Disney and Nike: Key Lessons In Valuation And Risk Management | FAST Graphs

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  • Опубликовано: 18 ноя 2024

Комментарии • 63

  • @pierreroussel1048
    @pierreroussel1048 Месяц назад +24

    Hi Chuck, I hope you’re staying safe as the hurricane approaches. I just wanted to let you know that I’m thinking of you and sending good thoughts from France. I’m one of your fans here and really admire the work you do on RUclips. Stay safe, and I’ll be looking forward to seeing you back online once everything has settled down. Take care!

    • @FASTgraphs
      @FASTgraphs  Месяц назад +5

      Thanks, got through hurricane Milton with a big mess, some property damage, loss of power until today, but thankfully no one got hurt. Thanks again for asking. Regards, Chuck

  • @capitalconsultingus
    @capitalconsultingus Месяц назад +3

    Lessons Buffett/Munger and Chuck have always taught me: "You make all your money on the buy" and "Price is what you pay, value is what you get" - Thanks Chuck!

  • @jovokrneta1412
    @jovokrneta1412 Месяц назад +27

    You videos are among most realistic ones on RUclips. Highly appreciate your insights and views. Would love an update video on MPW.

    • @MikeVictory
      @MikeVictory Месяц назад +1

      I agree MPW update would be great

    • @xJoeKing
      @xJoeKing Месяц назад

      @@jovokrneta1412 MPW brazy cuh! - Chuck, founder of FAST Graphs

  • @bjossi76
    @bjossi76 Месяц назад +5

    FASTgraphs is a fantastic tool and these videos add a lot of value.

  • @rosalieroku3818
    @rosalieroku3818 Месяц назад +2

    More and more value RUclips-ers are using FASTgraphs.
    And if course I always subscribe.
    Latest one is
    Alexa's Investment Thesis.
    She gets valuation.

  • @christianabel1486
    @christianabel1486 Месяц назад +3

    Great video as always! I appreciate the analysis you share with us.

  • @cwilson6880
    @cwilson6880 Месяц назад +2

    Have been slowly accumulating both since spring 24, and will continue to do so, as I believe on both companies long term futures.
    Very Interesting perspective thinking of fast graphs as a risk assessor vs a price assessor. 👍🏻 FAST illustrates so many factors in a clear concise singular visual.
    Great work and great video🫡

  • @dinueduardmadalin2321
    @dinueduardmadalin2321 Месяц назад +3

    GREAT video! Tks Chuck!

  • @udarpavarota396
    @udarpavarota396 Месяц назад +6

    This video illustrates perfectly why a good company is not necessarily a good investment. Let that sink in. Overvaluations can get crazy high.

    • @sanauj15
      @sanauj15 Месяц назад +1

      This is true only in the short term. Long term, good companies will almost always be a good investment.

    • @udarpavarota396
      @udarpavarota396 Месяц назад

      @@sanauj15 Emphasis on almost always. What percentage of good companies? And how do you define a good company?

    • @davidscott7682
      @davidscott7682 Месяц назад +1

      @@sanauj15 That is an interesting statement....let your investment plummet 30-50%....and then wait 5 years for it to come back 100% to your cost basis and then a couple more years to say you are up 10-20% +/-. You call that investing?

    • @sanauj15
      @sanauj15 Месяц назад

      @@davidscott7682 If you believe in what you are buying an believe it will go up in the future, why would you stop buying when it goes down 30-50 percent?
      Dollar cost averaging would have gotten you a much higher return.
      Granted this is really risky with single stocks unless you know how to analyze a company.

    • @patricklewis6836
      @patricklewis6836 Месяц назад

      @@davidscott7682 I have made the mistake on buying falling knives many o' times! It's hard to not let your emotions control your decision making. I've also sold winners way too early. Ultimately, buy and hold solid stocks is the best investment advice. There's a reason you hear the same sayings or quotes over and over....because they're true right!? But speculation can be fun if you limit it to 5-10% of your overall portfolio. Not only the "gambling excitement" of it all, but I do see the overall benefit as it gets you interested and excited about doing further due diligence on a multitude of stocks, which I think can only benefit your overall knowledge of industries, trends and individual long-term hold stocks. Just my two cents.

  • @LuiseSchmidt-b7u
    @LuiseSchmidt-b7u Месяц назад +4

    Awesome video Chuck, like a movie :)

  • @NiekVink
    @NiekVink Месяц назад +1

    Thanks Chuck! Greets form the Netherlands.

  • @ldstiesto
    @ldstiesto Месяц назад +5

    What are your thoughts on SOFI? Great video 👍🏽👍🏽

  • @persieprince9345
    @persieprince9345 Месяц назад +2

    Hi Chuck we learn a lot from you
    I see Costco too as a risky valuation even if it a great business
    I don't know what is your opinion on Costco current valuation

  • @XanderDDS
    @XanderDDS Месяц назад +2

    you're up early chuck, good morning!

  • @JimmyCee123
    @JimmyCee123 Месяц назад +1

    Update on MED, AAP & WBA Uncle Chuck if you have time. Thank you for all you do.

  • @JohnBean-hm1sm
    @JohnBean-hm1sm Месяц назад +1

    Should we be "backing up the truck" to load up on Elevance?

    • @FASTgraphs
      @FASTgraphs  Месяц назад +1

      @JohnBean-hm1sm I want to look a little deeper before I say yes but that is my inclination eventually

  • @andersonandrew112
    @andersonandrew112 Месяц назад +1

    Could you make one on Intel? Does it look good at this price?

  • @HGLehnsdal
    @HGLehnsdal Месяц назад +2

    Hello There!! You could do another video about small caps like in the past with Ball, Brunswick, Polaris... There are very interesting companies with small market caps that can 10x in the future if they do things right. Companies like LOCO, SLGN, AEO, TPR, BEN, MRX, CTRE, WAY, AMKR, ARIS, STNE, WRB, G, MWA, IPG, JJSF, QLYS, CORT....
    Thank You!

  • @michaelschasteen2407
    @michaelschasteen2407 Месяц назад

    Hello Chuck -- MR. V.. Could you say something or explain some questions I found I need more information?
    Thank You For sharing your brilliant work and continuing to explain how to use that great tool. LOVE & GRATITUDE
    Q1) What is the deal with a negative PE Ratio?? What does that mean? --
    Q2) the rule of 72,.. what is Doubling -- $1000 becomes $2000 or $1000 then ROI then $1000 effectively making $3000 if you keep your ROI in the game. ?

    • @FASTgraphs
      @FASTgraphs  Месяц назад +2

      P/E ratio is simply the price divided by the earnings, more specifically it would be the current price divided by the current earnings. It is simply a multiple of how much you are paying to buy one dollars worth of earnings. Technically there is no such thing as a negative P/E ratio. However, a negative P/E ratio would simply be only possible when earnings are negative, in other words when the company is losing money not making money. Regards, Chuck

    • @FASTgraphs
      @FASTgraphs  Месяц назад +1

      Regarding question 2: the rule of 72 states that if you divide any rate of return say 10% into the number 72 it tells you how many years it takes to double. So 10% takes 7.2 years to double. 8% would take 9 years to double. 20% but only takes 3.6 years. It is extremely accurate although not perfect and is a great way to understand the power of compounding at different rates of return. In summary doubling the rate of return does not double the amount of money you earn, instead, it cuts and have the time it takes for that money to double (compound). Hope that helps. Regards, Chuck

    • @michaelschasteen2407
      @michaelschasteen2407 Месяц назад

      @@FASTgraphs Thank You that is going on my wall in a frame. Thank You Fastgraphs Team very help every day (double your doubles)

    • @michaelschasteen2407
      @michaelschasteen2407 Месяц назад

      @@FASTgraphs ok, so.. How about to low of PE- at the point it goes below the necessary earnings threshold to operate the business and pay the dividends… w/ dividend growth capacity and if not well, that’s not the type of business that will benefit my situation… barring stuff etc.. anyway keep on keeping on.. Thank you, Out

  • @jacobdonkeybut1089
    @jacobdonkeybut1089 Месяц назад +2

    Can you do a quick video on Truist please

  • @patricklewis6836
    @patricklewis6836 Месяц назад

    Deckers Outdoors would have been a great stock to buy the past few years with their dominance in the running shoe market. Unfortunately, I thought it was up too much before and sat out the bull run even further!

  • @xJoeKing
    @xJoeKing Месяц назад +2

    I'm left wondering if valuation matters and to what degree it matters...?
    Great video otherwise Chuck!

    • @FASTgraphs
      @FASTgraphs  Месяц назад +1

      It depends on the level of valuation, the higher the valuation the more risk, lower the valuation the more opportunity. It's relative, nevertheless, valuation matters and it matters a lot. FAST Graph subscribers can evaluate valuation very easily. It's 1 of the best features of the tool it teaches you a lot about investing in general and valuation specifically. Regards, Chuck

    • @xaldath4265
      @xaldath4265 Месяц назад +2

      A lot!

    • @cwilson6880
      @cwilson6880 Месяц назад +2

      If you haven’t subscribed yet…’it matters a LOT!’ 😅

  • @CellyKingCelly
    @CellyKingCelly Месяц назад +1

    Would you say these are buys today ?

    • @FASTgraphs
      @FASTgraphs  Месяц назад +4

      @@CellyKingCelly no not yet

    • @CellyKingCelly
      @CellyKingCelly Месяц назад +1

      @@FASTgraphs apologize I asked before finishing the video I think you made the case for why these are both kinds overpriced very well . Quality as always chuck 🔥

  • @JohnBean-hm1sm
    @JohnBean-hm1sm Месяц назад

    How did you fair through Milton?

    • @FASTgraphs
      @FASTgraphs  Месяц назад

      Some property damage a big mess that nobody got hurt thank God. Thanks for asking. Regards, Chuck

    • @JohnBean-hm1sm
      @JohnBean-hm1sm Месяц назад +1

      @@FASTgraphs Great to hear!

  • @FELiPES101
    @FELiPES101 Месяц назад

    the difference being this time Nike has put a CEO in place that actually knows what they are doing....their last one was the reason why the stock was falling for years

    • @FASTgraphs
      @FASTgraphs  Месяц назад +1

      Overvaluation was a bigger reason although I agree with your people assessment regards Chuck

  • @dpmcvety88
    @dpmcvety88 Месяц назад

    Wish you projected their future for east off current assumptions

    • @FASTgraphs
      @FASTgraphs  Месяц назад

      I DID???

    • @dpmcvety88
      @dpmcvety88 Месяц назад

      ⁠​⁠​⁠​⁠@@FASTgraphssorry for the poor spelling. I meant to say “future growth going forward with current assumptions”. Your videos on TSN, MPW, and T were able to leave me with clear prospectus for them going forward, along with the PFE/BMY video. This was more of a “be cautious” at the end. Would be curious on your thoughts for
      average rates of return

  • @bendossantos783
    @bendossantos783 Месяц назад +1

    Title can also be, Two companies that went woke and lost shareholder value.

  • @HankScorpioXX
    @HankScorpioXX Месяц назад +2

    Terrible stocks, at least for the last 10 years. And still far too expensive 😅

    • @daniell6303
      @daniell6303 Месяц назад

      I disagree, terrible stocks if you didn't sell on time. They were overvalued but the real fundamental deterioration didn't happen until covid

    • @patricklewis6836
      @patricklewis6836 Месяц назад

      I've thought Nike has lost it's edge for awhile now, particularly in the running shoe market. All you see people wearing are On Running and Hoka. But personally I think Disney is looking attractive at these levels.

    • @cwilson6880
      @cwilson6880 Месяц назад

      @@patricklewis6836 there was an interesting article, or a RUclips video, the pretty much explained on the running shoe perspective at least, how Nike got lazy and overconfident and stopped showing up at running events like they used to. They stopped doing demos, stop doing giveaways at events, basically stop supporting the running community and are now paying for it. that same article pointed out how Nike saw the error of their ways and are trying to turn things around, but as you mentioned, there are several running shoe companies that have their foot in the door and I’ve taken market share in the meantime. Only time will tell if Nike can as Chuck said, “get their mojo back” and turn that business around.

  • @matthewh7767
    @matthewh7767 Месяц назад +1

    Disney is woke and racist NKE looks solid with the new CEO

  • @Pizza-gb1ch
    @Pizza-gb1ch Месяц назад +1

    Analysts predictions are useless especially if they are predicting the future. About half as useful as weather forecasts.

    • @patricklewis6836
      @patricklewis6836 Месяц назад +1

      Why bother watching them then...other to troll. Obviously some people find other people's opinions, or personal analysis of a stock and it's future potential, worthless. Come better next time. Be objective.

    • @cwilson6880
      @cwilson6880 Месяц назад

      Well as stated above..why are you here then? I for one value chucks observations and analysis a lot! Averaged in in with several others I follow and it gives me some educated insight as to whether to go deeper or wait and see at a later date. And in chucks defense, no where was he ‘predicting the future’ 🤝

    • @patricklewis6836
      @patricklewis6836 Месяц назад

      Btw, weather forecasts have come a loooong way since we were kids and are now fairly accurate predictions. Nothing is certain, however, just like the stock market. And I know what you're thinking, the government is controlling the weather. There's always some conspiracy revving up to get click bait by the cult followers.

    • @FASTgraphs
      @FASTgraphs  Месяц назад +1

      The only thing certain about the future is uncertainty. Although analysts may not be perfect, how could you expect them to be? Nevertheless, if you are investing without some estimate of future than you are investing blindly. Analyst estimates may not be perfect but there are better guide than nothing. When you use instead?