Bayesian Updating in Light of the Popper-Miller Theorem | Matjaž Leonardis

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Our speaker during this event is Matjaž Leonardis, who will present on Bayesianism and its connection to critical rationalism, after which there is a question session.
Matjaž has been working with David Deutsch to create a better explanation of and elaborate on the further consequences of a theorem Popper and Miller published in 1983. In particular, Matjaž' work allows a new perspective on Bayesianism that calls into question the usual interpretation of Bayesian updating.
Some related articles and video material about Bayesianism are: plato.stanford...
• Bayes theorem, the geo...

[@pactifysoftware5140]

Which book of Popper deals most directly with this theorem ?

[@OxfordKarlPopperSociety]

I'm not aware of it being in any of Popper's books, though it might be in one of David Miller's.
The theorem was published in a paper, which when I last tried to read it, was fairly incomprehensible to me.

[@drewzi2044]

One of the appendices to "The world of Parminides" deals with this theorem.

[@drewzi2044]

Content is inversely proportional to *logical* probability.

[@93alvbjo]

What do you mean by this?

[@drewzi2044]

Which part do you need explaining? all of it?

[@maloxi1472]

@@93alvbjo I'm guessing he meant that the more improbable a theory is, the more it says about its subject of investigation 🤷🏻‍♂

[@drewzi2044]

Excess content, not inductive content.