The Pacific is progressing toward La Niña at a slower than expected rate. I would check with the SOI which currently indicates the atmospheric response hasn’t quite kicked in yet which is the main reason why it’ll take longer to get to La Niña with an outside chance we won’t be in that ENSO state.
Hey there Mark; not surprised by the slight CSU downgrade. As the weeks unfolded since the start of the 2024 season, seems that this season is a bit too respectful of climatology. This season, thus far, isn't enough of the renegade, the maverick, that makes for truly hyperactive seasons save for Beryl, a genuine statistical outlier (2005 is my gold standard for hyperactive). July 2024 was childless in terms of adding to the tally (contrast that with July 2005 with 5 systems, including 3 hurricanes - a 4 and a 5 at that). Point is, the rest of the season has a whole lot of work to do. Like 2005 also, it may need to do quite a bit of overtime. That notwithstanding, no disrespect to the science and the scientists. Footnote: is the brevity of the recent/current EPac storms resulting from cannibalization (too close to each other)?
I mean, I don't understand what your standard of "truly hyperactive" is. The only truly hyperactive seasons by your standard are then 2005 and 2020. This season looks to be a lot like 2004, which was still a really, really bad year. Remember, 2004 didn't even have a named storm until the very beginning of August.
Bro you think just because we are on our D named storm in early August, you don’t think it would be hyperactive, last year 2023 started to get active mid August , 2022 September got active, we had Ian, and Fiona (historic storms) 2004 was historic aswell, so just because it’s a slow start, doesn’t mean it will be a inactive season,
UPDATE 07 Aug 11:37am EDT; If you live in the Charleston, SC, Wilmington and Newport/Morehead City, NC areas here are the latest NWS local statements. www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/index_hls4+shtml/071537.shtml
Mark, here in Savannah we saw a lot of streets blocked off due to flooding. Some areas were evacuated because of flooding, but fortunately no life was lost. I can’t even see my lawn because of water. What scares me the most is once Debbie takes her butt away from our area, we have to deal with humidity and mosquitoes. I stood outside for a few minutes and was bitten by mosquitoes. Fortunately, city officials throughout the years invested in better flooding prevention after Matthew and if we would have had the same flood control system as we did in 2017 this would have been a disaster area
I live in Myrtle Beach. It rained a bit today. That's it. Where's the big storm?? We were supposed to have crazy thunderstorms all day! Yet... nothing... WTF
This is what I say to people who have no climatological expertise, schooling or meteorology degrees who denies everything scientific evidence shows. How about using your own RUclips platform and start forecasting yourself, if you disagree with the recent forecast then create your own platform. Especially since you claim you’re more knowledgeable than Mark and everyone else, and by the way forecasters never said that Myrtle Beach was going to see intense flooding today. They clearly said that the Pee Dee area will see a increase in flooding starting tonight forward
I don’t understand why people have this false sense when forecasters say that it’s going to be a hyperactive season it supposed to be busy all season. No it doesn’t suppose to be busy, and both hurricanes Beryl and Debbie were outliers. Go look at Western Continental side of Africa, the monsoon season just starting. Sometimes Saharan dust can’t penetrate strong waves, and the waves prior to now didn’t have enough moisture field to prevent dry air from entering the center of circulation.
Stop comparing this season to other active seasons, this is one of does season when it has a slow start, and becomes active late August- early early October, this season can still possibly worse than 2005
So tomorrow it's going to "rain" again?? I don't think you folks have any idea what you're talking about. They knew more about weather forecasting in the 70's than they do today.
The Pacific is progressing toward La Niña at a slower than expected rate. I would check with the SOI which currently indicates the atmospheric response hasn’t quite kicked in yet which is the main reason why it’ll take longer to get to La Niña with an outside chance we won’t be in that ENSO state.
It was sunny at 5:30 pm today in Myrtle Beach.
Hey there Mark; not surprised by the slight CSU downgrade. As the weeks unfolded since the start of the 2024 season, seems that this season is a bit too respectful of climatology. This season, thus far, isn't enough of the renegade, the maverick, that makes for truly hyperactive seasons save for Beryl, a genuine statistical outlier (2005 is my gold standard for hyperactive). July 2024 was childless in terms of adding to the tally (contrast that with July 2005 with 5 systems, including 3 hurricanes - a 4 and a 5 at that). Point is, the rest of the season has a whole lot of work to do. Like 2005 also, it may need to do quite a bit of overtime. That notwithstanding, no disrespect to the science and the scientists. Footnote: is the brevity of the recent/current EPac storms resulting from cannibalization (too close to each other)?
I mean, I don't understand what your standard of "truly hyperactive" is. The only truly hyperactive seasons by your standard are then 2005 and 2020. This season looks to be a lot like 2004, which was still a really, really bad year. Remember, 2004 didn't even have a named storm until the very beginning of August.
Bro you think just because we are on our D named storm in early August, you don’t think it would be hyperactive, last year 2023 started to get active mid August , 2022 September got active, we had Ian, and Fiona (historic storms) 2004 was historic aswell, so just because it’s a slow start, doesn’t mean it will be a inactive season,
Possibility of Caribbean development??
UPDATE 07 Aug 11:37am EDT; If you live in the Charleston, SC, Wilmington and Newport/Morehead City, NC areas here are the latest NWS local statements. www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/index_hls4+shtml/071537.shtml
Will outer banks this august see a category 3 or 4 landfall this month
theres no way to know that for sure
@@coolguy20000000 This user has asked this question, or a variation thereof, every single season. Answer stays the same: no way of knowing.
River Gauges
water.noaa.gov/
Groggy? Still a nearly 30 minute post. Another ff day.
Yeah he may be groggy, but when you’re passionate about something your energy levels exceed your grogginess
Mark, here in Savannah we saw a lot of streets blocked off due to flooding. Some areas were evacuated because of flooding, but fortunately no life was lost. I can’t even see my lawn because of water. What scares me the most is once Debbie takes her butt away from our area, we have to deal with humidity and mosquitoes. I stood outside for a few minutes and was bitten by mosquitoes. Fortunately, city officials throughout the years invested in better flooding prevention after Matthew and if we would have had the same flood control system as we did in 2017 this would have been a disaster area
Humidity is a constant esp during warmer weather
Bug repellent should be a part of every supply kit.
That’s not what “practice” in “practice medicine” means 🙄
I didn’t know that. Seemed logical anyway. So what does it mean?
Well they will give a name to anything these days.
I live in Myrtle Beach. It rained a bit today. That's it. Where's the big storm?? We were supposed to have crazy thunderstorms all day! Yet... nothing... WTF
This is what I say to people who have no climatological expertise, schooling or meteorology degrees who denies everything scientific evidence shows. How about using your own RUclips platform and start forecasting yourself, if you disagree with the recent forecast then create your own platform. Especially since you claim you’re more knowledgeable than Mark and everyone else, and by the way forecasters never said that Myrtle Beach was going to see intense flooding today. They clearly said that the Pee Dee area will see a increase in flooding starting tonight forward
Oh, really? Name of the forecasting agency that said exactly what you insinuate they're saying?
Way behind 2005 already……things better pick up fast for these hyperactive forecasts to verify…….🤔
I don’t understand why people have this false sense when forecasters say that it’s going to be a hyperactive season it supposed to be busy all season. No it doesn’t suppose to be busy, and both hurricanes Beryl and Debbie were outliers. Go look at Western Continental side of Africa, the monsoon season just starting. Sometimes Saharan dust can’t penetrate strong waves, and the waves prior to now didn’t have enough moisture field to prevent dry air from entering the center of circulation.
Stop comparing this season to other active seasons, this is one of does season when it has a slow start, and becomes active late August- early early October, this season can still possibly worse than 2005
So tomorrow it's going to "rain" again?? I don't think you folks have any idea what you're talking about. They knew more about weather forecasting in the 70's than they do today.
They know more today.
Best to watch and learn before opening mouth.