If you put Alabama in and not Texas when they both win out then wtf is the point of scheduling a good non conference game, makes people just schedule easy teams
@@DM-hl3bxnot saying I would do it, but if you got an undefeated Washington, FSU, Michigan. And then Bama and Georgia win, how would they justify Georgia getting in?
Since the selection committee gave us _their_ reasons, or excuses, rather, for excluding FSU from the final four, I would like to give _my own_ ridiculous (but not really) reasons for what I believe would have been a _better_ final four and potential championship game. And since being undefeated didn't actually matter, as the selection committee allowed _two_ one-loss teams to leapfrog ahead of a no-loss team in FSU, I too will give you what I believe the final four teams should have entailed, as it would have probably been much more exciting. I would have liked to have seen this scenario: 1. Michigan (13-0) 2. Washington (13-0) 3. FSU (13-0) 4. Oregon (11-2) Now, while you're cleaning up the spit-up coffee from your computer screen and stopped laughing, think about if both Washington and Oregon won their first-round games. The two games those teams played against one another came down to three points respectively, and those games were wildly fun to watch. So for those who added the completely fabricated "best team" canard, I give you the "best _matchup"_ variable because that _would be_ the best matchup. And considering that the Pac-12, in its swan song as a conference, _was_ the best conference in the land this season--there's really no argument against that claim--I'd say Oregon deserved a shot at a potential rubber match against Washington. And again, that potential matchup would have been epic to watch, and we probably wouldn't have had to worry about a revisit of that TCU vs. Georgia debacle from the previous year.
If you put the Iron Bowl performance as a rivalry game effect then Texas' loss to Oklahoma is too but it was more competitive and came down to the last play.
I was thinking the exact same thing! I guess Texas is undefeated since their loss was a rivalry game and we put those in a separate pile where we don’t hold teams accountable for their play?
That wasn’t a play my friend, that was a HolyMary and “Our Father” ! I mean come on… Fourth and 31 and you’ve got nine men deep and the ball is caught the odds of that happening again is maybe one in 1000 and it just happen to be on play one!
There’s practically 0.01% chance Iowa beats Michigan. They have a dead last offense vs the #1 defense in college football. I don’t see the game being even close.
I disagree wholeheartedly about the “best win in the country”. Texas would have a double digit win over the SEC champ at home!!! Texas gets in whether they beat OSU by 3 or 30!!!
- Bama beats Georgia by 1 via walk off field goal - Michigan wins - Oregon wins by 3 TDs - FSU squeaks by with missed chip shot game winning FG by Louisville - Texas wins by 5 TDs Who gets in? Seeding?
@@moritzgeiger02I think only one SEC team gets in not both. Oregon beats the #3 team by 21+. Can’t leave them out. I think Bama gets left out and UGA in I think it’s 1) Michigan 2) Oregon 3) Texas 4) Georgia
The “SEC Bias” is RIDICULOUS. This is long, but proves its still going on. Tennessee is ranked and Utah isnt. Why? SEC Bias. Tennessee has lost to Alabama, Georgia, Missouri & an AWFUL Florida team. Utah lost to Washington, Oregon, Oregon State and Arizona. ALL 4 are top 25 ranked teams. And Utah beat Florida in the Swamp. A common opponent to Tennessee. Utah isn’t ranked at all & beat the team that beat Tennessee. HOW is Tennessee ranked 21 and Utah isn’t ranked at all? Because by ranking Tennessee and NOT ranking Utah, it gives BOTH Georgia & Alabama an extra “quality win” and Oregon and Washington one less “quality win.”
I worked out every possible playoff scenario, and I think it’s pretty damn accurate. Summary: - UGA gets a spot if they beat Alabama, or lose and 2 of FSU, Michigan, or Texas lose - Michigan gets a spot if they beat Iowa, or lose and 2 of Alabama, FSU, or Texas lose - Washington gets a spot if they beat Oregon, or lose and all of Alabama, FSU, and Texas lose - FSU gets a spot if they beat Louisville, but if they lose they’re out - Oregon gets a spot if they beat Washington, but if they lose they’re out - Texas gets a spot if they beat Oklahoma State AND 1 of FSU, Michigan, or UGA loses. If Texas loses, they’re out. - Alabama gets a spot if they beat Georgia AND 1 of FSU, Michigan, or Texas loses. If Alabama loses, they’re out. - Ohio State gets a spot if UGA, Washington, Louisville, and Oklahoma State win. If just one of those games goes the other way, they’re officially out. In other words, it’s a fuckin’ long shot. Reasoning: UGA, Michigan, Washington, FSU, Oregon, Texas, Alabama, Ohio State. I can’t see any teams not on this list making the playoffs regardless of what happens in conference championships, and even 11-1 Ohio State would need a miracle. No 2-loss team stands a chance this year, as no matter what, at least UGA, Michigan, Washington, and Ohio State would get in over them. Teams are listed in order of priority in getting a playoff spot. For example, I think if the 4th spot is between 12-1 Oregon and 12-1 Texas, Oregon will get the nod (better SOS and quality loss, and the CFP Committee ranking Oregon above Texas so far implies they would be favored if it comes down to it). There should be no scenario in which a team gets leapfrogged by another team lower on the list, i.e. no outcomes from other games could put a 12-1 Alabama in over a 12-1 Texas, or a 12-1 Washington in over a 12-1 Oregon. All possibilities from bowl games are considered by listing two versions of each contending team, corresponding to a win/loss next week, e.g. both 13-0 SEC Champ and 12-1 non-SEC Champ UGA teams are listed in order of playoff “priority”. Control Their Own Destiny: - 13-0 UGA (SEC Champ) - 13-0 Michigan (B1G Champ) - 13-0 Washington (P12 Champ) - 13-0 FSU (ACC Champ) - 12-1 Oregon (P12 Champ) Need Help: - 12-1 Texas (B12 Champ) - In with FSU loss - In with Michigan loss - In with UGA loss - 12-1 Alabama (SEC Champ) - In with FSU loss - In with Michigan loss - In with Texas loss - 12-1 UGA - In with 2 of FSU, Michigan, Texas loss - 12-1 Michigan - In with 2 of Alabama, FSU, Texas loss - 12-1 Washington - In with Alabama, FSU, and Texas loss - 11-1 Ohio State - In with UGA, Washington, Louisville, and Oklahoma State wins Will Miss Playoffs: (No matter what, UGA, Michigan, Washington, and Ohio State are ahead of them) - 12-1 FSU - 11-2 Oregon - 11-2 Texas - 11-2 Alabama - Every other 2+ loss P5 team in the country, plus all G5 teams Predictions: Georgia will beat Alabama, Michigan will beat Iowa, Oregon will beat Washington, Louisville will beat FSU, and Texas will beat Oklahoma State. 1. UGA defeats 4. Texas in the Sugar Bowl 2. Michigan falls to 3. Oregon in the Rose Bowl 1. UGA defeats 3. Oregon in Houston
@@texasfight737 Thanks Longhorn bro, this was the product of a very boring Sunday afternoon. Dawgs winning it was definitely a homer pick, but I stand by it lol
Imagine Georgia wins, Michigan loses, Oregon wins, FSU loses, and Texas loses. Georgia is obviously in at 1, Oregon at 2, who do you have at 3 and 4? Do you keep UW in? Does OSU get in or does Mich remain in? There is so much chaos and scenarios thst can happen.
You cannot argue FSU's win over LSU was a top 5 opponent. Nor OSU having two top 10 wins over ND and PSU.. Rankings matter the week they're presented.. Hell, in that case we'd give Oregon a top 25 win over Colorado who is 4-8. C'mon now..
Actually it’s somewhere in the middle. Do you think LSU is tougher when they’re #5 and haven’t lost a game, hoping to win the NC or when when they’re 6-2 and barely top 25? One of these is a tougher game than the other.
@@Scallers813 No, that's completely false. Ranking matter the week of the ranking. Period. That same 6-2 LSU team is still fighting for the SEC West and a chance at the CFP.. They're still a top 25 team. Yes, them playing Bama was a tougher fight bc that was LSU's season if they lost. But giving Oregon a top 25 win over Colorado is blasphemy, which is why rankings matter the week they're presented and not when they're played.
@@moose2_the_o756 I just don’t agree, I don’t fully disagree… I think that both matter. I think it matters what they were ranked when you beat them and I also think it matters how their season finishes. Obviously a team that starts off number one and doesn’t win a single game for the whole year… That diminishes you beating them in the first week when they were number one. But at the same time, a team, that’s number one when you play them in the first week, and you beat them, and then they have some injuries, you expose some of their weaknesses,they have a couple of bad breaks… And they wind up with four losses. That’s not necessarily indicative that you win at the beginning of the season was meaningless.
How do you not put the same amount of weight on the Red River Rivalry as the Iron Bowl? Oklahoma is light years ahead of Auburn. If Alabama gets in then Texas HAS to
In the last 13 years Auburn Has seen and won more National Championships than Oklahoma 😂😂😂😂😂 so lightyears huh man i cant wait til yall bring that weak shit to Jordan Hare Stadium next year
@@G0dspeeed97 We beat Bama by 10 this year in their house. I assume Jordan Hare is Auburns stadium but unfotunateyl we don't to embarrass you next year. OU take take care of our light work. Saying the "Iron Bowl" has held more weight in the last 20 years than RRR is laughable.
Scenario 3 Georgia is out. Conference championships should matter. It’s not like a couple seasons ago where two get in because all the others had two loses. Win your conference championships.
Yeah you can leave Bama out even if they beat Georgia. If it does happen. They need Michigan or FSU to lose. Texas is in if Georgia, Michigan, or FSU loses. Not a fan but they blew out Alabama on the road.
Most y’all Smokin. The Committee has blatantly said the last few weeks Oregon is the best 1 loss team in the country. If they win they are in. If the Committee already thinks that and they beat the 3rd ranked team in the country that only boosts them more. There is no way Texas and Alabama jumps Oregon unless both win by 21+ and Oregon barely scrapes by. Even then I’d still put money on Oregon going top 4.
Listen very closely…if a team is NOTa conference CHAMPION they SHOULD NOT be a final 4 team! That’s all we need to remember!!! What is so hard about that?
I agree Alabama is out after their pathetic showing against Auburn no matter what happens Saturday. The only thing in question is whether Georgia is out with them. SEC overrated like hell. Alabama is just a spoiler now.
If Michigan wanted to, they could just punt every 1st down, and play only defense and special teams... and still win 11-0 v. Iowa (2 safeties and a scoop and score). My main question is whether Oregon would jump FSU if they both win.
@@Meng776 Why have they been in every poll? Did you watch the iron bowl? While the Ducks were speed racing a top 15 team? That's why. Having just beaten Georgia just means Georgia wasn't all it supposed to be. So they can be out too.
Doomsday UM W/FSU W/Oregon W/Texas W/Bama W 1 - Mich 2/3 - Oregon 3/2 - FSU 4 - Texas 5 - Bama 6 - Wash 7 - UGA 8 - OSU * SEC has the eye test and loses when you talk about OOC and SOS. The conf is lacking on P5 games (only 2 teams played 10 P5 games...pack12 10/12 played 10+), Biggest loss (Bama to Texas) and multiple OOC losses at top of conference. If Bama gets in it is based on history/espn/fans. They have played well but they also have played really bad too. They limped into the conf champ. Oregon is the most consistent of the 3, the better conference, and avenged their loss. Texas beat Bama soundly...it wasn't even a close game. Why should Bama be in honestly?
Eye test is useless if you don’t have several common opponents. Using the eye test in a scenario without multiple common opponents is like saying Georgia is better than the New England Patriots because they look better against the opponents they’ve played than the Patriots have against the teams they’ve played
My Noles made it there without cheating Michigan shouldn't be aloud to play sense they cheated .. intil it is proven they didn't but there is so much showing they did
I sincerely hope that happens. I'm sure you believed that last time the two met in the Alamo bowl too. Remember Oregon 30-7 Texas (Dec 30, 2013) Final Score
You saying Ohio state is sitting back watching trying to stay fresh getting ready getting a workout in just in case? Tf that matter there doing it regardless
@@fsub616 that’s the way I think it has to go, who would you leave out? 13-0 Michigan isn’t out, 13-0 FSU isn’t out, 12-1 Oregon has been ranked over Alabama all year, and 12-1 Texas has the head to head.
WTF? Why are we giving Alabama an eye test pass for their miracle in the Iron Bowl in your "doomsday" scenario? If it's down to Texas, Oregon and Bama with one loss Bama is gone I don't care who they just beat. Just means Georgia wasn't as good as advertised and they are out too.
If oregon wins this a lock no matter what they went to Utah n dismantled them against Oregon state dismantled them usc same wsu same.thang and they were all ranked n if the beat a undefeated Washington who hasn't lost that's that so ducks no question is locked with a win against huskies friday!!!
Wait. You’re bragging about beating a 5-7 WSU team? And a 7-5 USC team? And 8-4 Utah (back up qb)… lol. Yall have one good win. Against Oregon St (8-4) and they aren’t even that good, slightly overrated.
Everyone wants to see the Best team from the SEC Big10 Pac10 ACC/Big 12. So Georgia Michigan Washington FSU would be fine or FSU out Texas in. Or Washington Out Oregon in
No scenario with Washington lol shit is crazy really. Michigan is in. They 20 point favorites surely should win the. Basically comes down to Georgia bama Texas Ohio state florida state for two spots. Easy scenario Georgia and florida wins their in. Even florida without their qb undefeated is undefeated. Their in. But I don’t think they win Saturday. I think Texas wins but it’s gonna be close like 7-10 points. if I had to bet money on it. Georgia win tomar. Michigan wins. Texas wins and ville wins. so bull dogs Washington Michigan. Bama/Texas. I think Georgia is on win or lose here. Won 29 in a row of your gonna out a one lose team on why not put the team thy has won 29 in a row on the toughest conference on college football. If bama wins they are in over Texas and also Georgia still gets in. But who knows I’m going to bed so I can wake up and watch this shit play out
If Michigan, FSU, Bama, Texas and Oregon win. Based on current rankings it should be Michigan, FSU, Oregon, Texas. Oregons championship win and loss would be comparable to Bamas. And Texas would the win over Bama. That’s it. I don’t think a win against Georgia would carry them in.
So u don’t think a win over the no 1 team Georgia that is current sec champion and the reigning defending back 2 back national champions plus being undefeated in 3 years won’t let Bama in? You’re completely out of ur mind.
This is how that should play out. While the Bama folks world be up in arms, they lost to a team that is ahead of them and they're both conference champs. Fact is neither team had looked dominant all year and each had weaknesses but Texas best them in Tuscaloosa. Oregon would be in ahead of Bama because conference champ and beat more higher ranked teams. They're also a more solid team.
@@chudifrank6493 While I see your point. The past seasons do not mean much this year. They are number one but the argument that the Committee can look at the past season is a absurd
Jeez the fact that it’s still possible Oregon gets the one seed is crazy. If you bet $10 on the Utah game with parlays of Nix winning the Heisman and the natty the payout would have been $40,000. I feel like an idiot not making that bet now.
@@pnwadventurer802then name 3 teams other than Alabama that is capable of beating UGA? I’ll wait. If not then why do you care if your team gets in? UGA will slaughter everyone in the playoffs if they get past Alabama
If the third scenario unfolds, I would put Michigan, Bama, Texas, Georgia. In that order. Texas for beating Bama and having a few ranked wins, conference champ, only one loss and it came in a rivalry game to a top 25 team. Bama for beating Georgia, 1 loss SEC champ, a few other ranked wins, only loss, although at home, came to a top 10 team early in the season. Georgia, back to back national champs, 1 loss and it comes to a playoff team in the conference champ game after they beat SEC teams 29 straight, been #1 all season. Unless they get crushed by Bama, committee is putting them in. The committees job is to use all info to pick the four best teams, teams that if you matched them up, the game can for the most part go either way. I feel that unless FSU smokes Louisville and shows they can keep up with the big boys, they will be left out if the scenario above unfolds. Being favored by 2.5 to Louisville is at least an underdog of 9.5 spread to Georgia. Let's not forget FSUs biggest win came first game of the season, which also happened to be Jordan's best game, they struggled with Jordan in several games, all their biggest wins came with Jordan as the QB before his injury, he got injured 10 games into the season so it's not like the back up was plugged in midway through the season and the team didn't miss a beat and just like the Host of this great show said, the ACC is not that good, the best team FSU could of faced is not even a ACC team. For FSU fans who will get upset at my opinion, cry me a River while answering these questions. How did you feel when you found out Jordan was not going to play the rest of the season? I'm sure you felt and still feel your national title hopes gone out the window. If you put your back up in from the beginning of the season, can you with full confidence believe that you would go undefeated and make the playoffs? I'm sure that is a no. That right there tells you that your not good enough to be in the playoffs with this QB and the committee will think the same way, unlessssss, FSU crushes Louisville and the QB has a solid performance. Then Texas will be out and put FSU in.
When it comes to Georgia what you did last year and the year before that is irrelevant. Georgia is straight up OUT if that scenario. 1. Mich. 2. FSU. 3. Texas. 4. Bama. IF FSU loses as well then the pac 12 winner gets the 2nd spot.
@@Mark-zx2bq what do you do if Alabama beats UGA and the playoffs is Bama/Mich/Oregon/Texas, Bama wins NC and FSU beats UGA 48-14? Tell me in that scenario how you explain those decisions. You are a fool if you think that’s the right choice.
Like Bama's three absolute cupcake wins? Middle Tennessee? Chattanooga? South Florida? Not to mention the pathetic SEC teams they beat? The only tough non conference game they played they lost. You SEC freaks are like democrats, just can't think.
While I agree with the method slightly but any loss in championship week wouldn’t it be a half game difference I mean if UW losses to Oregon they would still be a half game above OSU
If Bama wins Texas has to be in handing the best team it's only loss. The odds that all unbeaten teams lose is astronomical. Won't happen. It would awesome to see but won't happen.
![WE GOT ACCESS TO GPT-3! [Epic Special Edition]](/img/1.gif)
If you put Alabama in and not Texas when they both win out then wtf is the point of scheduling a good non conference game, makes people just schedule easy teams
Georgia/ bama Texas Oregon and Michigan is what it should be
Georgia won't be left out in any scenario. There is too much money that georgia brings in
@@DM-hl3bxfr
@@DM-hl3bxnot saying I would do it, but if you got an undefeated Washington, FSU, Michigan. And then Bama and Georgia win, how would they justify Georgia getting in?
@@DM-hl3bx except Vegas isn’t agreeing with you.
Alabama Sucks
They belong in the
Toilet Bowl 😂😂
I see my Buckeyes sneaking back in upset weekend baby
Since the selection committee gave us _their_ reasons, or excuses, rather, for excluding FSU from the final four, I would like to give _my own_ ridiculous (but not really) reasons for what I believe would have been a _better_ final four and potential championship game. And since being undefeated didn't actually matter, as the selection committee allowed _two_ one-loss teams to leapfrog ahead of a no-loss team in FSU, I too will give you what I believe the final four teams should have entailed, as it would have probably been much more exciting.
I would have liked to have seen this scenario:
1. Michigan (13-0)
2. Washington (13-0)
3. FSU (13-0)
4. Oregon (11-2)
Now, while you're cleaning up the spit-up coffee from your computer screen and stopped laughing, think about if both Washington and Oregon won their first-round games. The two games those teams played against one another came down to three points respectively, and those games were wildly fun to watch. So for those who added the completely fabricated "best team" canard, I give you the "best _matchup"_ variable because that _would be_ the best matchup.
And considering that the Pac-12, in its swan song as a conference, _was_ the best conference in the land this season--there's really no argument against that claim--I'd say Oregon deserved a shot at a potential rubber match against Washington. And again, that potential matchup would have been epic to watch, and we probably wouldn't have had to worry about a revisit of that TCU vs. Georgia debacle from the previous year.
1. Michigan 13-0
2. Oregon 12-1
3. Texas 12-1
4. Alabama 12-1
5. Georgia 12-1
6. Washington 12-1
7. Ohio State 11-1
8. Louisville 11-2
9. Florida State 12-1
10. Missouri 10-2
Ohio state does not have two “top ten” wins. ND us not a top ten team, doesn’t matter what they were ranked at the time.
You can’t give Bama a pass because it was rivalry week. Texas loss to OU in rivalry week, and OU is a much better team than Auburn
If you put the Iron Bowl performance as a rivalry game effect then Texas' loss to Oklahoma is too but it was more competitive and came down to the last play.
I was thinking the exact same thing! I guess Texas is undefeated since their loss was a rivalry game and we put those in a separate pile where we don’t hold teams accountable for their play?
That argument only works for sec teams otherwise Oregons 3 point loss at udubb would fall into that same category
@@kristopherhansen8768 We all agree. It is a dumb argument
Difference is Alabama still won the iron bowl. They’re talking about a bad winning performance. Not wiping out a loss
That wasn’t a play my friend, that was a HolyMary and “Our Father” ! I mean come on… Fourth and 31 and you’ve got nine men deep and the ball is caught the odds of that happening again is maybe one in 1000 and it just happen to be on play one!
FSU gets left out in your dooms day scenario
It's absolute madness, I'm happy though you're trying to break it down.
Sunday will be an interesting morning.
Who knows what it will look like?
Committee has said Oregon is better then both texas and Alabama all year so they won’t get jumped by then unless they lose
LMFAO 🤣 they lost to Washington and we are promoting them like they are the PAC 12 USC team from 04/05.
PAC12 is great this year. Ducks will beat UW & then UM.
If you lose you lose no matter what your record stands & your out This is for championchip . It shouldnt be twisted into something complicated
There’s practically 0.01% chance Iowa beats Michigan. They have a dead last offense vs the #1 defense in college football. I don’t see the game being even close.
Ooops you did come through. You are very enjoyable may I say
Freezing wins is stupid. So beating teams we thought were good that end up not being good is impressive?
College football needs to absolutely get rid of the human element of picking teams for anything it’s just stupid to have people picking the best teams
I disagree wholeheartedly about the “best win in the country”. Texas would have a double digit win over the SEC champ at home!!! Texas gets in whether they beat OSU by 3 or 30!!!
This whole conversation is dumb, bring on the 12 team playoffs
- Bama beats Georgia by 1 via walk off field goal
- Michigan wins
- Oregon wins by 3 TDs
- FSU squeaks by with missed chip shot game winning FG by Louisville
- Texas wins by 5 TDs
Who gets in? Seeding?
Michigan, Alabama, FSU, Texas (Maybe Oregon but Texas hast a better SOS)
@@moritzgeiger02I think only one SEC team gets in not both. Oregon beats the #3 team by 21+. Can’t leave them out. I think Bama gets left out and UGA in
I think it’s
1) Michigan
2) Oregon
3) Texas
4) Georgia
The “SEC Bias” is RIDICULOUS. This is long, but proves its still going on.
Tennessee is ranked and Utah isnt.
Why? SEC Bias.
Tennessee has lost to Alabama, Georgia, Missouri & an AWFUL Florida team.
Utah lost to Washington, Oregon, Oregon State and Arizona. ALL 4 are top 25 ranked teams.
And Utah beat Florida in the Swamp. A common opponent to Tennessee.
Utah isn’t ranked at all & beat the team that beat Tennessee.
HOW is Tennessee ranked 21 and Utah isn’t ranked at all?
Because by ranking Tennessee and NOT ranking Utah, it gives BOTH Georgia & Alabama an extra “quality win” and Oregon and Washington one less “quality win.”
No way you said you think Oregon would beat Texas 🤣
Didn't Washington beat TX last year in a bowl
Oregon would beat Texas.
@@kylerkafoury2438by 2 scores lol
I worked out every possible playoff scenario, and I think it’s pretty damn accurate.
Summary:
- UGA gets a spot if they beat Alabama, or lose and 2 of FSU, Michigan, or Texas lose
- Michigan gets a spot if they beat Iowa, or lose and 2 of Alabama, FSU, or Texas lose
- Washington gets a spot if they beat Oregon, or lose and all of Alabama, FSU, and Texas lose
- FSU gets a spot if they beat Louisville, but if they lose they’re out
- Oregon gets a spot if they beat Washington, but if they lose they’re out
- Texas gets a spot if they beat Oklahoma State AND 1 of FSU, Michigan, or UGA loses. If Texas loses, they’re out.
- Alabama gets a spot if they beat Georgia AND 1 of FSU, Michigan, or Texas loses. If Alabama loses, they’re out.
- Ohio State gets a spot if UGA, Washington, Louisville, and Oklahoma State win. If just one of those games goes the other way, they’re officially out. In other words, it’s a fuckin’ long shot.
Reasoning:
UGA, Michigan, Washington, FSU, Oregon, Texas, Alabama, Ohio State. I can’t see any teams not on this list making the playoffs regardless of what happens in conference championships, and even 11-1 Ohio State would need a miracle. No 2-loss team stands a chance this year, as no matter what, at least UGA, Michigan, Washington, and Ohio State would get in over them.
Teams are listed in order of priority in getting a playoff spot. For example, I think if the 4th spot is between 12-1 Oregon and 12-1 Texas, Oregon will get the nod (better SOS and quality loss, and the CFP Committee ranking Oregon above Texas so far implies they would be favored if it comes down to it). There should be no scenario in which a team gets leapfrogged by another team lower on the list, i.e. no outcomes from other games could put a 12-1 Alabama in over a 12-1 Texas, or a 12-1 Washington in over a 12-1 Oregon.
All possibilities from bowl games are considered by listing two versions of each contending team, corresponding to a win/loss next week, e.g. both 13-0 SEC Champ and 12-1 non-SEC Champ UGA teams are listed in order of playoff “priority”.
Control Their Own Destiny:
- 13-0 UGA (SEC Champ)
- 13-0 Michigan (B1G Champ)
- 13-0 Washington (P12 Champ)
- 13-0 FSU (ACC Champ)
- 12-1 Oregon (P12 Champ)
Need Help:
- 12-1 Texas (B12 Champ)
- In with FSU loss
- In with Michigan loss
- In with UGA loss
- 12-1 Alabama (SEC Champ)
- In with FSU loss
- In with Michigan loss
- In with Texas loss
- 12-1 UGA
- In with 2 of FSU, Michigan, Texas loss
- 12-1 Michigan
- In with 2 of Alabama, FSU, Texas loss
- 12-1 Washington
- In with Alabama, FSU, and Texas loss
- 11-1 Ohio State
- In with UGA, Washington, Louisville, and Oklahoma State wins
Will Miss Playoffs:
(No matter what, UGA, Michigan, Washington, and Ohio State are ahead of them)
- 12-1 FSU
- 11-2 Oregon
- 11-2 Texas
- 11-2 Alabama
- Every other 2+ loss P5 team in the country, plus all G5 teams
Predictions:
Georgia will beat Alabama, Michigan will beat Iowa, Oregon will beat Washington, Louisville will beat FSU, and Texas will beat Oklahoma State.
1. UGA defeats 4. Texas in the Sugar Bowl
2. Michigan falls to 3. Oregon in the Rose Bowl
1. UGA defeats 3. Oregon in Houston
Damn, great job, man! Just went a little off track there at the end…Texas beats georgia in the semis or final. Hook ‘em! 🤘🤘
@@texasfight737 Thanks Longhorn bro, this was the product of a very boring Sunday afternoon. Dawgs winning it was definitely a homer pick, but I stand by it lol
Dude Oregon does not have a better SOS than Texas. Even if they beat Washington they wouldn't.
Thank u for not hating on FSU saying they need help if they win. But also don’t like ur louisville pick hahah
@@richmoneycash1he must be smiking crack lol
Texas Tech 30, Oregon 31, with 1:30 left in the game. Texas vs Texas Tech 57-7. "Eye test" amongst common opponents
TWO DIFFERENT TEAMS
@@JayLay85 texas fans dont care about that truth. also it was ducks second game with new OC
@@JC-wj5osfr
@@JC-wj5os it's always entertaining to watch Duck fans get upset about people pointing out the Playoff Committee's own guidelines
2 very different points in the season. Oregon was also barely favored over Texas Tech, so betters knew they were up for a letdown.
Washington 3 ranked wins. AZ OSU Oregon
Imagine Georgia wins, Michigan loses, Oregon wins, FSU loses, and Texas loses.
Georgia is obviously in at 1, Oregon at 2, who do you have at 3 and 4? Do you keep UW in? Does OSU get in or does Mich remain in? There is so much chaos and scenarios thst can happen.
If georgia wins, michigan wins, washinton did win. Thats 1 2 3. Now if florida state, texas, and bama all lose tomorrow buckeyes get 4th.
You cannot argue FSU's win over LSU was a top 5 opponent. Nor OSU having two top 10 wins over ND and PSU..
Rankings matter the week they're presented.. Hell, in that case we'd give Oregon a top 25 win over Colorado who is 4-8.
C'mon now..
Actually it’s somewhere in the middle.
Do you think LSU is tougher when they’re #5 and haven’t lost a game, hoping to win the NC or when when they’re 6-2 and barely top 25?
One of these is a tougher game than the other.
@@Scallers813 No, that's completely false. Ranking matter the week of the ranking. Period. That same 6-2 LSU team is still fighting for the SEC West and a chance at the CFP.. They're still a top 25 team. Yes, them playing Bama was a tougher fight bc that was LSU's season if they lost. But giving Oregon a top 25 win over Colorado is blasphemy, which is why rankings matter the week they're presented and not when they're played.
@@moose2_the_o756 I just don’t agree, I don’t fully disagree… I think that both matter. I think it matters what they were ranked when you beat them and I also think it matters how their season finishes. Obviously a team that starts off number one and doesn’t win a single game for the whole year… That diminishes you beating them in the first week when they were number one. But at the same time, a team, that’s number one when you play them in the first week, and you beat them, and then they have some injuries, you expose some of their weaknesses,they have a couple of bad breaks… And they wind up with four losses. That’s not necessarily indicative that you win at the beginning of the season was meaningless.
How do you not put the same amount of weight on the Red River Rivalry as the Iron Bowl? Oklahoma is light years ahead of Auburn. If Alabama gets in then Texas HAS to
In the last 13 years Auburn Has seen and won more National Championships than Oklahoma 😂😂😂😂😂 so lightyears huh man i cant wait til yall bring that weak shit to Jordan Hare Stadium next year
@@odasmith1215we’re talking about this season. Stop being a clown. Also, OU is historically better than auburn.. hence why they’re a blue blood.
Iron bowl is way different from that game you mentioned. Let’s be honest . It may mean a lot to you but it doesn’t hold that weight
We’ll see how y’all play against Alabama next year and auburn next year and see how different it is
@@G0dspeeed97 We beat Bama by 10 this year in their house. I assume Jordan Hare is Auburns stadium but unfotunateyl we don't to embarrass you next year. OU take take care of our light work. Saying the "Iron Bowl" has held more weight in the last 20 years than RRR is laughable.
Oregon wins and is in. No bullshit
It depends if bama beats Georgia
1. Michigan
2. Texas
3.bama
4. Oregon/Georgia
I love how everyone loves to bring up the iron bowl. Let's not forget Texas only beat Kansas St because they let them.
Scenario 3 Georgia is out. Conference championships should matter. It’s not like a couple seasons ago where two get in because all the others had two loses. Win your conference championships.
If Ga. were to lose , they should give their birth to Bama, i'm a Ga fan, But it's fair to me.
Agreed 👍 I believe whoever wins between Alabama and Georgia is going to win the National Championship
@@jhlawncare3196hot take but i agree
Yeah you can leave Bama out even if they beat Georgia. If it does happen. They need Michigan or FSU to lose. Texas is in if Georgia, Michigan, or FSU loses. Not a fan but they blew out Alabama on the road.
You obviously know nothing about the PAC 10. Oregon is also a one loss team. Pay attention. Stay awake to watch the games
Michigan should be number 1
Stop freezing the wins. There is no chance they are viewing Oregon's win over Colorado as a top 25 win. Same with Georgia and Kentucky and more.
Agreed
They won when they were 19 wdym
@@imasavage95 plenty of times in a season, teams are ranked who have no business being ranked. Colorado was never a ranked *caliber* of opponent.
ESPN and the media were in LOVE with Colorado... Oregon exposed them.
@@imasavage95What's supposed to matter is how good the teams actually are, not how good polls thought they were months ago.
Most y’all Smokin. The Committee has blatantly said the last few weeks Oregon is the best 1 loss team in the country. If they win they are in. If the Committee already thinks that and they beat the 3rd ranked team in the country that only boosts them more. There is no way Texas and Alabama jumps Oregon unless both win by 21+ and Oregon barely scrapes by. Even then I’d still put money on Oregon going top 4.
Georgia must win or they out for sure will be bama Michigan Oregon Texas
Listen very closely…if a team is NOTa conference CHAMPION they SHOULD NOT be a final 4 team! That’s all we need to remember!!! What is so hard about that?
That’s the way it supposed to be. But Bama and OSU screwed that up
Texas Destroyed BAMA
in Ugly ALABAMA case CLOSE 🍿🥱🇺🇸
Roll tide !!!!
I agree Alabama is out after their pathetic showing against Auburn no matter what happens Saturday. The only thing in question is whether Georgia is out with them. SEC overrated like hell. Alabama is just a spoiler now.
Oregon looks great. They are going to thrash Wash.
Hmmm
Hi
If Michigan wanted to, they could just punt every 1st down, and play only defense and special teams... and still win 11-0 v. Iowa (2 safeties and a scoop and score).
My main question is whether Oregon would jump FSU if they both win.
Curious, why would Oregon be ahead of Bama.
@@Meng776 Interesting: #5 over #3 v. #8 over #1... Who moves up more?
That's funny because it's true.
@@Meng776 Why have they been in every poll? Did you watch the iron bowl? While the Ducks were speed racing a top 15 team? That's why. Having just beaten Georgia just means Georgia wasn't all it supposed to be. So they can be out too.
Alabama shouldn't leapfrog Texas if they both win and Ohio State shouldn't leapfrog Michigan if they lose based on head to head wins each scenario
Doomsday
UM W/FSU W/Oregon W/Texas W/Bama W
1 - Mich
2/3 - Oregon
3/2 - FSU
4 - Texas
5 - Bama
6 - Wash
7 - UGA
8 - OSU
* SEC has the eye test and loses when you talk about OOC and SOS. The conf is lacking on P5 games (only 2 teams played 10 P5 games...pack12 10/12 played 10+), Biggest loss (Bama to Texas) and multiple OOC losses at top of conference. If Bama gets in it is based on history/espn/fans. They have played well but they also have played really bad too. They limped into the conf champ.
Oregon is the most consistent of the 3, the better conference, and avenged their loss. Texas beat Bama soundly...it wasn't even a close game. Why should Bama be in honestly?
UW has played the toughest schedule… UGA has played the weakest non conference schedule I have ever seen
Michigan is in before anyone else
How can you do an eye test when 1 team has played hard teams??? TEXAS has played harder schedule and have a common opponent.
Eye test is useless if you don’t have several common opponents. Using the eye test in a scenario without multiple common opponents is like saying Georgia is better than the New England Patriots because they look better against the opponents they’ve played than the Patriots have against the teams they’ve played
lol who Texas played other then Bama ?? 😂
@@JacquesHill-l7zdoesn’t make a difference, they beat them on the field. Everything else is meaningless
@@JacquesHill-l7zHarder teams than Oregon.😂
@@kylegross1081 Until OK state boat races their ass' on Saturday then they can just head off to the alamo bowl never to be heard from again
Louisville over FSU? 😂😂😂😂😂 GOOOO Noles!
@jimmyleebaker dread it.. run from it.. destiny arrives all the same Louisville will share the same fate as the other teams before them
lol,.. you got my head spinning,.. go ducks !
Hook ‘em horns baby
So Oregon is currently ahead of Texas. But if Texas beats #21 and Oregon beats #3 Texas would jump over Oregon?
if bama beats georgia yeah
@@flxmes5931 why? Texas isn't playing Georgia
That is classic Texas fan base logic. What can you do?
@@johncharles8825 Too much time with the sheep and cows in the Texas son I guess
Is he a Ohio State fan?
My Noles made it there without cheating Michigan shouldn't be aloud to play sense they cheated .. intil it is proven they didn't but there is so much showing they did
Iowa couldn’t beat Mercer
I believe if oregon n texas played each other texas wins not oregon
No 💩 SHERLOCK 😂😂
Ducks win hands down
Absolutely. 🤘
I sincerely hope that happens. I'm sure you believed that last time the two met in the Alamo bowl too. Remember Oregon 30-7 Texas (Dec 30, 2013) Final Score
Updated composite Strength of Schedule rankings: 11-1 Texas 1st, 11-1 Bama 17th, 11-1 Oregon 59th. 65 Power 5 teams
CRY ABOUT IT
@@JayLay85 right back at ya. Too funny
@@Mark-zx2bqoregon better tho
@Mark-zx2bq the rankings obviously mean something
@@imasavage95 Lol, Oregon fans think the Committee knows what they're doing...this week!
You saying Ohio state is sitting back watching trying to stay fresh getting ready getting a workout in just in case? Tf that matter there doing it regardless
I think in your last scenario it would actually go 1. Michigan 2. FSU 3. Oregon 4. Texas
Absolutely crazy leaving out team that hypothetically beats the best team in college football the last 3 years 😂
@@fsub616 that’s the way I think it has to go, who would you leave out? 13-0 Michigan isn’t out, 13-0 FSU isn’t out, 12-1 Oregon has been ranked over Alabama all year, and 12-1 Texas has the head to head.
@@fsub616Texas beat the man who beat the man.
Like your pods, but this is nuts. Just let em play.
WTF? Why are we giving Alabama an eye test pass for their miracle in the Iron Bowl in your "doomsday" scenario? If it's down to Texas, Oregon and Bama with one loss Bama is gone I don't care who they just beat. Just means Georgia wasn't as good as advertised and they are out too.
Sheila
That'd be awesome 👍 Washington, Michigan, Oregon, Georgia 😮
Lol, Washington about to get their butts kicked.
Doggie entrails on the field with a Penix chicken wing arm and rib..lol
@@sonofrobertThree straight defeats to UW. Gotta sting
GO DUCKS💚💛
Michigan being left out of the playoff for CHEATING would solve many of these scenarios.
Lmao… when Bama loses it will work it self out
Jd....your so lost on scenario #3 ... Texas is in, it would come down to Oregon vs Bama for 4th spot.
Conference champs are supposed to take priority, so if Georgia and/or Michigan loses, they should be out unless Texas and FSU also lose.
Check his crack pipe. Saying Texas is going to lose
1,2,3,4 lose then 5,6,7,8 should be in.
I want the world to burn so I got the top 4 all losing their conferences. Then 5 through 8 being the new top 4 going to the CFP
Georgia is automatically getting in. I promise
Not if lose.
Washington sure is not losing by a field goal. Oregon has the worst kicker in the country now. Huskies will probably win by a field goal
Oregon won't need any field goals and their extra point game is solid. Washington has reached the end of the line.
Lol, Washington about to get their butts kicked.
Doggie entrails on the field with a Penix chicken wing arm and rib..lol
Iron bowl better matter. Bama already has a loss. Fuck the SEC bias
I don’t think, at all, that the committee, gave us a wink, putting Ohio State at 6! I think Ohio State is being used as a place holder.
Michigan is safe no matter what Georgia is safe with a win PAC 12 🏆 is in that leave one spot
I don’t think so.
I could see a UGA, Washington, FSU, Texas final 4 if Michigan lost
If oregon wins this a lock no matter what they went to Utah n dismantled them against Oregon state dismantled them usc same wsu same.thang and they were all ranked n if the beat a undefeated Washington who hasn't lost that's that so ducks no question is locked with a win against huskies friday!!!
Wait. You’re bragging about beating a 5-7 WSU team? And a 7-5 USC team? And 8-4 Utah (back up qb)… lol. Yall have one good win. Against Oregon St (8-4) and they aren’t even that good, slightly overrated.
Everyone wants to see the Best team from the SEC Big10 Pac10 ACC/Big 12. So Georgia Michigan Washington FSU would be fine or FSU out Texas in. Or Washington Out Oregon in
Most likely scenario =
Georgia, Michigan, fsu, Oregon
Second most likely scenario =
Georgia, Michigan, Oregon, Texas
Third most likely scenario =
Michigan, FSU, Alabama, Georgia/Texas
No scenario with Washington lol shit is crazy really. Michigan is in. They 20 point favorites surely should win the. Basically comes down to Georgia bama Texas Ohio state florida state for two spots. Easy scenario Georgia and florida wins their in. Even florida without their qb undefeated is undefeated. Their in. But I don’t think they win Saturday. I think Texas wins but it’s gonna be close like 7-10 points. if I had to bet money on it. Georgia win tomar. Michigan wins. Texas wins and ville wins. so bull dogs Washington Michigan. Bama/Texas. I think Georgia is on win or lose here. Won 29 in a row of your gonna out a one lose team on why not put the team thy has won 29 in a row on the toughest conference on college football. If bama wins they are in over Texas and also Georgia still gets in. But who knows I’m going to bed so I can wake up and watch this shit play out
If Michigan, FSU, Bama, Texas and Oregon win. Based on current rankings it should be Michigan, FSU, Oregon, Texas. Oregons championship win and loss would be comparable to Bamas. And Texas would the win over Bama. That’s it. I don’t think a win against Georgia would carry them in.
So u don’t think a win over the no 1 team Georgia that is current sec champion and the reigning defending back 2 back national champions plus being undefeated in 3 years won’t let Bama in? You’re completely out of ur mind.
This is how that should play out. While the Bama folks world be up in arms, they lost to a team that is ahead of them and they're both conference champs. Fact is neither team had looked dominant all year and each had weaknesses but Texas best them in Tuscaloosa. Oregon would be in ahead of Bama because conference champ and beat more higher ranked teams. They're also a more solid team.
@@chudifrank6493Prior years have nothing to do with this year. Bama shouldn't be ahead of Texas they settled it on the field already.
@@alycynde5237Oregon has not beat higher ranked teams. Wtf are you talking about???
@@chudifrank6493 While I see your point. The past seasons do not mean much this year. They are number one but the argument that the Committee can look at the past season is a absurd
Go Ducks!!! 🦆🦆🦆
Jeez the fact that it’s still possible Oregon gets the one seed is crazy. If you bet $10 on the Utah game with parlays of Nix winning the Heisman and the natty the payout would have been $40,000. I feel like an idiot not making that bet now.
Everyone is doing the Alabama beats Georgia scenario. What if Georgia just boot stomps Alabama. Nuff said
Georgia better beat a Awful Alabama
Team who should have lost to a Pathetic
Auburn Team and who got Destroyed by
Texas in Ugly ALABAMA case CLOSE
Because Bama is the only team to have a real possibility of beating Georgia 😂
Only AL fans are suggesting AL beating GA. No one else thinks that week happen
@@pnwadventurer802then name 3 teams other than Alabama that is capable of beating UGA? I’ll wait. If not then why do you care if your team gets in? UGA will slaughter everyone in the playoffs if they get past Alabama
I want everyone to have 1 lose... I would luv that
If the third scenario unfolds, I would put Michigan, Bama, Texas, Georgia. In that order.
Texas for beating Bama and having a few ranked wins, conference champ, only one loss and it came in a rivalry game to a top 25 team.
Bama for beating Georgia, 1 loss SEC champ, a few other ranked wins, only loss, although at home, came to a top 10 team early in the season.
Georgia, back to back national champs, 1 loss and it comes to a playoff team in the conference champ game after they beat SEC teams 29 straight, been #1 all season. Unless they get crushed by Bama, committee is putting them in.
The committees job is to use all info to pick the four best teams, teams that if you matched them up, the game can for the most part go either way. I feel that unless FSU smokes Louisville and shows they can keep up with the big boys, they will be left out if the scenario above unfolds. Being favored by 2.5 to Louisville is at least an underdog of 9.5 spread to Georgia. Let's not forget FSUs biggest win came first game of the season, which also happened to be Jordan's best game, they struggled with Jordan in several games, all their biggest wins came with Jordan as the QB before his injury, he got injured 10 games into the season so it's not like the back up was plugged in midway through the season and the team didn't miss a beat and just like the Host of this great show said, the ACC is not that good, the best team FSU could of faced is not even a ACC team.
For FSU fans who will get upset at my opinion, cry me a River while answering these questions. How did you feel when you found out Jordan was not going to play the rest of the season? I'm sure you felt and still feel your national title hopes gone out the window. If you put your back up in from the beginning of the season, can you with full confidence believe that you would go undefeated and make the playoffs? I'm sure that is a no. That right there tells you that your not good enough to be in the playoffs with this QB and the committee will think the same way, unlessssss, FSU crushes Louisville and the QB has a solid performance. Then Texas will be out and put FSU in.
If both lose their conference Michigan > UGA. Because B1G champ is a legit neutral field while SEC champ is glorified home game.
Yah sorry bro. FSU wins and they’re in, period.
When it comes to Georgia what you did last year and the year before that is irrelevant. Georgia is straight up OUT if that scenario. 1. Mich. 2. FSU. 3. Texas. 4. Bama. IF FSU loses as well then the pac 12 winner gets the 2nd spot.
@@Scallers813 They shouldn't be. They aren't even close to being one of the best four teams in the country
@@Mark-zx2bq what do you do if Alabama beats UGA and the playoffs is Bama/Mich/Oregon/Texas, Bama wins NC and FSU beats UGA 48-14?
Tell me in that scenario how you explain those decisions.
You are a fool if you think that’s the right choice.
Get to the friggin point. Sheila
I think it is fair to leave Oregon out if Bama and Texas win they should schedule tough games in the non conference
Like Bama's three absolute cupcake wins? Middle Tennessee? Chattanooga? South Florida? Not to mention the pathetic SEC teams they beat? The only tough non conference game they played they lost. You SEC freaks are like democrats, just can't think.
If Oregon beats UW and UGA crushes Bama, who is ranked higher?
UW or Bama?
Not rocket science
Vegas would rightly favor Ducks Over both Texas and Bama
Billie Thomas will be benched again
While I agree with the method slightly but any loss in championship week wouldn’t it be a half game difference I mean if UW losses to Oregon they would still be a half game above OSU
If Bama wins Texas has to be in handing the best team it's only loss. The odds that all unbeaten teams lose is astronomical. Won't happen. It would awesome to see but won't happen.
Iowa is the firewall between all undefeateds losing. The other three could happen.
My prediction is whoever wins between Alabama or Georgia is winning the National Championship
What would happen if all the top dogs win but Alabama blows out Georgia by alot
You are kidding right
Alabama SUCKS 😂😂
You SEC fans are so boringly predictable
If Michigan, Washington, Florida State and Georgia losses. The playoff should be #1 Oregon vs #4 Georgia and #2 Texas vs #3 Bama
I would love to see it come down to Alabama and Texas for the National Championship
Texas has the best online and dline in the country..and sanders is a monster and worthy!
Bama Georgia Michigan Oregon
That’s for sure who the actual top four best teams are
I’d like to see the outcome of Washington and Oregon first though
@@csmith9353oregon wins
@@csmith9353disagree, I think it’s Georgia Michigan Oregon Texas. Georgia is gonna beat Alabama handedly. But of course fsu will have to lose.
Nice try Clown
Alabama got Crushed into pieces by TEXAS
in Ugly ALABAMA case CLOSE
Oregon, Texas Bama and UGA
Georgia 70 ✅🏈💰🇺🇸
Awful Alabama 3 😢
Alabama SUCKS
TEXAS TEARS ALL OVER SOCIAL MEDIA
Nice Try Ugly ALABAMA
Texas fans are laughing
Why? Because they Destroyed BAMA
in Ugly ALABAMA 😂😂
The winner of the pac12 is in 100%
UGA is in 100% regardless
The only way bama gets in is a win over uga a michigan and fsu lost
Is it possible Georgia gets in ahead of Alabama even though they win the Champ Game?
You gotta be kidding me.
No but it's possible they both get in and FSU and Oregon get left out
Sheila