@@WeatherForce2024I agree too, models & ensembles are definitely picking up on this around 5-10 days out, also enjoy your cousins bd party, your work is most definitely appreciated.
@@WeatherForce2024 I especially respect you because I note you never stop learning & expanding your understanding of this important subject of weather which affects all of us! Again, thank-you! 💖
hmm so far we would be behind in named storms (6th named storm happens on august 29 on average) and since there are no storms expected in the next 7 days, that means we will be behind soon thankfully
Until the NHC says they are monitoring an invest, I would take all models with a massive grain of a salt. 90% of the models were wrong with Beryl and We paid the price for people mindlessly believing these model runs. Model runs are only accurate up to 5 days from landfall even then its still sketchy.
With the Bermuda high position so far east, I think anything that develops in next 2 weeks makes a b- line towards Bermuda or that general direction. So unless a system hugs the tcz throughout the journey across the Atlantic then minimal possible impact to the US mainland. The danger i think remains in the northern Carrigan and southern gulf of Mexico for the most threatening systems. We'll see. Its Def peak season in next 30 days.
Right now, way too far out to even make that decision as the wave has not even came close to developing, but based on ensembles Florida needs to be watching this wave.
I think you’re a good weatherman, but all the lines are confusing. If you could just show the states instead of the lines I think we would better understand what you’re saying thank you so much.
I just looked at this evening's 18z GFS shows almost absolutely nothing through September 9th LOL that's hilarious just some tropical waves that really don't get going Euro showing much of nothing again something's fishy with the models
Yeah, I am really on edge, but there is a big signal on the ensembles, oh shoot I forgot to show you the ECMWF-AIFS model Also showed a Hurricane near the eastern seaboard.
Not really there is a lot of stable dry air in the mid atmosphere that these waves are running into. Look at all the data noting on deck till at lest the 1st week of September when these next few waves pass and leave more moisture behind to feed later storms.
Everyone on RUclips does … it’s called marketing. His videos are great, great information great delivery, however if you only read the title …. just to negatively comment 🤷🏻♀️
Umm. You do know the GOES noaa radar is free for anyone right? You always give credit to that other guy like he has some special satellite access no one else can get.
I am taking climatology into consideration here. When I mean the word explode it’s basically to shorten the word length as I could barely fit it in Photoshop.
I changed my Thumbnail & end of the Tile just for you guys.
Looks good like mine
David don’t let negative comments ruin your day. Your efforts and knowledge are much appreciated.
thank you for consistently uploading tropical updates everyday David this is why i trust you with my life
Of course i try to upload everyday but one in a while I need a day off which occurs tomorrow.
You do you David! Keep doing your content the way you want to!
thanks David! alway ahead of the game with the data we need!
Thank You, Sir, for Your expertise. South Florida resident here. ..be well.
Thank you for your excellent, well-explained weather forecast.
Of course.
Great update David!! I'm watching and waiting like you. Take care
Can't thank Africa enough for all it's given us
Mosquito burgers
Been hearing this forever, the year will be over, and they'll be saying the same thing next year, with tons of excuses for the prior year lol
@@ahernandez4695 they will end up naming thunder storms to save face.
You like them canes also, eh?
Don't hear anything then
You said not much going on out there now,but yeah,things are about to explode.
David, watch you whenever I can and thanks for explaining so well. We are in a drought in Tennessee and need a little tropical rains, Thanks
Thanks, I try to explain things very well but sometimes I get overboard with it.
Good night i watching lightening in trinidad right now
good afternoon david, greetings from the hot gulf of mexico ♥️
Yo what's up david how's it going. And yes the gulf is on fire.
@@WeatherForce2024doin great David, the tropics are definitely ramping up, but the waves are emerging to far north for development…
@@davidleyt1060 Not for long i see a couple emerging further south.
Metairie LA here!
@@WeatherForce2024I agree too, models & ensembles are definitely picking up on this around 5-10 days out, also enjoy your cousins bd party, your work is most definitely appreciated.
Thank you Dave love your videos never stop pleases
David is the hardest working, most earnest weather person I have watched to date! Thank-you, @David!
your super welcome.
@@WeatherForce2024
I especially respect you because I note you never stop learning & expanding your understanding of this important subject of weather which affects all of us! Again, thank-you! 💖
We’re sending it to Bedminster Sept 5
here we go
hmm so far we would be behind in named storms (6th named storm happens on august 29 on average) and since there are no storms expected in the next 7 days, that means we will be behind soon thankfully
Until the NHC says they are monitoring an invest, I would take all models with a massive grain of a salt. 90% of the models were wrong with Beryl and We paid the price for people mindlessly believing these model runs. Model runs are only accurate up to 5 days from landfall even then its still sketchy.
Yeah i'm aware of that, it's called Ensambles.
Even worse than that, IT'S ABOUT TO GET HORRIBLE!!! 😱😭
With the Bermuda high position so far east, I think anything that develops in next 2 weeks makes a b- line towards Bermuda or that general direction. So unless a system hugs the tcz throughout the journey across the Atlantic then minimal possible impact to the US mainland. The danger i think remains in the northern Carrigan and southern gulf of Mexico for the most threatening systems. We'll see. Its Def peak season in next 30 days.
Hi David, its getting intense soon.
Yes it is by September 2nd.
Is the Bahamas gonna get affected?
are we good in gulf coast of FL?
Right now the atmosphere is far more stable than the models.
What do you see for Florida
Right now, way too far out to even make that decision as the wave has not even came close to developing, but based on ensembles Florida needs to be watching this wave.
Hello David from Jazzy Red Talk Show Mobile Alabama
hello Jazzy.
That’s really cool, I just subscribed to your channel Jazzy Red and I’m going to pass your channel along to my friends and family
Dude, you said this a week ago, two weeks go, and three weeks ago… Wishful eyes are not scientific eyes
I think you’re a good weatherman, but all the lines are confusing. If you could just show the states instead of the lines I think we would better understand what you’re saying thank you so much.
I think the the circles are high pressure
hi dave
Eyebrows go crazyyyyyy
Looks like fish storms like 2023.
It is almost September.. We are all going to die.
Buddy.... hurricane season was an over hype...as usual....no east Coast threats thank you
@@davidvaughan3771 Dude, it still August.
I'll take his information and I won't complain about it.
September will be less active than August.
Was your Mother or Father a Great Horned Owl?
Guys how about a lil kindness for David You don’t have to follow him cmon
Thanks Moonie3089.
When he stops the clickbait titles, maybe
FEAR MONGERER !
I just looked at this evening's 18z GFS shows almost absolutely nothing through September 9th LOL that's hilarious just some tropical waves that really don't get going Euro showing much of nothing again something's fishy with the models
Yeah, I am really on edge, but there is a big signal on the ensembles, oh shoot I forgot to show you the ECMWF-AIFS model Also showed a Hurricane near the eastern seaboard.
@@WeatherForce2024 maybe the operational models have not caught up to the E members yet
Not really there is a lot of stable dry air in the mid atmosphere that these waves are running into. Look at all the data noting on deck till at lest the 1st week of September when these next few waves pass and leave more moisture behind to feed later storms.
This guy loves his clickbait thumbnails. Lol
Everyone on RUclips does … it’s called marketing. His videos are great, great information great delivery, however if you only read the title …. just to negatively comment 🤷🏻♀️
@@MeandBee It's called clickbait.You can polish a terd all you want and try to sell it as something else but it will still be 💩.
I don't see the clickbait
Not Now
You’ve been hyping since the end of July “Hyperactive August Coming” I recommend you take up another “hobby” …
Insane to talk about a wave
No development. Check back in 2 weeks.
Umm. You do know the GOES noaa radar is free for anyone right? You always give credit to that other guy like he has some special satellite access no one else can get.
Explode is a bad choice of word to use. Active is a much better word to use. Stop the fear mongering.
I am taking climatology into consideration here. When I mean the word explode it’s basically to shorten the word length as I could barely fit it in Photoshop.
@@WeatherForce2024not fear mongering. Don’t worry, David. I wasn’t in fear after finishing your video.
@@MyMindoverYourMatter It isn't fear mongering. Having a title that attracts views is important for keeping your channel on the algorithm
Stop using the term fear mongering because he does use fear mongering
@@afox1689 you can love the player, just hate the game. Lol
Weathermen and strippers. Nothing but drama
Everyone is a weatherman now days!
JXULLjQURRUVYQULjT. 1ST KAN XING JRIET 2ND YEILD STQP MEX ALTQ MOJAVE DESSERT XQRM
I'm getting tired of forecasters overhyping this season. Explodes??? Just stop it, and present the information
It's just a synonym for strength
@@Nardage Well duh. It's also click bait. Do you like your forecasters to be using click bait, or just telling you the truth?
MAYBE ! YOU HAVE BEEN WRONG SOOO MUCH
Fake news
Just proves climate change is a hoax
Free Palestine Ali Ali Akbar!
L comment