What a season. Beryl, Helene, and Milton will go down as the highlights of this year, and despite the August lull, it still managed to claw its way to hyperactive and among the most destructive Atlantic seasons ever recorded.
C'mon up to the chilly northern states and map our systems as they evolve. Love to hear about the Alberta clippers and the Saskatchewan screamers! Also it is so interesting to have a discussion on how the great lakes are so big that they are their own weather makers as such!
I think 2015 was the last time the AMO was in its negative phase. 2013-2015 hurricane seasons are some of the exceptions of the long-term warming of the Atlantic since 1995.
You also have other odd seasons like 1997, 2006 and 2009 to throw into the mix. All of these years (including the ones you mentioned) had active EPAC seasons.
Plus, the east US I believe is referring to the US eastern seaboard and not all the way to the Mississippi River or even halfway through the country which would be considered the South or the Plains.
What will really tell us about the state of ENSO is the SOI. The question is, will the SOI respond in the future to what the GFS model is showing now? Some models may be right while others may not be correct which is why it's important to take a look at all models and what they're showing for the future state of the equatorial Pacific and the Atlantic.
the empty period. likely can primarly be blamed on 2 things.... the MJO being out of phase. AND the fact that the African monsoon jet was far to N during that time of year over the Sahara. the west pacific is naturally more favorable due to being favored by the mjo. no saharan dust and dry air interferring, etc
The record-breaking positive NAO was the main cause for this year's mid-season quiet spell. Next year might potentially be an El Nino year according to Eric Webb which may influence the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season if it comes to fruition whether active or quiet depending on the Atlantic water conditions.
Man just get over it Sara is done and it's not going to hit Florida. It's almost like your bonus was connected to this somehow and now you can't get paid
What a season. Beryl, Helene, and Milton will go down as the highlights of this year, and despite the August lull, it still managed to claw its way to hyperactive and among the most destructive Atlantic seasons ever recorded.
Congratulations! "Sand crab" cam man !! Great 360's
Thx Mark
C'mon up to the chilly northern states and map our systems as they evolve. Love to hear about the Alberta clippers and the Saskatchewan screamers! Also it is so interesting to have a discussion on how the great lakes are so big that they are their own weather makers as such!
I been watching your videos since 2008
❤❤❤Totally Awesome !
I think 2015 was the last time the AMO was in its negative phase. 2013-2015 hurricane seasons are some of the exceptions of the long-term warming of the Atlantic since 1995.
You also have other odd seasons like 1997, 2006 and 2009 to throw into the mix. All of these years (including the ones you mentioned) had active EPAC seasons.
Plus, the east US I believe is referring to the US eastern seaboard and not all the way to the Mississippi River or even halfway through the country which would be considered the South or the Plains.
Very quiet rn.. but things can get going again
NOAA's predictions were the most accurate
What will really tell us about the state of ENSO is the SOI. The question is, will the SOI respond in the future to what the GFS model is showing now? Some models may be right while others may not be correct which is why it's important to take a look at all models and what they're showing for the future state of the equatorial Pacific and the Atlantic.
the empty period. likely can primarly be blamed on 2 things.... the MJO being out of phase. AND the fact that the African monsoon jet was far to N during that time of year over the Sahara. the west pacific is naturally more favorable due to being favored by the mjo. no saharan dust and dry air interferring, etc
The record-breaking positive NAO was the main cause for this year's mid-season quiet spell. Next year might potentially be an El Nino year according to Eric Webb which may influence the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season if it comes to fruition whether active or quiet depending on the Atlantic water conditions.
Interesting. Last I recall, we've never really had an instance where another traditional El Nino set in a year after a strong El Nino ended
TLDR: Sara was the complete opposite of Otis from the POV of global models.
Very well put!!!
Man just get over it Sara is done and it's not going to hit Florida. It's almost like your bonus was connected to this somehow and now you can't get paid
Did you even watch the video? Bonus? Lol. You’ve no idea of what you’re talking about.