There’s a reason why I’ve been a subscriber to this channel for a long time. I went as far as subscribing to his private membership. If I was going to time the markets strategically and catch the bottom of alt season that it only makes sense to follow a guy like this. Thanks for helping preserve the satoshi value BEN. you Rock! 👍
You are just the man! Brilliant, humble. Right on the money. Had I listened to you verbatim, I'd be much better off. I'm ok but could be better. I'm a newbie. You live and protect your capital, and you learn. You've been spot on all along. Thank you very much!
I just absolutely love this channel, looking forward to meeting you IRL and also watching your channel years down the line. There is trash, then the good youtube and then proverbial GOLD like your channel. Only a handful exist in all of youtube even besides crypto
People need to realize, with each halving, the halving is going to have significantly less shock to the bitcoin economy. When we went from 50 BTC per block to 25, there wasn't a whole lot of coins on the market, and cutting the new supply by 25 had a significant shock on the overall economics of bitcoin. Now that we have 19 million in circulation, cutting it from 6.5 to 3.25 is basically negligible. The most significant impact the halving has at that point is the hype for the halving, which I believe was already priced in since most people know about the halving cycle at this point, and I think that occurred alongside the pump for the ETF hype.
Exactly! I personally draw a line, thinking of the pre-2020 Btc as being impacted significantly by the halving, aka the supply side of the equation. The 2020, and much more so the 2024 (with the ETFs and the coming BTC institutional adoption) are (overwhelmingly) demand-driven, being influenced by the increase in money supply (M2). That's why the ETFs brought the first pump and that's why the coming interest cuts (meaning money printing) will bring the next major pumps. The rest (halving, regional conflicts etc) are mostly noise or simply excuses for market manipulation.
Please don't defer the theories due to outlash. This is anyways dubious as mentioned in the title, you invest according to the risk metric, There is absolutely no reason for you to defer the theories , put it out there for us
the problem is that people introduce money without a plan. Expecting bitcoin to go up the minute after they buy. For those, the 97%, bitcoin is a big risk.
Dubious 😂. BTC next low is around 50k and then its off to the races. Its not going lower unless you expect a stock market crash. Spx is going to 6k by December.
Bitcoin won't go up because I own a sizeable position. Similar to how my football team never wins when I watch the game. The universe always gives me the opposite of my desire.
I think he might have been referring to BTC dropping another log band on the rainbow chart, which would be about $20k. I think he addressed that in his video about hard/soft/no landing.
You scare me but I am happy you do these videos. If Bitcoin rally back to ATH area, I am out until the election is cleary decided. I wish I would have got out this last pump, hoping for one more to get out. With Iran and Israel; and know telling what is about to happen this election, I have to be conservative. I would hate for Bitcoin to break back below 50k but this market is crazy right now
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Thank you Ben. I sold all my positions (despite having some serious losses) on Saturday when BTC couldn't break above the previous trendline. I'm hoping to buy back at better prices if the current trend keeps going. Your analysis regarding "rallying before the rate cuts and dumping the week after" really helped me out here. Also I suppose we won't see crazy movements until we get QE just like you said before. I'll be observing the market for a few days/weeks before taking any action. Let's see what happens now.
What about the end of the week and end of the month at the peak in 2021? Was solana a good buy at the end of the week at $250 before falling to $8? @@jecf
Imagine thanking someone after selling at a loss, lmao. Tell me you’re a paperhanded FOMO’er playing with money you can’t afford to lose, without telling me. Thank you for being exit liquidity.
Ben, please update your logarithmic model! The lower band does not include this past cycle's lows and it clearly needs to be bent downward (so to speak) with the past few years of data! As always, thanks for the analysis
brilliant video once again it seems to me that you explain it more and more simply and summarized, easy to understand, yet still dense in information without Benjamin Cowen, I'd be long lost, drifting aimlessly across the cryptoverse, oxygen running lower and lower
Thanks for all that you do - appreciate your humility and rationality. Love that you keep emotion out of it. Never seen one political bias come out which is exactly how it should be on a crypto channel, since most can't help themselves
Great analysis. I’ve thought all year that we need a retest of the $42-44k area. Now, that would coincide with the 100 week SMA. That drop would washout all the Uptober bulls, resetting the market for a new up-leg.
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Ben, 1) 2024 is a halving year while 2019 is before halving year. 2) In 2025 post-halving year, there is no space for falling, BTC MUST go up. Otherwise, 4-year cycles will break...
Do you think Blackrock would want to own something they can't control? The big ups and downs are over and I think people need to come to reality that we are far away from a 100k BTC
That's what you don't understand, sir. That Btc's price is now much more influenced by the demand side of the equation (influenced primarily by the money supply /interest rates + the fruitful addition of the ETFs) and not that much by the supply side (btc mining). Yeah, the btc halving cycle is now almost obsolete, only being referenced due to psychological reasons (and market manipulation). Btc is now mostly following the market cycles of the other risk assets/investments as their still more risky - more profitable little brother. That's the reality
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To be honest Ben I think this is your time and you should enjoy it. I remember all the butt holes that you had to deal with when you were just warning/helping. You were just a bit early letting us know. But that time is now. I see it to, we’re headed to 42k and this month at that.
Benjamin, if you are going to convert the chart into a logarithmic chart, you are going to see that USDT dominance, is in stage 2 downtrend. Might as well invert the chart.
So you thin the economy will slow down in a few months and BTC.D is likely to top there. But do you then think there is a chance to a massive alt season where $OTHERS can do like a 300% move like last cycles (while economy is slowing down)
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DUBIOUS speculation
Hi again
Not dubious.
☝️🧐-notice how the *Real Ben* is highlighted and RUclips verified☑️
Dubioo
I'm dubious AF
“It’s my chart, I can do what I want” - 10:45 this is why we love you Ben!
There’s a reason why I’ve been a subscriber to this channel for a long time. I went as far as subscribing to his private membership. If I was going to time the markets strategically and catch the bottom of alt season that it only makes sense to follow a guy like this. Thanks for helping preserve the satoshi value BEN. you Rock! 👍
The time has already arrived before the front runners priced it into the Market.
You are just the man! Brilliant, humble. Right on the money. Had I listened to you verbatim, I'd be much better off. I'm ok but could be better. I'm a newbie. You live and protect your capital, and you learn. You've been spot on all along. Thank you very much!
tell me about it. not a newbit. i know ben is always right. but what did i do? fomo'ed in at 63k. now crying
I am still waiting for the video:
Ethereum: The accumulation phase of a lifetime.
Can't help but think that should have been in June 2022
I think he has hinted that there’s a reasonable possibility it had already started
The time has already arrived before the front runners priced it into the Market.
If you missed buying when eth was at 1k your time is now until January to accumulate. Take your time man, eth will see 1800 again so relax.
@@natedevita7002nah he has some time to accumulate. Eth will go a bit lower than 23k
I have watched a horror movie now I can't sleep after watching it
Not the movie I signed up for :(
Watch a cartoon after.
I just absolutely love this channel, looking forward to meeting you IRL and also watching your channel years down the line. There is trash, then the good youtube and then proverbial GOLD like your channel. Only a handful exist in all of youtube even besides crypto
Geez dancing and dinner?! 😂
What a simp!
Just kidding, BenjiCowee is the goat
If it’s not dubious, are we even speculating ?
You wearing a green jersey is the biggest hint in the video
Explain
Ran from CB admitted Ben was right again. This is the only channel you need for crypto investing. Thanks Ben, again.
Who is CB?
@@BlxvkMamba coin bureau
People need to realize, with each halving, the halving is going to have significantly less shock to the bitcoin economy. When we went from 50 BTC per block to 25, there wasn't a whole lot of coins on the market, and cutting the new supply by 25 had a significant shock on the overall economics of bitcoin. Now that we have 19 million in circulation, cutting it from 6.5 to 3.25 is basically negligible. The most significant impact the halving has at that point is the hype for the halving, which I believe was already priced in since most people know about the halving cycle at this point, and I think that occurred alongside the pump for the ETF hype.
Exactly! I personally draw a line, thinking of the pre-2020 Btc as being impacted significantly by the halving, aka the supply side of the equation. The 2020, and much more so the 2024 (with the ETFs and the coming BTC institutional adoption) are (overwhelmingly) demand-driven, being influenced by the increase in money supply (M2). That's why the ETFs brought the first pump and that's why the coming interest cuts (meaning money printing) will bring the next major pumps. The rest (halving, regional conflicts etc) are mostly noise or simply excuses for market manipulation.
Please don't defer the theories due to outlash. This is anyways dubious as mentioned in the title, you invest according to the risk metric, There is absolutely no reason for you to defer the theories , put it out there for us
Much respect!! There's something Ben's not saying.... I'm eager to here it. Let's have it!
I think it starts with w....
3:52 I wouldn’t call btc risky at this point. Volatile? Yes. Risky? No.
the problem is that people introduce money without a plan. Expecting bitcoin to go up the minute after they buy. For those, the 97%, bitcoin is a big risk.
@@albertoarmando6711 yes the get rich quick mentality really doesn’t have a place in investing.
Not BTC, it's about altcoins where we get a headache, and the risk
@@blitzr2300 stay away from shit coins and you won’t have a headache. Peace.
@@blitzr2300most Altcoins follow Btc, just in a magnitude (of losses/gains)
Dubious 😂. BTC next low is around 50k and then its off to the races. Its not going lower unless you expect a stock market crash. Spx is going to 6k by December.
Bitcoin won't go up because I own a sizeable position. Similar to how my football team never wins when I watch the game. The universe always gives me the opposite of my desire.
Same issue in my dimension.
Glad that you refrained from pulling up the rainbow chart 😅
Ben , you are the best . Thanks for your ever needed videos. 🤝🙏
Man, I’m so curious what Ben wanted to say but didn’t 😮😮😮37min
I think he might have been referring to BTC dropping another log band on the rainbow chart, which would be about $20k. I think he addressed that in his video about hard/soft/no landing.
At the end it sounded like Ben was just about tell us about his 300 week moving average theory then decided better of it
😮😮😮
I enjoy your analysis every time watch your videos and I wanna say thanks for these comprehensive analysis bro
You were right again my friend .Nothing will happen in 2024 the picture start to get clearer now
Ben, another fantastic video 🎉🎉🎉
So you’re saying… there’s a chaaaance 👀
Those kind of videos r really helpful 👍
"there's... you know... the only other thing... hum....yeah why don't we leave it there for this video".
Oh fuck.
We're doomed. 😂
He has a nagging feeling that the cycle might be over. That March might have been the bull run. There is a lot of evidence to support that case also
So nice to tune into something that's not about iran/isreal or the port strike. Show me the charts, and I'll show you the narrative!
Thank you Ben, best regards
Its simple, Btc is a risk on asset, not a risk off like gold. Perhaps that will change given more time.
actually the only channel that was unbiased, most channels who've been preaching for the bulls disappeared
You scare me but I am happy you do these videos. If Bitcoin rally back to ATH area, I am out until the election is cleary decided. I wish I would have got out this last pump, hoping for one more to get out. With Iran and Israel; and know telling what is about to happen this election, I have to be conservative. I would hate for Bitcoin to break back below 50k but this market is crazy right now
Thank you for sharing your thoughts on different scenarios. I find them really useful to keep a balance on managing risk and fomo.🙏🙏🙏
Thank you
Your the best man , thanks for the daily updates 🙌🏼
Awesome video! Thanks!
Another good one. Again I could listen to you every day Ben
Curious about the other ideas 💡 great analysis as always
Ben for PRESIDENT?
Thank you again, Ben. I love you.
Damn I'm depressed
Love ur content Ben
Amazing video Ben, thank you
What worries me most is the other concerns Ben didn't want to analyse.any ideas?hard landing maybe?
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The breakout of the lower high structure occurred during a brief pause in rate cuts.
Maybe we see the same thing happen now.
But the market is currently pricing a 0% chance of the fed pausing, maybe it changes by the next FOMC
So it would not be a bad idea to keep some capital on the side in the event we drop to the 100 week, or lower...
does the usdt dominance include new usdt being minted?
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He’s an engineer people. He’s doing the math for you…
Thank you sir
Thank you Ben. I sold all my positions (despite having some serious losses) on Saturday when BTC couldn't break above the previous trendline. I'm hoping to buy back at better prices if the current trend keeps going.
Your analysis regarding "rallying before the rate cuts and dumping the week after" really helped me out here. Also I suppose we won't see crazy movements until we get QE just like you said before.
I'll be observing the market for a few days/weeks before taking any action. Let's see what happens now.
@juanarkantos haha no, I had alts that's why
@@merttok4291 that's perfect then, you will buy my bags when they will push higher 😄
in general, end of week and end of month is a good buying opportunity. for next time
What about the end of the week and end of the month at the peak in 2021?
Was solana a good buy at the end of the week at $250 before falling to $8?
@@jecf
Imagine thanking someone after selling at a loss, lmao. Tell me you’re a paperhanded FOMO’er playing with money you can’t afford to lose, without telling me. Thank you for being exit liquidity.
What absolute teases towards the end of the video, Benj! Tell us!
Thanks Ben!
Ben, please update your logarithmic model! The lower band does not include this past cycle's lows and it clearly needs to be bent downward (so to speak) with the past few years of data! As always, thanks for the analysis
Thank you once again
Great Video. Thanks
Thanks Ben,
I really like Ben's good spirit.
brilliant video once again
it seems to me that you explain it more and more simply and summarized, easy to understand, yet still dense in information
without Benjamin Cowen, I'd be long lost, drifting aimlessly across the cryptoverse, oxygen running lower and lower
Boss video, Ben. Keep ‘em coming
Thanks for all that you do - appreciate your humility and rationality. Love that you keep emotion out of it. Never seen one political bias come out which is exactly how it should be on a crypto channel, since most can't help themselves
Great analysis. I’ve thought all year that we need a retest of the $42-44k area. Now, that would coincide with the 100 week SMA. That drop would washout all the Uptober bulls, resetting the market for a new up-leg.
Wished i listen to you about LTC in 2020. Still not going to sell. Im weathered!
That comment about dxy at the end .. very important .. nice one!!!
Green shirt, let's manifest some green candles!!!!
Dear Ben, if Eth comes back to 1400$, what remains of the altcoins?
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Hope for the best, plan for the worst; the most important sentence in this video💪
When uptober ?
You are the single reason why, I didn't waste my money on alts. I owe you so many thanks.
Me dubiously watching
I Need Ada Outlook
I have been waiting for sub 500 sat ADA for so long….
Ben became bitcoin maxi 😁
Ada outlook in two words: down only. You're welcome :)
It's going to 0 like all sht coins
@@Rodrigo-tk2fm yes it will in the end. But putting a small portion from my btc in it to make a bit more btc in the end.
10:32 just Ben doodling, don't mind him
When Ben said Eth is "sniffing" out weakness, I had this image of a beagle. Thanks for your valuable insight and views.
RUclipsrs: 🚀🚀🚀
Ben: concern
Me: 😬😬
good one....
Thank you for bringing common sense to a place where common sense is a rare commodity
Outlook for Link and ADA please
But wait. Isn’t the reason BTC dominance is higher now in 2024 than 2016/2020 because of the massive inflows of investment into BTC ETFs?
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BTC dominance can rise simply because altcoins are being sold off, therefor making the ratio of BTC:altcoins more favourable to BTC.
M2 money supply didn't get a mention 🤔
My only concern between now and 2016/2020 is that we are much later in the process 🤔
exactly! 2025 is post-halving year and BTC MUST rise.
Ben hasn't made any video about "The Accumulation Phase of a Lifetime"
Don’t call me Shirley.
🙏
I like DS series
Ben, 1) 2024 is a halving year while 2019 is before halving year. 2) In 2025 post-halving year, there is no space for falling, BTC MUST go up. Otherwise, 4-year cycles will break...
Do you think Blackrock would want to own something they can't control? The big ups and downs are over and I think people need to come to reality that we are far away from a 100k BTC
That's what you don't understand, sir. That Btc's price is now much more influenced by the demand side of the equation (influenced primarily by the money supply /interest rates + the fruitful addition of the ETFs) and not that much by the supply side (btc mining). Yeah, the btc halving cycle is now almost obsolete, only being referenced due to psychological reasons (and market manipulation). Btc is now mostly following the market cycles of the other risk assets/investments as their still more risky - more profitable little brother. That's the reality
This begs the question:
What would you buy, Eth at the lower regression band or bitcoin at 42k?
I think this might be the choice of the cycle
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Whew! I was worried there for a minute that we weren’t going to see a Bitcoin dominance chart!
Gold is ripping and money is flowing out of BTC to gold. Don’t fight the trend. Now, let the haters hate 😂
To be honest Ben I think this is your time and you should enjoy it. I remember all the butt holes that you had to deal with when you were just warning/helping. You were just a bit early letting us know. But that time is now. I see it to, we’re headed to 42k and this month at that.
There is a bunch of trendlines pointing and intersecting on 44k in mid to late December!
It can be a bit depressing to watch Ben but not as depressing as going all in on the dip , only to find out the dip hasn't even started yet
Ben, cant you just pop forward in time and tell us when moon
Anyone else not able to sleep just thinking about what the 'only other thing' is😩
Benjamin, if you are going to convert the chart into a logarithmic chart, you are going to see that USDT dominance, is in stage 2 downtrend. Might as well invert the chart.
"It's my chart, I can do what I want" - Ben Cowen (2024)
So you thin the economy will slow down in a few months and BTC.D is likely to top there. But do you then think there is a chance to a massive alt season where $OTHERS can do like a 300% move like last cycles (while economy is slowing down)
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everybody is bullish and saying altcoin season is on the way... thanx for the awesome infos. good luck Messi haha
Bring it down. Just made mega bucks in Chinese Equities!
What a legend!
I have to endure until early 2025 :(
Ben if I somehow, against my own stupidity, manage to make some money this cycle, realistically you deserve it all.
Crazy Smart Guy!!
Are folks expecting Covid-24? @ 10:30
OH I love when you get dubious Benjamin 😂