Stationarity & Seasonality| Time Series Forecasting #1|

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  • Опубликовано: 5 сен 2024
  • Time series anlaysis and forecasting are huge right now. With the enormous business applications that can be created using time series forecasting, it becomes crucial to dive into depth of this subject.
    In this video i talk about the following things which are absolutely essential before learning time series models:
    1)Stationarity ,
    2)Why is stationarity required and how to convert non stationary time series into stationary
    3)Seasonality and how to remove seasonality from a time series
    4) We will also look at various time series plots to master the skills of identifying if a times series is stationary or not
    Recommended Books to get better at Time Series Analysis and Python:
    1)Practical Time Series Analysis: amzn.to/31lsLhq
    2)Time Series with Python: amzn.to/2Ez073m
    3)Hands-On Time Series Analysis with R: amzn.to/3aUxuKq
    You can connect with me on linkedin at : / nachiketa-hebbar-86186...
    Leave any queries in the comments section and thanks for watching !

Комментарии • 49

  • @jinks3669
    @jinks3669 Год назад +3

    Dhanyavaad. As a data scientist I found this was very helpful

  • @user-py7jr6yr3v
    @user-py7jr6yr3v 7 месяцев назад +1

    amazing content> very superb man i understood each and everything. For this shit i am paying 4 lakh rupees in a university in United states but cannot understand anything here. But this guy made it so simple. Thanks man. Reallly appreciate.

  • @teetanrobotics5363
    @teetanrobotics5363 3 года назад +6

    Love the playlist on Time Series Forecasting. Hope you upload more videos.

    • @NachiketaHebbar
      @NachiketaHebbar  3 года назад +1

      Thanks, and yes will definetly put out more!

  • @swapnadeepghosh8546
    @swapnadeepghosh8546 3 месяца назад

    bhai apne itna accha knowledge kaha se liya ??... thanks for passing it brother
    GOD bless you

  • @louisa123
    @louisa123 Год назад +3

    Thanks for your videos! I'm new to time series forecasting and your content gives me a good overview. I noticed though while reading more on the topic that you might have mixed up first order differencing with lag difference. What you describe ( Y(t) - Y(t-2) ) seems to be called a lag-2 difference and apparently order is how many times you do the whole process.

  • @harinatha3102
    @harinatha3102 3 года назад +1

    This video is worth watching....!
    Can you please make a video on Augmented Dickey Fuller test.

  • @lakshyadaulani2110
    @lakshyadaulani2110 3 года назад +1

    please do make a video in mathematical calculation in both statistical tests for stationarity

  • @ankitayadav2690
    @ankitayadav2690 Год назад +1

    its really good vedio to understand concepts,good work

  • @abhijeetjain8228
    @abhijeetjain8228 10 месяцев назад +2

    very well explained keep it up.

  • @dewanshkumarmishra9378
    @dewanshkumarmishra9378 5 месяцев назад +1

    Very helpful video ❤

  • @anuragpatil5812
    @anuragpatil5812 Год назад +1

    Thanks for the video !! superb explanation

  • @princekhunt13579
    @princekhunt13579 Месяц назад

    Great explanation brother

  • @Jevuify
    @Jevuify 2 года назад

    Nice explanation. Your channel is underrated

  • @joshpeters813
    @joshpeters813 5 месяцев назад

    Okay so what is the interpretation of the final result vs the exponential curve?

  • @chandu9696
    @chandu9696 4 года назад +1

    Well explained. Looking forward to more content.

  • @siddhijain3802
    @siddhijain3802 4 года назад

    Thankyou for such simple explanation! Great!

  • @dicloniusN35
    @dicloniusN35 2 года назад

    in python arima there is auto differencing? we don't need to fit model with this differenced time series? just select 'I' value? second param

  • @h4rsh261
    @h4rsh261 9 месяцев назад

    I understood the differencing part, but I have a question. If we take the differencing and reduce the scale of data from 400-500 to 0.1-0.5, wont we have trouble scaling the output later ? and if we take the differencing from the data to make it stationary doesnt it mean that we are changing the nature of the data and instead we can use a better model that can work with the current state of data ?

  • @mehulmehta4981
    @mehulmehta4981 3 года назад

    Amazing Explanation Brother....

  • @nurulain4167
    @nurulain4167 10 месяцев назад

    Can you share example of forecasting using hybrid models?

  • @medhavanisharma3323
    @medhavanisharma3323 2 года назад

    Hello Nachiketa Can you just tell me if there is any videos regarding the theory content on this particular topic...

  • @dabblewithd4247
    @dabblewithd4247 6 месяцев назад

    Dude.... Thankyouuuuu soo much buddy

  • @pragyabhardwaj7112
    @pragyabhardwaj7112 2 года назад

    Please make a video for statistical test

  • @venkatesh0075
    @venkatesh0075 3 года назад

    Superb explaination

  • @sulagnanandi2024
    @sulagnanandi2024 2 года назад +1

    how can we get the actual predicted values back when converted data to stationary?

    • @dicloniusN35
      @dicloniusN35 Год назад

      do you know answer now?)) i have the same quastion beacause this stationarity convertation is not work for me) same mape

  • @visunashokkumar1782
    @visunashokkumar1782 2 года назад

    Mate this is so informative!!!

  • @kavishkagimhani9803
    @kavishkagimhani9803 2 месяца назад

    thank you

  • @abhishekagarwal4408
    @abhishekagarwal4408 3 года назад

    very nice explanation
    i wanted to know can i do time series analysis on yearwise median income of men in any particular country???

  • @arnavanuj
    @arnavanuj Год назад

    You are a Rockstar ❤️

  • @rutvikjaiswal4986
    @rutvikjaiswal4986 3 года назад

    You are amazing sir !

  • @marksathish2783
    @marksathish2783 3 года назад

    superb bro

  • @tsreenivasulu8757
    @tsreenivasulu8757 7 месяцев назад +1

    are you from VIT Vellore? the background in the video looks like vit hostel

  • @venkatkasireddy8928
    @venkatkasireddy8928 2 года назад

    Nicee

  • @tinabeigi2493
    @tinabeigi2493 2 года назад

    Hey, i liked your video, But can you please share the codes for the log operation, etc. Thank you.

  • @luisarmando415
    @luisarmando415 2 года назад

    kudos!

  • @pouriaforouzesh5349
    @pouriaforouzesh5349 2 года назад

    👍

  • @poortijain9524
    @poortijain9524 5 месяцев назад

    HI, can you also share these ppts please? :/

  • @jairaja6924
    @jairaja6924 2 месяца назад

    why there should be no seasonality

  • @hshrestha2811
    @hshrestha2811 3 года назад

    If the time series is stationary, does that mean that there is no white noise?

    • @raghavverma120
      @raghavverma120 2 года назад

      That means it doesnt have trend,seasonality,cyclicality

    • @raghavverma120
      @raghavverma120 2 года назад

      That is mean and variance are constant.. white noise is when the distribution is stationary mean=0 , constant variance, plus autocorrelation is 0

  • @Timothyjackzon
    @Timothyjackzon 4 месяца назад +1

    dude is 15?