Sketchy Stanford study says 9.5% of programmers are "ghosts"...

Поделиться
HTML-код
  • Опубликовано: 2 дек 2024
  • НаукаНаука

Комментарии • 961

  • @danhorus
    @danhorus День назад +5141

    I read that guy's paper and his research is so bad! He tried to use git commits to predict things like developer experience, coding time, and end-to-end implementation time, but instead of measuring these labels in the real world, he asked 10 "expert raters" to GUESS the answers. Not only that, 7 of these raters are actually managers/execs, which means they may not be touching code for quite a while now. The sample size is also really small, with only 70 commits, and the raters don't even agree on metrics like the developer's experience, code maintainability, and good structure. Still, the author took those responses and used them to train a Random Forest model to predict similar responses for new commits -- the only problem is that Random Forest models CANNOT READ CODE, so it's IMPOSSIBLE for this model to have ANY understanding of code quality

    • @alec3107
      @alec3107 День назад +607

      This is a damn impressive comment considering it's only 10 minutes after the video dropped lol

    • @sirloin869
      @sirloin869 23 часа назад +3

      hahaha

    • @nek729
      @nek729 23 часа назад +93

      ​@@alec3107what if it was made with ai lol

    • @braineaterzombie3981
      @braineaterzombie3981 23 часа назад +49

      Damn that's terrible job to do any kind of inferencing, but at the same time i think its not completely his fault. It is also job of reviewers to look at research and make conclusions whether this is an important news headline or not , more often than not people just report completely different from what is original suggested

    • @dankmememayn
      @dankmememayn 23 часа назад +189

      @@alec3107 the paper has been out longer than this video you know?

  • @adambickford8720
    @adambickford8720 23 часа назад +1811

    As a senior dev, I spend enormous amounts of time mentoring and reviewing. Not only does that leveling up of the team not get a nice little metric, but many of those other dev's commits are my solutions just misattributed.
    When I do actually get to write code, it's going to be the gnarliest parallel/concurrent tasks we have. Guess what? That takes a lot longer to write than scaffolding up a new rest endpoint Mr 10x.
    Go ahead and fire me, prove you're the bad manager we all know you are.

    • @hotworlds
      @hotworlds 23 часа назад +187

      Last job as a lead dev, frequently a week would go by where my day would start with an hour of responding to emails, two hours on a Skype call with a jr dev, three hours of meetings, another hour of emails at the end of the day, and with short breaks in between these things it's time to go home.
      That's zero commits all week while about 70% of my time was solving everyone's problems and answering questions and the other 30% was mandatory BS. Only time I'd actually get to do some coding was on Monday and Friday when people weren't scheduling so many meetings.

    • @LuisSierra42
      @LuisSierra42 23 часа назад +122

      Sorry, my LLM found that you don't spend enough time coding to be considered a productive engineer

    • @rodrigovaccari7547
      @rodrigovaccari7547 22 часа назад +66

      @@hotworlds Judging commits as productivity is such an ignorant way to approach it. I can commit a spaghetti recipe in the code, then commit me adding a comma, then commit me deleting it. It literally means not a single thing other than something was done directly on code.

    • @oafkad
      @oafkad 22 часа назад +9

      Just wait till they make an AI that shows just how many managers aren't necessary. You'd lose the

    • @DefaultFlame
      @DefaultFlame 22 часа назад +31

      @@rodrigovaccari7547 "How many times did you press backspace? Oh, it's X% above the average? You're fired." Don't you love that we live in the most boring cyberpunk dystopia?

  • @rekcce
    @rekcce 20 часов назад +243

    I am in my third month as a senior ghost sofware engineer at my new job. It is not my fault, they hired me because they were "negotiating" a lot of projects but no deal is closed yet. No meetings, no reports, no code reviews, no legacy code, no deadlines, nothing they just pay me. My boss just call me once a week to apologize for putting me in standby and said maybe next week things will start to move (the same routine since the fist week). I would prefer to have a goal, own a project or at least mentor someone. First month was full of uncertainty and anxiety, but now I start to enjoy it but not for the lack of work but because it give me the opportunity to study and take courses to upgrade my skills, work on some personal projects and yes, I am already looking for another job just in case. I have been in several companies at different job positions and I can say this type of problems (and others related) are consequence of poor management and bad executive decisions, but hey! lets blame the developers for not been productive enough. By the way, I loudly laughed and then sadly cry as an Electrical Engineer that spent ages learning MATLAB to never use it on their career; well I still use it for my personal (non-paid) projects.

    • @holeefuk8535
      @holeefuk8535 13 часов назад +2

      Let me guess, you're american?

    • @BHBalast
      @BHBalast 13 часов назад +1

      Helo fellow EE, i never liked MATLAB, in my region of the world it was just too pricy for small and medium companies for what it offers, now I just use python. I wonder what did you used in exchange for MATLAB while you were working as an EE?

    • @anonymous-ui7il
      @anonymous-ui7il 12 часов назад

      @@BHBalast For computer vision, linear algebra and machine learning, libraries/frameworks like numpy, tensorflow, pytorch, opencv provide enough equivalent coverage and implement the same functions in MATLAB pretty well. There is no need for MATLAB. Many 2D, 3D, nD visualization libraries also exist in python like matplotlib.

    • @bloozy85
      @bloozy85 12 часов назад +2

      haha so true, i experienced this in some previous jobs ... be careful to tell doubts or criticize ^^ ... they will immediately lay you off :D

    • @PunishedFelix
      @PunishedFelix 12 часов назад +2

      I had a job like this but instead of being in project limbo the people who ran the place were idiots who had no idea how to construct any protocol on development or managing tickets. I basically had to go in blind with undocumented completely in house software, it was nuts. So for many periods I would just catch up on research and pretend to work because they had no way of noticing and then one week I would just finish a bunch of loose ends.
      Honestly if they just let me do that and stopped assigning vague or completely idiotic projects I would still be working there. 30 months of my life just gone to that crap

  • @australianman8566
    @australianman8566 День назад +987

    I am genuinely tired of all the Clerk ads. Don't trust a company that locks you in with no way of leaving with something as sensitive as user management. There are much better alternatives.

    • @IsaiahMutex
      @IsaiahMutex 23 часа назад +5

      For example?

    • @thedragonrises6882
      @thedragonrises6882 23 часа назад +26

      ​@@IsaiahMutexKeycloak

    • @SlimShady-gs8pl
      @SlimShady-gs8pl 23 часа назад

      Zitadel for me, which is also FOSS, well-audited, and used in a lot of EU governments. Keycloak is heavy and pretty much requires weeks of training to figure out how it all works. But I do love Redhat.

    • @fred.flintstone4099
      @fred.flintstone4099 23 часа назад +24

      @@IsaiahMutex I guess Okta is an alternative. I don't know if it is better or worse though. It is great Clerk have a bazillion different login providers but for most people you probably only need one or two, maybe three.

    • @onioneater69
      @onioneater69 23 часа назад

      @@IsaiahMutex either write it yourself, or use one of the many FOSS alternatives including Authentik, SuperTokens, Ory, Logto, Hanko, etc

  • @MmeliDyantyi
    @MmeliDyantyi 22 часа назад +319

    sometimes you spend weeks trying to figure out a few lines of code, it is not just about writing code mindlessly but actually creatively solving very specific problems

    • @J-Kimble
      @J-Kimble 20 часов назад +42

      And not to mention sometimes it takes days to pin down the exact requirements because most companies have atrocious planning.

    • @DavidTector
      @DavidTector 18 часов назад

      Huh...

  • @JH-bb8in
    @JH-bb8in День назад +138

    My experience with Clerk has been awful. Gets expensive very quick, plus they use all sorts of dark patterns to make it hard to cancel.

    • @gringo5282
      @gringo5282 23 часа назад +27

      Not to mention the random outages, poor performance, and added latency for almost no benefit. At one point, a startup I worked for was spending upwards of $1500/mo on Clerk. I replaced their authentication system with a custom self-hosted implementation, and the cost dropped down to around $80/mo for the server it was running on.

    • @MrJgracias
      @MrJgracias 21 час назад +4

      Is this a commercial? ✋️

    • @UriGerhard
      @UriGerhard 20 часов назад +5

      @@MrJgracias I see it more as a suggestion to write your own Clerk, with blerkjack and hookers

  • @jakub2631
    @jakub2631 День назад +459

    AlbertaTech talked about this and apparently it's just management bs

    • @ForChiddlers
      @ForChiddlers 21 час назад +24

      Yeah, she has outdone Fireship pretty quick

    • @nayber2352
      @nayber2352 19 часов назад +15

      yeah, because she's actually a developer

    • @XDarkGreyX
      @XDarkGreyX 17 часов назад +5

      ​@@nayber2352 he used to be a dev only and a dev first for many years. Stop hate watching

    • @ashishbarthwal6961
      @ashishbarthwal6961 16 часов назад

      ​@@XDarkGreyX ikr lol

    • @lukealadeen7836
      @lukealadeen7836 15 часов назад +1

      She's so cute ❤

  • @divad1196
    @divad1196 22 часа назад +907

    9.5% of devs are actually thinking instead of writing non-sense

    • @rompis.a
      @rompis.a 20 часов назад +176

      A real dev spends about 70% of their development time wringing their brains out reading documentations, figuring out architecture design, and deciphering Indian accents on RUclips. Only 30% is spent writing the code.

    • @eshku
      @eshku 20 часов назад +62

      @@rompis.a thinking about architecture design, ha, no way, I'm gonna just make something that works, add more and more functionality, until I bump my way into lots of problems, figure out how to make it work again, changing architecture completely and rewriting whole code several times, because I definitely know what I'm doing. I'm gonna be tha best dev for that AI. So many keystrokes, sooo many commits, so little thinking ahead...

    • @cate01a
      @cate01a 20 часов назад +3

      the productivity score seems to be based off how useful the code you generate is, not simply how many lines

    • @xBanki
      @xBanki 20 часов назад +14

      @@eshku We're witnessing an escape from the Matrix in real time, ladies and gentlemen

    • @Edward55221
      @Edward55221 19 часов назад

      I think its funny when stupid people use AI as a crutch instead of using their brains and then it bites them in the ass.

  • @AkhnaJulie-h3n
    @AkhnaJulie-h3n 16 часов назад +844

    1) Become a super star developer.
    2) Be invited to all the meetings because you know everything.
    3) Get fired because you didn't punch enough buttons while you were in meetings.

    • @arcannite6152
      @arcannite6152 15 часов назад +25

      Bro really just copied and pasted someone else's joke in this exact comment section

    • @kristianlavigne8270
      @kristianlavigne8270 15 часов назад +11

      Actually as a senior engineer you will struggle to be productive in a “pile of garbage” which is the predictable result of “lean development” and “sprints” - maximum technical debt to get those magical sprint points 😅

    • @TheBlackClockOfTime
      @TheBlackClockOfTime 14 часов назад +13

      @@arcannite6152 it's an AI.

    • @michalooo3425
      @michalooo3425 11 часов назад +3

      @@arcannite6152 1) Become a super star developer.
      2) Be invited to all the meetings because you know everything.
      3) Get fired because you didn't punch enough buttons while you were in meetings.

    • @moamber1
      @moamber1 7 часов назад +2

      @@michalooo3425 I have a better joke, now with the punch:
      1) Become a super star developer.
      2) Be invited to all the meetings because you know everything.
      3) Get fired because you didn't punch enough buttons while you were in meetings.

  • @Neuvalence
    @Neuvalence 23 часа назад +91

    4:20 last time a company implemented a screen monitoring-tracking system, i left two weeks after the micromanaging ensued. was a slap in the face.

  • @ICoDIAlmar21
    @ICoDIAlmar21 День назад +66

    So the only way to combat this is to fill their test datasets with unproductive work tagged as productive. Got it.

  • @nestwr
    @nestwr День назад +283

    Wow, what a genius study. It's not like engineers don't have other responsibilities. Say one out of ten engineers having access to code bases, but also being the team lead, who manages SCRUM, client requirements and tracks contributions of the engineers under them. Or maybe it's a DevOps engineer, who only very occasionally needs to put changes into team repos, spending most of their time in GUIs. I look forward to all the boomer team leads thinking the study is about their subordinates and making their lives even harder. 🤦‍♂

    • @proosee
      @proosee 23 часа назад +20

      It's not about being boomer or not, it's about intelligence - I've seen young people thinking that the number of commits they make daily is a measure of their productivity.

    • @ForChiddlers
      @ForChiddlers 21 час назад +7

      They used line counts to measure productivity 😂😂😂😂

    • @superdingo9741
      @superdingo9741 9 часов назад

      Wow, what a genius comment. The study is about programmers, but 'maybe it's a DevOps engineer'. 🥴

    • @ForChiddlers
      @ForChiddlers 8 часов назад

      @superdingo9741 it's from an MBA, so probably for him it's just a computer guys study🤣🤣

  • @experimentalcyborg
    @experimentalcyborg 21 час назад +78

    having worked in many different office environments i can tell you with high confidence that software engineers are some of the most hardworking white collar employees there are. most other positions i've interacted with spent 50% - 75% scrolling, yapping, playing browser games, or pretending do be attending to important business away from their desk while hiding out somewhere else. Office jobs are a scam in general. I am 100% convinced we could condense the 5 day work week into 1 or 2 days of actual work and see zero difference in productivity in the long run, assuming there are mechanisms to keep the employees actually working the whole time during their 1 or 2 work days.
    Don't get me wrong i don't blame the employees, because most work feels pointless, meaningless, and with no end in sight. The only thing keeping us alive is the weekend. Literally. If a 7 day work week would be instated most office buildings would need nets and window locks.

    • @Mylordkaz
      @Mylordkaz 19 часов назад +2

      so much agree, what a scam and a waste of money...

    • @Eddie-p4l
      @Eddie-p4l 13 часов назад

      "Keep them busy busy busy, back on the farm with the other animals"
      Line from a document discovered in an 2nd hand copier attributed to the first Bilderberg meeting in the 50's.
      Idea is to stop humanity from realising we are just landless debt peasants owned by the banksters & their minions.

    • @ThoanThbel
      @ThoanThbel 13 часов назад +2

      having worked at many different office environments across many different tech sectors and company sizes, i can tell you with high confidence that most software engineers are the least hardworking white collar employees there are. for every truly hardworking developer there are easily 5 who are in the weeds or just slacking. there are many many more folks getting CS degrees today due to the salary and not due to love of software development. this results in folks treating it like a job not a career. to everyone in the comments getting defensive, you're not the target. the person who did a commit at 5pm on a Friday that introduced 3 new bugs right before a release (that the 1 hardworking dev ended up fixing on Sat) is the target. note, i'm not saying the research was done correctly (haven't looked at it). i don't think any meaningful results can be gotten without a lot of inside knowledge. this is why the "ghosts" manage to stay under the radar for so long.

    • @experimentalcyborg
      @experimentalcyborg 11 часов назад +2

      @@ThoanThbel "being in the weeds" or just learning new stuff? There's a difference between wasting time going in circles and learning tangential stuff that will be valuable down the line. If your devs are genuinely slacking, you've either done something wrong in the hiring process and/or ran out of genuine tasks for them and/or aren't offering any future perspective to your employees beyond "you're making a paycheck".

    • @ThoanThbel
      @ThoanThbel 10 часов назад

      @@experimentalcyborg I'm talking about developers completely in the weeds, not folks "just learning new stuff". Senior Devs with 5-10 years of experience with no clue how to debug, copypasting what they hope works out of stackoverflow, sometimes not even bothering to try to build it before committing and using the "this is critical it has to go in now" excuse to bypass checks to get it pushed because they're going to a wedding. Yes, many engineering managers are very bad at interviewing and also trying desperately to fill reqs. "He could implement a linked list, guess he knows C++". Seriously, there are a growing number of devs who only majored in CS because it's a high paying job. They don't care about the code. They just want the paycheck. They don't even like computers. Some of them don't even have a computer at home. It's only 5%-10% of the devs, but all it takes is one or two to bring down quality and raise everyone's blood pressure. Cutting them slack by assuming they mean well is how they glide through a job for a couple years and then bounce to another company. I argue against hiring those kinds of folks, but it often falls on deaf ears.

  • @mr.xharlie
    @mr.xharlie День назад +108

    Take all these statistics being thrown around with a grain of salt. Cause I'm supposed to believe that the people who stand to make the most money (hint it's not the developers) from cost cutting won't put out what are essentially hit pieces to justify them cutting jobs due their own overspending?
    Also to add, it comes off as very disingenuous when people take articles headlines and run with them. I'd say whenever you see something that sounds outrageous, read the article and see if it makes sense. 9 times out of 10 it doesn't. But a click bait headline gets clicks

    • @lowlink534
      @lowlink534 23 часа назад

      They just want excuses to fire people, maybe this will be a good thing for their business, but in general they just end up hiring even worse people or just going broke for not being able to keep up with the market, I don't care really

    • @obsidianjane4413
      @obsidianjane4413 23 часа назад +1

      Be sure to collect that grain of salt as you are shown the door. BS is very real when its been dropped in your lap. etc.

    • @proosee
      @proosee 23 часа назад +8

      Exactly, it always amaze me how much effort there is in seeking improvements in developers job while a the same time there is so much useless management bs.

    • @defetya
      @defetya 22 часа назад

      ​@@prooseei mean it might be

    • @Mystic998
      @Mystic998 21 час назад

      This is what happened with remote work.

  • @kyomawolf2
    @kyomawolf2 День назад +96

    A sample size of 10 is really nothing tbh

    • @proosee
      @proosee 23 часа назад +8

      Hah! 10! That would be actually something, but they get only 3 developers in that 10!

    • @australianman8566
      @australianman8566 22 часа назад +9

      10 is absolutely nothing.

  • @ncubica
    @ncubica 23 часа назад +24

    i just keeping seeing in many companies over and over, 20% of the issues are with actual code, 20% with bad hiring, and 60% with human communication and understanding what they are building. It is easier to try to blame the developers but to me the problem with productivity is somewhere else.

    • @TheLolz404
      @TheLolz404 23 часа назад +6

      It is the people managing the projects. Because they can't / don't. Too many fads or not enough conviction to the core product.

  • @Karaffka
    @Karaffka 23 часа назад +113

    In nature, up to 40% of worker ants are idle.

    • @Flatchlenter
      @Flatchlenter 22 часа назад +37

      40% of the colony is idle at any given time. That doesn't mean those same 40% are idle all the time.

    • @SD7productions
      @SD7productions 22 часа назад +26

      If human race had the work ethic of ants, we would have colonized the solar system by now.

    • @Blaze6108
      @Blaze6108 20 часов назад +16

      Yep. And it's not for a bad reason either: normally, ants just don't have enough work to do to 'employ' 100% of the colony. However, the reason they are organized this way is that when an extreme work surge becomes needed (famine, war, flood...), they can muster a 40% workforce increase instantly with fresh, rested workers, and save their little six-legged souls.

    • @ytjoemoore94
      @ytjoemoore94 17 часов назад

      Ants share identical DNA and only benifit their offspring by contributing. If they are idle it's for a good reason.

    • @HUEHUEUHEPony
      @HUEHUEUHEPony 15 часов назад +1

      We shouldn't have everyone the same 9 to 5

  • @javabeanz8549
    @javabeanz8549 23 часа назад +86

    Too bad that most of the work of developers is in thinking, which means that it can't be measured by some keyboard and mouse tracking garbage. AI can't sort out the value of a developer by looking at commits.

    • @MushookieMan
      @MushookieMan 20 часов назад +19

      Please wear this brainwave measuring headset thank you

    • @javabeanz8549
      @javabeanz8549 20 часов назад +4

      @@MushookieMan "we have a chip for that" - NeuralLink

    • @justsomenamelesssoul8097
      @justsomenamelesssoul8097 14 часов назад

      ​@@MushookieManI have anomal brain waves after my brain surgery, now what? 😂

    • @hamidraza3632
      @hamidraza3632 13 часов назад +1

      Or can it? Vsauce music plays

  • @Frazerusy
    @Frazerusy 23 часа назад +50

    The paper does not contain any of the 9.5% infos so lovingly mentioned by almost everyone reporting about this paper. Please read it, its not even a reasonably created paper anyways. One of its main points in the discussion is that effort can be measured more accurately when it's already happened than by predicting it. No shit sherlock!

  • @THEMATT222
    @THEMATT222 18 часов назад +7

    2:59 the transfer approval message is sooo poetic though, feels like I'm reading a fable

  • @bengrzybowski2487
    @bengrzybowski2487 22 часа назад +12

    Corporations want to justify RTO so bad they have to pay "researchers" at Stanford to try and prove their point. Wonder how much it cost to get that joke of a paper released.

  • @victorportable3892
    @victorportable3892 11 часов назад +6

    1) Get a keyboard emulator that prints a given text file as keyboard strokes.
    2) Copy/Paste the the biggest Git-Repo you can find into the input file
    3) Write a little bash/shell script that starts this emulator in a word file every weekday from 8 to 6
    4) Go on vaction for 3 months
    5) Come back and have 4 raises, 2 promotions, +100 hours overtime while all the normies in your company got fired.
    6) Go on vacation again with your overtime.

  • @oleg4966
    @oleg4966 23 часа назад +17

    The funny part is where the AI's author assumes ghost engineers won't game the AI the same way they gamed every other system in place.
    They only have a job because they are successfully gaming the bureaucracy's metrics. And bureaucracies are _way_ less predictable than an AI.
    One of the ghost engineers is probably going to take a good look at the metrics, record their own behavior when they do actual work, write a program that makes you look like the most productive member of the staff and then sell it to other ghost engineers.
    They're lazy, not dumb.

    • @mvmlego1212
      @mvmlego1212 21 час назад +6

      I agree with your main point, but I think that some 0.1x-developers are dumb, not lazy. Some programmers seriously do not know what they're doing, and I'm one of them. When I've pair-programmed with teammates, I'm shocked by how quickly their mouse moves from place to place, how steadily they type, and by how much less time they spend thinking than I do--even while getting better results. I don't know whether it's due to a sleep disorder, a neurological disorder, boredom, frustration, laziness, or something else, but I simply can't match their productivity or come anywhere close to it.

    • @afnankabir2190
      @afnankabir2190 11 часов назад

      ​@@mvmlego1212 spend more time playing and fiddling around with your computer. Flicking on and off buttons and observing the changes they make can help you be more efficient

  • @jasontang6725
    @jasontang6725 День назад +92

    What's more likely: A university study that relied on AI generated data produced accurate insights into workplace dynamics, OR a university study that relied on AI generated data produced exactly the type of AI slop that algorithmic media bots love to promote?

    • @Randarrradara
      @Randarrradara 23 часа назад +16

      Stanford is just a name, that still holds some prestige, despite the fact that they put out slop most of the time.

    • @lowlink534
      @lowlink534 23 часа назад

      I feel like most academia is on that stage where they are just burning down the resources they still have to keep the parasites in it alive for as long as possible, and that may include even big, prestige unis. There's no reason for knowledge to be gatekept lile that anymore, nowadays you can chat for AI for a few hours and get all the knowledge for which would need to attend a class for a whole semester, putting up with boring teachers and burning real resources like your precious time and money.
      What scares me is that so far most AIs are free to use for the most part, but they might start replacing significant part of our information providers (like websites going down because AI has the content in it) and then we suddenly have to pay these few conglomerates for basic information on a daily basis

    • @proosee
      @proosee 23 часа назад +17

      I glanced over this paper and TBH I was embarassed to even read such bs, the quality of this research is terrible, I find it surprising that Stanford even put their university's name behind this paper.

    • @etodemerzel2627
      @etodemerzel2627 21 час назад +4

      It's not a university study. Stanford had nothing to do with that "research".

    • @jackMeought-fr8vl
      @jackMeought-fr8vl 20 часов назад

      The last 10 years have proved pretty well that nobody competent is left in the university system

  • @weirdbuggames
    @weirdbuggames 18 часов назад +4

    logging inactive mouse movements and keystrokes and flagging it as idle is probably the dumbest thing to ever be implemented especially for programmers, how could the ai possibly know im just staring at my screen for an hour tryna mentally piece together the piece of code in my head?

  • @smithynoir9980
    @smithynoir9980 21 час назад +6

    I wonder if it would ever occur to these manager and executive types that if people are falling off and their work rate is dropping severely across a significant amount of workers, that the problem isn't the workers but rather the constant treatment of everyone being disposable and actively trying to pay everyone as little as they can get away with?

  • @NoOne-fe3gc
    @NoOne-fe3gc День назад +383

    AlbertaTech had a video on this, apparently that infografic is a gross distortion of the study which isn't even related to ghost engineers?

    • @rhydonphilip
      @rhydonphilip 23 часа назад +17

      I am also curious where he got the remote work productivity data from. Most I find detail the oppositie, all be it ones dating from 2020-2022.

    • @GSBarlev
      @GSBarlev 23 часа назад +10

      Given how I get most of my breaking news from Jeff, it's pretty awesome, not only that Alberta scooped him, but that she's got enough of a following that a huge portion of the top comments are talking about how she already covered this!

    • @bluefrancis14
      @bluefrancis14 21 час назад +2

      ​​@@GSBarlev may I know what channel you guys are talking about?

    • @GSBarlev
      @GSBarlev 21 час назад +4

      @@bluefrancis14 It's *@AlbertaTech* just as it says in OC's post.

    • @bluefrancis14
      @bluefrancis14 13 часов назад

      @@GSBarlev Oh, I though it was name of a company. Thanks!

  • @rmt3589
    @rmt3589 22 часа назад +9

    I really like the idea of Microsoft Recall, EXCEPT that Microsoft can control it. Microsoft controlling it makes it FAR WORSE than not having it.
    I would like to make my own version for myself. But I don't want an overseer, or anyone else really, to have access.

  • @liquidsnake6879
    @liquidsnake6879 День назад +31

    "How long should it take to create a commit like this" the only real answer is, it depends and that throws the entire study off the rails lol

  • @anonyshinki
    @anonyshinki 11 часов назад +4

    I'm a ghost developer and thankfully the company is too small and poor to worry about that

    • @anonyshinki
      @anonyshinki 11 часов назад +1

      I also built half of the system so I can always say "this will take me a year to implement" and nobody will question me

    • @CommanderKappa
      @CommanderKappa 10 часов назад

      Based

    • @emberplate
      @emberplate 6 часов назад +1

      My career has been 70% ghost, with a high performance year in the middle where I had the highest billable hours and made a bunch of shit. Who cares honestly, these ghost devs might have hobbies or personal projects

  • @thevenom3125
    @thevenom3125 22 часа назад +19

    0:52 Andrew Rousso mentioned???

    • @zeluciojr
      @zeluciojr 22 часа назад +2

      Hell yeah

    • @DarthJarJar10
      @DarthJarJar10 20 часов назад +1

      Because he's a legend amongst legends

    • @noxfortes
      @noxfortes 13 часов назад

      I love it when you unexpectedly see a known RUclipsr in another one's video kinda like a cameo 😅♥️

  • @zorobabel2024
    @zorobabel2024 23 часа назад +44

    It's like always:
    10% high performer
    20% good
    40% average
    20% bad
    10% ghosts
    Anything new under the sun?

    • @JK-zd3md
      @JK-zd3md 21 час назад +10

      one thing to note is that this study doesn't account for non-commit productive time (maintaining, coordinating between other devs, The Actual Managing Work non-technical managers can't actually do, etc.)
      Which will make the higher dev roles in projects seem "unproductive" compared to like. junior coders bc. they're spending most of their time herding cats and teaching people to fix their code
      fun.

    • @zorobabel2024
      @zorobabel2024 21 час назад +1

      @@JK-zd3md ye, but nevertheless, from my experience this distribution is still true

    • @XDarkGreyX
      @XDarkGreyX 20 часов назад

      Where do I ring the bell

    • @TheBlackClockOfTime
      @TheBlackClockOfTime 14 часов назад +1

      Punching a bunch of keys and moving your mouse a lot does not make you a high performer.

    • @zorobabel2024
      @zorobabel2024 13 часов назад

      @TheBlackClockOfTime definitely, but i didn't mean it like that. This distribution is true even when not looking on the input, but plain value output

  • @AlexandreTrash
    @AlexandreTrash 21 час назад +14

    So 90% of developers still do work, unlike 0% of CEO's that only knows how to spend money. WHEN CEO's AUTOMATIZATION?

    • @DaveSmith-cp5kj
      @DaveSmith-cp5kj 17 часов назад +5

      CEOs make or break companies. It's not that the role of CEO is useless, it is that there are bad CEOs who are only hired based on seniority or some kind of diversity metric. A good CEO can save a company in bankruptcy, a bad CEO can tank a fortune 500 company.

  • @obiomajronyekwere4469
    @obiomajronyekwere4469 День назад +19

    Damn now i actually have to do some work.

    • @weeb3277
      @weeb3277 23 часа назад +4

      please don't

  • @dogukan463
    @dogukan463 День назад +8

    I think it is easy to become a ghost mainly because I feel most people don’t really need to work. There is not enough work as there are people working. So people make shit up to have some work to do. Which does not seem to have worked.

  • @c3h4ohcooh3
    @c3h4ohcooh3 23 часа назад +5

    One cause of ghost devs/employees is management that doesn't care. They don't know what you do, don't want to learn how to manage it, and don't care about the cost. If you care about doing a good job for your company, then it sucks. If you only care about the paycheck, then it's probably great.

  • @xanderplayz3446
    @xanderplayz3446 17 часов назад +9

    4:42 WHAT THE HELL I WAS JUST REVERSE ENGINEERING IT

  • @Justinify
    @Justinify 19 часов назад +2

    AI tracking everything we do at work feels unsettling. It’s not going to stay confined to engineering or developer roles, I imagine it will touch every role, at every company. The end goal seems to be squeezing as much productivity as possible out of every employee. But we’re human. We work hard, but we also have moments where we might check RUclips or take mental breaks. Now imagine a future where managers aren’t even human anymore, just AI programs tracking every keystroke, pointing out every weakness, and rating our performance solely based on metrics. It’s a strange and concerning direction. Are we really optimizing productivity, or are we just turning people into robots? Maybe the robots are soon to take over at this rate.

  • @clerothsun3933
    @clerothsun3933 День назад +17

    These people never heard of the Pareto principle? Why is this a surprise? 10% of the workforce doesn't do shit, IT or not.

    • @crackwitz
      @crackwitz 19 часов назад

      It's 80/20. 20% do 80% of the work, 80% do 20% of the work. And that covers the useless ones.

  • @lunarlake1
    @lunarlake1 8 часов назад +2

    Reading this paper makes me really think about the research quality of Stanford....

    • @danvilela
      @danvilela 7 часов назад

      Makes me think how the heck all those companies would show their code to stanford for this metric..

  • @GSFigure
    @GSFigure 22 часа назад +4

    Remember when AI wasn't constantly being pushed into our lives 24/7? Those were the days.

  • @ukaszjonasiak382
    @ukaszjonasiak382 23 часа назад +3

    at the end of a day there's still that one repo which cannot be understood by ai that is written by the coworker that has been there 5 years ago

  • @MaybeBlackMesa
    @MaybeBlackMesa 23 часа назад +7

    Being a 0.1x Dev has always been my dream

  • @JonathanRose24
    @JonathanRose24 22 часа назад +2

    What ever the actual percentage of engineers that are truly ghost engineers, is the same as literally every other role. This is a sign of bad management, not of bad soft engineers.

  • @gabrielnilo6101
    @gabrielnilo6101 20 часов назад +3

    Yeah, fire those devs that AI told you, I am sure that it's not going to backfire.
    I know a unicorn guy who, when fixing some code he's not familiar with, reads everything and writes it all down in a timeline manner. Even if it takes him an entire day to read and understand everything, he’ll do it. Then, if you ask him anything about the code, even a year later, he can answer it and tell you exactly where to find that specific part.

    • @Daijyobanai
      @Daijyobanai 13 часов назад

      The opposite of that guy are the ones who refuse to document anything, not just comments in code, but anything at all related to the code.

  • @Mijdax
    @Mijdax 20 часов назад +2

    The only downtimes I have at work are due to managers not knowing what they want :D

  • @zeroskill.
    @zeroskill. День назад +13

    i know its from stanford but im not sure how accurate this report is based on what ive heard about it

    • @ShaferHart
      @ShaferHart 22 часа назад +2

      who gives money to Stanford? People who want workers back in the office and they're way more productive in the office, right, Stanford?

  • @MrBenBenMushi
    @MrBenBenMushi День назад +18

    So a research paper where the result comes from IA. What a joke

  • @MartinWoad
    @MartinWoad День назад +139

    The problem with Ghost Engineers is that some of them would actually want to do meaningful work, but are denied the opportunity, and they are afraid to change jobs. So instead they use the opportunity to do nothing.

    • @pedrogorilla483
      @pedrogorilla483 23 часа назад +47

      Hi Martin, please check in with HR tomorrow first thing in the morning.

    • @LennyMiller739
      @LennyMiller739 23 часа назад +6

      ​@@pedrogorilla483Which one?

    • @dessertlocust
      @dessertlocust 23 часа назад

      excuses excuses

    • @lowlink534
      @lowlink534 23 часа назад +11

      No idea man, if a company pays you to do nothing, then maybe they have a bit too much money on their pockets and you're just doing your part in better distributing the resources in our planet 😂🎉

    • @proosee
      @proosee 23 часа назад +4

      "Your Honor, I really didn’t mean to steal that car, but it was just so conveniently unlocked."

  • @AuroralightYT
    @AuroralightYT 7 часов назад

    working at a medium sized family company that is still very far behind software and tech in general, we are still trying to get people to use Jira. I think im safe from this lol

  • @RawPeds
    @RawPeds 23 часа назад +11

    3:20 sauce?

    • @skylinefx049
      @skylinefx049 21 час назад

      sauce?

    • @bigchungus-vz5fg
      @bigchungus-vz5fg 14 часов назад +1

      it's under the cheese

    • @tuxlu1761
      @tuxlu1761 7 часов назад

      " The ultimate dev political compass" on r/programmerhumor

    • @FionavanDahl
      @FionavanDahl 6 часов назад

      it's the Stanford study linked in the description, Table 7

  • @greateagle8799
    @greateagle8799 17 часов назад +2

    At my work, with IT helpdesk, 80 percent are 'ghosts'

  • @dansplain2393
    @dansplain2393 22 часа назад +4

    0:48 please, it’s just the tip

  • @Soggy__302
    @Soggy__302 23 часа назад +2

    Yo the response from that AI has me dying, it basically said:
    "Ooooo what a twist, okay!"

  • @heckubus4
    @heckubus4 21 час назад +13

    As a non-ghost software engineer... I just want a job.

  • @electric_dream_machine
    @electric_dream_machine 18 часов назад +2

    Imagine going through all that hullabaloo during job interviews under the excuse of "finding the right fit" only to get an employee just leeches off the company 😂😂😂 That's Karma.

  • @aljavier357
    @aljavier357 21 час назад +6

    As a dev, I also do a lot of waiting for emails to arrive and reports to check. Not to mention a whole lot of just talking with team members. "Productivity" cannot be directly measured with code and git commits.

    • @goeland4585
      @goeland4585 9 часов назад +1

      "waiting for emails to arrive and reports to check [...] a lot of talking", are you sure you're not secretly a scrum master or something? >:)

    • @thedevlebowski
      @thedevlebowski 5 часов назад

      Spend a lot of time waiting for my team to catch up. PRs take an entirety to merge at my company.

  • @jmon24ify
    @jmon24ify 23 часа назад +2

    Im pretty sure those 10% are lead or managing engineers who are constantly in meetings, mentoring others, etc. i take this as a shady research to justify more layoffs and bigger pay cuts especially since more 1x engineers are relying more on ai

  • @rodrigomartindelcampo9534
    @rodrigomartindelcampo9534 23 часа назад +3

    2:05 What a time to be alive where CR7, Linus from LTT and the Mexican President appear in the same frame of humorous coding news video

  • @АртемФедоров-ю7б
    @АртемФедоров-ю7б 23 часа назад +2

    Software engineering is not only writing code, you can't measure it. I don't write code a lot but I solve problems, even few lines of code can fix a major bug and bring a lot of value to the project. Not sure if measuring lines of code written or git commit history will help

  • @ulamgexe7442
    @ulamgexe7442 23 часа назад +4

    Sounds like managers are getting replaced by AI before devs eh

  • @anywallsocket
    @anywallsocket 23 часа назад +1

    Let’s not forget a lot of employees do little of substance because a lot of companies do little of substance - many people I know start projects only for their bosses to abandon them, or just to reconfigure the same business model to include all the new and trending buzz words.
    It’s all hot air, always has been.

  • @neelmehta9092
    @neelmehta9092 День назад +17

    How can you distinguish between 0x and 10x? I know people that solve quantum physics is 10 seconds and then wait all day to publish their findings

    • @valentinrafael9201
      @valentinrafael9201 23 часа назад +5

      It doesn't matter how you can distinguish, really. It only matters that they think they can distinguish, and that's dangerous.

  • @benji5597
    @benji5597 22 часа назад +1

    Can't wait to replace my manager and my boss with AI

  • @NarutoUA
    @NarutoUA День назад +21

    5:05 "Secured by Clerk" but still displays full phone number

    • @Obie.
      @Obie. 21 час назад +1

      It’s a fake phone number?

    • @jeffreytgilbert
      @jeffreytgilbert 21 час назад +1

      The phone number isn’t a password bud

    • @TylerTheDestroyer
      @TylerTheDestroyer 15 часов назад

      ​@@jeffreytgilbert first step to clone a sim is to know the number. Otp go to that number. It's as good as a password

    • @TylerTheDestroyer
      @TylerTheDestroyer 15 часов назад +1

      ​​@@Obie.Provide evidence? So you admit that Clerk allows fake numbers. Real secure

  • @justinian420
    @justinian420 22 часа назад +1

    I wonder if that 9.5% who do almost no work are mostly people who in the study snapshot, did no work for reasons of labor hoarding. In my career, I will go like 18 months working all out, then 3 months where there is nothing to do and the bosses basically don't say anything and we don't say anything and eventually there's another titanic project

  • @matt_milack
    @matt_milack День назад +24

    You absolutely must have 3 hours podcast with ThePrimeTime guy. It would be 180 minutes of:
    Fireship: AI will replace Linus Torvalds in 14 months.
    ThePrimeTime: AI will never be good enough to replace Jr. Frontend developer.

    • @DefaultFlame
      @DefaultFlame 22 часа назад +1

      Yin and yang, matter and antimatter. Though Primagen has been changing his tune lately as AI coding gets better and better, at least about it replacing boilerplate coding and junior devs.

    • @Dipj01
      @Dipj01 13 часов назад +1

      Primeagen is an out-of-touch, remote, internal-tools developer who has no idea of the current market conditions. If only had he started his career now, he would understand how difficult the situation is. His constant "just dig deeper" advice as he sits above, passing shovels to wannabe devs, is so tiring.

    • @matt_milack
      @matt_milack 12 часов назад +2

      @Dipj01 Yeah, you sound like you started your career literally just now. Amazing!

  • @ernestomotta5178
    @ernestomotta5178 18 часов назад +1

    Wasn't expecting AMLO's ninja appearance on one of your videos

  • @Epinardscaramel
    @Epinardscaramel 23 часа назад +3

    0:32 I sure hope that reddit post was a troll, even the first part is troubling

  • @ssbmoro
    @ssbmoro 23 часа назад +2

    can we program these tools to detect CEOs that don't add any value/negative value?

  • @ASTH-yf9uu
    @ASTH-yf9uu 23 часа назад +3

    😂😂 please replace my 0.1x manager

  • @stunlord
    @stunlord 15 часов назад +1

    9.5%??? hahahahha. yeah, more than 10% of ALL professions don't do a lick of work. every job I've ever had, had more than 10% of employees doing next to nothing or literally nothing. not counting management, where it's closer to 90%

  • @davidnzube7309
    @davidnzube7309 22 часа назад +7

    Ghost engineers are often talented individuals who find themselves in positions that don’t fully make use of their skills. They might feel hesitant to take the leap to improve their circumstances.

    • @ll01dm
      @ll01dm 16 часов назад

      Why are you calling me out for?🤣

  • @bizudamarasengan
    @bizudamarasengan 13 часов назад +1

    I will perform really well, don't look at me like that manager-san.

  • @FakhriMrabet
    @FakhriMrabet День назад +36

    The rarest thing that ever happened to me this month, witnessing fireship video 30 seconds upon upload, yet somehow 30 person already commented on it x-x

    • @LeoPerkk
      @LeoPerkk День назад

      This is the opposite of "bro fell off"

    • @ShaahzaadKaleem
      @ShaahzaadKaleem День назад

      Thats AI

    • @MatheusLB2009
      @MatheusLB2009 День назад

      They are all AI comments

    • @valentinrafael9201
      @valentinrafael9201 23 часа назад

      To be fair, that is actually very reasonable nowadays because you can use Keywords, a browser extension, click on a video and it takes in automagically the auto generated transcript ( or the transcript posted by the youtuber ) and you can have the video summarized by claude / gpt / geminie with one click

    • @nw42
      @nw42 20 часов назад

      @@MatheusLB2009 Almost all the comments I’ve seen are pretty insightful, and I’m not surprised. The “study” is horribly flawed, it will almost certainly be used to fuel more layoffs, and Fireship is a day late to the party-people have already been passionately discussing it in depth.

  • @TorpedoBench
    @TorpedoBench 22 часа назад

    The matter of if it's a good idea or not aside, If I'm not mistaken, Australia's new social media ban law has an explicit provision that platforms are not allowed to require government IDs to verify age. Presumably that's to prevent those companies from just mass-gathering IDs, which is nice.

  • @meathotgrillsnearyou
    @meathotgrillsnearyou 23 часа назад +6

    If 9.5% of the workforce is failing to contribute meaningfully to projects, that strikes me as a failure of leadership and project management. If after all the time and effort that goes into Agile and Scrum and Jira and that ilk, a tenth of your workforce is still getting by doing nothing, then there *should* be mass layoffs... of managers who are more concerned with t-shirt sizes than deliverables..

    • @GameWorldEngineer
      @GameWorldEngineer 23 часа назад

      there's a lot of projects that have no real work being done for months while they discuss the requirements and do agile scrums that actually deliver nothing meaningful. a lot of waste is going on in the corporate world. seems like the bigger the company, the more wasteful it is. they have so many processes and meetings that nothing actually gets done

    • @meathotgrillsnearyou
      @meathotgrillsnearyou 22 часа назад

      @GameWorldEngineer Yup, I'm familiar with having my projects sit in limbo, trying to make myself look busy while the C-suite takes a fiscal quarter to evaluate if my team is strategically aligned with the organization's mission statement.

  • @DavidTector
    @DavidTector 18 часов назад +2

    Only 9.5 percent?! Yeah right...

  • @Neuvalence
    @Neuvalence 23 часа назад +3

    so where do i sign up to become a ghost?

  • @valeryisfreedom
    @valeryisfreedom 16 часов назад +1

    Commits are not a measure of productivity

  • @cpu-qp8ez
    @cpu-qp8ez 23 часа назад +3

    1:45 that's not what glowie means

    • @yanniammari1491
      @yanniammari1491 23 часа назад

      The feds and Cia's dream litterally what terry meant by glowing n******

    • @Reeg3x
      @Reeg3x 20 часов назад

      You don’t know what you’re talking about, fed.

    • @cpu-qp8ez
      @cpu-qp8ez 13 часов назад

      @Reeg3x go ahead and enlighten me by explaining how it made sense in the context that Fireship used it

    • @yanniammari1491
      @yanniammari1491 13 часов назад

      @cpu-qp8ez copilot monitors everything on your screen and is a non options the feds and 3 lettter agencies love that shit so itd their wet dream aka the glowie's wet dream

  • @SyvexDilecta
    @SyvexDilecta 20 часов назад

    my average work as a dev is to either write simple code and apps in a day and upload it over the span of a week or two, or when i have any issue to solve, i read into it until i understood it, then go afk. at some point the solution will be revealed to me in a dream... or in the shower, on the toilet... anywhere except the pc. then i go back, code it down and bill the customer for the last 16h thinking time i spent

  • @Caphalem
    @Caphalem 21 час назад +170

    1) Become a super star dev
    2) Get invited to ALL of the meetings because you know everything
    3) Get fired because you didn't press enough buttons because you were in the meetings

    • @UriGerhard
      @UriGerhard 20 часов назад +9

      bonus points for every meeting that could have been an email

    • @JH-bb8in
      @JH-bb8in 19 часов назад +1

      @ your job is to make others feel productive attending meetings

    • @jessejayphotography
      @jessejayphotography 19 часов назад +5

      This is why I left the industry. Write code to make a product so someone can take a 50% salary bonus at the end of the year and then let you go because you didn’t commit enough code.

    • @iamhereblossom1588
      @iamhereblossom1588 16 часов назад +1

      @@jessejayphotographywhat do you do now? Photography?

    • @jessejayphotography
      @jessejayphotography 16 часов назад

      @@iamhereblossom1588 No, its my hobby.

  • @pedrogorilla483
    @pedrogorilla483 23 часа назад +1

    Loudest ad I’ve ever watched. And I liked it.

  • @vectoralphaSec
    @vectoralphaSec 22 часа назад +9

    Being a software developer/ software engineer is just gonna be worse and worse with time.

    • @danvilela
      @danvilela 7 часов назад

      keep that pessimistic mindset out of here simp

  • @shguevara
    @shguevara 20 часов назад +2

    Today's code report is jam packed with multiple gems, LMAO 😂😂😂
    Keep it coming Jeff! 👏👏👏

  • @djenntt
    @djenntt 23 часа назад +4

    I worked with a ghost dev once, he made my job harder and he was a "senior".

    • @australianman8566
      @australianman8566 23 часа назад

      same

    • @proosee
      @proosee 23 часа назад +1

      Yeah, we all know those exist, but still, basing productivity on number of commits is insanely stupid.

    • @djenntt
      @djenntt 22 часа назад

      @@proosee I’m pretty sure we can spot the 10% easily. Just catch them playing Halo Infinite like I accidentally did with my senior dev.

    • @proosee
      @proosee 21 час назад

      @@djenntt sure, I've seen few myself, but it doesn't mean that now this study is suddenly legit.

    • @djenntt
      @djenntt 21 час назад

      @@proosee I think you think I disagree with you so I’m not sure what point you’re trying to make 😅

  • @mikscerpins906
    @mikscerpins906 11 часов назад

    Finally! It was time someone acknowledges me for all my tough work twirling my mouse in circles and making tiny commits that delete and add comments.

  • @xiaoshen194
    @xiaoshen194 23 часа назад +5

    Most of these "people" making 6-7 figures are women with 0 figure...

  • @jantube358
    @jantube358 7 часов назад

    I'm a fan of making social media 16+. I was always saying TikTok should be 18+. There are two fallacies starting at 2:18 1) You don't need to proof that the person is really 18+. Porn sites are 18+ too and there is no real proof. TikTok is 12+ in my app store and 12 years is way too young for apps like TikTok. 2) Even if you want to proof that someone is 18+ like you do when registering SIM cards you don't need any digital ID. Here, you buy SIM cards either online and register them somewhere like a post office or you buy SIM cards in a local shop and you show your paper ID in the local shop. Same with 18+ video games and movies.

  • @user-dd3lw2pq9v
    @user-dd3lw2pq9v 22 часа назад +3

    Is fireship a corporate shill now?

  • @aminebenkhouya7295
    @aminebenkhouya7295 9 часов назад +2

    wait could you please see how productive are managers, HR, sales, C executives, and all the others, I just feel that software engineers are always over looked down upon, we want across fields position productivity check.

  • @OfficalGTVNetwork
    @OfficalGTVNetwork День назад +3

    They're's something strange... in the computer lab!

  • @ray.gene.bowner
    @ray.gene.bowner 19 часов назад +1

    Larry Wheels the kind of guy who uses a 45lb weight plate as a mouse

  • @smashwombel
    @smashwombel 7 часов назад

    I believe it. So many developers are straight up scared of writing and pushing code for fear of breaking anything. I think developer teams naturally segregate based on skill level and less experienced devs probably contribute next to nothing to a project if they don't feel confident enough about their code quality.

  • @ShootingUtah
    @ShootingUtah 19 часов назад

    Seeking ghost position, 6 years of experience in any tech stack, willing to work remote only! Thank you!

  • @user-co9ne8gi2d
    @user-co9ne8gi2d 6 часов назад

    This describes my boss's mindset perfectly. I check in less code because my code is good an efficient. He checks in tons of redundant nonsense. But he thinks I don't do any work because I produce fewer lines of code, and he's even a programmer!

  • @rumplstiltztinkerstein
    @rumplstiltztinkerstein 8 часов назад

    I heard from a CEO that hiring developers can get extremely expensive over time. So much that its often better to hire someone and keep them around on the company than wait to need them and spend a year paying a bunch of recruiters and delaying projects until you get a senior again

  • @product.designer
    @product.designer 12 часов назад +1

    I have been ghost for my entire career.

  • @ggurbet
    @ggurbet 11 часов назад

    Ghost Engineer: Nope
    10x Ghost Engineer: Oh yeah