"How Do I Know When To Take Sports Betting More Seriously (to supplement my income)?"
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- Опубликовано: 29 ноя 2022
- In this video I take a post from /r/sportsbook on Reddit and give my 2 cents on it since I can't reply to it on the actual website because I am permanently banned sitewide.
This user has had some luck betting NFL parlays this season and asks how to know when you get to the point of sports betting where you can take it more seriously to supplement your income or even quit your day job. I give my take on this subject. 
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Keep these going dude! Love this content
Yay! it's nostalgia to what I loved about the old days of your videos. Bring these back!
I will try to do more.
@@williamleiss7653 Good. I like most of your content but the sports betting ones are my favorite. And that's messed up about Reddit. They despise you so much that they won't even let you create an account even with a VPN hahaha. Was your political insight that toxic? hahaha rediculous.
@@followtheleader61 Not sure how they do it but they always zap any new account I make. I am guessing they use machine learning AI to analyze what subreddits you post in and your posting style because they even nuked an account I made using a friend's computer at their house.
yeah thank you for doing a video about sports betting. =)
I think the biggest issue with this poster is that they don't seem to be keeping a thorough record of their bets, at least that's what it feels like. How can they really hope to analyze how well they're doing if they're just going by their vague memory?
If they had been tracking their data well, they could easily a) post more detailed info to get a more appropriate response, and b) run a P-test to get a confidence rating for their results. Even if that was all kosher, it sounds like they're picking based off their gut/intuition, and even though you can somewhat argue you can demonstrate that as +EV by demonstrating profit over a long period of time, I don't like any betting method that isn't based off of data of some kind. After all, how the hell could you possibly backtest intuition? You can only ever live-test it. It leaves a lot to be desired.
Reddit is awful. You're too based for them anyway. Thank you for another betting video. These are good reality checks for people who fantasize about winning big in sports betting.
It's an awful site!
My comment was on this thread too. You were so close to read it.
whats your comment there? I will read it
Which one was it?
@@williamleiss7653 The one deeper in the conversation. Saying that even positive ROI after 25k of pick is not a guarantee that a bettor "has an edge".
@@chickenkeeper3450 I absolutely agree, which is why I never went "all in" with models I had that even showed a profit over what I felt was a long enough sample size. An edge today can be gone tomorrow
You may be good at data science, but that's not the only thing you need to win at sports betting. You also need to be disciplined and not double your bets just because you have a winning streak. That's probably the reason. Maybe you rely too much on your data science skills.
You will never find a long lasting profitable strat only using data. But saying you can’t make money long term on NFL is not true lmao. Maybe only relying on the #s sure
you don't need models with those methods.
Sports betting in America is dead because it's being legalized and overseas books like Bet $3.65 are opening an American facing book? You have no idea how funny this is.
Edit: I realize you could take this the wrong way but they are soft and rely on risk management, your biggest problem is getting bets down rather than finding them in my experience.
you can make money betting on sports. all you need to do is find books. And take the prices which are higher at the ones which offer the highest price above the bench-mark which is the sharpest book. Also, another method is just finding different lines at different books. You bet both sides of the game where you find an advantage. and you make money. Stop misleading people.
You aren't wrong but its easier said than done to have a lot of money sitting around at multiple books.
This is positive ev. This is what I do. I use 7 books. I’m in no way a big gambler. I have 750-1K per book right now. But, yes, you do need to have a decent amount of money sitting around for it to work well
Teach me how to do this . I’m tired of the 9-5