Is Sunak Planning to Call an Early Election?
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- Опубликовано: 11 мар 2024
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Poll shows the public prefer an early election, but the PM holds the power to decide. Will Rishi Sunak call for a May election, despite saying it would be later this year? This video explores the implications of an early election possibility.
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The people want a general election, why in this instance won’t the Tories now support ‘the will of the people’? It’s all they banged on about from 2016-2019.
When has Rishi Sunak *ever* cared for what anyone but himself wants?
Because Rishi knows that people don't want to have a general election yet😂
@@IAt0m1xI speak for yourself 😅 i want the chance to vote these fuckwits out and have a leader we actually voted for at this point
Because now they would lose more than half of their seats. They've lost a large sum of voters to Labour, they have lost the Lunatics to Reform UK and a couple of seats to Labour and the LibDems in recent by-elections. They don't care about the "the will of the people". Otherwise the whole ordeal which brought them where they are now would not have been marketed as an opinion poll.
How do you know this? Did you ask us all?
Sunak Will call the election after he's finished ripping the copper wiring out of number 10
Not before he removes the roof tiling as well.
As a liberal myself, I cringed at this what appears to be an attempt at making a joke.
@@HistoryBuff_0i think thats a you problem tbf to be fair
@@HistoryBuff_0wow... tough crowd 😂
@@HistoryBuff_0also why specifically as a liberal do you find this so unfunny? What about it was so contradictory to liberalism?
he's trying to delay in order to eat into the Labour lead
his problem is he is in danger of not only allowing Labour to increase their lead but allowing Reform to eat more into the Tory vote
Labour are a disaster. Guarantee you will regret it.
@@maccagrabme as an outsider, it is hard to believe that it can get worse than this. It seems like Britain has a crisis every month lately
@@maccagrabmeboth parties are a disaster
That's been the strategy for about a year now and the labour lead has gone nowhere. Every day he remains in office now is just escalating people's frustrations a little bit further, he's in a death spiral.
@@maccagrabmeYou're an educational disaster.
You guys should include register to vote links in the video descriptions when you're talking about elections
WE IGNORING THE WILL OF THE PEOPLE WITH THIS ONE 🗣💯⬆
Gaslighting. They never add "... As long as it suits us", which is the truth Tories never admit.
If your will is voting Labour I hate to tell you that you are going to wish you hadn't. They are the reason we have had 14 yrs of this government and they won't be any better than the last time they were in. The country will be on its knees after only 2 yrs under Labour. Try another party but by god don't let Labour form a majority.
@@maccagrabmeVote Green! (yeah, that'll happen)
@@maccagrabmeIt's already on its knees though
@@scpatl4nowGreen is a party with no goals. George Galloway's party seems nice (im not english so i dont know much about all this stuff, sinn fein is better than all your parties)
The Election date being up to the Prime Minister is the least democratic thing in this very undemocratic system we live in.
The PM cannot go past 5 years of course. THe Fixed Term Parliament Act fixed this, but then they found that a broken government couldn't resign so they changed it back!
we tried taking that power away, Hear of the fixed term parliment act? That resulted in deadlock if the PM cant call an election then in those situations your just stuck?
How? We vote a party/prime minister in for 5 years, if they’ve had enough they can call an election early, otherwise they should see out the 5 years like we expect. Stop writing nonsense 😂
Many countries (including Canada, Sweden, Australia, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands) operate under this flexible-term election system, that have a maximum duration but can end earlier under certain conditions. It's not undemocratic.
@@thedutchfoxxxCanada has a fixed election law where date for the next election is always 4 years after the last at most. But of course it can be held sooner.
The election should just be on a set date every time.
Well it kind of is. An election must occur no later than 5 years from the day that parliament first met.
They tried that with the Fixed Term Parliament act... It really didn't work as they had expected and caused a heap of issues.
It's better this way. Imagine a PM being a absolute dog 💩 year 2 of a 5 year term. Would you want another 3 years of it or an earlier election?
@@samelmudirThing is, would the terrible PM call for an early election, which could mean their early removal?
Doesn’t really work in the current system. 2019 proved this when the Fixed Term Parliament Act was still in force. Johnson lost some of his pro-EU MP’s and kicked some more out, meaning the government had no working majority. At the same time the opposition parties would not allow him to call an election. This culminated in them forcing Johnson to send a letter requesting an extension of EU membership against his will. Depending on what side of the debate you were on, you may have found this quite a good thing, but it’s certainly not something that could have continued for a further 2 years if the SNP and Lib Dems hadn’t caved and given him an election.
You missed some of the biggest factors:
- Small boats will increase over the summer due to weather, opening up strong attack lines for Reform UK.
- The tories are spending campaign finances too quickly and will run out if it's not until October
- Isaac Levido is in and out of number ten far more often than we'd expect 6 months out from an election.
That first point is actually very underrated. That issue alone can swing a lot of voters from conservatives to reform. Along with potentially more high profile defections to Reform as MP’s jump ship before it sinks.
Do people actually care about the small boats that much? Like I'm concerned with illegal migration and want to see the issue resolved obviously, but there are so many bigger problems that have a bigger effect on everyone. The country is falling apart ffs.
And the longer he waits to call an election, the more annoyed we'll all be that he's waited so long.
@@Wozza365 Most people don't, but these who do are often on the fence between Tory and Reform. With FPTP voting this could mean more Tory seats lost to other parties (not even to Reform).
@@Wozza365 The 25% that are still considering voting Tory and the 10% considering Reform do consider it one of their top issues. Conservatives have long abandoned any hope of regaining the "centrist" vote, but this is the wage issue that can decide whether Reform will get any MPs at all or if Conservatives will go below 100.
Also, keep in mind that even most people for whom this is a key issue don't understand how immigration works or how small of a fraction comes via small boats or the Rewanda bill itself. This is all about the headlines, Sunak wants to steal attention from Reform to get a 5% boost and the moment he does he will call the election.
theres also the fact that every month they delay hundreds of thousands more homeowners will reach the end of their pre inflation fixed term mortgages and be forced to remortgage at the much higher interest rate. Which will bring down their standard of living significantly whatever else is going on. And the tories rely on winning over established home owners as one of their core voting blocks to win elections. The more time goes by the more pensioners will notice that their taxes have gone up in the recent budget too and therefore their income has gone down. Pensioners being the last hard core group of tory voters in the country. There's also the fact that even if they get the Rwanda bill pushed through parliament they have no plan to actually get any flights taking off, and any plan they start putting together now will take months and a lot of money to get working. Which will make them look even more incompetent after pushing soo hard to bring it into law. If they do get it working then it will become immediately obvious that it has zero impact on small boat numbers. It really does make far more sense for them to get the election done soon before the other shoes drops on all these other issues
The most important reason to delay the election is to hold onto power and the state's resources for a few more months.
Correct. See also above ✔ ✅
Why not they have a mandate for 5 years. People love to bash government try to do their job and lets see how you fare. Its always easy to say ohh I can do x and x but you will realize its an exceptionally slow process to change anything. Stability should be the primary function of any government, no one wants law changes every fortnight.
Even you @@nickpacal8418 could do a better job than these clowns and criminals
The moment Sunak's said the election would not be in May, I believed it would be in May.
Why do people keep discussing this with political logic?
Rishi’s at the behest of his wife(‘s father’s) business interests. The obfuscation and FOI denials around any ongoings regarding infosys or similar meetings show that clearly.
He will run the country into the ground to be a good little lapdog; his joint interview with wife last week showed how much she resents and controls him.
He will hang in for as long as he can, the 1922 commission stepping up are the only thing that would force an election sooner than the last day.
"Autum". It's not a TLDR video if there's no misspelling somewhere!
You having trouble too !!
Who does not know how to spell Autumn ?
Something you didn’t cover is that by delaying the election another 6 months they get to be in power for 6 more months as the Tories almost certainly will be thrashed. Rishi might just want 6 more months of being in the big seat, before retiring to his families islands and having cocktails
Also looks better on his CV to claim he was PM for 2 years once he inevitably after the election swans off to California.
This as far as I can see is the best argument for staying in power, and it's a very strong argument imho
this is the only thing I can understand would be the motivation moving forward. there isn't any good arguments for why it should be in may.
Mocktails, $unak doesn't drink alcohol and still somehow f**ks up ...
I mean if the earlier means less time to cause multiple scandals, then...
So the tories will cling onto power for as long as they possibly can. What a surprise 🙄
Whereas Labour in 79 and 2010 went after 4 years when knew would lose? Or waited until the end?
NO WAY. The shameful tories will cling on to power for as long as they can.
Regretfully !
He announced this evening that in won’t be May 2nd
Holding out for India deal for self enrichment. Nothing more
As an American let me just say that the blood contamination scandal, still going in 2024 is a MASSIVE DISGRACE. In America we dealt with the civil fallout for these things when it happened. The fact that there has been no civil or criminal Justice in Britain is WILD.
That’s British politics for you 🇬🇧 the ones who’re actually at fault seem to never face consequences
What do you mean America "dealt with it"? It was Americans who sold the infected blood in the first place, and none of them were ever criminally charged.
@l.j.turner185 Meh, we think it's pretty wild a 20 year old man can't drink
I mean... Reparations for the Tulsa Race Massacre only started in 2001 (80 years later). So maybe America isn't the shining beacon of civil liberty and justice for all that you are implying it is.
At least Britain supports Ukraine
I’d rather they didn’t spoil the month of May.
Agreed, I love May
@@zororat Teresa entered the room
my birthmonth too
@@nothereandthereanywhere lots of fields of wheat to run through in May, naughtee naughtee
Spoil it? After 2 days, no more tories. That'll be a great start to the month.
UK politics needs it. Shambles
Conservative turnout will be much higher in warmer part of the year. Its idiotic for them to have it late in the year.
and to be blunt about the facts, the core Tory vote is literally dying out. The longer they leave it, the fewer are left
You think he would call an early election just to put himself out of his misery
Bring it on !!!!
May
may
may
I literally saw an advert to register to vote by mid April. I haven’t seen it since but it gote so excited for a second.
That's probably for the locals
Waiting for things to improve could be a long wait.
Unfortunately !!
Waiting for Starmer to cock up could come a lot sooner.
@@jjefferyworboys8138 do we give him a chance? do we have a choice?
He won't call it, he knows he'll get destroyed, he'll just hold on so he can do some more nonsense for a few months that helps set himself up for his uber rich life after parliament
Maybe sunaks trying to bring more of his inlaws here
I'm deeply concerned with the rise of Reform UK. Why would people vote for a party that is nationalist and will likely redirect all the money to the top in the country? Even if ordinary people had money in the short term, in the long term (8-12 years) money will be concentrated in the few that have adapted to the new situation. Why risk that?
Immigration, It's obviouse the Tories are making too much money out of it and Labour are replacing their voters.
They just like the word reform
Reform doesn't have a coherent stance, they just say the word woke a lot and hope for the best. To some people, that's all they're bothered about.
Autum - you let that slide...
In regards to Conservatives defecting to Reform though; how long do we think it will be before the public realizes (if ever), when it comes to the poll numbers, that Reform is just going to gradually shapeshift into a new Conservative party after all these mps changing ship?
Please, please, please, for the love of the country, please.
Stall all they want, the Tories are on the way out.
Together with Labour !!
Sunak wants his India trade deal sorted so his father in law can cash in .
It's actually remarkable how little he has paid attention to India. He hasn't even bothered to go and visit any time recently.
@@jonathanbowen3640Good, he's shown enough nepotism without signaling that he cares more about India than the uk
@@jonathanbowen3640they hate him there
anybody else feel like the intro is always a bit too loud?
Gives me THX vibes
He wants to make sure we're listening, everyone gets up for a cuppa while the RUclips advert plays
6:20 Autumn is misspelled
I have my politics A-level exam in May/June and my 18th birthday is in July so he better not call the election early!
You could have a tory-free birthday!
An election will put him out of his job. He won't want to lose that any earlier than he has to, so I'm sure you'll be able to vote.
@@barryhomeowner9293 I'll be in Italy during my birthday and if it's during my politics exams then that could really screw me over.
@@TheRip72 Yeah most likely.
@@xleplex7070 I feel you, I did my politics AS level right around the US election
No.
I hadn’t realised victims were waiting on compensation, another reason the tories make me feel ashamed to be British. Economics is no excuse especially when they were given terminal illnesses. It’s as deplorable as 9/11 first responders now suffering from cancers and breathing problems not getting the financial support for medical care. Neither group should even have to ask. What kind of world is this!
Yup... still waiting on compensation. So far, they have paid interim compensation to a few victims and that's it. There is still no certainty they will compensate ALL the victims to this horrific scandal
Second half of the year could be any time after mid June. Not long after May. But ASAP please
they'll put it off til Jan 25
It should be up to the public
As a parent of two teens whove been on the electoral register since they were 16, I sort of want January as the younger one will then be 18 and can vote. Otherwise May. Anything just before mid December would just make them annoyed that they've just missed out. Yhe spring is better as it's over six months before.
My heart says May, because it will get them out sooner.
Head says Oct, because that's what they've stated.
Cynic in me says Jan 2025 because they'll hold on for every single moment they can.
Longer they hold out, the more the public will get annoyed and fed up. They could deliever actual unicorns at this point and it will probably be too late.
No
The real TLDR of this video should've been 'We don't know'
The real question is why would Sunak care how badly the Torries lose? As long as they're in oposition after the election, he and his other current MPs may retire from politics (as many have already announced). There is no way he'd remain the leader.
So the only difference is if he'd rather be the PM for 2 more months or for 10 more months.
Called it
No let the elections be in the second half so reform uk voters can increase and they can win swiftly rather than voting for labour
“My working assumption” is avoiding saying when. Clearly.
Honestly there are so my areas of the UK that need wholesale reforms from taxes to election processes.
Sunak rinse the coffers dry by delay tactics
Hold up, the government is supposed to pay those affected by Blood Scandal/Post Office; but then that just comes from the working taxpayer??
Shouldn't it be some sort of compensation directly from those in charge at the time for all of this, not the taxpayer?
That's literally where the Governments money comes from our taxes. The people that caused it were the NHS and the individuals involved probably don't remotely have enough money to pay for it
The longer they leave it the harder they will lose. I'm happy to wait for that fact alone.
It's going to be a disaster for the Tories no matter what date they hold it on. Therefore the only consideration is hanging on to the levers of power by their fingertips for as long as possible, I fear.
"Historic interest rates"? In 1989 UK interest rates were approximately 15%
After more than years of historically low interest rates normal interest rates get described as "historically high".
Autum 6:21
BRILLIANT needs to teach how to spell Autumn.
I can't see turkeys voting for Christmas. I think it will be November.
May it is.
06:20
Me spelling autumn: "Autumn".
Me spelling autumn as an intellectual: "Autum"
UK interest rates at 'historic highs'? Tell me you don't know anything about UK economics without telling me you don't know anything about UK economics.
In the recent history though. They are the highest since 2011 almost a decade and a half ago.
@@HistoryBuff_0True but that's still very short-sighted, let alone 'historic'. From a 'historic' perspective they are still remarkably low.
@@bigjo66historic as an adjective refers to something significant in history. Current inflation levels are significant, with arguably an impact on our future, thus being historic.
east or west, spring is the best
Would be crazy to call it now. Just wait
We will watching the polling. If it is not strong enough we will get an autumn budget that will have some “give always” to try put tortes in favour. Then there will be an election after.
6:20
ah yes
autum, my favourite season
im convinced
Yall made this video at least 5 times now
A lot of people dont realize that organizing an election is not that easy. While I dont know about the laws in the UK, we in Germany get at least 3 months notice. If its a regular election, its about a year notice in advance.
"Wealthy man trys to hold on to power for as long as possible"
You neglected to mention the Tory voter base is actually dwindling from old age every day they delay. If they wait until autumn a significant portion of their base would have perished
They’re not bags of salad mate
@@Bobbybulsara179 their entire voting base now is the very old, they've lost everyone else. A large chunk of that may as well be bags of salad, probably got the same intellect too
Such a nice way to talk about your grand parents
@@jackh4832 boohoo
Many pensioners will be aware of income tax liabilities on their State Pensions for the first time since their retirement. Enough to stop them voting Tory I trust?
3:00 Hunt has already stated (in the most recent budget) that the next statement will be *after* the election.
He doesn't know his right hand from his left !!
Is it just me or do the Tory party do this to coincide with the Summer exams during university?...
You know, the demographic the Tory party don't do handstands for?
Does it mean it may be may?
Jeremy hunt does not have a say on interest rates. The BoE sets the base rate.
I expect they’ll hang on as long as possible and put it in January. Though I'd be happy if it was earlier.
How is an election call an early election, last elections was in 2019, and since then we have had two PMs no one voted for.
I said this last year due to the fact there will be loads of boats coming in over Summer.
They're still getting their marketing campaign together. It involves tearing down Starmer with things like the CPS/Saville situation.
I think we'd like an election when the weather is nice really. I don't want to wait in the boiling sun or the freezing rain.
I bet it's going to be on the day or after the day that students break for Christmas, like last time, so that they either forget completely or forget their documents so they can't vote.
Don't students get the choice to vote at their homes or where their uni is based? Or am I missremembering?
Maybe if student bus passes were proof of ID that would help out,
@@LuxVertasI believe that is the case yes. You would give up your home constituency to vote in your University’s constituency.
I mean in the last locals where ID was needed, the students and young voters were fine. We always keep our IDs on us, it was more the older generation that got really diddled with that rule change
Quite likely they are rushing things through in the expectation of a May election. But that could just be to leave the option open, Sunak may then choose to take it, or not, quite possibly even he hasn't decided yet.
Can’t wait to have Ed Davey as leader of the opposition.
If that happens, most polling still has the Conservatives as the Opposition with an estimated 80 odd seats predicted to be double the Lib Dems
Call an election now.
It's long overdue.
Ah yes the Giant Douch Vs Turd Sandwich vote. Is everyone excited to meet your new feudal overlord?
Why not?
Scotland 57 MPs. Wales 32. NI 18 = 107 !
England 543 😀Then we can snuff out those damned Colonies for ever & help them understand
the 'UK' is yet a racist 'voluntary Empire' ! Thank you so much for putting us right 'Viceroy Raj Sunak' x
Don't have it in autumn. It would clash with the US general election.
Having a set time for the election, would remove one of the methods the prime minister has for influencing the result.
I bet they announce it in the morning to get Sunak out of PMQ's.....
I dont even know if Ill bother voting ever again tbh. The farce of Rishi being PM without even a vote from Tory members has just killed the little faith I have in the process.
I am 50 and all but 1 election have been in April-June (in my lifetime). The only exception being Boris' 2019 general election, which was in December to help him get his awful oven ready deal through.
The problem for them is, Inflation at 2% won't solve the cost of living problem. The prices are still higher then average income and a lot of people don't understand inflation. I believe the public will be even angrier (if possible) by them claiming to have solved the cost of living by getting inflation to 2% yet their struggles are still real
I think interests will fall on March 21st and we will have a may election called within 48 hours. Also, I dont think the BOE is remotely free from the influence of the governments economic priorities (we are misled to believe they're independent in the sense the only mandate they have is with regard to 2% inflation target)
Spelling mistake 6.23 autum should be autumn
Hopefully!! Get the tories out!!
No why would he ….polls can’t get any worse
It will be very strange to call an election when we are in a recession
What recession?
Recession what recession - Sunak
Many a true word....!!!
A blip compared to Brown 2010, no dosh left.
Stores everywhere packed, trolleys full in Tory Britain. No crisis.
Bringing Boris in to campaign for him stinks of desperation, and surely points to a May or June election
If right wing voters can't coalesce behind the Tories and defect to Reform in large numbers, it's not overdramatic to say that this election could turn into an extinction-level event for them. If the already reduced right-wing vote is split between Tory and Reform, what that functionally means is that the third alternative (whether that be Labour, Lib Dem, etc.) wins the seat more often. That's how we get into the 450+ seat range
To be clear. May 2 is not early By normal standards it's LATE, just not as late as it could be