Credit Risk Introduction

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  • Опубликовано: 25 янв 2025

Комментарии • 52

  • @MJtheFellowActuary
    @MJtheFellowActuary  4 года назад +7

    I've released New Course on Credit Risk, Market Risk, Capital, Copulas and other ERM topics: Click the Link
    www.udemy.com/course/theory-of-credit-risk-models/?referralCode=67C9ADA77C3EE60F0BE3

  • @katlegozabala123
    @katlegozabala123 4 года назад +12

    your ability to make the content relatable is invaluable man, thank you

    • @jeremiahdeborah1395
      @jeremiahdeborah1395 3 года назад

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  • @YeahBuddy
    @YeahBuddy 3 года назад +5

    This is a very well done video. I would say late payments are a variable that would be used to calculate the probability of default. This is why late payments often lower a person’s credit score. Looking forward to watching more!

  • @Adam-vp4oe
    @Adam-vp4oe 7 лет назад +6

    Hi MJ, I wanted to make a complimentary comment to your conundrum mentioned at 5:30 forward. Categorizing for probability of default (or PD) is illegal in most countries in most fashions. In the US it can be considered redlining or against UDAAP. Most of PD is based on many factors but mostly the Debt Service Coverage Ratio which is different for corporates than individuals but can be googled for formula. This basically looks at excess cash from income after sole expenses to service the cumulative debt payments. The loss if defaulted is usually based on the loan to value of collateral taken. The quality of these ratios are then typically ranked into grades and each grade can reflect a percentage of loss likelihood or loss percentage after collateral sold. I hope that give some insight on the micro scale of credit modeling. I really enjoy your video going over the macro view. It's very insightful.

    • @MJtheFellowActuary
      @MJtheFellowActuary  7 лет назад

      +Adam Cogan thank you so much for this comment. These videos are essentially me studying out loud and trying to wrestle with the concepts and idea. I really appreciate your response

    • @Adam-vp4oe
      @Adam-vp4oe 7 лет назад +1

      It is very enlightening is something I hope to work my way up into, I'd like to be a "quantitative/qualitative credit risk modeler". Are you studying mathematics or does your college have an actuary program?

    • @MJtheFellowActuary
      @MJtheFellowActuary  7 лет назад

      I studied at Wits and fortunately we had a dedicated Actuarial Program :-)

    • @rowansiddig9043
      @rowansiddig9043 7 лет назад +1

      Hi MG and Adam ..
      I have to develop a credit risk assessment system. I do not know anything about this topic. I need you to guide me with all books, videos, scientific papers and articles.
      Thanks for this video

  • @TheCutestEvil
    @TheCutestEvil 4 года назад +5

    great explanation !! thank you! As a beginner in this field, it has really helped me understand basics.

    • @jeremiahdeborah1395
      @jeremiahdeborah1395 3 года назад

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  • @tlhogid663
    @tlhogid663 2 года назад +1

    Awesome video

  • @martalena6053
    @martalena6053 6 лет назад +6

    You are awesome! Please continue this great job!!!

  • @nomuntu
    @nomuntu 6 лет назад +6

    great ability to explain!!!!

  • @justsomeguy-u6p
    @justsomeguy-u6p 4 года назад +3

    Cheers for the videos - very well explained. Would you consider doing one on calculating the matching adjustment for a given portfolio of assets?

  • @nyaka4272
    @nyaka4272 5 лет назад +3

    Thanks so much...great explanation

  • @jcn268
    @jcn268 2 года назад

    interesting , never knew there was this much philosophy in actuarial science

  • @Obi1Kenobiii
    @Obi1Kenobiii 2 года назад

    Hi MJ, can I ask you what program are you using to draw this presentation?

  • @vaquezartup365
    @vaquezartup365 2 года назад

    Our lecturer wrote
    Risk index ={[E(ROA)+CAP] \ ROA }
    Wat is it about
    Do you have a tutorial on it

  • @rasrahmani3087
    @rasrahmani3087 6 лет назад +5

    Great explanations. Thanks mate!

  • @lebogangmoichela7879
    @lebogangmoichela7879 5 лет назад

    You, Sir, are brilliant.

  • @stefanosa5050
    @stefanosa5050 3 года назад +1

    Can probability of default be zero?

    • @jeremiahdeborah1395
      @jeremiahdeborah1395 3 года назад

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    • @MJtheFellowActuary
      @MJtheFellowActuary  3 года назад

      Theoretically yes, practically no. The future is uncertain and so there is always a chance (no matter how small) that the loan isn’t repaid no matter how creditworthy the borrower is.

  • @Kaplanel
    @Kaplanel 7 лет назад +3

    hello, thank you. Could you please suggest me a book related to credit risk assessment? thanks

    • @MJtheFellowActuary
      @MJtheFellowActuary  7 лет назад +3

      Enterprise Risk Management by James Lam

    • @Kaplanel
      @Kaplanel 7 лет назад +1

      MJ the Student Actuary hello, thank you but I am looking for something that focus on credit risk management. could you suggest me smt ? thanks..

    • @DeepakSharma-ho4eq
      @DeepakSharma-ho4eq 4 года назад

      @@Kaplanel advanced credit risk analysis and management Ciby Joseph
      Publisher Wiley Finance

  • @Griffatron3000
    @Griffatron3000 4 года назад

    Very well explained, thanks

  • @yuxichen8661
    @yuxichen8661 3 года назад

    Is systemic and systematic risk the same thing?

    • @MJtheFellowActuary
      @MJtheFellowActuary  3 года назад

      No! Despite their similar spelling, it’s easy to confuse them

    • @yuxichen8661
      @yuxichen8661 3 года назад

      @@MJtheFellowActuary oh thanks for your answer, may I ask what’s the difference between them exactly?

  • @reachDeepNeuron
    @reachDeepNeuron 4 года назад

    my question is when we have credit score of each customer , is that not sufficient to sanction his loan .. Why do build a predictive model ?

    • @jeremiahdeborah1395
      @jeremiahdeborah1395 3 года назад

      Looking for a legit hacker for a bank clearance "contact" *world_ethical_hacker* on Instagram.
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  • @sathishbandolero
    @sathishbandolero Год назад

    Thank you

  • @TheMcallist1
    @TheMcallist1 7 лет назад +2

    Hi MJ, great video. Thanks. I was just wondering what app you use to make the videos? Thanks

  • @phantomdevil8096
    @phantomdevil8096 5 лет назад

    What's your great nation bro

  • @rishabhs4956
    @rishabhs4956 6 лет назад +1

    Awesome!! 💚💚💚

  • @llamabridge2962
    @llamabridge2962 6 лет назад +1

    This was awesome

  • @apextamang2009
    @apextamang2009 Год назад

    the paradox is u can tell the bank are shit . but they are the people who are expert in credit lending .so they are taking also a fee. and we need them

  • @TheWayofWyrd
    @TheWayofWyrd 6 лет назад

    Rubbish

  • @chitalusooka4978
    @chitalusooka4978 Год назад

    thank you