Jerome Powell Problem | Bull Flippening.
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- Опубликовано: 7 окт 2024
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#meetkevin #biden #trump
Your T.S.Lombard is my Meet Kevin notification. 💯❤️
Ed Yardeni is a good permabull option for balance.
Not that I’m claiming Kevin is permabear
@@SigFigNewton at some point we all where a Perma Bullsky
Audience: "Hey Kevin, can you give us some bullish hope"
Kevin: "Ok, yeah"
*Proceeds to focus on bearish aspects of report*
Hard to be bullish with all the recession signs with yield curve rapid rate hikes plateau then sudden big drop the rules being triggered the amount of money pumped in a short span of time record debt horrible save rate closings layoffs etc the only thing that is keeping anyone bullish would be greed and I really hope that group knows what they are doing because the rich are selling at record rates
@@cjgray9352 the rich are selling but stocks are at alltime highs are you retarded ? gold is flying to the fking moon do you know how much money it takes to move gold 50 % ?
Just watched your video discussing AWS81T and I am very excited about this
Scam
I lost all my money with this, don’t fall for it
Kevin I can’t speak for everyone but it’s mainly the data that I care about. You explain and simplify large amounts of articles,data and charts into simple videos. Fuck the haters. Appreciate you
No one is saying he doesn't provide news and relevant information better than most out there. I certainly think he does.
Where I and many others disagree is how he interprets it and can be all over the place sometimes.
I wouldn't trust his advice but it's a free country and we're all entitled to think what we want.
Bought AWS81T after watching your video, super excited! 💰
Excited about AWS! Let's see where this journey takes us!
lets PUMP this to the sky guys!!
AWS is promising! Happy to be part of this journey.
Just read news about AWS this morning. Presale is open right now
THis will change the world of cryptocurrency
you're not always bullish, not always bearish, but always flipping. that's cool. seems like that's what the market is all about.
I think he's a "realist"
why would you follow someone with no direction.
@@juliotiburan825 Good question. I'm asking myself that same thing....
@@juliotiburan825wait are you arguing that perma-whatevers are worth following
Average of 60% 👍 *+* 70% 👎
*=* 65%☝️ *OR* 👇
Kevin: I’m gonna give bullish take
Then proceeds to go full blown bearish 😂😂😂
😂 Was going to say the exact same thing!
Bull Flippening video turned into most bearish yet🤣
when a reasonable bull flips, it's bearish right?
gold and silver are screaming everything is not ok
Queue up the "we want to buy your old gold jewelry" commercials on TV. When you see those... you had better be buying gold HARD.
Gold is just screaming weakening US dollar... Which happens with rate cuts.
Gold is just a fear index
Oh no, its more than that. Much more. @SmartestDumbGuy
🎵I am not okay. I'm barely getting by. 🎵
Bears sound smart. Bulls make money
Lol great saying
Markets only go up...... since 2008
Dayyym straight. It is a lot easier to be a bull.
If you are right when you bearish - you will earn tons of money, lot more than if you are bullish all the time, cause its much more simple to be a bull at the normal times, that happen 75% of all times
Bull markets make everyone seem smart. Bear markets weed out the weak
Sir Flips-A-Lot
😂😂
Sir buyandsell
🎵 He like big puts and he cannot lie 🎵
His ETF turns over a lot. Since inception it's flat with the spy. But that's not risk adjusted.... Hats off to Kevin's boldness though.
Finally, you're the first person I've heard mention the Warn notices, which is a major reason I keep saying this data is delayed!!!
Kevin, if a recession happens, how long do you think it will last? You could do a video about your perspective on what happens next after a recession.
Sorry for my English. I know it is not the best
I don't think anybody can predict that, other than by looking at the past. They seem to set in quickly and recover slowly over a few years until one day people look around and realize, "hey, things are starting to actually look alright". At that point, the bull market begins, lol
he said "buy the dip".
The yields got higher after the rate cut because bond market is pricing in a less likely recession scenario. So it’s actually not a bearish signal
yields and commodities usually do the opposite right?
@@narcisochavez9392it’s not a straight forward relationship. In general sense, lower yield gives a lower denominator to the economy, so commodities should rise. But that’s just a textbook interpretation. In real world, sometimes it’s not as straightforward, cuz higher yield may imply that previous economic projection was too low, so yields need to normalise to a higher level.
My prediction:
TMF to the Moon
QQQ to 350
@@MVPTC I doubt a leveraged etf will to any moon anytime soon.
@stuke76 you keep doubting it.. look at TQQQ, SOXL, FNGU or any other one
@@stuke76hope your wrong man
It doesn't matter to me I own both, except I own TQQQ instead of QQQ. I'll rebalance after any big move for the rebound. We're playing hot potato with the US, though, because the massive debt is unsustainable, but I think the downfall will take some time, and we probably have a few decades left. I hope I have enough gold and foreign stocks on the side when the US readjust down to the mean from this long multigenerational cycle of US outproformance.
That's exactly what I say every time I get a notification you post a video 😂
Awesome kev thanks .. hope you have a great trading day tomorrow ❤
Agree that risk is very high right now. Valuations are silly and haven't priced in any downturn whatsoever.
Saw someone else mention how it isn’t the lay offs that really cause the spike in unemployment. It’s actually the lack of hiring and hiring freezes.
That doesn’t make sense. If you have pool of 100 available workers and 10 are unemployed, then the unemployment rate is 10%. if months go by and they still don’t hire those 10 workers then the unemployment rate remains the same. Unemployment rate only goes up if people get fired. Then it would go up to 12,13,14%. Make sense?
@@Thomasthechoochoo I don’t know all the factors that contribute to the unemployment data. But your explanation seems kinda basic. I don’t remember the video I watched, but it made enough sense when I watched it lmao.
@@Thomasthechoochoo While it's true that the unemployment rate only rises with layoffs, hiring freezes can still affect it. New workers continuously enter the labor market (like recent grads), and if there are no new job openings due to the freeze, these job seekers can increase the number of unemployed without anyone being fired. Additionally, people switching jobs might also struggle to find new roles, contributing to the unemployment rate. So while no firings might keep it stable short-term, a hiring freeze can still slowly increase the unemployment rate over time.
Thank god for ChatGPT lol
@@GentleMikem hahaha good ol’ chatGPT. Yeah I guess adding new people to the workforce (like recent grads) would affect the unemployment rate.
I'm an employer. We lose employees through sickness or they leave because they think they can find another or better job, etc.
We haven't been replacing them. So our employee count goes down without layoffs.
Get it?
Looks like 2011 on the manufacturing graph Kevin posted, actually really bullish instead of the bearish talk. Just shows Powell has a good handle on the market
Manufacturing is literally in chaos mode right now and retail is well. Mass layoffs across north eastern manufacturing companies going on right now.
These freaking AWS bots are out in full force lately!
The market is like my buddy who is manic bi-polar etc, so I get Powell. If you say the wrong thing, it will just make things worse. Better to just play it easy and be friendly. The shit will hit the fan at some point, but it won't be at my house.
Kevin missing the bull run wishing for the market to drop 😂😂😂😂
that posted note on the elbow is a nice touch
FED advertises low inflation now but consumer is not yet ready pump economy because of accumulated inflation of past 4 years. Lagging sallaries didn't keep up with inflation.
Wonder what the Perkins Rule has to say about a -820,000 reading 😅 …who’s to say how it was distributed. Could have easily had a 1-month negative print.
Thanks for your work Kevin, all the best! ✌️
please cover uranium and nuclear power stocks
Does anyone listen to youtube at normal speed?? That sounds like torture. 1.5x is my norm for Kev. And what masochist listens all the way to the end where Elon lies to Kev about trying some advertising!
@@UltimateStaredown 1.5 for me too😅 funny to see others do the same. I do have to say, going faster over it you do tend to miss some details , it s a tad disengaging, but maybe that s just me
2x
The market is going to react to the inevitable recession early next year NOT this year
I listen until the first "flash sale" pitch, then turn off the video.
Always stoked on the videos Kevin. Could the ILA Union strike Oct 1st be the tipping point for a recession?
(I think we may be looking at a Black Swan Event.)
We will probably see 5 major ports shut down. Then perhaps all East Coast/Gulf Coast ports with their 45,000 members.
[A major cargo ship company has cancelled all scheduled exports for the East Coast.]
1 million containers flow into the East coast each month. We are looking at seeing up to half of all US imports being cut off.
(We will also see butterfly effects with the transnational cargo containers not leaving the ports... also, cattle will remain in feed lots.. which will reduce the feed they need and drive up feed prices..)
The Biden Administration has said that they will not intervene.
I would love to see Kevin go in depth on this issue. Much love! ^^
[Finished with all edits for this post: 8:18 pm EST.]
The Bulls still plugged up for more Charge in the EV sector. Polestar rising 12 %.. Lucid and FREY 3 %.. Vertical Aerospace.. Tesla.. Lillium Evtol Jets..Hyliion..all 2 %.. XOS Trucks.. Rivian.. NKLA Nikola the North American delivery/ production leader zero emissions Semi tractors and more. Thumbs Up video/ comments for improving our Air Quality globally.
And they Call me Flipper also... I feel ya Pain 😢 😅 😊 Lots of History, Data,Micro and Global Analysis
Personally, I dca into SPY and QQQ every month. Started in June 2012; continued through the peaks and troughs of the market. Guess what? Time in the market is better than trying to time the market. Avoid waiting for a "crash," over time it's immaterial.
Yeah, but why on earth has in not even pulled back. That's questionable.
I have to say Kevin I watch all your videos and I rarely ever comment but I want to say I respect your opinion more than anyone. Weather your right or wrong on things I know there is no one putting more work in to trying to be right!
oh crap ! I missed the today's coupon flash sale ... oh well I 'll wait for tomorrow's coupon flash sale expiration
These past few days have been exhausting... I'm waiting for any move to be made in either direction but crypto is trading horizontally.
Even Kevin’s bullish video is bearish
What if we are in a recession now and will be out of the recession in a few months?
On you chart it's down trending but the peaks and valleys in the graph are flattening (normalizing). If you look at stock charts a lot of the time the stock will start trending upward after the flattening. I'm a bull, but if you take into the previous years of the economy, don't you think it should down trend? Maybe a slowing ie soft landing?
I agree with the unemployment numbers rising in the next few months which is going to cause the market to become bearish 🐻. Thanks for the insight on these uncertain times!
Wages for the majority are way behind imo.
And now we have slowdown so wages aren’t likely to increase anytime soon.
So we will have snowball slowdown
Stock market and economy have nothing to do with each other. They do when people get unemployed and are forced to sell stocks. Generally speaking people are taught never to sell.
Thanks
PERMA-FLOPPER
I’m not thing about that is the will not let the market fall. Until we hit extreme greed, Feds did a great job spinning the news.
Kevin's video's are like the Jim Cramer indicator to me sometimes.
Free Smoke.
Why do people keep saying Kevin is flipping again? He’s simply sharing his insights on the markets and explaining why he believes there are still concerns about the future. He hasn’t changed his view at all.
When Kevin is worried, BUY! When Kevin is Hopeful, get ready to SELL! MADE SO MUCH MONEY THAT WAY!
jim cramer ll. how much they pay you to do inverse trap sentiments???
I like the way he presents his view, but the endless bragging, and the slimy commercial at the end makes me puke...
Why don't you make videos?
@@SmartestDumbGuydon't need to. I start businesses that provide real goods and services. This is just entertainment imo
Softlanding = fairytale
Feeling bullish, but I am asking myself, where did all the stimulus go? I think it was shoveled onto big companies who had to use it to hire way more people than they needed. The more they hired, the more free money they got. Thing is, they didn’t need those employees and they are not getting free money anymore….
Kevin did you just age several years or have you been dying your hair white? I see grays coming out.
Had consumer recession for two years..inverted Treasury is not always 100% buddy.... need to be flexible on that signal
* Tries to be bullish, still bearish :) * I mean he's not wrong.
undecided stock market, not economy. Who knows which way it will break out. North, South or just West (nowhere). Use stops and/or cheap option puts as a protection.
Need an inverse kevin/kramer etf.
I miss $SJIM.
Do these numbers carry the 818,000 negative revisions?
Bears don’t make money!
You short it
@@mikaryo1097 why
The fed wont cut rates until the wealthy start to feel pain, ie asset prices go down. In the mean time, the rest of us suffer. They are ok with that.
they already started cutting lol. do you mean QE?
Asset price will not decline because more debt and units of money will keep being added. The United States of America has a debt based economy, which is not a wealth based economy.
Thanks for the advice! Got AWS81T, feeling bullish! 🚀
The poor are suffering but stock market reaching all-time high. Do the math it's not that complicated
Let me guess... Kevin put a title on the video, now people are mad?
Bulls all day
We are not going to get good earnings. It’s not going to be terrible but it’s going to be little worse then a last one
Dont care what they say. See what they do. The bulls are buying 😂
All this talk about the Sahm Rule and unemployment means nothing at this point, especially in August and September. Folks are getting severance pay, they’re finding a part time job, they’re taking a summer vacation, etc. We’re one employment report away from a clear signal.
You think going from a career that pays severance to a part time job isn't a GDP shrinker?
Love that post-it on your elbow 😂
I love lamp.
Sometimes I find this.Gentleman too bearish for my taste.
However you try and explain the relationship between the shape of the yield curve and recession, it is so visibly and logically clear. I dont know how it is even remotely challenged. And the pattern says "we are very very close to a giant recession".
The arguments ive heard to explain away the yield curve as misleading are also pretty weak. History also clearly shows the same false arguments are said at this point in the business cycle. In any case, however much you can debate it, the yield curve doesnt go extremely negative and stay negative for a long time without a rap spike positive, and that means recession.
Market hit new high again after what you say was horrible bearish data.
This is Good!
Kevin posted this after people on the comments asked him for a bullish take… his video felt like a Trump response to a question to say a positive attribute from Kamala Harris
He is not a stock analyst. He is only a realtor. His sentiments are mixed. No direction or anything. Just stick with selling houses
I have stopped watching his Flipflops
*Story based on real-life workers struggle for survival.
I don’t even watch these back & fourth videos. Where Meet clueless rambling Kevin speak nonsense. I just come to the comments to see how bullish or bearish retail it and do the opposite. It works more than 60%
Meet "I NEED LOW RATES!!!! I NEED LOW RATES OR I'M GONNA FUCKIN DIE!!!!" Kevin
Evening all
Kevin, I think you need to treat any analysis using the Sahm rule with a grain of salt. The creator of the rule, Claudia Sahm, has warned against using this measurement in this situation.
2 quarters of negative GDP in 2022. The 2-year and 10-year US treasury yields recently uninverted. There has been more than one indicator, which shows our economy is in a recession. Gold was making an all-time high last Thursday, again on Friday, again on Monday, and today. The amount of fiat dollars in comparison to the supply of goods and services. This shows us that severe manipulation is occurring in the markets. Which, off set the appearance of what is taking place.
Pumpy Pump Every day, ATH EVERY DAY!!!!
All time highs😂😂😂
Im permabullish
enough videos for today kevin 😪😪
If he is bullish we might be in for the biggest market crash the universe has ever seen.
🙏
We are hiting all time highs tho.
NOT THE PAGER
I hope you are voting for Trump brother Kevin 🙏 and pray for Trump and his family too 🙏
Wild that so many of yall are so gullible for Trump. When all gets revealed many of yall will feel real stupid.
It's not about Trump.
I'm voting for trump but its actually a vote for a Republican president and any will do.
"Wild that so many of yall are so gullible for" Marxism.
Hey Kevin, is bull flippening the inverse to cow tipping???? Lmfao.
Yield Curve - .25 +
Stocks are going higher.
Bull flippening or bullsh!tting?
World manufacturing is already crushed. Rather, it'll go up and return to trend, not more bearish. Look at the slide payrolls you showed, it's consolidating and less volatile after the bearish trend you pointed out. Look at all these reports, everything is returning to trend and consolidating. There'll be a recession but because inflation is gonna super sticky and fed is gonna raise sooner than expected.
Worst is yet to come. North East U.S. plants are struggling to stay in business as we speak.
@@dreamofstuff9125 perhaps but it could more of a regional thing. Also this is a world where even 3 mile island is being restarted
Hey does Kevin sell the 18:03 shirt love it 😂
There’s a flash sale every in every video
So then this time maybe war(s) will occur before the BRRRRRRR credit creation and hyper-inflation.
Gold and Silver had a nice day today !
numerologists ... spot Gold at nearly 2666.