As soon as the chief forecaster gave his seasonal (winter) forecast about a month ago in which he said high pressure influence much less likely to predominate that's just about the main weather pattern we've had!
It has been said a neutral to tending La Nina tends to favour a dry start to winter and more changeable conclusion and yes there is plenty of time for a stormy period between now and Easter but we have had rather extended periods of anti-cyclonic gloom since the beginning of November.?
If you look on the royal metrology society you tub you will see a trend. My understanding is the trend is slightly warmer and wetter than normal. Not as bad as last year generally.
Many thanks Alex, I can quite understand when in January, we get the very misty or foggy days, to be honest I quite like it as it’s atmospheric. Then it’s a bit milder, though I’m not so much looking forward to the easterly or south easterly possibly coming along towards the end of next week, but at least the last couple of weeks gave us a taste of what winter 🥶 still holds for us, so not too much of a shock. I just hope the pensioners whose winter fuel allowance was robbed from them manage to keep as warm as is possible. I hope some are able to move around as much as possible to help. Thanks again Alex, to the Met Office too. Take care everyone, especially on roads in the fog
Can you introduce some statistics like coldest 16th January ever or average temperature for North West England v South West England or sunniest January day etc.
Hi Alex, the surface pressure charts appear to be 2-dimensional (north/south & east/west) but having low and high pressure areas suggests there is another vertical component to the weather. Is this what causes the high & low pressure areas? Any chance of an explanation???? Thanks in advance......
Yes, the air above the surface is acted on by gravity which tries to pull it down. This is experienced as atmospheric pressure. In areas of high pressure, the air above the surface is more dense, leading to greater downward forces and higher surface pressure. Air compresses and warms up as it sinks, this leads to more evaporation meaning clouds are very unlikely to form. In low pressure, the air above the surface is less dense, leading to a kind of vacuum effect where the denser air at the surface wants to rise. When air rises, it cools, condenses and forms clouds and precipitation. Synoptic pressure charts are expressed in terms of bidimensional maps for no reason other than simplicity of interpretation, plus it acts as an abstraction for a broader trend of higher and lower pressure as of course there can be very local differences in air pressure that would be impossible to accurately express in three dimensions.
@@paradisehub9382 Ta v much for the explanation, never really thought that gravity acts on air in our in our atmosphere, I guess it's obvious as otherwise we would lose it!!
No what we don't need is easterlies while energy is teetering.. And the likes of me lost our winter fuel money. Reeves will Rue the day she took it away without thought😮😮😮
She won’t rue the day at all. Current pensioners are “boomers” and so you are part of statistically the wealthiest generation that Britain has ever seen. Most boomer pensioners that are complaining about their £200 loss will get a whopping 4.1% increase in the state pension in April and most of you didn’t vote Labour anyway so why would she be worried about losing your vote? You probably wouldn’t vote Labour anyway. People who would never vote for a party shouting “I will never vote Labour” is absolutely pointless.
@ I know for a fact that not all are rich. I have worked in community care for over 10 years. I have cared for many elderly people and they are poor. I lady I called on once slept with coats on her bed to keep her warm.
if whole of jan stays cold, the way I understand it there's always the hope of snow later on ( here in SE) for the rest of winter...because there's build-up being stored in the system with the ground remaining cold (musnt abate for too long tho and moscow needs to deep-freeze too!)
Still i seem to think after watching all the deep dives and ten day trends , it gets a little boring, i know it’s not the forecasters fault, but after a while the producers seem to want to deviate, from weather forecasting to other things to fill in the time, at first the weather program was interesting when it was just about the long range forecasting, so please could the producers stop deviations please yours sincerely Mr J.D.Harris
We are long overdue a proper easterly.
I don't know about that but weather patterns 10 and 17 are both long-term cyclical in terms of frequency. See last week's Deep Dive.
Speak for yourself. No one wants it to be freezing and snowing, especially when people like me have to work outside amongst it. No thanks
As soon as the chief forecaster gave his seasonal (winter) forecast about a month ago in which he said high pressure influence much less likely to predominate that's just about the main weather pattern we've had!
It has been said a neutral to tending La Nina tends to favour a dry start to winter and more changeable conclusion and yes there is plenty of time for a stormy period between now and Easter but we have had rather extended periods of anti-cyclonic gloom since the beginning of November.?
If you look on the royal metrology society you tub you will see a trend. My understanding is the trend is slightly warmer and wetter than normal. Not as bad as last year generally.
Excellent 10 day trend.
Thank you, Alex
Have a lovely evening it was a very informative ten day tend.
Many thanks Alex, I can quite understand when in January, we get the very misty or foggy days, to be honest I quite like it as it’s atmospheric. Then it’s a bit milder, though I’m not so much looking forward to the easterly or south easterly possibly coming along towards the end of next week, but at least the last couple of weeks gave us a taste of what winter 🥶 still holds for us, so not too much of a shock. I just hope the pensioners whose winter fuel allowance was robbed from them manage to keep as warm as is possible. I hope some are able to move around as much as possible to help.
Thanks again Alex, to the Met Office too.
Take care everyone, especially on roads in the fog
You make my head dizzy! But thank you 😊 UK.
Im enjoying sunshine visiting my family in the Canaries.Really needing it😊
Thanks for the latest info Alex
Thanks. Big help in terms of planning my work outside this and next week.
I think an Easterly will develop
Thank you Alex, always passionate about whats going on. Very clear explanation, I'm hoping for the easterlies here in South Essex 🤞❄️☃️
That is some jet stream over your right shoulder! On Monday.
Can you introduce some statistics like coldest 16th January ever or average temperature for North West England v South West England or sunniest January day etc.
Hi Alex, the surface pressure charts appear to be 2-dimensional (north/south & east/west) but having low and high pressure areas suggests there is another vertical component to the weather. Is this what causes the high & low pressure areas? Any chance of an explanation???? Thanks in advance......
Yes, the air above the surface is acted on by gravity which tries to pull it down. This is experienced as atmospheric pressure. In areas of high pressure, the air above the surface is more dense, leading to greater downward forces and higher surface pressure. Air compresses and warms up as it sinks, this leads to more evaporation meaning clouds are very unlikely to form. In low pressure, the air above the surface is less dense, leading to a kind of vacuum effect where the denser air at the surface wants to rise. When air rises, it cools, condenses and forms clouds and precipitation.
Synoptic pressure charts are expressed in terms of bidimensional maps for no reason other than simplicity of interpretation, plus it acts as an abstraction for a broader trend of higher and lower pressure as of course there can be very local differences in air pressure that would be impossible to accurately express in three dimensions.
@@paradisehub9382 Ta v much for the explanation, never really thought that gravity acts on air in our in our atmosphere, I guess it's obvious as otherwise we would lose it!!
No what we don't need is easterlies while energy is teetering.. And the likes of me lost our winter fuel money. Reeves will Rue the day she took it away without thought😮😮😮
Are you going to be ok?
I’m sorry this has happened to you.
She won’t rue the day at all. Current pensioners are “boomers” and so you are part of statistically the wealthiest generation that Britain has ever seen. Most boomer pensioners that are complaining about their £200 loss will get a whopping 4.1% increase in the state pension in April and most of you didn’t vote Labour anyway so why would she be worried about losing your vote? You probably wouldn’t vote Labour anyway. People who would never vote for a party shouting “I will never vote Labour” is absolutely pointless.
Never met a poor pensioner they are all rich
@ I know for a fact that not all are rich. I have worked in community care for over 10 years. I have cared for many elderly people and they are poor. I lady I called on once slept with coats on her bed to keep her warm.
🤞🤞for snow love Snow ❄️❄️
At the moment, it's a pea souper here in Gt Harwood, near Blackburn
I do hope its sunny tomorrow as your forecast states 🤔
if whole of jan stays cold, the way I understand it there's always the hope of snow later on ( here in SE) for the rest of winter...because there's build-up being stored in the system with the ground remaining cold (musnt abate for too long tho and moscow needs to deep-freeze too!)
Strengthening jet?
It was already at 207 mph across the eastern seaboard of America at 250 hPa this morning...
Thank you. Pea souper tonight though.
Still i seem to think after watching all the deep dives and ten day trends , it gets a little boring, i know it’s not the forecasters fault, but after a while the producers seem to want to deviate, from weather forecasting to other things to fill in the time, at first the weather program was interesting when it was just about the long range forecasting, so please could the producers stop deviations please yours sincerely Mr J.D.Harris
Thanks alex
Watching at 2x the normal speed 😂
A little bit above average in the north on Thursday...
Always Useful Alex. Many Thanks.
So, the weather forecasters don’t know what the weather is going to do. Love it.
It is cold day today
Easterly? No thanks.
Just take each day as it comes 😂 they can’t forecast past a couple of days
Why are you here then ?
In other words , it could be anything .
Thankyou alex😊
But now you changed to stormy
Thank you.
Snow snow snow, fantastic. Get used to it. You can stick climate change right we're the sun don't shine.
Thank you Alex best wishes take care stay safe xx ❤😅😅😊
No more east from snow from the east then climate change
Warmer weather with sea rise is ok by me.
Incoherent