How To Trade Using Stage Analysis | Interview with Justin Smyth

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  • Опубликовано: 19 янв 2025

Комментарии • 105

  • @RichardMoglen
    @RichardMoglen  3 года назад +39

    I hope you guys enjoy! I think every trader/investor should learn about stage analysis. Leave a like!

    • @SR-ke7xy
      @SR-ke7xy 3 года назад

      At 23:30 he is mentioning about a site where he looks for the stock volume, could you please list the site that he mentioned there

  • @nextbigtrade
    @nextbigtrade 3 года назад +87

    This turned out great just watched the whole thing. I hope everyone enjoys the video!

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  3 года назад +2

      Thanks for coming on Justin!

    • @nextbigtrade
      @nextbigtrade 3 года назад +5

      @@RichardMoglen Thanks for having me on. Still can't believe we got a Stan Weinstein interview right after our interview as well. Great for people who are interested in Stage Analysis

    • @mcondell
      @mcondell 3 года назад +1

      @@nextbigtrade A Stan Weinstein Interview! That would be amazing. Is it posted yet?

    • @seismo101
      @seismo101 3 года назад +2

      @@nextbigtrade agree, what a bonus. Interesting to hear on the Stan interview he now seems to use the 200dma more than the 150dma. But I was unclear from his interview as to why he felt the need to change. Whichever works best for your own personal system, but was curious all the same.
      Many thanks for all you’ve done with regards to your own journey with stage analysis and your own content. Great interview

    • @mcondell
      @mcondell 3 года назад

      @@seismo101 where is the Weinstein interview posted?

  • @bagholderwithaplan
    @bagholderwithaplan 3 года назад +16

    If I had to read only one trading book, it would be the one mentioned in this video. Stan Weinstein is the reason why I'm still trading today.

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  3 года назад +2

      Great book!

    • @nextbigtrade
      @nextbigtrade 3 года назад +6

      Stan Weinstein’s book changed my life as well. I truly believe for $25 it’s worth a college education.

  • @RichardMoglen
    @RichardMoglen  3 года назад +11

    Timestamps:
    0:00 Intro
    0:47 Justin's Background as Engineer, Trading Journey
    2:06 Early Mistakes, Losing Money
    5:30 Basics of Stage Analysis
    6:40 The Stages
    8:35 Euphoria Cycle
    10:00 How to determine what stage you are in
    10:41 Focus on stocks in stage 2 uptrends
    13:50 Ideal Buy Point for investors
    16:00 Overhead Supply
    17:25 Ideal Buy Point for Traders
    19:01 How do you manage positions using Stage Analysis
    21:45 Tracking positions on a weekly chart
    22:44 Early Entries, need volume
    24:59 IPOs using Stage Analysis
    29:00 Stock Selection using Stage Analysis
    29:25 Market Cap, Float
    31:58 Volume Stockcharts Screen, Stock selection
    33:00 Batting Averages, Holding Periods,
    38:00 Tracking Sectors
    39:30 TSLA Analysis
    41:50 How many positions
    45:39 Recommended Books
    48:00 Buying late in Stage 2 uptrends
    49:41 Draftkings Analysis
    51:25 TIGR Analysis
    53:12 Determining Pivot Points
    54:00 UPST Analysis
    59:10 RBLX Analysis
    1:00:00 Comparing Crypto, stock moves
    1:04:30 Intraday Charts
    1:05:29 CELH Analysis
    1:08:44 SLV Analysis Commodity
    1:10:00 S&P Stage 4 downtrend
    1:12:00 AMC Stage 2 breakout
    1:22:12 FSLY Analysis
    1:25:00 NUE analysis
    1:30:00 Forest to the trees concept
    1:32:50 Advice for new traders

  • @rajenmody3101
    @rajenmody3101 2 года назад +5

    I just wanted it again. I love Stan Weinstein and Eric Wish for the simplicity of their methods and explaining to non-professionals like us. The only question I have is that sometimes in stage 2 stock is 30-40% above 150-200 day MA and it is too much to lose if we wait for them to drop below 150-200 day. Are there any earlier signals?? likes drop below 50 day with volume and may be an end of week close below 50day or something?? Thank you Richard for the great content to always put it out here!!

    • @rajanishmishra5644
      @rajanishmishra5644 4 месяца назад

      Hi, Can you please spell the second name "Eric Wish". Couldn't find any thing in internet.

  • @mcondell
    @mcondell 3 года назад +4

    Justin, Your website and videos have been very helpful for me over the past year! Looking forward to seeing your market and stock feedback on your channel

  • @papabear4066
    @papabear4066 10 месяцев назад

    Another great video! I learned a lot from both of Justin's videos.

  • @emuhead
    @emuhead 2 года назад

    Found your channel recently, and have learnt so much from the roughly 10 videos I've spent the time watching & taking notes from, really great questions & long form interviewing with such humble guests.

  • @ameerchittapurath3992
    @ameerchittapurath3992 2 года назад

    Its a good interview to understand basic level of stage Analysis.
    Thanks Richard and Justin Smyth.
    Keep up the great work.

  • @TheMountainBeyondTheWoods
    @TheMountainBeyondTheWoods 3 года назад +8

    Good stuff, I always learn from these interviews I like how he keeps things simple.

  • @michaelxy85
    @michaelxy85 2 года назад

    I am following both of you on Twitter. I think your content is very helpful. Greetings from Germany.

  • @deville116
    @deville116 2 года назад +1

    Gorgeous interview with both of you guys. Thanks a lot!

  • @vamsimoravaneni
    @vamsimoravaneni 3 года назад +3

    Thankyou Justin and Richard. Amazing interview.

  • @yoavv2855
    @yoavv2855 3 года назад +3

    Amazing Richard. Thank you so much. Was great!

  • @figgy163
    @figgy163 3 года назад +2

    Finished 2nd reading of Weinstein’s great book last week, listened to his interview and watched this great video now, excellent. Thanks to you both. 🙏

  • @TimLeahy2
    @TimLeahy2 Год назад

    Really enjoyed the interview. Probably a game changer for myself as a new trader

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  Год назад

      Glad to hear that Tim! I'd recommend Stan's book

  • @robertburks28
    @robertburks28 3 года назад +3

    I have watched this 2 times already and I am getting ready for a 3rd viewing. Excellent interview with an excellent interviewee...

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  3 года назад

      Thanks Robert! make sure to check out the other interviews as well!

    • @nextbigtrade
      @nextbigtrade 3 года назад

      Thanks Robert really appreciate that comment!

  • @mucked4u
    @mucked4u 3 года назад

    well done Justin. I spend a great deal of time checking for quality stage one stocks for my watchlist

  • @milagrosroman9978
    @milagrosroman9978 Год назад

    Great interview he broke it down so well. I 'm presently reading stans book.

  • @milagrosroman9978
    @milagrosroman9978 Год назад

    great interview very informative. I done with Weinstein's book and there are great reads.

  • @nextbigtrade
    @nextbigtrade 3 года назад +7

    Christopher Brooks not sure why Stan Weinstein changed but I think whatever works for you is what you should use. I like the 30-week EMA currently.

    • @topdowninvestor7711
      @topdowninvestor7711 2 года назад +1

      The 40-week SMA is my favorite but I also like to have the 30-week SMA and 10-week SMA on my charts as reference points. I feel like the 40 week (200 day) has less whipsaws than the 30 week so that might be why Stan focuses more on the 200 day now (plus the 200 day is more widely followed than the 30 week). I agree you should use whatever works for you.

  • @milagrosroman9978
    @milagrosroman9978 Год назад

    great interview very informative. I have a question ? Justin said that he views the weekly but follows the daily to make all his decisions because the weekly is boring Tthe daily is Better clarification. so does he follow the 30-week MA and relative strength on a daily to make his decisions?

  • @dameondeans3229
    @dameondeans3229 3 года назад +2

    Thanks Richard & Justin, this was a great interview. Justin gave some great insights!

    • @nextbigtrade
      @nextbigtrade 3 года назад

      Thanks glad you enjoyed the interview!

  • @chethanvishal2818
    @chethanvishal2818 3 года назад +2

    Wonderful Interview Richard, thank you

  • @jimgroninger4001
    @jimgroninger4001 3 года назад +4

    Get your popcorn ready.......I am sure this is going to be great!

  • @EvoGShootsCars
    @EvoGShootsCars 3 года назад +1

    So do our daily ema and MA automatically convert to weekly moving averages when looking on a weekly chart? If so which daily moving average becomes the 30 week and or the 10 week?

    • @harryjamesbrown3883
      @harryjamesbrown3883 3 года назад +3

      150 was mentioned by Richard I believe which would, I assume, make the 10 -> 50 :)

  • @augiux1987
    @augiux1987 3 года назад +4

    You just keep delivering amazing content!👍🙌

  • @kingisa00
    @kingisa00 3 года назад +5

    Great interview, Stan weinsteins book is amazing!

  • @izhanjuarezgadea457
    @izhanjuarezgadea457 3 года назад

    Very great video, Richard. Can I suggest u an idea for a video? I would like, and I think that people would like, see a video about how to count bases in the charts. Thank u so much and have a great day!!

  • @BizarroLanigirod
    @BizarroLanigirod 2 года назад

    Excellent questions and answers

  • @adityavora007
    @adityavora007 2 года назад

    what is relative volume - how to see it on trading view and how to analyse is ?

  • @kiranf
    @kiranf 3 года назад +1

    What is the website at around 23:34 he says he looks to see volume

    • @nextbigtrade
      @nextbigtrade 3 года назад +2

      I use finviz and stockcharts

  • @milagrosroman9978
    @milagrosroman9978 Год назад

    Great interview❤❤

  • @mohammedattia833
    @mohammedattia833 2 года назад

    Does anyone know of a good Stage One screener by any chance?

  • @jaysteve4442
    @jaysteve4442 3 года назад +1

    What class at UMd did you take? I’m a student there

  • @rcarlosbalcazar1
    @rcarlosbalcazar1 2 года назад

    What software are you using? 👀

  • @rosskennedy8356
    @rosskennedy8356 3 года назад +2

    Very much a method man. It works!

  • @kaykang5551
    @kaykang5551 2 года назад

    What a great interview!

  • @bharath8721
    @bharath8721 3 года назад +4

    Please interview David Rayan

  • @janisskutelis
    @janisskutelis 3 года назад +1

    Where did he say he is watching volume changes?

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  3 года назад

      Hi Janis could you clarify your question. We discuss volume all over this interview

  • @fairnessandtruth3341
    @fairnessandtruth3341 3 года назад +1

    thanks a lot,great job!

  • @848meme
    @848meme 3 года назад

    Boy oh boy, if Justin could have not used the work 'like', that would have been a great listen & watch. Thanks Richard really liking your content

    • @nextbigtrade
      @nextbigtrade 3 года назад +7

      I did use the word like too much I agree with that. But don't think it made the interview unwatchable, in fact I thought it was a great comprehensive interview.

  • @dimitrihobbs1313
    @dimitrihobbs1313 3 года назад

    It would be really neat to see how applying stage analysis on a leveraged ETF would compare to the current US investing championship rankings.
    I tried to use some python but I am not smart enough yet

  • @zhaoliu7166
    @zhaoliu7166 3 года назад +3

    Thanks a lot!

  • @DJArdi15
    @DJArdi15 3 года назад +3

    Great point early on. Said he wasn't following his rules and listening to the market!

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  3 года назад +2

      It’s something we all learn to do

  • @hipchecker2063
    @hipchecker2063 3 года назад +1

    Richard:
    Your interviews are very good and much appreciated.
    But, I have to say, the interviews are stock buying oriented. Do you plan on talking to option traders?

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  3 года назад

      Thanks Fran, I plan to have options traders on as well. Any suggestions?

    • @hipchecker2063
      @hipchecker2063 3 года назад

      @@RichardMoglen
      The most obvious one to me would be Dan Sheridan from Sheridan Options Mentoring. However what his availability is, and whether he would sit down for an interview is up in the air. Also just what he would reveal is questionable.
      Two "gurus" who seem to make themselves available are Tom Sosnoff from tastytrade, and Tony Zhang from Options Play.
      Other possibilities would be Kirk Du Plessis from Option Alpha.
      Sasha Evdakov calls his website Traders Fly.
      These last two names may be interested in talking in an effort to promote their sites.
      Brian Overby from Ally investments.
      Dan Passarelli has written a well thought of book about option greeks. He has a website name Market Taker Mentoring.
      A very well known option trader is Jon Najarian.
      And just inquiring at the CBOE should get some interest

  • @darthtrader4762
    @darthtrader4762 3 года назад +1

    MSFT is a stage 3 top right now headed to stage 4. Calling it

  • @mohammadfarzan230
    @mohammadfarzan230 2 года назад

    Thanks Brother

  • @janisskutelis
    @janisskutelis 3 года назад +1

    Selling when you think you are in Stage 4 can put you out of multi-baggers in the making.

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  3 года назад +8

      Holding a stock in a stage 4 means you are arguing against the market and hoping. If the company is going to be a multibagger it will set up again with a entry setup from a proper base. It’s about managing risk.

  • @bibbidi_bobbidi_bacons
    @bibbidi_bobbidi_bacons 8 месяцев назад

    👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼

  • @alphabeta8403
    @alphabeta8403 2 года назад

    20/50 MA > 30/50 MA

  • @abccba1971
    @abccba1971 2 года назад +1

    « Please don’t say ‘like’ again… Please … »
    « Naaaaa !! He said it again !! Twice in 2 seconds ».
    Sorry, past the first 15 minutes I simply could not concentrate on what was being explained. It’s just to many « like » for a man like me. Too bad because the guy’s interesting. But once you’ve locked on the verbal pattern, it’s just can’t undo it.

  • @sherlockhomie4696
    @sherlockhomie4696 3 года назад

    Theo Von's millionaire cousin

  • @Treetopper911
    @Treetopper911 2 года назад

    Go Terps