Why 2023 Will Be a HUGE Year For Aviation
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- Опубликовано: 14 май 2024
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Chapters:
Intro - 0:00
1. MAX 7 / 10 Split Certification - 0:57
2. 767F Replacement - 2:56
3. Final 747 Delivery - 3:38
4. A220-500 - 4:08
Masterworks - 5:48
5. A330NEO Freighter - 6:59
6. A321XLR Certification - 7:34
7. C919 International Orders - 8:34
8. Spirit / JetBlue DOJ Review 9:26
9. Coby Explanes Update - 10:17
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In late December of 2019, I published my worst video ever. It was entitled “what to expect from commercial aviation in 2020”, and it had the harmless goal of predicting what big events would unfold that year. Of course, COVID meant only a handful of those predictions came true and, thoroughly embarrassed, I chose not to repeat the exercise for 2021 or 2022.
But this year, I’m trying again. That’s because 2023 is shaping up to be a monumentally important year for commercial aviation. The decisions made and developments that unfold over the next 12 months will help define the industry for decades to come. So, what can we expect from commercial aviation in 2023? Let me explain…
#Boeing #Airbus #aviation #planespotting 
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Coby, you got this wrong. The safety features from EASA (and Canada) are a 3rd AoA sensor (which is in fact a piece of software called "synthetic airspeed" that instead of directly measuring AoA, it calculates the AoA from the lift equation based on other parameters such as speed, weight and load factor) and a switch to turn off spurious stickshaker warnings. These were originally requirements from EASA to lift the the ban on the MAX after the MCAS debacle. Boeing and EASA negotiated that Boeing would develop and certify these features with the MAX-10 and then retrofit them to all the MAX family. What EASA said now is that if Boeing cancelled the MAX-10 as a result of the EICAS (modern alerting system) requirement, EASA (and Canada) would still require Boeing to develop and certify the 3rd AoA sensor and retrofit it in the rest of the MAX family. The EICAS requirement is only a US Congress, and has nothing to do with EASA.
In addition, the law that the congress is passing now that will waive the EICAS requirement comes with strings attached: Boeing will be required to retrofit, and their own cost, all the US MAX fleet with the 3rd AoA sensor and the stickshaker cancel switch, within 3 years of the MAX 10 certification. Boing was planning to apply these new features to the newly built MAX 8 and 9 but retrofit only the existing 8 and 9 in Europe and Canada where that retrofit was required. Now they will need to retrofit the existing 8 and 9 in the US too, which is great.
That means that Boing doesn't need to do anything different to what it was already doing and had already planned to do to sell the MAX 10 and MAX 7 in Europe. The 3rd AoA sensor and stickshaker switch are developed and certified with the 10 and retrofitted in all new and existing MAX airplanes, and the enhances warning/alerting system is not required anywhere (as it was never required in Europe and now was waived in the US)
You did not include something VERY big.
A new special airline will be launched in 2023!
i wish you do video about egyptair plz
I really hope 2023 will be a good year for aviation than what happend to 2020 and I hope more airlines and planes to be introduced
Yea
Of course some new planes can be introduced!
Boeing 797: hey.
The a350f wil be introdused
In 2022 we got play airlines as a replacement for WOW airlines
Prob not bf-7 covid
Great to see you pursuing your channel full time!
We will give all the support we can give you coby. thanks for all the videos you make and I hope the best for your future!
Best news of 2022! Coby, can’t wait for your new endeavor! This channel was amazing before the shift, but will be even better in 2023!! Congrats and looking forward to supporting you in your goal to one of the best aviation content providers on RUclips!
Happy to see you going full time. You always have great info!
Woohoo! Congratulations Coby on taking the leap into doing full time what you're obviously passionate about, as the quality of your videos reflect! Looking fwd to a productive 2023 🌞
I love how you've grown right along with this channel!! Thanks for sharing your passion with us, and I hope you get as much out of this channel as we do!!
Good Luck Coby! Love the content and I will continue to support!
Congratulations! This is exciting news that you are spending more time with us ;)
Congrats Coby! keep up the good work we got your back
Got your back man. Lots of love. Keep it up
5:55 This has to be the smoothest ad placement ever! 👍🏾
Coby Explains nuff respect to all your Videos on Aviation and Travel keep going man and Dream Big on Aviation 100%
Congrats Coby, hope to see more next year!
Coby, I have loved watching your channel the past year. Best of luck in 2023.
Hope 2023 is gonna be awesome, and good luck man w leaving ur job, love the content, hope to see more of it !
All the Best to You Coby in 2023 and Beyond! ✈️
Hi Coby. I have been following your channel since the time you made your first few initial videos in which you covered the GE90 and GEnx engines. I literally jumped out of my seat when you said that you are going to be full-time working on this channel. I am thrilled to know this and looking forward to watch some quality analysis and content from you. Above and beyond mate.
All the best
Thanks for stickin around so long ◡̈
Great content, thanks for making this available!
Happy for you to go all in, that's the spirit!
Great to hear that they will be more video, I love what you do (except the video about Boom). I wish you the best of luck.
Loved this informative video and I'm looking forward to new content!
Happy to see the channel grow! See you at 500k
i can't wait for 2023 and also your new videos!
Wishing you good luck! This is my favorite aviation channel. You are great at explaining and have very interesting topics.
Thank you very much!
So excited you're going to work full-time on this channel!!!
Waw, I wish you all the best 💪🏾💪🏾 I'm looking forward to the Airbus content 🔥
Great Job ! I hope that will work! You're giving us great content
Good luck to you Coby! You’ll do great! 🛫
keep up the great work coby
great job man, I can support with my comments for now, but plan to become patreon soon, keep it up.
merry christmas coby!
You're awesome man I love following your aviation updates. You've come a long ways from your early days of speculating to now meeting with Airbus, etc.!
I'm a pilot and it's nice staying current on what's going on around the industry.
Happy holidays Coby!
Great content and great channel. I believe your forecast could be enriched by including recent and future aircraft orders such as United’s historical purchase of 100 787s
Thanks! I’m preparing for an interview with airbus and I think your insights will help me stand out!
just got here just got subscribed congrats great content
Just found your channel! You seem pretty cool. It's funny, because when you mentioned the anti-trust proceedings my Roosevelt loving heart got so excited
Congratulations on going out on your own!
Good luck coby 🙌
Looking forward to more content. Flew on my first Max 8 plane flying Southwest home from FLL to PHL and was nervous at first, but boy, those engines are quiet!
ur wild
What a great video. Looking forward to what next year has in store
Thanks ◡̈
Wow, good luck in 2023!
I will support you brother
Really happy to see you working in the channel more, I could recommend you to get a better microphone, is going to make a huge difference, can not be a patreon right now, but hope my advise makes good, improving the overall quality of the audio will make the videos way better
You are VERY optimistic
Good luck on the new job 😉
Legss goo we we'll get more Coby content baby woooooo
Excellent video, again
Hey Coby. Randy the cheapaudioman left his full time job to focus full time on his RUclips channel. He hasn't regretted his move. Go for it. Launch out into the deep. You've got a lot going for you. Go full time
Great decision going full time ! Crush it
dis man is amazing
Nice to hear you are coming back full time, looking forward to more frequent videos!
Good Luck Mate
Best of luck for doing this full time.
I wish you nothing but success that’s a big step and I hope that all the worries are gone by years end!
Thank you!!
@@cobyexplanes yea I was gonna ask is their anything in the new year for embrare and bomardire
Hey, I admire you decision to quit your regular job and go for what you really enjoy! I think that's the dream of every content creator, which you decided to turn into reality. Godspeed!
Thanks!
I'm excited to see how Comac comes up.
If you add some aerospace engineering issues and some scientific articles to previous issues you will succeed. Good luck man 🌷
Great video 👍 thanks for the fantastic content in 2022. Congratulations 🍾 on going full time with the channel. You already provide the best aviation videos on RUclips so we’re spoiled to have your full time investment. 🎄Merry Christmas and Happy New Year 🎉
Great videos Coby, best of luck for future videos. An observation - all of the content is very US centric. My recommendation is to take a more global view. Cheers.
Yup 2023 will be a New Game Changer for The Aviation Industry so anything can happen between now and Next Year but we shall see what happens next Awesome Video!!!!
Coby don't worry I am unemployed and wish I can support channel but from now on I won't skip aids anymore and Happy new year
Oh a new profile picture! It looks amazing!👏
Glad you think so!
That was an amazing video!
Glad you think so ◡̈
I hope so cos im halfway through my ATPL exams wanting to join BA or easyjet or any job tbh
Erm, EASA doesn't care for EICAS in the 737 MAX. It (and Transport Canada, actually) wants Boeing to install the stick shaker disconnect and third (synthetic) AoA input to the rest of the 737 MAX family (that Boeing is already developing for the 737-10), as agreed back when they returned the MAX8/9 to service in early 2021. And since the US Congress also mandated this, when they exempted the 737 MAX-7/10 from the EICAS requirement, everyone will have MAX jets with the same features.
A 737MAX without EICAS shouldn't be certified in the first place. But given -8 and -9 have already been certified sans EICAS, adding it to -7 and -10 would just add confusion.
The original exemption was set to just let -7 and -10 in, but not any other future aircraft.
Hope so as im finishing my atpl
they have already delivered their last 747 to Atlas Air, cargo version. Rolled out of the factory I think 3 or 4 weeks ago on a Tuesday
That’s not delivery. That was just final assembly. The plane still needs to conduct flight testing and other final touches before it’s delivered
@@forseti3811 okeh. some vid said that it was delivery lol thx for telling me
^what he said. Hoping I might be at that final delivery when it happens!
@@cobyexplanes I wish I could go too, but I don't have an open schedule planned :_(
Excellent analysis on the a220 500 and a320 Neo production conundrum
The 220 has its own production issues. It's still low volume production with a lot or orders. Struggling to ramp it up.
@@johniii8147 Well it's a problem of chicken and egg. 225 is part of the solution of the supply chain issues, but they can't proceed without cleaning up the supply chain. That's difficult for a giant like Airbus, and near to impossible for smaller companys like Bombardier
Coby love your channel. Being from South America would like to hear more about Embraer . Which I think makes from a passenger stand point of view good aircraft like the E 195 E2.
Right now there's not much happening at Embraer, which is why I haven't covered them much. But I'll have at least one Embraer video in 2023 don't worry ◡̈
@@cobyexplanes Thanks for your reply. I am positively surprised. Find turbo prop concepts that Embraer is working on interesting. Specially when they are using parts and engineering used on current planes. Idea similar to what Chrysler used on its K cars in the 1980´s. Merry Christmas!!!
Hey Cody, I'm an FA with a major US airline. Came across your video. I work with the innovations and customer service committee and wondering as a flyer what you would look forward to onboard? Not sure if you are doing much flying, but it could be great to get your feedback!
One of the big reason for 767's popularity is being able to fit in code D slots, which is common in courier hubs. In fact, it's the only jet in production capable to do so, after demise of MD11 and A300. Without this 767 simply cannot compete with newer jets like A330 and 787.
For Boeing 767MAX would maintain this divine advantage at the cost of investing in an obsolete platform. 787F, while should have the best in class efficiency and payload, would face fierce competition from the cheaper A330. NMA freighter should have perfect combination of efficiency and size for existing 767F operators, but unfortunately it's not available any time soon.
For Airbus though, that doesn't necessary mean 330NEO freighter - 330CEOs are being converted by their own EFW and 3rd parties like IAI, and received endorsements from Amazon, DHL and more. 333P2F has significantly more volume and more importantly, lower cost, than the failed 332F, and hopefully should have better prospect. They would probably accept with the status quo, until they feels pressures from either 787 or customer demands.
B787F sounds goooooooooooooooooooood
i want to fly it
I'm excited for you, another idea for you could be also posting your videos on nebula.
Don't you need to be invited to do that?
@@cobyexplanes I think so, but you should try to reach out to some people, and maybe also post videos a few days earlyer because they pay better.
*earlier
All the best for ur future eneavours coby.
Don't get down on yourself for your 2020 misses. Nobody could have predicted that mess. You still got a lot right and the misses were still reasonable predictions. You've done great with this channel, I'm glad you decided to give predictions another go for 2023.
You'll be fine! I would just advise you to already have some second longterm ideas because YT-success can be hard to predict. Good luck!
You know that there is Embraer too with very good products
Can you make a video about the A220 ,I always see videos talking only good things about the aircraft although I fly this aircraft and the PW engine is a big problem , a lot of issue,low cycles in my company we have 12 aircraft 2 only in operation due to engines and lack of other spare parts
From my experience working at an airport 2022 was about building back stability after Covid 2023 will be about building back to full pre Covid levels the aviation industry is growing at an unprecedented rate following THE worst season in the history of the industry on the tail of this if you are travelling over the next few years please be patient with airport workers I promise that we want the best but we are still facing staff shortages, stock shortages and full/overbooked throughput we are improving but it will take time to build back and have already done incredibly well with the struggles of the past few years
There’s quite a few airline channels, but none of them really dig into the financial side of them. I think you could dig into this.
Can’t wait to see a new jet
2022 We discovered The benefits of Super Jumbos and why their Successors are too small.
The final 747 was built earlier this month though to Atlas Airways.
✈️ I’m keeping my comment here to read next year. Hope for great things to happen for aviation in 2023! 🛩
Choo choo a full time RUclipsr!
Covid in China - Hold my beer.
This is pure gold lol
yike
Will be interesting to see what Boeing do. Personally I think they have to make it verified for everyone just to prove themselfs after what happened with the max already...
I was hoping for a Boeing 767XF with the exact same GENX-2B engines as the 747-8
I would love to see more a220’s
Perhaps Boeing will build a 767 neo, with re-engined b767-200 and a -300, with the new 200 being the proposed NMA
Boeing probably can't have dual safety standards because most airlines tend to either lease or sell their planes after a certain mileage mainly to low cost carriers a lot of which are overseas.
Could you drop a link where you got that A330 hoodie?
2023 would also be an unfortunate year for the FedEx MD-10’s (DC-10), as they’re due for retirement that year. I do hope at least one is saved for preservation, with N306FE being the most likely candidate IMO.
You forgot one: 777-8 rollout and first flight
That isn't happening anytime soon, especially with under 10 orders for it (not the freighter variant)
I know United has been trying to get rid of their 757/767s, but is delta doing the same thing or are they keeping the fleet longer?
This will be my last video i will watch for 2022, wonder what my last video I will watch in 2023 and happy new year!🎉🎉🎉
2020 was the year when I first became a flight attendant
2023 is the year when I do it again