Seattles owns Detroit,3 yrs straight..Mike Mcdonald may not have the same roster and i can argue thet Seattle has a better secondary a decent front especially with the addition of Byron Murphy. Grubs offense looks explosive even with the vanilla scheme it showed in the pre season..Overall the offense should be a top 10 and defense top 15.A 12-5 ceiling and a floor of 9-8..Go Hawks!👊🏾💪🏾
I think you’re putting wayyy too much stock into rest days and not enough into actual team roster/scheme/strength. Seattle loses to the Giants and Cardinals purely because they got a day less of rest?
@@tony.squaresOver the last two seasons, the Seahawks are 4-4 with rest disadvantages (no statistical difference with 4-4 vs 18-16(their record the last two seasons). Oddly enough, the Seahawks have had a tendency to do better with a rest disadvantage than a rest advantage (have lost the last 4 games after bye weeks). On the other hand, the Seahawks have a record of 10-7 in home games the last two seasons. Choosing the Seahawks to lose all their games at a rest disadvantage is unlikely (going 0-6 vs their average of 4-4 would be deemed statistically different/ it is somewhat is analogous to flipping tails 6 times in a row (1/64 chance)) On that basis, the original commenter's point of you putting too much weight on rest seems to be valid (I get that you make 32 of these, but it seems to be lazy statistics and letting rest days do most of the work is dubious. The statement of "bye weeks are the most sure-fire statistic" seems to just be blatantly false as well. Statistical methods year-year like DVOA tend to have a higher correlation.
@@tony.squaresDid you delete my comment?😂 I discussed your argument with counterpoints and discussed what I deemed to be several flaws.I never personally attacked you. Instead of replying critically, or even ignoring it, it appears you chose to delete it
@skip3508 I don't delete comments skip, I think you can see on both this video and others that many critical comments are there for all too see. RUclips does a lot of filtering themselves however. Or maybe their bots agreed with the video versus your likely poorly worded retort
@@tony.squares I like how you state it was poorly worded without any evidence, while I never accused you of deleting the comment . I asked and then said it appears which is an argument towards perception rather than an argument of metaphysical reality (chose words fairly carefully on that basis) The retort was involving how the Seahawks were 4-4 the last two seasons with less rest, while you predicted them to be 0-6 in the same scenario (low dataset, but it would be deemed statistically improbable ). I also mentioned how year-to-year statistics favor DVOA as a metric that is more accurate than bye week trends. On that basis, I took issue with the claim that rest days are the most sure-fire reason statistically speaking (seems to be more so than home field advantage at this point, but less so than DVOA) Edit: I said no evidence; I should have said weak evidence/ what I deem as no good evidence since one could argue it being filtered by bots is evidence (which is fair)
Bro, I came to your channel and immediately left because your FACE is up against the screen....sit back and dim the lights a little and I might come back...peace.
Sure, just show all the games as losses and you can make any ridiculous point you want as to the reason why. Your predictions are never going to happen which makes your points about rest days overly dramatic. SMH
Bro the giants are hot garbage, we beat the breaks off them last year with our past rush which got better 😂. Our defense will be better but you think our caliber of players is worse? Please explain how? Outside of diggs we gained in every area, Wagner is a leader but is old! I think we should’ve kept him as a spot guy but not a starter.
Wasn’t geno written off for a reason though? Why does 1.5 years of good stats make him that much of anything? He had even better weapons last year and his stats dropped, im just not high at all on him. Let howell play
@@tony.squares he also doesnt have proven multiple years of failures, he is young. Was on a shit house team last year and put up decent stats, but okay yeah thats all you need to say he stinks? FOH
We’ve had Detroits number so that’s a win, the G men are gonna get some prison luvin and that’s also a win . We finish 10-7
Seattles owns Detroit,3 yrs straight..Mike Mcdonald may not have the same roster and i can argue thet Seattle has a better secondary a decent front especially with the addition of Byron Murphy. Grubs offense looks explosive even with the vanilla scheme it showed in the pre season..Overall the offense should be a top 10 and defense top 15.A 12-5 ceiling and a floor of 9-8..Go Hawks!👊🏾💪🏾
I think you’re putting wayyy too much stock into rest days and not enough into actual team roster/scheme/strength. Seattle loses to the Giants and Cardinals purely because they got a day less of rest?
@kennylee6499 statistically it's the most surefire reason win/loss happen in NFL games
@@tony.squaresOver the last two seasons, the Seahawks are 4-4 with rest disadvantages (no statistical difference with 4-4 vs 18-16(their record the last two seasons). Oddly enough, the Seahawks have had a tendency to do better with a rest disadvantage than a rest advantage (have lost the last 4 games after bye weeks). On the other hand, the Seahawks have a record of 10-7 in home games the last two seasons. Choosing the Seahawks to lose all their games at a rest disadvantage is unlikely (going 0-6 vs their average of 4-4 would be deemed statistically different/ it is somewhat is analogous to flipping tails 6 times in a row (1/64 chance))
On that basis, the original commenter's point of you putting too much weight on rest seems to be valid (I get that you make 32 of these, but it seems to be lazy statistics and letting rest days do most of the work is dubious.
The statement of "bye weeks are the most sure-fire statistic" seems to just be blatantly false as well. Statistical methods year-year like DVOA tend to have a higher correlation.
@@tony.squaresDid you delete my comment?😂 I discussed your argument with counterpoints and discussed what I deemed to be several flaws.I never personally attacked you. Instead of replying critically, or even ignoring it, it appears you chose to delete it
@skip3508 I don't delete comments skip, I think you can see on both this video and others that many critical comments are there for all too see. RUclips does a lot of filtering themselves however. Or maybe their bots agreed with the video versus your likely poorly worded retort
@@tony.squares I like how you state it was poorly worded without any evidence, while I never accused you of deleting the comment . I asked and then said it appears which is an argument towards perception rather than an argument of metaphysical reality (chose words fairly carefully on that basis)
The retort was involving how the Seahawks were 4-4 the last two seasons with less rest, while you predicted them to be 0-6 in the same scenario (low dataset, but it would be deemed statistically improbable ). I also mentioned how year-to-year statistics favor DVOA as a metric that is more accurate than bye week trends. On that basis, I took issue with the claim that rest days are the most sure-fire reason statistically speaking (seems to be more so than home field advantage at this point, but less so than DVOA)
Edit: I said no evidence; I should have said weak evidence/ what I deem as no good evidence since one could argue it being filtered by bots is evidence (which is fair)
I suppose no team has ever beat a team that had more rest days than them in NFL history.
What a dumb argument.
I respectfully disagree.
hard to listen to, hard to hear but a Honest Evaluation of the NFL Shedulers and our Sacred Location....in the USA
Interesting theory
Bro, I came to your channel and immediately left because your FACE is up against the screen....sit back and dim the lights a little and I might come back...peace.
😂😂😂😂😂
Sure, just show all the games as losses and you can make any ridiculous point you want as to the reason why. Your predictions are never going to happen which makes your points about rest days overly dramatic. SMH
Bro the giants are hot garbage, we beat the breaks off them last year with our past rush which got better 😂. Our defense will be better but you think our caliber of players is worse? Please explain how? Outside of diggs we gained in every area, Wagner is a leader but is old! I think we should’ve kept him as a spot guy but not a starter.
yeah, u dont know football.
Wasn’t geno written off for a reason though? Why does 1.5 years of good stats make him that much of anything? He had even better weapons last year and his stats dropped, im just not high at all on him. Let howell play
howell stinks my guy
@@tony.squares he also doesnt have proven multiple years of failures, he is young. Was on a shit house team last year and put up decent stats, but okay yeah thats all you need to say he stinks? FOH