Lecture 13 Time Series Analysis

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  • Опубликовано: 29 ноя 2024

Комментарии • 98

  • @garbour456
    @garbour456 7 лет назад +147

    This is the best and most comprehensive intro to time series that I've found on youtube. Thanks so much for making this

  • @aborucu
    @aborucu 2 года назад +4

    So much for professors who like inflicting pain on student subjects by presenting these concepts in a convoluted way. Like if it's an esoteric black magic.. Step bey step crystal clear ! Thank yo and Bravo!

  • @liveinthemoment419
    @liveinthemoment419 6 лет назад +9

    Best time series lecture I've come across so far. The real life examples makes understanding the concept way easier.

  • @Maiskolbenkind
    @Maiskolbenkind 6 лет назад +7

    Why doesn't this video have more clicks?! Simply awesome. If my empirical research lecturer only were half as talented at explaining things as you are, I wouldn't need to be here right now. Thanks so much!

  • @lantianyu1050
    @lantianyu1050 3 года назад +4

    This is the best time series introduction courses I've had! Thank you very much!

  • @sandundassanayake
    @sandundassanayake 5 лет назад +1

    I am a graduate student in Civil Engineering. But I am fairly new to the subject area of time-series forecasting. This has been the best intro I found on RUclips. Not so tough on the mathematics but seamless in every aspect of the topic. Simple and clearly understandable. If I could give more than a thumbs up I would definitely give; recommended. Thanks!

    • @samis1219
      @samis1219 2 года назад +1

      Time series analysis is of utmost importance in Finance and Economics

  • @30stmism
    @30stmism 3 года назад +3

    After desperation from looking at the bunch of formulas in my study book, I'm so glad to have watched this video. Literally gave me AHA moments for 40 minutes :) thx

  • @Guidussify
    @Guidussify 7 месяцев назад

    Fabulous lecture. Everything is so clear! Thank you for making it available.

  • @PierLim
    @PierLim 6 лет назад +8

    The most informative video on time series by far on youtube, thanks a lot!

  • @AMFLearning
    @AMFLearning 2 года назад +1

    #amflearningbydoing #amflearning this awesome bro, thanks a lot

  • @naftalibendavid
    @naftalibendavid 4 года назад +3

    Would it work on counts? Stellar job. Just the right level of detail, perfect pace, and organized layout. You really take the listener by the hand.

  • @andreagondova9211
    @andreagondova9211 Год назад +1

    Very useful video, well explained and illustrated. Thank you very much for making it available to the wide audience :)

  • @neoaksa
    @neoaksa Год назад

    Thanks for sharing this information. Comprehensive concepts intro and easy to understand. Great for my job project at this moment.

  • @samyeung122
    @samyeung122 5 лет назад +1

    BEST video on time series! Period!

  • @Shawn-cr8ep
    @Shawn-cr8ep 3 года назад

    Finally, autocorrelation explained simply! Thanks!

  • @chriscockrell9495
    @chriscockrell9495 4 года назад +1

    DIfferencing, I'll have to try that.
    Demand in electric utilities is MW or kW, it is a measure of power, not energy. When asked about demand, you are giving a instantaneous power consumption. A user will also provide a capacity or load factor which gives you kWh.

  • @koteletje
    @koteletje 3 месяца назад

    This is very good intuitive intro!

  • @danieldaniel-ri2mu
    @danieldaniel-ri2mu 3 года назад +1

    Ur my life saver in understanding this topic

  • @donharrold1375
    @donharrold1375 День назад

    Excellent lecture Jordan

  • @PastaSenpai
    @PastaSenpai Год назад

    Amazing job with introducing time-series relative to regression!

  • @scottwall2626
    @scottwall2626 6 лет назад +12

    Well done!! This was an incredibly well written and well structured explanation of a complex topic. Thanks for posting it!!

  • @brendensong8000
    @brendensong8000 3 года назад

    Thank you for the most comprehensive lecture I've ever seen!

  • @richardfinney2548
    @richardfinney2548 Год назад +1

    Incredible lecture. Thank you so much.

  • @elnazmkh5885
    @elnazmkh5885 4 года назад

    the best explanation of time series analysis ever! after looking for a good one for one month. thank you Jordan

  • @polapaul
    @polapaul 2 года назад +1

    @Jordan Kern Do you recommend any reading material to accompany your wonderful lectures?

  • @libertarianPinoy
    @libertarianPinoy 6 лет назад +26

    Dammit man, post the rest of your lectures!

    • @MilitanT07
      @MilitanT07 6 лет назад

      Upon watching them all, I think he numbered them not using the actual lecture number but session no.
      The missing classes were probably those he used to show an example or have them code something.

  • @jaybhatt6775
    @jaybhatt6775 2 года назад

    Best lecture in time series so far

  • @LilacsAndLavender
    @LilacsAndLavender Год назад

    This is super helpful! Thank you so much! This is perfect for getting an overview for me, starting at the bare basics!

  • @niclaskammler1006
    @niclaskammler1006 2 года назад

    Helped me understanding a lot more than in my lecture! Thank you very much for creating this great content

  • @nonamenoname1942
    @nonamenoname1942 3 года назад

    Thank you, and by the way 11:49 there's a clear trend on a first graph indicates about Batman existence!

  • @davidthehudson
    @davidthehudson 3 года назад

    Just 12 min in and I agree with everyone else. This is the best lecture I have ever seen on time series. Thank you so, so much.

  • @valetrujilloNV
    @valetrujilloNV 4 года назад +1

    Thank you, this is extremely useful and very accessible. A great introduction to the topic!

    • @valetrujilloNV
      @valetrujilloNV 4 года назад

      Also this link at the end! www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/pmc/section4/pmc4.htm

  • @Chasam93
    @Chasam93 6 лет назад +1

    Excellent video! I'm glad I found your channel, now I have to watch your videos, they all look very interesting !

  • @deandevilliers2799
    @deandevilliers2799 5 лет назад +5

    Thanks dude, finally understand some concepts!

  • @larryparker7081
    @larryparker7081 5 лет назад

    best lecture I have seen this year. grattitude for your dedication

  • @tharunrocky14
    @tharunrocky14 7 лет назад +2

    Thanks!! I've been through 7 minutes and I love it!! Thanks for this video..!! Will certainly share with my friends!

  • @everything_is_on_fire3155
    @everything_is_on_fire3155 5 лет назад

    Really informative video
    Straightforward and easy to understand

  • @1amitnagar
    @1amitnagar 6 лет назад

    Very good explanation of TS, Jordan. Nice job.

  • @temesgenatnafu2150
    @temesgenatnafu2150 Год назад

    Thank you for your service 💞

  • @ycc7744
    @ycc7744 4 года назад +1

    thank you so much, i needed this for my econometrics class big time.

  • @najmeh5707
    @najmeh5707 4 года назад +1

    The best ever! Great job, well done. Thanks a lot. :)

  • @IAKhan-km4ph
    @IAKhan-km4ph 2 года назад

    great work

  • @MuhammadShoaib-ui5jz
    @MuhammadShoaib-ui5jz 5 месяцев назад

    well explained.

  • @kristimulla7810
    @kristimulla7810 2 года назад

    Excellent lecture! Chapeau!

  • @buckmanakuffo2964
    @buckmanakuffo2964 3 года назад

    Fantastic!!!

  • @baruchschwartz819
    @baruchschwartz819 3 года назад

    Very talented lecturer

  • @user-oj4hr5rh6i
    @user-oj4hr5rh6i 3 года назад

    Great!

  • @zr246
    @zr246 4 года назад +1

    the best overview of time series concepts. taking it from a guy doing a statistics degree.

  • @buffboy710
    @buffboy710 4 года назад +1

    This is statistical poetry.

  • @thierryodou4479
    @thierryodou4479 3 года назад

    It was amazing course

  • @levonpapikyan2801
    @levonpapikyan2801 2 года назад

    great video!!! Can u share slides, it will be nice!!!!!

  • @KiraboGrace-zj3ke
    @KiraboGrace-zj3ke 7 месяцев назад

    👍

  • @krivoship90
    @krivoship90 5 лет назад +1

    If you have 3 points up in a row it doesn't mean that it has a memory. Saying that time series have a memory - it something which should be proved.

  • @gulzameenbaloch9339
    @gulzameenbaloch9339 6 месяцев назад

    Thanks 😊

  • @alanhill5337
    @alanhill5337 4 года назад

    Excellent. Thank you

  • @yashshinde8970
    @yashshinde8970 5 лет назад +3

    At 1.5x, the guy becomes John Krasinski

  • @АлександрРусаков-в4с

    Garcia Dorothy Rodriguez Brian Brown Larry

  • @amrendrasingh7140
    @amrendrasingh7140 4 года назад

    At 34:37 you said when the correlation for two time series is 0 it becomes statistically independent, I beg to differ because the correlation only gives you an idea about linear dependence, but not about the non-linear one.You cannot conclude that the two RV's are independent.

  • @KIMNEG
    @KIMNEG 4 года назад

    So, it can be this simpler? Cheers!

  • @alexaross7438
    @alexaross7438 2 года назад

    Hi Jordan - how do you produce the last plot you showed with relative variance vs. frequency?

  • @cesarfierro5509
    @cesarfierro5509 3 года назад

    Today I presented my master's thesis proposal on univariate forecasting (time series forecasting). I intend to combine different models such as Holt Winters, ARIMA, LSTM neural networks, random Forest, etc...The Synods told me that time series forecast are simple and less accurate than multivariate forecast... any advice to answer them?
    ?

  • @SaintRudi85
    @SaintRudi85 6 лет назад +2

    Thank you for posting this lecture. Your descriptions are nice and clear. I particularly liked the approach to auto-correlation.
    I did feel that the part covering seasonality needed more depth though. Is simply taking the mean for each month (which I assume you do in a step-wise manner rather than some moving average) a robust approach to considering seasonality?

  • @许海云-o8v
    @许海云-o8v 6 лет назад

    Great work!

  • @vanditamishra24x7
    @vanditamishra24x7 5 лет назад

    Your teaching material is awesome. Could you please share the file?

  • @kalyanasundaramsp8267
    @kalyanasundaramsp8267 6 лет назад

    phenomenal sir

  • @noon8681
    @noon8681 3 года назад

    You’re amazing

  • @isaiahebei6209
    @isaiahebei6209 6 лет назад

    wonderful, its now easier!

  • @SL-cl9gt
    @SL-cl9gt Месяц назад

    13:09
    Noise: 🚓 🚨

  • @moebiusdroste8293
    @moebiusdroste8293 3 года назад

    Thanks!!!!

  • @deeptysarder6797
    @deeptysarder6797 4 года назад

    If I am going to conduct a var model of variable 4 , and find that 2 variable is stationary and 2 variable is non stationary. Numeric Unit of those variable percent i.e. Interest rate, repo rate and deposit rate etc. What to do?

  • @محمدالشمري-ض4ه1ط
    @محمدالشمري-ض4ه1ط 2 года назад

    Hi Mr jordan Sorry, is there a pdf file for this topic that I need?

  • @carlosvida6709
    @carlosvida6709 3 года назад

    Thanks, this lecture was very useful for studying econometric. I'm spanish, by the way.

  • @smsm314
    @smsm314 5 лет назад

    Good evening my Professor,
    Please sir, if we have the Yt series. To study the stationarity of
    this series, we can do the following decomposition (or filtering):
    Yt=F(t)+Ut, such that F(t) is a continuous function according to the
    trend (linen, nonlinear). And if we find the series Ut it is stationary,
    it implies that Yt is stationary, and the opposite is right?
    B.w

  • @Skandawin78
    @Skandawin78 6 лет назад

    with the background noise, it sounds like a recording made in 1950s :) . Nevertheless very informative and interesting presentation, thanks.

  • @DuraiMurugan-i3r
    @DuraiMurugan-i3r Год назад

    Mani pavi call Panna vaa attention Panna matiya true caler natrajen varum

  • @MilitanT07
    @MilitanT07 6 лет назад

    Why are there so many lectures missing? I enjoyed listening to these at 1.5X speed.

    • @wowZhenek
      @wowZhenek 6 лет назад

      lol, same, was listening at 1.5x speed.

  • @Skandawin78
    @Skandawin78 6 лет назад

    Is Smoothing done on the 'White noise' which was obtained after removing the signal data?

  • @ahmedgharieb5252
    @ahmedgharieb5252 5 лет назад

    Where is lecture 1 I would like to start

  • @sundasmemon1385
    @sundasmemon1385 6 лет назад

    HELLO, anyone who can tell me that is their any restriction of sample size in time series data?
    like i have taken data from 2004 to 2017 so the total number of observations are 14. So in this situation time series method is applicable or not?

    • @fransmulder9326
      @fransmulder9326 5 лет назад

      Sundas Memon
      Well yes the method is applicable but it will not give a lot of insight. With only 14 samples there is not a lot of information in the data.
      Furthermore, you must go back to the underlying proces that generated the data
      The guy does not grasp the fundamentals of digital signal processing

  • @mettataurr
    @mettataurr 4 года назад

    12:55 this man risking his life for our stats education

  • @Augustxjay
    @Augustxjay 2 года назад

    I still don’t understand

  • @buckmanakuffo2964
    @buckmanakuffo2964 3 года назад

    Can I have your email Sir?

  • @TheBjjninja
    @TheBjjninja 5 лет назад

    Pretty good but I wish he did not explain time series and regression to be exclusive topics. Regression is merely a scientific objective.

  • @isaiahebei6209
    @isaiahebei6209 6 лет назад

    wonderful, its now easier!

  • @isaiahebei6209
    @isaiahebei6209 6 лет назад

    wonderful, its now easier!