What is the Probability that Your Probability Calculation is (Very) Wrong?

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  • Опубликовано: 11 сен 2024

Комментарии • 6

  • @ThinkLikeaPhysicist
    @ThinkLikeaPhysicist  Год назад

    Questions?

  • @CristianGeorgescu
    @CristianGeorgescu 6 месяцев назад

    Very good explanation and video

  • @Kraflyn
    @Kraflyn Год назад +1

    :D :D :D Fan of the title! Let's see the video now :3

  • @CristianGeorgescu
    @CristianGeorgescu 6 месяцев назад

    Thanks!

  • @piyushmarmat
    @piyushmarmat Год назад

    This video is so hard to understand that i cant even say that all this is correct or not, while me being a physics grad student, maybe the probability of me unable to understand things is much higher than i thought.

    • @ThinkLikeaPhysicist
      @ThinkLikeaPhysicist  Год назад +2

      Hi! Thanks for your input. (And sorry for the slow reply!)
      I guess, in physics terms, a way to sum this up is that if you, for example, see an experimental result that is 7 sigma away from your predicted value, it's important to check all of your assumptions, including those that go into the predicted value. Of course, one should check one's assumptions anyway. But it's especially important in a case like this, because a 7 sigma deviation is so unlikely that the possibility that something has just gone wrong (usually) is more likely.