1:09:07 For those Zeihanites like me who have memorized the standard "talk", the Q and A (which is always new and fun) begins at one hour nine minutes or so...
Zeihanite. has a ring to it. I like it and Thanks. Q&As tend to be more lively and informative. still remember the one where Kim il Sung allegedly slipped in the shower and fell on a couple of bullets.
kotkin is incredibly biased. he said the ukrainian war was the best thing that ever happened to us. to fund a proxy war at no human expense to USA.... they refused 3 different peace agreements where ukraine could have been independent but neutral there would have been no invasion at all if it wasn't for the USA and europe and ukraine are paying the price while it barely affects the states
Another great presentation by Peter! Even though his standard presentation is pretty rote I still manage to pick up something new every time. The Q&A was excellent.
Finally someone do knows alot can pretend to know everything and frame it in a way to make you think he's a centrist and not a schill for the liberal establishment
Wow!! We have a stand up comic who Thinks! And, can communicate in a manner that commands your attention. Don't we need more like that? Maybe in Washington DC??
I had a professor where we, the students, had to work up the data from a series of questions - the lecture would be his view of the data! His final words would be to write a paper to check him and provide our views. A unique class I will always remember on how to think!
If you are interested, Peter's audiobooks are a hoot. The latest one especially comes off a bit like stand up comedy...in a manner. Really entertaining and worth the coin, also generally available at libraries. Most libraries have digital offerings too, so check it out!
@@sidequestsally Yes, Peter's audio books are a great way to sample his thinking. Actually, he reminds me of that occasional college professor whose office hours were actually worth attending.
@@burneternallylol, very fair point. The angle he has regarding the Chinese balloon was one that I haven't heard ANYWHERE else. He's definitely in the same room as folks in the know that are, how shall we say, "op-ish" lol. If I'm his useful idiot, at least I'm being properly entertained at the same time.
Congratulations to Peter Zehian for his excellent presentation about embracing opportunities in a changing world. I agree with him Mexico and Canada are the best trading partners for the United States, considering the advantages of the trilateral trade agreement called T-MEC and because our economies complement each other basically, instead of competing!!!
Lol...us Canadians have a competitive economy to the US at high end skill. But we have such cheap oil that the US let's us sell everything else in exchange. But they don't view us as harmless.
Damn I feel so vindicated in this. Graduated early from college. Didn’t study overseas. Tried to keep my student loans as low as possible. And graduated right into the Great Recession 😭 And my dad just thought I was lazy for not finding a job right away.
I entered college 2005. 6 years later, after treading water, I changed to trade school in2011 and got a job in aerospace manufacturing. Now the boomers are retiring and there are no Gen x to run things here. Made leadman in 2021 and in 5 years I am going to aim for management. The price in all this was giving up on a family and dating. Not sure if it was worth it, to be honest.
Yeah, same here. Dating was put off to pay the loans & catch up career wise which really made it too late to start a family. Also not sure if it was worth it@@FuImaDragon
@@FuImaDragonI feel for you. Hopefully dating and family prospects are on your horizon, because nothing in the work world will make up for its absence. Good luck
Maybe because predictions are more of a challenge, but Peter never mentions the consequences of accelerating climate change, which may render all of his forecasts null and void.
I don't understand the decisiveness of this comment section... people blindly attacking and defending a man they have never met... i think he is a pretty smart dude
There are so many trolls. Since he is mostly pro US in his views, you can only conclude that the overseas propaganda click farms are the source for a lot of outright negative and trolling comments. The politically based comments? (Sigh). Probably US based.
If you haven't done it, subscribe to his newsletter on his website. Monday through Friday you'll get Peter on his morning walk talking for a few minutes about something that probably bears no relationship to yesterday's topic or tomorrow's topic. I've lived a long time and before Peter, I had never thought too much about how important geography is or demographics. Makes you look at things differently. A lot of his topics inspire me to learn more about whatever. And he's fun to listen to! Gotta like the guy. He's been asked if he has a photographic memory and he said not exactly, he just has a very good memory. Way better than mine!
Happened to me once. Noticed that his morning video was from a hotel just down the street. I frantically looked up his name and my city, found he had just started speaking, and slipped out of work for an hour.
I already checked and they aren’t public ahead of time and he only speaks at conferences and industry shows and govt training etc. such a shame bec just to hear him in person would be cool
He is represented by a speaker's bureau. So if you contact them they should be able to let you know when and where he's speaking at. The military talks are probably off limits, but the business conferences should mostly be available for tickets.
Futurists deal in multiple futures…scenarios. Peter is great, and I’m a fan, but he attempts to predict the future, so not really a futurist. He also makes the mistake of stacking assumptions. It makes for great narrative, but less than great analysis. So, he says: A is going to happen, B is going to happen and C is going to happen. When explains D, it seems obvious and he sounds like a genius, but in order for D to be right, A, B AND C have to be right. Being right about A, B or C is hard…really hard. Being right about A, B AND C…almost impossible. So, if you think of his predictions as an elaborate, plausible scenario…very useful. If you think of it as the inevitable result, you’re going to be very disappointed. It’s a house of cards.
Been listening to you for several years, particularly the China is collapsing pitch. What is incongruent is their naval build out and space exploration activities. Please address at some point.
One small correction regarding the (presumably) Soviet Navy. What Peter says about surface ships is true, but as far as submarines, which do not patrol the trade routes per se, the Soviet Navy was unparalleled in it's depth. Not literally depth as in how deep the submarines could go before reaching crush depth, but in numbers. Overall very well done presentation as always from Peter.
@@IloveDoubleD how about it being a figure of speech regarding the mental struggles that will come with everything zeihan is saying. Doesnt have to be noncorporial.
How about a topic on how America is going to deal with the incoming Capital Flight from other countries in the coming years, especially if DeGlobalization continues or picks up speed. How do we handle a flood of Capital?
How about a topic on how shipping goods by water, on the Ocean, is going to change over the next few years. If Globalization is going to fragment and fade away, will ships get smaller, bigger, less container ships, developing other type of ships, etc. This topic could be interesting.
Depending on the speed with which that occurs I wonder what the market would be for mercenary companies like the ones we employ for ground operations to begin manufacturing their own ships to protect whatever remains of the shipping industry.
You can check out the armed services materials on that topic. It depends on available infrastructure or potential for it. Trains require tracks. Trucks prefer good roads but its not a must although bad roads would mean either smaller loads or beefier trucks. Long distances are best served by trains. Huge loads with little fuel. It also depends on the location, output capacity and storage capabilities of structures involved in mining, refining, production and sales. If we could get our shit together we could essentially rebuild our infrastructure from ground up in a way that would allow higher efficiency, better quality and lower cost that was also practically sustainable in the long term environmental sense. When I mention sustainability I do not mean it like the Agenda 2030 people do either. I tend to think they suffer from narcissistic myopia. Their solutions are meant to sound good and make their believers feel good. They either neglect to inform them of the cost in suffering their solutions impose or try to write it off as a necessity for the sake of the future.
I have not heard his take on the Mexican Cartel issues. He did not have the time in this presentation to review that. Can anyone point me to a good RUclips video that covers that? Thanks.
Easy - just search on "Peter Zeihan mexican cartels". He's done a few videos on the cartels. I think one was a short series. Other than Peter, I've no clue, but I'm sure there must be a few.
@@mjpfl8131he widely wrong on the Mexican drug cartels. He mentions cocaine and that drug is nowhere near the dominant force it once was it’s all about heroine or opium based products that is effecting Americans.
Build! Baby! Build! is something I say as a counterpoint to "drill baby drill" from 12 years ago, and moving from oil to the true flex fuel: electricity. I guess it's even more of a megatrend than I thought, as in the theme of doubling our North American industrial production plant.
I listened to the whole thing. I'd call him a bullshitter that knows a little about everything and is just flat wrong about half of it. Glad some of you enjoyed it but I'm not impressed. 😂
He mentioned the rise of inflation in 2021 but what he did not discuss was the largest give away of funds in american history in 2019 that no one could really spend in 2020 until 2021. Clearly this would have had a much larger impact on inflation in 2021-2022 than just simply boomers spending and such.
RE: The balloon. Sounds like allowing the balloon to float was a good idea, assuming the only risk is allowing China to see closed hatches. I worry about the unknown intentions. (Can't get too preoccupied by Nukes and not see some other target :) )
If Russia decides that they have to use the nukes to get what they want, America could lose a couple of cities. Atlanta and Detroit don’t have any particular vulnerabilities; he just picked two cities to try to shock the audience about how serious this is.
I honestly can't think of any. The demographics can't be changed. The Chinese birthrate keeps declining. I follow China to the extent I'm able and reports out of China mention Xi stockpiling food and oil. Kindergartens are closing for lack of kids. Unemployment is up, but no one knows what the real number is. For the last year+, some of the China sources report vague comments in Xi's speeches about "preparing for hard times" and so on. He also tells the unemployed to go home to the rural areas many in the cities came from. No idea how many have done so. Xi is said to want to return to the "pure" ideology of Mao. That's horrifying. Mao is believed to have been responsible for more deaths - mostly of his own people - than either Stalin or Hitler. If this is the model Xi believes China should follow - OMG! One of the sources I like is "China Observer" on RUclips. The channel was founded by the Falun Gong, one of the religious sects badly persecuted by the CCP. Look them up on Wiki. Some call them a cult, but what matters to me is that they are anti-CCP Chinese. There are still a couple million or so members inside China. They're known to have some tech skills and a lot of their videos include videos they find on Chinese social media and send out past the firewall. Those anecdotal vids give a lot of insight into what's happening. Of course, there are also any number of academic experts and a lot of other RUclipsrs on China who specialize in the economy, military and so on. "China Observer" often gives me a starting point for further research. Peter's strong point is data. His weak point is under-estimating the ability of people to do something really good or really bad that might make no sense, but they do it anyway. What Xi might do is totally unpredictable. What is predictable is the fact that their society is aging and people aren't having babies (regardless of the modest incentives the govt. is offering). Will Xi set up some sort of program to force women to have babies? The govt. clamped down on "non-medical" abortions a couple years ago. New marriages are down. Young people talk about the "no's" - it was 4 "no's" and now it's 11 or something like that, but in essence it's "no love, no marriage, no children, no future". How depressing is that? Will China exist in 10 years? Define "exist". Will China be a world power? Very doubtful. As the number of workers decline as they age out, it becomes harder to keep the systems running. We've never seen this happen before, so 10 years is an educated guess. There will be Chinese people living in China. There may or may not be some version of the CCP. Just no clue. Look at Wiki - "Dynasties of China". You'll see some lasted a few hundred years and some only a few years. The pattern was breaking apart into separate kingdoms run by war lords and fighting each other until someone won and became the first emperor of the next dynasty. From what little I know of Chinese history, it seems that the period in between dynasties resulted in famine. If you take the men off the land to fight, makes sense. Japan figured out how to deal gracefully with their aging problem a few decades ago. They became experts in automation. They dealt with their labor problem by building car plants and so on in the countries that would buy the products and running those plants with local workers. Japan has managed to prolong their "not enough babies" problem for decades, but I don't see how China can follow their model. They industrialized so fast that it seems the crash will be just as fast. Check out "List of countries by total fertility rate" in Wiki. Demographics worldwide is not a happy subject. 2.1 babies per woman is replacement rate. When you look at those countries below that magic 2.1 number, you'll see the industrialized countries. When you look at the countries with really healthy birthrates, you'll see a lot of Africa and Muslim countries that aren't heavily industrialized - or just beginning to industrialize. I'm just beginning to learn about the link between industrialization and a sinking birthrate. Peter sums it up by saying that people on farms needed kids for free labor, but when they moved to the cities, kids were an expense and people had fewer of them. I spent an hour reading an academic paper the other day that essentially said just that, but took a few thousand words to do so. There are people everywhere searching for the cause of the worldwide sinking fertility problem. One of the causes some are looking at is micro-plastics, found everywhere. I hope that's not the cause, because how could a solution be found? The CDC has a page on micro-plastics. Anyway, sorry to go on so long. Blame it on Peter! He's the one that got me researching a few years ago! (Other than what I did at work before retiring, which was pretty boring stuff, to be honest!) The world is entering a scary time. I'm frankly glad I'm 80 - will crumbling societies like China and Russia collapse with a whimper or a nuclear shout? I'm terrified for my children and grandchildren - and everyone else's. We don't know how this will go. It's never happened before. China is only one of the countries in trouble, but they have nukes. Russia has a lot more nukes and an equally horrible birthrate. They have kidnapped a lot of Ukrainian children and women. Most of the children - or so I've read - have been sent to eastern Russia, too far away to be rescued. What's happening to the Ukrainian women I don't know. What is Putin capable of? Anyway, again I apologize. No clue if 10 years will be the timeline, but how can it not happen sooner or later? Here's another RUclipsr you might take a look at. "China Update". The guy is an Australian lawyer who speaks Mandarin and has spent a lot of time in China over the years. His videos aren't very polished, but his information is good.
@@frOODAloops The natural population deficit for China is, due to their large size, big enough that China would have to capture like half of all the immigration in the world every year. The best counter argument is probably just that lots of countries go through terrible periods with population collapse, famine, disease, economic paralysis, and most of those countries come out the other side.
Well, my guess would be McDill AFB in Tampa, FL - the home of Central Command. I live near Tampa, but have no clue what sort of air defenses they have. I'm assuming they have them, but it would only take one missile to get through and Russia has a LOT of missiles/bombs Happy thought and one I've had before a time or two. Living in the boonies somewhere would probably be a good move!
In China, if you live in the house, it looses value due to traditional attitudes. These are all empty because they are seen as a store of value, not as places to live.
you literally just described a bubble - it's only a store of value if you can convince some sucker to buy it. And then that person has to convince some other sucker to buy it.
@@GSicKz Yes, but it's an investment. Unfortunately for whoever bought it there are not enough future buyers... it's the mother of all housing bubbles...
He’s answered before. Essentially we need to expand legal immigration by orders of magnitude but understand it’s difficult culturally and politically with unions being an undecided voting block and anti immigration.
He doesn’t take into account the coming humanoid robot labor force. It will drive down the cost of labor (especially in the US). For the higher skill levels, AI will augment the best and many of the others will be challenged to keep up.
He grossly over-simplifies for talks. If you want the data and the reasons why, it's in the books. And there's a LOT of backup data on the world's birthrate problem.
@@JamesAganshave you ever wondered why you are lonely and it feels like no one loves you? Why people dont text or cal you first? It's because you are miserable to be around and you make the lives of your family and friends worse by being alive. Make your self better for their sake
Such a crazy divisive topic. I think the US accepts more legal immigrants than the rest of the world combined? The illegal immigration topic is crazy because it is so easy to get over... China has a tictok instruction/guide to do it easy as possible. It takes 1, only 1 bad person to f-up the entire system with ill intent that actually causes harm... we don't know the people that come through and is immediately released into the interior
@@baigandinel7956 Exactly why I wish Peter would elaborate. Here where I live I see help wanted signs. Yesterday I was at Home Depot and over the public announcement system the said what a nice place it is to work there and people could apply on line. At 89 do you think I have a chance?
Check out the List of countries by total fertility rate in Wiki. Most of those countries are still having plenty of babies. Would be nice if they'd stop killing each other off.
I would love to ask him the obvious demographics question about what happens 20 years after the Millenials' kids enter the workforce, because the time to adjust public policy to addrss that is _now_, more or less.
millenials arent the generation finding themselves lol. we just cant afford it, i dont know any millenial that can. finding oneself is a gen X thing. we cant afford to take long trips away from work to go live among hippies in belize or india. hippies are a gen X and bommer thing not millenials.
I would love if, while Zeihan talks about the different "generations", if he would qualify that he is only talking about white middle to upper-middle class people.
I’m curious about the number of white middle to upper middle class people there are in China, Japan, Korea, Mexico and Malaysia. Can you point to the source data he is using that supports your position?
Peter is merely repeating the same "Russia has nukes and will use them" speachs that PUTIN has said multiple times since the beginning of the Ukranine War. Some people think Putin is bluffing, Peter is taking him seriously. Putin hasn't bluffed in any of the past 17 wars during his time in office. (I think Peter has a point)
Yup. When I "found" Peter, he had a total short hair professional look. Then it started getting shaggy and shaggier and one day he commented he hadn't had long hair since he was a kid. No sign of a haircut in his future yet... lol
I think it's possibly true. Of the developed nations, we trade the least with the world, of those that we do trade, half is in nafta... (had to write a paper on this)
Mexico. Huge demographics and hard hard workers. The wall was always a dustraction to keep the other great game powers away from Americas little golden goose
While I respect Mr. Zehian's background (STRATFOR) and insights, the the tone of his presentation, the "man bun" and all the silly hats undermine the gravity of the subject matter. We'd take you more seriously, Peter, without them.
Has anybody ever noticed that Peter makes up like half the numbers he says and gets it wrong? He is a fact checking gold mine. "The oldest millennial is 45." Who believes that millennials begin to be born in 1979???
He acts like boomers leaving have left a huge gap in the labor market, absolutely insane.. every job on LinkedIn has hundreds or thousands of applicants. He completely misses the fact that everyone between gen z and boomers now has a college degree
He is talking about blue collar jobs, manufacturing, construction, etc. If China collapses, and Americans want stuff, then someone will have to build a factory. And then someone will have to produce the stuff. And since everyone younger than 60 went for a college, and Zoomers are the smallest generation ever, then there is clear mismatch between supply and demand. And what happens when demand for stuff remains, but from 10 workers 5 retire and are replaced by 2 new ones? Well, the price of those 7 workers left will go up. Since they don’t have competition. And therefore, stuff they produce will be more expensive. Hence inflation.
Which means those pieces of paper that many were directed towards, if not out right indoctrinated in high school to get, are less than worthless because they usually have a boat anchor of debt attached to them. A college degree has become so common that jobs that have no right to require a college degree are now highly suggesting or requiring them. There's such a glut of degreed workers now that they're actively suppressing wages and taking jobs that people who don't have degrees subsist on. And that's not getting into the ludicrous 3-5+ years of experience being required for an entry level job.
This is a horrible take. A college degree doesn’t mean one has the skills to do any or even most jobs. Especially trades which require experience. Boomers were skilled at trades. Something most younger people avoided. Just like Gen Z focuses too much on tech.
Remember last year when Peter predicted that because of Ukraine thing, cost of food and fertilizer would increase hundreds of percent...and millions would start starving by now? LOL Yeaaaahhhh....NO.
The Black Sea Deal staved off the worst of the fertiliser shortage but the increased costs of grain that peaked in 2022 still created unrest in North Africa, particularly emboldening the Houthi Rebels of Yemen.
1. Peter mentioned in his update that last year had good weather and good harvest 2. Black Sea deal delayed the worst of the worst, but even then agricultural players are stocking up fertilizers and grain (e.g. India) 3. Peter makes things dramatic but even when hes right the reality will play it out as boring as possible. Take a guess why there has been an uptick in the number of coups in Africa last year
Okay, I can see how you could say that based on his conclusions. However, the fact that the Human birth rate is declining in almost every place on Earth is true. I see this as a GOOD thing. He admits to generalizing with his hour presentations, but this is RUclips the home of short attention span videos and info-entertainment.
@@tomchristianson858a declining birth rate means less humans. Less humans mean less progress and less technological advancements in fields like engineering and medicine. The entire human race benefits from those types of discoveries and advancements. If we don't keep growing, we all will die.
I am a retired engineer (boomer). Agree that the rate of change will slow down. That does NOT mean we won't be okay. We currently have over 8 billion people on the planet. the planet had 2 Billion in 1927. It had 2.6 billion when I was born in 1951. In 2127 the earth will probably be around 4 billion people. That is still over one billion people than was alive when I was born. We will be fine @@polyticks04
@@MrGunlover12 oh I don't. Thanks for the expert advice. I suppose you hang on every word, good luck with that. Also maybe get an IQ test sometime. Seems your on the end of the curve that he casters to,-)
You sound like you’re projecting. Both on the commenter and the presenter. If you don’t like or agree with the info being presented, then state why & move on. Getting so worked up & insulting others says more about your character or at least your maturity level.
Lol what a trash comment coming from trash commenter. Nothing of value given in any of the comments you've posted so far, other than pushing the engagement algorithm for Zeihan.
Penis zehan is a dip shit. Likes to talk alot about things he cant predict or control. Just says stuff sites some recent history and hopes the intelligence curve of the general public works to his favor,-)
What a peculiar waste of your time. Working so hard to attempt to discredit someone who is doing his best to give a heads up to others concerning a few things he's discovered over the last decade. If you can't identify the value in the information and analysis presented, move on. Your rubbish criticism is influencing no one......
Yeah man, so glad all of these trade groups also agree with you about Zeihan. I love how he is invited to talk to so many different trade groups about his inaccurate information. Can't wait to hear your analysis "leadbreastplate7496"! I'm sure I'll learn a lot from you!
If you read his books (thick and full of data) and then fact-checked and did your own research, you'd most likely reach some similar conclusions. Geography and demography are the root causes of a lot of problems we're dealing with now and in the future and there's not a whole lot we can do about either of those. He over-simplifies on this sort of speech. People have asked him "What keeps you up at night?" and the answer is always "Famine". We'll all find out if he's right or wrong, or if he's right, but it doesn't happen when expected, but if he's a dip shit (to quote you), he's a dip shit who CARES.
1:09:07 For those Zeihanites like me who have memorized the standard "talk", the Q and A (which is always new and fun) begins at one hour nine minutes or so...
From one Zeihanite to another, thank you sir.
Nah Zeihanists
Zeihanite. has a ring to it. I like it and Thanks. Q&As tend to be more lively and informative. still remember the one where Kim il Sung allegedly slipped in the shower and fell on a couple of bullets.
Dude! Thanks
I still like listening to it even though ive heard it a bunch
This guy and Stephen Khotkin are two of the best speakers on Stalin and the history of communism. Great lecture!
kotkin is incredibly biased. he said the ukrainian war was the best thing that ever happened to us.
to fund a proxy war at no human expense to USA.... they refused 3 different peace agreements where ukraine could have been independent but neutral
there would have been no invasion at all if it wasn't for the USA
and europe and ukraine are paying the price while it barely affects the states
Another great presentation by Peter! Even though his standard presentation is pretty rote I still manage to pick up something new every time. The Q&A was excellent.
Thank you for opening this up to the public!
I just LOVE this guy....
His willingness to share his insight and knowledge is exhilarating. 😊😊❤
finally the world has someone who knows everything
Finally someone do knows alot can pretend to know everything and frame it in a way to make you think he's a centrist and not a schill for the liberal establishment
😄
Peter for President. I pick up 2-3 new things every time I listen to him.
Wow!! We have a stand up comic who Thinks! And, can communicate in a manner that commands your attention. Don't we need more like that? Maybe in Washington DC??
I had a professor where we, the students, had to work up the data from a series of questions - the lecture would be his view of the data! His final words would be to write a paper to check him and provide our views. A unique class I will always remember on how to think!
It is a great piece of FREE knowledge.
If you are interested, Peter's audiobooks are a hoot. The latest one especially comes off a bit like stand up comedy...in a manner. Really entertaining and worth the coin, also generally available at libraries. Most libraries have digital offerings too, so check it out!
@@sidequestsally Yes, Peter's audio books are a great way to sample his thinking. Actually, he reminds me of that occasional college professor whose office hours were actually worth attending.
He is either the best source of free geopolitical advice or one hell of a psyop. Either way, he is endlessly entertaining to watch.
@@burneternallylol, very fair point. The angle he has regarding the Chinese balloon was one that I haven't heard ANYWHERE else. He's definitely in the same room as folks in the know that are, how shall we say, "op-ish" lol. If I'm his useful idiot, at least I'm being properly entertained at the same time.
@@Indrid__Coldif you haven't yet, sign up for his daily vids on his website. Good fun.
Congratulations to Peter Zehian for his excellent presentation about embracing opportunities in a changing world. I agree with him Mexico and Canada are the best trading partners for the United States, considering the advantages of the trilateral trade agreement called T-MEC and because our economies complement each other basically, instead of competing!!!
There is no competition between them. Not really. What, fishing rights?
Lol...us Canadians have a competitive economy to the US at high end skill. But we have such cheap oil that the US let's us sell everything else in exchange. But they don't view us as harmless.
hell yeah!
Peter Zeihan rules!!!!!!
:-)
Thank you for supporting Ukraine 🙏💛💙
Glad to see peters jokes finally get some laughs
Whatever you think about Peter and his stance on the world, his message has stayed very consistent. Time will ultimately tell...
Damn I feel so vindicated in this. Graduated early from college. Didn’t study overseas. Tried to keep my student loans as low as possible. And graduated right into the Great Recession 😭 And my dad just thought I was lazy for not finding a job right away.
I entered college 2005. 6 years later, after treading water, I changed to trade school in2011 and got a job in aerospace manufacturing. Now the boomers are retiring and there are no Gen x to run things here. Made leadman in 2021 and in 5 years I am going to aim for management. The price in all this was giving up on a family and dating. Not sure if it was worth it, to be honest.
Yeah, same here. Dating was put off to pay the loans & catch up career wise which really made it too late to start a family. Also not sure if it was worth it@@FuImaDragon
Yup me too!
@@FuImaDragonI feel for you. Hopefully dating and family prospects are on your horizon, because nothing in the work world will make up for its absence. Good luck
Really great informative content
Maybe because predictions are more of a challenge, but Peter never mentions the consequences of accelerating climate change, which may render all of his forecasts null and void.
Fascinating
Great guest
I don't understand the decisiveness of this comment section... people blindly attacking and defending a man they have never met... i think he is a pretty smart dude
I'd love to see him on a debate stage. A presidential debate.
There are so many trolls. Since he is mostly pro US in his views, you can only conclude that the overseas propaganda click farms are the source for a lot of outright negative and trolling comments. The politically based comments? (Sigh). Probably US based.
If you haven't done it, subscribe to his newsletter on his website. Monday through Friday you'll get Peter on his morning walk talking for a few minutes about something that probably bears no relationship to yesterday's topic or tomorrow's topic. I've lived a long time and before Peter, I had never thought too much about how important geography is or demographics. Makes you look at things differently. A lot of his topics inspire me to learn more about whatever. And he's fun to listen to! Gotta like the guy. He's been asked if he has a photographic memory and he said not exactly, he just has a very good memory. Way better than mine!
How can I know the events Peter will be at beforehand? I want to see this man speak IRL
Happened to me once. Noticed that his morning video was from a hotel just down the street. I frantically looked up his name and my city, found he had just started speaking, and slipped out of work for an hour.
I already checked and they aren’t public ahead of time and he only speaks at conferences and industry shows and govt training etc. such a shame bec just to hear him in person would be cool
He is represented by a speaker's bureau. So if you contact them they should be able to let you know when and where he's speaking at.
The military talks are probably off limits, but the business conferences should mostly be available for tickets.
Zeihan is good to understand the NeoCon/NeoLib/establishment point of view.
I’m pretty sure his talks are heavily influenced by who is paying him the most for private consultations.
@@aaronlohr8477 that would be called the establishment.
@@mobilecivilian6124 that’s a less articulate way to say it.
I have heard that part of the consulting business is to tell the client what they want to hear. Plus, everyone has their own bias.
He's good for a realist perspective through an establishment lens. Guy's an expert but cause you disagree with him you try slandering him, sad
Best futurist since Alvin Toffler.
Futurists deal in multiple futures…scenarios. Peter is great, and I’m a fan, but he attempts to predict the future, so not really a futurist.
He also makes the mistake of stacking assumptions. It makes for great narrative, but less than great analysis. So, he says: A is going to happen, B is going to happen and C is going to happen. When explains D, it seems obvious and he sounds like a genius, but in order for D to be right, A, B AND C have to be right. Being right about A, B or C is hard…really hard. Being right about A, B AND C…almost impossible.
So, if you think of his predictions as an elaborate, plausible scenario…very useful. If you think of it as the inevitable result, you’re going to be very disappointed. It’s a house of cards.
Oh this one has the juice people have been looking for. Investments.
Been listening to you for several years, particularly the China is collapsing pitch. What is incongruent is their naval build out and space exploration activities. Please address at some point.
Easy he can't just BS
One small correction regarding the (presumably) Soviet Navy. What Peter says about surface ships is true, but as far as submarines, which do not patrol the trade routes per se, the Soviet Navy was unparalleled in it's depth. Not literally depth as in how deep the submarines could go before reaching crush depth, but in numbers. Overall very well done presentation as always from Peter.
These are the times that try mens souls
What is a soul and what is it comprised of? I think its a bit like a unicorn. Doesn't exist.
@@IloveDoubleD how about it being a figure of speech regarding the mental struggles that will come with everything zeihan is saying. Doesnt have to be noncorporial.
Not yet they ain't.
According to Peter, all of history was like except for the age of the baby boomers was the only time when men’s souls weren’t being tried.
I was born for this.
Peter, At ~5:08, talking about income, you say, "renumeration". You mean remuneration.
LOL I now can’t I hear that. He is usually more practiced.
How about a topic on how America is going to deal with the incoming Capital Flight from other countries in the coming years, especially if DeGlobalization continues or picks up speed. How do we handle a flood of Capital?
We live in interesting times...
Poor bastards!
Fun stuff 😁
Tibet will be a free country within next decade.
The highest end chips are made in the US, they are just not doing mass production here except a few small FAB's.
They are designed here, but are largly fabbed in Taiwan.
How about a topic on how shipping goods by water, on the Ocean, is going to change over the next few years. If Globalization is going to fragment and fade away, will ships get smaller, bigger, less container ships, developing other type of ships, etc. This topic could be interesting.
Depending on the speed with which that occurs I wonder what the market would be for mercenary companies like the ones we employ for ground operations to begin manufacturing their own ships to protect whatever remains of the shipping industry.
This guy should go for pres!
How about a Topic on comparing transporting goods by Truck vs Trains.
You can check out the armed services materials on that topic.
It depends on available infrastructure or potential for it.
Trains require tracks. Trucks prefer good roads but its not a must although bad roads would mean either smaller loads or beefier trucks.
Long distances are best served by trains. Huge loads with little fuel.
It also depends on the location, output capacity and storage capabilities of structures involved in mining, refining, production and sales.
If we could get our shit together we could essentially rebuild our infrastructure from ground up in a way that would allow higher efficiency, better quality and lower cost that was also practically sustainable in the long term environmental sense. When I mention sustainability I do not mean it like the Agenda 2030 people do either. I tend to think they suffer from narcissistic myopia. Their solutions are meant to sound good and make their believers feel good. They either neglect to inform them of the cost in suffering their solutions impose or try to write it off as a necessity for the sake of the future.
Good work TJ
PZ is so funny sometimes, he should take his leading global macro strategy comedy routine to Kill Tony.
I would love to see what they would say about him
Why would he go down to their level? lol
I have not heard his take on the Mexican Cartel issues. He did not have the time in this presentation to review that. Can anyone point me to a good RUclips video that covers that? Thanks.
Easy - just search on "Peter Zeihan mexican cartels". He's done a few videos on the cartels. I think one was a short series. Other than Peter, I've no clue, but I'm sure there must be a few.
@@mjpfl8131he widely wrong on the Mexican drug cartels. He mentions cocaine and that drug is nowhere near the dominant force it once was it’s all about heroine or opium based products that is effecting Americans.
Entertainment to be taken with a grain of salt.
Build! Baby! Build!
is something I say as a counterpoint to "drill baby drill" from 12 years ago, and moving from oil to the true flex fuel: electricity. I guess it's even more of a megatrend than I thought, as in the theme of doubling our North American industrial production plant.
Does anyone have a source on the anecdote about Biden telling Xi about the bejing blackouts? Thanks
lol same! biden is sunsetting walking into walls deficating his pants
@@Racontactruclips.net/video/N60ceYRlY2I/видео.htmlfeature=shared
There are transcripts of all those calls or so I've heard. However, I have no proof of the source. Peter has a pretty good research team.
I listened to the whole thing. I'd call him a bullshitter that knows a little about everything and is just flat wrong about half of it. Glad some of you enjoyed it but I'm not impressed. 😂
In India you had to friend of PM before 2014 regimes...those who have failed to keep up with India post 2014, you've lot to learn!
The bailouts were in 2008-9, so he was talking about the pre-2014 situation.
1:04:33 - "...and we ar not swedish, so going naked was not an option..." 🤣🤣🤣
Well I am swedish and I love going around naked.
Not walking around naked outside this time of year, except my friend who bathes in a hole in the ice. Brrrrr 🥶
He mentioned the rise of inflation in 2021 but what he did not discuss was the largest give away of funds in american history in 2019 that no one could really spend in 2020 until 2021. Clearly this would have had a much larger impact on inflation in 2021-2022 than just simply boomers spending and such.
Otherwise and a few other assumptions he had, I really enjoyed his perspective and experiences.
Oh my. The questioner who asked about us Grave Dancers and China asked the question I would have asked.
The possibility that I have lived through the height of the American Empire has occurred to me.
RE: The balloon. Sounds like allowing the balloon to float was a good idea, assuming the only risk is allowing China to see closed hatches. I worry about the unknown intentions. (Can't get too preoccupied by Nukes and not see some other target :) )
I dint undertsnd the loosing Atlanta annd Detroit refence, can anyone explain?
If Russia decides that they have to use the nukes to get what they want, America could lose a couple of cities.
Atlanta and Detroit don’t have any particular vulnerabilities; he just picked two cities to try to shock the audience about how serious this is.
What are good counter-arguments to his "China will not exist in 10 years" argument?
I honestly can't think of any. The demographics can't be changed. The Chinese birthrate keeps declining. I follow China to the extent I'm able and reports out of China mention Xi stockpiling food and oil. Kindergartens are closing for lack of kids. Unemployment is up, but no one knows what the real number is. For the last year+, some of the China sources report vague comments in Xi's speeches about "preparing for hard times" and so on. He also tells the unemployed to go home to the rural areas many in the cities came from. No idea how many have done so. Xi is said to want to return to the "pure" ideology of Mao. That's horrifying. Mao is believed to have been responsible for more deaths - mostly of his own people - than either Stalin or Hitler. If this is the model Xi believes China should follow - OMG!
One of the sources I like is "China Observer" on RUclips. The channel was founded by the Falun Gong, one of the religious sects badly persecuted by the CCP. Look them up on Wiki. Some call them a cult, but what matters to me is that they are anti-CCP Chinese. There are still a couple million or so members inside China. They're known to have some tech skills and a lot of their videos include videos they find on Chinese social media and send out past the firewall. Those anecdotal vids give a lot of insight into what's happening. Of course, there are also any number of academic experts and a lot of other RUclipsrs on China who specialize in the economy, military and so on. "China Observer" often gives me a starting point for further research.
Peter's strong point is data. His weak point is under-estimating the ability of people to do something really good or really bad that might make no sense, but they do it anyway. What Xi might do is totally unpredictable. What is predictable is the fact that their society is aging and people aren't having babies (regardless of the modest incentives the govt. is offering). Will Xi set up some sort of program to force women to have babies? The govt. clamped down on "non-medical" abortions a couple years ago.
New marriages are down.
Young people talk about the "no's" - it was 4 "no's" and now it's 11 or something like that, but in essence it's "no love, no marriage, no children, no future". How depressing is that?
Will China exist in 10 years? Define "exist". Will China be a world power? Very doubtful. As the number of workers decline as they age out, it becomes harder to keep the systems running. We've never seen this happen before, so 10 years is an educated guess.
There will be Chinese people living in China. There may or may not be some version of the CCP. Just no clue.
Look at Wiki - "Dynasties of China". You'll see some lasted a few hundred years and some only a few years. The pattern was breaking apart into separate kingdoms run by war lords and fighting each other until someone won and became the first emperor of the next dynasty. From what little I know of Chinese history, it seems that the period in between dynasties resulted in famine. If you take the men off the land to fight, makes sense.
Japan figured out how to deal gracefully with their aging problem a few decades ago. They became experts in automation. They dealt with their labor problem by building car plants and so on in the countries that would buy the products and running those plants with local workers. Japan has managed to prolong their "not enough babies" problem for decades, but I don't see how China can follow their model. They industrialized so fast that it seems the crash will be just as fast.
Check out "List of countries by total fertility rate" in Wiki. Demographics worldwide is not a happy subject. 2.1 babies per woman is replacement rate. When you look at those countries below that magic 2.1 number, you'll see the industrialized countries. When you look at the countries with really healthy birthrates, you'll see a lot of Africa and Muslim countries that aren't heavily industrialized - or just beginning to industrialize.
I'm just beginning to learn about the link between industrialization and a sinking birthrate. Peter sums it up by saying that people on farms needed kids for free labor, but when they moved to the cities, kids were an expense and people had fewer of them. I spent an hour reading an academic paper the other day that essentially said just that, but took a few thousand words to do so.
There are people everywhere searching for the cause of the worldwide sinking fertility problem. One of the causes some are looking at is micro-plastics, found everywhere. I hope that's not the cause, because how could a solution be found? The CDC has a page on micro-plastics.
Anyway, sorry to go on so long. Blame it on Peter! He's the one that got me researching a few years ago! (Other than what I did at work before retiring, which was pretty boring stuff, to be honest!)
The world is entering a scary time. I'm frankly glad I'm 80 - will crumbling societies like China and Russia collapse with a whimper or a nuclear shout? I'm terrified for my children and grandchildren - and everyone else's.
We don't know how this will go. It's never happened before. China is only one of the countries in trouble, but they have nukes. Russia has a lot more nukes and an equally horrible birthrate. They have kidnapped a lot of Ukrainian children and women. Most of the children - or so I've read - have been sent to eastern Russia, too far away to be rescued. What's happening to the Ukrainian women I don't know. What is Putin capable of?
Anyway, again I apologize. No clue if 10 years will be the timeline, but how can it not happen sooner or later?
Here's another RUclipsr you might take a look at. "China Update". The guy is an Australian lawyer who speaks Mandarin and has spent a lot of time in China over the years. His videos aren't very polished, but his information is good.
Its demographics. Not too easy to come up with a counter argument. Kids don't pop out of thin air.
@@VancouverInvestor Americans seem to be doing just that with immigration though.
@@frOODAloops The natural population deficit for China is, due to their large size, big enough that China would have to capture like half of all the immigration in the world every year.
The best counter argument is probably just that lots of countries go through terrible periods with population collapse, famine, disease, economic paralysis, and most of those countries come out the other side.
Shout to the guy who asked “Why Atlanta and Detroit?” Great question. Where will the first nuke in America land? Is it Detroit -110?
Well, my guess would be McDill AFB in Tampa, FL - the home of Central Command. I live near Tampa, but have no clue what sort of air defenses they have. I'm assuming they have them, but it would only take one missile to get through and Russia has a LOT of missiles/bombs Happy thought and one I've had before a time or two. Living in the boonies somewhere would probably be a good move!
@@mjpfl8131*northern command, but you’re on the money
Hey Peter! How’s that Bitcoin prediction going?
In China, if you live in the house, it looses value due to traditional attitudes. These are all empty because they are seen as a store of value, not as places to live.
Why does it lose value if you live in there?
you literally just described a bubble - it's only a store of value if you can convince some sucker to buy it. And then that person has to convince some other sucker to buy it.
@@GSicKz Superstition, don't want to buy a home someone else has already lived in.
@@zapfanzapfan that's crazy and unsustainable
@@GSicKz Yes, but it's an investment. Unfortunately for whoever bought it there are not enough future buyers... it's the mother of all housing bubbles...
What are your thoughts on Illegal immigration in US
He’s answered before. Essentially we need to expand legal immigration by orders of magnitude but understand it’s difficult culturally and politically with unions being an undecided voting block and anti immigration.
27:23 What is ABS?
Asset backed securities
@@PullHardSkiFast thanks
CHINA- GOT- DRAMA!
He doesn’t take into account the coming humanoid robot labor force. It will drive down the cost of labor (especially in the US). For the higher skill levels, AI will augment the best and many of the others will be challenged to keep up.
I watched a silent movie of an automobile assembly line and there were no humans!
That last question was really, “What’s the biggest lie?”
According to this I'm a zoomer despite being born in 85.
This guy is genius! None of what he is saying is correct yet he is so confident!😅
He grossly over-simplifies for talks. If you want the data and the reasons why, it's in the books. And there's a LOT of backup data on the world's birthrate problem.
I would argue one thing. Millinials aren't having kids. I have about 25 first cousins whoare millennials. Im the only one with a kid I'm almost 40.
I agree with your statement. But maybe millennial size will equate to a slight bulge for the next generation? I agree with you though
OK they are having kids at a rate greater than 4 percent though.
Immigrants are having kids to make up the numbers
Were your parents and their siblings rabbits?
@@JamesAganshave you ever wondered why you are lonely and it feels like no one loves you? Why people dont text or cal you first? It's because you are miserable to be around and you make the lives of your family and friends worse by being alive. Make your self better for their sake
32:30 overbuilt housing
Math doesn't care about your politics! If he is the king hippy neocon. Count me into the tribe.
Good news about chyna
22:45 Ppl aren't having kids now. Period.
So it's true! What's true? We need the illegal immigrants.
Yes, we need immigrants who come here LEGALLY.
Such a crazy divisive topic. I think the US accepts more legal immigrants than the rest of the world combined? The illegal immigration topic is crazy because it is so easy to get over... China has a tictok instruction/guide to do it easy as possible. It takes 1, only 1 bad person to f-up the entire system with ill intent that actually causes harm... we don't know the people that come through and is immediately released into the interior
How would that help with a SKILLS shortage? I think he means people with serious skills acquired through years of experience, not warm bodies.
@@baigandinel7956 Exactly why I wish Peter would elaborate. Here where I live I see help wanted signs. Yesterday I was at Home Depot and over the public announcement system the said what a nice place it is to work there and people could apply on line. At 89 do you think I have a chance?
To the Gen Xers 17:18
First
George H Bush triwd to save the USSR very hard
AFRICA WHAT ABOUT ALL THE PEOPLE IN NIGERIA WHAT IS GOING ON WITH THAT
Nigeria should be OK. Angola and South Africa too. The rest? Everybody probably going to starve.
Check out the List of countries by total fertility rate in Wiki. Most of those countries are still having plenty of babies. Would be nice if they'd stop killing each other off.
1) Stop shouting, type like a normal person
2) Africa doesn’t matter
My family. Me, boomer, wife, gen X, child Gen Z. Gonna get interesting.
I would love to ask him the obvious demographics question about what happens 20 years after the Millenials' kids enter the workforce, because the time to adjust public policy to addrss that is _now_, more or less.
millenials arent the generation finding themselves lol. we just cant afford it, i dont know any millenial that can. finding oneself is a gen X thing. we cant afford to take long trips away from work to go live among hippies in belize or india. hippies are a gen X and bommer thing not millenials.
facts. Millenials were the first to integrate with internet, we didnt need identity crisis.
I know of some who studied overseas or switched their major 3-5 times. Most likely it was their parents paying for it.
I can second this point, I can barely afford my car and a one bedroom apartment with 23 an hour, and I don't have college debt to drag me down either.
Gen X are not hippies. That is a Boomer thing. We would not be caught dead doing hippie things.
Osage
Anyone have hope that Gen Y and Z maybe have a better relationship than Boomers and Gen X?
I would love if, while Zeihan talks about the different "generations", if he would qualify that he is only talking about white middle to upper-middle class people.
I’m curious about the number of white middle to upper middle class people there are in China, Japan, Korea, Mexico and Malaysia. Can you point to the source data he is using that supports your position?
Dear god. What ghetto and inner city would you prefer he focus his research on, and tailor his discussions to?
Why does no one make videos like this directed toward millenials.
CIA mouthpiece
say it louder for the people in the back of the room to hear!
A lot of this is truly Unbelievable propaganda
Idk man millennials graduated into the GFC. Later millennials went through a lot of shit
I love how Peter is able to piggyback his RUSSIAN NUCLEAR WAR!!! propaganda on his very interesting demographic analysis.
Peter is merely repeating the same "Russia has nukes and will use them" speachs that PUTIN has said multiple times since the beginning of the Ukranine War. Some people think Putin is bluffing, Peter is taking him seriously. Putin hasn't bluffed in any of the past 17 wars during his time in office. (I think Peter has a point)
the fact that he speaks of Biden to be someone who's remotely coherent really shreds any credibility Mr Z ever had.
Biden or whoever is pulling his strings...I don't think it's Joe Biden either, but must be someone...
He means the deep state / powers that be that are behind him.
Man bun? Crazy...lol
Yup. When I "found" Peter, he had a total short hair professional look. Then it started getting shaggy and shaggier and one day he commented he hadn't had long hair since he was a kid. No sign of a haircut in his future yet... lol
He's good entertainment but nothing more... Has a single prediction come true? No
the big one was Ukraine! he got that on the money
Can't take him seriously with that man-bun.
mexico our number one trade partner? 😂😂😂 yeah right
I think it's possibly true. Of the developed nations, we trade the least with the world, of those that we do trade, half is in nafta... (had to write a paper on this)
Yep, Ford Mavericks and Avocado toast@@bp3445
Mexico. Huge demographics and hard hard workers. The wall was always a dustraction to keep the other great game powers away from Americas little golden goose
It’s already true
It just passed China.
While I respect Mr. Zehian's background (STRATFOR) and insights, the the tone of his presentation, the "man bun" and all the silly hats undermine the gravity of the subject matter. We'd take you more seriously, Peter, without them.
He doesn't need you approval, boomer
Cut your hair or let it down! This bunn style is not you brother
Has anybody ever noticed that Peter makes up like half the numbers he says and gets it wrong? He is a fact checking gold mine. "The oldest millennial is 45." Who believes that millennials begin to be born in 1979???
Not... the criticism I was expecting. Close enough?
Depends on the dividing lines. I've seen the line placed anywhere between 1975 and 1982.
I’ve definitely seen 1979 as a starting point for that generation. I don’t necessarily agree, but I’ve seen it. So it’s not really a fact then, is it?
I have really been trying, but that man bun is still annoying and silly.....
He acts like boomers leaving have left a huge gap in the labor market, absolutely insane.. every job on LinkedIn has hundreds or thousands of applicants. He completely misses the fact that everyone between gen z and boomers now has a college degree
He is talking about blue collar jobs, manufacturing, construction, etc.
If China collapses, and Americans want stuff, then someone will have to build a factory. And then someone will have to produce the stuff. And since everyone younger than 60 went for a college, and Zoomers are the smallest generation ever, then there is clear mismatch between supply and demand.
And what happens when demand for stuff remains, but from 10 workers 5 retire and are replaced by 2 new ones? Well, the price of those 7 workers left will go up. Since they don’t have competition. And therefore, stuff they produce will be more expensive. Hence inflation.
Really? Then why is my hospital, and all the surrounding hospitals, understaffed at all levels?
What types of jobs are those you are seeing? Why are none of the applicants getting the job? This sounds like hyperbole to make a point.
Which means those pieces of paper that many were directed towards, if not out right indoctrinated in high school to get, are less than worthless because they usually have a boat anchor of debt attached to them. A college degree has become so common that jobs that have no right to require a college degree are now highly suggesting or requiring them. There's such a glut of degreed workers now that they're actively suppressing wages and taking jobs that people who don't have degrees subsist on. And that's not getting into the ludicrous 3-5+ years of experience being required for an entry level job.
This is a horrible take. A college degree doesn’t mean one has the skills to do any or even most jobs. Especially trades which require experience. Boomers were skilled at trades. Something most younger people avoided. Just like Gen Z focuses too much on tech.
Wow, I used to respect your views...but you've "Lost it"
Remember last year when Peter predicted that because of Ukraine thing, cost of food and fertilizer would increase hundreds of percent...and millions would start starving by now? LOL Yeaaaahhhh....NO.
link?
The Black Sea Deal staved off the worst of the fertiliser shortage but the increased costs of grain that peaked in 2022 still created unrest in North Africa, particularly emboldening the Houthi Rebels of Yemen.
He may be off by a years or two but the analysis is sound.
1. Peter mentioned in his update that last year had good weather and good harvest
2. Black Sea deal delayed the worst of the worst, but even then agricultural players are stocking up fertilizers and grain (e.g. India)
3. Peter makes things dramatic but even when hes right the reality will play it out as boring as possible. Take a guess why there has been an uptick in the number of coups in Africa last year
Do you have a link to that talk?
Flip a coin. It's just as accurate. There, just saved you an hour.
Wow. That's deep.
Enjoy being left on the wayside, begging for more government subsidies and handouts because you invested poorly.
Don't trust this guy.
Total ! Total bull shit !!!!!!!!
Okay, I can see how you could say that based on his conclusions. However, the fact that the Human birth rate is declining in almost every place on Earth is true. I see this as a GOOD thing. He admits to generalizing with his hour presentations, but this is RUclips the home of short attention span videos and info-entertainment.
Then why are you watching?
@@tomchristianson858a declining birth rate means less humans. Less humans mean less progress and less technological advancements in fields like engineering and medicine. The entire human race benefits from those types of discoveries and advancements. If we don't keep growing, we all will die.
I am a retired engineer (boomer). Agree that the rate of change will slow down. That does NOT mean we won't be okay. We currently have over 8 billion people on the planet. the planet had 2 Billion in 1927. It had 2.6 billion when I was born in 1951. In 2127 the earth will probably be around 4 billion people. That is still over one billion people than was alive when I was born. We will be fine @@polyticks04
@@polyticks04who or short list of whomever taught you those conclusions
Horseshit. Blowhard that likes the sound of his nasley voice.
Then don't watch his videos?
@@MrGunlover12 oh I don't. Thanks for the expert advice. I suppose you hang on every word, good luck with that. Also maybe get an IQ test sometime. Seems your on the end of the curve that he casters to,-)
You sound like you’re projecting. Both on the commenter and the presenter.
If you don’t like or agree with the info being presented, then state why & move on. Getting so worked up & insulting others says more about your character or at least your maturity level.
“nasley” bro didn’t finish grade school
Lol what a trash comment coming from trash commenter. Nothing of value given in any of the comments you've posted so far, other than pushing the engagement algorithm for Zeihan.
Penis zehan is a dip shit. Likes to talk alot about things he cant predict or control. Just says stuff sites some recent history and hopes the intelligence curve of the general public works to his favor,-)
What a peculiar waste of your time. Working so hard to attempt to discredit someone who is doing his best to give a heads up to others concerning a few things he's discovered over the last decade. If you can't identify the value in the information and analysis presented, move on. Your rubbish criticism is influencing no one......
@@rodstubbs horseshit
Yeah man, so glad all of these trade groups also agree with you about Zeihan. I love how he is invited to talk to so many different trade groups about his inaccurate information. Can't wait to hear your analysis "leadbreastplate7496"! I'm sure I'll learn a lot from you!
@@HeBr-g3h hope not. Trade groups? Like an orgy?
If you read his books (thick and full of data) and then fact-checked and did your own research, you'd most likely reach some similar conclusions. Geography and demography are the root causes of a lot of problems we're dealing with now and in the future and there's not a whole lot we can do about either of those. He over-simplifies on this sort of speech. People have asked him "What keeps you up at night?" and the answer is always "Famine". We'll all find out if he's right or wrong, or if he's right, but it doesn't happen when expected, but if he's a dip shit (to quote you), he's a dip shit who CARES.