2024 CMR PORTFOLIO REVIEW: HOW DISCIPLINE EQUALED SUCCESS!
HTML-код
- Опубликовано: 12 янв 2025
- You can now join our premium RUclips membership where we share COT charts on Stocks, Crypto and member-only market recap videos.
/ @crowdedmarketreport
Learn more about Jason and the CMR Community at www.crowdedmar...
TradingView partner link to create an account www.tradingvie...
In this insightful and transparent video, Jason Shapiro, professional money manager with 30+ years of experience and contrarian trader, shares a detailed 2024 year-end review of CMR's trading performance and strategy. Learn how Jason evaluates his returns, manages drawdowns, and ensures his process remains valid in the ever-changing financial markets. With over 30 years of experience, Jason reveals his secrets to maintaining a return-to-drawdown ratio of 2-3x and achieving zero or negative correlation with broader market trends, offering unparalleled diversification for his clients.
Discover why discipline and risk management are critical to long-term success, even during challenging market phases. Jason also dives into how his unique approach-focusing on participation rather than price trends-helps him fade crowded trades while providing consistent value to his clients. Hear his thoughts on why most traders fail and how mental discipline separates the successful from the rest.
Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting, this review provides actionable insights into trading psychology, portfolio management, and building strategies that stand the test of time. Don’t miss this opportunity to refine your own trading process!
🔔 Subscribe for more expert market analysis and trading insights!
🌐 Visit CrowdedMarketReport.com for exclusive resources.
📩 Drop your questions in the comments below!
#tradingstrategy, #stockmarket, #contrariantrading, #markettrends, #riskmanagement, #trading #futures, #investmentstrategies, #financialmarkets, #economicanalysis, #marketvolatility, #nasdaq, #dowjones, #sp500, #crypto, #forex #bitcoin
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY
Disclaimer: CMR Publishing LLC is a content provider and publisher and is not a registered broker-dealer. By accessing Crowded Market Report websites and/or using Crowded Market Report products and services, including without limitation any and all content available on or through the Service and via any platform where CMR Publishing posts content, you understand and agree that the material provided in CMR Publishing LLC dba Crowded Market Report products and services is for informational and educational purposes only, and that no mention of a particular security in any Crowded Market Report product or service constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.
You can now join our premium RUclips membership where we share COT charts on Stocks, Crypto and member-only market recap videos.
ruclips.net/channel/UCP37ZqE3gN9Jxl2jtnvO8eAjoin
Learn more about Jason and the CMR Community at www.crowdedmarketreport.com and use code RUclips15 for 15% any of our memberships.
This is pro and real trader, showing record. Big thumbs up
Your honest assessments are a breath of fresh air.
That's too damn impressive man. Hats off !
The key to your long-run success is the discipline through risk controls enabling you to succeed through short term flat periods. Looks like the Pareto Principle (80/20) lives on! Valuable year-end review, thanks!
Thank you Jason for sharing! I am so glad I "found" you in 2024, going to apply everything I learned for FREE so far from your YT and X profile to become disciplined and consistent in 2025 . Cheers! (PS I am still on the UsdCad short position, not stopped out yet :p )
Very informative. Thank you for everything you do.
thats freaking AWESOME J!! glad to hear and see you continued to do well this year! well done. thank you for sharing with us
Incredible results, specially mind boggling considering the negative correlation
Great performance! Congratulations!
Nice Jason! Great year...
Love your transparency and trade process. Thanks for explaining the correlation with assets and markets. It has made me a better trader. I also started measuring my trades for more risk/reward. Unfortunately, it's hard these days, it's so volatile! Thanks again for the great videos!
So interesting, all about the discipline
Been waiting for this one. Nicely done.
Very useful insights. Thank ya sir! 🙏
Hello Mr. Jason. Just a quick question. When you mention 2-3 x draw down for a Risk Reward Ratio, are using Open Equity draw down or Closed Equity draw down? Thanks Much. Love the content !!
Very impressive, wel done.
Thank you. You are a Rock Star brother! Great year, celebrate and buy some leather pants! Super cool !
Thanks for the great review...congrats and thank you.
Thank you very much for sharing this
This Wizard pulls open the curtain himself. Balls.
You're the boss!
thanks again jason
grateful as always.. thanks dude
This is really impressive! Is it possible to share the excel spreadsheet without the stats? Thank you!
Legendary... 👌
congrats n thanx for sharing
Appreciate the transparency. How do you decide which futures contract to trade? Do you always just choose the front month and roll just before expiry?
Super Interesting stuff
Thanks!
Why are some stops recorded prior to entry dates and some same day?
@@acquisitionsmarketing usually the stop level date is sent based on the trade day since that is the day if news failure. On occasion, the trade is made after the news failure date but the news failure date is used to set stop level.
how does the old saying go...."the proof is in the fkn pudding". thank you sir
I like what you do. When you are looking at correlations, what is the time period/time frame you use to evaluate that?
Would love to see you break down one of these (like the $800,000 cotton short) in trading view replay!
Commander, My drawdown is 4.5% if I am to achieve 2x Drawdown that means 9% in the next 6mo. I need more troops!
I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my entire life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small investment, thank you Kimberly Ann Doran.
I'm surprised that you just mentioned and recommended Kimberly Doran, I met her at a conference in 2018 and we have been working together ever since.
The very first time we tried, we invested $2000 and after a week, we received $9500. That really helped us a lot to pay up our bills.
You trade with Kimberly Doran too? Wow that woman has been a blessing to me and my family.
I'm new at this, please how can I reach her?
I was skeptical at first till I decided to try. Its huge returns is awesome. I can't say much..
U r the best
Nice!
Legend!
Great work Jason. Can you post your monthly returns for those of us who'd love to see the returns on a portfolio composed of 50% CMR and 50% S&P?
42 trades in a year, i see some people on twitter take 42 trades in a month 😂
6:21 during these periods are you still checking the charts, how do you keep your sanity turning up every day and not having a set up.
I recently did a video on over trading and can't imagine that many trades in a month. As far as the slow months, interacting with people on Discord really helps and then writing the weekly report keeps me on track since I need to make sure I stick to the process.
Congr. master trader, good job . I'm also a full time trade in Malaysia. I use to manage 100M for company now on my own trading at home .Have been losing for pass 20+ years at the 90% group . Once i understand, i think I'm at the 10% group now.
Solid
Will these trades work for larger portfolios 20M +?
Jason manages $200m+
@user-fg5fs5ym6q Thank you
Wuz going down man ✌️
Wow that's some trippy results. Nice job man.
Jason thanks for this video is very helpful and congratulations on your great year! I'm very surprised by the fact that there's no trades on Cocoa and Coffee. Those commodities seems not correlated with index futures and i assume very crowded this year. Is there a reason for skipping those markets?
Cocoa neve set up as max crowded in 2024, so no trade. Coffee had one set up but it was tough to find news failure and then the positioning came off. So the reason they were left off is following the process, nothing else.
@crowdedmarketreport Thanks for the explanation and your time! Now is clear why no trades.
Thank you, Jason for the video, it’s very useful. Do I get it right that you place tights stops at around 1-1.5%, and from a position sizing perspective you invest close close the whole amount (around 100% of the funds) in most trades?
Risk for this video was 1% of portfolio so $10MM portfolio equals $100K risk per trade. Stops would be risking 1% based on how far the entry is from the stop, which provides the number of contracts to trade.
@@crowdedmarketreport. I assume you don’t trade individual stocks. But if you were to buy or sell a company stock would you reduce position size much lower or still go with full amount ?
@@kruby1165 I don’t trade individual stocks. As far as entry, would use same principles since your stop should tell when you are wrong so you exit if hit and then you should have a clear understanding of when you exit. Simpler is better IMO.
Thanks and all the best in your trading !
I used to be a member of the CMR. Never saw this excel sheet shared. Discord is not a really good way to share trades. The weekly report was useful, but not timely.
sounds like you used the service wrong. sorry for that
Keeping trading through adverse market moves is tough, but there is no avoiding it. Drawdowns are much easier to tolerate when you had a measurable runup leading to them.
tHnx jason
Thanks
THANK YOU VERY MUCH JASON !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Wouldn't it be better to go long the markets when there's no crowded trades to fade?
@@fkeopfkeop said another way, you stay in the trade with the trend as long as positioning is not crowded.
depends on what your goals are.
Were you pleased with the manner in which you allowed those 5 strong winners to run? Did market conditions facilitate allowing those to run, making it a case of patience/discipline, or were there periods of meaningful drawdowns in those 5 strong winners over their lifespans, requiring some bravery? Or a bit of both ?
Since such a small % of your winners accounted for such a large % of your net gain (approx 85%), can you please just say a few words (nothing specific) about your exit criteria (eg trailing stop, etc)?
I know you strive for at least a 3/1 PL ratio, but it would seem that these trades far exceeded that ratio (ie you didn’t simply exit at 3 x risk). Thank you for all this amazing content, and congrats on (another) great year.
I have no doubt that this is genuine, I believe Jason is a class, but it is only excel spread sheet, no real account reveal, real trades, real p&l, can't say it proves anything.
@@gannicus3809 so you missed the part where we post the trades every week on the report and in Discord? Been doing this for three years now.
@@crowdedmarketreport Is that behind the paywall or free?
This is trading for a living. Negative LT win% very hard to follow, strong R/R with positive expectancy over time, I think this strategy will be sustainable while limiting risk. Forget the levered arb HFs picking up pennies in front of a steam roller, they all eventually get crushed.
I feel you can make much more money with 0DTE with this win ratio and risk % but that's me :)
Congrats! I have a question though, are you not ever tempted to experiment and try out new things in order to reduce periods of flat PnL further, which incidentally would let you increase risk per trade over time as well? You don't seem to be thinking it's either realistic or worth it to try and go from say being a 20% a year trader to a 30-35% a year trader like the handful of known trading all time rockstars out there.
Hi Jason, thank you for your valuble videos, Could you please create a video about how you add to your winners? I have trouble to do that. for example what would be the general rules of thumbs to do that (base conditions needed ) everytime I do that I just higher my cost avarage with a not very good end. thank you again!
he does not add to his winners
I do not add to winners. For the most part, it is the same risk for each trade.
@@crowdedmarketreport Thank you very much Jason for your reply, I really thought that I heard you many times in your videos saying add to your winners (and cut losses), I always thought it had to do with position sizing. But I am sure that I have not understood your meaning well. I will try to listen more carefully!
So little risk doesn't sound very capital efficient. Imagine you'd have to pay 4% interest on that. Actually, you had 24% opportunity cost because you could have just bought an index future with 10% of your capital in addition to your uncorrelates trades.
Given your return distribution, I'd estimate your 1% possible max drawdown isn't higher than -20%.
I saw your Call on AUD Short around Oct & News Failure was Right on Top . And it Ripped A LOT Lower . I though you made atleast 5% on that Trade . Its 1.7% Actually . Any Thoughts on that Jason ? Was Stop Wide or Early Exit .
[ Not Mocking , Just wanna Learn ]
Either Way . The Portfolio looks Amazing . Job Nicely Done
Hello Jason , is there any email where to email you directly ?
can send to the webpage video
@@carlosquezada7594 crowdedmarketreport@gmail.com
Didn't you have $200M AUM ? I think I head it in a podcast you were invited