The Future Will Be Shaped by Optimists | Kevin Kelly | TED
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- Опубликовано: 27 сен 2024
- "Every great and difficult thing has required a strong sense of optimism," says editor and author Kevin Kelly, who believes that we have a moral obligation to be optimistic. Tracing humanity's progress throughout history, he's observed that a positive outlook helps us solve problems and empowers us to forge a path forward. In this illuminating talk, he shares three reasons for optimism during challenging times, explaining how it can help us become better ancestors and create the world we want to see for ourselves and future generations.
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Bad things happen faster than good things. Good stuff takes longer. VERY well said.
bad is easy , hard is good
both bad and good can take time it takes time to make many bad decisions to ruin a company, or takes time to make many good decisions to make a good company. but certainly with catastrophe yes it can happen quickly.
We should be optimistic not because we believe that our problems are smaller than we thought. We should be optimistic because we believe that our capacity to solve problems is greater than we thought.
My school project needed me to have an opinion on a ted talk and this comment is PERFECT
3:35
@@Marlin1233:54 3:56
@@Marlin1234:19
🗣️🗣️🗣️
this is everything. everything correct and more. people my age (gen z) never understand when i say I'm an optimist. it isn't delusion; its hope, that in the face of all the problems in the world, there's opportunity to correct them and progress, all while embracing and relishing the solutions that have crafted the present.
And ignoring the psychopaths who are frog marching us into a bright fascist future. Time for the unicorns to start signing about the power of positive thinking? Or maybe an infomercial about healing crystals?
As a gen xer , I totally agree.
@@johnkesich8696 sigh, you don’t quite get it. but i pray that one day you will 🥰 with the potential of a very awry and dim future, there’s the potential of a very bright and fulfilling one right next to it.
Ok. Be whatever you are but dont procreate. Because your kids might not be as "optimistic" as you are. And they shouldnt be forced to fight for food when you are gone from this world with your optimism
@@moblue2899 kindly, don’t tell me what to do :) because here’s the thing: the mental turmoil that my generation has faced was fueled by the pessimistic seed planted by our parents. by assuming impending doom, we have placed little worth in our future. i trust my ability to feed my kids, and i don’t need an internet stranger to doubt that, thanks. 🤍
This talk sounds good to me. I am an eternal optimist. There are blessings in every moment. There is good in every situation. The optimist could find it the pessimist can find the problems. I want more good situations so that is my focus and that is what I get. You get what you focus on. Speaking about what you don't want attracts it.
how does your statement that "speaking about what you don't want attracts it" fit with his statement that "optimists embrace problems" and "problems are the conduit of progress"?
I liked your thought that pessimists can identify problems and optimists can seek to mitigate it.
There are no problems out there it's only our perception that makes them look like problems, By realizing that problems and obstacles are they way, overcoming them makes you grow mentally, emotionally, intellectually and spiritually which in today's terms, we call it evolution
Correct! We need to be positive people. Stop looking at what's old and fading and look at how bright our future will be.
I live by the motto - “Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.”
The video says that there is a reason why we should be optimistic about the future, and this may be a very difficult thing to do when we are facing extraordinary problems. I really agree with that statement, when we are faced with a very extraordinary problem we will feel pessimistic to solve the problem, especially for unusual people to face extraordinary problems. We can overcome this starting from our own intentions, because if we are sure of our efforts, then we will be able to solve them. Then we have to believe in ourselves, with confidence we will believe that we can do it without thinking about things that might not happen. Bad things will happen faster than good things, because good things take a long time to happen.
We need more optimism. So that the general population doesn’t get fatigue from all these whiny people on the Internet complaining about everything.
This is one of the greatest TedTalk I ever watched. Every single word make sense, inspiring you to hope in a better future, things which looks impossible today.
"No problems, no progress" What a great quote.
Thanks, for your discussion. I must keep your words in my heart. Problems are smaller than our thoughts. So amazing.
And yet a large swath of people are still living in the past. Let's hope this changes.
Red,
You have a missing sibling you ought be looking for 😂
This is the way.
With the current affairs like the climate crises and the current war that could turn an atomic one I come back to this channel. This gives me a glimmer of hope for humanity.
*Everyone who reads this, we don't know each other and probably never will but I wish you all the best in life and all the luck in the world* ...........
Wish the same for you
Thank you for making inspiring compilations 💛
People need to hear this more. We need to cooperate and need to solve global problems cohesively.
And progress for the sake of it should be condemned, we need more long term solutions
It's a gripping way to seek the solution in each situations. Your explanation of the core of the problem is amazing. By improving something we can damage other things, create the problem in new field. That only optimism can lead us through all problem and help us to find new opportunities in life. When there is a goal, there is a way.
0:38 We should be REALISTIC with optimism. Being merely optmistic isn't enough.
More like channel that optimism into making the future better.
Outstanding video. Thank you Kevin. Optimists are definitely realist based on the past achievements.
Solid video, interesting stocks as well that I will have to look into.. As a value investor, I am certainty using this time to double down on high quality, long-term value investments ... Once in a blue moon type deal where we get these big blue chips on such steep discounts!
The best way to find growth stocks, key features to keep in mind is as follows: 1. Ensure gross margins are greater than 50% 2. Ensure P/E ratio is less than 100 3. Buy companies that are PROFITABLE, very important irrespective of sector. 4. Debt to equity ratio is less than 30% 5. Current ratio is above I 6. and a Float under 100 million One stock that fits the bill is FLGT (Fulgent)
As a new investor it's always great to hear from a person who has gone through all the difficult times and come ahead of it. It's unnerving to see your portfolio go from green to red but as mentioned if you have invested in quality names just have to keep adding to them and stay the course.
I always believed in long term Investment as a savings vehicle for retirement. As I am a passive investor, my day job does not allow me to monitor stocks movement actively, DCA is the only way. Or else, if I have a bigger capital pot I have to engage a Financial Advisor like [ Nicole Deanne Mckay look her up] who has made me understand that you must have a strategy. So i do not worry about short term performance that's why i follow her trades. Q2 of 2022 i have accrued just north of 26k in my portfolio.
That first 100$k is the hardest, from there your money works for you. Look her up on the net. She has an official web-page.
Then you should be involved with web3 protocols, where the asset has integral function to the business, rather than stocks which merely represent legal rights.
I honestly think that optimism has been used over millennia. Think about all of the doctors that made the life saving techniques that our world has used!
Exactly, think about how everybody was willing to get a vaccine to prevent further spread of an epidemic oh wait...
This outlook is itself optimistic.
This is the way
Progress isn't made with pure optimism, you need some pessimism as well. If you dispose of it completely, you will harm yourself. And your blind optimism will make you believe that everything is going fine, when it isn't.
I believe that Mr Kevin referred to using optimism when adversity begins to appear.
getting harmed is not a bad thing, though
Isn't that realism?
The best TED @ this time of depression and confusing times .🙏
Logic and empiricism is the basis for this Ted Talk. There is another component that makes an optimistic future viable and real - "accountability." This is one quality sadly missing in our current culture. Our ancestors were forced to make generational sacrifices (think depression and world wars). Our current culture demands one's needs are paramount over the needs of the greater whole only to create true narcissist and a denigrating culture of rot. There is hope with awareness, personal accountability and... to give back more than we take.
much to be optimistic about but I think the world needs to account of what has been done and where we are now to not continually repeat the obvious mistakes that we have made.
If you want the future to be good make it so.
Gold. Wish everyone could watch this ✨
Good things take time where bad things happen fast. This is the reason the world seem worse but the ability of being human will make the world better. We hope ;)
Bad things also take time gradual carbon emissions and climate change did not happen quickly, Perhaps bad things seem more powerful as they require more immediate attention a problem that needs addressing now. If your boat is leaking water you dont sit back and congratulate yourself on all the good rowing you did, you start bailing.
@@chrisbrown-jw4ce Yes, you have a point. However, generally speaking the entropy related rule of physics indicate that too :D You can't grow a tree or raise a children or build a structure immediately but you can kill/destroy them instantly. From your example, you can instantly create carbon dioxide by burn things, which is one the factors in climate change, but you can't use carbon dioxide to create such as food, that will need time my friend.
@@gokselbilici605 well thought out response assuming the TED talk was about physics which I dont think was the case, I agree catastophy happens fast as you have illustrated, both good and bad things in the world can take time building business, or economies take time political change takes time things get better slowly and can get worse slowly over time due to poor decision.
@@chrisbrown-jw4ce I just want to make a physics reference, that was it :)
Yeah I guess I got your point. You are right, especially in big scale changes.
Coin that word!
"Protopia"!!
What a reasonably optimistic concept.
The future is always shaped by optimists. Anyone who sees how absurd the world is, wouldn't try to shape it.
THIS IS THE WAY.
Amazing
loved!!!!!
Powerful
I'm not an optimist but just reading that bread during the French revolution cost 1/2 a workers daily wage or that servants in medival times slept on a truckle bed or that it was common for a family to share one bed makes me appreciate the world we live in.
We're going to miss it when it's gone.
@@eternalskeptic there are literally millions of people that are still living this way and suffering from climate change enabled catastrophies because of the first world luxuries you're talking about .
With optimism,we can use it as a power to kind of create the future that we want.With optimism,our ancesters created everyting we had today,but it also brought us some problems.We should ues optimism as a power to solve the problems and create the new world for us and future generations.
If we take man as he is, we make him worse. But if we take man as he should be, we make him capable of becoming what he can be.
Bravo 👏‼️. I am outlining this for future reference on my 3rd view. Brilliant and dovetails with James Clear’s ATOMIC HABITS. ❤️ it and the idea of compound interest. The presentation was perfect also
Great inspiration...
Indeed!
it clearing my mind
Strengthen your memory , focus then read more and soon you will know enough to help increase the rate your goals are getting closer to you
at 9:45. What a missed opportunity from the audience. They should have replied back "This is the way".
People should be optimistic
about the future. Crd Elon
very well said
why not be optimists and progress the future ?
"This is the Way!"
So reassuring that the future will be shaped by optimists, it currently seems to be shaped by psychopaths.
Optimist always won than pesimist.
I agree the optimism creates progress. But I totally disagree with, problems don’t imped progress. When there’s already progress, and some politician, comes by to strip away that progress, that would be impeding progress.
Yaa, great
Prototopia! Kevin! Prototopia a prototype first and then unionize into a utopia second?
I'm way too pessimistic for this talk to affect me in any positive way lol
The world has passed its tipping point…
The future is bleak at best.
We have no one to blame but ourselves…😡
Modern humans came to dominate the world because of climate change. The last ice age opened the door for our ancestors to succeed. Humans are survivors. Our descendants will hate us for the world that we created but they will survive and overcome.
😂
😞😔
Truth
GOOD TALK :-)
This is my first time ever that I write the first comment on RUclips
Amazin! You were too slow though
so that's why! he's mandalorian
Reminds me of a quote I once read, namely, the future belongs to those with the most beautiful dreams
I think it's hard to be a optimist.Firstly, the people's attitude to face awful things may be have a great difference,due to the different growth background that they experienced.Secondly,the books,information and other knowlege they contacted formerly,all of these will shape one's ideology.
Money talks and it's how things get done. If people want change they vote with their dollar and if enough people want it market forces will make that dream possible.
Right
Oh, I don't think so, but as I hope for the best, I prepare for the worst.
💯
❤️
0:04
“People are problem solvers: creators of the unsustainable solution and hence of the next problem. In the pessimistic conception, that distinctive ability is a disease for which sustainability is a cure. In the optimistic one, sustainability is the disease and people are the cure.”
D. Deutsch on The Beginning of Infinity
The future will be shaped by Optimus*
Fixed.
Not till Mr. Musk or someone else solves the philosophical and technical problems associated with true AI.
@@patmoran5339 this is the future of 100 years ago, how many philosophical problems have stopped the future being shaped until they were solved? We build our wings on the way down, that's just how it goes, if there isn't a problem or problems along the way it's a gift. Ai will cause and has caused plenty of problems maybe more than its solved but the ship has sailed. For better or worse humanoid robots will have a profound impact on our future. I'm hopeful it'll be good/better but I live in reality. It's going to happen, there's no "until" involved it's already happening.
@@starklife1 First, thank you for your comment. The answer to your first question is that we do not know how many philosophical problems have stopped the future from being shaped. I am in no way disparaging Elon Musk’s to build Robot Optimus. I am simply noting that Robot Optimus will not have true artificial intelligence. The philosophical problem that I cited surrounds a very common but completely mistaken belief that human beings are mere receivers of knowledge that we perceive in the environment provided by our sense organs. Human beings are universal explainers and constructors. Our minds are universal simulators. We are quite unlike robots. We create new knowledge “on the fly”. I believe that true AI is possible. However, a machine that thinks has not yet been built. As far as is known, we are the only animals that can create new knowledge. Building a true AI takes a better philosophical understanding of the nature of a human being.
@@patmoran5339 hey happy to have a normal conversation! Thanks for taking the time!
Yeah I mostly meant it as a funny comment cause the name is close to optimism, however I didn't mean to say that it's agi. It's simply that solving computer vision and machine learning of real world environment is just on the horizon now so humanoid robots will be a part of the current industrial revolution and going forward will shape parts of our future. I absolutely agree that it is very concerning for us as humans. Technology is a double edged sword and I think in many ways it harms us more than it seems to help, but at this point we have to make the best of it.
@@starklife1 I am relatively certain that Elon Musk called the robot by the name of "Robot Optimus" when being interviewed about the opening of his new factory in Austin Texas last week. And, I wanted to make sure that you knew that I did not mean that I was in any way scared or terrified or troubled by a machine that thinks.. On the contrary, I would be absolutely thrilled. When it is discovered how to program human creativity, a whole new world or even worlds will be opened up for research and study. It might be the greatest advance in science since Darwin.
based
The wisest thing that should be on everyone's mind currently should be to invest in different streams of income that doesn't depend on the govt. Especially with the current economic crisis around the world. This is still a good time to invest in Gold, Silver and digital currencies (BTC,ETH...)
This days so many bots in the comment section it’s hard to find, a legit expert broker… but ThankGod I keep on getting $7,000 every 14 days from my broker, that’s a success.
@Billy Robert I agree with you, I had a senior colleague at work who lived well but never had an investment, unfortunately his job ended so he went from living well to surviving with his family.
Investing is a primary decision to be made for the future. If you see this and you don’t have an investment, plan to have one, so you don’t end up like my main colleague at work.
That’s why Expert Jessica Leigh Caden is the best, she analyzes the profit margin and manages the level of risk in order to earn your profit.
@Florence Ruby write her on..
Anyone want to make slow news?
Yes lest go🤣, Headlines in 2100!
No it bloody well won't. It will be shaped by people who are capable.
👏👏👏
utopia is the end of that
and the end is the beginning
The discovery of oil peaked in 1964.
Since then discoveries have declined. Globally the oil industry finds less than 10 billion barrels PA. Mankind consumes 36 billion barrels PA. Unsustainable!
If there's to be a future Mankind must manage with very little oil.
I'm sorry but optimism is dead in the age of social media. Compromise is a dirty word, forgiveness is impossible and optimism is laughed at.
That's what a human who wants to have more kids will say.
i sampled this
I see it like this, Im thankful that I wasn't born in a third world country or born during a time when the dinosaurs roamed the Earth. So does that make me an optimist? Oh h$ll yes it does!
The future will be shaped by optimists.
Putin: ...
Europe: ...
Me: ...
Jesus loves you he died on the cross for your sins. Believe in him and you will be saved and go to heaven!
Optimism - solutions create problems burning a trillion litres of fossil fuels creates problems, making billions of tonnes of disposable plastic and it ending up in the ocean problems, lets hope future generations are wiser and economies will not create more moronic and predictible problems.
an answer create more questions
something an atheist who think they know everything never realize
Oh
You can tell he's trying so hard but he's out of touch. He's not flat out wrong but he's seeing things through a fixed perspective and not about how literally we will always face some form of inequities because that's an unfortunate constant we need to fight rather than ignore. But, we're NEVER going to get to this "perfect place" because for everyone to be exactly the same and agree with eachother that would be quite literally be 1 person in a room alone. Even then there would be a problem! Even if you would love to be alone, and you'd be the minority here, you would still need someone in your life to serve some purpose. People still need doctors, people still need therapists, people still need assistance, people should not be expected to be specialists in everything so again, we have to all live together! But, because some people don't think food service is a respectable job even though it is a necessary one. Just because they're not holding your money doesn't mean that there any less important than a bank! They feed you! To be honest restaurants do more for Americans and Banks do! But that's the thing! When we rely on the concept of the good old days in order to look at the future we are completely dismissing the present that's going on. Right now, we are in some serious bad times. We obviously need optimism but at the same time things are not good right now! And we need to focus on that! We need that to actually drive us to band together to actually tackle the problems at hand so we can get back to being optimistic! But! Unless are some major changes in this country, and I am legitimately saying 180° turn changes. We are not making it.
It is is particularly important for people to understand that religions are a predominant source of pessimism. Anything that claims "perfection" or "ultimate truth" closes or destroys the ability to correct errors. Error correction always reveals new problems. Religions encourage the re-interpretation that problems will "never" be solved.
Sometimes we first need to experience and see the bad, before we want to or are even able to think of alternative, solutions. That things are bad right now could be a good thing on a later run.
@@manoukirishanning yes absolutely! While it's true that some individuals can very much may learn from other people's mistakes but the vast majority of people learn and understand by going through hardships or bad experiences. I'd rather nurture a world where we have better empathy and care for people who go through traumatic events or find themselves in whatever hardship.
Q: what aspect of u.v. have black people adapted to, that no white people in history have?
Like me
Wow early
protopia
We're all gonna die. - Fact.
I'm irrevocably optimistic. But Kelly is way out of touch with the uniquely precarious position we humans face at this point in history. Climate change is of course our primary challenge, but the increasing number of hurdles in front of this primary challenge is growing insurmountable, starting with tech-driven polarization and the imminent redundancy of humans with AI. As the earth's sixth mass extinction is happening in ten minutes, we need democracy and consensus yesterday (or at least an authoritarian government that wants to save the human race). This guy seems to be enjoying his final morphine dose; his philosophy is wonderful but outdated and barely helpful now.
I agree with his message for idealogical reasons, but disagree with his actual argument, and don't think it would convince anyone who isn't already idealogically on-board. His core justification for optimism seems to be grounded in the assumption that 'things are always getting better and have been through all of history', but this is a very near-sighted and oversimplified read of the past.
Sure, by many, many metrics the human condition has been improving for the last few hundred years - but there are many periods of history where there are great backslides in standards of living, technological advancement and culture. Think of the bronze-age collapse, or the decline of the Roman Empire, or the age of colonialism in the colonised parts of the world. There is nothing inherently guaranteed about the continued short-term (next 50 years) improvement in the state of human civilisation. We could very well be entering a period of decades or centuries of decline, rendered an insignificant downward blip on the millenia-long upwards trend of civilisation five-hundred years from now - by those forgetting that the 'downwards blip' actually consumed the entire lifespans of billions of people.
This kind of oversimplified 'everything is always getting better' risks abidicating the responsibility we have as a species to recognize the real danger that our civilisation is in and to make immediate, radical change to avert that danger. I imagine that according to Kevin Kelly, the right course of action would be to just continue along as-normal without changing any of the entrenched economic and political systems which created the dangers we now face in the first place. To simply wait, hoping that everything sorts itself out thanks to some nebulous idea of 'progress'.
I suspect this well-done presentation was based on Mr. Kelly's familiarity with some of the writings. of Karl Popper. I believe that Popper is responsible for the best Philosophy of Science so far. His contributions to the field are not yet fully appreciated. in my opinion. Unfortunately, the 300 year old Philosophy of Empiricism is still accepted as "common sense." by many philosophers and even scientists. Empiricism resembles religions and is seriously flawed. On the other hand, Popper's Philosophy of Realism is based on the values of the Enlightenment that claim the reality of the world can be explained and that it is desirable to do so.
We are all going to die. That's it!
Kate Dibiasky! Finally found you 😣
And those who aren't optimists will be imprisoned in re education camps.
Realism seems more important
Popper's Realism is optimistic and is the only philosophy that I am aware of that successfully debunks the many varieties of Empiricism that espouse Anti-realism.
@@patmoran5339 If we're being Real, then you're just a little too optimistic. Optimist tend to ignore the facts and look past them.
@@chrisrhome6638 Example?
@@patmoran5339 He says it at the end. All this Optimism gives us a chance to be a Realist about the situation and actually solve problems.
@@chrisrhome6638 There is nothing quite so deceptive as an obvious fact.
the art of stating the obvious
No shiiz we need a TED talk to know this? idealists dreamers and optimists always shaped the future and still the world never changes...now I am gonna skip the video!
🤮