Lucky 15 Betting Strategy to Win BIGGER

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  • Опубликовано: 18 дек 2024

Комментарии • 144

  • @CaanBerryProTrader
    @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад +2

    Betting challenge video - ruclips.net/video/sDZfLNcS-bc/видео.html

  • @johnristheanswer
    @johnristheanswer 2 года назад +5

    Good stuff again Caan. The other thing may be to mention is that there is hardly any margin for the bookies at the front of the market and occassionally the bookies price at SP is above the BF price - which is usually the " true price " at SP , as we know . For those people who bet multiples , betting only on the short price horses at least means you`re giving very little up to them and are sometimes even beating BF. 4x EVEN money shots in multiples is better value than 4x 10/1 shots if the punter in using a bookie as the outsiders ` should be nearer 20/1 but the even money shots are more or less the correct price.

  • @milodj92
    @milodj92 2 года назад +60

    Let's gather here if you did not understand anything

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад +14

      Ahh bro, sorry to read this. How can I help you? What did you expect? If it's 'tips' and to make money fast then I'd advise to stop betting. The industry suckers people like that over and over. I try my best :)

    • @redbomb78
      @redbomb78 2 года назад +1

      I want to learn all this but I just get super confused at times, I understand some bits but stuff about laying and looking for best odds I am clueless lol

    • @TED-BUNDY-
      @TED-BUNDY- 2 года назад

      Ya im lost too 🤣

    • @michaelkatua2115
      @michaelkatua2115 2 года назад

      DJ MILO• 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

    • @tuurks1
      @tuurks1 Год назад

      Yes sir 😂 good content though

  • @johnbryan9357
    @johnbryan9357 2 года назад +1

    he's.telling me something.I know.already...been.backing for over 40 years you.cant.beat.the bookies

  • @sararoy2912
    @sararoy2912 9 месяцев назад +1

    This video very excellent.Thank you for your great review. It's clear and easy to understand your explanations. all content so good. Thank you for shearing us.

  • @alanhaynes9672
    @alanhaynes9672 2 года назад +5

    This is all good in theory, if you can distinguish the correct value odds to take. For example if your 4 selections are 8.0/8.0/8.0/8.0 and the current Betfair was 7.8/7.8/7.8/7.8 then you would have value, but much of the time the final BSP of these runners is something like 7.0/9.0/10.5/8.0 meaning you have ever worse value. how do you pick runners that wont drift against you?

    • @TheAmusementsArcade
      @TheAmusementsArcade 2 года назад +3

      Would love to know the answer to this too. I think these betting strategy videos always seem to be missing critical information.

  • @briansaiditsoitmustbetrue4206
    @briansaiditsoitmustbetrue4206 Год назад +2

    Good video...But I already knew this little trick... But thank you anyway
    Edit... I always look for horses priced at around the 7/1 mark and never in a field of more than 10 Runners when I put lucky 15 bets on.
    Betting in the Saturday afternoon "Cavelry charges" where there is 25 runners in the race is a surefire way to be out of pocket. Bookies LOVE people betting in these races.

    • @JTXRN
      @JTXRN 6 месяцев назад

      ah got it, so if briansaiditsoitmustbetrue4206 knows something then we cannot make a video explaining it to those who may not know it... got it

  • @williamramage9461
    @williamramage9461 2 года назад +3

    I was doing a bit of horse betting and I find that in Ireland a lot off the time there are a lot of withdrawn horses and the rule four deductions come into play in lots of times. It is as if trainers do it on purpose to aid the betting industry. Almost as if they are in cahoots with bookies. In fact I think this happens in the UK as well. And its to rip off the morning punters slashing the odds and taking away any value and decreasing the bets returns. I get the fact going is generally the reason given but that is a lame excuse at best as most horses run on different surfaces in there career. I think trainers should be heavily fined and not some slap on the wrist £5000 + and the horse banned from racing for about 3 months to stop the hoodwinking occurring. The best thing to do is wait till about an hour before racing before betting in accumulated bets, yes horse odds will come in but how often do gambled on horses win very seldom.

    • @deiselden
      @deiselden Год назад

      watch the amount of times a 16 runner field handicap ,gets reduced with a non runner..thus only leaving 3 places..and yes they are in cahoots,jockeys,bookies ,trainers, all a big cartel

  • @johnosullivan8068
    @johnosullivan8068 2 года назад +1

    problem in ireland is that now most high street shops no longer give guaranteed prices on shop placed multiples,i leaned this to my cost recently when i hit a lucky 15 and accum cost me over 500 euro

  • @Chris-es9hn
    @Chris-es9hn 2 года назад +4

    My question is what made you choose your selections? They shortened a lot. Great video as per usual.

  • @petesaguy1707
    @petesaguy1707 2 года назад

    I'm about 60% on my bets right now and a sharp is apparently 55% or better. I did my first lucky 15 bet ever yesterday and won the whole thing. I just wish I had big money to bet with instead of the small $100> bets I place, then I'd have made crazy bank already.

  • @RuhumaBewa
    @RuhumaBewa 10 месяцев назад +1

    This is very helpful video

  • @johnmc1941
    @johnmc1941 2 года назад +3

    what I would like to know is why here in Ireland you take the odds and if the odds come in bigger you get the bigger odds but in England you do not you ....

  • @stephenkenny8120
    @stephenkenny8120 Год назад +1

    Most bookies in Ireland you cant take better odds anymore , including Ladbrokes and paddy power, only Boyle sports you get better price

  • @psychosamba
    @psychosamba Год назад +2

    What is steaming prices?

    • @michaeldempsey22
      @michaeldempsey22 11 месяцев назад +2

      Odds shortening, say it goes from 15/1 down to 10/1, could be value there still at 10/1 if you know what to look for

  • @davidfield7810
    @davidfield7810 2 года назад +5

    Great educational video Caan ! I like a lucky 15 when the bookmaker offers × 3 or × 4 for one winner, it's a nice bit of insurance. Keep up the good work and please consider a live Q&A .

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад +2

      Yes those offers are also a way of getting more +EV in your pocket, great shout.

    • @James-lq1po
      @James-lq1po 2 года назад +1

      Which bookies do those multipliers on one winner?

    • @Mr.A.Tatlock
      @Mr.A.Tatlock 2 года назад +1

      I know Betfred pay 3x for one winner but i have never heard of a bookie paying 4x

    • @davidfield7810
      @davidfield7810 2 года назад +1

      @@James-lq1po Many do at least ×2. I think Betfred do ×3 and some small independents × 4.

    • @jonathantravels
      @jonathantravels 2 года назад +1

      @@James-lq1po Ladbrokes used too when I worked there

  • @johnmulhern2833
    @johnmulhern2833 2 года назад +3

    I get 3 times the odds for one winner so it's not always a bad bet....my problem is I know little about horses so don't bet on them often

    • @seannolan8615
      @seannolan8615 Год назад

      Try doing a bet on the lotto numbers in the betting shop.

  • @alpertopuz6841
    @alpertopuz6841 2 года назад

    I everytime make very good profit from betting with only one strategy and it works very well for me last 2 years without any failure..

  • @DPDjr.
    @DPDjr. 2 года назад

    Love it Caan. You're an inspiration.

  • @matthewmunn6965
    @matthewmunn6965 2 года назад +2

    Though what if you don’t have an edge? Then you negative edge is multipled having the opposite effect.

  • @HLTHENEXTENGLANDGOALKEEPER
    @HLTHENEXTENGLANDGOALKEEPER 2 года назад +1

    Always look for a bookie who has 3 or 4 times odds of 1 winner that way a 9/2 winner at x3 ruffly gets u ur money bk and a 7/2 winner at x4 ruffly gets ur money bk if u get that winner 1st everything else is a free ride

  • @Jay0B938
    @Jay0B938 2 года назад +3

    What about 2x/4x bonus for single winners? does this change anything

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад

      Bonus concessions are always a good thing if you can get them. They usually accelerate the +EV... although if they realise what you are doing they will take them away (online anyway)

    • @Jay0B938
      @Jay0B938 2 года назад

      @@CaanBerryProTrader Backing less than a EVENS or 3/1 depending on the bonus would have to be -EV right?

  • @millers6890
    @millers6890 Год назад +1

    Would be a helpful video with more explanation on what exactly you look for when picking the selections. Otherwise you are sending people out to back Lucky 15s hoping the odds go off shorter without much guidance...which is what the bookies do.

  • @smith077906
    @smith077906 2 года назад +2

    Great video as always Caan
    Cheers

  • @weeno4554
    @weeno4554 2 года назад +1

    Good idea Caen but some constructive criticism for you, maybe explain more in depth such starting prices and morning prices good video but seemed a bit rushed (not trying to be a prick here) love your stuff🐐

  • @333wheeler
    @333wheeler 2 года назад

    What do you think of the more exotic shop only bets bookies do not promote like 2 selection SSA, DSA , or 3 selection BANKO bets that pay more than patent for same stake..

  • @davidbart1223
    @davidbart1223 2 года назад

    Hi @Caan Berry Pro Trader would you recomond using the martingale technique whilst finding value bets?

  • @lippyfrybender4622
    @lippyfrybender4622 2 года назад +3

    Wouldn't it be better with
    A Yankee as the 4 singles
    Are always bad value .
    The problem with the system
    Is the amount of Rule 4 s
    In horse racing.
    I'm expecting wrong type of grass to come up as an excuse.
    Maybe a few bookie trainers
    Like in the states is happening ?
    Good advice 😀

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад +1

      Singles can be value? Have I misunderstood... granted R4's can make it tougher, depends on how reflective of the withdrawal they end up being.

    • @MrMichaeljhinde
      @MrMichaeljhinde 2 года назад

      @@CaanBerryProTrader unless they are arbing when you place the bet, wouldn't you be better served placing the singles on an exchange (at a higher price) if you expect the odds to shorten?

    • @lippyfrybender4622
      @lippyfrybender4622 2 года назад +2

      @@CaanBerryProTrader
      There is something odd in horse racing at the moment
      A lot of start up stables
      Whom is behind them .
      I have had 3 substantial bets
      Which have won but in all occasions horses were pulled
      Out within 3 hours of the race
      All said non runners were 4/9 -1 in price
      Incurring a. Rule 4
      All 3 winners were backed from double digits into 3/1.,
      5/2 Sps
      We are a syndicate owners
      We have noticed this a lot .
      14/1 plus never get pulled.
      Great video
      I

  • @truthseeker-cl7rt
    @truthseeker-cl7rt Год назад +1

    i bet on eligible the other day in the start of the video on the slip you had eligible at 10/1 he won for me the other day at 5/2

    • @truthseeker-cl7rt
      @truthseeker-cl7rt Год назад

      so basically get your bets on the night before before all the mug punters with there 5ers and 10ers draw the price down

  • @barrylock2704
    @barrylock2704 2 года назад +4

    What would happen if one or more of your selections ended up drifting and their SP’s were higher than you chose? Would that make the bet negative EV?

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад +1

      It would depend on how good the others are I guess, could make some the doubles -EV I guess. The theory is there, finding the value is the harder part for sure. Using software is the better short-cut for beginners.

    • @jonathantravels
      @jonathantravels 2 года назад

      @Nigel Mcgiver Some places have time restraints on the BOG. Worth watching out for

  • @Elliot-T
    @Elliot-T 2 года назад +2

    Never place many multiples, but I'll give this a try.

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад

      Just have to be specific on finding the value which is the harder part.

    • @Elliot-T
      @Elliot-T 2 года назад

      @@CaanBerryProTrader Maybe once a week I'll find 4 selections on one day

    • @johndean8295
      @johndean8295 2 года назад

      I've started backing unamed favs and 2nds favs in crossed 5 folds which is 32 bets X your stake and IV being doing ok over last 3 weeks

  • @liamfowler8554
    @liamfowler8554 2 года назад +1

    What about if the odds go up instead of down, would you still consider this a value bet?

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад

      The key is to get the value odds. If they go out a lot, then you could find it becomes -EV. If its +EV odds it results in profit long term.

  • @davidnewell7183
    @davidnewell7183 2 года назад

    Out of curiosity how much is the max a bookies can pay out in cash for a win. For example if I bet £5 on a accumulator in shop not online and won say 3k will the bookies pay the winnings out in cash or do they pay out in a different way

  • @roberthancox-mj3wl
    @roberthancox-mj3wl Год назад

    can i use 4x over / under football bets on a lucky 15 ?

  • @mwitajoseph8211
    @mwitajoseph8211 Год назад

    Can i get a link/groups/chanel where you post Lucky 15 TIPS?

  • @temp911Luke
    @temp911Luke 2 года назад

    Hi Caan,
    Great video.
    Is WOM the one indicator you used to know which selections will most likely shorten ?

  • @paulterry7672
    @paulterry7672 2 года назад

    Are these true selections or after timed to explain the value for the video

  • @cohiba2395
    @cohiba2395 2 года назад

    HI Caan, love you content. I've been trying this strategy myself this week. I live near a lads and a freds. I make my selections at home by checking price/price movements relative to the exchanges, but everytime I get the shops the prices have shortened. I've not yet managed to get one bet on. Do you know where I might be going wrong? What other criteria might I use to make selections which are more price-stable? Thanks. Tom

    • @TheAmusementsArcade
      @TheAmusementsArcade 2 года назад

      why not take your phone to the shop in the morning and check the prices just before you go in? I'd love to know how you are making your selections and how you know the prices are value?

  • @eraldlala3963
    @eraldlala3963 2 года назад

    hi bro i want to bet on womens football but im not finding any program to do that as they dont have the matches to bet
    can you name a bet for womens football or a bet that has all the matches?
    i will be thankfull

  • @Unknownclipz21
    @Unknownclipz21 2 года назад

    do you sell any tips or do you know any good sport betting tipsters

  • @andrewlemoine6975
    @andrewlemoine6975 2 года назад +1

    Out of interest, how successful does an online account need to be before it gets restricted?

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад +1

      Not very successful at all. But it depends on many different things.... what bets you place, what sports, time of day, +EV margin, stakes etc. Not the direct answer you wanted I guess but for example if you're betting singles on the horses in the morning and beating the closing line, you could even be a loser and get restricted. Success should be measured on how much you beat the CLV by, not necessarily the profit or loss. You could pick terrible value and still win some money...

    • @andrewlemoine6975
      @andrewlemoine6975 2 года назад

      @@CaanBerryProTrader not exactly what I was looking for, no, but certainly an interesting read! I was kind of thinking more along the lines of if you win a massive bet like 20k or a string of big wins like 5k 4x in a row, for example, does your account then get restricted or is it more when you are constantly +EV like you say that it looks a bit suspicious

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад +1

      Yes that's exactly it. If you won 20k and it was badly at -EV they would welcome with open arms. This is why some people get confused... they're like "this is nonsense I won loads at the weekend and it doesn't happen". People who bet big stakes at bad EV were historically put on VIP schemes and given all manner of concessions. However, some people who might have lost 100's at good EV would be out the door in a heartbeat. In fact, most of the time they only let you bet bigger if you are proven to be betting at -EV. A new account with say 365 is usually max bet to return £500, then, if you're betting -EV and have the funds they'll gradually let you bet more. ...by contrast, my girlfriend opened an account with them once, placed 4-5 bets and was restricted to 70p a bet.

  • @02failte
    @02failte 2 года назад +1

    Would you place a bet like this yourself Caan?

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад +1

      Sure, although there are other things that interest me more. This is quite high variance and a bit of legwork.

    • @02failte
      @02failte 2 года назад

      @@CaanBerryProTrader I used to place acca bets until I started to follow you. I never ever got one of them up. Now I only do acca bets with lottery numbers. Great video though!!!

  • @johnheffernan7075
    @johnheffernan7075 Год назад

    Getting value is easy there's lots of different ways to get one over the bookies in value. It's the actual winning that's the problem

    • @JTXRN
      @JTXRN 6 месяцев назад

      nope, the problem is not winning. because as long as you have positive EV and place many many bets over a long period, you are certain to be in profit. its maths.
      the real problem is getting barred from casinos, whether online or in person.

  • @karimsesay3142
    @karimsesay3142 2 года назад

    This +ev is something i reallly want to try....but don't know how to start...
    And also how many bet should place for u to start seeing profit....
    Example after every 300bets u should have seen a bit of profit.
    And what odds range should u target

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад

      Check out the strategies playlist on the channel page. There are lots of +EV examples.

  • @SheridanGary
    @SheridanGary 9 месяцев назад

    It looks like you don't understand the term overround. 97% means positive expected value and 110% overroubd is negative EV

  • @RashidiAmiri21
    @RashidiAmiri21 2 года назад +4

    Nice one

  • @Skitzsosis
    @Skitzsosis 2 года назад

    Like a fool my gambling has been strictly slots and over the years i have lost an awful lot of money, i hate to say it but the online slots seem to feel so rigged. Maybe i would be better off trying to place some bets on other things instead and try to at least get some money back from the casinos. I think im going to take time to watch a few of your videos and take some tips. Wish me luck and thanks for the videos!!!

    • @MichaelWilliams-mo1vv
      @MichaelWilliams-mo1vv Год назад

      Never bet on things that are computer controlled. Better to be on things you can use your judgement on.

  • @stentasch
    @stentasch 2 года назад +1

    Hi. Berry . Perfect vidio agian....just couple Q ...you lave it run after first 2 runners won or do you hegde it some how on exchange ? And how many bets you place average dayli ?

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад

      Wouldn't have hedged in this instance... commission on the lay bets.

  • @solidsnake619
    @solidsnake619 2 года назад +2

    So in the morning, if the a bookies price is higher than the exchange, then put it in a lucky 15?

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад +2

      Could drift, but generally speaking yes that would be a good idea.

  • @HaHa-bc4zr
    @HaHa-bc4zr 2 года назад

    Cann I watch all of your videos and the content is excellent.
    However on this one surely the strategy has include an emphasis on picking winning selections at value and not just any selection which is value?

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад

      If you're getting value, you win long term. Lots of people seem to get confused about this but you don't have to pick the winner if you're getting value because over the long term you are a winner... it's like flipping a coin and getting 3/1 payout. Sure you might flip heads a few times in a row but ultimately variance will ensure that results are evenly distributed over a larger sample - except the wins were at 3/1 instead of 1/1.

    • @HaHa-bc4zr
      @HaHa-bc4zr 2 года назад

      @@CaanBerryProTrader Thanks for taking the time to reply.
      Top man

    • @SixTimesMrOlympia
      @SixTimesMrOlympia 2 года назад

      ​@@CaanBerryProTrader I agree. I hit many losers backing a late goal on 90 minutes plus. However I hit a winner after several attempts and because this is a form of value betting I win in the long term. The odds are so big it mitigates the loses. A pot of gold is won if I get two late goals. I'm flabbergasted nobody else appears to recognise this strategy. You have to be johhny on the spot and aware of all potential games at all different times across the world at around the 90 minute mark.

  • @neilmccarthy5102
    @neilmccarthy5102 2 года назад

    When you say the morning, I assume you mean about 10ish, 11ish for the forthcoming afternoon meets..?

  • @georgebook1723
    @georgebook1723 2 года назад

    Caan is this worth doing even if the odds are real long? Still better value than what the bookies are offering though

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад +1

      The odds don't matter so much, so long as they are value. You're probably more likely to find mispriced odds with a sportsbook at a lower range though. Like 2.0 - 9.0... higher can be harder.

  • @TheAmusementsArcade
    @TheAmusementsArcade 2 года назад

    How do we know a horse will shorten though Caan? I realise that you'll have a good eye for spotting this due to your many years of experience in trading. But to most people this is an impossible task isn't it? Which means, surely, that this strategy will only work for those who can already successfully trade the horses on the exchange? I would love to think not, I do really appreciate your videos, but it's really dissapointing to see what appears to be such a great strategy only to find out there's a catch (that we can't really do it)

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад +2

      You can find open value at the right time in the morning. There are others ways of finding steamers but I'm sure you appreciate I can't put them on RUclips as it would also tell the bookies, and it's too valueable to give out for free (or even cheap).

    • @TheAmusementsArcade
      @TheAmusementsArcade 2 года назад +1

      @@CaanBerryProTrader I'd certainly pay for something if it had a lot of value and the price was right. Let me know if you ever put a price list together 😄

  • @LarryFogarty
    @LarryFogarty Год назад

    it sounds to good..lot of horses take a walk from morning prices

  • @jamespeacock5321
    @jamespeacock5321 2 года назад +1

    So pick out better odds in the morning and they still won't win so better value means nothing Theirs no point to thus video its like your telling us to win the euro millions 😅

  • @antskilu1354
    @antskilu1354 2 года назад

    + dobb?

  • @manjumahata4737
    @manjumahata4737 8 месяцев назад

    Nice video

  • @TheBarnster1008
    @TheBarnster1008 Год назад

    Yea I do that take prizes and they all bloody drift

  • @redorblue8124
    @redorblue8124 8 месяцев назад

    so its just 15 bets? why not just bet 15 bets individually?

    • @JTXRN
      @JTXRN 6 месяцев назад

      well firstly, it makes no difference if you do a lucky 15, or if you do them as individual bets.
      so you're just wasting time if you do individual.
      secondly, these are not guaranteed profit each bet, however they are positive EV. meaning you have the edge over the long term.
      this means that you will have to place lots and lots of bets to see that edge in the long term.
      no reason to do individual especially if you're placing a lot of bets.
      overall, dont waste your time

  • @mrleebaines8611
    @mrleebaines8611 2 года назад

    whats he on about

  • @19gotcha68
    @19gotcha68 2 года назад

    Holds up five telling us 4

  • @simonthecatman209
    @simonthecatman209 2 года назад +3

    Better odds mean that the bet could fail

  • @makclio172
    @makclio172 2 года назад +1

    Imagine believing there’s a strat to betting 😂

  • @LifeofLiam
    @LifeofLiam Год назад

    Yeah I’m still lost

  • @jonathantravels
    @jonathantravels 2 года назад

    Probs get banned if you did this on a flag or a union jack

  • @robwightman6357
    @robwightman6357 2 года назад

    What🤷🏼‍♂️

  • @isaack.yeboah8897
    @isaack.yeboah8897 2 года назад

    Men, I do not understand anything explanation not clear

  • @DanceySteveYNWA
    @DanceySteveYNWA 2 года назад

    Bald strategy

  • @bodrulhok3325
    @bodrulhok3325 2 года назад

    Lucky 15 is a idiots bet

  • @Granturismo-92
    @Granturismo-92 2 года назад +1

    hi sir i have offer

  • @turbogigwoof2321
    @turbogigwoof2321 2 года назад +2

    But if it wins , they won’t pay out anyway!!!

    • @CaanBerryProTrader
      @CaanBerryProTrader  2 года назад +1

      Haha if they refuse to pay out a £1 bet, do get in touch with the proof and I'll do a video! ....£1 affordability checks, that'd just be too hilarious. Wouldn't suprise me at some point though.

  • @andyclarke7154
    @andyclarke7154 2 года назад

    Hey - Where can i contact you regarding a scam ladbrokes has committed - I have photo evidence amongst other things that need to be brought to the light of day.
    is there an e-mail to contact you to submit information?

  • @khantvolcano7516
    @khantvolcano7516 2 года назад

    I would like to invite business collaboration. I sent via email also. Kindly check it.