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I do admire Ben's ability to collect, distill, and disseminate how such disperse information and share it with us plebs. I know I appreciate his wisdom greatly.
@@franktowers3 The laptop/BTC ratio is going asymptotically to zero so Ben is right to wait for the purchase 😂 Taking bets on how low the satoshi valuation of the laptop goes until he buys. I think right around the 0.01₿ level.
You’re right, keeping Bitcoin and then converting to ETH was the better play, but it’s hard for everyday people who earn in USD and spend in USD to look at the world from a BTC valuation point of view. And I would still invest in Microsoft and Google even if one outperforms the other.
In crypto it’s a little different though because BTC alone amounts to 60% of the whole market. That doesn’t really happen in the stock markets, so diversifying across different assets regardless of point in time makes way more sense. If BTC dominance will ever drop below like 15% and stay there for good, then diversifying among the big cryptos regardless of point cycle would also be a valid strategy.
I earn in USD and still look at things through btc. My pc I bought last year bled against bitcoin heavily. Should have bought btc and converted it to pc now since my gpu bled agaist the usd
You know? The massive sell pressure built up with ADA holders has got to be THE ATH of the season. Just think of all these super-impatient ADA bag-holders all wanting OUT!! Trust me, I'm dumping my 2020 ADA just as soon as it looks good, at long last!!
5 years following you, there is only 2 predictions that you were wrong : 1) A BTC drop in oct 2023, and 2) this time about ETH price nov 2024. The only time I did not beleive you was about ETH. You are the best Ben, THANK YOU
Historically QE is only used to inject liquidity when rates are already low. If interest rates remain high throughout 2025 with a strong economy, it is unlikely QE will begin. Would this mean ALT season is also unlikely to happen in 2025?
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I'm still learning but, not necessarily. Well historically you're correct, My limited understanding is that QE is a relatively New concept. The fed may need to keep interest rates moderate to relatively high and may resume in QE in order to ease financial markets without disrupting the broader economy. That is to say, to keep the poors poor and to debase the currency in other ways that benefit the asset holders and maintain order in the financial markets. Feel free for anyone to correct me or to add your understanding.
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Have been struggling with this topic, Ben. I'm a long haul trucker who only drives in order to DCA SATs every day. That's my shtick. So, I am way too familiar with dollar-thinking. So, if all I have is weekly dollars to invest, how do I apply the ETH/BTC chart? My guess is: buy ETH like a madman now through, say, January 2025... let the chart climb high and steep to the upper-right... and convert that ETH to BTC as it begins to fall to the bottom-right. Is that the plan? This will do better than just DCA-ing into BTC all along? (Love you, Brother! You're the best!!)
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Had this same struggle the past few days. My 2 cents: Either: 1. If you're holding onto BTC, consider converting some to ETH since it is projected to be a better store of SATS in the coming year (as ETH/BTC climbs back up from the current bottom) 2. If you're earning FIAT, buying ETH at present offers a good risk/reward return as compared to buying BTC (which is topping due to BTC.D being at 60%-ish) Once you buy ETH with your dollars, you do not concern yourself with ETH/USD any more. (See #1) I now keep an eye on ETH/BTC ratio. Whenever it goes down to 0.035, I buy ETH (w/ dollars).
@@AraAra-l3r still be careful buying ETH in USD, there exists a scenario where ETH/USD drops whilst ETH/BTC Rallies. IE Both ETH/USD & BTC/USD drop, but BTC/USD is just dropping faster than ETH/USD. Always have some cash on hand to take advantage of unexpected market drops
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Many thanks for your excellent video. While your main focus is on comparing ETH/BTC, it might also be important to consider comparisons against USD at times.
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“Welcome to copetown population - me” lol 😝 you’re about as genuine and honest as any of us could ask for my friend. Appreciate your opinions on all these things ….. aren’t you also the person responsible for the Bitcoin dominance metric the entire globe uses now? pretty sure you are. that’s a big deal and something to be very proud of.
Hi Ben! excellent content. Do you have any plan to start a full course on technical analysis? I am noob to this field and really wish to learn about charts and the analysis things. Thanks!
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I love these videos. Sometimes, I come back and do a second listen. It's like watching a movies for the second time, you pick up so many more pieces you missed. Thanks!
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any particular reason why ETH is so lagging ? I mean BTC is hitting ATH's every single day , while ETH could not even reach it's prev. ATH, what's the catch?
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Sorry for my ignorance, but I I understood correctly, In a super simplified way of viewing it, would you say that when BTC/ETH is low, you would want to have more BTC in the portfolio, when BTC/ETH, is at highs, you would want to have more ETH because your getting more sats just from the conversion rate?
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I think Solana is taking most of the oxygen from ETH for now. Over the long term though - ETH has exponentially more institutional support and developers. ETH should be fine and I am actually glad so many have fallen out of love with the #2 market cap crypto. We know the big surprise is coming.
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I don't feel that you owe an apology to anyone. You're providing market analysis for free (on youtube), and it's up to each one of us to do our own analysis and make our own decisions. I wish I subscribed to your content more during last cycle, less of a degen this time around and happier for it.
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lol. Bro I watch most of your videos. I have long drives to and from work, you’ve been a beacon in the grim dark and saved me from making stupid swaps etc.
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Ben. wonderful analysis and very right all this while. Can I ask you to do a SQL/BTC analysis as well and how high and probably when it will go up ? thanks
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Well, the thought of valuating my groceries in sats and not euro’s (I’m from the Netherlands) the flippening of euro for sats happened 🙂. Brilliant thought-process!
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Ben, what if QE doesn’t return? I’ve heard some analysts say that the times of ultra low interest rates are over and we might need to keep them at around 4%. QE was developed as a response to the 2007 crash, but the economy has recovered to the point where QE might not be necessary.
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outside ADA, XRP, maybe XLM, BTC,ETH,SOL all 100% going bull for next few months, the only other traction i'm seeing is the meme coins having their bull market. utility coins just are not making much for headlines not even the ai rugs. honest to god I think i'm going to chase the top memes while eth continues to sell, because thats where retail gonna go, after all most people are trading on eth networks which is where these top memecoins are before they get listed on exchanges like binance and coinbase.
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Ben, may you answer my humble question: That If we follow the track of 2016 and 2019 then Eth/btc will pick up in 2025 and 2026 peak. And should ETH has to move so ALT to move up? Thank you Ben❤ sorry I just found you recently
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Into The Cryptoverse Premium SALE:
intothecryptoverse.com
☝️🧐-notice how the *Real Ben* is highlighted and RUclips verified☑️
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Gofundme for Ben's laptop!
Hey Ben, will there be a blackfriday sale?
When are you jumping on Bluesky?
‘This is a ethereum video and I’m somehow talking about monetary policy in Japan’
This is why you’re the goat
I do admire Ben's ability to collect, distill, and disseminate how such disperse information and share it with us plebs. I know I appreciate his wisdom greatly.
I Will stick Ben heavy until dominance hits 65% then may be start to see another people 🤣
I was going to bed. I was...
Same
What time is it for y’all lol
It’s like 3:15 PST
23:16 in London
0:26 in Amsterdam😢
Ben, one of the few in the space who actually doesn’t shill. Phenomenal stuff.
Hey you! Wanna buy some BTC dominance? I got the good stuff from satoshi himself
what do you mean, he definitely shills bitcoin😂
Ben: nobody can predict markets
Also Ben: predicts ETH/BTC
Ben at Costco: eggs: 3.4K sats, milk: 5.4K sats, laptop: 0.02₿
scoop some profits Ben, buy a laptop, u deserve it broski
😂😂
@@franktowers3 The laptop/BTC ratio is going asymptotically to zero so Ben is right to wait for the purchase 😂 Taking bets on how low the satoshi valuation of the laptop goes until he buys. I think right around the 0.01₿ level.
@@wanglelife I was laughing way too much about that😅
You’re right, keeping Bitcoin and then converting to ETH was the better play, but it’s hard for everyday people who earn in USD and spend in USD to look at the world from a BTC valuation point of view. And I would still invest in Microsoft and Google even if one outperforms the other.
Stocks are different than crypto. Those companies actually make money. Crypto is mostly just dubious speculation
In crypto it’s a little different though because BTC alone amounts to 60% of the whole market. That doesn’t really happen in the stock markets, so diversifying across different assets regardless of point in time makes way more sense. If BTC dominance will ever drop below like 15% and stay there for good, then diversifying among the big cryptos regardless of point cycle would also be a valid strategy.
Man I laughed a lot in 29:45 😂
I earn in USD and still look at things through btc. My pc I bought last year bled against bitcoin heavily. Should have bought btc and converted it to pc now since my gpu bled agaist the usd
@@markojovanovic6928 😂😂😂
I can't believe this content is free. Thanks Ben!
It's the year 2035: Ada still hasn't hit a new ATH and Ben has the same MacBook
You know? The massive sell pressure built up with ADA holders has got to be THE ATH of the season. Just think of all these super-impatient ADA bag-holders all wanting OUT!! Trust me, I'm dumping my 2020 ADA just as soon as it looks good, at long last!!
You guys will sleep on ADA until it's too late lol
@@oXDestroXoShit coin
@@n0nam3givenman I would just dump it and take the loss. Ride another asset back in to profit...
@@Cryptony1975 Yep, XRP is also garbage
From BTC dubious speculation to ETH dubious speculation. PERFECT 🤩
Definitely did not expect Ben to talk about Japanese central bank interest rates and Eth but I’m here for it
If there's one guy in the whole crypto verse you want to listen to, it's Ben here.
The day ben has subscribers in millions everyone has understood crypto. Very few have the patience to watch long videos that actually matter
5 years following you, there is only 2 predictions that you were wrong : 1) A BTC drop in oct 2023, and 2) this time about ETH price nov 2024. The only time I did not beleive you was about ETH. You are the best Ben, THANK YOU
And lengthening cycles, but he owned that haha
Historically QE is only used to inject liquidity when rates are already low. If interest rates remain high throughout 2025 with a strong economy, it is unlikely QE will begin. Would this mean ALT season is also unlikely to happen in 2025?
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I'm still learning but, not necessarily. Well historically you're correct, My limited understanding is that QE is a relatively New concept. The fed may need to keep interest rates moderate to relatively high and may resume in QE in order to ease financial markets without disrupting the broader economy. That is to say, to keep the poors poor and to debase the currency in other ways that benefit the asset holders and maintain order in the financial markets.
Feel free for anyone to correct me or to add your understanding.
Love seeing updates from Ben!!! LFG!!!
Ben, you still might not be wrong about ETH going home. I will not be surprised if by January/February we will see some shenanigans….
Help me out please, what does he mean with that term - going home?
@@alexchavez3383that means to bottom out, potentially at around 1500 - 2000 usd before rallying up again.
@@alexchavez3383I think it means eth going down and hitting bottom
I think he means dropping in price, regressing to some average trend line
Let’s jump in!
do you have any ideas around cycle top for ETH?
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Whats its your prediction price of ethereum in this cycle? Im from spain and i dont understand all video but i apreciate the information.
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Have been struggling with this topic, Ben. I'm a long haul trucker who only drives in order to DCA SATs every day. That's my shtick. So, I am way too familiar with dollar-thinking. So, if all I have is weekly dollars to invest, how do I apply the ETH/BTC chart? My guess is: buy ETH like a madman now through, say, January 2025... let the chart climb high and steep to the upper-right... and convert that ETH to BTC as it begins to fall to the bottom-right. Is that the plan? This will do better than just DCA-ing into BTC all along? (Love you, Brother! You're the best!!)
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Had this same struggle the past few days. My 2 cents:
Either:
1. If you're holding onto BTC, consider converting some to ETH since it is projected to be a better store of SATS in the coming year (as ETH/BTC climbs back up from the current bottom)
2. If you're earning FIAT, buying ETH at present offers a good risk/reward return as compared to buying BTC (which is topping due to BTC.D being at 60%-ish)
Once you buy ETH with your dollars, you do not concern yourself with ETH/USD any more. (See #1)
I now keep an eye on ETH/BTC ratio. Whenever it goes down to 0.035, I buy ETH (w/ dollars).
@@AraAra-l3r still be careful buying ETH in USD, there exists a scenario where ETH/USD drops whilst ETH/BTC Rallies. IE Both ETH/USD & BTC/USD drop, but BTC/USD is just dropping faster than ETH/USD.
Always have some cash on hand to take advantage of unexpected market drops
What does “going home” mean?
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It means we go back to where it all began
Means eth/usd goes back down into the green logarithmic regression band (eg. eth dropping to 2k or so, shown at 30 mins).
I enjoyed your show yesterday so much.. I came back again today🙌🏾
Hi Ben, appreciated all your updates
Your analysis are so on point. Thx Ben for sharing all these amazing infos !
Laptop easy fix.
Just restore to factory settings, but backup first and it should work like new again.
Good luck friend! 😊
1hr long ETH dubios speculation.. got myself some popcorn. Let's go!
The longer i watched this channel, the more i found Ben to be an amazing individual. 👍🏻
Many thanks for your excellent video. While your main focus is on comparing ETH/BTC, it might also be important to consider comparisons against USD at times.
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Excellent analysis, as usual. Thanks!
“Welcome to copetown population - me” lol 😝
you’re about as genuine and honest as any of us could ask for my friend.
Appreciate your opinions on all these things ….. aren’t you also the person responsible for the Bitcoin dominance metric the entire globe uses now? pretty sure you are. that’s a big deal and something to be very proud of.
Always count me in. I make it through all your videos with delight.
Thank you Benjamin!
make sense ! Thank you so much.
18:00 pure 🔥🔥🔥
Love your channel Ben
Thanks for all you do Ben. Have learned alot from your videos and premium
Hi Ben! excellent content.
Do you have any plan to start a full course on technical analysis? I am noob to this field and really wish to learn about charts and the analysis things.
Thanks!
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How come you're using UTC+1 clock?
to make people comment on here asking about it and contribute to the algorithm
Waiting for the "Todaaaay we're gonna be talking about Cardano, and it's native token ADA" video...
I want an hour long video from Ben on Japanese monetary policy.
Loved the comment about the microphone
Third explanation if ETH/BTC keeps on dropping (maybe more likely than no.2) ; BTC is in a bear market?
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What are relic and non relic alts? Does he mean new and old alt coin?
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Yes Ben you were right about btc and alt coins it’s my first cycle the market has humbled me as well next cycle I only own btc till altcoin season
So if QE doesn’t happen because inflation goes back up will we have to wait for Altseason? Or will btc dominance go down regardless in 2025?
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The opportunity costs of a new MacBook Pro are too damn high
Can someone tell me if he says eth will pump? This video is wayyy to long
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I love these videos. Sometimes, I come back and do a second listen. It's like watching a movies for the second time, you pick up so many more pieces you missed.
Thanks!
Please do dubious speculation about usdt dominance
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2025 Ben being a millionaire with Bitcoin and still has that laptop
any particular reason why ETH is so lagging ? I mean BTC is hitting ATH's every single day , while ETH could not even reach it's prev. ATH, what's the catch?
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a lot of assets haven’t hit ath’s yet, everyone is just impatient
There are more and more buyers hitting the BTC market i.e. Saylor, and the institutions
Sorry for my ignorance, but I I understood correctly, In a super simplified way of viewing it, would you say that when BTC/ETH is low, you would want to have more BTC in the portfolio, when BTC/ETH, is at highs, you would want to have more ETH because your getting more sats just from the conversion rate?
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Nice seeing getting into ETH that deep
Ethereum is pissing me off.
Seriously...I'm so freaking frustrated to see ethereum doing 1.5% pump and everything else doing 4.5% to 15% pumps
I think Solana is taking most of the oxygen from ETH for now.
Over the long term though - ETH has exponentially more institutional support and developers.
ETH should be fine and I am actually glad so many have fallen out of love with the #2 market cap crypto.
We know the big surprise is coming.
Dont move your ETH. Its time will come @@jimmyrowell3575
Damn it’s 2:15am. Guess I’ll be sleeping after 3:15am now. Thanks Ben!
How much would a laptop bleed to BTC?
What price range for btc when it goes home??
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This remains excellent content. Really appreciate Ben's perspectives
Listen, basically all that altcoins need is Bitcoin dominance to plummet that's all they need not QE. Agree? 🙂
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Dominance could plummet and tether dominance go up at the same time. You don’t want to be in alts when that happens.
@@muad33bmatt36could you elaborate please?
How many sats is a new laptop?
Thank you for doing what you do Ben. We appreciate your honesty. It’s hard to come by in this game.
You are awesome . thank you Ben .
Respect Ben, I appreciate the honest analysis. You knowledge is very valuable.
I don't feel that you owe an apology to anyone. You're providing market analysis for free (on youtube), and it's up to each one of us to do our own analysis and make our own decisions.
I wish I subscribed to your content more during last cycle, less of a degen this time around and happier for it.
Holding ETH since 2020
I wonder if there is a time in market cycle tha moving assets to usd is more favorable
Why not refit the logarithmic regression curve to show an alternative view?
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Thanks Ben, great discussion. Could you please discuss about the landing thing? What is that? I mentioned and never sad again...thanks man
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Wonderful content as always
lol. Bro I watch most of your videos. I have long drives to and from work, you’ve been a beacon in the grim dark and saved me from making stupid swaps etc.
12:03 That's better than having your maxipad on I guess
Murpheys law ETH goes home after this video. You were so right about almost everything so it wouldn't matter.
New to cryto, what does going home mean ??
🏠Watch this clip👉x.com/itc_crypto/status/1852929139432448348 🏠
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Newest gadgets < valuable content
@ 14:40 ❤ I think of everything in relation to bitcoin
Eth didn't get a death cross on the weekly, is that normal?
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As far as eth not going home? Could lower highs and higher lows from eth growth % gets lower every cycle?
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love the new mic
Great content as usual !
Tks from Brazil
If Bitcoin is the king, ETH is queen and show must go oon✊
Ben, we love you. You're wisdon/knowledge is divine. Be more personal. It's endearing.
How have these institutions not unwound this carry trade already
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Ben. wonderful analysis and very right all this while. Can I ask you to do a SQL/BTC analysis as well and how high and probably when it will go up ? thanks
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Well, the thought of valuating my groceries in sats and not euro’s (I’m from the Netherlands) the flippening of euro for sats happened 🙂. Brilliant thought-process!
If the FED already lowered rates twice, why cant we call QE already? Im really asking 😊
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I do not know who is criticizing you, but you are telling and doing everything very correctly. I'm only watching you.
Is there no chance we’re forming a 3rd lower high and still goes home?
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still a chance
Thank you
thanks Ben
What’s a good btc:eth ratio to hold?
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ETH didn't go home because of the merge. It gave us a pump that normally wouldn't happen so it would have had to fall further than normal.
the network effect is just too strong to get ETH get home.
Ben, what if QE doesn’t return? I’ve heard some analysts say that the times of ultra low interest rates are over and we might need to keep them at around 4%. QE was developed as a response to the 2007 crash, but the economy has recovered to the point where QE might not be necessary.
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Ben, in 2016 ETH/BTC bottomed without a transition from QT to QE. Why can't it happen this time too?
it could, which is why I've started to hedge
outside ADA, XRP, maybe XLM, BTC,ETH,SOL all 100% going bull for next few months, the only other traction i'm seeing is the meme coins having their bull market. utility coins just are not making much for headlines not even the ai rugs.
honest to god I think i'm going to chase the top memes while eth continues to sell, because thats where retail gonna go, after all most people are trading on eth networks which is where these top memecoins are before they get listed on exchanges like binance and coinbase.
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Do we need to donate on new MacBook ?
Ben, may you answer my humble question:
That If we follow the track of 2016 and 2019 then Eth/btc will pick up in 2025 and 2026 peak. And should ETH has to move so ALT to move up? Thank you Ben❤ sorry I just found you recently
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Punctuation on the word dubious!