Bear Market Survival Secrets with a 100 Million Dollar Portfolio Manager

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  • Опубликовано: 2 янв 2025

Комментарии • 122

  • @ranger5281
    @ranger5281 10 месяцев назад +1

    Reviewed this excellent interview again, made 20 pages of notes/charts. Don shares some serious gems, notably: 1) how to quickly pyramid into a stock using ATR 2) better understanding growth stock portfolio volatility with relative ATR adjusted Beta 3) Position sizing, position risk, position limits 4) calculating portfolio "open risk" to your stops 5) using 3 mo RS in Marketsmith, and the RS line 5) using leveraged ETFs for portfolio length, or hedging, 6) benefits of trading liquid leaders 7) importance of "M" in CANSLIM, market timing, and lots of details on how he approaches M, 8) using growth-oriented index ETF's to monitor market timing & health. Kudos Don and Richard!

  • @jimformermilkman
    @jimformermilkman 2 года назад +7

    One of the best interviews I’ve heard in a long time.
    One I had to stop and take notes.
    ( I listen to podcasts and trading programs almost every waking hour too ).
    Definitely giving this one a re-listen.
    Thanks to you both !!!
    Cheers!!

    • @ranger5281
      @ranger5281 10 месяцев назад +1

      Don really shares a lot about the breadth of his approach. Especially portfolio management tactics.

  • @RichardMoglen
    @RichardMoglen  2 года назад +10

    Timestamps:
    0:00 Introductions
    0:50 Don Vandenbord's Background
    1:30 Starting to trade in the 90s
    3:40 Sell Discipline
    7:30 Starting a Hedge Fund in 2015
    9:00 Resources and Influences
    11:30 Stay with Liquid Leaders
    13:50 Early Mistakes
    17:40 N in CANSLIM, What will make the stock Double
    19:35 Don's Presentation
    21:34 Sequence of Returns
    23:24 3 Timeframes
    24:49 Study of bear Markets, 200 SMA
    33:00 How far below the 200sma do we usually go
    34:20 ATR adjusted Risk
    41:30 Monitoring Growth ETFs- G-6
    44:50 Lagging Relative Strength in Feb 2021
    47:00 Stock Selection
    48:20 LNTH Analysis
    49:30 FSLY Example in 2020
    53:00 Offensive Sell Rules
    55:30 Advice on sell rules
    57:30 How many positions do you usually have?
    58:15 SSO position
    1:00:45 The Tale of the Tape, Market Analysis
    1:05:00 Daily Routine
    1:08:00 respect Price
    1:08:50 Watch the relative Strength Line
    1:12:55 Current Stock Analysis
    1:17:20 breakouts in a bear market
    1:19:00 Advice for new Traders

  • @IB568
    @IB568 2 года назад +13

    Love to hear more from Institutional traders and investors. 👍

  • @veganmafiaboss1645
    @veganmafiaboss1645 Год назад +2

    Only 25 minutes in but this is a good a** video.

  • @Dyokemarket
    @Dyokemarket 2 года назад +3

    Awesome interview Richard! I briefly got to meet Don last week, outstanding guy!

  • @galactus1111
    @galactus1111 2 года назад +5

    Great interview! Seeing the creativity of each trader is always wonderful. Love the ATR beta breakdown and use of growth-oriented ETFs to observe market health

  • @achievingbeyond1456
    @achievingbeyond1456 2 года назад +2

    One of the best interviews Ive seen for learning from the higher end of town....great to hear about how one sees market direction and the rules about entries and exits....great share..thanks

  • @tomc1266
    @tomc1266 2 года назад +5

    Love your channel Richard , appreciate you share all these interviews , as more than better. I watch every single video with pleasure learning my edge . Great Job 👍.

  • @denislacasse5514
    @denislacasse5514 Год назад +1

    Great interview, great guest!

  • @bimalthakkar5118
    @bimalthakkar5118 2 года назад +1

    Very apropos for the current environment! Thanks for bringing this interview Richard!

  • @stormhammerx
    @stormhammerx 2 года назад +2

    I resonate with Don's analytical approach to the markets. This was a very insightful interview.

  • @georgetkaczuk6240
    @georgetkaczuk6240 2 года назад +4

    Great interview and presentation, loved the use of ATR to risk, and the G6, a great story told here

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  2 года назад

      Thank you George cheers. I hope you’re doing well!

  • @figgy163
    @figgy163 2 года назад

    It’s amazing how much more you pick up watching an episode for a second time. Nugget after nugget. Outstanding interview, thanks to both.👍

    • @donvandenbord7671
      @donvandenbord7671 2 года назад

      Thanks Tony! --Don

    • @santiagonegroni9032
      @santiagonegroni9032 2 года назад

      I have literally watched all of Richard’s interviews like 3-4 times each. I’ve already watched this one twice. It is amazing how much more things sink in after the 1st and even more after the 2nd time watching them. Of all his interviews, I can relate to this one the most. Love how this guy looks out for his clients. From my experience, most financial advisors suck and wouldn’t know risk management if it slapped them upside their heads.

  • @sivilinsivov2412
    @sivilinsivov2412 2 года назад +12

    Thank you for your hard work, Richard. Because of your amazing interview, I have improved exponentially my trading results. We need more people like you.

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  2 года назад +1

      Awesome to hear that! Keep at it

    • @xilllllix
      @xilllllix 2 года назад +1

      what's crazy is this is all FREE!

  • @mariangelgimenez561
    @mariangelgimenez561 2 года назад +1

    Excellent interview and valuable content in every minute, knowing the market situation, where we are, what to expect as new traders and investors, where to stop and when to continue with practical and obvious examples... Dan's experience is priceless to me.. infinitely grateful for the knowledge you share Richard..!

  • @adriansaw8329
    @adriansaw8329 2 года назад +1

    Richard can you cover the uranium sector using CANSLIM and other methodologies? We have the fundamentals pretty much covered just interested in analysis from a different lense. Thanks!

  • @cetilly
    @cetilly 2 года назад +1

    This guy is a real baller; knows his stuff

  • @sincere7028
    @sincere7028 2 года назад

    Great great for me this was Up there with the Position Size interview!

  • @amospan14
    @amospan14 2 года назад

    Thank you Richard and Don for putting together this presentation! Well done and very informative walkthrough! Also Happy Father's Day to you and your dads gentlemen! =)

  • @gospelG
    @gospelG 2 года назад +2

    I love this video...this dude is a pro...one of the best videos on trading I've seen

  • @brett4856
    @brett4856 2 года назад +3

    Interesting with risk analysis. Please do a new video with Don on just risk analysis.

  • @titanstrading
    @titanstrading 2 года назад +2

    Great video! So many gems, thanks you so much

  • @mhkl5448
    @mhkl5448 2 года назад +1

    Nice beard Rich ! Great interview as always

  • @realpristinecap
    @realpristinecap 2 года назад +1

    Another great interview Richard 👊

  • @Andrew-dj1wd
    @Andrew-dj1wd 2 года назад +2

    Learned a lot from this interview Richard.
    Did Don give a clear G-6 Composite range to get out or in? Is there a magic number?
    He answered this by jumping onto the RSI (eg Fastly's sharp down trend in RSI) but never said at what level he acts on the G-6 Composite.
    His Grotection score from FEB 2021 (14.6%) to NOV 2021 (6.5%), a factor of 2.2 change is a huge success, lower drawdowns, faster compounding.
    $110 million portfolio of 8 to 12 stock is a different ball game compared to managing $billions on a 140 to 160 stock portfolio at Ark Invest.
    Does Cathy at Ark use Stop Losses? It does not appear that she does. How does she protect the down side?
    Don's clients likely have sweet dreams at night compared to Cathy's clients.

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  2 года назад +1

      She runs an etf which is different than a fund, no real risk management.
      Glad to hear you enjoyed the interview!

    • @donvandenbord7671
      @donvandenbord7671 2 года назад

      We love it when our clients sleep well ! Watch our nightly videos for updates on the relative strength of the G6

  • @RichardMoglen
    @RichardMoglen  2 года назад +1

    Enjoy!

    • @jroq8370
      @jroq8370 2 года назад +2

      Gary Kaltbaum's radio show also introduced me to William O'neill and Stan Weinstein. I think he would be a great guest. You're doing fabulous work, Richard. We appreciate you!

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  2 года назад

      @@jroq8370 thanks!

  • @faismtl
    @faismtl 2 года назад

    Thank you Richard
    It was a great experience

  • @rajenmody3101
    @rajenmody3101 2 года назад +1

    Great Work as always Richard and Great Presentation Don! Loved it and it is so practical! Just one comment which I don't agree: "NVDA is the past". Not true and far from it, even though I agree that stock in broken like every growth stock. But you just have to let it settle, may be at the next retracement level ~120. It is one of the best company IMO.

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  2 года назад +2

      Thanks for watching Rajen cheers! Good companies do not necessarily make great stocks, important to remember.

    • @donvandenbord7671
      @donvandenbord7671 2 года назад

      "THE PAST" comment referred to leadership from a stock performance perspective. I would not be surprised if NVDA has another day in the sun.

  • @eddiem1155
    @eddiem1155 2 года назад +1

    So many 💎..thanks Richard

  • @MomoTrader809
    @MomoTrader809 2 года назад +1

    Awesome interview!

  • @Karim.711
    @Karim.711 2 года назад

    This would be a great video to reshare again

  • @boydbailey5907
    @boydbailey5907 2 года назад +2

    below 200dMA on what time frame? DAILY? WEEKLY? Thank you for clarifying.

  • @beny79kb
    @beny79kb 2 года назад +2

    What a great interview

  • @jamesw8538
    @jamesw8538 2 года назад +2

    This channel should have way more subs, great content, thank you.

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  2 года назад +1

      We are getting there thanks James!

  • @davidbond9783
    @davidbond9783 2 года назад +1

    awesome presentation

  • @skbaustralia9660
    @skbaustralia9660 2 года назад

    thanks Richard, just wondering whether we can get 21/21 screen setting on market smith

  • @phixi0n
    @phixi0n 2 года назад +1

    How is the RS Rating line calculated? It's not an RSI is it?

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  2 года назад +3

      Price of the stock divided by the price of the Spx. It’s very different than the rsi

    • @donvandenbord7671
      @donvandenbord7671 2 года назад +2

      RS line is stock performance vs SP500 return

  • @alphabeta8403
    @alphabeta8403 2 года назад +1

    ***CRITICAL points NOT to miss***
    26:00 Importance of 200 DMA
    29:55 Taking partial profits at 21 and 50 DMA

  • @rune54321
    @rune54321 2 года назад +1

    Great episode!

  • @snakesnarroz
    @snakesnarroz Год назад

    Is Don's ATR calculated with standard lookback of 14? Thanks for the help if anyone knows.

  • @mooienummers
    @mooienummers 2 года назад

    What's the yearly performance you have? And compared to the SP500?

  • @Andrew-dj1wd
    @Andrew-dj1wd 2 года назад

    Don's daily G6 Composite will give a similar trend line to that of the Advance/Decline (A/D) Line of S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW

  • @vdzneladze1
    @vdzneladze1 2 года назад

    Brilliant!

  • @ericson4534
    @ericson4534 2 года назад

    Thank u 👌👍

  • @Empurity
    @Empurity 2 года назад

    Need these interviews on a Podcast platform

  • @dazz075
    @dazz075 2 года назад

    Hi Richard great interview. Could you recommend any US brokers for guys like me that aren't based in the US?

  • @phixi0n
    @phixi0n 2 года назад

    Great video. I find some of these traders don't like giving away any information and beat around the bush, which can be annoying to watch. At least some actual examples of entry/exit were given here.

  • @topdowninvestor7711
    @topdowninvestor7711 2 года назад

    Nice video!

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  2 года назад

      Glad you enjoyed it!

    • @topdowninvestor7711
      @topdowninvestor7711 2 года назад

      @@RichardMoglen Hi Richard - I have a request - could you try getting Gil Morales and/or Chris Kacher on your show in the future? They are co-authors of the book, "Trade Like an O'Neil Disciple: How We Made 18,000% in the Stock Market".

  • @ssin5807
    @ssin5807 Год назад

    Why does no one talk about shorting on the market downturns like now?

  • @noticiasdarua6986
    @noticiasdarua6986 2 года назад

    You should interview Gil morales

  • @abdullrhemahmed50
    @abdullrhemahmed50 Год назад

    I wish you interview some experienced forex traders.

  • @junwatanabeenrolledagent1765
    @junwatanabeenrolledagent1765 Год назад

    WOOOOOO

  • @mikeb9130
    @mikeb9130 2 года назад

    Richard, thanks for the video, but I have to question his discussion about his FSLY entry and his position sizing and risk management. He said his starting position size is 2% of the account. If a client had $1M to invest, that is a $20,000 starter position. He said the max risk is .02% of the $1M account. That is $200 of total risk on this position. If he bought a $20,000 position on FSLY at $35 on 5/11 that is 571 shares. $200 of risk on 571 shares is .35 cents per share. The ATR on FSLY that day is around $2.40 per share. FSLY hit a low of $33.01 that day. Either he is an amazing timer of entries, I misunderstood what he was saying, my math is wrong, or things don't add up!

    • @donvandenbord7671
      @donvandenbord7671 2 года назад

      The 0.20% is on the total portfolio, not the individual position. Refer to my example of getting stopped out 5 times & the overall impact to the total portfolio is -1%

    • @mikeb9130
      @mikeb9130 2 года назад +1

      @@donvandenbord7671 Sorry Don. You said zero point two percent and I thought I heard .02% That makes sense Thanks

  • @brianwong1908
    @brianwong1908 2 года назад

    Sorry, don’t quite understand about SSO

    • @donvandenbord7671
      @donvandenbord7671 2 года назад

      Because we can’t buy illiquid CANSLIM stocks, we allocate a portion of the portfolio to SSO as a ‘replacement”. This provides the added benefit of smoothing returns.

  • @TC-sr1qf
    @TC-sr1qf 2 года назад

    I never buy a stock below the 200 day MA WOOO!
    Rick Flair

    • @donvandenbord7671
      @donvandenbord7671 2 года назад +1

      it's true...how else can the Nature Boy afford that Rolex. --Don

    • @TC-sr1qf
      @TC-sr1qf 2 года назад

      @@donvandenbord7671 lol exactly! Lots of great insights in the interview. One I'll definitely be replaying and taking notes. Thanks for doing it!

  • @johnstaresatcandles7438
    @johnstaresatcandles7438 2 года назад +3

    Bacon

  • @bibbidi_bobbidi_bacons
    @bibbidi_bobbidi_bacons 8 месяцев назад

    lol hope he held a few thousand shares of NVDA from $150🤣

  • @gacktcbiz
    @gacktcbiz 2 года назад +1

    BACON

  • @lutherv.779
    @lutherv.779 2 года назад

    DV sexy AF