Please AVOID This If You Plan To Retire Within 5 Years

Поделиться
HTML-код
  • Опубликовано: 15 янв 2025

Комментарии • 59

  • @janethunt4037
    @janethunt4037 27 дней назад +2

    Thank you, Ari! This was really interesting to see how small changes, and especially spreading out large expenditures, can make a huge difference.

  • @toddmaniatoddmania9844
    @toddmaniatoddmania9844 27 дней назад +13

    The guy is single with no children. Retirement success with those account balances should be a slam dunk.

    • @leanit5756
      @leanit5756 27 дней назад +2

      For sure. How could a person possibly screw up a retirement with 2.6M, even with dependents?

    • @METVWETV
      @METVWETV 27 дней назад

      ​@leanit5756
      Lol!
      REALLY?!
      Ever here of a Sports figure or a Lottery winner going broke with 10 times that amount?!
      4% Rule puts 2.6 Million at only 104K/year.
      Try buying a house or 2 and a fancy car or two and Jet set... Can be blown in no time!

    • @marcopolo2241
      @marcopolo2241 26 дней назад +1

      If you had Hunter B

    • @think_ffs3934
      @think_ffs3934 26 дней назад

      @@leanit5756 and OP -- If you live like hermits like my parents do, volunteer your time for entertainment instead of spending money for entertainment, and don't like to spend money on travel - you couldn't. They can't seem to outspend their social security and small pension despite my encouragement. When people make comments like the one you're making, you're projecting your lifestyle and expenses on that balance, and saying OF COURSE they can retire. But the simple, actual answer to the question is - by having a lifestyle those funds don't support. If you're spending 10,000 / month on basic living expenses, AND another 1,000/mo on health (massage, PT, etc) he has earmarked in the example, AND dropping $175k on a remodel AND spending $45000/year on travel for the first decade or more of retirement, on top of retiring early so adding private health insurance to your costs and having a big gap before social security kicks in -- you might well out of money pretty fast. Now, I don't spend 10k/month now, and I think $45,000/year on travel alone is more than I would need to be happy, and I'm guessing you do too - but it's not really that hard to see how you can run out of money if your lifestyle expectations are that high, is it?
      So your real response should be: Who needs to spend that much money to get by, even with dependents? And that's a fair question. My guess is - someone who earned more than I did and got used to "the good life" - but who apparently didn't save much more than I did along the way.

    • @gyna99
      @gyna99 26 дней назад +1

      It all depends on his expenses in retirement. Using the 4% rule to keep it simple. He would need $3M invested to spend $10k per month (likely more when you consider taxes). So it all depends on the type of lifestyle they are trying to live.

  • @KxK-ty5bq
    @KxK-ty5bq 27 дней назад +8

    Hey Ari, I love your videos. I'm pulling the trigger on retiring in two weeks (at 60). Numbers wise, everything looks good. At average returns, I'll be pulling around 4% until SS kicks in and then I'll be around 2.5%. It's still scary thinking about turning off the paycheck spigot, especially with the market volatility and the crazy world. Your videos always calm my nerves, though :).

    • @earlyretirementari
      @earlyretirementari  27 дней назад +2

      @@KxK-ty5bq thank you…and CONGRATULATIONS!! Sounds like you’re in a very strong spot.

    • @KxK-ty5bq
      @KxK-ty5bq 27 дней назад +1

      @@earlyretirementari Hey! Thank you! I'm excited and nervous.

  • @RetrieverTrainingAlone
    @RetrieverTrainingAlone 22 дня назад

    We retired in 2019 with no debt and got lucky with substantial growth in our retirement portfolio from 2019 to present.

  • @karenmcgovern3452
    @karenmcgovern3452 26 дней назад +1

    Excellent video, thank u! Ari can u do a video on LTC insurance vs. self-insuring/using savings? Or do u have one already?

    • @earlyretirementari
      @earlyretirementari  26 дней назад

      Thanks! Yes - here it is: How To Plan For Long-Term Care (All You Need To Know)!
      ruclips.net/video/XYLYveBOJg4/видео.html

  • @LSUtiger95
    @LSUtiger95 27 дней назад +2

    Great video, hit close to home for me. I am in that 2 to 5 year window to retire early. I have been trying my best to model into the software as many of the expected and unexpected expenses I can think of to best avoid any huge surprises in retirement. I have a family with college bound kids during my early retirement so I have that in there as well. My 3 biggest concerns are market performance next few years, health care expenses continually outpacing inflation, and SS cuts in the future. I am ready to stop working but want to make sure I do not have risk of running out of money but also want to have plenty of money so the stress of managing my retirement is not stressful. Would love to have the funds to afford someone like Root but when I model in that AUM fee, it's a huge hit to the overall plan

    • @earlyretirementari
      @earlyretirementari  27 дней назад +2

      I’d recommend reading this: advisors.vanguard.com/content/dam/fas/pdfs/IARCQAA.pdf

    • @James4cycling
      @James4cycling 27 дней назад +2

      Actually I think your college bound kids should be your greatest concern. Will they graduate? Will it take 4 years or longer? Don’t expect them to have a good paying career job immediately upon graduation. Do you plan on selling your home? It may be years before they’re able to support themselves. And there’s a lot of assorted college expenses other than tuition, room and board. Sorry if I just blew up your software projections.

  • @globetrottertri
    @globetrottertri 27 дней назад +2

    Hi Ari! Great video! Where are the expenses for medical insurance before 65? It’s so expensive … in California. Thanks so much!

    • @earlyretirementari
      @earlyretirementari  27 дней назад +1

      Thank you. It’s defaulted on at ~6k/year and not as much as you think: ruclips.net/video/BykvoxJEWGo/видео.htmlsi=qY5dhO7aZu7w8N-3

  • @travis7091
    @travis7091 26 дней назад +2

    If this guy can't retire comfortably he's got a major spending problem.

  • @dgmcfadden2006
    @dgmcfadden2006 27 дней назад +2

    What about Long Term Care at the end of life. That could be a large number.

  • @GotGracexxxxx
    @GotGracexxxxx 25 дней назад

    The most frustrating part of the software is the “portfolio allocation.” People’s financial lives can’t be summarized that easily, but there is a lot riding on which category is selected.

    • @earlyretirementari
      @earlyretirementari  25 дней назад

      @@GotGracexxxxx importance of good investing.

    • @GotGracexxxxx
      @GotGracexxxxx 23 дня назад

      @@earlyretirementari Which investment category matches this portfolio? 20% Brk.b, 18% MMkt, 12% PHYS (gold), 15% stocks, and 35% split evenly between QQQ, VOO, VEA, IWM and VWO.

  • @andrewrichmond2989
    @andrewrichmond2989 27 дней назад +2

    Is the 120k net or gross ?

  • @Lew114
    @Lew114 26 дней назад +1

    How realistic is part time income in retirement? I’m in IT. Getting a job in my field is nearly impossible at 55, much less 65. I don’t think it’s wise to assume I’ll have that option. That’s not even taking health into consideration. Even if jobs are available, is it wise to bet on being healthy enough to work?

  • @geteducatedbyTed
    @geteducatedbyTed 27 дней назад +1

    Is the spending amount per month after taxes or before in your worksheet?

    • @LSUtiger95
      @LSUtiger95 27 дней назад +1

      If you setup the software properly what he’s adjusting would be your after tax spending and also exclude housing. Housing is separate as are goals and vacations from the monthly spend field. Took me a while to figure that all out. Looking at the waterfall detail view really helps show it all

    • @earlyretirementari
      @earlyretirementari  27 дней назад

      After

  • @JoipPhumn
    @JoipPhumn 26 дней назад

    How do people, even with dependents, spend $8k/month without a mortgage? When we add big expenses separately, that’s a huge monthly spend, right?

    • @cryengine_x
      @cryengine_x 22 дня назад

      i mean, it all depends how well off you are, how high the cost of living is where you live as well. if you live in sf, 8k/month is probably nothing

  • @kingtorresdaniel
    @kingtorresdaniel 14 дней назад

    As I plan for my retirement, I’ve been watching videos from all over the world. Yours stands out for its high quality and depth of information. I started investing early last year with $100K, and just last three months, I reached my first $1M USD. Now, I have a portfolio worth $2.5M. My only regret is not starting sooner. If things continue to go well, I should be retiring soon

    • @Vanessa5054-s7r
      @Vanessa5054-s7r 14 дней назад

      How did you manage to achieve that level of growth? I'm 55 years old with not enough set aside for retirement at this point. I have always been curious about the market and have witnessed people who played the game right and retired early. Some claimed they started very small, but their portfolio grew over time. I do have a significant amount but I’m unsure about which strategies or approach to take in order to achieve good returns. I'm open-minded and would appreciate any help or guidance

  • @joec68500
    @joec68500 27 дней назад

    He will be fine at that income to show taxable income if he is trying to qualify for aca subsidy. Sounds like he actually will make too much for subsidy. The challenge is showing taxable income for subsidy if you want to live on 50k before age 59.5. Brokerage acct won't suffice and roth conversion msy not make sense if youre in a lower tax bracket when retired

  • @Lew114
    @Lew114 27 дней назад

    Your tool is showing us “current allocation”? What is his current allocation? That matters.

  • @Steve_SEC
    @Steve_SEC 27 дней назад

    What do you think of VMFXX instead of BND for the 40% of your “bond” part of your portfolio since it has never broken the buck?

    • @mattbateh8717
      @mattbateh8717 27 дней назад

      VTI 42% BND 30% VXUS 28%

    • @Steve_SEC
      @Steve_SEC 27 дней назад

      @ but BND was not protective in 2022. VMFXX was.

    • @GotGracexxxxx
      @GotGracexxxxx 24 дня назад

      @@Steve_SEC A money market fund is much safer because of the longer term bias toward higher rates. Please note, A BOND FUND IS NOT A BOND!

  • @yifanwang
    @yifanwang 27 дней назад +1

    $45, 000 for traveling? This is surely a red flag 😂

    • @earlyretirementari
      @earlyretirementari  27 дней назад

      Some people!

    • @dgmcfadden2006
      @dgmcfadden2006 27 дней назад

      @@earlyretirementariis that 45K per month? Monthly spending was 10k just above.

    • @earlyretirementari
      @earlyretirementari  27 дней назад +1

      @ 45k year

    • @clutchputt4640
      @clutchputt4640 27 дней назад +4

      Let’s do the math on one of my bucket list trips: 8 day Rhine River cruise ($14,000); 2 rt business class tickets from Chicago to Amsterdam ($10,000); additional 2 weeks having fun traveling through Germany/Belgium ($200/day X 14 days =$2800). Total for 3 week trip is $26,800. That leaves $18,200 to divide between spring/summer travel in North America plus winter travel in South America. I agree it’s a red flag - Ari should suggest travel budget of $50,000. ❤❤.
      The point is that everyone is different - and their plans, desires, and budgets differ too.

    • @yifanwang
      @yifanwang 27 дней назад

      @@clutchputt4640 as long as you keep annual expense under 6% of the assets.

  • @ClarieZwiehoff
    @ClarieZwiehoff 26 дней назад +99

    Amazing video, A friend of mine referred me to a financial adviser sometime ago and we got talking about investment and money. I started investing with $120k and in the first 2 months , my portfolio was reading $274,800. Crazy right!, I decided to reinvest my profit and gets more interesting. For over a year we have been working together making consistent profit just bought my second home 2 weeks ago and care for my family.

    • @ThamaraSchlossarek
      @ThamaraSchlossarek 26 дней назад

      I’ve been forced to find additional sources of income as I got retrenched. I barely have time to continue trading and watch my investments since I had my second daughter. Do you think I should take a break for a while from the market and focus on other things or return whenever I have free time or is it a continuous process? Thanks.

    • @ClarieZwiehoff
      @ClarieZwiehoff 26 дней назад

      @@ThamaraSchlossarek Quitting may not be the best approach if you ask me. This is where an AI comes into the picture. I barely have time to trade myself as my job swallows up most of my time. *MARGARET MOLLI ALVEY* ..

    • @ThamaraSchlossarek
      @ThamaraSchlossarek 26 дней назад

      @@ClarieZwiehoff Oh please I’d love that. Thanks!

    • @ClarieZwiehoff
      @ClarieZwiehoff 26 дней назад

      *MARGARET MOLLI ALVEY*

    • @ClarieZwiehoff
      @ClarieZwiehoff 26 дней назад

      Lookup with her name on the webpage