ TD passes, Bigsby o 56.5/57.5 rush yards, and Boutte over 19.5 yards. Anyway, great video as always Steve.
Washington is playing great on offense w Daniels at the helm. Their D is stepping up as they're not in the field for nearly as long as they've been. This game likely goes over, but take the Skins or Commanders to cover. Tennessee hasn't seen a QB as good as Allen, 9 is a lot of points but w Rudolph starting how can you trust Tenn to play good enough to cover. I can't, gimme Buffalo. Giants are gonna actually play well here I believe. Their D line is playing great. I roll w the Giants as Phili pulled one out of their hat last week and missed the cover by the hook. All the best to you Sir Steve..
I do like Carolina plus the points in this game a lot, and I think the line has gotten out of control, especially if it hits +10. This is a sandwich spot for Washington, coming off a true step-up game against a good opponent and geographic rival in Baltimore, also a tough physical defense, and it ended Washington's win streak, so it seems like the type of loss that could hang you over. Not only that but look who Washington has next. The Chicago Bears. That's the rookie QB battle game of the year between Williams and Daniels, 1 and 2, a monster game on deck. I also think maybe Carolina shows up for this one because they're angry their high draft pick last year in Bryce Young didn't work out and may want to take out their frustrations against a team whose highly drafted QB looks like the real deal. Thanks for all these videos Steve, they're can't miss content!
@StephenFallon-wt7lv yeah i don't know if Mariota being in there maybe hurt Carolina more because they hadn't prepped for him. Carolina is just so bad they're probably on the do not play list.
Like the Show and it so nice living 5 mins from the Beautiful Turning Stone Casino in Verona NY the Finest Casino in NY STATE with a 340 Million Dollar expansion started
Thanks as always Steve. Love the Lions, but I can't bet against an undefeated team playing at home. Excited to watch both DET/MIN and KC/SF. Should be great matchups!
Im new to wagertalk. Ive watched a ton of videos from your group. I hate hype. You are knowledgeable and clear with your analysis. YOU have earned my business. I dont need to be shouted at.
Yes 💯 I was a huge Redskins' fan & season ticket holder 1980s and '90s, lost interest in recent years, and then once they changed the name, I was officially done.
STEVE, i am a client and have been for years. i am having a hard time with the math that you are up 170 plus units on he year. if you are giving out 1-2 plays a day that means that you have to be up in the 65 or so percent range for the year. what i see on the year is maybe on average plus 1 or 2 units a week. please help with this.
Big system play when a team scores 40+ points in back to back weeks which the Lions did the game has a high percentage of the game going under the total.
Thank you, Steve. You are the MAN! I'm not good at college on Saturday. So, I'm looking at NFL. I may have already posted my picks in your other video. I have Minnesota, SF, NY Jets, and TB. GL
Hi Steve! How much of a bankroll do you think is needed to support the $1799 package? Whats the minimum where it becomes "worth it" - in your opinion of course
Hey Steve I watch this video each week and i commend you for the quality of your work...The one thing that really is off putting is the hard sell you put on your picks and the lack of humility you portray. I respect that you have a proven track record of success but in the gambling world there are always ups and downs no matter how good you are.
My record, and every selection I release everyday, win or lose, is documented on my page at WT. I've honestly never heard someone complain in my 29 year career about winning too much.
@@alexopperman905 yeah. Can't remember for sure, but last year I thought they looked good at times but still get exposed. Feel free to correct me as I can't remember for sure.
The public kicked the shit out of the sharps yet again..welcome to 2023 oh wait its 2024. 😂😂😂...here we come ..and yes I'm real cocky right now 😂😂😂😂 because we ACTUALLY WATCH THE GAMES , NOT JUST NUMBERS 😂😂😂
So why don't the Books give the Panthers more points! It HAS gone from +7.5 to +9.5 this week. I guess the Books don't even fear that the Pros will come in on the Panthers even at +9.5.
Because there's about a 5% chance a favorite wins by exactly 10 points, so moving that extra half point to +10 would probably get too much sharp money on Carolina.
I think the lines have been depressed this year. I don't think the action would increase much at 10, 11, or 12! The books will keep it as low as possible.
@@Redmenace96 But if they keep it low, then they are making it easier for the Public to win. Maybe that is better than raising the spread to a point that they might get clobbered by the Pros for bigger money.
speaking of publick.... Don't you think a lot of the media, who are just personalities, push NYJ and NYG more than they have value? What do you remember from the pre-season about predictions on Jets and Giants?
Thank you Beautiful Steve. Why don’t you have buy rest season NFL and get college football free? For guys and girls only like football only. I think you will be more beautiful if you do that.
@@ThanhNguyen-qp5ce Yes, I would agree they are going to give it back sooner than later, public often does okay mid-season, so not surprised to see this recent run, I will still be using it as a filter each week, but it'll be very careful not to be on a public side probably going forward.
In the spirit of fairness I would say a larger than a four-game sample size should probably be examined before you love you that sort of an accusation...😂
👉 Get Steve Merril's Picks: wt.buzz/sm
🏈 More Free College Football Picks: www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/college-football
🏈 Live College Football Odds: wt.buzz/live-cfb
📺 Want MORE College Football Week 8 betting analysis? 👉 wt.buzz/2024cfbwk8
🤷♂ What is your BEST BET for College Football this week? Let us know in the comments below 👇
Smash that LIKE button!
You are the only sports capper I listen to when I’m working on my bets man. You actually know your stuff. Keep up the good work, and thank you for all the info!
You new here?
Thank you for watching and commenting, always appreciate it!
@@CLEAN.DEGENERATE yeah, just not new to betting lmao. A very time-consuming habit, which is not ideal due to being a father of two and all.
@@stevemerril1485 no problem, Steve. If you don’t mind answering, I’d really like to know how you manage to balance out family time and betting. I’m sure it’s gotten much easier for you over time, considering you’ve done this for almost four decades. Any feedback is much appreciated!
Hoodie Merril is built different
He got black air forces on tooo... The public in trouble
Love that hoodie!
@@georgesylvia1357 socks only for the videos... LoL
@@stevemerril3086 😂😂😂😂 black socks, public still in trouble
Assassins Creed: The Shield
I like your videos and I watch them every week. Thank You. I am watching Green Bay vs. Houston. Looking for the Pack to win and to cover.
I gotta say I’m buying into PHI -3, that secondary has been a killer for them but still are loaded with talent. I think PHI catches their stride at some point. A bit of a falling knife situation as they haven’t looked great even in their wins. Rarely am I on the public side but this is one where I’m leaning that direction. Paired the jets up in a few teasers last weekend with a few teams this week (DET +8 / WAS -2) which I feel great about. Decent amount of volume this week for me. HOU +3, WAS TT O 29.5, T. Hill O 55.5 REC, D. Samuel O 4.5 REC and SF ML. Had Maryland +7 over USC earlier and Oregon state +7 tonight v.s UNLV in CFB. As you like to say, let’s learn, earn and win together. Thanks as always for the video Mr. Merril!
Thank you Steve. Appreciate all the information provided in these videos.
Thanks for watching Charles
3 team money line parlay
1 rams
2 búfalo
3. Comanders
I love those 3 picks
Thanks! 👍👍👍
Hey Steve, been following you since the nba playoffs. I’ve made a lot of money with your help. I’m signing up for the package and looking forward to continued success
Awesome to have you on board 👍
My model has Commanders -16, good call Steve on not always fading the public.
Exactly, in general I stay away from really bad teams.
I bought a point early in the week on 2 games for a 2tm parlay and got Washington -6.5 and lions +3.5. I try to buy a point to get me around those key numbers.
Great stuff as always Steve. I like Tenn, may take them especially if I can get 10. I like the move to Rudolph, not because he's a good NFL QB, but his floor is probably higher than Levis.
I've been getting a bit more into player props. There's some I like in the London game. Kirk over 41.5/42.5 rec yards, Maye over 200.5 pass yards, Maye 2+ TD passes, Bigsby o 56.5/57.5 rush yards, and Boutte over 19.5 yards. Anyway, great video as always Steve.
Giants was another winner 3 and a half rite steve
Love this content Steve
Thank you for watching!
I don’t want to lay that many points with the Redskins, I mean Commanders, so I’m leaning towards their TT over 30.5
Quentin lake over 6.5 tackles plus assists on LA rams sounds good.. if 5.5 then even better
Thank you steve for all ur help brotha
Thank steve
Washington is playing great on offense w Daniels at the helm. Their D is stepping up as they're not in the field for nearly as long as they've been.
This game likely goes over, but take the Skins or Commanders to cover.
Tennessee hasn't seen a QB as good as Allen, 9 is a lot of points but w Rudolph starting how can you trust Tenn to play good enough to cover. I can't, gimme Buffalo.
Giants are gonna actually play well here I believe. Their D line is playing great. I roll w the Giants as Phili pulled one out of their hat last week and missed the cover by the hook.
All the best to you Sir Steve..
Should be so good games tomorrow.
Thanks for the content! 🙏
Enjoy Sunday!
thanks for all your effort
Thanks for watching Steven
Texans D looks a bit beat up. I think Jacobs could have a day. Gonna grab some props on him.
I do like Carolina plus the points in this game a lot, and I think the line has gotten out of control, especially if it hits +10. This is a sandwich spot for Washington, coming off a true step-up game against a good opponent and geographic rival in Baltimore, also a tough physical defense, and it ended Washington's win streak, so it seems like the type of loss that could hang you over. Not only that but look who Washington has next. The Chicago Bears. That's the rookie QB battle game of the year between Williams and Daniels, 1 and 2, a monster game on deck. I also think maybe Carolina shows up for this one because they're angry their high draft pick last year in Bryce Young didn't work out and may want to take out their frustrations against a team whose highly drafted QB looks like the real deal. Thanks for all these videos Steve, they're can't miss content!
Solid deep dive analysis w/ logical deductive reasoning based on exceptional critical thinking skills - much appreciated
I don't know if that's exactly a monster game on deck, but your sandwich spot analysis is still a good angle.
That being said,I still like the skins.
Daniels is rolling.
@notoriousLSGshow thanks man. It sucked badly though. Bad NFL week for me.
@StephenFallon-wt7lv yeah i don't know if Mariota being in there maybe hurt Carolina more because they hadn't prepped for him. Carolina is just so bad they're probably on the do not play list.
C.hubbard td ,k Williams td,n. Chubby td .
Atlanta-3
Chargers -2
Texans +3
My three straight bets for this weekend what do you think about them Steve
💰💰💰
I think it's a L... good luck tho
Like the Show and it so nice living 5 mins from the Beautiful Turning Stone Casino in Verona NY the Finest Casino in NY STATE with a 340 Million Dollar expansion started
Taking KC straight up over SF is easy money.
I agree with the public Lions can put up points in the 2nd and 3rd quarters. The Vikings are off a bye and I'm expecting some dissonance.
Thanks🎉
Thank you for watching
Thank you Steve
Thanks for watching James
I'm fading the Eagles this week, I got a feeling Giants with the upset
Great show
Thanks for watching Dennis
Ding ding ding double red flagger cost people money Detroit and Kansas City both won. The public is killing it lately
excellent as usual
Thank you for watching
Heat as always
Boom 💥
Bet against the Chiefs this week
Only game I put my money on
Reason?
Best info in the biz
Thank you Jeff!
Thanks Steve...Does Rudolph for Titans change
Does 4me - I'm on Tenn definitely , WL is a mayo bum
Actual database play was ravens last week.
You need new intell my friend:
Ravens 67%
Wash. 33%
Seahawks +3.5/49ers ML/Jets ML
May I ask for help? I thought "lean" was "lean towards". Is the lingo, "lean away"? Is it a derivative of "lein" ?
I think you are correct that “lean” is “lean towards”
Yeah I don’t get it either man. I can’t figure these videos out.
Yes lean mean “lean towards”
Not a solid 100% pick, but something you would perhaps place a small wager on
A lean would be my preferred side in the game, if I had to play it, but not strong enough usually to be an official Best Bet though.
@@stevemerril1485 you the man
Man I can’t win a NFL bet to save my life
Bucs are the play of the week
Steve we had 2 loses yesterday that was rough. Need to make a comeback today.
You might want to take a more realistic long-term investment approach than just two plays, still 11-5 last 11 days overall.
Thanks!
Best in the business
👍😁
Thanks as always Steve.
Love the Lions, but I can't bet against an undefeated team playing at home.
Excited to watch both DET/MIN and KC/SF. Should be great matchups!
Two excellent games indeed!
Agreed but also think jets /Pitt is an intriguing game too
Hey Steve
Worried about these public bills or rams for survivor
Do you think they are safe to win moneline
Imo* id go w/ bills
* Um yes like you actually GAF what some internet random casual thinks 😂
Im new to wagertalk. Ive watched a ton of videos from your group. I hate hype. You are knowledgeable and clear with your analysis. YOU have earned my business. I dont need to be shouted at.
Thanks James, no shouting here, just #Facts
Patriots game will be going over 40
I’ve heard you say “not my Washington Commanders” but I don’t remember why you say it. Is it the name change? You grew up going to games there, right?
Yes 💯 I was a huge Redskins' fan & season ticket holder 1980s and '90s, lost interest in recent years, and then once they changed the name, I was officially done.
Min GB best bet Stev go go Sunday Min 6 and no 👍 last time v lose on Car with 9.5 take Car pus over to make up the lose this week thank Stev
Only lose a bit make up on temp over on Monday heavy bit bet up a lot I bet NFL of 40 year seems watch u I do excellent thanks Stev
STEVE, i am a client and have been for years. i am having a hard time with the math that you are up 170 plus units on he year. if you are giving out 1-2 plays a day that means that you have to be up in the 65 or so percent range for the year. what i see on the year is maybe on average plus 1 or 2 units a week. please help with this.
basically, it means a 170% ROI
@@ReplacementSkylights-USA Correct, 1% equals one unit.
Big system play when a team scores 40+ points in back to back weeks which the Lions did the game has a high percentage of the game going under the total.
Also teams that in that don't spot don't cover ATS
I like the under already, underrated defenses.
Good luck on Sunday everyone... thank you for watching!
Hi Steve, thanks for everything you are.. Keep rocking!
@@suren126126126thank you!
Go Vikings
Thank you, Steve. You are the MAN! I'm not good at college on Saturday. So, I'm looking at NFL. I may have already posted my picks in your other video. I have Minnesota, SF, NY Jets, and TB. GL
Add Cardinals to that also.
Best of luck on Sunday Shoch, always great to hear from you my friend!
Do pro bettors buy you're picks Steve?
Pros don’t buy picks, my friend.
Yes, there are numerous professional bettors following my selections.
Cleveland wins outright. Joe Burrow 1-5 against the Browns .
Hi Steve! How much of a bankroll do you think is needed to support the $1799 package? Whats the minimum where it becomes "worth it" - in your opinion of course
I think realistically you should be betting a least $100 per game, but All Sports already up +170 units this year, so it doesn't take much to profit.
Thanks Steve awesome show. I took giants +3.5 and pats jags under 44. Tough week for me don’t see much value on a lot of games. Leaning Browns +6
Giants about to get smacked
I think some ugly dogs are going to cash this week.
Malik nabers touchdown
Dk Metcalf touchdown
1-1 I'll take it
lets gooooo
Viking$ low ML LOTY 😇
Chargers great pick. Cashed in.
I love fading those public dogs!
What's the record of fadeing the public when the public fade the worst teams in the league like Washington today
That is an excellent point, the record is much weaker, that's why I use this as a filter and I rarely play on bad teams.
Hey Steve I watch this video each week and i commend you for the quality of your work...The one thing that really is off putting is the hard sell you put on your picks and the lack of humility you portray. I respect that you have a proven track record of success but in the gambling world there are always ups and downs no matter how good you are.
My record, and every selection I release everyday, win or lose, is documented on my page at WT.
I've honestly never heard someone complain in my 29 year career about winning too much.
If you read my post properly I wasn't complaining about you winning too much but rather about you crowing too much.
I full understand what you're saying. You're complaining because I talk too much about the winners, which tells me you must not be on board. 🤣
Yea your Texas play didn't work out well Steve...they just didn't show up 🤷♂️
Shocking how bad their offense was early in the game, they were obviously overwhelmed by stepping up in class.
Love the NYG but the left tackle injury and Dexter injury. Still think with Daniels experience behind a bad line, and having Nabers, it's NYG.
Offensive line injuries for the Giants is a concern.
Are you saying Daniels is experienced at dealing with a bad O line?
@@alexopperman905 yeah. Can't remember for sure, but last year I thought they looked good at times but still get exposed. Feel free to correct me as I can't remember for sure.
The public kicked the shit out of the sharps yet again..welcome to 2023 oh wait its 2024. 😂😂😂...here we come ..and yes I'm real cocky right now 😂😂😂😂 because we ACTUALLY WATCH THE GAMES , NOT JUST NUMBERS 😂😂😂
Boom!
So why don't the Books give the Panthers more points! It HAS gone from +7.5 to +9.5 this week. I guess the Books don't even fear that the Pros will come in on the Panthers even at +9.5.
Probably because it’s going to be a blowout
Bet Ttp Washington is better
Because there's about a 5% chance a favorite wins by exactly 10 points, so moving that extra half point to +10 would probably get too much sharp money on Carolina.
I think the lines have been depressed this year. I don't think the action would increase much at 10, 11, or 12! The books will keep it as low as possible.
@@Redmenace96 But if they keep it low, then they are making it easier for the Public to win. Maybe that is better than raising the spread to a point that they might get clobbered by the Pros for bigger money.
Hey Steve, how do I get on your NFL package?
Hi Timothy, you can sign up directly on my personal page at WT.
wt.buzz/sm 🏈
I think Vikings and Cheifs will both stay undefeated this week
Nah lions will give the Vikings their 1st loss. But Chiefs will blowout the forty whiners 😂
@@neilwilliams3639 I think the Vikings go to at least 11-0
Viking and under
Surprised about Public on Eagles, alot of 'picks' channels are on NYG on this game 🤨
I think it's more a play-against Giants by the public
speaking of publick.... Don't you think a lot of the media, who are just personalities, push NYJ and NYG more than they have value? What do you remember from the pre-season about predictions on Jets and Giants?
49ers are my bet of the year Steve, KC is not a 6-0 team and the 49ers fighting to avoid going 3-4. this game means a lot more to them than KC.
I agree, the line does look cheap, we're going to find out if Kansas City is really that good.
@@stevemerril1485 any time you agree with me I feel better about my position, good luck this weekend my man
@@DJFinnesse 💯👍💪
You really want to bet against Mahomes and Andy Reid off of a bye week?
@@antdagawd2k 49ers off a mini bye, chiefs offense is terrible, as long as the 9ers don’t try to run it too much they win this game
👍
Thank you!
No Undefeated Teams after this
Week ?
What is Lions VS Minnesota History, Record ?
I think Bye Stopped Minnesota Momemtum
Good point about the bye week, definitely did not need it as they were cruising.
Sharps getting their asses handed to them
. Reminds me of last year 😂
Most 'sharps' are not very sharp nowadays, That's why you have to pick your spots when looking at this data.
LFG SM!
You know it Joey, crush the books this weekend my friend!
@@stevemerril1485
You too!!
Am i crazy or did he say hes leaning on every pick except Eagles -3? "Fade the public" but you lean with them 5/6 haha
Lean means not betting
@@randyposs6281 ah thank you that makes more sense
I lean towards both Titans and Giants, so I would fade the public in both of those games.
May I ask for help? I thought "lean" was "lean towards". Is the lingo, "lean away"?
@@stevemerril1485 meaning, "go against the publik", right? My older uncles didn't use these slang terms in the 80's 😂
Looks like another public winner winner…i ML’d rams 🐏 because 7 was too much 💰 🎟️
Public has been hot 🔥
Commanders were under valued. But it looks like they've caught up a bit. I took Daniels prop, Over 238.5 passing yards @ -109.
Line does look inflated now, I could see a situation where Commanders win, but do not cover, teaser is probably decent at -2.5 or less.
8 team +7 point teaser:
Bills -2.5
Commanders -1
Rams PK
Jets +5
Texans +9.5
Colts +4
Eagles +4
Chiefs +8.5
Panthers ml
Under eagles giants
Cle +6
Free play.
Good luck!
Bad day in colledge saturday
Just the texas L. The other two games were spot on. Illinois over was an L too
10-3 over the past month in college football, now 11-6, still doing pretty well this season.
MERRIL! Where can we get that hoody!?
Message WagerTalk customer support, and they will let you know if any are still available.
As the owner of thee largest public database...
Learn to bow to the people....
People's premium picks
P3.
your Washington commanders, time 2 come back Steve
Tempting... but I need the name changed back first 😉
Doesn't this guy realize the public fast forwards his promo 😅
That's the great thing about America 🇺🇲, free to do what you want, but missing that promo is going to cost the public a lot of money won! 😉😁
Just let em do his thing. 😂😂😂
Easier to give credence to Steve with the lack of theatrics.
Thank you Beautiful Steve.
Why don’t you have buy rest season NFL and get college football free? For guys and girls only like football only. I think you will be more beautiful if you do that.
I have two special promo codes for football this week, but feel free to contact WT support and they can maybe give you a combo discount.
Morning Steve: last year when the public won big a couple weeks in a row they gave back the following week. Is the week 8 the week we fade the public?
@@ThanhNguyen-qp5ce Yes, I would agree they are going to give it back sooner than later, public often does okay mid-season, so not surprised to see this recent run, I will still be using it as a filter each week, but it'll be very careful not to be on a public side probably going forward.
Not a good spot to fade the public this week as big home favorites against shitty teams cover a lot when the public is on them
Steve had went 0-4 on his last few college football picks. He simply is not a good handicapper. Fading him from here on out!
In the spirit of fairness I would say a larger than a four-game sample size should probably be examined before you love you that sort of an accusation...😂
Lots bad pick this week with client plays
What are you talking about, we've only had one losing day in the past week!
Entered the weekend 9-1, still 11-5 last 11 days.
@@stevemerril1485 Steve keep it up, public plays have been strong the past two weeks though, fading them will bounce back soon.