Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis for BEGINNERS - How to Value a Stock Using Tesla as an Example

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  • Опубликовано: 1 ноя 2024

Комментарии • 224

  • @rareliquid
    @rareliquid  3 года назад +97

    *As I mentioned in the video, here are some further explanations of some of the concepts I brought up:*
    *Capital Expenditures (CapEx)* - Cash you spend on Plant, Property, and Equipment (PP&E). So Apple spends $100 million on a new office building, that's $100 million of Capital Expenditures. CapEx is NOT found in your income statement because they are usually really large one-time expenses and the income statement tries to capture expenses that occur regularly. Instead, the costs of CapEx are depreciated over time (see below).
    *Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)* - In the CapEx example, if Apple bought a new building for $100 million and that building had a "useful life" of 20 years, the annual D&A would be $100 million / 20 = $5 million a year. D&A IS found in your income statement either embedded into COGS or Operating Expenses. D&A allows you to fairly deduct CapEx spend over a period of time but it's not actual cash that you're spending (instead the actual cash was a one-time payment in CapEx).
    *Net Working Capital (NWC)* - For a DCF, this is your current OPERATING assets (i.e. excludes cash, includes assets like inventory, accounts receivable, etc.) minus your current OPERATING liabilities (i.e. excludes debt, includes accounts payable, deferred revenue, etc.). Standard definition for NWC is just current assets minus current liabilities but there's a difference for the DCF. NWC looks at the regular cash inflows and outflows from a company's day to day operations.
    *WACC Formula* - As a reminder, this is your (% of equity * cost of equity) + (your % of debt * cost of debt * (1 - Tax rate)). % of equity means [equity value / (equity value + debt)]. cost of equity is found through the CAPM formula (risk free rate + beta * market risk premium). % of debt is [debt / (debt + equity value)]. You multiply the debt part times 1 - tax rate because interest payments are tax deductible.
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    • @tilloberto
      @tilloberto 3 года назад

      Hey Ben, thanks for all the explainations. I was wondering whether JPM really uses CAPM model and not a more advanced one as other tier 1 banks. It seems too simple to me :D Keep up the good work!

    • @qwertz9501
      @qwertz9501 3 года назад

      i am missing an explanation of the following term: cost of debt
      would highly appreciate it.

    • @lukebarmakian3200
      @lukebarmakian3200 2 года назад +2

      @@qwertz9501 cost of debt (i think) would be the interest rate that theyre paying on debt, its like how much its costinf them to borrow money.

  • @aaronlazarus3828
    @aaronlazarus3828 3 года назад +82

    I took a 9hr course on DCF and you cleared my problems in 18mins. Thank you so much

  • @hualaina6172
    @hualaina6172 3 года назад +91

    Hi Ben, I am a year-one LSE student. So many of our students are trying to get into investment banking and it's really nice of you to provide free contents. Thank you so so so so so so much!

  • @qualityballer414
    @qualityballer414 3 года назад +12

    It is crazy how helpful this channel has been for me over the past couple months. From learning about a career in investment banking a few months ago to helping me prepare for a finance quiz I have tomorrow… The high quality of your videos isn’t going unnoticed and I don’t doubt this channel will really blow up soon!

  • @jasonang3528
    @jasonang3528 2 года назад +6

    Your explanation is incredibly amateur-friendly and is definitely interesting that it made me watch the entire thing at 2.30am in the morning. Really appreciate your dedication and knowledge and I am excited to watch your other videos and those upcoming ones! 😁

  • @Jackmunropickleball
    @Jackmunropickleball 2 года назад +2

    Really helpful. I’m 17 trying to get into this and your channel is so helpful

  • @tmdngs
    @tmdngs 3 года назад +51

    This was extremely helpful! I’d love more basic corporate finance videos and examples. Looking forward to your next vid🙂

  • @AC-ke3ui
    @AC-ke3ui 3 года назад +2

    Content keeps getting better and better🙌🏼

  • @jmg8888
    @jmg8888 Месяц назад

    Nicely done, Ben. Always a pleasure watching and learning from your videos. Cheers!

  • @kamilraimov312
    @kamilraimov312 4 месяца назад +2

    You are the best bro

  • @bryce6985
    @bryce6985 2 года назад

    This is higher quality that the materials I was given at Uni.

  • @Lofibootleg
    @Lofibootleg 3 года назад +14

    Thank you for the really clear explanation! Would like to see more in-depth dive into case studies using excel :))

  • @SL-yy4mn
    @SL-yy4mn 3 года назад +5

    Leaving some love in the comments!

  • @timelesstilenycpeterv4738
    @timelesstilenycpeterv4738 Месяц назад

    Such an great explanation. Thank you!

  • @antoniaplans2890
    @antoniaplans2890 3 года назад +2

    DUDE I needed this like last week!! The struggles I had at work trying to figure this out 😂😂

  • @aguamenti1000
    @aguamenti1000 2 года назад +2

    Thanks so much! Super helpful in preparing for a corp fin interview - concise and to the point. Also thanks for including text boxes - makes it much easier to write down notes 😊

  • @Aintnerd
    @Aintnerd 3 года назад +1

    Thanks for sharing. Very articulated piece

  • @sydneybarzakay9123
    @sydneybarzakay9123 2 года назад +1

    You saved me for my finance final

    • @rareliquid
      @rareliquid  2 года назад

      Hey Sydney! Glad I could help

  • @newyorkgumgum9960
    @newyorkgumgum9960 3 года назад +44

    Interviewer: Walk me through a DCF
    Me: hold my rareliquid subscription

    • @rareliquid
      @rareliquid  3 года назад +1

      LOL

    • @richieg.3192
      @richieg.3192 3 года назад +1

      Interviewer: What's the best method for calculating Terminal Value?
      Ben: Perpetuity Growth Method is without a doubt the absolute best method
      Interviewer: Why?
      Ben: It's the only method I've used.

  • @francescopici4104
    @francescopici4104 3 года назад +2

    Favorite kind of videos!! keep it up man!

  • @thomasrichalot2517
    @thomasrichalot2517 3 года назад +2

    Thanks Ben for sharing precious information as always!

  • @Isabella-hd5ek
    @Isabella-hd5ek 2 года назад

    Very helpful! I really like that you added explanation and how you use the DCF model at work .

  • @nycbankers1427
    @nycbankers1427 2 года назад +2

    This is amazing bro as a trader this gives you an edge when it comes to trading and valuations thanks a lot brother

  • @inakastories23
    @inakastories23 2 года назад

    This is helpful...assisted me in my home work

  • @davidlegeros1914
    @davidlegeros1914 2 года назад

    Thank you for clarifying the concepts of DCF and WACC. it is very helpful to a non-business student earning an MBA.

  • @jordanm8542
    @jordanm8542 2 года назад

    Started watching back your live stream of how to build one of these models. Extremely helpful. Have been looking for a while around this topic, however have found your walk through on the live stream and explanation in this video to be one of the best ive found. Appreciate it.

  • @foyg5967
    @foyg5967 2 года назад

    Love from India 🇮🇳

  • @truongthevinh8926
    @truongthevinh8926 3 года назад +2

    Thanks for sharing Ben. I'll be greatful if you do a series about finance for beginners😍

  • @호호로롤-p6n
    @호호로롤-p6n Год назад

    Thank you, This video is very helpful, I'll learn many thing from your channel

  • @joaolucaas__
    @joaolucaas__ 3 года назад +1

    Your content is great man!!

  • @sergecanepa1971
    @sergecanepa1971 2 года назад

    great informative videos and appreciate the added video effects you do to make it more appealing

  • @PrimeHarbor
    @PrimeHarbor 3 года назад +1

    I’ve been waiting for this. Thank you for doing ittttt

  • @minh-ducnguyen2016
    @minh-ducnguyen2016 3 года назад +2

    Thank you so much for your video, Ben. I like it a lot, especially the way you explain and communicate. Love it and will be your loyal follower

    • @rareliquid
      @rareliquid  3 года назад

      no problem and thank you for the support!

  • @adamabdul2594
    @adamabdul2594 2 года назад

    Appreciate the work and effort in explaning the concepts!

  • @hoanghieptran5460
    @hoanghieptran5460 3 года назад +1

    really appreciate this content. looking forward to future contents like this

  • @michaelphonevilay8597
    @michaelphonevilay8597 3 года назад +1

    Thank you for this great video, I love the formatting

  • @asishjp3296
    @asishjp3296 3 года назад +1

    It was pretty much helpful 👍🏻👍🏻

  • @hyehyunpark530
    @hyehyunpark530 2 года назад

    You are super helpful! Thank you so much for this!

  • @chenchen5222
    @chenchen5222 2 года назад

    Love your teaching!!! so simple and clear :)

  • @MrOtavioAFF
    @MrOtavioAFF Год назад +1

    Thank you!!

  • @TheLogicman1
    @TheLogicman1 3 года назад +2

    Thank you for this! Super helpful and useful- loving the IB insights.

  • @accountsequity5587
    @accountsequity5587 3 года назад +1

    Love this type of videos

  • @hansandinvestments3990
    @hansandinvestments3990 3 года назад +2

    Nice and simple breakdown. Great job. This would be useful for people who are learning

  • @athanasiusliau74
    @athanasiusliau74 3 года назад +1

    Here before rareliquid reaches 1M 🤩

  • @geddees
    @geddees 2 года назад +1

    Fire video, thank you.

  • @elkor2792
    @elkor2792 2 года назад

    Really great video! I personally look at forecasting and DCF as two different parts of an analysis

  • @santiagoparra5047
    @santiagoparra5047 3 года назад +1

    absolutely clear! Could u plz make M&A transactions on the next one?

  • @trido4936
    @trido4936 3 года назад +3

    Commenting for the algorithm

  • @PELBTOR
    @PELBTOR 3 года назад

    Thanks, your video help me a lot thanks

  • @SuperJinming
    @SuperJinming 3 года назад +1

    Love your videos so much!

  • @opheliewang5317
    @opheliewang5317 2 года назад

    Very clear explanation, extremely helpful ! thanks a lot ~~~~

  • @hermoinegrangerful
    @hermoinegrangerful 3 года назад +1

    great explanation, rareliquid!

  • @walterchow6368
    @walterchow6368 3 года назад

    Good video, very helpful for my group work haha, thanks

  • @byronli9655
    @byronli9655 2 года назад

    Mans taught a whole unit in my finance major in under 20mins 🫡🫡

  • @johnjohn2914
    @johnjohn2914 3 года назад

    Love ur videos better than my professors~

  • @wolfgangi
    @wolfgangi 3 года назад +1

    Eyyyyyy glad to see my fellow bear. Go Bears! , instant sub.

  • @leokal457
    @leokal457 3 года назад +2

    Really good video! Very informative and easy to understand.
    But i realised that i really have to up my finance english skills. Some definitions you gave were a little fast for me. But thats not your fault!

  • @Robay146
    @Robay146 3 года назад

    Thanks for this! You're a good teacher! 👍🏾

  • @andrewphillips1026
    @andrewphillips1026 3 года назад +1

    Love the videos. Keep em coming!

  • @sarasa4302
    @sarasa4302 3 года назад +1

    Very helpful! Thank you!

  • @TheZeignacio
    @TheZeignacio 3 года назад

    Great video, thank you for sharing it. Congrats!

  • @exodus3243
    @exodus3243 2 года назад

    Great Video! Even that i am advanced in this field, i kind of enjoyed the explanation. More of that !!👍

  • @mastermindmaheshwari4095
    @mastermindmaheshwari4095 Год назад

    Thanks It very helpful

  • @mrbonbonist
    @mrbonbonist 3 года назад +5

    You should do a series of videos making in-depth models for trending stocks. Oh and thanks I really enjoyed your video.

  • @rlbonner123456
    @rlbonner123456 Год назад

    You rock, dude. 😊

  • @KateTLe
    @KateTLe 3 года назад

    Thank you

  • @calebsmith5963
    @calebsmith5963 2 года назад

    Man, that General Electric comment did not age well at all. But I appreciate what you were trying to say. :)

  • @nicholasfenelon5785
    @nicholasfenelon5785 Год назад

    great video very informative

  • @tkceedits2377
    @tkceedits2377 3 года назад +2

    Can you teach us other valuation methods like ratios and other stuff.

  • @renrustandi
    @renrustandi 3 года назад

    Waiting for the advanced DCF Model :)) Thanks a lot

  • @rickylin5561
    @rickylin5561 3 года назад +1

    Hi I'm recently getting my 1st year Finance classes started in GWU, I'm really nervous and stressful but after learning from your video at least I can have a little bit more confidence on prep for what I will learn in the upcoming classes!
    Thank you for YOUR useful content!

  • @Kelmorin
    @Kelmorin 9 месяцев назад

    do you have any eli5 videos? so many concepts and steps are confusing, fast and non intuitive. a detailed breakdown of this would be really helpful!

  • @prashantchapagai6294
    @prashantchapagai6294 2 года назад

    Brother, you are doing such a great thing. Thank you so much. i would like to request you to bring some more videos on financial analysis. if you are free then please try to make details explanation with some examples in excel.

  • @alwynjohn-thesimpleinvesto4730
    @alwynjohn-thesimpleinvesto4730 3 года назад +1

    Great video, keep it up!!

  • @edoardofurlan6284
    @edoardofurlan6284 2 года назад

    very useful video. My question is based on what you make your assumptions ?

  • @kyroz..
    @kyroz.. 2 года назад +1

    Very valuable content! I'm trying to go into IB but it's hard if you're 29 yo with no prior exp in that field. My goal is to get an internship (doesn't have to be in a BB oder top tier bank) and I'm trying to increase my chances by completing an IB course on udemy. Keep going with your content! I like them, new sub here👍

  • @olzhasabdramanov1698
    @olzhasabdramanov1698 3 года назад +2

    Good Job!

  • @yugandharardekar1112
    @yugandharardekar1112 3 года назад +1

    Great video! Would really appreciate if you could also make some videos on LBO analysis and other valuation methods.

    • @rareliquid
      @rareliquid  3 года назад +1

      i did post about comparable comps already but probably won’t do one on lbo or precedent transactions because they’re not really relevant for most retail investors

  • @GraysonKYC
    @GraysonKYC 2 года назад

    i guess the crypto startup use similar valuation model now. it's a great explanation to a outsider like me who is currently trying to propose a valuation for fundraising event. thanks a lot

  • @abhisheksingh8265
    @abhisheksingh8265 2 года назад +1

    Request to also put up This kinda series on LBO you did for 6.1 Bn deal

  • @lifebythenumbers
    @lifebythenumbers Год назад

    Great video! Do you have a DCF spreadsheet calculator that you recommend for beginners?

  • @qwertz9501
    @qwertz9501 3 года назад +1

    thanks more then a lot (= keep up the grind: its unique

  • @augustusg857
    @augustusg857 3 года назад

    I would of lover to seen you use the exit multiple. And fcf gives us market value too, I've seen ppl use a terminal multiple times the fcf to get market cap.

  • @jberczi6
    @jberczi6 3 года назад +3

    How do you determine how many years to project out and discount back? The difference between choosing like 5 and 10 can be massive

    • @rareliquid
      @rareliquid  3 года назад

      usually if it’s a company with a lot of growth potential then 10 years if it’s more stable then 5 years

  • @shmz8771
    @shmz8771 3 года назад +1

    Amazing!

  • @darkshinigami9438
    @darkshinigami9438 3 года назад +3

    Hello, just discovered and subscribed to your channel 😉 you mentioned DCF applied to biotech companies. Could you please share one of such DCF? I am working in a pharma company and I am very interested in this topic, thank you very much

  • @the96nix
    @the96nix 2 года назад

    Thank you for the video. It was simple and clear.
    Also, will you be posting a excel sheet with a templete for DCF?

  • @dannykataw7684
    @dannykataw7684 3 года назад

    Great content and love the animations in your presentation. "Off-White vibes"

  • @petronel-h8n
    @petronel-h8n Месяц назад

    Appreciate the detailed breakdown! I have a quick question: My OKX wallet holds some USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (behave today finger ski upon boy assault summer exhaust beauty stereo over). Could you explain how to move them to Binance?

  • @willyoung6891
    @willyoung6891 2 года назад

    Thanks for the great video. I have a question: Why would you choose to discount the cash flow over 5 years versus 10 years? This would make a huge difference of the value, so how do you decide how many years to discount?

  • @user-bx2kd7jt8t
    @user-bx2kd7jt8t 3 года назад

    Damn bro wanna be my tutor 😂🤣 studying this in uni rn 👏😎

  • @keanelynwaldriff657
    @keanelynwaldriff657 3 года назад

    Great video. Where did you get the growth rates from?

  • @tdogable
    @tdogable 3 года назад

    What’s the best way for one to take a deep dive into this and become competent

  • @FRANKWHITE1996
    @FRANKWHITE1996 3 года назад

    Great explanation. Subscribing ✅

  • @rifazrz
    @rifazrz 3 года назад

    hi ben
    can you make a video teaching us how to calculate exact terminal growth rate of company

  • @stockmarkettipsbykarankapa5172
    @stockmarkettipsbykarankapa5172 3 месяца назад

    Amazing😍

  • @abhyudayarajpurohit3484
    @abhyudayarajpurohit3484 Год назад

    nice content !

  • @toviyaondo
    @toviyaondo 3 года назад

    How would you go about projecting NWC, EBIT, and Capital Expenditures?

  • @justinroadhouse952
    @justinroadhouse952 2 года назад +1

    How did you calculate the change in revenue % under change in NWC?

  • @milkYkiss7
    @milkYkiss7 3 года назад +1

    finally! this is exactly what i need ;p