INCREDIBLE INSIGHT! Former Djokovic coach exclusively reveals his tips for amateur tennis players
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- Опубликовано: 13 окт 2024
- EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW...
Craig O'Shannessy is the former strategy analyst to Novak Djokovic and has worked for Wimbledon and the Italian Tennis Federation. He's also the founder of www.braingamet... which offers video training for all standards of tennis player who want to improve their own performance.
Craig is a long time friend of Tennishead so we invited him to sit down with us to help Tennishead readers improve their own game. Here's what we asked him...
1. How can statistical analysis in tennis help club players as much as it helps professional tour players?
2. What does your analysis show as the key factors behind Hubert Hurkacz's victory over Jannik Sinner in the Miami Open final?
3. You've done a lot of work looking into the importance of the first 4 shots of a rally but why should club players be focussing on them?
4. Is there one statistic that for you highlights more than any other statistic the reason for the Big 3's dominance of Grand Slam and Masters 1000 tournaments for the past 15 years?
5. Italian tennis is on a high right know with incredibly strong players at the top of the men's game and young players starting to shine, but what have the Italian tennis federation done in the past that has helped with this success?
If you want to learn from Craig and improve your own game then visit www.braingamet...
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WOW Very interesting. Small margins... 55% of points won..... I would say that it is mainly mental... The Big3 have that desire of beating each other to be recognized as the GOAT..... Same thing happened to Messi and C. Ronaldo...
Greetings from a Peruvian living in Quebec, CA
Craig does not seem to understand that the 91% statistic for 0-4 points applies to BOTH players. This means that both players are winning or losing 91% of points on Grand Slams for rallies lasting less than 4 shots. However, on key points, it is more crucial to be able to win rallies that last 9 or more shots. Therefore, the KEY is the ability to win LONG rallies. Winning a short rally is relatively EASY, as it only requires one good shot. But in key scores like 30-30 or 15-40, it's a completely different story. These scores tend to involve longer rallies, and it is in these moments that true champions rise to the occasion.
23:38 In the 2021 Miami final match that Craig was discussing, the outcome was determined by the first serve rather than Hubi's desire to win every rally within 3-4 shots. Hubi had 11 opportunities to break Sinner's serve, but in 7 of those instances, he failed due to his own tactic of playing short rallies with only 1-2 shots. This is a very poor statistic. If Hubi had played more reliably, the score would have been 6-2, 6-2 in his favor instead of the actual score of 7-6, 6-4, which is quite shaky and uncertain, or even lucky. The outcome of the match was decided by Hubi's first serve, which was successful 70% of the time, while Sinner's first serve was only successful 55% of the time. This led to a tiebreak and a +1 break in the second set. In other words, I am trying to say that Craig is drawing completely false conclusions and going down the wrong path in his analysis of this match.
wow, serve is important? even return, really? i bet you could ask Jimmy Connors McEnroe Sampras Wilander Becker... as if they didn't know. There was a video years ago (!) that even at Roland Garros the majority of points are decided in shorter Rallies. On the flipside that doesn't mean that the long rallies don't count or aren't important.
yeah and consistency (not making mistakes) is still imortant. if a player can't put the ball on court, the rally will be short. it doesn't mean he shouldn't practice consistency
One more funny stat: in 2018 when that "profesor" started to help Djokovic with his ideas about 4 shorts per rally, Novak won just 4 Titels for whole year. All other years it was 5-10 titles per year. And one more stat for you guys: right now, avg rally len for top100 atp is 4.7+ shots. I just checked by myself. Almost 5 hosts per rally. AVG! Not 3.3.
ps: also, Craig just do not understand why players make so many shots per practice on a daily basis. It helps to work on consistency of different ball bounces and shot placement. Otherwise, if we start to hit rallies from 3-4 shots (incl serve+return) we won't be able to get shot's quality required to make even ONE shot after return.
last 20 matched rally length per player
Nadal
4.6 + 4.6 + 3.6 + 4.6 + 4.8 + 3.8 + 3.6 + 3.4 + 3.7 + 3.6 + 4.2 + 3.3 + 5.8 + 5.3 + 5.4 + 4.4 + 4.2 + 4.5 + 5.2 + 5.1
= 4.38
De Minaur
6.3 + 4.4 + 5.3 + 5.3 + 5.1 + 4.8 + 6.3 + 5.5 + 5.2 + 5.2 + 4.2 + 5.1 + 5.5 + 4.9 + 5.1 + 6.3 + 5.4 + 5.2 + 5.5 + 4.6
= 5.26
Gasquet
3.1 + 3.5 + 3.9 + 3.5 + 3.1 + 3.7 + 5.1 + 4.2 + 4.2 + 5.7 + 4.1 + 5.2 + 5.7 + 4.3 + 4.0 + 4.4 + 4.0 + 3.3 + 3.0
= 3.9
PS2: Additionally, Craig does not seem to understand that the 91% statistic for 0-4 points applies to BOTH players. This means that both players are winning or losing 91% of points on Grand Slams for rallies lasting less than 4 shots. However, on key points, it is more crucial to be able to win rallies that last 9 or more shots. Therefore, the KEY is the ability to win LONG rallies. Winning a short rally is relatively EASY, as it only requires one good shot. But in key scores like 30-30 or 15-40, it's a completely different story. These scores tend to involve longer rallies, and it is in these moments that true champions rise to the occasion.
Facepalm. Everything is completely wrong. Everything.
Including serves and return of serves in the calculation of average shots per rally can distort the meaning of the statistic. This is because the presence of aces (1 shot) and return errors (1 shot) can significantly lower the average number of shots in a rally, even if all other rallies are longer. For example, if all rallies except for serves and returns are 10 shots long, but there are also some aces and return errors, the average number of shots per rally will be much lower than 10.
To explain this to others using professional statistical language, I could say that including serves and returns in the calculation of average shots per rally can introduce bias into the statistic. This is because serves and returns are not representative of typical rallies, as they often involve only one shot and do not reflect the actual length of the majority of rallies. To obtain a more accurate measure of the average number of shots per rally, it is better to exclude serves and returns from the calculation.
In statistical terms, serves and returns can be considered outliers in the data set, as they are extreme values that do not reflect the typical pattern of rallies. Including outliers in the calculation of the mean can skew the results and make them less representative of the true distribution of the data. Therefore, it is generally recommended to exclude outliers from statistical analyses, and this principle applies to the calculation of average shots per rally in tennis as well.
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