How does Coronavirus (Covid-19) compare to Spanish flu?
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- Опубликовано: 16 июн 2024
- The last time we saw a truly worldwide pandemic was the 1918 Spanish Flu outbreak just over 100 years ago but how does it compare to the current Covid-19 situation. We know that Spanish Flu infected about 30% of the then world population of 1.8 billion and went on the kill somewhere between 13.5 to 50 million depending on how you interpret the data.
It's virtually impossible that this would happen again as we know far more than we did then and have antibiotics for pneumonia and experimental antiviral drugs, even though we don't have a vaccine yet. We are also working together rather than fighting the first world war as they were when the Spanish Flu outbreak started.
WHO Covid-19 worldwide cases daily update map.
experience.arcgis.com/experie...
Chinese report into the Wuhan outbreak with statistics.
weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/...
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Strange.. it's nearly been a year since this video release and the information is more clear and relevant than recent videos from news channels.
*I learned more in curious Droids fact pact 13 minutes.* *_Then a whole month's worth of watching the news._*
Main stream news is poison - Seek out experts being interviewed here on youtube to get real information
This kind of comment is what makes me cringe. Either you watch the wrong news, you never actually watch news, you just never pay attention to it. Or you just some edgy kids.
It’s confusing when you’re in the think of it.
It makes a lot more sense when you have something to compare it to than just having a bunch of numbers thrown at you. Context matters.
No, no it not.
@Alex Bon stfu
And don't forget that 1918 flu was first brokeout in Kansas state, USA. Spain was just the first to announce the truth.🙂
We don’t truly know the origin. That is one possible origin.
thank you,that was a fun research rabbit hole to go down!!
I’m legit scared of this, many people I know are starting to lose their mind. But nobody is following the UK government social distancing advice. I’m category 1 front line staff which means I have to work, but am noticing when on my way to work groups of people talking and doing shopping together as if nothing is wrong. The streets are just as busy as usual. What an ignorant population we have.
I applaud for admitting your fear.
I admitted it too and I did so right at the start when I learned that this is a new strain. I knew then that it will be bad because we know nothing of the virus. I also knew that it will likely be resistant to all known treatments as viruses mutate and make themselves immune.
Immediately - I contacted all the people I love and care for. I was shocked by some of the replies because they were playing it down - telling me I am just paranoid and the media is just scaremongering.
But now - with the UK going on lockdown and the death rates increasing at faster rates per day - they are realising that I was right and are now becoming scared themselves because they ignored my advice and continued to live normally.
I started quarantine right back at the beginning.
Hopefully I have been successful in avoiding infection and due to my self-isolation - I know that I have kept the risk levels low of infecting others.
I am scared of becoming infected because I have health issues and there is a high chance that I will die a horrible death.
@@clark5401 no we're not following social distancing we only shut the whole country down.
@@jzblue345
. . . and why has the government had to take the step of shutting everything down? Because everyone was ignoring the advice and requests to be sensible, considerate and careful.
Everyone tends to think that the rules only apply to other people - it'll be *_fine_* if they cheat a little here and there...
Maybe this is natures way of reminding us how small and venerable we are
Seems to be a problem with the West in general we have the same issue here in the States, we seem to think we're invincible or something people are idiots.
Listen to Varys... he only cares for the Realm, not for who sits on the throne.
What ? Got
@James M I GoT the joke, but I think you didnt
I was just thinking the same thing when he first came on the screen ! 😀
Man I knew he looked like someone I knew that was knowledgable!
Kek
there was a certain tone of seriousness that existed in this video that doesnt usually exist so strongly in your other videos...
what really got me was how you didnt say "I really hope you enjoyed this video" etc...
Interesting perspective... love your work.
@Lil Blaisy that's incredible but I dont care
Maybe because he is addressing a serious topic. That's just a guess though.
No sponsor at the end either
Because this is a responsible channel, not jake paul or ricegum
@@Maurice_Moss yeah i noticed that. Usually he goes something like "i really hooe enjoyed this video, if you like it be sure to check out the other videos on my channel. And dont forget to check out our sponsor (insert sponsor of the day), etc"
Thank you Paul. I'm an Italian (and a subscriber) living in quarantine in Rome, and I can therefore testify to how important it is to provide quality information during this time of crisis. Take care and stay at home.
"RUclipsrs are doing a better job explaining this pandemic than the news media." wrote Lamin Touray. I have exactly the same feeling and I live in Barcelona, nowadays a ghost town. The authorities are a joke. We see cabinet ministers disobeying their own quarantine orders and measures, mayors partying in the streets while the majority of us are locked in our houses and actually observing the restrictions.
Yeah not all RUclipsrs know what they're talking about. If you see any of them telling you to shove a blow dryer up your nose because the heat kills the virus...please don't do that.
You are talking about it as if all this is an easy task for any authority to handle, we are talking about shutting down city populations to the millions and then get everyone to follow. This is not an easy task. And it doesnt make it any easier since in the west there is a culture of not believing in doctors,scientists or governments. So instead of calling them a joke you might wanna help them keep friends, family, or
colleges informed and actually tell them and advice them not to go out.. So my point is stop acting like our authorities is ''your'' parents that needs to hold your hand and guide ''you'' to simple tasks, try and help them instead and lessen the burden that some people put on them right now for not following simple instructions.
@@kimpoulsen4163 the fact that you think people will listen proves you aren't American. These people are as dense as they come. Every bit of this is a political issue, not a public health issue. It's all dick riding Trump and dismissing the virus as nothing more than a flu. And spouting the same drivel about the economic consequences of a month or 2 of lockdown to save millions. It's a disgusting us vs them argument everywhere you turn. They're incapable of grasping overrun hospitals and millions of dead. They'll learn though, if the governments(local and federal) don't act soon.
Now we know where Nancy Pelosi got the bright idea to visit a beauty parlor during the lockdown from.
That's because they think they have everyone fooled they focus on the coronavirus so they won't have to face the truth about the fraud and Madness they've created they figure they got this election and don't have to work for what the people have worked their life for they can go back to lying controling cheating.lies
and every once in a while just throw a bone to the American people like Obamacare witch is Americas money and talk about lockdowns and how bad the coronaviruses is while they party down Americans don't dare ask any questions cause they play the game and just walk away It's easy to see where the swamps heart they doecare one bit for America
I live in the northern part of Italy, were the outbreak first started here, and I've left the house 2 or 3 times in the last month to only buy food due to the forced lockdown and it looks like it will be another three weeks before anything can start to move.
Thank God I discovered this channel, it's honestly one of the best ones I've ever seen, great explanations and even better shirts. I've also just realized that it also talks about non-space stuff!
EDIT: Didn’t expect this much support, thank you so much! We survived worse and we will survive this one as well, we underestimated the virus back in early February and we are paying for that mistake, but please LEARN from us instead of ignoring it. If things are done correctly and early enough, heavy measures like ours won’t be needed. Unfortunately on the news I see that more and more countries are ignoring the problem until it’s too late...
Much love from the United States Hope you guys get better soon The whole world's getting wrecked economy wise Good luck to you and your people
Good to hear your doing ok but What's the news there? Could you go into better detail? Thank you.
Greetings from Denver. Hang in there friend.
@@E.Asinus The thing is they shouldn't have to. You do it yourself.
Hang in there bud. The whole world is rooting for you guys. We need to know this barricading ourselves inside works.
If social distancing makes you feel lonely...
... just buy some stocks. Then you'll have a bit of company.
2uv1 u really got the whole squad laughing...
Bravo!
Company that will empty your wallet
Make sure to buy when the markets crashed all the way to the bottom 😆
@@wetkneehouston6293 exactly... But low, sell high. At this point, most companies can only go up.
This is probably the best video I have ever seen on RUclips. Thank you so much for such an in-depth & informative analysis!
I have been practicing for this time for 42 years and have become quite proficient social distancing 😂
RUclipsrs are doing a better job explaining this pandemic than the news media.
the news media will leave you dumber than before you started
Msm be like go buy more bog roll before we all die!!! Now!!!
So is North Korea, lol. No seriously, check out this translated video Channel 4 made(the information is way out of date now, it's from mid February) : ruclips.net/video/rI_MG3ZnDak/видео.html
True that!
That's because this is a holistic historical summary. News media has different priorities to report on, and many of those are immediate current events and impending happenings. They're not comparable
At least people with the Spanish flu didn't decide to travel all over the world and spread it to as many people as possible
That's what happened though. Admittedly through troop movements instead of vacation, but it still happened.
Because you had to be a 1% back then to hop on an airplane.
In march I passed the information in this video to family members, some accepted it and some disbelieved but some got so angry with me they would not talk to me for months, they finally came around and forgave me after some 9 months when everything I passed on came true, I guess a lot of people are so scared of the truth that they just can't handle it.
Every fact in this video became terrifyingly correct, but try to never fall into the trap of punishing or ignoring the messenger.
Well done. You did a great service by sticking tightly to the facts and keeping it unemotional. Thank you.
❤️❤️❤️ Help for coronavirus. From NCBI www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3396089/
Speak quietly out loud or in normal voice "God, please make my health perfect and completely free from harmful virus. Thank you." Repeat every 1-2 hours (8-16 times a day) as long as the pandemic lasts and until a safe vaccine or cure is available. God is love. This helps. No cost. www.howtocallongodforhelp.com
"A problem exists today regarding some know how to call on God for help while others do not. This loving help is available to all of us regardless of moral character, religious views, and personal beliefs. God does not punish and helps anyone asking correctly. God is love." Social distancing helps prevent infected droplets, splatter, and aerosol particles from entering the lungs and eyes. Reducing viral concentration will give the body better odds at handling infection. First line workers are at high risk because of continuous exposure to the virus, thus greater susceptibility to Covid19. Fever, cough, shortness of breath, and sudden loss of smell and taste are common characteristics of the coronavirus.
Covid19's cytokine storm can cause long term tissue and organ damage and mental health problems. From
Mayo Clinic www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/coronavirus/in-depth/coronavirus-long-term-effects/art-20490351
Masks, face shields, washing hands and disinfecting surfaces prevent spread of this virus. Look into foods high in Vitamin C (avoid harmful synthetic Vitamin C supplements), Vitamin D (20 minutes daily sunlight or Vitamin D supplement with Vitamin K2), and zinc. www.webmd.com/lung/news/20200907/too-little-vitamin-d-might-raise-odds-of-coronavirus-infection#1 Please share. Thank you. ❤️
out of everyone that could comment here one of the asmrtists i watch the most, i did not expect lol
I love the phrase “Best Practices known at the time”
Doing everything right doesn’t always guarantee an outcome you want
Decisions made at the time are reliant on the information they have available.
A successfully averted Pandemic is indistinguishable from an Overreaction
That last line is something I've heard a lot recently. "A successfully averted pandemic is indistinguishable from an overreaction." Not enough folks seem to have the mindset of a Scout: Be Prepared. If you're ready for the worst then you can only be pleasantly surprised if it doesn't come
No liability... It's just practice!!
@@faceplants2 exactly.
@@faceplants2 that is not what economists say
This is also the difference between cartoon, or maybe also real villains, and professionals.
A villain will kill you for failing, whether success is possible or not.
The army, if you fail by following your training and orders, will reward you for trying anyway, though it might be posthumously.
So there are two right ways. One where you succeed by blind luck or godlike knowledge, or one where you do things by the book.
Since blind luck is rarely distributed to all, and godlike knowledge is even more rare, professionals empathise the following of orders.
I learned more about COVID-19 from this video, than I did from all of the government announcements in the past couple of weeks. Thanks!
Either you didn't actually paying attention or your government is completely incompetent
rockzs74r I live in America. Our government is very very incompetent. Trump hasn’t been taking this seriously and cautioning people until the past two days.
@@Kdkjdjewerdnxa The speed at which Fox changed their tune was gobsmacking - they realized they would kill 15% of their viewers if they didn't stop calling it a liberal hoax or just another flu with nothing to worry about.
@@rockzs74r In fact, less than 3 weeks ago, president Trump was claiming that COVID19 is a _hoax_ created by _democrats._ The U.S. federal government is *highly* incompetent: so much so, that our economy is now based 100% on the sale of toilet paper.
What government announcements??
By any measure, this is undoubtedly the best general presentation on SARS-CoV-2 I've seen (assuming it is accurate, of course, but I trust you). I especially appreciated your interleaving background information on the Spanish flu pandemic to place the current pandemic in a proper context. I'll be sending it to many others. You are a gifted narrator, communicator, and RUclips creator. I will certainly purchase a membership to support the channel whenever I enter better financial straits.
the only video ive watched about corona that isnt fear mongering and actually informative, good work :)
Please RUclips allow this to be monetized!
Not likely to happen cant be profiteering from a global killer.
yeah RUclips doesn't allow monetisation of stuff like this, they don't want to make money from it
@@CreatureOTNight Yeah it's racist to say it came from China doncha know?/s
@@metatechnologist It is a goddamned China virus. Go watch videos about how it came from their damned 'wet markets'.
@@CreatureOTNight He is informing people, RUclips is a joke.
I’m a nurse in the US and I found this to be accuate, well presented and informative! I have subscribed to your channel based on this excellent video! Keep up the good work!
Right off the back, it wasn't accurate. Saying this has 20 times the mortality rate of the flu is a flat out farce. The 3.6% mortality rate told to Congress was for people in intensive care. Influenza's 0.2% mortality rate is for all infected. I've heard numbers as high as a 10% mortality rate for people in intensive care due to the flu. Shame on this channel for adding to the panic by spreading misinformation.
@@Noneofyourbusiness2000
after reading your post, i went to the WHO site - 19-mar-2020.
Situation report #58
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) 18-March-2020
the pdf states: Globally - 191,127 confirmed, 7807 deaths
i do understand confirmed is less than actual. be careful and stay healthy
@@tomsan7742 Confirmed is extremely less than actual, especially in this case where the symptoms can be minor or not even present in the infected.
Jon Its not a face. Do the math....0.2% to 3.6% is 18 times greater mortality. The influenza mortality has also been reported as 0.1% so that would make this 20-40 times greater depending on the death rate that is being examined. This is not misinformation AT ALL. It has been a concern within the US because our middle aged Americans typically have comorbities such as diabetes, heart disease, lung disease, obesity, etc. ALL of those increase the mortality rate of middle aged Americans without even discussing our elderly. This is some of the most accurate information that I’ve seen put out by anyone.
@@docrock9011 what don't you understand? The influenza mortality rate is for all cases, and the covid 19 mortality rate is for confirmed cases only. Just like with the flu, with covid 19 the majority of those infected don't need medical attention. Only a small percentage get confirmed. Hospitalized flu victims also have a higher mortality rate than hospitalized covid 19 victims.
I love your videos so much, Paul. Thanks for keeping us informed on these trying times. That was a sobering watch. I hope everyone stays safe, and that it will be over soon.
Great explanation. Also nice that you point out the uncertainty that we still face in this pandemic. 10/10 video, I’ll now subscribe ^_^
As a young man in ‘79 I drove my grandmother home from my fathers. On the way she told me stories of her life and grandfathers. He went overseas to fight the “ kaisers Huns”. She stayed at home and was a 16 yr old nurses assistant “candy striper” fighting the Spanish flu. All the sick people and the deaths. How horrible it was and all her relatives and friends who died. She never became sick and wondered why. Grandfather caught it in France but only mild case. I always wished I had recorded our conversation. And fill bad because I really only really wanted to hear about grandfathers War experience so most of my questions was about him. I really only now know how Brave she truly was. And would love to have heard more about it. Rest In Peace Grandma I might see you soon
Great job. You were already one of my favourite channels.. I thought I knew quite a bit about the Spanish flu and covid, but your exact figures and interpretation were an eye-opener on many fronts. Thanks!
Dear Mr. Shiilito,
a personal and heartfelt thanks for your admirably researched and presented video documentary on the novel Coronavirus.
It is hard to find a number of correct and well presented information about the Covid-19 illness as in your work. I believe that the majority of the viewers will agree that you are doing a great service to the community, for which you deserve the most sincere commonal THANKS!
A comforting voice to hear in these troubling times.
bradford lad Right?:)
Curious:. Thank you so much for the most concise and articulate explanation of our current crisis and it's relationship to the Spanish flu. Please continue your excellent work. We need you. Kind regards,
Many thanks.
Greetings from Ireland 🇮🇪
Watched this channel for a while now, it deserves an award recognising the great content Paul always puts together 🏅
Really good info, thank you! New Zealand is going into lockdown in a days time, this is so real and a lot to sink in!
It's taking a while for the seriousness of this situation to sink in. This is a wonderfully informational and helpful video. Thank you!
Man you're the best ... Every subject you treat you make it so interesting to watch ! 👍
The best video I've seen on You Tube for years. Clear accurate and precise. Well done should be shown on tv.
This was a very well done video love the straight forward serious tone of your voice you did a great job I’ve shared this with several friends.
I know you get alot of comments. I just want to personally thank you for increasing my knowledge of the pandemic. This was very knowledgeable based on the information at the time. I wish you the best, good luck and good health.
Hate to say it, but David is right. We don’t know the CFR for Spanish Flu (which BTW is NOT the last global pandemic - that would be HIV/AIDS, then Hong Kong Flu, then Asian Flu, and THEN Spanish Flu). We also don’t know enough about the denominator to estimate the true CFR for coronavirus. Oh, and for the love of God, the common cold isn’t a freaking coronavirus. That’s a very small list of things he got wrong. So frustrating!
*a lot
@@DavidQvist Good top know that every non fiction book in the library has no mistakes or mis-quotes or theories stated as fact.
Are you really that naive?
@@tomearajr Good to know that you know so much more than the World Health Organisation who have the common cold as a coronavirus - please drop them a email so you can "educate" them as you have tried to "educate" here.
@@DavidQvist Fine, to be honest I did not expect reality to effect people like you. Doesn't your hair get sweaty under your tin foil hat?
Crazy how there's 6 billion more people than just a hundred years ago. I wonder how many there will be in another hundred years...
Maybe none.
I did actually read somewhere they think population will actually start to decline as birth rates are dropping world wide below even the 2.1 per couple needed to replace people that are alive today. But Africas birth rates are well above anyone else so they will continue to populate there.
Birth rates are falling all over the world, just look at Japan’s demographics and that give you good insight in what is to come. In fact it’s a bit coincidental that this virus is killing off the old, since in a few decades there will be more seniors than new borns, causing all sorts of economic issues.
@@greasher926 that's a very true and that has caused all sorts of conspiracies aswell all the other ones floating around.
All estimates of global population puts us at around 11 billion when the population levels off.
Stay safe out there Curious Droid! Thank you so much for doing this in the mean time.
One of the very best channels I've come across on RUclips, can't believe it hasn't got at least a million subs yet.
This man never fails to amaze me with a clear and comprehensive presentation. Iv'e watched all his material. I highly recommend you do aswel.👍
Sadly, his research is lazy on this one. We don’t know the CFR for Spanish Flu (which BTW is NOT the last global pandemic - that would be HIV/AIDS, then Hong Kong Flu, then Asian Flu, and THEN Spanish Flu). We don’t even really know how many people died (the range in estimates from historical sources is laughably wide). We also don’t yet know enough about the denominator to estimate the true CFR for COVID-19. We will never be able to truly compare them in the manner in which he thought he could, because we’ll never be able to make confident statements to that level if detail with Spanish Influenza.
Oh, and for the love of God, the common cold isn’t a freaking coronavirus. That’s a very small list of things he got wrong. I’m very annoyed by this, because there are worthwhile lessons from Spanish Influenza, but they’re buried by lazy crap like this.
This guy reminds me of the unic from game of thrones
Always happy to see a Curious Droid video in my subscriptions :)
Thank you tremendously. Far more depth, sincerity, and measured calm and seriousness placed here than everyone else complaining about it. It's time to focus on what's going on and be alert but confident. Have a great day, and thank you again.
Outside of the epidemiological, etiological, and pathological papers being generated by the professionals within the fields of medical science, this is so far, the most informed and concise presentation I have seen so far. Thank you.
Thank you for making this. I greatly appreciate the clarity and seriousness you approach this with
I LEARNED MORE... watching your short video than watching hours of "News."
Can you PLEASE do an episode summing up the Coronavirus and also add information about how long it lasts in the air, and on different types of surfaces?
Keep up the great work!
Stay healthy Brother!
Don't wanna spoil it but some results just surfaced that the virus can live up to 5 days on some surfaces and many hours in air fluctuation due to its micro size.
Sgt. SLaughter who cares how long it survives where. What’s important right now: Avoid people, wash your hands thoroughly and often, don’t touch your face, and stay healthy with good nutrition and exercise if possible.
So you consider being misinformed on RUclips as a kind of learning?
Upto five days.
Hate to say it, but David is right. We don’t know the CFR for Spanish Flu (which BTW is NOT the last global pandemic - that would be HIV/AIDS, then Hong Kong Flu, then Asian Flu, and THEN Spanish Flu). We also don’t know enough about the denominator to estimate the true CFR for coronavirus. Oh, and for the love of God, the common cold isn’t a freaking coronavirus. That’s a very small list of things he got wrong. So frustrating!
Best video I've seen on the subject so far, and I've seen at least a dozen of them . Greetings from Barcelona.
Why has this not been said On television and it should be widely known and this video is very informative I think the whole BBC ITV all the global news channels should explain things like this not just the way that they are doing and I’ve learnt a hell of a lot in this short video then I have in the last three days watching the news fantastic well done
The best laymann info I've seen on this so far , thanks droid. You're the best
I'm a simple man. I see a Curious Droid video I wash my hands and self-isolate.
I learned so much more from this video in 14min04sec than ovver the previous months it's gobsmacking, you should be our daily update man for the government. Thank you, take care.
Very well done Paul. In an age where mainstream news outlets tout opinion as fact, it's refreshing to watch something about Covid-19 that's based on the facts and fugures and not on an 'experts' opinion. Right now, we need sensible and reasoned information and that's what you just delivered.
His shirt cured me of COVID-19
His shirt gave me COVID-19..
As a big fan of his channel, I can confirm that’s one of his more toned down and subtle shirts :)
Marky mark and the bunky funch lucky you, i'm feeling fluish just from looking at it!
His shirt is COVID-19
It's to distract you from common sense
sad that i learned more about the Coronavirus in a RUclips video, then what i have learned in the traditional media. Thanks for doing their job correctly and continue doing a great job.
Not much but quite a lot about Spanish Flu. Potential for mutation is not discussed much in MSM. Videos like this are demonitised as RUclips want to push people to get info from MSM preferably state controlled like Bbc
Christopher Rutherford Can you give us a few examples of videos like this that has been demonetized for that reason?
@@bennylofgren3208 It's in the RUclips TOS.
Category of demonetized video: Controversial issues and sensitive events
Subjects demonetized:
"Armed Conflict
Death
Global health crises
Tragic events
Terrorist acts"
However, RUclips has announced that they intend to review certain channels for monetization regarding the subject.
However, in the meantime, they will be blocking more videos than normal, including videos that do not break TOS.
All of that is fairly well reported on and a simple Google search turns up many articles. It's hard to give examples, since links are auto-blocked.
@@bennylofgren3208 www.business-humanrights.org/en/youtube-reportedly-censors-videos-about-novel-coronavirus-by-removal-or-demonetization-company-says-they-fall-under-%E2%80%9Csensitive-topics%E2%80%9D
@@thejupiter2 how about hydroxychloroquine's ability to stop covid19 from self replicating and is in phase 1 trial now
Or that I learnt from dr. John campbell that NSAI drugs like ibuprofin could potentially kill people if they are infected with covid19 because you NEED fever to take it's course to fight the virus (so taking drugs to lower fever is life risking) 3 days BEFORE the french government actually said in MSM
Or that the only thing you can do to keep your immunity up is sleep well eat well and get daily vitamin D from MedCram channel (only last night I read an article on routers saying it now too)
Or how about.. you know... that it was a fucking PANDEMIC! WEEKS before MSM saying it now
Just few outta the top of my head here
Anyone else think this guy looks like Lord Varys from GoT
He does himself .
Teddy Guthrie He would make a cool Bond villain.
And David Gilmour
I wanted to write this comment and was looking out for this xD
@Phil McKenna What? Are you crazy? Everyone does.
Paul, this is one of the most important and informative presentations you have given us. All of us are impacted by this pandemic worldwide. This was a concise comparison and history of these two pandemics. I guess we now know how the people in 1918-1920 were feeling when the Spanish Flu hit.
beautiful balance of hard facts and germane, cogent comentaty. most videos, even from the us cdc, are inflammatory and uninformative. or the videos of idiots going on vacation because covid is 'over hyped'.
well done you on balance, information and a cool calm delivery.
in honor of you i will go wash my hands. 😄
You can find those edgy people thinking it is overhyped media shit. Right here in this comment section
Ah yes let's see you criticize the Chinese Government for "downplaying" this.
Be neutral
@@DavidQvist tell us about this misinformation then
David is right. We don’t know the CFR for Spanish Flu (which BTW is NOT the last global pandemic - that would be HIV/AIDS, then Hong Kong Flu, then Asian Flu, and THEN Spanish Flu). We also don’t know enough about the denominator to estimate the true CFR for coronavirus. Oh, and for the love of God, the common cold isn’t a freaking coronavirus. That’s a very small list of things he got wrong. So frustrating!
One 14 minute video and all questions answered... Thank you for this very informative video
Hi. Very interesting. It should be nice to have a video with the update about this topic after more than a year. Thanks
One of the best and most informative videos I have seen on RUclips. Thanks.
Once again, great job! I hope we'll hear more from you as more stats come in. Thanks so much
Great video, the comparison with the 1918 epidemic really opened my eyes to the severity of the current one.
One of the most level headed and informative videos on this Covid-19 Pandemic. Great job!!
Really good video, very informative. I applaud you for describing everything so clearly when others are being vague because the are afraid of being demonetized. This is not spreading panic Google, this is important to get this information out! Good work, stay safe.
My niece who works in a doctor's surgery has caught it, she,s 30 and fit but she says it's knocked her on her arse, scary times ahead for ALL of us, if your in a lockdown please stay in.
Don't trust in anecodotes to apply to all...
I am sorry I hope she gets better
@@JD-mz1rl Thanks to Chinese for inventing the virus. Their hands are covered with blood of so many people
@playlists what about the impact to Russia?
@playlists yet the virus is still there... Once in, everything you are talking about isn't valid anymore. If you truly believe this is a virus that spreads during incubation, and for which most are untested but would be carriers.
me: "hmm, people are living so much longer these days than 100 years ago. The average lifespan in Japan is 83 Years old."
COVID-19: "that's a bit too long aint it?"
megapatitude sadly we’ve had people aged 18, 21 and 27 and some in their mid forties so this vile disease is after people of all ages
American population - obese and aging
COVID-19 - *ALLOW ME TO INTRODUCE MYSELF!*
www.bbc.com/news/amp/health-49844804
My brother dies last year 47 heart attack and you wouldn’t think it’d happen. I also worked with a guy 38 same heart attack again you wouldn’t have thought at all they’d go out like this.
@megapatitude Not if you are 82 🤣🤣🤣
Paul, you always do such a great job putting your videos together and this one is no exception! Very informative and interesting .
Great Video. I am so glad you did a video on this topic. I can always be assured that the information in your videos will be accurate and straight forward. I like how in all your videos if something is not certain you always express that. No opinions just information as actually as possible.
thank you, this was the best video have seen in a long time.
Crazy that my grandpa was born in 1918. And survived to have my dad and my dad to have me.
That ain't nothing.
For you to be here, there had to be an unbroken line of your grandparents successfully growing up and raising a child to adulthood, who then went on to raise a child to adulthood.
Going back over 200,000 years, just one failure would have stopped any of us from being here.
Now that's crazy.
@@lordgarion514 Indeed. What's a little more interesting is that I'm 27 with a grandpa that was born in 1918. Of course it sounds more interesting than it really is when doing the math lol, just kinda fun to say.
@@OhhowHelovesus777
That means he's almost 5 generations old. 🤓
@@lordgarion514 Well, he actually passed a few days before my 5th birthday, I don't remember him at all. But, from what I hear, he was a pretty cool guy. This Sep he would have turned 102.
One of the best channels on youtube! Great video
Thank you for a really informative, non-hysterical breakdown of the situation. More somber delivery serves to underlie the importance of taking this seriously. This should be broadcast rather than the panic-mongering pap the MSM is churning out 24x7
Sharing this informative video with all my friends. Thank you, Curious Droid.
Thanks for that, I've yet to see any video as informative as this one.
You should check this out - it's very sobering.
ruclips.net/video/JbQ3oLvvecM/видео.html
RUclips launched the careers of many of today's popstars. How the main traditional broadcasters have not done similar and taken Paul Shillito from RUclips into a national/international program maker I'll never know. Explains why so many of us are now moving away from traditional terrestrial to RUclips. Thanks for this great video Paul. Shared.
Excellent! A calm and measured approach, explaining things clearly and succinctly, is just what is needed. This should be mandatory viewing for anyone confused about why Covid-19 is causing such a disruption. Well done! Now we just need to get this playing on a blimp over Ft. Lauderdale....
Great video again Please Stay Home Stay Safe Use gloves and mask wash you hands Stay away from groups of people I'm from Bulgaria we are in state of emergency with less than a 100 sick people and many in quarantine at home I wish all good luck in that harsh time
He reminds me of Lord Varys on game of thrones
👍😂
For real!!!
But that's just the actor. I've only read the books so you're more free to imagine.
thesnare100 omg thank you! I couldn’t remember the characters name just face and role. You’re so right! 😅😂🤣
Oh god now I can't unsee it
So well researched and delivered beautiful. I learned so much and thoroughly enjoyed this video. Yes, I’ve subscribed now. Thank you 🙏🏼
My parents as chindren lived through the 1918 pandemic along with my grand parents who all survived.
Are you sure your parents survived? (I'll see myself out)
Great video!
I hope the COVID-19 outbreak stops soon.
In my country, Spain, the military is on the streets!
That's brutal. Dont think that's gonna happen here in the US...but each state is getting more and more ridiculous, especially mine (Florida)
Good luck from Delaware ohio. USA ✌🖖🖖🖖🖖🖖🖖
Maybe that's right things to do. Our government just laugh and don't care few weeks after the outbreak. They even try to cash in by giving discount and encourage the foreign traveler to our country.
Its Indonesia BTW
Guess what now we have tons of unreported case and the highest case to fatality ratio because lot of the patients show up at the hospital already in terminally ill condition thanks to lack of discipline. People are sent home to minimize the disease but guess what they go to the beach and have a picnic instead. Combination of Government incompetency and lack of public awareness and discipline. But still massive thanks to the front line fighters the medical personnel and the epidemic task force.
Just remember that the deaths lag behind the infections by a couple of weeks, so even after complete lock down we will see exponentially increasing deaths for a while before the effects of the intervention are seen.
Wait for the "curfew".
If I may make one point about the mortality rate: The 2% figure is derived from known, confirmed cases and given that there are probably many asymptomatic cases (especially in children or younger adults) or cases with very mild symptoms that are never diagnosed, it is fair say that the mortality rate is probably lower.
Proof of this can be seen in South Korea where mass testing has shown a mortality rate of around 0.6% and the Diamond Princess cruise ship in Japan where out of ~700 confirmed infections there have been 7 deaths so far.
yes but the same goes for a seasonal flu which means the relationship between covid and seasonal flu remains the same, covid is 25 times more deadly
The bit to remember here is that there was no way to do tests of Spanish Flu. Many people will have had it and had mild symptoms, so nobody ever added them to the numbers. The other thing is that Spanish flu had a mortality rate as high as it was, due to the times. I am not saying it was not a deadly virus, but if Spanish Flu appeared now, instead of 100 years ago, it would not have killed anywhere near as many people. Even if it infected the same number of people at the same rate as it did.
This Virus is currently boasting fatality rates that rival the Spanish Flu, but 100 years later. 100 years worth of medical and nutritional advancements, and this virus is still giving Spanish Flu a run for its money. Governments are even taking relatively early action. Spanish Flu had overwhelmed the medical systems of those times very early on, and its final mortality rate was 2.5%. Covid-19 could ease off of course, we dont know how these things will mutate. But the facts are that this thing is potentially more dangerous than the Spanish flu was, and people need to understand that.
@@holycow666 "25 times more deadly". Where is your source for that? I want to know if you have anything to back that up or if it is just an exaggeration.
Everyone still needs social distancing and follow what we have been told so don't treat me like a denier.
@@holycow666 they dont to appear at all the same. covid 19 seems to be a lot more asymptomaticlly transferred as opposed to the flu.
@@lescobrandon8443 Did you watch the video? Oh crap, it was only 23 times more deadly, sry
Thank you for your clear description of the coved-19 virus. I was treating the incident as a simple flu thing. I have angina and Pulmonary Fibrosis to start with, am 73 and though I was immortal, you have woken me up to the danger I face, thank you again.
government: let us never let a emergency, real or perceived, to go to waste
Informative, educational, and scary.
Thank you CD. I consider this to be the best overview of the current medical emergency I have discovered so far.
British right?
You're a good narrator, very good I'll subscribe, really well explained
, thank you
Thanks for covering this topic. I'm Italian and here the situation is out of control, people still hang out in the street and the government just decided to use Army for help arresting those people. Stay safe guys
sebaale91 are you guys ok? is the media making it worse then what it is in Italy? peace and love
Ive been saying that if this goes away in a month or two, it will come back quick in winter in a likely mutated form.
Australia is in for a world of hurt, if they don’t lockdown entirely
For the southern hemisphere it is basically winter
Great work as always. Extremely informative and digestible.
Cheers, great vid, always calm and knowledgeable 👍
New to the channel. Now a subscriber. Good job.
had pneumonia once...kept working in damp cool conditions , then got a virus that combined with poor health, it spread to my heart mussel......no matter how stubborn and stupid , the heart mussel must keep working. so to those who have mild symptoms, it might be a death sentence to others, so please take care for others......please
Thank you for a sane summary of the relevant facts. I can find no particular fault with the information you presented. Highly unusual for a RUclips video in these circumstances.
I found only one that I know of. He stated at 5:21 that the common cold is also caused by a coronavirus, which is incorrect. The common cold is actually caused by the rhinovirus, although the coronavirus can produce symptoms similar to the common cold.
@Mycel They're not closely related at all. The closest relation rhinovirus and coronavirus have are in the Phylum. That's pretty high on the classification, meaning they're very different. I don't know how closely norovirus is related, though i'd have no imagine not very close at all.
@@JOBoarder27 The term "coronavirus" will likely turn out to be like "fish" in that it's more of a colloquial handle than a precise clade identifier. A virus that resembles a corona outwardly is essentially a coronavirus in the vernacular.
That's how I'm taking it anyway. Many of the earliest germs to be identified were named after their appearance under the microscope when we couldn't possibly know the first thing about precise genomic relatedness.
@Mycel I'm not sure it's useful to expect precise figures on any of this to be honest. It's useful to make relatively honest comparisons because all historical data being compared will likely contain similarly imprecise data points which may have taken on the appearance of being hard facts once committed to the record.
In the ongoing dynamic situation, we can't really trust the data from most sources to be *precisely* true because there will be differing interpretations and counting rules for what constitutes a case and how thoroughly a population was scraped for the sample data. Then there are the issues of outright lies and covering up of some facts and the lack of reasonable testing programs. Don't test - don't tell is rampant.
Actual deaths and numbers of hospitalized patients are at least pretty hard to fake outright because there are actual bodies and patient records.
I worry more about false comparisons between numbers that do not represent the same meaning being tossed around. When one event is at least an order or two of magnitude more deadly than another yet people misrepresent this truth in the reverse because the wrong columns of data are being charted for comparison then I take exception.
Whether (for example) the true R0 is 6.7 or 7.1 (or 20) is less important now than comprehending that the other virus' R0 was only in the range of 0.1 (or 0.01 by some charts) to 0.2 or even say 2.0 for argument sake. The *precise* values are less critical for now than the "truth" *accuracy* in portraying the relative scale of the danger.
@@puirYorick Can't argue with that, I'm a programmer not a molecular biologist. I'm really not sure how much biologists factually know about virus classifications and relations.
A brilliant presenter, kept my attention all the way through. No hyperbolic statements.
Nice shirt, I love the design. The material looks very comfortable too.
Paul, what's up with the unusually abrupt end to this episode? A harbinger?
Yes, our medical knowledge and resources are greatly improved in the last 100 years. But more people also moove faster around the globe.
and our products dont forget that, now if only we could advance past the alcohol only based antibacterial hand sanitizer to say degreaser and salt/surfactant hybrid for dehydrating cells like a virus after clustering around them in micelle formations, so they can wick moisture out of the cell between the surfactant chains through capillary action, to be absorbed by the salt attached to the other end, and end up with a substance that wiping down a counter or wiping on hands sticks around to keep killing virus and bacteria until removed or completely saturated by organic cells so there is no more room to destroy them, instead of just evaporating and thats it, time to reapply,
another one is the fibers in masks, why are they just plain dry, why is there nothing to bond the virus and anything else we want to filter out, so they dont just bounce around between them until they get inhaled or exhaled from the mask considering how much smaller the virus we are talking about now, is compared to the gaps, and while we are at it include something that will destroy their cellular walls in that oil or other sticky substance to coat the fibers with, (also liking the salt added to allow it to dissolve in small droplets and such, then when the moisture is evaporated at the high speed it does, you get sharp crystaline shapes that the cells get cut up on, theoretically according to the canadian researchers reporting on that research they are apparently doing. )
Kristian Fagerström he literally explained that point in the video several times.
not only that but people were a hell of a lot more independent back then. I would say the only thing we really have going for ourselves at this point is the fact that we're taking this s*** relatively seriously early on and the vaccines are already in early clinical trials.
A very interesting video certainly explained a few things to me that I’ve not herd before or even been told on the British news channels.
Excellent video 👌. I work in a lab and everything said in this video is very accurate. His research on the matter at hand was really done well and explained well. Will keep on sharing to my lab students as well. Nice job.