Same. Democrats are just too triggered by it - which is insane because he’s basically a centrist and socially liberal. Media just broke their brains beyond repair.
I’ll just say this: I don’t think I’d ever give a pollster the time of day not because I’m afraid but because I don’t think they’re worth my time. However, I don’t have any Trump decals or signs in my yard for fear of retaliation from those in my area.
As a conservative, I have to be very, very cautious with whom I open up to. We can face genuine, costly repercussions for being honest about who we are. It's ironic that in a society which claims to value authenticity and inclusion, only some people can be authentic.
Democrat Pollsters are like professional critics on Rotten Tomatoes. They are paid to give left leaning results. That is why you will see them wrong in favor of their Democrat Candidate. Non-Democrat Pollsters attempt to get the correct results, and if they lean one way or the other, then it was not intended, which is why the girls concern is unfounded. Rest easy young lady.
I disagree, you would need 55 to 60% of the nation to have abortion as thier number one issue over the economy,crime, inflation and immigration. I can sssure you thats not the case
@ I ment that when voting on it alone like a state-wide initiative, then its gona win even in red states. I agree that most people arent putting it above all the other issues. Economy and immigration are top.
Any poll has a variance and any sampling method necessarily has a standard error. Undercounting doesn’t necessarily mean that participants are unwilling to participate. It could simply mean that the ratio of those who are sampled is not eventually representative of those who voted. Seltzer’s last poll is reflective of this. 89% of Republicans said that they’ll vote for Trump and 95% of Democrats for Harris. So, the silent Harris may be silent in the sense that either they’ve simply been excluded from a sample set, they’ve changed their vote from Trump to Harris, or they’re unsure at the time of the poll. In short, there are many reasons to be excluded from a poll.
One of my concern that I've not heard anybody mention has to do with the Republican primary and how many Democrats crossed over to vote for Nikki Hayley. The Democrats encouraged their supporters to do this. In some states, including Pennsylvania, you can only vote in the primary for the party that is on your voter registration. Is there any concern by anybody that there could be Democrats who changed party affiliation to vote in the Republican primary, but never changed back to Democrat? I'm very concerned about the early vote numbers being misleading in Pennsylvania. On paper Dems are only up by 400,000, whereas Biden was up by something like 1.2 million. Hayley picked up 158,672 votes. If even half of them are Dems registered as Republican to vote for her, the Republican early vote numbers could be off by tens of thousands of votes. In a race this close, that could sway Pennsylvania Kamala's way. Why are the Dems so confident? That's what I'm trying to figure out. You've got people like Bill Maur and Michael Moore who, at least appear to be, 100% confident Kamala is going to win. Is this denial? Or, do they know something about all those "Republican" early votes that we don't?
I disagree. The Trump supporters in my PA suburb are loud & proud. They were loud and proud at the Jersey Shore this summer as well. This is not 2016 & 2020. MAGA’s are not hiding in the shadows.
![Kodak Black - Catch Fire [Official Music Video]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/A4ch-olIuZo/mqdefault.jpg)
4:00 They don’t say “I’m for Trump” in the cities because you will lose some friends, your coworkers will shun you, and you will be called names.
That's all happened to me...
I am a Trump voter (3 times) and I would never EVER talk to media or any polling place that called me. Never.
Same. Democrats are just too triggered by it - which is insane because he’s basically a centrist and socially liberal. Media just broke their brains beyond repair.
I’ll just say this: I don’t think I’d ever give a pollster the time of day not because I’m afraid but because I don’t think they’re worth my time. However, I don’t have any Trump decals or signs in my yard for fear of retaliation from those in my area.
As a conservative, I have to be very, very cautious with whom I open up to. We can face genuine, costly repercussions for being honest about who we are. It's ironic that in a society which claims to value authenticity and inclusion, only some people can be authentic.
Sad but true.
2016 in reverse for Harris? 😂 Thst is delusional
You guys have great analysis. It’s very hard to find others that are balanced and sophisticated
Democrat Pollsters are like professional critics on Rotten Tomatoes. They are paid to give left leaning results. That is why you will see them wrong in favor of their Democrat Candidate. Non-Democrat Pollsters attempt to get the correct results, and if they lean one way or the other, then it was not intended, which is why the girls concern is unfounded. Rest easy young lady.
Im a conservative pro-choice voter voting for Trump. Abortion is the only issue Democrats are leading, when voting on that issue alone, its gona win.
I disagree, you would need 55 to 60% of the nation to have abortion as thier number one issue over the economy,crime, inflation and immigration. I can sssure you thats not the case
@ I ment that when voting on it alone like a state-wide initiative, then its gona win even in red states. I agree that most people arent putting it above all the other issues. Economy and immigration are top.
Any poll has a variance and any sampling method necessarily has a standard error. Undercounting doesn’t necessarily mean that participants are unwilling to participate. It could simply mean that the ratio of those who are sampled is not eventually representative of those who voted. Seltzer’s last poll is reflective of this. 89% of Republicans said that they’ll vote for Trump and 95% of Democrats for Harris. So, the silent Harris may be silent in the sense that either they’ve simply been excluded from a sample set, they’ve changed their vote from Trump to Harris, or they’re unsure at the time of the poll. In short, there are many reasons to be excluded from a poll.
One of my concern that I've not heard anybody mention has to do with the Republican primary and how many Democrats crossed over to vote for Nikki Hayley. The Democrats encouraged their supporters to do this. In some states, including Pennsylvania, you can only vote in the primary for the party that is on your voter registration. Is there any concern by anybody that there could be Democrats who changed party affiliation to vote in the Republican primary, but never changed back to Democrat? I'm very concerned about the early vote numbers being misleading in Pennsylvania. On paper Dems are only up by 400,000, whereas Biden was up by something like 1.2 million. Hayley picked up 158,672 votes. If even half of them are Dems registered as Republican to vote for her, the Republican early vote numbers could be off by tens of thousands of votes. In a race this close, that could sway Pennsylvania Kamala's way.
Why are the Dems so confident? That's what I'm trying to figure out. You've got people like Bill Maur and Michael Moore who, at least appear to be, 100% confident Kamala is going to win. Is this denial? Or, do they know something about all those "Republican" early votes that we don't?
I love Dan's bookshelves, especially Tom Ford.
I disagree. The Trump supporters in my PA suburb are loud & proud. They were loud and proud at the Jersey Shore this summer as well. This is not 2016 & 2020. MAGA’s are not hiding in the shadows.
Ya think?!?!