@@watsonpho1 RE: CORONAVIRUS 2019 : after an outbreak has run its course the no# of deaths + the no# of recovered will equal the number of total cases of infected persons, so the total cases can be used to Express the recovery and death rates. In a live outbreak, you cant use the total of infected cases to Express the recovery/death percentages. You can only use the death vs recovered to get an indication of severity. Would like your input on this matter, I don't think people are taking the 2019 nov CO virus seriously enough.
@@icxcnika9399 I have not really ever used the ratio of recovered v deaths before. I typically see case fatality rate and the incidence rates used to determine severity. I do however think that many are not taking 2019 n-CoV as globally concerning as they should. Starting with the WHO who had the chance to declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern when there were just 900 cases... But they decided they "didn't have enough information". It took another 4 or 5 days...That looks like they missed an additional 2 incubation periods. As of 3 Feb the WHO reported 17,300 cases and this morning 4 Feb the New York Times indicates more than 20,000 cases. This of course is likely not accurate as not every country has the capacity to identify and report this disease... And many think China is under-reporting. For perspective... 2004 SARS only had around 5000 cases. The case fatality being reported so far is about 2.5%... the 1918 influenza pandemic had a death rate of 3-5%. This is going to get bad before it gets better.
@@watsonpho1 Totally agree, it's so bad it seems like wilful ignorance, the WHO does not appear to be fit for purpose putting economic concerns above health. You said that you have never used ratios for a CFR, apologies what I meant was using total deaths + total recoveries to get a case number for those whom the virus had run its course, in an attempt to replicate a post pandemic analysis..... imo total infected in a live outbreak cant be used because although they are registered to vote they haven't cast their ballot. On a more cheerful note, Thai doctors are having good results it seems, they had a press release about an hour ago, they managed to cure a 77yo Chinese woman from Wuhan that travelled to Thailand she also had prior health issues.
Everybody knows the lowest death rate is on mars.
Great video but the stumbling was distracting...keep up the good work,nevertheless💜
thank you !!
I hope it was helpful.
@@watsonpho1 RE: CORONAVIRUS 2019 : after an outbreak has run its course the no# of deaths + the no# of recovered will equal the number of total cases of infected persons, so the total cases can be used to Express the recovery and death rates. In a live outbreak, you cant use the total of infected cases to Express the recovery/death percentages. You can only use the death vs recovered to get an indication of severity. Would like your input on this matter, I don't think people are taking the 2019 nov CO virus seriously enough.
@@icxcnika9399 I have not really ever used the ratio of recovered v deaths before. I typically see case fatality rate and the incidence rates used to determine severity. I do however think that many are not taking 2019 n-CoV as globally concerning as they should. Starting with the WHO who had the chance to declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern when there were just 900 cases... But they decided they "didn't have enough information". It took another 4 or 5 days...That looks like they missed an additional 2 incubation periods. As of 3 Feb the WHO reported 17,300 cases and this morning 4 Feb the New York Times indicates more than 20,000 cases. This of course is likely not accurate as not every country has the capacity to identify and report this disease... And many think China is under-reporting. For perspective... 2004 SARS only had around 5000 cases. The case fatality being reported so far is about 2.5%... the 1918 influenza pandemic had a death rate of 3-5%. This is going to get bad before it gets better.
@@watsonpho1 Totally agree, it's so bad it seems like wilful ignorance, the WHO does not appear to be fit for purpose putting economic concerns above health. You said that you have never used ratios for a CFR, apologies what I meant was using total deaths + total recoveries to get a case number for those whom the virus had run its course, in an attempt to replicate a post pandemic analysis..... imo total infected in a live outbreak cant be used because although they are registered to vote they haven't cast their ballot. On a more cheerful note, Thai doctors are having good results it seems, they had a press release about an hour ago, they managed to cure a 77yo Chinese woman from Wuhan that travelled to Thailand she also had prior health issues.
Bad audio