What the heck?!!! There is supposed to be a 90 day period before the election where this isn’t allowed. Tho Florida recently did something similar with their mail ballots.
People don't realize it 30 points when is going to be a 40 points because of how many GOP he lost his well. My guess is literally a 4:20 Electoral College Victory nobody's going to know it's coming because it's not getting pulled just look at new voter registration and lack of enthusiasm except from the hardcore bass on the other side. Just like after the debate when the actual exit poll that was taken right then showed 30% thought he lost that's his hardcore that's it he's done nothing but Hemorrhage supporters alienated people and pretended to be popular
@@SlayingSuperNerdX polls are trends with margins of error. If polls show a consistent lead by Harris this likely means she is ahead. Maybe not by the margins the polls say but ahead even if she wins by just 100 votes. Polls underestimating is a myth. Polls can't do that. Significant polling errors are very rare. 2016 was once in 70 years occurrence.
@@keanu7318 polls can't "underestimate" . What you mean is DATA ERROR which happen usually, but SIGNIFICANT polling error only happened in 1947 and 2016.
@@keanu7318 no. Polling error is when the actual results go way against the polling trend. In 2016 Hillary was ahead in the polls. Trump was never ahead. Hillary was winning 5 swing states comfortably. The actual results went against this polling trend. Kamala Harris is ahead constantly. Even with polling error she is still ahead maybe by a fraction of a point.
Love the channel, I mostly enjoy these county-by-county breakdowns you do. Do you think you could cover each of the swing states in the same manner? I.e. historical turnout, demographic shifts, vote share. It’s very exciting to actually see where the “action” is. Thanks 👍🏻
The Arizona suburbs and the Atlanta suburbs are very different 😂. The Atlanta suburbs are predominantly black. Georgia is a racially polarized southern state its few swing voters in Georgia. It’s more so turnout unlike Arizona that’s almost entirely swing.
@Understanding Politics You’ve asked for suggestions on what we’d like you to cover, I’d love to hear your analysis of the cross tabs between the Senate races in the states with abortion measure on the ballot and those ballot measures. I could see two conflicting things happening: increased D turnout b/c of the ballot measures driving a stronger D/I Senste performance and/or voters approving abortion access but going R cause they ‘already covered the issue’.
H. Walker was a horrible candidate. And republicans lose even in very red states with bad candidates. I don't think abortion had anything to do with that election in GA.
NC just purged nearly 1mil voter registrations. Check your registration every day !
What the heck?!!! There is supposed to be a 90 day period before the election where this isn’t allowed. Tho Florida recently did something similar with their mail ballots.
Harris 84 million votes vs Trump 78 million
People don't realize it 30 points when is going to be a 40 points because of how many GOP he lost his well. My guess is literally a 4:20 Electoral College Victory nobody's going to know it's coming because it's not getting pulled just look at new voter registration and lack of enthusiasm except from the hardcore bass on the other side. Just like after the debate when the actual exit poll that was taken right then showed 30% thought he lost that's his hardcore that's it he's done nothing but Hemorrhage supporters alienated people and pretended to be popular
Harris can still lose, even winning by 5-10%! The swing states all run to the right of the national vote. Don’t get complacent.
Can you do a deep dive into Michigan?
Funny how everybody says Kamala is losing when she's ahead. If Trump is ahead the polls are right 🤣
There’s a reason that isn’t bias. Polls underestimated Trump twice so if Trump is leading its logical
@@SlayingSuperNerdX polls are trends with margins of error. If polls show a consistent lead by Harris this likely means she is ahead. Maybe not by the margins the polls say but ahead even if she wins by just 100 votes. Polls underestimating is a myth. Polls can't do that. Significant polling errors are very rare. 2016 was once in 70 years occurrence.
@@keanu7318 polls can't "underestimate" . What you mean is DATA ERROR which happen usually, but SIGNIFICANT polling error only happened in 1947 and 2016.
@@keanu7318 no. Polling error is when the actual results go way against the polling trend. In 2016 Hillary was ahead in the polls. Trump was never ahead. Hillary was winning 5 swing states comfortably. The actual results went against this polling trend. Kamala Harris is ahead constantly. Even with polling error she is still ahead maybe by a fraction of a point.
Arizona is definitely not going to vote to the right of Georgia
GA is blue. No polling error
I just don't see how Trump is gaining any new voters from 2020. I think it's all about turnout now.
I can see a possible environment wherein undecideds are more favorable to a Republican now because of inflation.
They might discard 1/10 or more of the Black votes like they did with Florida in 2000.
@@TheInternetEnzymebecause independents are uneducated
What inflation? @@TheInternetEnzyme
@@TheInternetEnzymeinflation is down buddy catch up
Could you do a poll ranking/tier list
Love the channel, I mostly enjoy these county-by-county breakdowns you do. Do you think you could cover each of the swing states in the same manner? I.e. historical turnout, demographic shifts, vote share. It’s very exciting to actually see where the “action” is. Thanks 👍🏻
That Cheney endorsement is working
We need to ask George W. Bush if he endorses Harris.
No one really minded tbh, I completely forgot
Kamala 100 million votes🔥trump 50 million
There is no way people are undecided still everyone knows who each candidate is
Yeah, I don’t think it’s about people who are undecided about who to vote for, it’s about people who haven’t decided if they are going to vote at all.
Most people don't decide until they enter the booth
The Arizona suburbs and the Atlanta suburbs are very different 😂. The Atlanta suburbs are predominantly black. Georgia is a racially polarized southern state its few swing voters in Georgia. It’s more so turnout unlike Arizona that’s almost entirely swing.
Atlanta is the eighth largest metro area in the US surpassing Philadelphia so it doesn’t surprise me.
6th actually. It surpassed DC, Miami, and Philadelphia.
Will the North Carolina flooding screw up the election in that state?
Kamala Harris might win the blue wall by 2 points and the Sunbelt by a fraction of a point
@Understanding Politics You’ve asked for suggestions on what we’d like you to cover, I’d love to hear your analysis of the cross tabs between the Senate races in the states with abortion measure on the ballot and those ballot measures. I could see two conflicting things happening: increased D turnout b/c of the ballot measures driving a stronger D/I Senste performance and/or voters approving abortion access but going R cause they ‘already covered the issue’.
“Fox underestimated Trump in 2020” immediately followed by “It’s a good pollster, it’s a quality pollster”. OK
Were are these "FoX nEwS iS a LiBeRaL pOlL sItE nOw!" comments?
H. Walker was a horrible candidate. And republicans lose even in very red states with bad candidates. I don't think abortion had anything to do with that election in GA.
How good was republican turnout in 2022
This guy said Fox News leans Right. Not sure what planet he is on, but that’s probably the dumbest thing I’ve heard in a while 😂!
Fox Nooz is radically right leaning.
CBS, Georgia's most accurate pollster, has Trump + 2
Nobody is going to win Georgia by 150,000 votes 😅
These polls show that the prosecutor will win Georgia by less than 15,000 votes