How COVID-19 Broke the Airline Pricing Model
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- Опубликовано: 25 авг 2020
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Animation by Josh Sherrington
Sound by Graham Haerther
Thumbnail by Simon Buckmaster
Select footage courtesy the AP Archive
References:
[1] www.iata.org/en/pressroom/pr/...
[2] corporate.ryanair.com/news/ry...
[3] www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passe...
[4] travelskills.com/2017/10/31/a...
Musicbed SyncID:
MB01EIDFY1CAFLH
Finally back to his home, aviation.
Finally something to make me less anxious
GAGAGAGAGAGA!!! I watched this video and it is really not that good compared to my perfect videos. GAGAGAGAGA!!! This is NOT self-promotion! This is the reality! This is the world! We are the people! Don't disl****ke my vide*****s, my dear sam
AxxL I’ve seen you everywhere and your disturbing
Remember Me When You Blow Up
Edit : Know Way
Na bro, he will always be a brick guy to me
aviation industry: we cannot lower prices anymore
ryanair: ~increase ads in airplanes~
Wait Ryanair has the capability to show ads? But that costs money to be able to have a system to show ads.
I thought that they only went for the most basic chair with out even a seat pocket because it's cheaper to not have any.
The only reason they do have a tray table is to sell you water at triple value.
@@sirBrouwer Yes, they do have the most basic chairs, it feels like traveling on a bus.
They show ads the analog way, digital ads are too expensive! The doors for the overhead compartments all have ads printed on them, they sell lottery tickets on board, once they even tried to charge for the toilet. Ryanair planes are like a newspapers, if there is space available, you can put an ad there. I am surprised they haven't printed ads outside of the plane yet.
@@Julia-rm2vw : they haven't printed ads outside of the plane yet.
ryanair: quick... write that down.. write that down...
@@Julia-rm2vwthat would require to much time at the paint shop. Stickers would add extra weight and drag so more fuel cost to a single trip.
they could ad add space to the uniform of the flight crew. Like a sports jersey. a add on the front and back.
@@JagdeepNagpal They actually have, some Ryanair Aircraft have advertisements/Stickers on them advertising Cities and other organisations
5:24 Shoutout to that sailing boat that did an emergency loop to avoid hitting the ferry
Nice spot
By the way, do someone know what is the name of that airport?
Agree, but doesn't the sail boat have the right of way?
Muhammad Daffa Nasdyansya Rasyad looks similar to Billy Bishop airport
Definitely Billy Bishop Airport in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Recognized it immediately when I saw it.
I thought that was a bird like a seagull 😂
Wendover 2018: How Airlines price flights
Wendover 2020: How Covid broke pricing flights
Good to see the stock footage companies haven't been heavily affected
They just need to Photoshop masks onto all of their footage.
Vigilant Cosmic Penguin you cannot photoshop a mask that is for images and stock footage are vidoes so you need something like adobe after effects or final cut pro
Hean Stone photoshop deez nuts
@@heanstone1327 wow thank you for your insightful comment, where would we be without it
Hean Stone who?
Logistics, COVID and airplanes?
The dream subject for Wendover
Wendover if you see this: love your videos
I don’t know
Magic
@@thekuygerian eye movements, duh smh😒
The infinity gauntlet of Wendover’s existence
@@thekuygerian It's a stock footage overlaid with footage that he filmed on another laptop.
Airlines: "MAKE AMERICA PREDICTABLE AGAIN"
I work at an airline revenue management department and this guys videos on the airlines are spot on. I was actually part of the modelling efforts post Covid and we tried to predict the new demand signal. It was a very difficult problem. Now things are beginning to look normal again thank god!
hmmmm ok but what did you do for a living 20 years ago Ed Powers?
Sam, I don't want to alarm you, but there's this guy impersonating you on RUclips. Granted, his videos are Half as Interesting as yours are, but I thought you should know.
Gold
I get it
And he covers the subject of bricks often, to throw the Feds off the real subjects.
@@aryboss1514 here, have a gold star sticker sir!
wow i just realized this and i've been watching both of "their "videos for like two years xD
Wendover is probably single handedly financing the entire aviation stock video industry
,😆😆😆
Imagine if the computers broke so badly it ended up like oil
I would like to travel to NYC
Understandable, have $35
😂😂
Lol yes. I too would like to trace for near to nothing.. as I have near to nothing in regards to the American currency
There is an absolute minimum cost for tickets. That would be factoring in the cost of operation for that flight. Divide the by the number of seats available and that makes it the absolute lowest cost per seat possible not sure what that would be but it would probably still be in the ballpark of around $150ish speculative.
Oil didn't break, oil futures broke.(derivative based hedging and speculation, tradable contracts to buy/sell 1000 barrels at a fixed price and date in the future.) Basically for a certain delivery date, I recall it was April 2020, there were outstanding contracts for oil purchases, the normal users no longer needed the oil and most buy-side contract holder didn't have any way to take physical delivery or store it so they started selling there contracts, but nobody needed that much oil even if it was cheap so the price kept dropping until it was low enough to get the suppliers on the sell side of contracts to buy back the contracts. The actual daily spot price of oil only dropped a little, but not below production cost.
As a pilot for a regional Airline, as much as I disparage Airline management, I have to thank American Airlines for two major reasons. They increased my flying to Florida destinations that I enjoy, and I have not been to New York in almost a year.
*cue David Attenborough voice* “here we see the Sam in his natural habitat, talking about planes”
I can hear him!
Surprisingly, he didn’t roast Newark
That's reserved for Half as Interesting
They got new terminal now. That is why.
@@nntflow7058 - New terminal or not, you're still in Newark.
D 349 what about lagarbage?
@@VisibilityFoggy and it's still United.
This probably explains something I found a couple nights ago that I thought was pretty extraordinary.
I was looking for flights from Philadelphia to Tokyo. Not gonna be an easy or cheap trip no matter what, with a minimum of one layover - most likely in Los Angeles. Those were generally around $800-$1200. However, using Kayak I found a pretty extraordinary route. It used three short-term layovers, and managed to get the cost down to a mere $400. From Philadelphia to Las Vegas, an hour later from Vegas To Los Angeles, and an hour later from LA to San Francisco, followed by an overnight stay in SanFran, finishing off with a 1pm flight from SanFran to Tokyo. The total trip is 44 hours, although ~20 of them are spent off of a plane. I’m going to guess the reason for massive save in cost is the much lower demand for the individual legs of the trip, causing the overall trip to *half* in price.
Finally airlines will be more humble and give us our 2 free bags back.
I wouldn't mind a couple inches of space.
One can only hope
no they wont lol. 'were in this together' they say, but i promise, in 5 years its back to screwing the customers.
@@bigtony77 That's what happens when competition is cut down. They shouldn't have allowed the mergers than happen over the years.
Hopefully not. I travel without luggage and resent having to pay for those that travel with 2.
Most important stuff related to planes in 2020:
1. Flight Sim 2020
2. Wendover
...
14. Actual planes and airlines
I want a video of Wendover talking about MS Flight Simulator
If sam actually played Flight sim to get background footage for his vids
3. Mustard?
The 19 in the name isn’t the year it was found, it was the cost of a ticket from NYC to London
Yes lol.
Is it really that cheap?
Marquis no they’re actually free
@@Marquis-Sade no. I flew from Newark to Las Vegas and back nonstop for $35 tho
It's also the number of people on the flight.
Hi there - I'm a travel consultant, and previously worked in airline operations - I found this video fascinating and absolutely hit the nail on the head about how absolutely insane this situation is in the industry - I've forwarded this on to all my colleagues! Thanks!
“The unimaginable” *cue montage of every epidemiologist saying the “it’s not if but when” line in a documentary from the last 100 years*
"US COVID cases spiked"
Northeast: *grabs popcorn*
My state used to have the second most cases reguraly getting more than 4,000 cases per day and now we only got 300 new cases yesterday
@JACKSON KUSTER So you state is doing a good job? Or at least a better job?
@JACKSON KUSTER What State ya from? Here in Maine, we're doing surprisingly well, especially considering how few people I see actually wearing masks on a daily basis.
JACKSON KUSTER lol, it's really weird just guessing how confident you were in your answers that you were from NJ.
That said, you're not wrong, we're doing fantastic here in NJ, and the country-wide COVID spike when summer hit was really weird to watch. Everyone in the northeast just wondering "wtf, I thought we were done with this shit, what are the rest of you guys doing".
@JACKSON KUSTER jokes on you I live in Mass, which has even less cases
2:04 I see that stock footage lady is typing with her trackpad...
I think he photoshopped the google text in
She is a witch, and more powerful than Voldemort I think
Worst typing stock-footage EVER! You can be assured I will take to the internet to express my disgust.
mouse gestures... duh!
And is using two cursors at once... 2:08
it's like the chinese restaurant i went to today:
they offer all-you-can-eat buffet, but they can only orient themselves on reservations.
If fewer people reserve, they cook less, if more, they cook more.
But what if there's a day no one reserves? maybe no one will come and they wasted tons of food. maybe everyone orders from the menu and the food gets wasted anyways.
When suddenly a bunch of people come, the chefs can't cook fast enough as they had to compromise on personell and not enough waiters/ waitresses are present to attend every customer...
just reserve as early as you can every time you can, it often is just a free call and a minute of time for much less problems for the places.
did I detect a pun?
That's why most of these "all you can eat"-type places require reservations and simply don't take walk-ins (at least for the AYCE offer).
2:02 how is the person typing?!
oh shoot
blood magic
Mind control
gremlins
It is stock footage, originally having a green screen in place of an actual computer screen. Wendover then added suitable content there, as if the woman were googling something about planes.
Ryanair: 100% of that 96% occupancy hated absolutely every minute of it...
You get what you pay for....
Ryanair is one of the best cheap airliners so stop being a winy child
@@inactive859 nah
Zannels ...Michael...is that you???
Chris Gee ?
Just stumbled upon your channel so I am late into the subject but I have to say your video resonates with me as I am a Demand Manager for an airline. It's been a nightmare to manage since the pandemic started and there are no trends whatsoever to help us manage our routes.
Excellent videos!
Really surprised to see so much "stock" footage of YYZ Toronto Pearson and YTZ Billy Bishop Toronto City Centre, Canada isn't usually used a lot in stock footage, especially when it's such an american-centric video using the American airline market.
All the memes about Ryanair are spot on though lol
AJ Zebadua its like all airport stock footage is Pearson, I see it so often lol
Oh my god, you're right!
And a lot of SVO as well!!!
@@epiccollision I think maybe Pearson is just impressive looking as far as airports go. Plus it's cheap to film shit in Canada.
I saw the prices of flights from the US to Italy for $75 at the start of the pandemic.
Holy shit, it'd literally die to go there at that price.
@@MezzoForte4 lol
I live in Tunisia, 100 miles south of Italy. Flights to Rome cost more than that. I would have loved to visit the US.
@@MuzzaHukka I wouldn't visit the US right now. It's full of idiots who believe the virus doesn't exist.
Same as Siberia
All Wendover videos are detailed and thoroughly researched and well written - but THIS one was on a COMPLETELY different level... The nuances this video discusses, are brilliantly detailed. "Wow!" That's all I can manage to say! Wow!
This is actually what I do for work. Almost everything is spot on. I’m a Director of Revenue for a large company.
Is your name similar to the company's name? xD
"failed to consider the possibility of the unimaginable". . .
a.k.a get stick bugged
One day we will see
WENDOVER AIRLINES🔥
😎😎
There is a Wendover Airstrip somewhere in Utah
Pinchie Alarm That’s actually gonna be the name: Half as Expensive. Unlike most budget airlines there will be screens, but only playing Wendover and HAI videos.
Hearing him pronounce Ryan-air made me learn how a pause even as small as that can truly *break* a man's world view.
Rip
So difficult to include a time stamp?
@@FarfettilLejl on mobile it is
@@oliverm1255 it's not though. Just add @ followed by the time and RUclips will do it automatically.
Eg @1:00
@@ailinos No need for @
Very impressive video! I’m always blown away at how you are an expert in so many things and then you come back to aviation, the field I am a professional in, and am blown away at the accuracy of your videos. Great job explaining a very complex subject!
Feels good to see another aviation video from you.
Captain Joe: *Teaches me about planes*
Mentour Pilot: *Teaches me more about planes*
Mustard: *Teaches me about the history of planes*
DJ's aviation: *Teaches me about the future of planes*
74 Gear: *Teaches me about airplane movies and flight attendants*
Wendover productions: *Teaches me about the aviation industry*
CW Lemoine: Teaches me about TOMCATS!
And 74 gear
@@romainsavioz5466 thanks. I've edited it now 😆😅
@@TheAviationChannel you should try Mustard channel too. High quality video content and great presentation.
@@airizsyah3439 🤣i'm already on that too.
I'm not first, I'm not last, but when Wendover posts, I click fast
you however were technically last at the exact time of writing your comment; the specification of your temporal coordinates weren't precise smh.
@@michaelrichardson3834 You shall be my oracle for you are wise in the way of wisdom.
Xd same
Greedy comments fighting to be the most liked is a digital war zone
@@kyirid ok :) you get a 👎 from me
I love your aviation videos! This one was very well made as always.
very wonderful video! it's just the right length and doesn't let me feel like I have more questions than answers like from shorter videos.
Cant wait for things to go back to normal
When we can travel to India again for some Biryani am I right?
It's not going back. They say new normal for a reason.
There is no going back.
This is the start of the new normal.
12:49
Did anybody else notice the mask on the plane? lol
Hayo1706 YES I thought it was just me
I found it funny. And the clip starts at 12:43.
@@grahamturner2640 12:42 is more accurate
Spraying toxic bleach everywhere. I am due to fly soon. Im taking lots of elemental silver with me.
Searching through the comments for this!!
Cool seeing the Rhine bridge connecting Kehl and Strasbourg, a bridge I used to cross frequently by bike before the borders were closed in March.
Great video! I almost passed on it, as I’m an airline pilot and MBA grad. (So, of course I think I know it all...😂) That was a great video, very informative and streamlined. I definitely learned a few new things. Well done 👏🏾 bravo!
I had a flight from Moscow - Amsterdam - Quito. Both planes were mostly empty and I had to pay 1080 usd instead of the 400-900 usd I would normally pay. 3 previous flights were cancelled too.
Flying during a pandemic is horrible.
When your actually studying to be a pilot and you put off homework to watch this :) sams the best
... had second job ready since it about to paid a lot less..
Why don’t you guys move to a different country? Where wages in the aviation sector are higher.
Matthew K How can they afford to lay people off when commercial aviation competition is so low?
ME
@@thecrippledpancake9455 how can they afford not to? there are a fraction of normal flights now and estimates are that 2019 numbers wont be seen for 4 or 5 yrs...
Finally a new video from Wendover. YOU’VE BEEN SLACKING BRO
2:02 Lady moves her finger on the trackpad even though the screen shows stuff is being typed lmao.
5:17 mesmerising footage.
Billy Bishop Toronto City Airport
@@taleseduardolima Thank you! I was hoping someone had identified the airport which looks so weird I looked carefully to see if it was CGI.
@@vondahe Lol. Love that comment. I live just a few blocks from there. Too many buildings in the way for me to see it from my place, but I used to work at a building that had a great view of it.
@@taleseduardolima It's such a cool airport since you get a great view of downtown Toronto when landing or taking off. Then after you walk through a huge tunnel to get to Toronto, but then you're literally right in downtown. It's super neat. Closest example would be the old Meigs Field in Chicago. Hell, even when Meigs closed Billy Bishop was under pressure to close too. But the city decided against it and encouraged development. And today it's a neat little airport and very interesting.
I can't wait to see Sam launches his Wendover Airlines as a full service airline, and Half as Airworthy as the budget airline.
This guy can extract so many interesting topics from a seemingly boring industry. Amazing!
This is the history lesson our kids are doing to learn for their final exams 😂😂
"how often was that seat next to you free?" The seats next to me could be free?
Me: sees airline in the title
Also Me: clicks immediately
Z Shieh lmaooooo
I clicked before I saw it. I just saw Wendover and clicked
good piece, all the information makes sense and adds up aside from the underlying details we just don't know about.
How do you even go about researching a topic like this?!?! This channel is great
8:14
This footage is used every single time in aviation related videos
Love your videos dude, been watching for a couple years now and some interesting stuff. Nice to know there is someone who keeps us up to date on modern day problems
Wow! Great video - Really enjoyed it (And learned a lot about the airline industry - Thank you for sharing).
This was fantastic. Entertaining and educational.
When COVID hit I was more worried about no more wendover airplane videos then the Airplane industry.
Wendover Productions: "How COVID-19..."
RUclips: "DEMONITIZED!!!!"
Wasn't that only at the beginning of the pandemic?
I think the sponsorships negate the need for ad revenue.
I know, I was kidding anyway. 😅 Simon used to gripe about it.
Allegedly
@@Zyo117 😂
Exceptionally informative video. Thanks!
I love how half interesting these videos are ❤
TL;DR - Bada bing bada boom, fewer planes are going vroom
Thanks, now I don't even need the video.
Not even a pandemic can stop Wendover from making his plane videos
Excellent video. I learned something I didn't know. Great job.
The footage @ 7:32 in the video is not Eagle County but my hometown Innsbruck. Love it!
Take a shot every time he says demand
The computer CALCULATES, but only the human brain COMPREHENDS. That's why.
Interesting factor in the future of AI
I thought it was funny when he said the computer got confused. Sounded like it was doing exactly what it was designed to do.
This explained things to me. A couple of months ago, i was booking an important journey to uk. The price of the airline i booked was ridiculously normal while all other airlines had increased their price for more than 3 times. A few days later, my flight was cancelled with no replacement available, only a refund. Then a month later, the flight was available again but the price was like others 3 times more expensive. Now thinking about it, it may be the airline was switching between computer and manual pricing.
Thank you Sam, great content.
4:27 - What you tell her
5:34 - When she sees it
Yay, another airline video
I love learning about an industry’s business model. I always find it interesting
Loved the video. Very informative.
COVID-19: I broke the airline industry
Wendover: And where did that bring you? Back to me.
5:17 I believe that's Toronto's Billy Bishop airport.
You got it. goo.gl/maps/ZgLeU5qu1YPWJGXj8
It is. I've flown there.
At 5:16 the airport shown is Billy Bishop Airport CYTZ in Toronto which has the distinction of having the shortest regular ferry service in the entire world.
love these videos!!!
All I got from this is the airlines have been price gouging us for years.
That's because he oversimplified it and gave you the wrong interpretation. You see the high price here and low price there and think you got screwed. But the airlines are operating on thin margins and they broke even. Airlines can literally go bankrupt if they book a bunch of flights in advance and the price of gas changes too much. The reason prices have gone down is not because you are getting a fair rate, it's because the airlines are fucked because they already set up the flights and are now committed to them. Imagine if you booked a band and right after you turned down other potentially profitable bands, this band gets into a publicity shit show and now you won't be able to fill your seats and cover the cost of maintaining the stadium. Option A is that you take a full loss, option B is you cut ticket prices to try to cover as much loss as possible and hope you can make it up later with a more successful group. Option B lets you recover without having to gouge later or get lucky by getting a super high demand gig. I can make it even simpler for you, imagine you can't pay rent and are counting on the government to keep you from getting kicked out. You can either pay what you can or spend it elsewhere, but when the government says evictions can happen again you will have to pay the full amount you owe to prevent getting evicted. That's the airlines right now, they can either go tits up when the bills are due and they didn't make a dent in it or try to make it possible to survive the storm by giving you a discount now and covering some of their committed costs.
We had one case and now we’re back to zero. The West should’ve done what we did
Yes, *SHOOT THE CASES*
I genuinely cannot tell whether this is the real kim jong un or not
Gunshots to the back of the head have a much higher fatality rate than covid19 and much more efficient too
Marcus Nesbitt he’s real
Wait is this the real Kim?
Neat video! Thanks for uploading!
Great content, as usual.
2:02 that woman using her mind to type
Ugh everything associated with this virus is so depressing.
I disagree. The airline industry taking a massive hit is good news when it comes to the climate crisis.
@@normang3668 aaa gaay.
@Red Line XD i agree
@@normang3668 Ok Greta calm down
@@frankib8620 Not a fan of facts, huh?
That transition was very smooth.
Ahhhh, Wendover and airplanes. A perfect combination!!
We are back to the airlines 🔥
varun kamble 🔥
The last time i was this early, planes were still flying...
When I look back at this disaster, back in March...the outbreak was declared. At least in my part of the world. It was really scary seeing the world go quiet one city at a time. I was working during that phase of the outbreak. And I am very thankful to still be working as we get thru this crisis. Everything mentioned in this video, I feel like this video is a really informative analysis on what’s happening in this industry. It’s crazy that people are still traveling about. I get it, we all gotta do things in life. Work. Projects. School & homework. Money to make. Deals to make. Family to see and take care of. Friends too. Contracts to honor. I understand, that’s how the world works. But in your travels everyone, be safe! Be sound! Look after each other. Have a great time! And get to your destination safely and let’s do our best to make the most of our really crazy 2020!
9:28 - Bournemouth airport in Dorset, UK. This is the only time we’ve seen something like this because it’s a small seaside town on the south coast.
Eleanor Dukes-Swyer was looking through the comments to see if anyone else recognised it. I drive past the airport every day for work. Quite the sight
Never been this early to anything in my life
Nah you’ve been faster to unoriginality
Same
You guys
You are as quick as COVID itself
Your birth?
Ryanair May have had 96% of its seats filled in 2019 but that amount on average probably went to 95% after their landings 😳
Beautifully explained! ✈️😎
Holy hell that was informative! Thanks!
It's funny that an airplane looked like it had a huge mask on in the clip at 12:43.
12:43 Even an airplane is wearing a mask, what is your excuse?
It took me a while to realise, hehe. I looked at the US flag as I believe this is the gate in the Boston Logan Airport that United 175 left from on the 11th of September.
I’m outside of 6 feet
Well, it's got a nose, doesn't it?
They don't make mask small enough for us humans.
Computer: *Does exactly what it's designed to do*
Wendover: "...which confused the computer even more"
I'm happy to see stuff that's gonna break my brain later in the day. :D
Ah yes viruses breaking computers, when have I heard this before?