Wars of the 2020s and 30s.
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- Опубликовано: 7 сен 2024
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Link to my Patreon, cool maps, and the first four chapters of my history of the world. / whatifalthist
I also didn't mention nuclear warfare. There are going to be comments about how we can't have wars anymore due to mutually assured destruction. This is a possibility, but not one I agree with. Missile defence systems have gotten better, being capable of knocking half of the nuclear attacks out of the sky. Hypersonics may change this. However, nuclear arsenals have also shrunk enormous and nuclear payloads have also shrunk dramatically. I've heard the estimate that a nuclear war in 1980 would cause 1 billion deaths, and today 300 million. This is a manageable number when you look at China and India's populations. Also, it's in no one's self interest to have a nuclear war, with China having a treaty that it will never have a nuclear strike without the Chinese homeland nuked first. The US has a far greater nuclear advantage over China and so China would not start one since it would be so outclassed. It's sort of similar to chemical warfare in the 2nd World War, where all the powers involved had poison gas, but all knew that the other sides would just use it if they did.
"Expect Russia to act very recklessly in the years to come."
-Whatifalthist, 2020
Really underrated prediction since the Nagorno-Karabakh one. Will the rest come true if we live long enough to see it?
Well...
@@juliusnepos6013... Yep.
i mean they started doing that in 2014 with crimea
Everything he said in this video has a substantial probability of happening. I'm not too sure about a China-India War though, and I sincerely hope that does not occur. According to Terry Pratchett, there's an old Chinese curse that goes something to the effect of "may you live in interesting times". We live in very interesting times.
I remember years ago I was wishing to myself that I could live in more interesting times. The hell was I thinking.
'May you live in interesting times.' - Chinese curse
I wanted to live through a plague, regret that 'dream'
@Flix Flox Tbh, I just want to live a life in which basic human rights are upheld, and political discourse becomes a matter of ideological nuance as opposed to all out ideological war. It is depressing knowing that in my lifetime, basic resources will become war commodities and that I will most likely spend my life simply staying afloat in an ever regressing and outdated economic model. I just want to work, have a family, and enjoy my leisure time, but instead I need to constantly devote time to thinking about what will happen as a result of international crises. This video is depressing and whilst I'm glad it existed, I hate the very nature of it's neccesity...
Ya happy now?
@@MrPink125 "just want to live a life in which basic human rights are upheld" You're already asking way too much. "work, family, leisure time" Ohoho, WAY too much.
2 days later Armenia and Azerbaijan are at it
Next thing you know even more separatist movements pop up across the Caucasus
Here we gooooooo.
Azerbaijan taking Old Azerbaijani pands from Armenia
Old Azerbaijani lands
@@mr.akhlimanof.5650 yeah
So if a nuclear war breaks out because of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers that means Mesopotamia would be the start and end of civilization
Great comment lol
Very Based
Deep.
Indus valley is older than mesopotamia so no
@@cheapnews1023 the first civilization was the Mesopotamian civilization of Sumer
He predicted the rebellion of the Tigray region in Ethiopia, Ethiopia is basically in a civil war now.
And the Somali region will probably go back to Somalia as the Somalis start exploiting their oil resources
Yes, whatalthist is impressive
theres already reports of ethnic cleansing
Yeaah, he is good at predicting
Wooooo!! That’s awsome!
"Turkey, Germany, and Japan are rearming."
Its even funnier the second time
Now we just need some Italians and austrians and we'd have the whole gang
I laughed at this for more than 5 seconds
@@zakariaali8864 Axis + Central Powers
Germany learned its lesson though
"The most ambitious crossover event in history"
Whatifalthist is literally saying “it’s quiet, too quiet”
"The deep breath one takes before jumping in the water. "
@@viniciusvyller9458 or The calm before the storm
jody dymun ok, that could change this election. Biden has a good chance at winning.
@Terry mark fuck off scammer
September 11, 2001
"Expect Russia to act very recklessly in the years to come."
"I dont think Russia will have a war with Europe, but if it were to be caused by anything it would be an aggressive Russian action resulting in a miscommunication that would spiral into a war due to Russia's desperation."
That aged well >.>
Yeah
Basically because historians know that Russia was going crazy trying to find a way to annex territory back but people say it was just west propaganda
@@edixonvc5101 The most effective "propaganda" is stuff that either is virtually correct or completely correct. The earliest reports of the Holocaust were though to just be propaganda.
@@edixonvc5101 they arent really acting crazy tho. it's logical. They need ukraine
@@teru797 the only thing Ukraine offers is farmland and trading ports. A need for trade and a need for food for a growing population I know why Russia is being reckless.
Me, a Nigerian listening to him get increasingly frustrated as he talks about how ridiculous the situation is in Nigeria: First Time?
North or South Nigeria?
At least you have oil. All you have to do is not to be the very first conflict. If you can manage that, then when random conflict starts somewhere else, lets say middle east, it will automatically mean that oil production for global market will be restricted. Which means that price will skyrocket.
Just look how Nigerian standard of living improved between 2003-2014 after invasion of Iraq, since oil got scarce and price was near 100$.
But yeah, with that population growth, that oil revenue will have to be split between much more people, so it won’t be as fun as 15 years ago.
I swr bro
@Pecu Alex I didn’t mean it as all is fine because of oil. Obviously it’s better to develop and not to be reliant on things that are mined. And all other problems are still there. I just meant that as it’s not completely hopeless position.
Compare Nigeria with Iraq. Nigeria doesn’t border some big ass rising new empire that could swallow it. Iraq can even choose whether it gets taken over by Iran or Turkey. Nigeria doesn’t have to worry about some other country controlling its water supply. As was mentioned, Iraq’s water is controlled by Turkey. Corruption is in both. Ethnic division is in both. Oil is in both.
So Nigerian position isn’t great. But at least it’s not in middle of cold war between Iran and Saudi Arabia. Nigeria is nicely far away from all potential external conflict. From all big rising powers. Nearest big rising power besides Nigeria is Ethiopia and that is on other side of Africa with no way to interfere with Nigeria.
So Nigeria only has to worry about internal problems. And internal problems are all within power of people to solve it. So it completely depends on Nigerian people.
@@stafer3 True, our biggest problems are internal, if we can find a way to dwal with those we'll be on our way to success
The unexpected war of the 2020's and 30's:
Switzerland vs rest of the world.
They would win by convincing everyone to stay neutral, thus saving the world
The entire country is going to launch into space and become spaceport Switzerland
Burrito Man I can totally see that 😂
If by Switzerland you mean the 👃
They have been secretly preparing for this war for centuries... God help us!
Huh, for some reason it didn't click that the Tigris and Euphrates have their headwaters in Anatolia.
No wonder the Ottomans were so powerful.
If their headwaters were to south of anatolia that region still would be under Turkish control
And the Byzantines, and the Hittites...
@@MetropoleYT Didn't help that the Industrial Revolution happened, and Turkey waited until the 20th Century to get into that fad.
why would that make them powerful
Control over water bodies is a relatively modern thing. Had nothing to do with Ottomans or Seljuks being strong in the past. These were majorly due to Turkic military power with fast horsed archers and good command structures since Göktürks.
Today, which is 7 months later from this video being posted, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan started to butt each other... And guess because of what? Water distribution point. Holy shit, this dude knows what he's talking about and it really scares me.
Well guess what. This happened in the recent past, so surprise surprise Sherlock, it will happen again unless a definitive resolution is found which isnt. People seem to be easily impressed by such trivial things these days, it's fascinating.
@@minzblatt Maybe he's a sock puppet account trying to pump the video's views.
@@minzblatt What’s fascinating to me is that people like to be contemptuous when they talk about topics where they have a questionable expertise that is either clearly absent or can’t be easily seen 🙃
therefore i love history. the more I read about the countless interlocking things in our world, the more it helps to understand it. but its its so complex it never stops. loke great tv show that never ends
@@minzblatt And people like you make learning new things so frustrating because newbies are expected to have experience similar to scholars because "its so trivial everyone should know it, I'm surprised you dont'
That kind of mentality kills curiosity and a need for education. Because of that, people wont want to find a definitive solution on a field that is so harsh to new people. Knowledge isn't for the elites, stop expecting everyone to know everything you do. That kind of mentality is as thin and weak as peace in these very regions.
Geopolitics make me even more anxious. And I already have a lot of anxiety.
:(
same :(
vilzu puupää the doomerpill hits hard fam
the people who like to watch the world burn :)
What makes me even more anxious is the realization that we always forget, is that our future as a species down to individually is NEVER secured.
Haven’t watched yet but have a feeling China is mentioned somewhere here.
only a couple times
its on the thumbnail...
No shit Sherlock
maybe once
spoilers..it has been talked about in 80% of the video XD
"Arming the Germans, Japanese, and Turks to the teeth"
WHAT COULD POSSIBLY GO WRONG!?
Turks as they toward fascism yes but Germany and Japan? Really though?
@Mogaaj Fghgf nah we germans aren't crazy. We're pretty diplomatic nowadays.
Well they all had in common; Holocaust, Armenian genocide and Nanking massacre
@@Gnomelander1400 Armenian tale did not happen lul
@Justin 12O16E26 when you Heard firsthand how shit Things were for the average german during the war you kinda cant help but hate those who contributed to the system
The "Expect Russia to act very recklessly in the years to come" bit aged like the finest of wines
great prediction
What did not age well was his prediction that Russia would steamroll Ukraine in two weeks. But let's be honest, EVERYONE expected that. Ukraine successfully defending itself has changed the history of the entire world.
@@y.r._ It’s not Ukraine successfully defending itself and more confused screeching about how the fuck Russia is lasting. Like I get US is throwing billions of dollars while ignoring our at home problems but geez Putin, you suck at this.
No, you just have no clue what's going on. United nations resolution 2202.
@@y.r._ No, Ukraine just saved a lot of Russian soldiers by acting idiotic. And Ukraine had the greatest army, trained by NATO-Standards, in all of Europe. But the Russians were smart and used maneuver warfare, strong defensives, deception, war of attrition, superior logistics, superior technology, pincer movements, total war economics. You need to learn.
The World: We need to maintain the peace
The Major Powers: No, we need to complete the triology
WWI
WWII-Electric boogaloo
WWIII-The grand finale
Peace was never an option when the fake humanitarians bragging about their "military experience" start developing fragility when they lose their sense of supremacy.
@@hdskipper9878 WWIV a false hope
WWV war strikes back
WWVI the return of war
WWVII the conflict awakens
WWVIII the (not) last war
WWIX the rise of war
World peace is just nothing but a popular pipe dream.
Matthius
Before the world war: The 30 year menace
Before the world war: Attack of the Prussians
Before the world war: Revenge of Napoleon
Reminds of a line from Dogs of War: "Today we kill each other oil and diamonds. Tomorrow, we'll kill each other over rice and water."
Shut up
@@Heretogasunu Why?
@@nijarmahruz6421 EXACTLY!
@John Smith damn you're a dumbass
Video: Turkey is becoming a major power
Me: that's nice
(remembers I live in the balkans)
Me: well shit here we go again
Haha
Ikr, like my town is pretty near the borders haha fuck
I just hope they don't follow the exact same things ottomans did cuz that fucked everyone beside truks .
i am from Poland so we can beat turkey with winged Hussars in 69 hours like last time lol
@@offline78 well lets hope u arrive, but that was in Vienna and that's pretty far away from me
"Expect Russia to act very recklessly in the years to come" - Well as of February 27 2022 this input aged very well i must say.
I hope whatifalthist is as wrong as possible...
...please, I don't want to see end of American peace, great recession and crisis of western civilization ;___;
@@qbek_san American "peace" where Syria, Yemen and Somalia are currently at war (Afghanistan no long time ago), the USA took advantage of the conflict in Ukraine to restart bombing Somalia again which is even more easily ignored again by western media
@@qbek_san Every empire comes to an end like Rome,British, USSR, Ottoman.
how does he predict things will go? theres a war between Ukraine and Russia right now.
America forces this war to happen, they wanted this war to happen. Just like they want a war with China with Taiwan, they want a war with Iran, they blockaded Venezuela causing a collapse of its economy and propping up some fake president. America has done more coups, invaded more countries, and killed more civilians than every country in the world. Russia said in 2008 that the US needs to stay out of Ukraine yet they went in, armed Ukraine, have CIA bases and trained it's military and have billions arming Ukraine while Ukraine killed Russian civilians and was preparing to invade the donbass as soon as Biden took power, and Putin prepared his army to stop that invasion. The people of donbass and Crimea voted to join Russia and Russia said no and tried the Minsk agreement, that Europe openly said they never intended to implement same with Ukraine. The West wanted this war, they wanted to use Ukrainian blood to kill Russians.
This is why history is important
Yeah if the ccp reforms I could see that also is this an reference anti christ arch
But it still isn’t for 95% of people...
We all know we're just going ignore history even If we've seen it before.
It doesn’t repeat but it sure as hell rhymes
This decade is starting to have a rerun on some historical classics:
Plagues
Thucydide's Trap
Declining Hegemony
Ancient Silk Road 2: Electric Boogaloo
Turkey becoming powerful
France in Africa
Cold War
Oh yes its all coming together
I really am curius about france in africa because the population there hate the french so some type of armed resistance can expected even if france is more likely to win I aks myself how it is going to end
@@jayjo456oui5 I don't think France has the power, the will, and as you said, the sympathy among populations, to have more influence in western Africa than it has today. French support is a life support to dying states, only on short term though.
@@jayjo456oui5 they are French what are people supposed to do like them? No but seriously I was surprised to learn that France basically still maintains a colonial empire in Africa
We must learn history so we can profit from the future
The Americas as a whole obviously has plenty of problems but to these far-right channels it's supreme, self-sufficient, and safe while everywhere else is weak (except for the token countries of course).
As the father of a 3 year old, this is exactly the kind of thing that keeps me up at night.
Thanks for this comment. I was thinking this the whole time as a guy who lived through the end of the Cold War. "Ugh, I don't want my daughter to live through this... but she probably will... and then I'll be the old guy talking about a war that's as foreign to her as WW2 is to me."
I’m 21 so odds are when shit hits the fan I’ll either be of drafting age or have kids near it. Scary stuff
@@kalebjudd9559 don't have kids why tf would you do that to someone
@@alonedownthere47 Why should he not have kids?
@@alonedownthere47 maybe your parents should've taken that advice
Wow, I have not considered China/Russia acting aggressively due to aging population, really great insight
Yeah, interesting for sure. They have around 15-20 years before they have serious problems with the elderly.
That doesn't make sense. Aging population would make you act less aggresive. High birth rate cause you to be militaristic.
Keep in mind this is a propaganda channel
@@johnnybc1520 ??? China cannot accommodate it's newly aging population due to poor welfare systems along with the fact that their workforce is going to be incredibly more insignificant than previously (since y'know, declining birthrates and the fact that old people retire). They're acting aggressively specifically because of this as quite simply, they have to act fast.
That’s why you don’t control population artificially it will go down itself at a certain time
America: no longer suplies Europe with oil
France: Hey Africa, *I'ts Baguette time*
Algeria: *chuckles*
i am in danger
Q UE your gonna get french legioned boi
@Q UE huh with what sticks baguettes are strong enough to be used as swords if you harden them enough through exposure to the air.
@Martin Pospisil France already tried to take Russia and failed. Africa is still a safe bet for them
@Martin Pospisil oh, I get you now. The 3rd Entente will rise again
Smh spoiler alert
oof
Double oof
Quad oof when he brings up africas decline of a population boom.
Fuck all of you were gon do our own thing
I really hope he’s just playing lol
Once more, Latin America just sitting and watching
Oh they will find ways to pick fights with each other don't worry. Bolivia still wants its coast back from Peru.
@@ThatCrazyKid0007 Is chile not peru
Also Venezuela and its territory part of guyana
Every country should just sit back and watch
Can’t forget the Swiss
saying the americans have a trump card was the pun of the decade
You mean: Century.
Modern world in a nutshell:
The stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt. - Bertrand Russell
This is painfully true
AKA the Dunning-Kruger effect
I doubt it
Mm... Depends on your definition of stupid.
A idiot in the common sense, or a idiot in school subjects, or a idiot about morals?
Ether way what else is new the world is full of idiots now, and days, and no one knows why.
This sounds like Bertrand Russell ripped off the William Butler Yeats poem - The Second Coming - 1919: “The best lack all conviction, while the worst
Are full of passionate intensity”.
- 2nd Ottoman Empire
- Germany increasing its military
- Africa being colonised again by Europe
- Russia expanding its territory
*"Oh yeah, it's all coming together."*
So things just go back to where they were 150 years ago.
I doubt it.
Sounds like a game of civ
Seems to me more like Europe is getting colonized by Africa
wait to the new reconquista, this time all of Europe...
@@jellyfrosh9102 so both ways
The world: *Is going to shit, Switzerland: “Oh no!” “Anyway.”
The world: going to war again.
Switzerland: and here we go
We just voted to buy new aircraft in case of war.
@@therandomizer9943 time to get rich 💰
They'll just keep producing
potent LSD
@@Ch-ew9tm Zum Glück
“Expect Russia to act more aggressive in the years to come” oh boy were you right
I know right? I thought of this quote when i looked at the current Ukraine situation, but i couldn't remember where i heard it. After a while i found it lol
0:47 "If you read the text, then this map is filled with spoilers" well then it's a good thing the text is so small I can't read a lick of it.
Don't read my username.
Are you a bot?
OttoVon Jizzmark well i can read it, read it all before the spoilers bit..
Jokes on you, I have presbyopia.
@@mackycabangon8945 Their are two types of people in this world. Those who can't read the text on that damn map, and fucking liars.
had an "oh shit" moment when I remembered that this was talking about real life
Oh shit, this real life?
@@treeonahill3557 Yes this is real life
Video: released
Next day: Armenia-Azerbaijan war
I wouldn't be impressed to be honest
@@diepiepew12 No, he's saying that because it's actually happening
@@lrballistics Still not impressed
@@diepiepew12 salt
Ah I guess the wars are going to happen alphabetically, write that down write that down
"Expect Russia to act very recklessly in the year to come." September 25, 2020.
It’s been a ticking time bomb ever since the US backed colour Revolution in 2014.
...and it never happened.
"Turkey, germany and japan arming themselves"
Probably the best crossover in history!
What happened to them last time? It's not like they can arm up the most when they're already struggling with debt for their smaller militaries.
No we need Austria and Italy to be carried bye the other 3
Took me a second🤣🤣🤣
@@tritium1998 well their is some people who would need to pay their debt and many policies that cost alot of money that could be taken back though not without contreversy
Italy you can go home ! Turkey is taking your place!
Italy: It's pasta time then!
So you think there's a solid chance of the devs finally completing the World War Trilogy?
Bastards will probably stretch it out to 4, it's all the rage at the moment.
The devs were writing WW3 from 1945-1991, but eventually, they just got kinda tired of it and gave up. That's probably for the best because I heard their planned ending really sucked.
They are trying to make one at the moment, that is the 2020 election between America and China
Who knows if there will be a bug though, we can only hope there wouldn't be one
I hope they'll add zombie mode
I remember as a kid (after having watched countless war films) low-key imagining what it'd be like to be in a war.
Now that that seems more of a reality by each passing year, I am definitely not up for it. I just want to grow old in some cabin near a lake, have some chickens and a dog and shit like this :(
Yes, I agree withyou I always was interested if the world had alot more going on but now I just want to live a peaceful life. If you are scared aleast your not alone
@@flowerpower8722 while I believe overpopulation and it's continued strain on resources will become major tension points over the coming decades, these issues are largely consolidated to the Eastern Hemisphere. The Western Hemisphere is nowhere close to populations overtaking resources. It's kind of like this: the correct COVID-19 response and remedy for New York City isn't the same correct response and remedy for, let's say, Lubbock, TX. The populations and their respective population densities are lightyears apart. In other words, I agree with what you said, I just don't think the remedy for Sri Lanka is the same remedy needed for Canada.
I thought the same...9/11 happened while I was doing initial entry training in the US Army and the reality of going to war became real. I was enthusiastic about it...until I wasn't. Somehow being pinned down under fire and seeing a mass of your wounded/dead friends piled in a casualty collection point will change your naïve presuppositions about glory and excitement by forcing you to understand that you've been duped into misery and terror. I spent almost 4 years total fighting between Iraq and Afghanistan...and I have absolutely nothing to show for it except dead friends, a broken body, and an ungrateful nation.
Man Up and stop crying
@@majorleagueminuteman1344 wow what a fascinating comment. Thanks for sharing!
As an Ethiopian I saw this video a few months ago and, I was a little concerned but brushed it off as a random prediction on the internet.
A few months later: damn. Things are about to get messy. Really messy.
Damn, or dam?
@@PedroGuilhermeSchneider both ese, both
Me, an American, seeing Vietnam as one of our Asian allies: “Well if you can’t beat them, join them”
I'd like to think we saw how hard the Vietnamese people fought us and said "We like your spirit, lets be friends. Here's a McDonald's and some guns"
@@rocky2332 "Congratulations tree people, this was a test, now grab some m16's and let's invade the middle east for the 100th time!"
Well vietnam became cozy with the US govt because right after the US pulled out of vietnam, china declared war on them. Look up the sino-vietnam war it was crazy stuff. The Chinese tried recruiting and arming ethnic minorities to revolt in the north too
Go Read A Book it was the shit china did in South China Sea and other stuff that made people really aligned with the US
Time to Start The Crusade more like they joined us if anything because they hate China.
It's crazy how in schools where taught how peaceful the world is as though no conflict is happening and then as we grow up we come to understand that the world is still quite possibly ready to murder each other it's just that this is a lull in the action.
what lull there has been conflicts on tv nearly every year since I was born in 82
schools are teaching kids america and other western countries are some of the most oppressive meanwhile on the world's stage they are practically a peaceful paradise
@@ABagOfLag this. Its mostly white people that have a deranged amount of guilt about the past that they feel like they need to drag the whole country down to atone for their great great great grandfathers sins. Its honestly pathetic and fascinating at the same time. Very cult-like
I don’t know about you, but I was not taught in my (American) school that the world was a peaceful place or that no conflict was happening. If you were, that might just be an issue with your specific teachers.
@@Cabbage22927 100% true. When a society doesn't have enough problems, we create our own.
A summary of the first part of the video:
🇪🇬: Whatcha got there?
🇪🇹 with a dam: A smoothie
🇮🇳: Whatcha got there?
🇨🇳 with a dam: A smoothie
🇺🇿: Whatcha got there?
🇹🇯 with a dam: A smoothie
🇮🇶: Whatcha got there?
🇹🇷 with a dam: A smoothie
Actually 🇪🇹 is giving a big middle finger to Egypt, we don't deny it.
🇪🇬: Please, our people will perish without the Nil-
🇪🇹: lmao get fucked here's another dam
We are gonna have a lot of dam wars in the future it seems
Switzerland, sweden, ireland and spain: your game was updated to spectator mode
nope they will be hit too.
Aged poorly
Video: "Help to militarize Japan, Germany and Turkey"
Me: "Wait, not again"
I think miliotarizing Poland would be better than Germany
@who am i dont mind me Wait, Italy know how to fight?
@@diegoragot655 given the current state of internal polish politics, that is an astronomically bad idea.
Since geography doesn’t change much, geopolitics tends to cause history to repeat itself.
History rhymes ;)
America taps Germany's back: "So, you're the guy who had dreams of winning a world war?"
they did, they control the EU if you have not notice. just that the world got bigger now
@@delsolvtek You can say that they won by losing the war in the end.
And America keeps invading countries they know they can beat,like Vietnam,Korea Afghanistan
@@markletts8802 hell yeah, and I hope they invade yours
Mark Letts We never invaded Vietnam, where’d you get that? Or Korea, for that matter. If you mean the counter offensive that did occupy North Korea that could be awarded a half point.
France: Possibly regaining its lost empire
U.K: I have a job to do
Spain: Ayayay
Portugal: well if you say so...
Actually, the UK does have Imperial potential since it's plan is to spread its influence worldwide and build up its military post-Brexit. And that plan is going perfectly so far. They are spreading their influence in Asia Pacific and South and East Africa. Also, Spain and Portugal are in ruins so I don't think they will rebuild their empires.
Implying France ever lost its empire. It's been allowed to keep large parts of it for some reason.
@@gimzod76 Not to mention the immense influence it has over much of Africa, it has already deployed its military many times over there. Oh well viva la France I guess
“Expect Russia to act recklessly in the coming years”
Breaking news: Russia amasses 120,000 troops on the Ukrainian border.
Awww sh*t....
that was because Ukraine was thinking of siding with NATO which would mean the Russians don't have any protection from there big cities so this mean they could save millions of there lives if a war broke out between the EU and Russia. it has nothing to do with aging population
@@milesdunstan-daams4855 Accepting the Ukraine into NATO would be an instant WWIII, but thankfully the higher ups in NATO are not idiots and have ruled that out many, many times.
@@thecandlemaker1329pu****s
and now they're invading
Brooooo
"India is an American ally..."
On Tuesdays and Thursdays.
121st Bobs and Vagene Division
@@Hegemon1984 even more elite than Delta Force, DEVGRU and the Green Berets all together
Pretty sure he’s referring to how India flirts with Russia
India is what I like to call a forgetful Constitutional Democracy, in that it is a Democracy, but it often ignores that fact. One of the consequences of this is that India, if she insists on acting like a Hindu and a cast state rather than a pluralist, religiously neutral, capitalist state, will find herself fighting the Chinese without America fully on side. It is likely that the American religious conservative right will not fully support a pro-Indian administration in a time of crisis if India continues to betray its own constitution with respect to religious freedom. I'm not saying that this is right, just that it's a political reality that India should understand.
@@josephdestaubin7426 That’s a fair point. India is on some malarky. But it’s fact that the US has joined forces with Taiwan, Japan, The Philippines, Australia, and India to react to Chinese acts of aggression if it so chooses to attack. The United States Will be reacting if China invaded India
Me, a South American: Boy am I glad I live in the most unimpressive part of the world!
Unimpressive
South America
Unimpressive? not at all.
More like neutral in big wars.
Wait till you find oil.
@@agadouwi Wait til you find Venezuela.
America:Sniff sniff ... I smell oil
Oil? Wait till America’s appetite for Lithium grows bigger then we’ll see how quiet South America stays
Azerbaijan and Armenia: *sees this video*
*Lets add onto that list*
Won’t Turkey later join and Armenia is in S.C.O
Fati Azizi, it will probably turn into a proxy war between Russia and Turkey
@@dougsaltzproductions3640 Yeah but an Attack on Turkey is an Attack on NATO and it could possibly start WWIII
"Expect Russia to act very aggressive in the years to come."
*They rejected Whatifalthist's message because he told the truth*
No, he didn't.
The Swiss are just sitting there like: fight fight fight fight fight
"fight (use our banks) fight (we have really good banks) fight (you know who has secure banks, us) fight"
I am a Swiss person sitting a few meters away from my domestic fallout shelter, so maby?
Its so true. No one could ever invade Switzerland or would even want to try.
@@samuelschonenberger sog denna net z'fü. Sog's mir i bin in da nächen. 😂😂
Servus from Austria greetings to my Alp Brothers 😘
@@chrisc1926 Are you thick? Switzerland has been invaded constantly. Last time by Napoleon about 200 years ago. What makes you think Switzeralnd is impossible to invade?
America: no longer suplies Europe with oil
Europe: **Oh boy here I go killing again.**
@StrategicFooyoo Not really, if gulf oil is closed and Russia decides to stop selling oil to europe at the same (or similar times) about half of all global oil production is effectively neutered. The miss match in supply and demand will result in poorer better armed countries (turkey, India, Italy, Greece) raiding unprotected commerce. Especially if oil hits 150+ a barrel (it becomes cheaper to pirate than purchase).
The only countries that are able to secure these shipping lanes either have a large blue water navy with aircraft carriers, or are in a geographic position that will be to its advantage (UK, France, India, Japan for example). Europe, Africa and China will feel the brunt of this, as they are at the end of supply chains and would have to completely overhaul there navies (which can take decades) to avoid de industrialisation.
US trade is largely done with NAFTA and CAFTA. Any exceptions include trade that is largely irrelevant to the US economy (less than 2% of gdp, which can be easily replaced). The US has zero incentive to protect shipping lanes and the rest of the world is unable to. Its a big rip for most countries that are successful artificially.
@StrategicFooyoo Lets hope that if this occurs, electric cars catch on lmao. TSLA to the moon.
@StrategicFooyoo It comes back to game theory. Sure it would be ideal if all sides get along. However, when people demand more of a recourse than what can be sourced, countries expand into empire (or sanction privateers). Its a race to the bottom, but it cannot be avoided so long as people continue to rely on oil for plastics, fertilizer (some countries could see agricultural output half without oil), Transportation and military.
@StrategicFooyoo Nah russia and gulf states (especially opec) structure there economy in such a way that they can strategically stop selling oil for geopolitical purposes (think 1971) (or in the event of iran closing the straits). Russia in paticular has a fairly diversified economy (relative to other oil producers) and could survive for decades on reserve cash. It is in russias interests to cripple europe, especially if they are 'democratically reclaiming' land in eastern europe.
The US has domestic oil production that is sufficient to fuel itself. Even if shale production decreases (unlikely) canada and mexico export more than enough oil for the US.
Europe, China and Africa will be the real losers in this scenario. UK, France and japan will probably be able to 'democratically secure' an oil source in Africa (or the middle east). But aside from that its game over for most countries.
@StrategicFooyoo The US is no longer interested in invading countries for oil (even if it is intended for the US market), let alone for other countries. Why would the US keep oil lanes open if they dont benefit from it? Invading iran or russia may benefit europeans or the Chinese, but not America.
USA going full Eric Cartman: Screw you guys, I'm going home.
Later on: "Oh my god, they killed Poland! You bastards!"
Well we are tired of being responsible for maintaining peace in the world. Let the Netherlands do their part.
The U.S. will never leave the Middle East. The reason they are there is not Oil, it's Israel and Israel's massive lobby in the United States.
@@dr.carmichael530 yeah and the wars never ends we've been in the middle east for like 30 years we no hope of the wars there stopping anytime soon.
@@Nuclearcx atlease we have power projection..... right?
14:20 "expect Russia to act very recklessly in the years to come" BRUH
The entire video:
"There will be WARS EVERYWHERE!!!!!11"
The end of the video:
"~~Thanks for watching and have a great day!~~"
It's more like a war and the proxy conflicts that lead to it.
Whatifalthis: oh yeah, something is going to happen in central Asia
Not even a full day later
*some bad stuff happens in central Asia*
Wait what happened!?
Western asia*
@Zaid Saad Armenia and ashitbeijan are somewhat at war.
Wait for Kirguistan...
Armenia and Azerbaijan are not Central Asia
When everyone is scared because the world can be in chaos but you don't care because you live in Argentina and every day is pain.
Margaret thatcher. Falklands.
@@andyc9902
*Fortunate sons with a mix of Rule Britannia plays in the background, as Abuelo starts having flashbacks*
Argentina ppl are so hot
Even if the world blows up South America will still be the same.
Pobres Argentinos con el corrupto de Alberto Fernández
Here from 2022, with Turkey’s economy in shambles, Kazakhstan in political turmoil and Russia building up troops on Ukraine’s eastern borders.
Honestly, as a bachelor hungry for a master's and a PhD in global security, I'd love to have a talk with you. I've never been more absorbed by a YouTue video in my life. Wonderful work!
I recommend Peter Zeihan's books to you and others
@@nickolasbrown3342 Most of this video is based on Zeihan's books, many of the maps taken straight from it.
Shakes magic 8 ball
Expect Russia to act aggressively in the years to come
people like to pretend their country is better than another. but in reality their country is just weak in terms of military. the super powers, Russia, China, USA are the main bullies and will continue to be until they r no more. Just as the European powers once were until the world wars set them behind
I expect the US acting aggressively.
@@diegoaespitia are you responding to a deleted comment? This doesn't have much to do with the original comment
Unnecessary if West and China will still hate each other.
If China become pro-Western or West become pro-China, then that should be done will be done.
Yes Putin wants the USSR back expect him to be the white Mugabe! Never relinquishing power!
I'm so glad I was born at the perfect time and as the right sex to be enlisted in the largest war in human history
Our world war about to make the last two world wars look like a elementary pocket knife fight.
Same here
help
True accelerationism
Hopefully they won’t lower the draft age or something, me being 13 would never see the end of it
“Something very bad will happen in Central Asia, I just don’t know what”
..Taliban has entered the chat
2020 is just the beginning of dark times. I’m afraid my generation will live up to the name of ‘Doomers’ we have given ourselves. The last ones to grow up in a time of peace before being shipped off en masse to fight WW3
If it makes you feel any better, if you live in a developed country you're highly unlikely to be literally shipped off to war en masse. Modern militaries in developed countries are capital-intensive, not labor-intensive, so the odds are against you being conscripted even in a large-scale conflict.
it's only though times of crisis that renewal becomes possible...
@@JackHankeAnd we almost had to conscript people to fight in the various wars that we fought in the middle east. If we end up in a global conflict every man between the age of 18 and 40 is going to get caught up in that shit.
@@lucasward9506 We were never particularly close to conscripting people for the Middle East wars. Also, presumably there would be more volunteers for a war perceived as existential than the unpopular Iraq War and only marginally-more-popular War in Afghanistan.
Hard times breed strong men.
ISRAEL SIDING WITH EGYPT!! that's surprising.
Well well well, how the turntables
Actually, Israel sport the two sides so they come on top and win
They arent that potent anymore since Nasser died.
Well it kinda isn't, considering that Egypt was the first middle eastern countries to officially recognize Israel as a country.
The Israelis gave the egyptians sinai for peace, they will sure be in egypt side in case of war
So what you’re saying is, the one who learns how to preform cheap desalination shall rule the world? Challenge accepted.
Good point.
Probably will require nuclear fusion, power wise.
@@gvibration1 And thuis begins, The Fusion age!
There is already nuclear desalination tech.
*Sigh* my country is landlocked
@@gvibration1 that is actually excessively easy. nuclear power is litterally a glorified way to boil water. adapt you plant so that the steam recondensates away from the salt it left behind and you're good. unfortunately no one wants to see nuclear power plants in the hands of third world failed states.
14:45 the guy totally nailed It! Like a prophet
Last time I clicked on a video so fast, World War One was still called the Great War.
There is only one way to prevent the future famines, water evapirations and conflits:
Reject modern humanity
Returm to monke
We must return to monk e
its for the sake of all of humanity
Monke
Or regenerative agriculture.
@@inotaarto8719 Yep.
Return to monke. Support the monke party
"Are you a time-traveler?"
"No, I'm just stating fax."
ITS DAX
One thing he stated was false though India isnt dependent on china for water, Pakistan b Bangladesh are
To be fair, most of this comes from Peter Zeihan's books. Including many of the maps.
“Expect Russia to act very recklessly in times to come”
Thanks for the heads up on that one 👍🏻
Come back to reality.
6:06 "Ethiopia has a reputation for being difficult to conquer"
Italy: *"Is that a challenge?"*
@papa joe stalin of Stalinist stanistan I doubt it. They are probably equal because they are both thousands of years old.
@@mwanikimwaniki6801 Ethiopia used a book out of Obi Wan's handbook.
@@ayinstrumentals7731 😂😂😂😂Wtf lmao...😂That caught me off-guard
You're everywhere.
italy: "Is that a challenge?"
Ethiopia: "Hell yeah!!!"
Italy:" i will crush you"
Ethiopia: "Why don't came and try it?" (Then War happened, and Ethiopians Won)
Italy: "Now i believe, Ethiopia is difficult to conquer".
Hasta LaVista
Remember kids: predicting the future is never, ever anything more than interesting conjecture
we can only hope it is as you say and the predictions shown at the video dont become a reality
Remember kid; Geography doesn’t change much, hence geopolitics tends to cause history to repeat itself.
Germany, Japan, and Turkey will militarize again. No century has pasted without a Indo-Chinese war.
@@fedcoin1602 It only happened in 1962 along with few skirmishes afterwards.. 🇮🇳🇮🇳
@@gabrielcollstefoni7765 Oh don't worry kid, it'll be way worse. Not in the explosive style, but slowly
Everyone predicted WW2 though.
21st century: third world war
22nd century: *the great martian war*
1st martian war*
26th century : the human covenant war
@Patrick Ryan his kids wont get far having grims dna and musk smooth brain parts
Suddenly, there was a heavy explosion, the ground heaved, windows shattered and gusts of smoke erupted into the air
"LOOK! THERE THEY ARE!! WHAT DID I TELL YOU!!??" the artilleryman cried
At once, four of the fighting machines appeared, monstrous tripods higher than the tallest steeple, striding over the pine trees and smashing them, each carried a huge funnel, and I realised with horror that I'd seen this awful thing before.
23rd century : humanity doesn't exist anymore
Loving the brutal honesty, zero political BS and Realpolitik explanations. Subscribed.
Hahaha, "zero political BS" - like "70 years of peace in Europe"?
The world superpowers: We need to secure water sources
The Balkans: Oh for Fu... sake, give me a break!
WW3:*begins
The Balkans:"Ah shit, here we go again"
Serbian War music starts playing
The Balkan has my condolences...
We have a lot of water here we can live alone...
Litteraly me the entire video. Whenever nature is mentioned here (Bosnia), water is one of the first to follow. I feel the same way about Finland
Here’s an underrated one, what if the allies won World War One in 1916 if the Russian Army didn’t suck as much?
No american superpower, France, Russia and Great Britain are stronger after WW1.
World War 2 would still happen.
@@theetherealwatcher2953 its possible that western traumas with the war would be far diminished, and that either the Russian monarchy would survive or the revolutionary government of 1917 would not fall to the bolsheviks, which would render the Allies unwilling to appease to german territorial demands, which could make the 3rd Reich too isolated and scared of starting a war. Or they would be ganged up by Europe as soon as Anschluss or the annexation of Czechoslovakia happened
Dont forget that Russian also fought Turks and Austrians (which also sucked), if Russia have been more competent, then huge chunk of Austria and Turkey would probably end up occupied by Russia, not to mention that Finland, Baltic states and part of Poland wouldn't reclaim independence.
@@AndreLuis-gw5ox Japan started WWII, then Italy, then Germany. But in the West people like to forget about all that and just blame the Germans for everything. Not to mention, the "allies" of WWI were not exactly good guys to begin with, so with a different outcome they may have gotten a different standing altogether for WWII.
So basically, what I'm getting from this is
2020 is the least of our worries?
Yep so buckle up bucko we're going for a ride!
"A deep breath before jumping of a cliff into the water"
the beginning of the end
2021 will be far worse
Well, always has been.
Resource wars will be common.
You got energy, food, water, iron, oil, literally anything metal from the ground? Gas? There's gonna be wars for it.
That's just not true, resourse wars haven't been fought in a long time and for good reason.
@@therealzizmon1748 "no resource wars"
Tell that to Iraqi oil companies in 2003
I'd like to know how the internet plays in these future wars.
Shitty memes
Hacking and propaganda
If everyone on earth had access to a free internet I wonder if there would be any wars period
@@danielloughney9199 we would uses bots to attack each other
memes as it happens, mostly.
also, will be used to cut off communication(and plan it in some cases)
2020 is the tutorial, the 2020s are going to be the real meat
May whatever g-d that may be out there have mercy on our souls...
2021 is the trailer and 2022 to 2040 the real meat.
Turks watching this video " N I C E"
Turkey is pretty cool now
@@denzelhorton3280 not really its been getting worse
@@denzelhorton3280 Ehh, not really. Unless you know, you're a Turk but if you're a neighbor to Turkey then nope.
Central Asian Turks watching this video: "Y I K E S"
Well freedom is like this, 📈 in Turkey right soo eh?
It’s 2022 and Russia- fuuuuuck
Lets hope new promising desalting technologies will prevent most of these conflict
The saudis have giant desalination plants, and China will probably make them as well along with India. The spark that will ignite the first of these conflicts will likely be the American election.
The issue with desalination isn't the cost, it's the energy requirements.
We know how to solve that problem. Nuclear Energy. The issue is getting there.
to expansive, its easy to import water and water based products, BUT yeah, no one is willing to get dependent from Brazil, Russia or Canada (the water kings).
Is better for everyone, if folks start to work on desalinization.
@Milosh Simonovski in the long run? No, but water is an imediate necessity, if a country runs out of water, things go bad really fast.
SO the imediate solution? Import water and water based products (food and cloths).
Also some countries don't have the option to desalinizate water, because they aren't even close to oceans, what happens then?
@Luís Filipe Andrade you put to much faith in this...
It's quite possible that a world war broke out in this decade, hell, a world war can broke out tomorrow! India and China are trading punches in their boarders, Taiwan is a fucking flashpoint for WW3, and things are getting bad by the hour...
If AI will change something in the future, will be far away in the future, probably after 2050 IF we don't nuke the fucking world out of the existence in the near future.
22:37 Just an observation about that chart: You know what else happened at almost that exact divergence point? The microprocessor. It's arguable that the majority of the productivity/real wage discrepancy is due to 20th century capitalism not being able to adequately adapt to the information age. A LOT of the productivity gains since the 1970s is due to modern computers, which displace the real value of a middle income workforce.
Good point, although the US is arguably among the nations most affected by these developments. In general, it's crazy how many pivotal changes took place during the 70s. Automation, the energy crisis, abolishing the Breton Woods system, rise of neoliberalism, Immigration reform, low fertility rates...
@@TapOnX almost all of the gap is actually due to wild healthcare inflation (which ties into the aging population). Against general inflation, total compensation has mostly kept pace with productivity, but the substantial majority of it has gone into health insurance (which has tripled in price relative to general inflation).
@@SacredCowStockyards If I remember correctly, there's still a gap, even if you account for aberrations like healthcare and college prices that only accounts for about half of it. Then again, all of these analyses will be highly dependent on the method used to account for inflation, I think the chart he uses in the video is one of the most pessimistic estimates.
@@SacredCowStockyards Medicare has ironically driven up the cost of healthcare.
You know what else happened at that divergence point? We went off the golf standard.
Whatifalthist: "The era of American hegemony has been the greatest age in history"
Also Whatifalthist: Here's a 25min video explaining how the era of American hegemony is about to conclude in a colossal global bloodbath
Only because the Hegemony might stop.
@@boomertiro1422 Yes, because the entire hegemonic system and all the progress made as a result of that system is economically, politically, and environmentally unsustainable.
Well, the point is that it is better than any alternative
@@rohanr.9714 What exactly is "colossal global bloodbath" a better alternative than?
@@ezpzlemonsqz again, it has been better than any other period of history in terms of war. Not saying it is perfect, but better than the alternatives.
Let's have some more! This is absolutely fascinating to me. Who else agrees?
HAHAHA!
It sure is!!😆
Technically Africa is already being "recolonized" - just not by someone sticking their flag into the ground & naming the place after themself but by mostly the Chinese making many African countries completely depended on their investments
But the USA is Africa's main investor till date.
@Pecu Alex can I get a source on Nigeria economic planning capability being lost to the IMF?
@@natasharules770 Nigeria was tricked into devaluing their currency for decades and that has started to sting. For scale:The richest African lost more than a half of his net worth due to these devaluationa.
@@mwanikimwaniki6801 that doesn't point to 'losing economic planning ability to the IMF', unless I'm over thinking the statement. As for Africa's richest man I feel bad for him but at the same time I would have converted my money to Euros
@@natasharules770 Well. I only guessed it could have been that considering that it brought such a stir and has ruined Nigeria's economy. The richest dude has a counter for that though. His businesses were not pegged to the dollar because he deals with Cement and Sugar. He instead decided to build a huge refinery for Nigeria because it is ironic that one of the world's largest crude oil producers imports refined products from other places.
Wow, you called the Ethiopia civil war!
The war is over now.
@@Zeyede_Seyum lmak
@@Zeyede_Seyum are brada jegna Etiyopia tikdem!!
@@Zeyede_Seyum For now
@@Zeyede_Seyum BUT EGYPT STILL LOAD BUT NIGERIA GOT YOUR BACK
So basically, if we take a historical perspective, singularly powerful hegemonic powers are a net benefit for most people and The Empire was right.
UNITE THE COMMONWEALTH! HAIL BRITANNIA!
It's more like, extended periods of peace just cause the next wars to be bigger and more devastating.
@@zulemaalderete5299 Nederland is beter.
it depends strongly on the empire, and on what purpose it wanted to start ruling a certain region/country. for example Romania suffered a lot from being ruled - exploited - by the ottoman empire for its resources and money. so the answer is not that simple (I'm romanian btw, that's the reason i gave this particular example)
Wish the Roman Republic Industrialized
Pagan religions die out much earlier. Christianity and Islam don't exist
Rome, Ethiopia, Persia, India and China split the entire world
"Something very bad will happen in Central Asia, I just don’t know what"
Kazakhstan is on the verge of civil war right now, jesus christ, you really are able to predict some of the future
6:00 oh goodness, so you're saying Egypt is going to lose its independence?
I'm so shocked. Egypt has such a strong, long-lasting history as an independent nation.
What? No they don't lmao
You're so damn right. Egypt has always been a very independant country never controlled by anyone.
@@absolutelynothing3621 Sarcasm buddy
HAHAHAHAHAHA omg how did I miss that.
@@narayasuiryoku1397 ottomans and britian?
"We must secure the existence of our water and a future for hydrated children."
LOL nice one that was smooth
This better not be a real dog whistle.
@@pknyan5803 Oh no, what are you gonna do?
@@cumswag1222 Nothing, just pissed you guys are nazis.
@@pknyan5803 Why do you hate water and hydrated children
India and Vietnam american allies.
Indira Gandhi and Ho Chi Minh: TRIGGERED
No no. That was then. Today we are fully ready to be american allies. Fuck communism and socialism.
@@143varunsherke2 That's the joke.
I thought it was Mahatma Ghandi
@@atomickeks6712 Indira Gandhi and mahatma Gandhi are two different personalities they are totally different from each other
Ho Chi Minh pushed an American alliance heavily because of CIA agents helping them overthrow the french, but it was America's interest to keep away from the French Indochina war.
What i got from the video:
Germany turkey and japan make a comeback
China either gets fucked or fucks
Usa stops giving a shit about everyone and focuses on only the most important
Modern european empires DLC comes out
Swiss be like: "Aight, imma get some popcorn"
Sweden be like: oh cool the third movie finally came out
Well if they nuked, it's gonna effect Swiss too as nuke radiation doesn't give a Fuck if you are neutral or eating popcorn.😉
Normie
@@dinil5566 swiss do have enough nuclear bunker for it's whole population and can fit more ppl
Everyone: oh god we’re going to be conscripted and attacked by China/Russia/India/USA 😭😭😭
Me from San Marino: *laughs in irrelevant and neutral small country*
How is life there?
outernet it’s just Italy but smaller
i was going to say that i feel the same living in Brazil, but inner tensions are rising and it does not look good
Your surrounded by a NATO country. Doubt the radiation will stop at your border!
cambs 01 checkmate I’m in an irrelevant country inside and irrelevant part of Italy, so irrelevant it might just work
17:41 *Germany, exists
France and England: could not not rise to the most powerful force in Europe for 5 MINUTES?!
*Germany exists
France and England: OK this time we are taking Bavaria away
@Arkady that's what I'm saying the UK will come to the larger EUs defense in any war
@@TheSquareheadgamer EU or not we're still allies, I highly doubt the French will be in a war without us
@@sdprz7893 that's what I'm saying....
German military is not very strong nowadays but their leaders are crafty and managed to make it a manufacturing powerhouse in Europe largely through the EU the cheeky bastards, so they are still the number one advanced weapons manufacturer in Europe.
Welp, Russia vs Ukraine!